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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the Tories do manage to stay in power after May 7th much
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the Tories do manage to stay in power after May 7th much of the credit will go to George Osborne
The autumn statement was always going to be a major event on the road to May 7th and George Osborne didn’t disappoint. So many different ideas and measures all designed to make it harder for Labour in the economic debate in the run up to the election and to block out the kippers.
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However, Mr Alanbrooke may have a different opinion.... ; )
Does it not make it easier for Labour to paint the Conservatives as "on the side of those who own £1m houses", though?
Another PB promise broken ....
let's learn not to forget.
Here's a toast to Primo,
forgive but don't forget
I think you will find that guy resigned yesterday.
We are moving home next week. Osborne just saved us £400. I'm calling our new fridge freezer George. #AS2014
A "part-ELBOW" comprising the five polls so far this week shows Lab 1.4% ahead of Cons.
Lab 32.8, Con 31.4, UKIP 15.6, LD 7.9
https://twitter.com/Geolytix
Isabel Hardman@IsabelHardman·3 mins3 minutes ago
Yet another non-political friend texts saying ‘George Osborne saved me quite a bit of money today’.
So he changed them again and I was flat out for 2 days instead! I think Smallville will leak into 8 or 9 days as I've lost most of today giving witness statements to the coppers and getting a recycled kitty [who is behind the sofa]...
It WILL come down to the economy. The only reason immigration matters is that some people think it affects their economic well-being. It's bugger all to do with anything else. Put crudely, white van man likes his tikka masala.
We shall see if the smoke and mirrors are concealing much at the weekend when the full analysis goes through.
Telegraph - Dan Hodges
"Unfortunately for Ed Balls, none of this actually matters any more. The debate about the economy effectively ended in June 2013, when the ONS revised its figures, and announced that there had been no double-dip recession after all. That was the moment the Labour Party’s increasingly desperate hopes of regaining their economic credibility finally died. And there was nothing Ed Balls was ever going to be able to do or say today to bring them back to life.
So now the political struggle that defined the parliament is over. The two rivals are hurtling through the air, locked in one final, fateful embrace. Soon they will strike the water, and disappear from view.
Only one of them can survive the fall. His name is George Osborne."
LoL
http://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/dup-uup-flags-pamphlet-catalytic-in-fanning-loyalist-fury-1.2024554
2) the break even point was much lower - more modest homes are better off unlike the SNP's bash the middle classes approach.
So similar but rUk got the best deal.
Guess what, the bastards are still not paying their taxes despite getting a 5% reduction.
Your churlish attitude towards Osborne is beneath your usual high standards. He's plainly excellent.
UKIP especially need something to help them stay in the news in the early months of next year. I imagine Labour and the Conservatives will continue to drip feed policies weekly.
Also a new one at , say, £3m @ 9%. Let the Russian mafia or the *ankers pay !
Maybe, but this is a budget to win an election.
IF they get a majority, Osborne can afford to be at 20% in the polls in 2016. It won;t matter. And that is when the spending cuts will come.
London will not vote Tory anyway.
You guys want to rob the rich. That's fine, but you sure as hell ain;t givin back to no poor....
Voters are noticing.
Heap strong medicine.
@jameschappers: Govt source tells me Cable erupted at Alexander in Cabinet today, complaining about Lib Dem backing for future cuts/spending plans #AS2014
You probably do.
http://www.bloomberg.com/energy/
http://www.workpermit.com/news/2013-12-05/uk-prime-minister-says-asian-chefs-will-be-able-to-come-to-uk
http://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2014/10/09/71525/
Meanwhile, Ed Balls with his comically bad political nous finds himself completely incapable of taking advantage of the "austerity fatigue". He was pushing an anti-austerity message at a time when people were grudgingly accepting it as necessary (which I still maintain was mainly due to the news being filled with the European debt crisis; now that that's gone, it's just not obvious to the "man on the street" why having a deficit should be such a big danger), yet over the past year has changed his tune just as the public mood was changing. If he was still pushing his original message it would probably be finally starting to resonate now.
Btw, do these new arrangements also apply to commercial property transactions? - If so, this looks like exceedingly bad news for property companies.
The beauty of the stamp duty reform is that it appears to SHIFT the burden of taxation rather than increase it.
There's an immediate payback for the ordinary voter.
http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situation-reports/en/?m=20141203
Sunday marked the 60 day point in the WHO's turnaround plan. The aim by this point was to isolate 70% of cases and safely bury 70% of bodies. The WHO has fudged its target by saying it doesn't know for sure how many cases are isolated and how many bodies are safely buried due to patients being hidden from the health authorities. However, it says each country has the capacity to isolate all cases and bury bodies so it has effectively met its targets.
There is a big difference across the 3 affected countries.
Liberia has massively dropped and had 40 cases this week compared to a high of 300
Guinea has been stable for some time at around 75-150 cases per week. There is concern about increased spread in the districts near the Mali border
Sierra Leone is still seeing an increase in cases with over 500 in the past week.
Liberia has received a lot of help from the US
France has been helping Guinea
We have been helping Sierra Leone
This may not reflect very well on us especially when there have been articles like this: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-30270341
The only new stuff was the stamp duty. It was sensible to do away with the "slab" approach (which was ridiculous). The new tiered approach is being supported by the Labour Party. I doubt that it is a vote winner. Unless you are actually moving house (a very small proportion of voters over the next few weeks) you won't bother trying to understand it. On the face of it, it looks as if rates have actually gone up and from the blogs it looks as if there is a lot of misunderstanding on this point.
It is clear he has missed his targets yet again on the deficit. As well as being a serial loser, he is being found out as a serial spinner ("halving" the EU bill for £1.7b, announcng yet again the flood and infrastructure projects) and his credibility is suffering - not helped by the viral clip of him last week in an odd state.
As for his leadership ambitions, his price has just gone out to 9.0 on Betfair.
George Osborne= he came , he saw, he conquered
Ed Balls= yesterdays failure
You fail to look at spending. You fail to look at all the public sector job losses. You fail to look at all the new jobs being created. You fail to look at the record fall in youth unemployed. You fail to look at the cut in the structural deficit.
The fact that the target was moved is to the Chancellors credit. He sustained the economy through the Eurozone crisis and the accompanying widespread drop in confidence.
Would we be miraculously better off if somehow the deficit were smaller today as opposed to next year? What is important is that unlike under Labour, spending is under control.
Why not applied before? V Good question, I suspect Osborne has had this *in the bank* ready to go for a few years.
Osborne has sadly shown that he is a spineless lightweight. His only motivation is to win votes.
We need some new politicians. The stage has never been better set for UKIP. Or for that matter Monster Raving Loony.