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  • AllyMAllyM Posts: 260
    I like the constant reporting of 52.6 and 47.4

    Rounding the usual way (making it 53 and 47) would be much more boring than the current 'all the same headline'.
  • Cupcakes showing Yes, No and Undecided were sold at Cuckoo's Bakery, Dundas Street, Edinburgh. In the informal poll 47.7% bought No cupcakes, 43.5% bought Yes and a further 8.8% bought undecided decorated cakes.

    If it is that close in the New Town of Edinburgh then Bitter Together are about to get a right royal shafting.
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    edited September 2014
    jayfdee said:

    Ah,Dundee. I was there last year and popped into Weatherspoons one lunch time. It was a truly depressing experience,filled with middle aged men drinking copious pints of beer,they had them lined up on the table in front of them,and were drinking at a rate of 1 every 10 minutes or so.

    At last, a poster who's met malcolmg.

  • Barnesian said:

    AndyJS said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BethRigby: Paddy Power says 3 out of 4 cities look set to vote No.
    Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen odds moving to No. Dundee likely to go Yes
    #scotref

    How the F do they know about regional changes?

    I'd like to believe it's true as if Glasgae, Edinboro and Aberdeen all go NO then NO must very likely win.

    But I am deeply suspicious of their info. Who or what is their source?
    My take is Yes can't win unless Glasgow goes Yes. If Glasgow is 50/50 No wins by 2 to 5 points.
    Andy - My take based, on your spreadsheet, is that we'll know by 2.30am when the results are in for Inverclyde. Whichever way Inverclyde votes, that's the way the total vote will go. And that result will be long before neighbouring Glasgow.
    Note sure you can take Inverclyde as representative of Glasgow. Inverclyde is truly depressing place, no students and no middle class. The only similarity is that both vote Labour.

  • http://www.thedailymash.co.uk/news/international/scotland-goes-full-scottish-2014091790696

    Daily Mash obviously been reading Malcolm G's posts -apologies if posted already.
  • Barnesian said:

    AndyJS said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BethRigby: Paddy Power says 3 out of 4 cities look set to vote No.
    Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen odds moving to No. Dundee likely to go Yes
    #scotref

    How the F do they know about regional changes?

    I'd like to believe it's true as if Glasgae, Edinboro and Aberdeen all go NO then NO must very likely win.

    But I am deeply suspicious of their info. Who or what is their source?
    My take is Yes can't win unless Glasgow goes Yes. If Glasgow is 50/50 No wins by 2 to 5 points.
    Andy - My take based, on your spreadsheet, is that we'll know by 2.30am when the results are in for Inverclyde. Whichever way Inverclyde votes, that's the way the total vote will go. And that result will be long before neighbouring Glasgow.
    Note sure you can take Inverclyde as representative of Glasgow. Inverclyde is truly depressing place, no students and no middle class. The only similarity is that both vote Labour.

    No middle class in Inverclyde??? What on earth are you talking about? There are several very well-to-do patches in Inverclyde. In fact, it used to be something of a Scottish Liberal Democrat stronghold, which is always an indicator of significant middle class demographics.
  • Nice weather today but tomorrow only average. This may impact turnout.
  • New Thread
  • AllyMAllyM Posts: 260

    Afternoon all and I don't know about the rest of you (other than English PBers who want rid of Scotland) but I am very anxious about tomorrow's result. The feeling is that some in the NO camp, both media chatterati and politicians are becoming complacent that Don't Knows mean NO. The more I am hearing, the more I am leaning to thinking they are all in for a horrible surprise. The concerted effort by the Establishment to brow beat the Scots into voting NO smacks of desperation and what they forget is that with so many of the 1st time registered voters and previous non-voters being C2DE folks, they don't read London newspapers or watch TV news programmes and they certainly don't give a flying fart what some general in London says!!

    Looking at the expected declaration times, we might get an indication fairly early on. North Lanarkshire is listed as the 2nd earliest expected declaration at around 2am. If it is any closer than 60 NO 40 YES then I suspect it is going to be a bad night for NO.

    North Lanarkshire is pretty much the most rotten of all Scottish Labour's rotten burghs. It was along with Glasgow the safest Labour council in 2012 with 41 seats of out 70 returning Labour councillors. This is Dr John Reid territory. So if it votes anything like YES, it would be as important as Tower Hamlets in London electing a Tory council.

    If anyone is truly complacent (I think there is nothing on earth unless they are truly deluded that would make a No complacent) then Gordon and his cracking speech has hopefully lit the fire under more backsides.

    Sense I got at work from open No's is that they are concerned and making sure they absolutely vote.
  • FF42FF42 Posts: 114

    Cupcakes showing Yes, No and Undecided were sold at Cuckoo's Bakery, Dundas Street, Edinburgh. In the informal poll 47.7% bought No cupcakes, 43.5% bought Yes and a further 8.8% bought undecided decorated cakes.

    If it is that close in the New Town of Edinburgh then Bitter Together are about to get a right royal shafting.

    That would be a nice way to vote: cupcakes instead crosses on a ballot
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    SeanT said:

    Cupcakes showing Yes, No and Undecided were sold at Cuckoo's Bakery, Dundas Street, Edinburgh. In the informal poll 47.7% bought No cupcakes, 43.5% bought Yes and a further 8.8% bought undecided decorated cakes.

    If it is that close in the New Town of Edinburgh then Bitter Together are about to get a right royal shafting.

    If Nats are willing to be thrown out of the EU, see their banks fly south, watch over an economy turned to dust, and suffer plague to stalk the land, just so they can get some spurious independence, then I imagine a few of them might be motivated to go eat some cupcakes, to keep their spirits up.
    It's a Daily Mash story, made real.

    'Man in Sweden calls it for Yes on the basis of Scottish cake sales'
  • FF42FF42 Posts: 114
    SeanT said:

    Cupcakes showing Yes, No and Undecided were sold at Cuckoo's Bakery, Dundas Street, Edinburgh. In the informal poll 47.7% bought No cupcakes, 43.5% bought Yes and a further 8.8% bought undecided decorated cakes.

    If it is that close in the New Town of Edinburgh then Bitter Together are about to get a right royal shafting.

    If Nats are willing to be thrown out of the EU, see their banks fly south, watch over an economy turned to dust, and suffer plague to stalk the land, just so they can get some spurious independence, then I imagine a few of them might be motivated to go eat some cupcakes, to keep their spirits up.
    NO cakes are ahead, but as Stuart Points out, Dundas Street in Edinburgh is hardly middle Scotlland. These are the cakes:

    https://www.facebook.com/cuckoosbakery?ref=stream&fref=nf

    Agree with the rest of your comment
  • EasterrossEasterross Posts: 1,915

    Barnesian said:

    AndyJS said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BethRigby: Paddy Power says 3 out of 4 cities look set to vote No.
    Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen odds moving to No. Dundee likely to go Yes
    #scotref

    How the F do they know about regional changes?

    I'd like to believe it's true as if Glasgae, Edinboro and Aberdeen all go NO then NO must very likely win.

    But I am deeply suspicious of their info. Who or what is their source?
    My take is Yes can't win unless Glasgow goes Yes. If Glasgow is 50/50 No wins by 2 to 5 points.
    Andy - My take based, on your spreadsheet, is that we'll know by 2.30am when the results are in for Inverclyde. Whichever way Inverclyde votes, that's the way the total vote will go. And that result will be long before neighbouring Glasgow.
    Note sure you can take Inverclyde as representative of Glasgow. Inverclyde is truly depressing place, no students and no middle class. The only similarity is that both vote Labour.

    Have to disagree. There are 3 adjacent towns. Port Glasgow was the most industrial as its name suggests. Greenock is the mixed one, mainly working class. Gourock on the other hand is mostly middle class, private housing and much smaller than Greenock. You also have the Tory hinterland like Kilmacolm which is a small but very affluent village.
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    FF42 said:

    SeanT said:

    Cupcakes showing Yes, No and Undecided were sold at Cuckoo's Bakery, Dundas Street, Edinburgh. In the informal poll 47.7% bought No cupcakes, 43.5% bought Yes and a further 8.8% bought undecided decorated cakes.

    If it is that close in the New Town of Edinburgh then Bitter Together are about to get a right royal shafting.

    If Nats are willing to be thrown out of the EU, see their banks fly south, watch over an economy turned to dust, and suffer plague to stalk the land, just so they can get some spurious independence, then I imagine a few of them might be motivated to go eat some cupcakes, to keep their spirits up.
    NO cakes are ahead, but as Stuart Points out, Dundas Street in Edinburgh is hardly middle Scotlland. These are the cakes:

    https://www.facebook.com/cuckoosbakery?ref=stream&fref=nf

    Agree with the rest of your comment
    If that was my shop, I'd be bricking myself about the future. All those well paid customers in banking and finance fleeing south, in the event of a 'Yes'.
  • ItajaiItajai Posts: 721
    Chris_A said:

    Lennon said:

    AndyJS said:

    Who would pay the astronomical cost of a manned border at Berwick?

    Isn't Eire in Schengen? Are there manned Borders betweeen Derry and Donegal?
    No, they're outside. But they're only outside because the UK is. So if Scotland had to go in, you could imagine they'd be the next domino to fall, which puts more pressure on rUK to go in as well.
    Ireland not in Schengen. Also not Bulgaria, Romania, Croatia and Cyprus but they're all obliged to join as a result of their accession treaties. Some non EU states like Norway and Iceland also in Schengen.
    Iceland and Norway are in Schengen as a result of the Nordic Passport Union which far predates Schengen. Once Denmark, Sweden and Finland joined Schengen Iceland and Norway joined as part of the NPU. They rather do this than implement passport controls with Denmark, Sweden and Finland. Much as if the UK had joined and then propelled Ireland to follow suit to maintain passport free travel to the UK.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    Carnyx said:

    AndyJS said:

    Who would pay the astronomical cost of a manned border at Berwick?

    EWNI. It's their guards and their frontier.

    It could be self-funding via a visa charge. Lots of mid east countries fund their immigration controls this way.

    There's a quip in there about the middle east, Scotland, and backward semi-feudal oil-dependent sectarian kleptocracies, but it's not quite coming together.
    Bit like you then
  • ItajaiItajai Posts: 721

    Barnesian said:

    AndyJS said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BethRigby: Paddy Power says 3 out of 4 cities look set to vote No.
    Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen odds moving to No. Dundee likely to go Yes
    #scotref

    How the F do they know about regional changes?

    I'd like to believe it's true as if Glasgae, Edinboro and Aberdeen all go NO then NO must very likely win.

    But I am deeply suspicious of their info. Who or what is their source?
    My take is Yes can't win unless Glasgow goes Yes. If Glasgow is 50/50 No wins by 2 to 5 points.
    Andy - My take based, on your spreadsheet, is that we'll know by 2.30am when the results are in for Inverclyde. Whichever way Inverclyde votes, that's the way the total vote will go. And that result will be long before neighbouring Glasgow.
    Note sure you can take Inverclyde as representative of Glasgow. Inverclyde is truly depressing place, no students and no middle class. The only similarity is that both vote Labour.

    Wasn't Inverclyde once upon a time an area of LD strength?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498


    If Scotland votes Yes and joins the EU.

    Then Scotland's money will have to be spent on providing free University tuition to English students.

    I wonder if those voting Yes realise that "freedom" means spending their own money on the English?

    bollocks , we will do same as Germany does , you will pay up regardless
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    Barnesian said:

    AndyJS said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BethRigby: Paddy Power says 3 out of 4 cities look set to vote No.
    Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen odds moving to No. Dundee likely to go Yes
    #scotref

    How the F do they know about regional changes?

    I'd like to believe it's true as if Glasgae, Edinboro and Aberdeen all go NO then NO must very likely win.

    But I am deeply suspicious of their info. Who or what is their source?
    My take is Yes can't win unless Glasgow goes Yes. If Glasgow is 50/50 No wins by 2 to 5 points.
    Andy - My take based, on your spreadsheet, is that we'll know by 2.30am when the results are in for Inverclyde. Whichever way Inverclyde votes, that's the way the total vote will go. And that result will be long before neighbouring Glasgow.
    Note sure you can take Inverclyde as representative of Glasgow. Inverclyde is truly depressing place, no students and no middle class. The only similarity is that both vote Labour.

    No middle class in Inverclyde??? What on earth are you talking about? There are several very well-to-do patches in Inverclyde. In fact, it used to be something of a Scottish Liberal Democrat stronghold, which is always an indicator of significant middle class demographics.
    He must be a fake , never been to Gourock and supposed to live overlooking the Clyde where he counts the few thousand workers going in and gets to 8000, whilst running his successful business in Lanarkshire.
  • No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 4,592
    edited September 2014

    Barnesian said:

    AndyJS said:

    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    @BethRigby: Paddy Power says 3 out of 4 cities look set to vote No.
    Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen odds moving to No. Dundee likely to go Yes
    #scotref

    How the F do they know about regional changes?

    I'd like to believe it's true as if Glasgae, Edinboro and Aberdeen all go NO then NO must very likely win.

    But I am deeply suspicious of their info. Who or what is their source?
    My take is Yes can't win unless Glasgow goes Yes. If Glasgow is 50/50 No wins by 2 to 5 points.
    Andy - My take based, on your spreadsheet, is that we'll know by 2.30am when the results are in for Inverclyde. Whichever way Inverclyde votes, that's the way the total vote will go. And that result will be long before neighbouring Glasgow.
    Note sure you can take Inverclyde as representative of Glasgow. Inverclyde is truly depressing place, no students and no middle class. The only similarity is that both vote Labour.

    No middle class? The good people of Gourock, the West End of Greenock, Inverkip, Wemyss Bay and Kilmacolm will be surprised to hear that.
    James Watt College has no students? I must have missed that.

    You are a phoney.
This discussion has been closed.