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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » George needs to find a way of making UKIP voters less econ
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » George needs to find a way of making UKIP voters less economically pessimistic
One of the great things about taking part in Edinburgh Festival of Politics was being able to meet up again with Professor John Curtice, who must be the county’s leading political scientist.
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Growth is strong but the deficit is too large, the debt's enormous, and the EU appears to be on the verge of another eurozone crisis.
There's a serious risk with an attempt at a giveaway. Could cut the legs from under the Conservatives' economic standing and make floating voters think it's 'safe' to vote for taxey taxey, spendey spendey Labour again.
Hello everyone,
I'm not sure how friendly some of the tory journos are being to me-
However, I read today in The Times (not paywall, sorry no link) an article in the T2, P5, about Murakami (Headline - Murakami, The Name To Drop Now).
FYI, I have read lots of Murakami - off the top of my head (in no particular order), these are-
Kafka on the Shore
A Wind up Bird Chronicle
A Wild Sheep Chase
I've read a couple of more, but I can't remember them now, off the top of my head.
That's all for now,
I'll see how Kay Burley treats me.
Let's not forget, it was his policies that stopped the election that never was in 2007, and helped the Tory revival this year post the budget.
And UKIP don't believe anything that George says or might say. So no help to the Tories or any of the Lab/Lib/Con parties and I include the Greens in that too.
Actually, I haven't, but from reading Ford & Goodwin's blogs it is blatantly obvious why UKIP voters don't think things will get better for them. It's because things have been getting worse for them for decades, and when they point out why they get called racist bigots by rich people who carry on with the same policies!
But I'll try
George Osborne's 2007 announcement that only millionaires would pay inheritance tax under a Conservative government was credited with heading off the threat of the then prime minister Gordon Brown calling a snap election.
Have you forgotten the polling from the time, mahoosive Tory swings.
The reason he hasn't been able to deliver on it, is the economy went mammary glands up, and he had to prioritise elsewhere
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/mar/24/cameron-tories-raise-inheritance-threshold
Glass half empty? Finish off your pint - and then join UKIP!
The number waiting to get on the ladder is far, far larger. And one reason why the tories did so badly in London last May.
If rents also fall that would be a bit helpful to the tories too.
Overall, levels of economic optimism depend on where you are in the food chain.
http://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2007/10/06/icm-poll-gives-tories-6-lead-in-50-marginals/
I have voted for them (the purples) a couple of times.
You're making it more likely Ed Miliband becomes PM and Ed Balls becomes Chancellor.
You have to give B supporters a positive reason to vote A.
The only single thing that I can think of is the idea of cutting alcohol duty rates for on licence sales, to help pubs compete against supermarkets.
If Cameron had spent more on Defence and was less of a greenist I may have voted blue last time.
Pay gap widest at mining company Rangold Resources, where Mark Bristow was paid £4.4m last year – nearly 1,500 times the average"
http://www.theguardian.com/business/2014/aug/18/pay-gap-grows-ftse-bosses
The fact that "The Expendables 3" opened with $16.2m is something of a shock: http://onforb.es/VyOtcI
Small attendances, plus expensive superstars, (so called) = Great flop in the making.
Those are some of the many reasons to vote Tory next year.
Coupled with oil price falls, that might help the tories significantly.
I wonder which is cause and which is effect. For example, does the notably much higher level of optimism of Conservative supporters mean that people who think things are going well for them (and the country) reward the Conservatives by giving the party their support, or does it mean that the Conservative-led government's policies favour Conservative supporters?
Obviously Labour will try to argue the latter, but Labour making that argument doesn't make it true.
Conversely, the Conservatives will try to argue that their 'long-term economic plan is working', and hope to pull some of those not currently giving them credit for it into the fold.
[Edit: Alternatively it might simply be that Labour and UKIP supporters say they are pessimistic because they don't want to give credit to the government for the improving economy].
It would be interesting also to have the Labour grumpiness broken down into those working in the public sector, those working in the private sector, and those not in employment. Different policies, and different rhetoric, could potentially appeal to each of these groups.
Dave's used the military efficiently, he's toppled the vile dictator Qadaffi
So the average pay at Rangold Resources is 2,933 quid a year? Sounds like someone at the Grauniad can't do sums to me.
Nadal out of US open with wrist injury:
http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2014/aug/18/rafael-nadal-miss-us-open-injury
I know, one of the papers did a similar trick when comparing the Nike CEO's salary to what one of their employees in Bangladesh does.
Honestly, keep on meeting me more often, and I'll have you voting Tory next year, I'm very persuasive.
PS - Did I read that you were having an op soon? If so best of luck!
The Tories must really be afraid of UKIP as they see that past failures to suppress it has only made it grow faster. I really hope that the Mycelium of the UKIP body, will choke the Tories especially, because they've reneged on all that Conservatives used to stand for.
That's why my thoughts turned to alcohol duties, and supporting that struggling British Institution, the pub.
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2014/08/belgium-early-thoughts.html
Do feel free to add your own rambly thoughts.
I know UKIP are in favour of easing the smoking ban in pubs. I guess cutting alcohol duties would be a coherent step.
Exclusive! The Sunil on Sunday's inaugural ELBOW!
Electoral Leader-Board Of the Week (10 polls field-work 10th Aug to 15th Aug):
Labour 36.2%
Cons 33.1%
UKIP 13.1%
LibDems 8.8%
Um, we can't give any net changes as this is our first time, but we promise to do so next week [ie. Sunday]
Now JackW will be able to discern his ARSE from our ELBOW!
Say if your fuel costs per week are maybe £100 per week, and they still remain £100 per week because of the cancelled increases, you're not going to feel any better off.
When do you reckon the Manchester PB meet will be?
I am hoping to be recovered enough to attend.
http://www.foreignaffairs.com/features/collections/the-rise-of-india
Oh my, just looked at the graph.
25% for the LDs - once again the LDs playing their part in team GB-
Honestly, What more do you want from us.
We did something that made you vote UKIP, made London house prices soar and implemented a Lib Dem policy we used to disagree with
Vote Tory!
New general election forecasting model designed by academics from LSE, UEA, Durham:
http://electionforecast.co.uk/
As, I keep telling you all - the OU did not teach me high Politics-
Bangladesh are top right and the Christians???
UKIP (unless they change) will always be a protest party, and whilst that will have appeal to some, they will never form a government from where they stand, and have no hope of implementing their agenda.
It's also worth noting that - since 1998 - tax as a percentage of retail price has increased for Beer, Wine and Spirits, but decreased for fuel.
Black family of dude shot yappying on Sky news now.
; )
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bangladesh_Liberation_War