On policy the 40p rate is net supported (+16), as is scrapping the HRA (+20).
On whether Conservatives in office would implement their policies - it's a mixed bag (net would): Increase personal allowance: +19 Increase 40p threshold: +60 Protect NHS from spending cuts: -20 Hold referendum on EU: +10 Build 100,000 homes: -13 EVEL : +17
The UKIP defectors are seen as honourable: Switched because of beliefs: 47 Switched to hang onto seat: 31
I'm surprised that the Conservatives supporters think they'll do for Reckless. Wishful thinking, perhaps? Just because they are angry with his conduct doesn't mean that the local voters think the same.
I'd say a nine point lead over the Tories after a very successful conference by the latter suggests he'll hold the seat. Unless, of course, the Blues go from strength to strength in the next few weeks and don't lose their conference bounce - both longish shots, surely?
Comments
Net "well"
Cameron: -4 (+8)
Miliband: -46 (-3)
And loads of internals showing upticks too.
On policy the 40p rate is net supported (+16), as is scrapping the HRA (+20).
On whether Conservatives in office would implement their policies - it's a mixed bag (net would):
Increase personal allowance: +19
Increase 40p threshold: +60
Protect NHS from spending cuts: -20
Hold referendum on EU: +10
Build 100,000 homes: -13
EVEL : +17
The UKIP defectors are seen as honourable:
Switched because of beliefs: 47
Switched to hang onto seat: 31
I'm surprised that the Conservatives supporters think they'll do for Reckless. Wishful thinking, perhaps? Just because they are angry with his conduct doesn't mean that the local voters think the same.
I'd say a nine point lead over the Tories after a very successful conference by the latter suggests he'll hold the seat. Unless, of course, the Blues go from strength to strength in the next few weeks and don't lose their conference bounce - both longish shots, surely?
Am I missing something?