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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Two weeks to go in Scotland and NO edges up on the exchange
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Two weeks to go in Scotland and NO edges up on the exchanges to a 77% chance
The widely reported news at the start of the week of the dramatic polling changes from YouGov in Scotland led inevitably to the money on the £3m Betfair markets to edge more towards YES. At one stage YES touched being a 26.5% chance but that has now started to recede with NO moving back upwards.
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Eastleigh UKIP are due to select their candidate later today. I don't know if Diane James is on the shortlist.
You may think this is very bad, but I just don't care.
Daily Records circulation is down something like 70% from peak
FPT
No question on the Elgin Marbles
The British Museum bought them from the Earl of Elgin: they are owned by the trust behind the museum.
And the Earl was given them by the Imperial Sultan...
I am going to hear Ruth Davidson in Perth today at a Forces rally. This is another segment which will be strongly no and who will feel rather less shy about being proud of their country than Labour politicians are willing to admit to being when it has a Tory government.
The bicentenial of Greek independence is near, It would be a great anniversary gift.
It belongs to the UK, so does the UK get to keep 92% of it?
There is some disparity in the fall-off in circulation figures since 2010, the election year.
The Star -37.25%
Guardian -31.20%
Daily Record -29.70%
The Sun -26.37%
Daily Express -25.82%
The Times -24.39%
Daily Telegraph -21.20%
Daily Mirror -18.56%
Daily Mail -16.02%
Obviously other factors will be at play, such as online readership, but in essence it would seem that sales, and therefore readership identifiability is down by some 25% .
http://reports.weforum.org/global-competitiveness-report-2014-2015/economies/#economy=GBR
A quick look at the UK's spider chart tells us we'd be pretty much the world's most competitive economy but for our sorry public finances - thanks Gordon.
The marbles should be seen in context, and a new museum to show them would be a great boost to Greek morale.
However there are other arguments for keeping the Marbles here in the UK. We saved them: if they had been left in place, it is unlikely that many would still be there. In the century before Elgin purchased them, many had been removed and burnt to make lime. Worse, the remaining slabs were left in place until the 1990s, exposing them to the weather, acid rain, accidental damage and vandalism.
Removing the marbles actually made Greece understand what they had; they darned well did not care for it before.
More importantly, although the Greeks have made a museum to house the marbles, and care for the Parthenon and Acropolis site, they are not exactly doing a good job of preserving the rest of their ancient history. In particular, the need to prevent the uncontrolled destruction and looting of sites.
The Greeks need to show they care for their rich archaeological heritage besides the tourist-attracting moneypots.
It’s a serious problem though, for the papers though; how to generate an income from us.
Thanks to those who posted (somewhat unexpectedly) on the longevity of states on the previous thread. I had to disappear shortly after my last post, hence the lack of replies there.
twitter.com/JamesMcLeary/status/507378637092315136/photo/1
I would like to see the marbles returned, they were saved when at risk under the Ottomans, but that would be different now. Greeks are very proud of their history and I would suggest that part of the gift was an agreement that the money raised by the new museum would go to restoring other architectural sites .
The 200th anniversary of a decisive British led bail out of the Greeks is coming up:
http://militaryhistory.about.com/od/navalbattles1800s/p/narvarino.htm
A good time to help our Greek friends and allies again with a magnanimous gesture!
http://www.cityam.com/1409746217/scottish-independence-fresh-data-could-give-boost-salmonds-plans-keep-pound
Jim murphy calls on BBC to call off sinister audience booing his answers
As for the lack of polls, probably has much to do with the fact the vast majority of people in England at best have a slight knowledge that something is happening in Scotland this month and at worst simply couldn't care less. Therefore there is no incentive for the English press to fund expensive polls which wont really interest their readers. Money would be better spent on polling on whether people think Judy Murray will win Strictly!
On the Sky paper review Daisy McAndrew and Stig Abell[sp] reckoned a Yes meant both a certain Cameron resignation *and* a delay to the 2015 election. Must say I disagree with both (the latter's possible but not certain).
http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2012/may/09/athens-2004-olympics-athletes-home
In F1 news, I see Renault are calling for the engine freeze to be lifted. Given that Renault-powered cars have won three races this year, they should be told to go away and procreate elsewhere.
We're not exactly so poor in our own history that we need to keep someone else's - yes, I know the argument that we hold them kind of legally but the reality is perfectly plain: we're sitting on someone else's relics. If we are genuinely worried about the preservation of the Marbles, we can set conditions on their protection and I dare say UNESCO would shell out a bit to help.
I look forward for you calling on all British museums to be emptied as items are returned to their origin countries - after all, every piece of art produced abroad is someone else's relic.
We are most certainly not talking about war loot here.
I am not worried about the preservation of the marbles. I'm worried about the rest of Greek archaeology (and don't get me started on the state of Turkish archaeology).
STV denies it 'ran away' from Cameron. Invite to take part in programme meeting undecided voters still stands, the broadcaster says
I'm sure Dave will first apologise for any misunderstanding, and then clear a space in his diary.
In London they are cared for and accessible to everyone
But I cannot recall applauding any caricatures!
My mental image of yourself is a cartoon though:
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groundskeeper_Willie
(FWIW, I don't. Too many Muslims believe that they can only practise their religion in a country Muslims have conquered, which rather stretches our "Western" belief in religious tolerance to the limit, if not beyond.)
No of course..
http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2014/09/how-long-can-state-survive.html
The marbles should be returned as a gift to celebrate the Greek bicentennial, with some proper funding to display them well.
Mr. Jessop, aye, Ferrari and Renault both agreed to the restrictions. It's pathetic bleating.
How long would that last? After all, the Greeks would have us over a barrel: continue paying for the marbles or they'll go into dusty boxes in a basement somewhere.
Utter madness.
Also realise what this would mean for other legally-collected items in our collections.
http://www.spectator.co.uk/features/9304752/revolt-on-the-right/
Peter Oborne has interesting piece in Telegraph about Cameron's options with UKIP. Once again though a commentator fails to understand that many UKIPers see Tory and Labour as all as bad each other. This is anti-politics, not anti-Cameron.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/david-cameron/11072727/David-Cameron-can-chart-a-course-past-Nigel-Farage-the-revolutionary.html
"Certainly, Cameron’s management of his party’s internal coalition has been appalling. Even before the Carswell defection, one Tory MP had nicknamed him Sir David Peel, a nod to the last leader to split the Tories. One long-serving Tory MP complains that what makes Cameron’s handling of the party so galling is ‘that we can see how he turns on the charm with the Libs, but he just won’t bother with us’. Even one Cameron loyalist bemoans how the Prime Minister has put himself at risk of ‘suffering death from a thousand slights’.
The Cameron leadership failed to grasp that the era of command and control politics was coming to an end. As one more reflective cabinet minister remarks, ‘Cameron became leader in the age of Blair and the pager. But he’s ended up as Prime Minister in the age of Twitter, when everyone is on broadcast — not receive — mode.’
In office, Cameron hasn’t changed. He stands accused of being an incompetent Namierite — an insider who doesn’t know the inside track. For instance, no one in No. 10 fully realised the damage that sacking Owen Paterson — the reforming, right-wing and well respected Environment Secretary — would inflict on Cameron’s relations with various parts of the Conservative family. All of this explains why so many on the right struggle to feel sympathy for Cameron now. A strikingly large number of backbenchers talk with glee about the leadership contest that so many of them expect next summer."
http://www.spectator.co.uk/features/9304712/divide-and-dont-rule/
I got told a funny story, though, about a visit she made to the British Museum. She threw herelf on the floor in front of a wonderful collection of marbles, expostulating about how it rended her very soul to see them imprisoned in London rather than in Athens.
The Director let her carry on for five of six minutes before gently pointing out that they were Assyrian and the Elgin marbles were in the next room...
"The No Campaign summed up in 1 picture......"
and here's the the YES campaign in one picture.....
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-FD3Rj1yAXK8/UPIS6PCiHYI/AAAAAAAAC6w/Vb7QY30Sk-A/s1600/braveheartrev032.jpg
Compare his comment yesturday to those he made in May 2012 about abuse in Rochdale:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5dfPgnjD7s
They key part is between 26:00 and 26:30.
It would be interesting to know what Cameron and his newly appointed Communities Minister Sayeeda Warsi felt would be the priorities for her department.
Methinks an experiment is in order. I'll have to buy a variety of doughnuts in Cambridge and roll them down Castle Hill, then categorise everything they've gathered. Although the experiment might be hindered by some of the doughnuts disappearing en route.
I'll get my coat.
Where did I say I despise anyone perchance. I feel sorry for lots of people who are needy and have to have others make decisions for them but you lying and making up things is beyond the pale but not unexpected.
No 48.7, Yes 51.3
Scotland is an independent nation.
Certain places in the world are simply more stable than others - the British Museum is in London which is basically a world city anyway.
04/09/2014 09:05
Is Ukip beginning to own immigration issue? For the 2nd time this year "other" is the preferred party on immigration pic.twitter.com/DLYK24Am25
Not just an argument I'd apply to British Museum artifacts either - #1 on the list from Babylon - surely much safer in Berlin than Iraq right now !