As has been mentioned several times on the site the next PB get-together will be at the Flying Duck pub in the heart of Ilkley in Yorkshire. It’s in the town centre not far from the station. At that time of the evening on a Monday night it should be reasonably quiet.
Comments
Although the OBR are still predicting (March 2014 EFO) that Osborne will miss the secondary target by a year, I think there is a reasonable chance (say 40%) that he will make it.
See the current trend. This looks very much as if the ratio is topping out at the moment. It won't require much additional GDP growth over latest OBR forecast (which was conservatively estimating 0.5% growth per quarter for this fiscal year) or much improvement in receipts affecting PSND ex for the target to be met this fiscal year. The problem however is that it is all change in debt presentation from September 2014 onwards when ESA2010 and other major changes are due to be implemented by the ONS. Under the new methods PSNB ex is due to rise around £120 bn, so by the time of the GE this target may be lost in translation.
Oh dear. The regulars are in for a shock.
Is downstairs near the Ladbrokes and o2 shop, near t'statues
Have £30 of green on the Lanka at the moment. Fiver, £13 red Eng, Draw respectively
I remember some years ago staying at the Hotel Marina in Denmark, which turned out to be where the Danish national team (then very successful) were temporarily based. My wife was alarmed, fearing that the night would be filled with riotous parties, etc. We didn't hear a sound, and the only sign of their presence was that all the copies of the broadsheet newspapers had been taken next morning. My wife told the receptionist that she was relieved - the receptionist looked bemused, and said that surely the team was just behaving normally, like any other guests.
We flew to LA last year with Spurs - they were perfectly charming and nice, albeit (accordingly to my wife!) a little over manicured...
Very considerate fellow passengers - the coaches entertained my 18 month old daughter by pulling faces at her for much of the flight
Costa Rica 7.2
Draw 4.2
Me: I grew up in Sheffield
PSL: That's Yorkshire?
Me: Yes, have you got any Yorkshire in you ?
PSL: No
Me: Well would you like some Yorkshire in you ?
It's a miracle I'm not assaulted more often.
Most of the Tories will have already sold their grannies.
Leeds to Ilkley is about 30mins.
Elderly lady rings @BBCRadio2 upset about #England, “but pleased as a Liverpool fan because it shows Gerrard & Suarez working well together”
Enjoy the drinks at Ilkley - I hope the beer is good.
The Sun - Football @TheSunFootball 1m
Well that backfired, Roy.
Suarez: "It wasn’t revenge but in England they talked about the injury and the coach had words that annoyed (me)"
Voting intentions poll shows LAB 35%, CON 29%, UKIP 23%, LIB DEM 6%, OTHER 8%
A new TNS voting intentions poll shows Labour would get 35% of the vote in a General Election - 6 percentage points ahead of the Conservative Party (29%).
Support for UKIP is high (23%) following their success at the European Elections. UKIP’s challenge may be sustaining this support as a General Election approaches and issues other than Europe become part of the political debate.
The Liberal Democrats have a 6% share, similar to the vote they achieved in the recent European Elections, which would place them in a distant fourth place at a General Election.
http://www.tnsglobal.com/uk/press-release/labour-lead-conservative-party-six-points
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-27871231
twitter.com/Cam_PeckhamCA/status/479345707435163648/photo/1
Lab minus 3, Con minus 1, LD minus 2, UKIP plus 11
It's even better than I thought when I first pointed it out on the 18th as a potential hostage to fortune:
"But a few of their players are either not good enough or look as though their best years are now behind them."
*Cough
Unfortunately for me I will be kicking my heels in the godforsaken town of Frankfurt on that date. There are few places on this earth as boring as Frankfurt.
Clearly you've never been to Middlesbrough.
htt ps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L8Gk3emWTm4
Quote my post to see the code used.
"Ofsted: state school pupils 'under-represented' in top sport"
Two headlines from this afternoon's Telegraph. Clearly there can't be a connection between them.
I seem to remember our needing Israel to win in unlikely circumstances against Russia and their doing so, only for us to lose at home to Croatia and go out! What price two Italian wins and our then failing to beat the Costa Ricans?
That gloomy prospect notwithstanding, every Englishman will be a honorary Italian tonight. If the Azzuri do this business, you have to say that England have a chance.
http://i1.ytimg.com/vi/07FdVcspOfQ/maxresdefault.jpg
If you look at wikipedia's history for Visbek, nothing of note has happened since AD855. At least Munster had a little rebellion in the 1500s...
Ah! Thanks to you both.
Just checking up on P2. Nothing too exciting, though mildly surprised Alonso was third again.
Both Munster and Münster appear to have had rebellions in the 1500s, but I would be surprised at anyone saying that Munster was a boring place.
Until now, I didn't know how to do ulmauts on PB...
I spend far too much of my time in rural Germany.
Good luck!
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/10835981/Neil-Hamilton-plots-return-to-Commons-as-MP-in-2015.html
http://us1.campaign-archive1.com/?u=8f42af8d26b382b0bcc4930b2&id=8a0db25b2b&e=ae7f92d13c
Hamilton would get thrashed, I've driven through Tatton and it strikes me as the sort of place where UKIP would bomb. Add in Hamilton and he might be struggling to beat the Lib Dems there.
Best wishes.
Should take such numbers with a pinch of salt, but does look very much like a Silver Arrow duel.
http://www.thelocal.se/20140620/swedish-school-class-genitally-mutilated
Best wishes sir
http://bramcotetoday.org.uk/2014/06/20/broxtowe-residents-meet-the-prime-minister-to-talk-about-potholes-in-their-area/
I wish more computer games came with German translations. Happens much less often these days. How else are young fellows meant to learn a Sturmgewehr is an assault rifle (from Fear Effect) or Heiligkeit means holiness, or Zelt is a tent (Shadow Hearts: Covenant)?
As an ex resident of Styal I can't see UKIP doing well here and he's not popular here either.
Plus why would he want to stand against the most UK wide popular politician that is Osborne. He'd be better of standing against a toxic politician like Ed Miliband
http://www.election-data.blogspot.co.uk/2014/06/the-constituency-of-portsmouth-south.html
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB 20m
New TNS-BMRB poll has
LAB 35%, CON 29%, UKIP 23%, LIB DEM 6%
Are TNS-BMRB a full member of the British Polling Council?
http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/483778/Nigel-Farage-says-David-Cameron-and-the-Tories-have-tried-to-undermine-Ukip-in-EU-pacts
But they really need to send Hague or somebody serious to do it. If Cameron didn't trust Lansley with a meaningful job it's hard to believe the other 27 PMs are going to.