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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cameron’s speech: the reaction

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  • Options
    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,328
    edited October 2014
    BBC 5pm also leading with Cameron - again no mention of UKIP
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,979
    kle4 said:

    In May you could go to bed with Nigel Farage and end up with Ed Miliband

    So lazy. And unoriginal.

    I thought it was very good actually.

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    JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    Neil said:

    This is the biggest disappointment I have experienced since the so-called liberalising of pub opening hours.

    Did you get a txt about this as well?

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    I'm on the verge of getting thrown out of the Odeon Manchester.

    It's all your fault UKIP
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,593
    I accept that I am probably a rarity amongst Tory supporters in that I really don't approve of tax cuts, at least whilst we are in deficit and probably even when we are not given that we are up to our eyes in debt.

    I also don't approve of tax cuts being combined with real term cuts in benefits for the least well off of our society. It strikes me as immoral.

    I of course accept that some tax cuts can be self financing in that they can encourage growth but the history of the west is littered with the deluded on both sides of the political fence who thought either tax cuts or higher spending were going to be self financing. As a general rule they are not.

    So however clever and polished the presentation was today (I haven't seen it yet) I for one do not like the underlying message. I preferred the "we are all in it together" message to the "more income makes the rich work harder and less income makes the poor work harder" message.

    It is a minority view I accept and Labour give no credible alternative. None whatsoever.
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    Oh dear! This will be Camerons fault.

    I'm sure on the last thread his Rabbit out of a hat morphed via a Giant Rabbit to a Kangaroo. Now the Kangaroo is holding court. Is this the policy post ECHR, Kangaroos?
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    I'm on the verge of getting thrown out of the Odeon Manchester.

    It's all your fault UKIP

    Hurry up and defect, TSE!

    :)
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    So a hoax or a setup? Maybe the defector got cold feet after seeing today's speech and the leadership lay into Mark Reckless.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,903
    Dan is on-message:

    Ed Miliband is toast. Only Nigel Farage can stop David Cameron now

    http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danhodges/100288415/ed-miliband-is-toast-only-nigel-farage-can-stop-david-cameron-now/
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    Nadine Dorries said yesterday that she wasn't going to be next to defect. I suppose with Mr Cash and Mr Banks having defected since, that would still be literally true.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,979
    I was hoping to see Nadine join Nigel, Douglas and Mark - Would truely have been a party of loons and fruitcakes, LOL!
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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Suzanne Evans is tweeting "Stand by your beds"

    Must be a defection
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    GIN1138 said:

    I was hoping to see Nadine join Nigel, Douglas and Mark - Would truely have been a party of loons and fruitcakes, LOL!

    It'd be like when John Redwood announced his leadership bid in 1995 surrounded by some real voter repellent MPs
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Jim Davidson ?
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,171
    Chicken, anyone?
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @isam
    Is Nigel in the bed?
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    Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,176
    GIN1138 said:

    kle4 said:

    In May you could go to bed with Nigel Farage and end up with Ed Miliband

    So lazy. And unoriginal.

    I thought it was very good actually.

    He needs to build on the soundbite and spell it out more clearly. Lots of voters are stupid. He should say "if you vote UKIP, you are helping Labour win seats off the Tories, and there is only one outcome - Ed Miliband in Number 10. If you vote UKIP, then Ed Miliband will become Prime Minister, it is as simple as that"

    The beauty of this is that it might make a few stupid Labour voters vote UKIP and help the Tories hold/gain some Tory/Labour marginals....

    Nowt doing from the Fruitcakes at Five then?
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    NeilNeil Posts: 7,983

    I'm on the verge of getting thrown out of the Odeon Manchester.

    It's all your fault UKIP

    Hurry up and defect, TSE!

    :)
    That would definitely get him kicked out of the cinema.

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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    DavidL said:

    I accept that I am probably a rarity amongst Tory supporters in that I really don't approve of tax cuts, at least whilst we are in deficit and probably even when we are not given that we are up to our eyes in debt.

    I also don't approve of tax cuts being combined with real term cuts in benefits for the least well off of our society. It strikes me as immoral.

    I of course accept that some tax cuts can be self financing in that they can encourage growth but the history of the west is littered with the deluded on both sides of the political fence who thought either tax cuts or higher spending were going to be self financing. As a general rule they are not.

    So however clever and polished the presentation was today (I haven't seen it yet) I for one do not like the underlying message. I preferred the "we are all in it together" message to the "more income makes the rich work harder and less income makes the poor work harder" message.

    It is a minority view I accept and Labour give no credible alternative. None whatsoever.

    It's bizarre that your sensible point of view is not represented at all in the mainstream political debate that has become almost entirely detached from reality.
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    isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Dan is on-message:

    Ed Miliband is toast. Only Nigel Farage can stop David Cameron now

    http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danhodges/100288415/ed-miliband-is-toast-only-nigel-farage-can-stop-david-cameron-now/

    He said UKIP were finished just before the Euros

    Con Maj nailed on!
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    hucks67hucks67 Posts: 758
    isam said:

    Suzanne Evans is tweeting "Stand by your beds"

    Must be a defection

    As in Nadines seat in Beds.
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    Janan Ganesh ‏@JananGanesh

    Kim Philby defects to Ukip.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,979
    TGOHF said:

    Jim Davidson ?

    I think he defected years ago...

    After this mornings let-down I'm just hoping it's someone I've actually heard of....
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    GIN1138 said:

    kle4 said:

    In May you could go to bed with Nigel Farage and end up with Ed Miliband

    So lazy. And unoriginal.

    I thought it was very good actually.

    He needs to build on the soundbite and spell it out more clearly. Lots of voters are stupid. He should say "if you vote UKIP, you are helping Labour win seats off the Tories, and there is only one outcome - Ed Miliband in Number 10. If you vote UKIP, then Ed Miliband will become Prime Minister, it is as simple as that"

    The beauty of this is that it might make a few stupid Labour voters vote UKIP and help the Tories hold/gain some Tory/Labour marginals....

    Nowt doing from the Fruitcakes at Five then?
    Cameron 'borrowed' a Peter Mandelson joke. As ever with Cameron he cannot hide his adoration for all things Blair.
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    GIN1138 said:

    TGOHF said:

    Jim Davidson ?

    I think he defected years ago...

    After this mornings let-down I'm just hoping it's someone I've actually heard of....
    John and Sally Bercow?
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,979
    edited October 2014

    Janan Ganesh ‏@JananGanesh

    Kim Philby defects to Ukip.

    ?

    Heads to Google

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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
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    GIN1138 said:

    Janan Ganesh ‏@JananGanesh

    Kim Philby defects to Ukip.

    Heads to Google

    Lol it's a joke, a joke I've been making on here.
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    GIN1138 said:

    Janan Ganesh ‏@JananGanesh

    Kim Philby defects to Ukip.

    ?

    Heads to Google

    lol

    a sad lol

    but still a lol
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,903
    Patrick Wintour: This Ukip defector is so late it can only be Shirley Williams.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,979

    GIN1138 said:

    Janan Ganesh ‏@JananGanesh

    Kim Philby defects to Ukip.

    Heads to Google

    Lol it's a joke, a joke I've been making on here.
    LOL!



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    It's the donor.
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Wouldn't it be funny if the Tories stitched Farage up by duping him into thinking another MP was defecting, then never turning up...
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    hucks67hucks67 Posts: 758
    UKIP conference on SKY now
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,869
    edited October 2014
    New donor? Is this it? Oh, he's giving a £1m. Ok.
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    DavidL said:

    I accept that I am probably a rarity amongst Tory supporters in that I really don't approve of tax cuts, at least whilst we are in deficit and probably even when we are not given that we are up to our eyes in debt.

    I also don't approve of tax cuts being combined with real term cuts in benefits for the least well off of our society. It strikes me as immoral.

    I of course accept that some tax cuts can be self financing in that they can encourage growth but the history of the west is littered with the deluded on both sides of the political fence who thought either tax cuts or higher spending were going to be self financing. As a general rule they are not.

    So however clever and polished the presentation was today (I haven't seen it yet) I for one do not like the underlying message. I preferred the "we are all in it together" message to the "more income makes the rich work harder and less income makes the poor work harder" message.

    It is a minority view I accept and Labour give no credible alternative. None whatsoever.

    Hear, hear. Great post. All the way down to the final line.

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    manofkent2014manofkent2014 Posts: 1,543
    edited October 2014
    F*ck you William Hague!

    £1 Million donation
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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited October 2014
    Donor is making it £1m not £100,000 blaming Hague's comments
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    You fecking tw@s UKIP, all that fecking hype for this?
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    You fecking tw@s UKIP, all that fecking hype for this?

    Dontcha just love the Twitter generation!
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    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621

    New donor? Is this it? Oh, he's giving a £1m. Ok.

    "stand by your beds?" - pfff. whatever.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,869

    It's the donor.

    Yes. Both him and Farage look like they're trying a little bit too hard to make it sound like a big deal.
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    NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    He can use the £1m to compensate pb-ers for the crushing disappointment at the lack of substance to this announcement.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    You wait yrs to make a kangeroo joke on PB - and three come along at once.

    All we need now is some Rolf Harris.
    philiph said:

    Oh dear! This will be Camerons fault.

    I'm sure on the last thread his Rabbit out of a hat morphed via a Giant Rabbit to a Kangaroo. Now the Kangaroo is holding court. Is this the policy post ECHR, Kangaroos?
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Is that it?
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    isam said:

    Donor is making it £1m not £100,000 blaming Hague's comments

    How many pints will that buy Nige?
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    Wouldn't it be funny if the Tories stitched Farage up by duping him into thinking another MP was defecting, then never turning up...

    That's almost line for line a plot from Spooks. The one with the British Way.


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    Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,176
    And breathe...

    What did Hague say then?
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,903
    I doubt the hacks dragged down to rural Gloucs will treat UKIP kindly.......
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    Here's some important news....

    UK legalises music, film and e-book back-ups

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-29448058
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    TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    City Spiv gives cash to UKIP instead of Tories. Was that it?
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,038
    Anorak said:

    New donor? Is this it? Oh, he's giving a £1m. Ok.

    "stand by your beds?" - pfff. whatever.
    Implying you'll be bored enough to fall asleep.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Neil said:

    He can use the £1m to compensate pb-ers for the crushing disappointment at the lack of substance to this announcement.

    Will pay for a lot of purple vans with loudhailers on the top.

    What a flop.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,593

    And breathe...

    What did Hague say then?

    Who cares? UKIP confirm their joke status.
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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Goodwin knew


    Matthew Goodwin @GoodwinMJ · 25m 25 minutes ago
    Thought re #Ukip event. MP would be devastating for Cons but big fish donor would be more significant for Ukip in terms of 2015 impact.

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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    DavidL said:

    I accept that I am probably a rarity amongst Tory supporters in that I really don't approve of tax cuts, at least whilst we are in deficit and probably even when we are not given that we are up to our eyes in debt.

    I also don't approve of tax cuts being combined with real term cuts in benefits for the least well off of our society. It strikes me as immoral.

    I of course accept that some tax cuts can be self financing in that they can encourage growth but the history of the west is littered with the deluded on both sides of the political fence who thought either tax cuts or higher spending were going to be self financing. As a general rule they are not.

    So however clever and polished the presentation was today (I haven't seen it yet) I for one do not like the underlying message. I preferred the "we are all in it together" message to the "more income makes the rich work harder and less income makes the poor work harder" message.

    It is a minority view I accept and Labour give no credible alternative. None whatsoever.

    We could always *stop wasting money on stuff* as an alternative to more debt and more borrowing.

    Balance the books by cutting back a bit on areas that government has no need to be involved in. And real cuts, not the pretendy fancy balance sheet nonsense of the past few years.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    philiph said:

    GIN1138 said:

    TGOHF said:

    Jim Davidson ?

    I think he defected years ago...

    After this mornings let-down I'm just hoping it's someone I've actually heard of....
    John and Sally Bercow?
    Ye Gods - surely even Farage would draw the line at that pair?
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    TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    philiph said:

    isam said:

    Donor is making it £1m not £100,000 blaming Hague's comments

    How many pints will that buy Nige?
    That's another bank of computers for his shed/office.

    Perhaps UKIP could stop taking the EU allowance money now?
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,903
    Paul Waugh: UKip need to go back and study expectations management 101. Lotta pissed off hacks oft this is it.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JananGanesh: I once had to read a technical document explaining the terms of my Pearson pension. That was more interesting than this Ukip announcement.
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    Its not the first time the MSM has got excited by a £1 Million donation:

    Harry Potter author JK Rowling gives £1 million to Labour

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/3021309/Harry-Potter-author-JK-Rowling-gives-1-million-to-Labour.html
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited October 2014
    I don't want to poop the party even more than they've pooped it themselves, but surely holding a big press conference about a large donation, from a chap like this, is a bit counter-productive, isn't it? Especially if you're trying to present yourselves as the anti-establishment, WWC-friendly, party-of-the-little-guy.

    Wouldn't it have made more sense to bank the cheque quietly?
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Paul Waugh: UKip need to go back and study expectations management 101. Lotta pissed off hacks oft this is it.

    Did someone get cold feet?
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @peterdominiczak: So William Hague managed to make someone blow £900,000 by saying he didn't know who they were. Hague victory.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,593

    DavidL said:

    I accept that I am probably a rarity amongst Tory supporters in that I really don't approve of tax cuts, at least whilst we are in deficit and probably even when we are not given that we are up to our eyes in debt.

    I also don't approve of tax cuts being combined with real term cuts in benefits for the least well off of our society. It strikes me as immoral.

    I of course accept that some tax cuts can be self financing in that they can encourage growth but the history of the west is littered with the deluded on both sides of the political fence who thought either tax cuts or higher spending were going to be self financing. As a general rule they are not.

    So however clever and polished the presentation was today (I haven't seen it yet) I for one do not like the underlying message. I preferred the "we are all in it together" message to the "more income makes the rich work harder and less income makes the poor work harder" message.

    It is a minority view I accept and Labour give no credible alternative. None whatsoever.

    Hear, hear. Great post. All the way down to the final line.

    Thanks SO. I begin to understand the dilemma that you faced at the last election. When will any of our politicians take our problems seriously (and will we vote for them if they do)?
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    saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    Hmmmm, is it wise to piss off the press pack with trivia like this?
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    Antifrank

    Yes, calling me blind repeatedly will win you an argument you have long since lost.

    You might want to read DavidL's post below.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,979
    Let Down. Let Down. Let Down.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    edited October 2014
    From Dan's article - I was really surprised that Mr Cameron went so personal - normally he just ignores Labour. I'm very pleased that he's dealt with them head on for a change. Gloves off time.
    Labour’s strategy had been to try to bridge the chasm between the two parties on economic credibility by arguing that the macroeconomy could not be divorced from the day-to-day costs being born by ordinary families. Cameron turned that strategy on its head. You can only deliver for ordinary people, he said, if you get the management of the macroeconomy right.

    He then proceeded to drive a coach and horses through Labour’s cost of living narrative, by unveiling not one but two dramatic tax cuts. The bottom rate income tax threshold would be raised to £12,500, he announced, while the threshold on the 40p rate would be raised to £50,000.
    This is a bribe - but well, it's 7 months before a GE, and they always get handed out. We can tut-tut about them - but they work. A vote is usually a perfectly rational self-interested one.

    EDIT to add this was my favourite bit of all. Pragmatic stuff.
    With every fresh passage he pumped another bullet into the warm corpse of Ed Miliband’s New Politics. “Other parties preach to you about a Brave New World. We understand you have to start with the real world and make it better."
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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited October 2014
    Are Labour an absolute non runner in Rochester?

    If you think that, you can back UKIP+ Conservatives at 1/9 on Betfair
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    Scott_P said:

    @JananGanesh: I once had to read a technical document explaining the terms of my Pearson pension. That was more interesting than this Ukip announcement.

    And once I had to watch paint dry and that was more interesting than Janan Ganesh. Twitter really is catnip for narcissists
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,903
    I hope Nige has got the cheque:

    Tories deny latest Ukip defector Arron Banks once donated £250,000
    Conservatives say true figure given by businessman who has now joined Ukip is closer to £25,000


    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/01/tories-ukip-defector-arron-banks-donation
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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    It's all over for UKIP

    AGAIN!!!!
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    StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    isam said:

    Dan is on-message:

    Ed Miliband is toast. Only Nigel Farage can stop David Cameron now

    http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danhodges/100288415/ed-miliband-is-toast-only-nigel-farage-can-stop-david-cameron-now/

    He said UKIP were finished just before the Euros

    Con Maj nailed on!
    Has he rowed back from his 6% bet yet?
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    New Thread
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    Antifrank

    Yes, calling me blind repeatedly will win you an argument you have long since lost.

    You might want to read DavidL's post below.

    You might want to read David Cameron's speech. Try not to skip over the bits - the lengthy bits - that talk about the critical importance of the deficit and Labour's failures there.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @wallaceme: Re those previous RTs - as Gordon Brown found out from the election that never was, wasting the lobby's time/good will is unwise. #UKIP
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    I hope Nige has got the cheque:

    Tories deny latest Ukip defector Arron Banks once donated £250,000
    Conservatives say true figure given by businessman who has now joined Ukip is closer to £25,000


    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/oct/01/tories-ukip-defector-arron-banks-donation

    The Tories said that about Paul Sykes as well. He came through.....
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,291
    Daniel Bond ‏@DanBond1 4m4 minutes ago
    @paulwaugh Farage said the money would help with 'four' upcoming by-elections. There are only 3 so far. Must know something we don't
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    anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    edited October 2014
    isam said:

    Goodwin knew


    Matthew Goodwin @GoodwinMJ · 25m 25 minutes ago
    Thought re #Ukip event. MP would be devastating for Cons but big fish donor would be more significant for Ukip in terms of 2015 impact.

    UKIP's income in 2010 was £1.3 million.

    http://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/find-information-by-subject/political-parties-campaigning-and-donations/political-parties-annual-accounts/details-of-accounts
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,197
    Mark Reckless will want first dibs on that million to try and save his seat....
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    TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262

    I don't want to poop the party even more than they've pooped it themselves, but surely holding a big press conference about a large donation, from a chap like this, is a bit counter-productive, isn't it? Especially if you're trying to present yourselves as the anti-establishment, WWC-friendly, party-of-the-little-guy.

    Wouldn't it have made more sense to bank the cheque quietly?

    The people's party does appear to be largely bankrolled by a small coterie of filthy rich City and establishment figures with flash houses.
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    dr_spyn said:

    Daniel Bond ‏@DanBond1 4m4 minutes ago
    @paulwaugh Farage said the money would help with 'four' upcoming by-elections. There are only 3 so far. Must know something we don't

    Stuart Wheeler claims there are two more MPs ready to defect by Christmas
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    MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    I accept that I am probably a rarity amongst Tory supporters in that I really don't approve of tax cuts, at least whilst we are in deficit and probably even when we are not given that we are up to our eyes in debt.

    I also don't approve of tax cuts being combined with real term cuts in benefits for the least well off of our society. It strikes me as immoral.

    I of course accept that some tax cuts can be self financing in that they can encourage growth but the history of the west is littered with the deluded on both sides of the political fence who thought either tax cuts or higher spending were going to be self financing. As a general rule they are not.

    So however clever and polished the presentation was today (I haven't seen it yet) I for one do not like the underlying message. I preferred the "we are all in it together" message to the "more income makes the rich work harder and less income makes the poor work harder" message.

    It is a minority view I accept and Labour give no credible alternative. None whatsoever.

    Hear, hear. Great post. All the way down to the final line.

    Thanks SO. I begin to understand the dilemma that you faced at the last election. When will any of our politicians take our problems seriously (and will we vote for them if they do)?
    Osborne on Monday said priotity is getting the deficit down . Cameron today was Spend Spend Spend . Deficit ? What deficit ?
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,593
    GeoffM said:

    DavidL said:

    I accept that I am probably a rarity amongst Tory supporters in that I really don't approve of tax cuts, at least whilst we are in deficit and probably even when we are not given that we are up to our eyes in debt.

    I also don't approve of tax cuts being combined with real term cuts in benefits for the least well off of our society. It strikes me as immoral.

    I of course accept that some tax cuts can be self financing in that they can encourage growth but the history of the west is littered with the deluded on both sides of the political fence who thought either tax cuts or higher spending were going to be self financing. As a general rule they are not.

    So however clever and polished the presentation was today (I haven't seen it yet) I for one do not like the underlying message. I preferred the "we are all in it together" message to the "more income makes the rich work harder and less income makes the poor work harder" message.

    It is a minority view I accept and Labour give no credible alternative. None whatsoever.

    We could always *stop wasting money on stuff* as an alternative to more debt and more borrowing.

    Balance the books by cutting back a bit on areas that government has no need to be involved in. And real cuts, not the pretendy fancy balance sheet nonsense of the past few years.
    I think this government has done well in terms of cutting waste. The fact that there was so much to cut is a terrible indictment of the last government. By the election there will be approximately 1,000,000 fewer people working for the public sector. The effect on services appears to have been pretty marginal at worst. Truly shocking. And unforgiveable. We all worked for the money that paid those salaries.

    But if we cut waste by another £20bn (highly optimistic) we still have an £80bn deficit. This can only be cut by hurting the poor or taxing the rich. I think we need to do both but a lot more of the latter than the former.
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341


    Stuart Wheeler claims there are two more MPs ready to defect by Christmas

    Waiting to see how it goes, eh?

    Looks a bit cowardly.

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    Scott_P said:

    @wallaceme: Re those previous RTs - as Gordon Brown found out from the election that never was, wasting the lobby's time/good will is unwise. #UKIP

    Gordon Brown kept the lobby dancing around like fools for weeks and then bottled it. Farage had a big announcement (in UKIP's terms it is). Media hysteria is hardly his fault. If you read the Guardian piece linked below and the Bryant tweet it alludes to it being a larger donation. Nothing else.

    Sometimes the media need to get a grip. They've let their imagination run away with them
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    anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    dr_spyn said:

    Daniel Bond ‏@DanBond1 4m4 minutes ago
    @paulwaugh Farage said the money would help with 'four' upcoming by-elections. There are only 3 so far. Must know something we don't

    4 might be the PCC election in Rotherham/Yorkshire.
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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,976
    Soup kitchens have never been so active so our PM offers tax cuts for those earning over £41,750 a year. If I hadn't just finished lunch in a restaurant in Cap Ferrat sitting next to a poodle I'd think Tory England was just a bad dream.

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    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited October 2014

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    I accept that I am probably a rarity amongst Tory supporters in that I really don't approve of tax cuts, at least whilst we are in deficit and probably even when we are not given that we are up to our eyes in debt.

    I also don't approve of tax cuts being combined with real term cuts in benefits for the least well off of our society. It strikes me as immoral.

    I of course accept that some tax cuts can be self financing in that they can encourage growth but the history of the west is littered with the deluded on both sides of the political fence who thought either tax cuts or higher spending were going to be self financing. As a general rule they are not.

    So however clever and polished the presentation was today (I haven't seen it yet) I for one do not like the underlying message. I preferred the "we are all in it together" message to the "more income makes the rich work harder and less income makes the poor work harder" message.

    It is a minority view I accept and Labour give no credible alternative. None whatsoever.

    Hear, hear. Great post. All the way down to the final line.

    Thanks SO. I begin to understand the dilemma that you faced at the last election. When will any of our politicians take our problems seriously (and will we vote for them if they do)?
    Osborne on Monday said priotity is getting the deficit down . Cameron today was Spend Spend Spend . Deficit ? What deficit ?
    I'm not sure how a tax cut at rates barely above inflation is a promise of increased spending? It might be fall in revenue, but not increased spending. Why don't you read some of this:

    http://www.investopedia.com/dictionary
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    manofkent2014manofkent2014 Posts: 1,543
    edited October 2014
    chestnut said:


    Stuart Wheeler claims there are two more MPs ready to defect by Christmas

    Waiting to see how it goes, eh?

    Looks a bit cowardly.

    On the contrary. How do you ensure you keep a smaller party in the news in the run up to an election that will be dominated by coverage of the establishment parties in an ideal world. By periodically having defections and then by elections. UKIP are ensuring UKIP stay in the news and that is very smart politics from their perspective. If they pull it off it will be an astounding feat. Not only that its draining resources from the other party's war chests and it might well provide UKIP's first elected representative.
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    If inflation stays low and maybe goes negative, Conservative pledges to increase basic rate and higher rate tax allowances will have to be dropped if the deficit is not to increase back beyond £100bn again.
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    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    TGOHF said:

    Neil said:

    He can use the £1m to compensate pb-ers for the crushing disappointment at the lack of substance to this announcement.

    Will pay for a lot of purple vans with loudhailers on the top.

    What a flop.
    Planes trailing banners.
    ''Mr Banks is married to Ekaterina Paderina, a Russian national whose name was linked to the disgraced MP Mike Hancock, who resigned the Lib Dem whip last year. ''
    '(The Times)
    Its good of UKIP to welcome donations from the husband of someone who came to the UK on a student visa in 1998 - and stayed, thanks to a first marriage that lasted 3 months. We should be pleased that the tories cut the bogus students scam.
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    Good stuff from Call Me Dave. Pity it was spoilt by May's astonishing and insupportable authoritarian power grab yesterday. Can't vote for that.
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    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    DavidL said:

    GeoffM said:

    DavidL said:

    I accept that I am probably a rarity amongst Tory supporters in that I really don't approve of tax cuts, at least whilst we are in deficit and probably even when we are not given that we are up to our eyes in debt.

    ...

    I of course accept that some tax cuts can be self financing in that they can encourage growth but the history of the west is littered with the deluded on both sides of the political fence who thought either tax cuts or higher spending were going to be self financing. As a general rule they are not.

    So however clever and polished the presentation was today (I haven't seen it yet) I for one do not like the underlying message. I preferred the "we are all in it together" message to the "more income makes the rich work harder and less income makes the poor work harder" message.

    It is a minority view I accept and Labour give no credible alternative. None whatsoever.

    We could always *stop wasting money on stuff* as an alternative to more debt and more borrowing.

    Balance the books by cutting back a bit on areas that government has no need to be involved in. And real cuts, not the pretendy fancy balance sheet nonsense of the past few years.
    I think this government has done well in terms of cutting waste. The fact that there was so much to cut is a terrible indictment of the last government. By the election there will be approximately 1,000,000 fewer people working for the public sector. The effect on services appears to have been pretty marginal at worst. Truly shocking. And unforgiveable. We all worked for the money that paid those salaries.

    But if we cut waste by another £20bn (highly optimistic) we still have an £80bn deficit. This can only be cut by hurting the poor or taxing the rich. I think we need to do both but a lot more of the latter than the former.
    The deficit has two components.
    Structural and cyclical.
    Structural is spending we cannot expect ever to recover through revenue. Cyclical is that covered by the economic cycle and can be expected to recover.
    The govt is actually 10 billion ahead of its 2010 target for its spending plans. SO the 80 billion is not all to be met from cuts.
    ''In fact, public spending is coming in around £10bn a year lower than the chancellor intended in his June 2010 emergency budget, partly as a result of additional measures to cut spending and partly because departments have underspent. Spending is down in real terms, and some departments and much of local government have faced very big cuts. Public sector employment has fallen by more than 7%, excluding classification changes.''
    http://www.economicsuk.com/blog/002049.html#more

    The last sentence is banished from the UKIP mantra.
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