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The current bind the Republicans find themselves in – politicalbetting.com
The current bind the Republicans find themselves in – politicalbetting.com
I know this is a Trafalgar but it does the issues facing America which sees Marjorie Taylor Greene winning the Republican primary race for the Senate seat then losing in the actual election to the Democratic Party candidate and incumbentJon Ossoff.
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Trafalgar just makes up their numbers, and this is the Trafalgar founder guy simply trying to stop the Republican Party from committing suicide.
I don't believe for a second that MTG would win the Republican primary by 22 percentage points. But I also don't really think that Georgia is in play - even though it was a Trump win in 2024.
Next year will be a midterm, and even if Donald Trump wasn't massively unpopular, the Republicans would struggle to unseat a sitting Senator under those circumstances. Given that Donald Trump actually is massively unpopular, I suspect Jon Ossoff will hold Georgia fairly comfortably irrespective of who the Republican nominee is.
Oh, Andrea Jenkyns.
Why can't he stand? And, would he win..?
David Frum
@davidfrum.bsky.social
"Be patient" is what no president has ever said when things are going well.
https://bsky.app/profile/davidfrum.bsky.social/post/3lnzzykvp5s2n
My attractive market town of around 20k inhabitants has gained over 1000 new houses in the last 5 years. That's an extraordinary rate of growth, and completely unsustainable. The result has been to collapse the transport infrastructure (ten years ago I never sat in traffic ever - now half the day it's a snarled up hell-hole).
There have been zero new doctors surgeries, they've run down and partially closed the cottage hospital (so for anything serious, including maternity services it's a 45 min drive). No new supermarkets. We are apparently getting a McDonald's though, so it's all good. Oh, and house prices have doubled in ten years, which would be great for a homeowner like me, if it wasn't for the fact that I need a house to live in, so the notional value is meaningless.
The problem is simple - too many people for the space. The fix - stop letting more in.
And yes, birth rates, death rates etc are relevant. But when we're importing a net million people a year, that's the place to look first and most urgently.
I don't think net zero immigration it will even fix much - it's going to take years of building masses of houses to make them affordable again even with the population static, but it will at least reduce the rate at which time are getting rapidly worse, which is where it is headed at the moment.
BREAKING: A judge has ordered the immediate release of Mohsen Mahdawi, a Columbia student detained amid Trump administration crackdown on pro-Palestinian activists.
@liz_crampton was in the Vermont courthouse where the decision just camedown.
https://bsky.app/profile/kyledcheney.bsky.social/post/3lnzzn44h6b2j
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#2025
Then I wondered who Belle and Sebastian were.
Then I thought they reminded me of Crystal Tips & Alistair.
(CT & A includes a dog for scale.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gGuRVthDrPo
Your NHS services are poorer because the Tories underfunded the NHS. The hold-ups in house building are not caused by immigrants existing.
Blimey.
People want different things.
And that's OK.
never in them, but always somewhere else.
Why do I imagine this being said by the most annoying, half witted woman in the History of Condescension?
Sometime in the tone of voice. The voice of a deputy head mistress halfway through the menopause
The Tories poured more money than ever into the NHS and it still wasn't enough because we are older, fatter, lazier, sicker than ever and there are more of us. No-one asked the country if they wanted us to have immigration running at the rates it is now. The Tories promised to cut it to the tens of thousands. Its this kind of dishonesty that leads to the rise of reform. Don't get me wrong - Reform are a bunch of racist fuckwits with no answers to the countries problems, but they will still get votes because the common people of the country have had enough of the main parties (and that includes the Lib Dems).
Pretending immigration is the root cause of all ills is incorrect. Parties that bang on about immigration do not then fix the real problems. Trump's deportations aren't going to make the US a better place.
PS: Healthcare funding rose much lower under the Tories than under the previous Labour government.
Apart from that, good point
I also cannot understand why the Tories did what they did with immigration other than sheer incompetence. Its electoral suicide - its partly what has enabled Reform to thrive. And its just so stupid. Make the case for it and say how you will welcome people to the UK and what will be done for housing and services. Or say it will be less than 100,000 a year and deliver that.
I am stuck in the locals. The Greens have a candidate who did not turn up to hustings, nor have they given any information on what they would do. Literally an empty space in the paper. The Tories are idiots nationally, and need to look at why they lost. Labour are not even standing and that leaves Reform and the Lib Dems, who haven't bothered to leaflet us. I genuinely might spoil my ballot.
I, the same generation but preferred Roobarb and Noah & Nelly
You as a voter don't have to be passive and await leaflets. I'm sure your local Reform UK and LibDem parties have some sort of web presence. The national parties have websites with their general principles. Even without a leaflet through the door (or hustings appearance), you can work out what candidates believe in.
One positive portayal of a Tower Block was in Mary, Mungo and Midge. The architectural tour at the start is quite a masterpiece.
1960s optimism caught in a children's programme. Note the limited place for cycles and pedestrians, following the Traffic in Towns report; design them out in the minds of the young !
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOwzE20Vlag
Take a tip. Keep it simple squire.
I am whistling the theme tune as I type.
I certainly would not want to live in the middle of a city now, although I loved that when I was in my twenties. And I daresay when I'm a little older and a little less mobile, a small place in the country with a large 'hobby' room would be ideal, but pointless atm.
As I was a few leaflets short, this meant that someone else got to receive the Socialist propaganda instead.
If Gatwick was worried about it's eco footprintbolocks they'd reduce the no of flights not try for a second runway.
The whole business is shambolic and designed to fleece the traveller.
You need to follow my links. I don't put them there to be ignored
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gGuRVthDrPo
Bod was another one that was the Ministry of Silly Walks.
Here Comes Bod. Dig PC Copper:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B4IiktFp3p4
https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3lo24zag34b2d
I’ve never seen anywhere with quite so many hairdressers and barbers. There must be something in the water up here that makes their hair grow quick.
funny”
You act like discovering your total lack of humour and wit came as a shock, rather than a cold hard certainty about your personality, constantly proven true on an hourly basis for all your life
@atrupar.com
Trump: "We took over on January 20. These are quarterly reports. The tariffs haven't kicked in yet. I know that -- and I don't want this to happen -- I know that China is doing very poorly right now ... the biggest boats in the world carrying cargo like nobody has ever seen are turning around."
https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3lo25elwox62y
“Well, they did sign up for it actually.” - Trump
https://x.com/SpencerHakimian/status/1917377279753175109
This thinking reached its apotheosis with the Boriswave when they convinced themselves that having finally achieved 'control' of immigration, people wouldn't mind if it was increased even more.
Or Lady Forbes-Hamilton talking about "the grocer".
Do we get a dog for scale in the local woods, or is the pooch languishing on South Island?
We built more houses in the 1930s, proportionately, than we are now - or have at any point since the disastrous 1948 planning act was passed.
We have never post-war built at as fast a rate as we did pre-war in the 1930s - or the 1900s and times in the 19th century too.
My point is that there aren't hold ups in house building - my town is currently growing by about 10% every five years, which is raging insanity, considering that it probably only grew by 20% over the whole 20th century. The problem is that demand massively outsrips supply (in no small part southerners fleeing the dump that is the SE, based at least on who all the new people rocking up at church at the moment), because we have too many people for the availabile housing stock.
There aren't less roads in my town now than ten years ago - but now they are all snarled up. Why? Too many people. There isn't room for any new roads, so it's now all just permanently stuffed. And they are still building houses and importing people like crazy.
Do you not get why people are angry? My quality is life is being downgraded, because of bleeding heart liberals like you, filling the country with people we neither want or need.
And because the government is run by people like you, who don't understand this either, it looks increasingly likely Reform will win the next GE. I hope you all enjoy the ride.
https://www.fbu.org.uk/news/2025/04/30/firefighters-dont-trust-reform-fbu-takes-fight-reform-runcorn-election
They were warned, they knew what he was like, they voted for him anyway.
However, the country is fundamentally full. We're building houses at an astonishing pace, the infrastructure is creaking at the seams, and we're not even keeping up with the growth in demand driven by immigration alone. We already have too many people for the country to remain a pleasant place to live, so we should stop adding more.
Astonishing is how few houses we are building. We built more in the 19th century and the 1900s and the 1930s than we are now. Its not an astonishing pace.
Granted Scotland and Wales have plenty of space. But that's not much consolation if you're English.
Here's a good poser for wiliam.
https://x.com/krassenstein/status/1917580601139384754
We need massively more housing, millions more across the country. That means some places growing by hundreds or thousands of percent as we build new towns, or villages grow into towns, or towns grow into cities.
There's very few towns or cities that couldn't grow outwards to build new roads and new homes and businesses.
Win.
Fox Host: The new GDP number shows a drop in growth and contraction in the economy, the first we've seen in years. It's a sharp reversal from the 2.4% growth in Q4 of 2024. Q3 was 3.1%. Q2 was 3.4%. Now we're at -0.3%
https://x.com/factpostnews/status/1917605236157436211
https://x.com/leftiestats/status/1917604692223213643