The self confidence of a lawyer – politicalbetting.com
The self confidence of a lawyer – politicalbetting.com
I think people misunderestimate JD Vance, he’s a lawyer and very few Catholics/people would have the self confidence to publicly lecture the Pope about theology, I am impressed at his self confidence.
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He knows that every day this 'forever' war madness goes on is another nail in his 2028 ambitions.
And he is obviously completely against the idea.
And Trump is setting him up to be the fall guy when negotiations fail.
What to do?
Tell me market makers aren't going to buy this shit for yet another Monday?
Barak Ravid
@BarakRavid
🚨In a brief call on Sunday, Trump told me he "feels fine" about the negotiations with Iran
🚨"The concept of the deal is done. I think we have a very good chance to get it completed," he said
https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/2045923289306935481
The main reason is that the Dems are still nuts and are quite likely to nominate another loser like Harris. Or indeed Harris
Never underestimate the ability of the Dem party to fuck up.
Vance's negatives are just too high - he is the least popular VP ever.
He has none of the charisma or star power you need in a single candidate election to reach out beyond your base.
I just don't see where he'd get a winning coalition of hardcore Republicans and Independents from, and he'd also have the added huge negative of having to defend the disasters of the Trump administration.
So I think he'd be, to put it mildly, a core vote strategy for Republicans. And there just aren't enough MAGA fanatics to win.
Dame Andrea Jenkyns DBE 🇬🇧
@andreajenkyns
Spring cleaning has officially taken a turn for the worse. 🤦♀️📸
I’ve unearthed the 17-year-old modeling archives. I’m not sure what’s more of a health and safety risk: my 90s 'Blue Steel' pout or the sheer volume of hairspray required to keep that Rock Chic look structural. 💨💁♀️
Let's see your 80s and 90s era photos!
https://x.com/andreajenkyns/status/2045917664955048140
1. Centrism isn't that popular. Lots of people everywhere are pretty hopping mad at status quo centrism.
2. If you never advocate for your side of the political debate, then you cede the political initiative to the other side, and you end up having to chase them as they shift the political centreground ever further in their direction.
3. You have to offer something to the ideological people on your side in order to keep their support and to harness their energy as part of an election campaign. Where Democrats have arguably gone wrong is on doing this with identity issues, rather than economic issues.
https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/2045936804402995598?s=20
Pippa Crerar
@PippaCrerar
NEW: Downing Street is attempting to demolish the argument from Olly Robbins’ allies that he was prevented by law from telling ministers that Mandelson had failed vetting, ahead of key Commons statement on Monday.
https://x.com/PippaCrerar/status/2045936493902852220
Was he not elected by the conclave of cardinals in the usual way?
UK Prime Minister
@10DowningStreet
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59m
Visiting the crew of a Vanguard-Class submarine as they return from a record-long deployment.
As we face an increasingly volatile world, our nuclear deterrent is more important than ever.
Thank you for keeping Britain and NATO safe 🇬🇧
This is "yes minister" levels of stupidity. Just throw them under the bus: don't pretend you're the good guy for doing so.
Mind you, he was teaching (for decades) moral philosophy at Queens. During the fun times. Now *thats* a tough audience.
The silly thing is that if they scared the shit out of the population and started talking about drafts, compulsory training, plans for an emergency then it might help by making the population get a bit more serious. At the moment I (and I will likely be put in my box on this here) think we are a bit of a soft joke of a general country. People are addicted to quick hits, fripperies, idiocracy, selfishness.
The country as a whole needs to possibly be a bit more serious - nothing comes fro free.
I stopped for a beer, and to try to book something a bit closer. The only decent looking place I could find was in a town called Muzillac that was just five miles away
I was a bit irritated that I was only going to get 16 miles done, and had to remind myself that I did break an ankle and seven ribs only nine months back, followed by four months off
I arrived in Muzillac to a lovely, thatched stone farmhouse. The couple who ran it were Swiss and in their late fifties, they’d sold up in Switzerland ten years ago to move to a much bigger place in Brittany
They were so friendly and welcoming; they gave me a bottle of lovely, and strong, local beer, and we chatted in the garden for about an hour. I noticed that time was getting on, so said that I’d need to go out for dinner
They gave me a couple of recommendations, but said if I wanted to, to please stay with them for dinner. I don’t like to look a gift horse in the mouth, so stayed for baked fish, chips, stuffed tomatoes and salad, with a couple of glasses of wine. And a large whisky after
They made me a good breakfast first thing this morning, and then refused to let me pay for the dinner and drinks the night before , so I set off for La Roche Bernard
I arrived there, about eleven miles away, and was rather surprised to find the beautiful, tiny city in the midst of a medieval festival. People were dressed up as soldiers, jesters and wenches. There were bagpipes and drums, fire breathers , jugglers, sword fighting and much more
I stopped for a couple of beers, watched the show and found a place to stay tonight. I booked a little house in a town called Missillac, eight miles further on. I headed off there and arrived at about six thirty
On the way I realised that I hadn’t thought about stocking up with any supplies, and everywhere was shut. I met the host there; another lovely lady, I think in her late thirties. I told her my predicament
She responded by asking if I wanted a beer, she could grab us each one from her house, about 100 metres away, we could drink them together, and then she’d drive me to the golf club, where the clubhouse was definitely open for dinner
We had a really nice chat with the beers, and on the drive to the golf club, then a hug after she dropped me off
I’m now at the clubhouse and have just finished steak tartare for starter and prawn curry with black rice for main. I’m now feeling quite blessed
Thoughts and prayers for @Brixian59
https://uk.diplomatie.gouv.fr/en/president-delivers-speech-frances-nuclear-deterrence
Every lifelong Catholic I've ever met is like "I think we're supposed to give this food to poor people" and every adult convert is like "the Archon of Constantinople's epistle on the Pentacostine rites of the eucharist clearly states women shouldn't have driver's licenses."
It's not the first Pope it's happened with, either. There was that argument with Pope Francis about the order of love just before he died.
If this is repeated by Olly Robbins on Tuesday then Starmer has serious questions to face plus unfair dismissal
https://www.facebook.com/share/r/17xqqVAGnd/
Zelenskyy makes a big announcement: “We have already reached 10-year agreements with three key countries: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar. We already have requests from 11 countries – the Middle East and the Gulf, plus we’re also gradually turning our attention to the Caucasus.
“Within this Drone Deal, there will be at least 10 different agreements covering various categories of Ukrainian weapons exports. Co-production is planned – the construction of our production lines both in Ukraine and in other countries.
“New technologies that we are developing jointly with various countries, in which they are investing. There is also an agreement on annual funding for a specific amount, along with a fixed number of years.
“Second: the European track. Work has already begun with Germany, Italy, Norway, Sweden, and the Netherlands. Of course, we have good relations with the United Kingdom and France. I am confident that all of this will also be implemented there.”
Up to, and including, holding that the current pope is a representative of the Devil.
And a Whitehall source says: “One by one we have demolished all of the arguments put forward by Olly’s ‘allies.’ We have the receipts.”
The govt is coming out swinging tonight and seems to think it can show Robbins was the one who got it wrong
All it took for four years of invading them.
Africa Province (Roman Empire) 3
Croatia (Kingdom of the Lombards)
Dalmatia 2
Judaea Province (Roman Empire)
Byzantine Palestine 3
Asia Minor 2
Roman Greece and Byzantine Greece 5
Roman/Byzantine Syria, and Bilad al-Sham 7
Austrian part of Holy Roman Empire 1
England 1
Lusitania (Roman Empire) and Portugal 2
Kingdom of France (medieval)
French part of Holy Roman Empire 17
Spain (Valencia in the Crown of Aragon) 2
Dutch part of Holy Roman Empire 1
Italian Peninsula (see below) 217
Vatican City 9
Poland 1
German part of Holy Roman Empire
Contemporary Germany 4
Argentina 1
United States 1
Total 265
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_popes_by_country
But their military is probably going to be superior to anyone else.
Vance is arguing with the Pope about what is a just war without realising or remembering that the Pope was the head of the Augustinian Order and it was St Augustine of Hippo who pretty much invented the Christian idea of "just war". The Pope is likely to understand it a lot better than Vance.
I quite like Leo. He has just been on a visit to North Africa, going to some of the places associated with Augustine.
Jesus Ballycastle Christ
Barefoot ankle deep in scalding water breathing fetid air that carried endless diseases in front of machinery that made them deaf and generally crippled them by the age of 30
Their life expectancy was lower than coal miners of the same era
White privilege, eh?
Thank god we live in such soft times - almost all warm and dry whenever we wish to be.
Keep them coming
You must be personally very charming. This doesn’t happen to everyone yet it quite often happens to you
👏
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/12/opinion/trump-harris-concepts-obamacare.html
That was a couple of years ago.
Still pending.
Could it just wait until I'm dead to blow up completely?
Though clearly not by JD.
Trump - blew a hole in the engine room !!!!!
#subtlepunning
I already have about a dozen Ulster linen tea towels from the post war era (they are the world’s best tea towels)
But imagine the dark noom of linen from 1892
But they are a long way behind Ukraine, even if they are miles ahead of us.
In this case, a series of blockades by a series of blockheads.