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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The re-shuffle continued:-

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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714
    OMW

    Scotland could host the UK's first dedicated base for spaceplanes, according to new government plans.

    Ministers want to establish the UK spaceport by 2018 - the first of its kind outside of the US.

    Eight aerodromes have been shortlisted and Scotland has six of the potential locations.

    The Scottish government said only independence would lead to a greater development of the country's space industry.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-28276525
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714
    David Cameron ‏@David_Cameron 24s

    Priti Patel becomes Exchequer Secretary at the Treasury. #Reshuffle
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Priti Patel - Exchequer Secretary at the Treasury
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    BobaFettBobaFett Posts: 2,789
    @PfP

    You do not need to be able to rote repeat times tables to be numerate.

    I could have worked it out but as I have a calculator next to me, I used that.

    One of the big problems with old school teaching fans is their Luddism.

    It's the same wasters who advocate focusing on handwriting over touch typing.

    I can still remember at school when we weren't allowed to use word processors for our essays.

    They caught up. Years later.
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @TheScreamingEagles
    Sod that, England can have the spaceport.
    I for one am not keen on people launching several tons of rocket fuel over my head. Add it to the Heathrow extension project?
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    edited July 2014
    Oliver Halfwit has been given a small bar of chocolate.
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    BobaFettBobaFett Posts: 2,789
    @TSE

    My understanding was that Mike was largely equivocal about Ed but thought he was the better choice as he is more attractive to Red Liberals than his brother.

    Are you sure you aren't confusing your own views with those of Mike?
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    Priti Patel - Exchequer Secretary at the Treasury

    So the next leader does not even get a cabinet post.
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    BenSBenS Posts: 22
    I am de-lurking just so I can applaud BobaFett for an immaculate bit of maths trolling...

    (Oh and to say as a parent of a 10-year-old who is very involved with my sons school I have never heard anyone - either parent or teacher - say a good word about Gove. Even very non-political parents seemed to have an instinctive dislike of him.)
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    12:27: David Cameron tweets: Anna Soubry is promoted to Minister of State at the Ministry of Defence. #Reshuffle
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    edited July 2014
    Surely what we have here is a classic merit versus tokenism debate.

    If the tories' older supporters get the impression that a load of people have been promoted because they are 1. female and/or 2. young, this could go very badly for Dave.

    A lightweight is a lightweight.
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    NormNorm Posts: 1,251

    David Cameron ‏@David_Cameron 24s

    Priti Patel becomes Exchequer Secretary at the Treasury. #Reshuffle

    That one I'm happy with!
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    12:17: David Cameron tweets: David Gauke is promoted to Financial Secretary to the Treasury. #Reshuffle

    Bravo to that one.
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Penny Mordaunt and Amber Rudd both join the ministerial ranks

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    Norm said:

    David Cameron ‏@David_Cameron 24s

    Priti Patel becomes Exchequer Secretary at the Treasury. #Reshuffle

    That one I'm happy with!
    One for @isam
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    isamisam Posts: 41,077
    BobaFett said:

    @TSE

    My understanding was that Mike was largely equivocal about Ed but thought he was the better choice as he is more attractive to Red Liberals than his brother.

    Are you sure you aren't confusing your own views with those of Mike?

    He'll ask Mike and get back to you

    I'm not having that you didn't know 8x7... Ridiculous
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    Smarmeron said:

    @TheScreamingEagles
    Sod that, England can have the spaceport.
    I for one am not keen on people launching several tons of rocket fuel over my head. Add it to the Heathrow extension project?

    Is the spaceport the place from which we will launch Ed Balls into the sun? I think we need Morris Dancer to advise. (This being the UK we will maybe have a trebuchet based launch system?)
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    MikeK has asked me to post this message

    A few of weeks back I went too far in an attack on JackW for which I apologise. I will try to keep further comments within civilised bounds.

    Thank you MikeK

    I accept your apology without reservation and look forward to your return to the broad church that is PB.

    ......................................................................

    I think we should be mindful of the outstanding job that Mike, Robert and the MODERATORS undertake on our behalf and note that in the ten years of PB the site has enjoyed a free flow of robust and largely civilised discourse within the context of instant publishing, that in the internet world is quite frankly an absolute marvel.

    Thank you for all your efforts.
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    Bond_James_BondBond_James_Bond Posts: 1,939
    edited July 2014
    Cyclefree said:

    FPT:

    "The date an ancient king died does not. There's an app for that. "

    This sums up everything that to me is wrong. Unless you have a basic understanding of the facts - the narrative - of our history and that of other countries, of basic scientific concepts, of mathematical concepts etc, how on earth do you know that what you are being told is true. How can you ask intelligent questions? How on earth do you think that you can design an app or whatever will replace them?

    Education is not just a collection of random facts that you pick up from an app, anymore than if you collected facts from an encyclopaedia or words from a dictionary. That's just confusing the sort of random knowledge that might win you points on a pub quiz team with education. You need a good solid basic understanding of what happened, how things work, how to use numbers, how to express yourself etc,. Without this, you will always struggle no matter how many apps you have.

    Yep. I've heard of the Argument From Ignorance, but until today I'd never come across the Argument For Ignorance.

    It also presumes that there are intelligent people to whom thinking skills and logic can be taught but who aren't otherwise curious. In my experience, this is untrue - smart people are always well-informed and stupid people are always ignorant. You rarely meet a stupid but well-informed person. You sometimes meet a smart but ignorant person, though smart people are usually aware of the limits to their knowledge and manage themselves accordingly. There are obvious exceptions - one thinks of climate scientists, who are sometimes modestly intelligent but ignorant of good statistical practice, and also ignorant of their ignorance - but on the whole I think this is true.

    Anyway - how would you google the English Civil War if you'd never heard of it in the first place? What would make you do it?

    The conspiracy theorist in me thinks that Labour doesn't want history taught because any knowledge of it would cost them votes; and that UKIPpers want it taught to make all them darkies feel less comfortable "comin' over 'ere".
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,333
    I think it would be simpler if they just list who HADN'T been reshuffled! I can't keep up.
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    FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    BobaFett said:

    @TSE

    My understanding was that Mike was largely equivocal about Ed but thought he was the better choice as he is more attractive to Red Liberals than his brother.

    Are you sure you aren't confusing your own views with those of Mike?

    My understanding is that Ed stands a decent chance of becoming Prime Minister in spite of his faults, and what an indictment that is of the Coalition.

    Every "Ed is weird" smear prompts the question "So why aren't the Tories on track for a majority?"
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    BobaFettBobaFett Posts: 2,789
    @BenS

    :) Your praise gratefully accepted.

    @Isam

    :)
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    FalseFlagFalseFlag Posts: 1,801
    Love education debates, so free of facts and so full of wishful thinking. Fads going round in circles, ignorant to the fact all methods have been tried before, especially the left who seem to ignore they have controlled the Sector since the sixties. Of course the Rand Corporation did a huge study and found the greatest influence was quality of students, it's why all elite educational institutions have rigorous test based entry requirements. To his credit Gove did introduce a more scientific approach to the Department, not least by listening to the likes of Robert Plomin. Unfortunately we still have enormously wasteful nonesense like head start that Labour introduced after its proven failure in America, of course has failed here too. Steal the poor people's kids is the way the left is thinking, of course the left did that to Aborigines in Australia and it was cruel and a failure then.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    edited July 2014
    BobaFett said:

    @Pulpstar

    The Monty Hall Problem - if you count that :)

    There are 7 cars and 8 goats behind 15 doors. You pick a door (At random) - the host reveals 2 cars and 2 goats behind 4 other random doors.

    Should you switch if you want to win a car ?

    Full workings to be shown.
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    FalseFlagFalseFlag Posts: 1,801
    BobaFett said:

    @PfP

    You do not need to be able to rote repeat times tables to be numerate.

    I could have worked it out but as I have a calculator next to me, I used that.

    One of the big problems with old school teaching fans is their Luddism.

    It's the same wasters who advocate focusing on handwriting over touch typing.

    I can still remember at school when we weren't allowed to use word processors for our essays.

    They caught up. Years later.

    Rote learning works though, it's why private schools use it still.

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    NormNorm Posts: 1,251
    "The Green party is pleased to see the back of Owen Paterson at Defra, but says that Liz Truss now has her work cut out. Natalie Bennett, the Green party leader, says in a statement that Mr Paterson’s departure removes “a major international embarrassment” to Britain.
    “Mr Paterson failed to take the threat of climate change seriously and will be remembered as the man who failed to take action to protect Britain against it,” says Ms Bennett.
    “Having Paterson, who wilfully ignored scientific evidence on climate change, as well in instituting the badger cull, in the post of Environment Secretary made a mockery of David Cameron’s promise that his administration would be the ‘Greenest Government ever’.”

    All of which makes me think the firing of Paterson is a mistake.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,380

    Was Michael Gove unpopular with parents though (or at least those who are swing voters?) . More of them than teachers

    I never heard a parent express an opinion on him one way or the other. It's one of those things where some people feel passionately and vote-switchingly and others don't really know or care.

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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    BobaFett said:

    @PfP

    You do not need to be able to rote repeat times tables to be numerate.

    I could have worked it out but as I have a calculator next to me, I used that.

    One of the big problems with old school teaching fans is their Luddism.

    It's the same wasters who advocate focusing on handwriting over touch typing.

    I can still remember at school when we weren't allowed to use word processors for our essays.

    They caught up. Years later.

    Mental arithmetic is excellent for the brain and helps with many cognitive processes. It is essential it remains core to teaching.
    Having to 'look up' 7x8 is a damning indictment of the education system in a grown man, it's something every 7-8 year old should know, and retain, throughout their life.
    You are correct on handwriting versus touch typing.
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    BobaFettBobaFett Posts: 2,789
    @Pulpstar

    LOL. I charge for that sort of service :)
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    GIN1138 said:

    Jack W should have been promoted as Minister For ARSE's

    My ARSE has to remain as strictly non partisan - more as a Speaker of ARSE .... or talking out of it as some are want to speculate.

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    VerulamiusVerulamius Posts: 1,438
    Will Gove moving result in an increase in LD votes?

    One of the reasons why there is a big LD to L shift, and probably high don't knows, is the association of LD education policy with Gove. With Gove gone, and the oxygen taken out of the education fire, does this have an indirect impact of removing a barrier to a shift back to LD?

    Will this cause Labour' crutch to start wobbling?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    BobaFett said:

    @Pulpstar

    LOL. I charge for that sort of service :)

    Come on now Bobajobb, it's your favourite theory. Play ball !
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    12:27: David Cameron tweets: Anna Soubry is promoted to Minister of State at the Ministry of Defence. #Reshuffle

    Poor girl ! First, it was Attorney General, then Defence Secretary. Now using a calculator to add up the wastes.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,333
    The PM's spokesman says he wants Michael Gove and William Hague "at the heart of the government's team", adding: "You should expect to see a great deal of Michael Gove on your TV and radio channels."

    David Cameron tweets: Oliver Letwin remains Minister for Government Policy and becomes Lord Privy Seal. #Reshuffle

    I'm sure Labour love the above....Hague and Gove all over the telly during the GE and Letwin doing the "thinking", what could go wrong.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    This reshuffle has been sponsored by 38 degrees seems to me !
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    Bond_James_BondBond_James_Bond Posts: 1,939

    BobaFett said:

    @Cycle

    Of course you need knowledge, of themes, times, trends, dynamics, ideas and theories.

    Knowing the exact date of King Harold's death you do not need in your head.

    And Morris, nor do you need to know what 7x8 is, off the top of your head. But you do need to grasp how to multiply, and the basics of algebra, and, ideally, game theory.

    If you don't know some of the basic arithmetic off the top of your head you will find it very hard to (a) do the more complicated stuff and (b) recognise when you made a mistake putting the numbers into your calculator.

    Secondly, while knowing the precise date of King Harold's death as a fact in isolation is irrelevant, it would be hard to know anything about the Norman Conquest without having a good idea of what year it was.

    BobaFett said:

    @Sean

    I had to look up 7x8. Yet I am highly numerate and grasp much mathematical theory.

    Lots of people who know what 7x8 is have no grasp of maths.

    If you have to "look up" what 7x8 is then you are not numerate, and you also have a poor understanding of English. The definition of numerate is: "having a good basic knowledge of arithmetic; able to understand and work with numbers"

    Like I said, ignorant people often don't realise they're ignorant, in consequence of their ignorance.

    It's a sort of allotrope of the Dunning-Kruger effect, but applicable to knowledge rather than wisdom.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Pulpstar said:

    This reshuffle has been sponsored by 38 degrees seems to me !

    I think you mean the Three Degrees.

    When Will I See You Again ....

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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Cameron had to accept real facts. There are 440000 teachers. It is a big constituency. The swing was heavily against the Minister of Silly Walks.

    To be fair to Cam, he put winning elections first ! Now let's see how many MPs he annoys.
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    GrandioseGrandiose Posts: 2,323
    Norm said:

    "The Green party is pleased to see the back of Owen Paterson at Defra, but says that Liz Truss now has her work cut out. Natalie Bennett, the Green party leader, says in a statement that Mr Paterson’s departure removes “a major international embarrassment” to Britain.
    “Mr Paterson failed to take the threat of climate change seriously and will be remembered as the man who failed to take action to protect Britain against it,” says Ms Bennett.
    “Having Paterson, who wilfully ignored scientific evidence on climate change, as well in instituting the badger cull, in the post of Environment Secretary made a mockery of David Cameron’s promise that his administration would be the ‘Greenest Government ever’.”

    All of which makes me think the firing of Paterson is a mistake.

    I'm pretty certain Truss will be in a similar mould. Fundamentally Paterson preferred Food and Rural Affairs to the Environment (surely there are others, like Davey, to cover that) and from what Truss has said anecdotally I don't think she'll be much different.
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    TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    ydoethur said:

    And finally, to confirm what Mike Smithson has said, Gove was definitely unpopular with far more than just the NUT leadership. Many, probably the overwhelming majority, of teachers genuinely had what amounted to a swivel-eyed hatred for him (yes, really, you do get people who will rant, stamp and shout at the mere mention of his name). Just because the NUT are almost as derided and unpopular outside a hardcore of their members doesn't mean that they were unrepresentative on this issue.

    Some of us not directly involved with schools share similar views of Mr. Gove.
    I note that in the latest issue of Private Eye, number 1370, page six, cheekily offers the possibility that Gove could be offered the editorship of the Daily Mail, down the line.

    I say that this would seem to be entirely consistent. But heck, what do I know?
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Pulpstar said:

    BobaFett said:

    @Pulpstar

    The Monty Hall Problem - if you count that :)

    There are 7 cars and 8 goats behind 15 doors. You pick a door (At random) - the host reveals 2 cars and 2 goats behind 4 other random doors.

    Should you switch if you want to win a car ?

    Full workings to be shown.
    No. Removing the 2 and 2 leaves 5 cars and 6 goats. You have either a car or a goat.
    If you have a car, there are 4 cars and 6 goats elsewhere.
    if a goat, 5 and 5 elsewhere
    Therefore there is 9 out of 20 chance of finding a car on a swap
    You have 5 out of 11 chance on your door

    Or 99 out of 220 on a swap versus
    100 out if 220 on sticking

    BANK!
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    I might marry Liz Truss. If she asks me nicely
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048
    Toms said:

    ydoethur said:

    And finally, to confirm what Mike Smithson has said, Gove was definitely unpopular with far more than just the NUT leadership. Many, probably the overwhelming majority, of teachers genuinely had what amounted to a swivel-eyed hatred for him (yes, really, you do get people who will rant, stamp and shout at the mere mention of his name). Just because the NUT are almost as derided and unpopular outside a hardcore of their members doesn't mean that they were unrepresentative on this issue.

    Some of us not directly involved with schools share similar views of Mr. Gove.
    I note that in the latest issue of Private Eye, number 1370, page six, cheekily offers the possibility that Gove could be offered the editorship of the Daily Mail, down the line.

    I say that this would seem to be entirely consistent. But heck, what do I know?
    Gove going is a terrible decision for our education system. My only hope is that Nicky Morgan will continue a programme of radical change that might even exceed what Give was attempting. If not we will see our education system slip back into the third rate mediocrity where it languished for sop many years under Labour.
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Pulpstar said:

    BobaFett said:

    @Pulpstar

    The Monty Hall Problem - if you count that :)

    There are 7 cars and 8 goats behind 15 doors. You pick a door (At random) - the host reveals 2 cars and 2 goats behind 4 other random doors.

    Should you switch if you want to win a car ?

    Full workings to be shown.
    The really interesting thing about the Monty Hall problem is that it is answered differently in Britain and America, owing to different assumptions about how the host chooses doors.

    Maybe the real lesson, as with the financial crisis, is that the assumptions matter at least as much as the algebra.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714
    Freggles said:

    BobaFett said:

    @TSE

    My understanding was that Mike was largely equivocal about Ed but thought he was the better choice as he is more attractive to Red Liberals than his brother.

    Are you sure you aren't confusing your own views with those of Mike?

    My understanding is that Ed stands a decent chance of becoming Prime Minister in spite of his faults, and what an indictment that is of the Coalition.

    Every "Ed is weird" smear prompts the question "So why aren't the Tories on track for a majority?"
    Patience, 10 months to go, and the Tories lead with the Gold Standard.

    Swingback to kick up a few more notches and the Tories gain Doncaster North next year.
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    saddosaddo Posts: 534
    McTernan is wrong.

    Cameron's changes are all about winning in 2015. The faces may have changes, the policies won't.
    Refreshed new government who by next year will all be on top of their brief's - another underlying message about the risk of switching to Labour.

    It will be interesting to see how much the coverage of Cameron's changes will blank out any coverage of Labour's policy conference this weekend.
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913
    Still in shock wrt Gove. Mike is right that it should help the Tories electorally, but it's quite an admission of defeat for the governments programme.

    Having a part-time education secretary is probably a mistake politically.
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    perdixperdix Posts: 1,806

    Cyclefree said:

    FPT:

    "The date an ancient king died does not. There's an app for that. "

    This sums up everything that to me is wrong. Unless you have a basic understanding of the facts - the narrative - of our history and that of other countries, of basic scientific concepts, of mathematical concepts etc, how on earth do you know that what you are being told is true. How can you ask intelligent questions? How on earth do you think that you can design an app or whatever will replace them?

    Education is not just a collection of random facts that you pick up from an app, anymore than if you collected facts from an encyclopaedia or words from a dictionary. That's just confusing the sort of random knowledge that might win you points on a pub quiz team with education. You need a good solid basic understanding of what happened, how things work, how to use numbers, how to express yourself etc,. Without this, you will always struggle no matter how many apps you have.

    Yep. I've heard of the Argument From Ignorance, but until today I'd never come across the Argument For Ignorance.

    It also presumes that there are intelligent people to whom thinking skills and logic can be taught but who aren't otherwise curious. In my experience, this is untrue - smart people are always well-informed and stupid people are always ignorant. You rarely meet a stupid but well-informed person. You sometimes meet a smart but ignorant person, though smart people are usually aware of the limits to their knowledge and manage themselves accordingly. There are obvious exceptions - one thinks of climate scientists, who are sometimes modestly intelligent but ignorant of good statistical practice, and also ignorant of their ignorance - but on the whole I think this is true.

    Anyway - how would you google the English Civil War if you'd never heard of it in the first place? What would make you do it?

    The conspiracy theorist in me thinks that Labour doesn't want history taught because any knowledge of it would cost them votes; and that UKIPpers want it taught to make all them darkies feel less comfortable "comin' over 'ere".
    Labour doesn't want history taught because for most of our long history they were irrelevant.
    Also, if you know our history, for all our nation's faults, it instils a sense of pride.

  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034

    Pulpstar said:

    BobaFett said:

    @Pulpstar

    The Monty Hall Problem - if you count that :)

    There are 7 cars and 8 goats behind 15 doors. You pick a door (At random) - the host reveals 2 cars and 2 goats behind 4 other random doors.

    Should you switch if you want to win a car ?

    Full workings to be shown.
    No. Removing the 2 and 2 leaves 5 cars and 6 goats. You have either a car or a goat.
    If you have a car, there are 4 cars and 6 goats elsewhere.
    if a goat, 5 and 5 elsewhere
    Therefore there is 9 out of 20 chance of finding a car on a swap
    You have 5 out of 11 chance on your door

    Or 99 out of 220 on a swap versus
    100 out if 220 on sticking

    BANK!
    We await Bobajobb's contribution...
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    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    A pretty poor opinion and a pretty poor headline. Hague wanted to go and he stays for the end of the parliament. Few people seem to be thonking about his wife at this juncture. Clarke is 74. Gove has been in education for 4 years and the reforms have been passed; he has done all the dirty work. He is still around as chief whip, and that is not a bad place to be for a leadershp election and he will be doing media and can trawl the constituencies. Patterson? He is a AGW sceptic (like me) - but so what, what evidence is there that that is the defining reason for him going?

    I do not see much educated comment on this reshuffle. It seems quite canny to me.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Jonathan said:

    Having a part-time education secretary is probably a mistake politically.

    You mean, like Ed Balls was?
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    edited July 2014
    ''but it's quite an admission of defeat for the governments programme.''

    ??? is the new person going to reverse anything Gove has done???

    Labour's policy? Let's make England like Wales.....!!!
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    NormNorm Posts: 1,251

    Was Michael Gove unpopular with parents though (or at least those who are swing voters?) . More of them than teachers

    I never heard a parent express an opinion on him one way or the other. It's one of those things where some people feel passionately and vote-switchingly and others don't really know or care.

    Actually despite you and I being polar opposites politically I agree with that. Most of the hot air came from the "Blob". The vote switching part worked in both directions incidentally - Times readers albeit admittedly not exactly representative of English voters as a whole are critical of Gove being moved by a margin of about 10 to 2 (as judged by readers "likes") .
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714
    Jonathan said:

    Still in shock wrt Gove. Mike is right that it should help the Tories electorally, but it's quite an admission of defeat for the governments programme.

    Having a part-time education secretary is probably a mistake politically.

    Labour had part time Defence Secretaries whilst we were fighting two wars.
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    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    Ah.... 'SpacePorts'. I have fond memories. I seem to remember that Southport was good enough for Dan Dare.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Noting that Oliver Letwin is now one of the Great Officers of State as Lord Privy Seal but is he in the Cabinet or attending as previously ?
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714
    JackW said:

    Noting that Oliver Letwin is now one of the Great Officers of State as Lord Privy Seal but is he in the Cabinet or attending as previously ?

    An actual seal might do less damage than Olly
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    JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,018
    Jonathan said:

    Still in shock wrt Gove. Mike is right that it should help the Tories electorally, but it's quite an admission of defeat for the governments programme.

    Having a part-time education secretary is probably a mistake politically.

    In which case we need to start appointing people who aren't MPs.

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    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    I think Saddo and Taffy make good points. Others seem to be completely missing the point.
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    TomsToms Posts: 2,478

    Toms said:

    ydoethur said:

    And finally, to confirm what Mike Smithson has said, Gove was definitely unpopular with far more than just the NUT leadership. Many, probably the overwhelming majority, of teachers genuinely had what amounted to a swivel-eyed hatred for him (yes, really, you do get people who will rant, stamp and shout at the mere mention of his name). Just because the NUT are almost as derided and unpopular outside a hardcore of their members doesn't mean that they were unrepresentative on this issue.

    Some of us not directly involved with schools share similar views of Mr. Gove.
    I note that in the latest issue of Private Eye, number 1370, page six, cheekily offers the possibility that Gove could be offered the editorship of the Daily Mail, down the line.

    I say that this would seem to be entirely consistent. But heck, what do I know?
    Gove going is a terrible decision for our education system. My only hope is that Nicky Morgan will continue a programme of radical change that might even exceed what Give was attempting. If not we will see our education system slip back into the third rate mediocrity where it languished for sop many years under Labour.
    Sorry if I gave the impression that I think it's impossible to do worse. Maybe they're working on it as we speak.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,333
    GCHQ leak lists UK cyber-spies' hacking tools

    Glitterball - software to help agents carry out operations in Second Life

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-28306819

    When is this document from, 2006? I think any spooks going to carry out operations in Second Life would struggle to find anybody too play with these days.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,027

    GCHQ leak lists UK cyber-spies' hacking tools

    Glitterball - software to help agents carry out operations in Second Life

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-28306819

    When is this document from, 2006? I think any spooks going to carry out operations in Second Life would struggle to find anybody too play with these days.

    Sounds like the perfect discreet location ;-)
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,618
    In God we Truss!

    :)
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    From Twitter

    John McTernan @johnmcternan
    Follow

    In a #reshuffle where competence mattered Hague, Hammond, Gove and Clarke would have stayed in place and IDS would've been sacked.

    Odd he should think that, IDS would be hard to replace.
    "Here good sir, partake of this goblet before the contents dissolve it"
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    eekeek Posts: 25,094

    Jonathan said:

    Still in shock wrt Gove. Mike is right that it should help the Tories electorally, but it's quite an admission of defeat for the governments programme.

    Having a part-time education secretary is probably a mistake politically.

    Labour had part time Defence Secretaries whilst we were fighting two wars.
    If the purpose of the Gove move is to remove some of the poison from education say by allowing the Lib Dems to come to the front of stage then a part time education secretary makes perfect sense.
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    FalseFlagFalseFlag Posts: 1,801
    The compulsory use of iodised salt by food manufacturers would probably do most to boost test scores, be cretinous not to do so given its negligible cost.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,618
    Haven't been on PB since the WC Final, but just thought that Germany plenty deserved to win :)
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    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited July 2014
    For Boba, an article on why 7x8 is one of the trickiest sums in the times tables. Jolly interesting, and it explained why my wife and I felt like we were banging our head on the wall trying to teach our 7yo the 8 times table!

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-magazine-monitor-28143553
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @FalseFlag
    Anything else you feel needs to be made compulsory?
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048
    Toms said:

    Toms said:

    ydoethur said:

    And finally, to confirm what Mike Smithson has said, Gove was definitely unpopular with far more than just the NUT leadership. Many, probably the overwhelming majority, of teachers genuinely had what amounted to a swivel-eyed hatred for him (yes, really, you do get people who will rant, stamp and shout at the mere mention of his name). Just because the NUT are almost as derided and unpopular outside a hardcore of their members doesn't mean that they were unrepresentative on this issue.

    Some of us not directly involved with schools share similar views of Mr. Gove.
    I note that in the latest issue of Private Eye, number 1370, page six, cheekily offers the possibility that Gove could be offered the editorship of the Daily Mail, down the line.

    I say that this would seem to be entirely consistent. But heck, what do I know?
    Gove going is a terrible decision for our education system. My only hope is that Nicky Morgan will continue a programme of radical change that might even exceed what Give was attempting. If not we will see our education system slip back into the third rate mediocrity where it languished for sop many years under Labour.
    Sorry if I gave the impression that I think it's impossible to do worse. Maybe they're working on it as we speak.
    We know it is possible to do a lot worse. Labour did it for 13 years.
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Fox appears to have been offered ministerial role at FCO - but appears to have turned it down...
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    state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,427

    Haven't been on PB since the WC Final, but just thought that Germany plenty deserved to win :)

    I am of the thinking that teams only 'deserve to win' if they score more goals than the team they are playing -that's the only aim of football isn't it? the only exception was the play off final where I did sort of feel Derby 'deserved to win' against QPR
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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    edited July 2014
    RobD said:

    GCHQ leak lists UK cyber-spies' hacking tools

    Glitterball - software to help agents carry out operations in Second Life

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-28306819

    When is this document from, 2006? I think any spooks going to carry out operations in Second Life would struggle to find anybody too play with these days.

    Sounds like the perfect discreet location ;-)
    These were the ones I thought interesting:

    Spring Bishop - a tool to find private pictures of targets on Facebook
    Bearscrape - a tool to extract a computer's wi-fi connection history
    Miniature Hero - the ability to source real-time call records, instant messages and contact lists from Skype

    Anyone that still believes they're only collecting metadata is an idiot. David Cameron believes in a state just small enough to fit through your modem.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034

    Pulpstar said:

    BobaFett said:

    @Pulpstar

    The Monty Hall Problem - if you count that :)

    There are 7 cars and 8 goats behind 15 doors. You pick a door (At random) - the host reveals 2 cars and 2 goats behind 4 other random doors.

    Should you switch if you want to win a car ?

    Full workings to be shown.
    No. Removing the 2 and 2 leaves 5 cars and 6 goats. You have either a car or a goat.
    If you have a car, there are 4 cars and 6 goats elsewhere.
    if a goat, 5 and 5 elsewhere
    Therefore there is 9 out of 20 chance of finding a car on a swap
    You have 5 out of 11 chance on your door

    Or 99 out of 220 on a swap versus
    100 out if 220 on sticking

    BANK!
    Initially:

    P(C) = 7/15; P(G) = 8/15

    If we switch, we are choosing from 10 doors (Hence the second denominator)

    P(C -> C) = 7/15 * 4/10 = 28/150
    P(C -> G) = 7/15 * 6/10 = 42/150
    P(G -> C) = 8/15 * 5/10 = 40/150
    P(G -> G) = 8/15 * 5/10 = 40/150

    P(C or G -> C) = 28/150 + 40/150 = 68/150
    P(C or G -> G) = 42/150 + 40/150 = 82/150

    (70 - 68)/150 = 2/150

    Hence you reduce the probability of winning the car by 1.33... % by switching.

    That's how I worked it out anyway...
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Anorak said:

    For Boba, an article on why 7x8 is one of the trickiest sums in the times tables. Jolly interesting, and it explained why my wife and I felt like we were banging our head on the wall trying to teach our 7yo the 8 times table!

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-magazine-monitor-28143553

    As well as parroting the tables, kids need to be taught pattern recognition and partial sum banking to help with trickier sums.
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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Jonathan said:

    Still in shock wrt Gove. Mike is right that it should help the Tories electorally, but it's quite an admission of defeat for the governments programme.

    Having a part-time education secretary is probably a mistake politically.

    Not really an admission of defeat when he kept in there for four years. More just removing him before the election so Labour can't use his unpopularity. I still think it's a mistake, but don't buy the spin you want to put on it.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714

    Fox appears to have been offered ministerial role at FCO - but appears to have turned it down...

    Huzzah.

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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    rcs1000 said:

    I think - in the medium term - that Eurosceptics will be very disappointed with Mr Hammond.

    Undoubtedly true, just as they were disappointed in turn with Cameron and Hague. They briefly turned to Boris before discovering he wasn't a Europhobe, and so on.

    Of course there's a reason for this: the source of their disappointments is that they are blaming individuals for the constraints of reality.
    The constraints of reality being that David Cameron is too europhile to ever put a eurosceptic in a position of influence.
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @Socrates
    This one is interesting
    "Underpass - a tool to change the result of online polls"
    I knew there was something wrong with the old TOTY vote!
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,987
    FalseFlag said:

    BobaFett said:

    @PfP

    You do not need to be able to rote repeat times tables to be numerate.

    I could have worked it out but as I have a calculator next to me, I used that.

    One of the big problems with old school teaching fans is their Luddism.

    It's the same wasters who advocate focusing on handwriting over touch typing.

    I can still remember at school when we weren't allowed to use word processors for our essays.

    They caught up. Years later.

    Rote learning works though, it's why private schools use it still.

    But as PISA tells us, on a like for like basis the private sector in the UK under-performs the state sector:

    http://www.oecd.org/pisa/pisaproducts/pisainfocus/48482894.pdf

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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,714
    Socrates said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I think - in the medium term - that Eurosceptics will be very disappointed with Mr Hammond.

    Undoubtedly true, just as they were disappointed in turn with Cameron and Hague. They briefly turned to Boris before discovering he wasn't a Europhobe, and so on.

    Of course there's a reason for this: the source of their disappointments is that they are blaming individuals for the constraints of reality.
    The constraints of reality being that David Cameron is too europhile to ever put a eurosceptic in a position of influence.
    So Philip Hammond, the man who would vote to leave the EU isn't a eurosceptic.

    You learn something new everyday.
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    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited July 2014

    Anorak said:

    For Boba, an article on why 7x8 is one of the trickiest sums in the times tables. Jolly interesting, and it explained why my wife and I felt like we were banging our head on the wall trying to teach our 7yo the 8 times table!

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-magazine-monitor-28143553

    As well as parroting the tables, kids need to be taught pattern recognition and partial sum banking to help with trickier sums.
    Agreed. I still remember being astounded that the sum of the odd digits equals the sum of the even digits for all multiples of 11. [I later found out this applies to multiples of 9 in base 8, multiples of 17 in hexidecimal etc. This is, IMHO, pretty cool.].

    Edit: or the difference is a multiple of 11, 9, 17, etc. Obviously :)
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    JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,215
    edited July 2014

    Fox appears to have been offered ministerial role at FCO - but appears to have turned it down...

    Huzzah.

    Perhaps offered Hugh Robertson's job as a Minister of State? If true (who knows), Can't blame him for turning it down - such an offer would border on the insulting. And I'm no fan of his.
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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    edited July 2014

    Socrates said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I think - in the medium term - that Eurosceptics will be very disappointed with Mr Hammond.

    Undoubtedly true, just as they were disappointed in turn with Cameron and Hague. They briefly turned to Boris before discovering he wasn't a Europhobe, and so on.

    Of course there's a reason for this: the source of their disappointments is that they are blaming individuals for the constraints of reality.
    The constraints of reality being that David Cameron is too europhile to ever put a eurosceptic in a position of influence.
    So Philip Hammond, the man who would vote to leave the EU isn't a eurosceptic.

    You learn something new everyday.
    As I understand, Hammond is a "in with reform" position. And a Cameron loyalist. He'll keep out the way while Cameron decides EU policy, like Hague did.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    No white smoke from the LibDems over their ministerial changes, if any, or are they waiting for the Conservative music to stop before they wind up the gramophone for their own tunes to play over the airwaves ?
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    JohnO said:

    Fox appears to have been offered ministerial role at FCO - but appears to have turned it down...

    Huzzah.

    Perhaps offered Hugh Robertson's job as a Minister of State? If true (who knows), Can't blame him for turning it down - such an offer would border on the insulting. And I'm no fan of his.
    Fox was deluded if he thought he was likely to walk back into a high profile Cabinet position. He left under a very black cloud - and should have rebuilt his career from the ground up.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013
    JackW said:

    Noting that Oliver Letwin is now one of the Great Officers of State as Lord Privy Seal but is he in the Cabinet or attending as previously ?

    Run for the hills.

    For unerring bad judgement, combined with complete unsuitability for office, no one comes close to Oliver Letwin.

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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    JackW said:

    No white smoke from the LibDems over their ministerial changes, if any, or are they waiting for the Conservative music to stop before they wind up the gramophone for their own tunes to play over the airwaves ?

    You are likely to have to wait until after the conference season for the Yellow changes

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    JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,215
    Sean_F said:

    JackW said:

    Noting that Oliver Letwin is now one of the Great Officers of State as Lord Privy Seal but is he in the Cabinet or attending as previously ?

    Run for the hills.

    For unerring bad judgement, combined with complete unsuitability for office, no one comes close to Oliver Letwin.

    I'll put you down as a possible.
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Has Harriet commented on the lack of a 100% female cabinet yet?
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831

    Has Harriet commented on the lack of a 100% female cabinet yet?

    She would never want a 100% female cabinet. She would fix at least one place for her husband - and then play the victim card about how hard done by she is.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,618

    Haven't been on PB since the WC Final, but just thought that Germany plenty deserved to win :)

    I am of the thinking that teams only 'deserve to win' if they score more goals than the team they are playing -that's the only aim of football isn't it? the only exception was the play off final where I did sort of feel Derby 'deserved to win' against QPR
    I was of course referring to Germany's consistent good performances all tournament :)
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    NormNorm Posts: 1,251
    Although my views aren't too dissimilar to those of Liam Fox he's not someone I'd want back - some things override politics.
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    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited July 2014

    FalseFlag said:

    BobaFett said:

    @PfP

    You do not need to be able to rote repeat times tables to be numerate.

    I could have worked it out but as I have a calculator next to me, I used that.

    One of the big problems with old school teaching fans is their Luddism.

    It's the same wasters who advocate focusing on handwriting over touch typing.

    I can still remember at school when we weren't allowed to use word processors for our essays.

    They caught up. Years later.

    Rote learning works though, it's why private schools use it still.

    But as PISA tells us, on a like for like basis the private sector in the UK under-performs the state sector:

    http://www.oecd.org/pisa/pisaproducts/pisainfocus/48482894.pdf

    From that article: Students who attend private schools tend to perform significantly better in the PISA assessments than students who attend public schools; but students in public schools in a similar socio-economic context as private schools tend to do
    equally well.


    A huge problem in cities is that private schools produce a vicious circle whereby the removal of the children from state schools by the higher socio-economic groups means the school performance gap widens, so more better-off children leave, so the gap widens, etc, etc.

    Having a large slice of state school pupils parented by [what could pejoratively be termed] social detritus means everyone else gets dragged down, and dragged down hard.
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    Has Harriet commented on the lack of a 100% female cabinet yet?

    She would never want a 100% female cabinet. She would fix at least one place for her husband - and then play the victim card about how hard done by she is.
    Dromey is an honorary sistah
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Robert Buckland is new Solicitor General
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    JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,215
    edited July 2014
    Robert Buckland becomes Solicitor General. Swindon MP and Cameron loyalist. He has been on my list as someone for promotion.

    Paul Maynard (Blackpool North) is another but nothing so far.
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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    edited July 2014
    Smarmeron said:

    @Socrates
    This one is interesting
    "Underpass - a tool to change the result of online polls"
    I knew there was something wrong with the old TOTY vote!

    I wonder if it would work for internet voting? [at general elections]
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    edited July 2014
    BETTING POST

    One thing I think this reshuffle does do is make Dave's position ultra-secure:


    Conservative Specials - David Cameron to be Tory Leader for the next UK General Election

    William Hill 1-12 Nice 10% yield or so:

    Fill your boots.

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    Bond_James_BondBond_James_Bond Posts: 1,939
    Anorak said:

    Anorak said:

    For Boba, an article on why 7x8 is one of the trickiest sums in the times tables. Jolly interesting, and it explained why my wife and I felt like we were banging our head on the wall trying to teach our 7yo the 8 times table!

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-magazine-monitor-28143553

    As well as parroting the tables, kids need to be taught pattern recognition and partial sum banking to help with trickier sums.
    Agreed. I still remember being astounded that the sum of the odd digits equals the sum of the even digits for all multiples of 11. [I later found out this applies to multiples of 9 in base 8, multiples of 17 in hexidecimal etc. This is, IMHO, pretty cool.].

    Edit: or the difference is a multiple of 11, 9, 17, etc. Obviously :)
    And in the 9x table the digits in the answer always sum to 9 - 18, 27, 36, 45, etc...
This discussion has been closed.