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The betting markets are so far unmoved by Starmer’s speech – politicalbetting.com

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  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 20,283
    Sean_F said:

    It's always a wonderful moment when a great thinker turns their intellectual armoury upon a new subject.

    Sharron Davies MBE
    @sharrond62
    Remind me again who it was that destabilised the Middle East?
    6:59 pm · 30 Sep 2025
    ·
    86.8K
    Views

    https://x.com/sharrond62/status/1973085420473778387

    In a historical context the British for enacting the Balfour Declaration?

    My boss around 30 years ago lived in Collingtree Park in Northampton next door to Derek Redmond and Sharon Davies. Every now and again I was summoned over for a kicking. Sharon was often seen wondering her garden on a summer's day, resplendent in her bikini. Her dabbling in political discourse over the years has been less easy on the eye.
    The existence of Israel is only one of many reasons why the Middle East is so murderous.
    Arguably the existence of Israel has greatly reduced the amount of conflict between Arab States. Without Israel as a unifying bogeyman there could have been vastly more conflict in the region.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 57,193

    Sandpit said:

    Your daily “Russian oil refinery on fire” post.

    This one is a biggie, Yaroslavl is the fifth largest in the country and it’s 700km from Ukraine.

    https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1973254320394215675

    This is the first time this oil refinery has been hit. Several other refineries have been hit on more than half a dozen different occasions. Hopefully they won't leave it too long until hitting this refinery again too.

    If you draw a line connecting Kyiv and Moscow this refinery is on that line, a couple of hundred kilometres further away from Kyiv than Moscow, so it should benefit from Moscow's air defences. Will be interesting if we find out whether it was hit by a drone/missile launched from Ukraine, or if it was a more unusual operation.
    The Ukranian drone squadron are denying it was them.

    So either a careless cigarette, a Ukranian special forces operation, or a group of russian “partisans”..?

    Yes, this one is the wrong side of Moscow, if it were a drone it would likely have flown close to the city. Perhaps the Ukranians are denying this because admitting it would tell the Russians that their really important capital city air defences are also rubbish.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 20,283
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Your daily “Russian oil refinery on fire” post.

    This one is a biggie, Yaroslavl is the fifth largest in the country and it’s 700km from Ukraine.

    https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1973254320394215675

    This is the first time this oil refinery has been hit. Several other refineries have been hit on more than half a dozen different occasions. Hopefully they won't leave it too long until hitting this refinery again too.

    If you draw a line connecting Kyiv and Moscow this refinery is on that line, a couple of hundred kilometres further away from Kyiv than Moscow, so it should benefit from Moscow's air defences. Will be interesting if we find out whether it was hit by a drone/missile launched from Ukraine, or if it was a more unusual operation.
    The Ukranian drone squadron are denying it was them.

    So either a careless cigarette, a Ukranian special forces operation, or a group of russian “partisans”..?

    Yes, this one is the wrong side of Moscow, if it were a drone it would likely have flown close to the city. Perhaps the Ukranians are denying this because admitting it would tell the Russians that their really important capital city air defences are also rubbish.
    It could also be a spectacular result of delayed maintenance leading to a catastrophic failure.

    It could well have been a drone launched from nearby to the oil refinery. It wouldn't be the first time.
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