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This may become a defining image/legacy of the Trump/Putin summit – politicalbetting.com

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  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 10,625

    Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky have apparently agreed to sit down for a one-on-one meeting within the next two weeks.

    Friedrich Merz, the German chancellor, told reporters that Putin had agreed to a summit with the Ukrainian leader following a phone call with Donald Trump on Monday.

    Didn’t we have one of those in Turkey… oh no, the scardy cat didn’t turn up
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,567
    Greetings from Lviv, where this train gets shunted around for a bit which wakes everyone up.

    Allegedly a video of flying Flamingos. https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1957455584128545161
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 36,990
    I still find this Adam Curtis spoof from 2011 very amusing.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1bX3F7uTrg
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,983
    Andy_JS said:

    Newsnight: Children's Commissioner for England — VPNs must have age checks.

    That's it. I'm voting for Nige.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,520
    Andy_JS said:

    Linke and BSW combined have more support than the SPD for perhaps the first time in an opinion poll.

    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/insa.htm

    There's been loads of polls this year with Linke + BSW more than SPD, going back to at least March.

    The SPD have been stuck in the mid/high teens in the opinion polls since early 2018, apart from a brief surge around the 2021 election.
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,724
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Now about those 30 year yield rates… US vs UK.

    https://x.com/donaldpond6/status/1957454182564204597

    We are so totally fucked. I wonder if we will hit the wall of reality this year. We are spiralling towards an Italian or Greek style crisis
    Like the famous Japanese crisis?
    Isn't Japan weirdly insulated because so much of its massive debt is owned by Japanese citizens?

    Not that this has stopped Japan economically stagnating for about 30 years
    So long as you have your own currency, it's very hard to go completely bust.

    Now, you can end up screwing bondholders through the miracle of inflation, but that's usually better than the alternative.
    Zimbabwe says Hi. Also Weimar Germany and Argentina are happy to chat
    Oh FFS. I know this will be abused as just centrist dad but we are not fucking Weimar Germany. Nor are we Zimbabwe.

    My point is that countries that print their own money can still, de facto, go “bust” even as they retain the ability to create cash ex nihilo

    If everyone else loses confidence in your economy, politics and currency you are effectively insolvent even if the money-mint still whirrs
    Your story and reality are not the same things.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 32,350

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    What the actual SHIT?

    WHY?

    Is it literally impossible for Sir Liability to go somewhere without giving someone our money?
  • TazTaz Posts: 20,441

    Organisers have cancelled an annual literary prize created to promote LGBTQ+ writing, following a row about comments by one of the nominated authors.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clyvme385e6o

    Some people don't seem very tolerant that other people might have conflicting views.

    I’m sure it’s unrelated but one of the organisers of the letter was on the receiving end of a less than flattering review of her first book from Mr Boyne.

    Good on the organisers for cancelling rather than go ahead under such circumstances.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 6,031
    https://edition.cnn.com/2025/08/19/politics/trump-zelensky-meeting-oval-office-putin-war-analysis

    “ President Donald Trump offered tantalizing glimpses of how he could approach presidential greatness by saving Ukraine, securing Europe and genuinely deserving the Nobel Peace Prize.”

    Ooh err. Next weeks top story on cnn: We are all maga now.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 29,276
    ohnotnow said:

    The cost of buying your own place is really getting out of hand.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckgjy4d01jwo

    Soho House bought for £2bn as Ashton Kutcher joins board

    That has a distinct "got out at the right time" feel to it.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 46,581

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    What the actual SHIT?

    WHY?

    Is it literally impossible for Sir Liability to go somewhere without giving someone our money?
    It's not ideal, but *if* we manage to secure Europe now, it's money well spent. The alternative is a much larger - and more expensive in terms of men and material - war later.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 29,276
    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 29,276
    edited August 19
    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next
  • MattWMattW Posts: 29,276
    Leon said:

    I've had a lot of time to reflect, these last months of relative stablity - of quietness, reclusion, solitude, introspection. I've mulled over my assumptions, and often found them forlornly wanting - I now recognise that I've made far too many glib pronouncements, and facile statements over the PB years. And for these I apologise. I likewise apologise for those times - so many they make me wince - when I have been gracelessly offensive or needlessly abusive. I apologise for those moments, as well

    On top of that, I have learned one other thing: everyone on the left is a wanker

    Relative to your good self, that is 99.3% of the population. Ish.
  • TazTaz Posts: 20,441
    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 74,924
    edited August 19
    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    But you'd be driving a Tesla model Y or model 3.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 46,581
    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
    The model's out (sales started in May), and IIRC Mr Pioneers has altered his stance from "Wait for the new model" to "wait longer!" ;)

    We may have to wait a long time...

    https://www.wired.com/story/it-looks-like-the-tesla-model-y-refresh-has-bombed/
  • eekeek Posts: 30,975
    So Kiruna church in Sweden is being moved today / tomorrow because they need to expand the iron mine https://lkab.com/en/events/the-moving-of-kiruna-church/

    I could talk about NIMBYs, and other things but it’s worth saying this is 20 years in planning
  • BattlebusBattlebus Posts: 1,387
    eek said:

    So Kiruna church in Sweden is being moved today / tomorrow because they need to expand the iron mine https://lkab.com/en/events/the-moving-of-kiruna-church/

    I could talk about NIMBYs, and other things but it’s worth saying this is 20 years in planning

    While visiting family in Queensland, we drove past a few second hand homes sites. They're just like car dealer showrooms but offering (transportable) homes instead. Very odd seeing a 3 bedroom home on stilts ready to roam.
  • TazTaz Posts: 20,441
    edited August 19

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
    The model's out (sales started in May), and IIRC Mr Pioneers has altered his stance from "Wait for the new model" to "wait longer!" ;)

    We may have to wait a long time...

    https://www.wired.com/story/it-looks-like-the-tesla-model-y-refresh-has-bombed/
    BYD seem to be eating their lunch.

    I’m glad, for Tesla investors, they have fingers in other pies. This pie seems to be a rather poor one. Like a Tesco value pie rather than a Marks and Spencer’s one.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 29,276
    Sources saying something around "he did not commit the time". His (she claims) mum disagrees:

    As his mother, I can confirm this is not the truth. Cllr Joseph Boam committed 100% of his time to the role and that is simply not true.
    12:13 PM · Aug 17, 2025 50.8K Views
    https://x.com/Lady_AmandaB/status/1957037962245321033

    The website says it is their scalp, so it could be local media achieving cut through.

    RefUK need to sort out their non-serious people.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 129,602
    Andy_JS said:

    Linke and BSW combined have more support than the SPD for perhaps the first time in an opinion poll.

    https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/insa.htm

    Yes but the CDU won't deal with them, only with the SPD. None will deal with the AfD
  • MattWMattW Posts: 29,276

    I have been very busy all day, so what has happened with Trump and big Z meeting with the European leaders hovering around in the background? Anything positive?

    Ukraine the Latest are more positive than I was expecting. Probably a good place to start; this came out in the early hours.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sHs1DEiBhbo
    Putin and Zelensky to meet within two weeks & US 'to protect Ukraine as part of a peace deal'
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 46,581
    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
    The model's out (sales started in May), and IIRC Mr Pioneers has altered his stance from "Wait for the new model" to "wait longer!" ;)

    We may have to wait a long time...

    https://www.wired.com/story/it-looks-like-the-tesla-model-y-refresh-has-bombed/
    BYD seem to be eating their lunch.

    I’m glad, for Tesla investors, they have fingers in other pies. This pie seems to be a rather poor one. Like a Tesco value pie rather than a Marks and Spencer’s one.
    It really has been a series of brilliant moves from the master genius. Release an overpriced and underwhelming vehicle no-one wants (Cybertruck), whilst letting your core range get stale, develop a mass of technical debt, delay announced products by years (Roadster 2, Cyerbtruck) for which you take hefty deposits, and develop products that disappear (Tesla Semi).

    And all the while, royally piss off your core and most vociferous market: wealthy liberals, at a time when competitors are releasing compelling alternatives without any of the baggage.

    Genius.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 15,139
    Morning all :)

    On property taxes, I'm reminded of this from last October:

    https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/10/18/how-to-reform-property-tax/

    We don't have to call it Land Value Taxation but that's essentially where we finish up.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 56,460

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Now about those 30 year yield rates… US vs UK.

    https://x.com/donaldpond6/status/1957454182564204597

    We are so totally fucked. I wonder if we will hit the wall of reality this year. We are spiralling towards an Italian or Greek style crisis
    Like the famous Japanese crisis?
    Isn't Japan weirdly insulated because so much of its massive debt is owned by Japanese citizens?

    Not that this has stopped Japan economically stagnating for about 30 years
    So long as you have your own currency, it's very hard to go completely bust.

    Now, you can end up screwing bondholders through the miracle of inflation, but that's usually better than the alternative.
    Zimbabwe says Hi. Also Weimar Germany and Argentina are happy to chat
    Oh FFS. I know this will be abused as just centrist dad but we are not fucking Weimar Germany. Nor are we Zimbabwe.

    We could definitely do Argentina - “it’s our right to have this much spent on X. The ability to pay for it is irrelevant.”
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 80,350

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    Yes, $100bn in return for some worthless US "security guarantees" is a very poor deal indeed.

    On the other hand, the US has already almost stopped any actual funding due Ukraine, and the arms supplied are now being paid for by Europe.
    The need for them isn't going away fast, even as Europe ramps up its own arms production, so it's perhaps not quite as disastrous a deal as the headline suggests.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 46,581
    MattW said:

    I have been very busy all day, so what has happened with Trump and big Z meeting with the European leaders hovering around in the background? Anything positive?

    Ukraine the Latest are more positive than I was expecting. Probably a good place to start; this came out in the early hours.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sHs1DEiBhbo
    Putin and Zelensky to meet within two weeks & US 'to protect Ukraine as part of a peace deal'
    I live in hope.

    But for that, surely Putin will have to admit that Ukraine is a sovereign state, and not a rogue part of Russia?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,620
    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
    The model's out (sales started in May), and IIRC Mr Pioneers has altered his stance from "Wait for the new model" to "wait longer!" ;)

    We may have to wait a long time...

    https://www.wired.com/story/it-looks-like-the-tesla-model-y-refresh-has-bombed/
    BYD seem to be eating their lunch.

    I’m glad, for Tesla investors, they have fingers in other pies. This pie seems to be a rather poor one. Like a Tesco value pie rather than a Marks and Spencer’s one.
    M and S is overrated 😂
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 80,350

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    What the actual SHIT?

    WHY?

    Is it literally impossible for Sir Liability to go somewhere without giving someone our money?
    Europe's money.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 32,350
    edited August 19
    Nigelb said:

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    Yes, $100bn in return for some worthless US "security guarantees" is a very poor deal indeed.

    On the other hand, the US has already almost stopped any actual funding due Ukraine, and the arms supplied are now being paid for by Europe.
    The need for them isn't going away fast, even as Europe ramps up its own arms production, so it's perhaps not quite as disastrous a deal as the headline suggests.
    Our post-war (and frankly during war) leaders did this to us when it was decided that we would be a vassal state to the US, maintaining a polite pretence of sovereignty. Sir Blancmange is only the latest and worst example of a long and ignominious line.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 52,639
    Battlebus said:

    eek said:

    So Kiruna church in Sweden is being moved today / tomorrow because they need to expand the iron mine https://lkab.com/en/events/the-moving-of-kiruna-church/

    I could talk about NIMBYs, and other things but it’s worth saying this is 20 years in planning

    While visiting family in Queensland, we drove past a few second hand homes sites. They're just like car dealer showrooms but offering (transportable) homes instead. Very odd seeing a 3 bedroom home on stilts ready to roam.
    It is quite normal in NZ too. A relative there literally moved house 10 miles down the road to a new plot.
  • TazTaz Posts: 20,441

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
    The model's out (sales started in May), and IIRC Mr Pioneers has altered his stance from "Wait for the new model" to "wait longer!" ;)

    We may have to wait a long time...

    https://www.wired.com/story/it-looks-like-the-tesla-model-y-refresh-has-bombed/
    BYD seem to be eating their lunch.

    I’m glad, for Tesla investors, they have fingers in other pies. This pie seems to be a rather poor one. Like a Tesco value pie rather than a Marks and Spencer’s one.
    M and S is overrated 😂
    So are people who are always contrary for the sake of it because they crave attention 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 32,350
    Nigelb said:

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    What the actual SHIT?

    WHY?

    Is it literally impossible for Sir Liability to go somewhere without giving someone our money?
    Europe's money.
    If we're not included, I take it all back.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 44,744
    MattW said:

    Sources saying something around "he did not commit the time". His (she claims) mum disagrees:

    As his mother, I can confirm this is not the truth. Cllr Joseph Boam committed 100% of his time to the role and that is simply not true.
    12:13 PM · Aug 17, 2025 50.8K Views
    https://x.com/Lady_AmandaB/status/1957037962245321033

    The website says it is their scalp, so it could be local media achieving cut through.

    RefUK need to sort out their non-serious people.
    How many left after a cull of the non-serious?
    Having your mum write you a note isn’t hugely convincing. Dog prepared for council docs eating role?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 80,350

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    What the actual SHIT?

    WHY?

    Is it literally impossible for Sir Liability to go somewhere without giving someone our money?
    It's not ideal, but *if* we manage to secure Europe now, it's money well spent. The alternative is a much larger - and more expensive in terms of men and material - war later.
    Luckyguy doesn't seem to have considered that we and Europe will need to carry on buying US weapons for quite some time.
    Ukraine is for now indefensible without them.

    I've long been arguing for more independence from US supply chains, but the reality is that the biggest near term threat to Europe's ability to defend itself would be the US restricting what they were prepared to sell us.

    The devil, as ever, will be in the detail, but it's entirely possible that this just formalises what we'd be trying to do anyway.
    Presenting it as a win for Trump is the necessary flattery to get him to agree to anything.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,325

    NEW THREAD

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 74,924

    Nigelb said:

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    What the actual SHIT?

    WHY?

    Is it literally impossible for Sir Liability to go somewhere without giving someone our money?
    Europe's money.
    If we're not included, I take it all back.
    Is that a form of rebate?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 80,350

    Nigelb said:

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    What the actual SHIT?

    WHY?

    Is it literally impossible for Sir Liability to go somewhere without giving someone our money?
    Europe's money.
    If we're not included, I take it all back.
    We will be, of course.
    Just as we've been buying US arms for Ukraine for the last few years. Along with Europe.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 74,924
    edited August 19
    Donald Trump reminds me of the Marquis of Curzon. He was unkindly (but truthfully) called the Marquis of Cushion because 'he bore the imprint of whichever arse last sat on him.'

    If I were a Ukrainian I'd just be very glad he saw Putin first.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 19,898
    Foxy said:

    Battlebus said:

    eek said:

    So Kiruna church in Sweden is being moved today / tomorrow because they need to expand the iron mine https://lkab.com/en/events/the-moving-of-kiruna-church/

    I could talk about NIMBYs, and other things but it’s worth saying this is 20 years in planning

    While visiting family in Queensland, we drove past a few second hand homes sites. They're just like car dealer showrooms but offering (transportable) homes instead. Very odd seeing a 3 bedroom home on stilts ready to roam.
    It is quite normal in NZ too. A relative there literally moved house 10 miles down the road to a new plot.
    Yes - stayed at a b and b near Taupo that had been moved hundreds of miles and my ex girlfriends house had been raised on stilts and had an apartment and garage built underneath.
    That said - it’s typically wooden buildings, not brick/stone. Not much different from portacabins.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 80,350
    edited August 19

    Nigelb said:

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    Yes, $100bn in return for some worthless US "security guarantees" is a very poor deal indeed.

    On the other hand, the US has already almost stopped any actual funding due Ukraine, and the arms supplied are now being paid for by Europe.
    The need for them isn't going away fast, even as Europe ramps up its own arms production, so it's perhaps not quite as disastrous a deal as the headline suggests.
    Our post-war (and frankly during war) leaders did this to us when it was decided that we would be a vassal state to the US, maintaining a polite pretence of sovereignty. Sir Blancmange is only the latest and worst example of a long and ignominious line.
    Oh, I agree.
    We should have joined the nascent European community at the start, rather than joining later, on less favourable terms, and with less influence.

    During the war, we had no choice in seeking help from the US. Without it, we'd have lost.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 25,060
    Nigelb said:

    Always an angle shot with the Trumpster. He is like the Las Vegas hospitality scene these days, there is always just one more extra charge on top of the other charges.

    Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump to win security guarantees

    The deal, said to be financed by Europe, would also see Kyiv and Washington strike a $50bn agreement to produce drones with Ukrainian companies. It is unclear which weapons Ukraine would seek to buy, but Kyiv has been open about its desire to procure at least 10 Patriot air defence systems to protect its cities from Russian bombardments.

    https://www.ft.com/content/8dad9c67-59da-4f38-b43a-3d6ba5f1df57

    Yes, $100bn in return for some worthless US "security guarantees" is a very poor deal indeed.

    On the other hand, the US has already almost stopped any actual funding due Ukraine, and the arms supplied are now being paid for by Europe.
    The need for them isn't going away fast, even as Europe ramps up its own arms production, so it's perhaps not quite as disastrous a deal as the headline suggests.
    It seems to be $90bn for weapons purchases (over an as yet unspecified time period).

    A Santander report had the annual cost to the EU alone of the Ukraine war at $175bn.

    If it does actually stop the war, for a decade plus, it doesn't sound like a poor deal.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,755
    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    Now about those 30 year yield rates… US vs UK.

    https://x.com/donaldpond6/status/1957454182564204597

    We are so totally fucked. I wonder if we will hit the wall of reality this year. We are spiralling towards an Italian or Greek style crisis
    Like the famous Japanese crisis?
    Isn't Japan weirdly insulated because so much of its massive debt is owned by Japanese citizens?

    Not that this has stopped Japan economically stagnating for about 30 years
    Only up to a point. Japan's 30 year bond yields have gone up almost as much as 30 year gilt yields in the last year, although absolute levels are lower. Japanese savers are discovering other places to put their money, and also consuming their savings as they get older. Population ageing is pressuring public finances everywhere.
    And Japan's economic stagnation is also in large part a result of its demographics. In per capita term growth looks a lot better, very much in the pack.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 30,743
    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
    Morning! Its absolutely true that comparing off sale vs on sale in not like for like - which is what much of the media was doing. It's true that sales resumptions do not make for smooth sales numbers - you get an early adopter spike then in drops then it settles.

    We're in the post-sale drop. Need to see the rest of the quarter to see how the settle looks.

    But sales are down. And were going to be down. I've been commenting on video about it *before the old car went off sale* earlier this year. Was scorned by the usual fanbois for saying Model Y wouldn't be the best selling car in the world this year.

    The month on month comparisons for most of this year haven't been LFL. They are valid, but they tell a false story. Handy if you are pushing that false story, less handy if you are interested in reality. I've spent too many decades reporting on sales performance to waste my time trying to defend half-truths and distorted non-LFL comparisons. Because you have to make something up to explain the false narrative and then get stuck with it once it pans out...
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 46,581

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
    Morning! Its absolutely true that comparing off sale vs on sale in not like for like - which is what much of the media was doing. It's true that sales resumptions do not make for smooth sales numbers - you get an early adopter spike then in drops then it settles.

    We're in the post-sale drop. Need to see the rest of the quarter to see how the settle looks.

    But sales are down. And were going to be down. I've been commenting on video about it *before the old car went off sale* earlier this year. Was scorned by the usual fanbois for saying Model Y wouldn't be the best selling car in the world this year.

    The month on month comparisons for most of this year haven't been LFL. They are valid, but they tell a false story. Handy if you are pushing that false story, less handy if you are interested in reality. I've spent too many decades reporting on sales performance to waste my time trying to defend half-truths and distorted non-LFL comparisons. Because you have to make something up to explain the false narrative and then get stuck with it once it pans out...
    So your view is that everything is rosy and hunky-dory for Tesla and its sales?
  • BattlebusBattlebus Posts: 1,387

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
    Morning! Its absolutely true that comparing off sale vs on sale in not like for like - which is what much of the media was doing. It's true that sales resumptions do not make for smooth sales numbers - you get an early adopter spike then in drops then it settles.

    We're in the post-sale drop. Need to see the rest of the quarter to see how the settle looks.

    But sales are down. And were going to be down. I've been commenting on video about it *before the old car went off sale* earlier this year. Was scorned by the usual fanbois for saying Model Y wouldn't be the best selling car in the world this year.

    The month on month comparisons for most of this year haven't been LFL. They are valid, but they tell a false story. Handy if you are pushing that false story, less handy if you are interested in reality. I've spent too many decades reporting on sales performance to waste my time trying to defend half-truths and distorted non-LFL comparisons. Because you have to make something up to explain the false narrative and then get stuck with it once it pans out...
    So your view is that everything is rosy and hunky-dory for Tesla and its sales?
    Suspect it is part of the product life cycle. ICE cars holding their value but EV cars not so much. It's difficult to value a long term asset based on newer technology. More risk than the well established ICE market.

    https://cardealermagazine.co.uk/average-used-car-prices-holding-firm-but-electric-car-prices-still-dropping-fastest/317622
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,413

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
    Morning! Its absolutely true that comparing off sale vs on sale in not like for like - which is what much of the media was doing. It's true that sales resumptions do not make for smooth sales numbers - you get an early adopter spike then in drops then it settles.

    We're in the post-sale drop. Need to see the rest of the quarter to see how the settle looks.

    But sales are down. And were going to be down. I've been commenting on video about it *before the old car went off sale* earlier this year. Was scorned by the usual fanbois for saying Model Y wouldn't be the best selling car in the world this year.

    The month on month comparisons for most of this year haven't been LFL. They are valid, but they tell a false story. Handy if you are pushing that false story, less handy if you are interested in reality. I've spent too many decades reporting on sales performance to waste my time trying to defend half-truths and distorted non-LFL comparisons. Because you have to make something up to explain the false narrative and then get stuck with it once it pans out...
    So your view is that everything is rosy and hunky-dory for Tesla and its sales?
    In my mind you have to separate Tesla as a viable car company from Tesla as a $1tn company that will change the world.

    On the first point, it was ahead of the electric game and makes cars that a significant number of people like at moderately premium pricing. I see no reason why they can't continue to make profits on that basis.

    On the second point, it is an increasingly laughable proposition. It relies upon a 200x price to earnings ratio at a time when both revenue, earnings and subsidies are trending downwards. Its self driving and AI capabilities are behind competitors and seems to rely on Musk's sales pitch. Its brand value has plummeted in many of its core markets, including liberal Americans. And competitors have been catching up on overtaking on the core 'cost effective electric car' product that it has a significant lead in 5 years' ago.

    Share prices can defy gravity for a long time so I make no predictions there.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,520

    Taz said:

    MattW said:

    Hmmm. Tesla.

    Sales down 60% in the UK in July YOY. Those proved more resilient than elsewhere in Europe.
    Leases offered at 40% discount via third parties.
    And USA legal actions working through slowly.

    That's a Model Y from around £400+ a month, and a Model 3 for £300+ per month. Those numbers look attractive compared to some comparisons.

    No, I'm not predicting anything.

    https://www.autoblog.com/news/tesla-slashes-uk-lease-prices-after-sales-collapse-could-the-us-be-next

    I know he’s not round much now but our resident Tesla expert, @RochdalePioneers, IIRC, said a while back low Tesla sales are partly due to a model change with a new model due soon.
    Morning! Its absolutely true that comparing off sale vs on sale in not like for like - which is what much of the media was doing. It's true that sales resumptions do not make for smooth sales numbers - you get an early adopter spike then in drops then it settles.

    We're in the post-sale drop. Need to see the rest of the quarter to see how the settle looks.

    But sales are down. And were going to be down. I've been commenting on video about it *before the old car went off sale* earlier this year. Was scorned by the usual fanbois for saying Model Y wouldn't be the best selling car in the world this year.

    The month on month comparisons for most of this year haven't been LFL. They are valid, but they tell a false story. Handy if you are pushing that false story, less handy if you are interested in reality. I've spent too many decades reporting on sales performance to waste my time trying to defend half-truths and distorted non-LFL comparisons. Because you have to make something up to explain the false narrative and then get stuck with it once it pans out...
    tldr: 'I was wrong about Tesla sales bouncing back from May but won't admit it'
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