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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » YouGov finds 66 PC backing Osborne’s budget but LAB’s 5pc l

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  • MaxPB said:

    So Labour want faster deficit reduction with more cuts and more tax rises?

    That was indeed what the farcical provisions of the so-called Fiscal Responsibility Act 2010, which was once Labour policy, called for.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    BobaFett said:


    Not at all true that Blairite is a worse insult than Tory for Labour supporters. That is your view, but I can assure you it is completely wrong. Many Labour supporters consider themselves Blairites. It's a broad church - just more united, currently, than the Europe-riven broad church of its opponents.

    I'm not a Labour member or anything so maybe my opinion doesn't count for these purposes but speaking as someone generally sympathetic to the current Labour Party, the Tories have gone nearly a full parliamentary term without either starting any wars over non-existent weapons or making it an imprisonable offence to fail to produce the keys to decrypt a file that isn't actually encrypted in the first place. I'm not sure exactly what "Blairite" means, but if it means, "somebody who would do the kind of thing Blair would do" you bet it's a worse insult than "Tory". (I'm not sure that "Tory" is an insult at all, but maybe that's just me.)

    I think the public spending issue is on a different axis, though.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    malcolmg said:

    YES is a certainty

    Out of interest how much have you got on?
    Not enough due to lack of funds unfortunately. Will be happy enough with the result though.
  • malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    YES is a certainty

    Out of interest how much have you got on?
    Not enough due to lack of funds unfortunately. Will be happy enough with the result though.
    But it's a sure thing. You are guaranteed to win. You should be borrowing to fund more bets, surely.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    YES is a certainty

    Out of interest how much have you got on?
    Not enough due to lack of funds unfortunately. Will be happy enough with the result though.
    You're getting very generous odds for a certainty, if you're short of funds you should be maxed out on all available credit.
  • BobaFett said:


    Not at all true that Blairite is a worse insult than Tory for Labour supporters. That is your view, but I can assure you it is completely wrong. Many Labour supporters consider themselves Blairites. It's a broad church - just more united, currently, than the Europe-riven broad church of its opponents.

    I'm not a Labour member or anything so maybe my opinion doesn't count for these purposes but speaking as someone generally sympathetic to the current Labour Party, the Tories have gone nearly a full parliamentary term without either starting any wars over non-existent weapons or making it an imprisonable offence to fail to produce the keys to decrypt a file that isn't actually encrypted in the first place. I'm not sure exactly what "Blairite" means, but if it means, "somebody who would do the kind of thing Blair would do" you bet it's a worse insult than "Tory". (I'm not sure that "Tory" is an insult at all, but maybe that's just me.)

    I think the public spending issue is on a different axis, though.
    The Coalition also aren't paying a pensionable public sector salary to anyone whose job is to make up and disseminate rumours that the LotO's son was born disabled because the LotO gave his wife a venereal disease.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    Sir Peter Tapsell retiring:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-26683935

    A bit far from London for Boris, though.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,961
    edited March 2014
    They've only gone and done it.

    Well done the Netherlanders.

    Have the Irish bowlers been coached by Jade?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    Two weeks ago there was a huge row on QT about the effects of mass immigration in Barking, East London... it went completely unmentioned on here. It is a snapshot of how those affected by the policy feel..

    ...

    (snip)

    Welcome back!
    By the way, what Farage has suggested regarding Gay Marriage is almost exactly what I think, and said on here last year.. separate the legality from the church, let everyone marry under the eyes of the law, and let churches marry who they like without having to answer to anyone
  • Sir Peter Tapsell retiring:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-26683935

    A bit far from London for Boris, though.

    Considering the seat is in Lincolnshire, is Boris the Henry IV to Dave's Richard II?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    YES is a certainty

    Out of interest how much have you got on?
    Not enough due to lack of funds unfortunately. Will be happy enough with the result though.
    But it's a sure thing. You are guaranteed to win. You should be borrowing to fund more bets, surely.
    I have enough borrowings thank you very much. I am well aware of what "certainty " means having gambled for many decades and using the word to show my personal opinion does not make it happen. Whilst I believe YES will win , only death and taxes are really certainties.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    YES is a certainty

    Out of interest how much have you got on?
    Not enough due to lack of funds unfortunately. Will be happy enough with the result though.
    You're getting very generous odds for a certainty, if you're short of funds you should be maxed out on all available credit.
    LOL, have you read my Experian file
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    edited March 2014

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    YES is a certainty

    Out of interest how much have you got on?
    Not enough due to lack of funds unfortunately. Will be happy enough with the result though.
    You're getting very generous odds for a certainty, if you're short of funds you should be maxed out on all available credit.
    Malcolmg should sell his personalised number plates for such a dead cert. Strange that he hasn't.

  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,469
    isam said:

    Back on the subject of KB I am reminded of a Record Mirror review of one of her records in about 1980: "One in Kate Bush is worth two in the hand".

    Childish but funny.

    I would love to read the book that inspired her song Cloudbusting, "A Book Of Dreams" by Wilhelm Reich

    Tried to get it on amazon a few years back and it was about £200 so I flinched

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloudbusting
    Mrs J's read it. She got it out as a child from the British Council library in Ankara. She still remembers it fondly. I've never been able to get my hands on a copy, although the text is out there on t'Internet.
  • So England play The Netherlands in the world t20.

    They beat us in 2009 at Lords.

    Jade vs The Netherlands, when they do put the odds up, back the Netherlands to defeat England.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    I back Osborne's changes to the savings and pensions regime. I am not going to vote Tory though.

    What would it take for you to vote Tory? What offer could they give that would make you consider voting for them?

    I'd need to see a lot more evidence that they see the world from the bottom up rather than the top down, that they see the state and the public sector as powerful forces for good, that they did not dislike trade unions, that they recognised the major flaws in the Anglo-Saxon capitalist model and that they would not continually tack to the right in order to pander to UKIP switchers.
    What have the actually *done* (rather than said) which is 'tacking right'?
    One small example off the top of my head: they've made it a lot harder for people to take claims to an employment tribunal, thus weakening the protection this provided for employees.
    It's not something I've ever had to worry about, but there has certainly been an issue with vexatious claimants - IIRC, the reforms were intended to mean that real claimants could go ahead, but people who were just looking for a quick settlement by threatening their employers found it more risky to do so.

    That doesn't strike me as right or left wing, just a tidying up of a necessary function that wasn't working perfectly
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,566
    macisback said:



    Are Councils especially the hard left Labour ones like Derby and Derbyshire working to trim the flab, or in other words bloated and poor quality management performance and structure. Also how many of these claimants are genuinely ill, unable to work. As has been seen easy to pretend to be ill en masse.
    Councils are doing a good deal to squeeze inefficiencies - it's always possible to find exceptions but overall it's not the current problem.

    Your second point is, without being especially personal, the sort of out of touch comment that makes Tories disliked. In my opinion, there is a very large swathe of people who have no realistic chance of finding paid work without serious help and are being penalised instead of helped. You don't have to believe me.
    SeanT said:



    So you offer two examples of Tory rightwingery, and then you simultaneously admit that the first is reasonable and that Labour would be forced to do the second, just like the coalition.
    Nope. I said that the first would be reasonable as an occasional one-off but it's being pushed as a systematic agenda, year after year, with no public debate to justify it. The second is a choice that I don't agree with - we aren't all of one mind.

    And you're not dim enough to have overlooked either point - you're just distorting because it suits your argument (which is par for the course and why I don't usually bother to argue policy here).

    Just catching a plane so I'll leave it there anyway!

  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    edited March 2014

    BobaFett said:


    Not at all true that Blairite is a worse insult than Tory for Labour supporters. That is your view, but I can assure you it is completely wrong. Many Labour supporters consider themselves Blairites. It's a broad church - just more united, currently, than the Europe-riven broad church of its opponents.

    I'm not a Labour member or anything so maybe my opinion doesn't count for these purposes but speaking as someone generally sympathetic to the current Labour Party, the Tories have gone nearly a full parliamentary term without either starting any wars over non-existent weapons or making it an imprisonable offence to fail to produce the keys to decrypt a file that isn't actually encrypted in the first place. I'm not sure exactly what "Blairite" means, but if it means, "somebody who would do the kind of thing Blair would do" you bet it's a worse insult than "Tory". (I'm not sure that "Tory" is an insult at all, but maybe that's just me.)

    I think the public spending issue is on a different axis, though.
    The Coalition also aren't paying a pensionable public sector salary to anyone whose job is to make up and disseminate rumours that the LotO's son was born disabled because the LotO gave his wife a venereal disease.
    That sounds icky but if it keeps them busy when they could be doing something seriously harmful then whatever.
  • Considering the seat is in Lincolnshire, is Boris the Henry IV to Dave's Richard II?

    Richard II was a king ahead of his time, with a visionary and anticipatory conception of monarchy. His reputation suffers from the fact that nearly all that has been written about him has been written with the benefit of Lancastrian-slanted hindsight. Thomas Walsingham, William Shakespeare, William Stubbs, R.H. Jones and A. Goodman all stand convicted on this count. David Cameron is no Richard II.
  • BobaFettBobaFett Posts: 2,789
    MaxPB said:

    BobaFett said:

    BobaFett said:

    BobaFett said:

    LOL. Today's latest rehash from Dan Hodges is worth a look if only for the comments at the bottom. It seems Telegraph readers are querying why, despite predicting a Labour collapse since the Year Dot, Labour's polling score remains resilient. My personal favourite was from one chap who wondered why, as he had been a Tory voter for 50 years and was not going to vote for Cameron, Hodges thought current Labour pledges would do so.

    Labour's argument is essentially that had they been left in charge the Ponzi scheme could have continued.

    It is depressing that 35% or so of the electorate are so dumb and / or morally incompetent as to believe this and want to vote for it.

    It's a well worn PB tradition that when the Conservatives are in panic mode (one of only two modes, the other being complacency), they blame the electorate for being too stupid to vote for them. It's a strategy of sorts, I suppose.
    Boba - I have said for a number of years that the fury the voters will recieve on here on election night will be a sight to behold....it will be damn ugly.
    There is every chance that in 2015 the election will be won by the party that wrecked not just our economy, but everyone else's as well. There is a block vote out there that does not want this fixed.

    It's an Easter Island strategy and it's pretty revolting morally, since any thoughtful person can see that the consequences of trashing the economy with debt now are visited on people who don't get to vote on it because they aren't born yet.
    You do realise that Ozzy will have almost doubled the national debt by 2015, and that he will miss his own deficit targets by ~£200bn, due to presiding over a flatlining economy for three years (which was growing when he took over).
    So Labour want faster deficit reduction with more cuts and more tax rises?
    No - more growth! Why do Conservatives ALWAYS forget that?!
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    Considering the seat is in Lincolnshire, is Boris the Henry IV to Dave's Richard II?

    Richard II was a king ahead of his time, with a visionary and anticipatory conception of monarchy. His reputation suffers from the fact that nearly all that has been written about him has been written with the benefit of Lancastrian-slanted hindsight. Thomas Walsingham, William Shakespeare, William Stubbs, R.H. Jones and A. Goodman all stand convicted on this count. David Cameron is no Richard II.
  • BobaFettBobaFett Posts: 2,789
    taffys said:

    ''Boba - I have said for a number of years that the fury the voters will recieve on here on election night will be a sight to behold....it will be damn ugly. ''

    Nope. I think most tories would acknowledge the voter is always right. If labour win, there will be a good reason.

    Well perhaps those on here are not representative, I'll grant you that.
  • BobaFettBobaFett Posts: 2,789
    ...but the daily lurches from "crossover" to "the electorate are stupid" on here really are a sight to behold.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    YES is a certainty

    Out of interest how much have you got on?
    Not enough due to lack of funds unfortunately. Will be happy enough with the result though.
    You're getting very generous odds for a certainty, if you're short of funds you should be maxed out on all available credit.
    Malcolmg should sell his personalised number plates for such a dead cert. Strange that he hasn't.

    Poor T*m reduced to a cypher
  • Considering the seat is in Lincolnshire, is Boris the Henry IV to Dave's Richard II?

    Richard II was a king ahead of his time, with a visionary and anticipatory conception of monarchy. His reputation suffers from the fact that nearly all that has been written about him has been written with the benefit of Lancastrian-slanted hindsight. Thomas Walsingham, William Shakespeare, William Stubbs, R.H. Jones and A. Goodman all stand convicted on this count. David Cameron is no Richard II.
    Bloody Lancastrians!

    (Except the ones from Burnley, they're awesome)
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    BobaFett said:

    ...but the daily lurches from "crossover" to "the electorate are stupid" on here really are a sight to behold.

    Really? Care to cite a single one?

  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    Considering the seat is in Lincolnshire, is Boris the Henry IV to Dave's Richard II?

    Richard II was a king ahead of his time, with a visionary and anticipatory conception of monarchy. His reputation suffers from the fact that nearly all that has been written about him has been written with the benefit of Lancastrian-slanted hindsight. Thomas Walsingham, William Shakespeare, William Stubbs, R.H. Jones and A. Goodman all stand convicted on this count. David Cameron is no Richard II.
    While, his is not a particularly sympathetic portrait of Richard, Shakespeare depicts Bolingbroke as a repellent character. In no sense, could his play be said to be Lancastrian-slanted.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    Back on the subject of KB I am reminded of a Record Mirror review of one of her records in about 1980: "One in Kate Bush is worth two in the hand".

    Childish but funny.

    I would love to read the book that inspired her song Cloudbusting, "A Book Of Dreams" by Wilhelm Reich

    Tried to get it on amazon a few years back and it was about £200 so I flinched

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloudbusting
    Mrs J's read it. She got it out as a child from the British Council library in Ankara. She still remembers it fondly. I've never been able to get my hands on a copy, although the text is out there on t'Internet.
    £566 brand new or 120 used!

    I would love to read it, maybe Ill try reading online

    http://www.amazon.co.uk/Reich-Peter-Book-Dreams-Pbk/dp/0525484159
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,410
    isam said:

    isam said:

    Back on the subject of KB I am reminded of a Record Mirror review of one of her records in about 1980: "One in Kate Bush is worth two in the hand".

    Childish but funny.

    I would love to read the book that inspired her song Cloudbusting, "A Book Of Dreams" by Wilhelm Reich

    Tried to get it on amazon a few years back and it was about £200 so I flinched

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloudbusting
    Mrs J's read it. She got it out as a child from the British Council library in Ankara. She still remembers it fondly. I've never been able to get my hands on a copy, although the text is out there on t'Internet.
    £566 brand new or 120 used!

    I would love to read it, maybe Ill try reading online

    http://www.amazon.co.uk/Reich-Peter-Book-Dreams-Pbk/dp/0525484159
    Welcome back !

    Hope your Cheltenham was more profitable than mine - Raceclear had a shocker, but ofc winners as soon as its over ;)
  • BobaFett said:

    MaxPB said:

    BobaFett said:

    BobaFett said:

    BobaFett said:

    LOL. Today's latest rehash from Dan Hodges is worth a look if only for the comments at the bottom. It seems Telegraph readers are querying why, despite predicting a Labour collapse since the Year Dot, Labour's polling score remains resilient. My personal favourite was from one chap who wondered why, as he had been a Tory voter for 50 years and was not going to vote for Cameron, Hodges thought current Labour pledges would do so.

    Labour's argument is essentially that had they been left in charge the Ponzi scheme could have continued.

    It is depressing that 35% or so of the electorate are so dumb and / or morally incompetent as to believe this and want to vote for it.

    It's a well worn PB tradition that when the Conservatives are in panic mode (one of only two modes, the other being complacency), they blame the electorate for being too stupid to vote for them. It's a strategy of sorts, I suppose.
    Boba - I have said for a number of years that the fury the voters will recieve on here on election night will be a sight to behold....it will be damn ugly.
    There is every chance that in 2015 the election will be won by the party that wrecked not just our economy, but everyone else's as well. There is a block vote out there that does not want this fixed.

    It's an Easter Island strategy and it's pretty revolting morally, since any thoughtful person can see that the consequences of trashing the economy with debt now are visited on people who don't get to vote on it because they aren't born yet.
    You do realise that Ozzy will have almost doubled the national debt by 2015, and that he will miss his own deficit targets by ~£200bn, due to presiding over a flatlining economy for three years (which was growing when he took over).
    So Labour want faster deficit reduction with more cuts and more tax rises?
    No - more growth! Why do Conservatives ALWAYS forget that?!
    Personally I don't forget it, I just think it's a lie. you inherited a growing economy from someone else and you increased its debts and wrecked it. Now you're saying you could return that economy to growth and this time you'll use the growth to reduce the debt you created.

    Pull the other one.

    Labour wants to get into power because there are some people out there doing better than the average Labour voter. Labour really, really hates those people, and this time you've got a really good pretext to really dish those b@stards.


  • Ladbrokes Politics ‏@LadPolitics 3m

    Tapsell standing down as MP. 6/1 Boris stands in Louth & Horncastle at election.
    http://bit.ly/1nJpOyO
  • Life_ina_market_townLife_ina_market_town Posts: 2,319
    edited March 2014

    While, his is not a particularly sympathetic portrait of Richard, Shakespeare depicts Bolingbroke as a repellent character. In no sense, could his play be said to be Lancastrian-slanted.

    The question is where did Shakespeare get his anti-Ricardian slant from. The answer is that he consulted histories based on the chronicles of his reign, most of whose authors wrote their accounts with a copy of the "Record and Process" of Richard II's deposition in front of them.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    One of my colleagues has just shown me a couple of Cartoons from the last week or so featuring Ed Milliband that have been in the Times..... bloody hell they really are rather cruel (but accurate).
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    BobaFett said:

    BobaFett said:

    BobaFett said:

    LOL. Today's latest rehash from Dan Hodges is worth a look if only for the comments at the bottom. It seems Telegraph readers are querying why, despite predicting a Labour collapse since the Year Dot, Labour's polling score remains resilient. My personal favourite was from one chap who wondered why, as he had been a Tory voter for 50 years and was not going to vote for Cameron, Hodges thought current Labour pledges would do so.

    Labour's argument is essentially that had they been left in charge the Ponzi scheme could have continued.

    It is depressing that 35% or so of the electorate are so dumb and / or morally incompetent as to believe this and want to vote for it.

    It's a well worn PB tradition that when the Conservatives are in panic mode (one of only two modes, the other being complacency), they blame the electorate for being too stupid to vote for them. It's a strategy of sorts, I suppose.
    Boba - I have said for a number of years that the fury the voters will recieve on here on election night will be a sight to behold....it will be damn ugly.
    There is every chance that in 2015 the election will be won by the party that wrecked not just our economy, but everyone else's as well. There is a block vote out there that does not want this fixed.

    It's an Easter Island strategy and it's pretty revolting morally, since any thoughtful person can see that the consequences of trashing the economy with debt now are visited on people who don't get to vote on it because they aren't born yet.
    You do realise that Ozzy will have almost doubled the national debt by 2015, and that he will miss his own deficit targets by ~£200bn, due to presiding over a flatlining economy for three years (which was growing when he took over).
    You didn't respond to my question the other day, so perhaps you will now.

    Why was it growing in 2010 and was it sustainable?
  • Floater said:

    One of my colleagues has just shown me a couple of Cartoons from the last week or so featuring Ed Milliband that have been in the Times..... bloody hell they really are rather cruel (but accurate).

    This one is my favourite

    Tim Montgomerie ‏@TimMontgomerie 15h
    I love this cartoon from @BrookesTimes: Ed Miliband, champion of the people

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/opinion/article2481811.ece#tab-4 … (no paywall)
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064
    BobaFett said:

    MaxPB said:

    BobaFett said:

    BobaFett said:



    Labour's argument is essentially that had they been left in charge the Ponzi scheme could have continued.

    It is depressing that 35% or so of the electorate are so dumb and / or morally incompetent as to believe this and want to vote for it.

    It's a well worn PB tradition that when the Conservatives are in panic mode (one of only two modes, the other being complacency), they blame the electorate for being too stupid to vote for them. It's a strategy of sorts, I suppose.
    Boba - I have said for a number of years that the fury the voters will recieve on here on election night will be a sight to behold....it will be damn ugly.
    There is every chance that in 2015 the election will be won by the party that wrecked not just our economy, but everyone else's as well. There is a block vote out there that does not want this fixed.

    It's an Easter Island strategy and it's pretty revolting morally, since any thoughtful person can see that the consequences of trashing the economy with debt now are visited on people who don't get to vote on it because they aren't born yet.
    You do realise that Ozzy will have almost doubled the national debt by 2015, and that he will miss his own deficit targets by ~£200bn, due to presiding over a flatlining economy for three years (which was growing when he took over).
    So Labour want faster deficit reduction with more cuts and more tax rises?
    No - more growth! Why do Conservatives ALWAYS forget that?!
    So in the spectre of the largest fiscal deficit in the developed world, the worst recession in the developed world, the largest financial services sector as a proportion of GDP of major countries, and the Eurozone crisis the answer is more growth? Come off it. That is not a real answer. Any growth that the government could have stimulated between 2011 and 2012 would have been fleeting and evaporated at the first sign of trouble (much like Labour's phantom growth). No. More growth was not and still is not the answer. We as a country need to decide whether we are going to continue to pay people to be unproductive through the generous benefits and tax credits system or not. Social benefits make up 22% of GDP, that is a decision every government has put back over and over again.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Floater said:

    One of my colleagues has just shown me a couple of Cartoons from the last week or so featuring Ed Milliband that have been in the Times..... bloody hell they really are rather cruel (but accurate).

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/opinion/article2481811.ece
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,410

    Ladbrokes Politics ‏@LadPolitics 3m

    Tapsell standing down as MP. 6/1 Boris stands in Louth & Horncastle at election.
    http://bit.ly/1nJpOyO

    Farage must be eyeing up the seat too (~6-1 for him to stand there too iirc) - Nigel vs Boris ?
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    MaxPB said:

    BobaFett said:

    MaxPB said:

    BobaFett said:

    BobaFett said:



    Labour's argument is essentially that had they been left in charge the Ponzi scheme could have continued.

    It is depressing that 35% or so of the electorate are so dumb and / or morally incompetent as to believe this and want to vote for it.

    It's a well worn PB tradition that when the Conservatives are in panic mode (one of only two modes, the other being complacency), they blame the electorate for being too stupid to vote for them. It's a strategy of sorts, I suppose.
    Boba - I have said for a number of years that the fury the voters will recieve on here on election night will be a sight to behold....it will be damn ugly.
    There is every chance that in 2015 the election will be won by the party that wrecked not just our economy, but everyone else's as well. There is a block vote out there that does not want this fixed.

    It's an Easter Island strategy and it's pretty revolting morally, since any thoughtful person can see that the consequences of trashing the economy with debt now are visited on people who don't get to vote on it because they aren't born yet.
    You do realise that Ozzy will have almost doubled the national debt by 2015, and that he will miss his own deficit targets by ~£200bn, due to presiding over a flatlining economy for three years (which was growing when he took over).
    So Labour want faster deficit reduction with more cuts and more tax rises?
    No - more growth! Why do Conservatives ALWAYS forget that?!
    So in the spectre of the largest fiscal deficit in the developed world, the worst recession in the developed world, the largest financial services sector as a proportion of GDP of major countries, and the Eurozone crisis the answer is more growth? Come off it. That is not a real answer. Any growth that the government could have stimulated between 2011 and 2012 would have been fleeting and evaporated at the first sign of trouble (much like Labour's phantom growth). No. More growth was not and still is not the answer. We as a country need to decide whether we are going to continue to pay people to be unproductive through the generous benefits and tax credits system or not. Social benefits make up 22% of GDP, that is a decision every government has put back over and over again.
    Why bother?

    Bob is even more clueless than Wallace on the Economy.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,961
    edited March 2014
    Pulpstar said:

    Ladbrokes Politics ‏@LadPolitics 3m

    Tapsell standing down as MP. 6/1 Boris stands in Louth & Horncastle at election.
    http://bit.ly/1nJpOyO

    Farage must be eyeing up the seat too (~6-1 for him to stand there too iirc) - Nigel vs Boris ?
    I can't see Boris standing in Louth and Horncastle.

    If he is going to stand in 2015, it will have to be a London seat.

    He can be concurrently London Mayor and an MP for London but he can't be concurrently London Mayor and an MP outside of London.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    malcolmg said:

    Whilst I believe YES will win , only death and taxes are really certainties.

    ...and nurses ;-)
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371

    Pulpstar said:

    Ladbrokes Politics ‏@LadPolitics 3m

    Tapsell standing down as MP. 6/1 Boris stands in Louth & Horncastle at election.
    http://bit.ly/1nJpOyO

    Farage must be eyeing up the seat too (~6-1 for him to stand there too iirc) - Nigel vs Boris ?
    I can't see Boris standing in Louth and Horncastle.

    If he is going to stand in 2015, it will have to be a London seat.

    He can be concurrently London Mayor and an MP for London but he can't be concurrently London Mayor and an MP outside of London.
    *** Waves Order Paper ***

    Go Team Bojo!
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    edited March 2014
    Pulpstar said:

    Ladbrokes Politics ‏@LadPolitics 3m

    Tapsell standing down as MP. 6/1 Boris stands in Louth & Horncastle at election.
    http://bit.ly/1nJpOyO

    Farage must be eyeing up the seat too (~6-1 for him to stand there too iirc) - Nigel vs Boris ?
    I'm not sure what that seat would have to recommend it to Farage over South Thanet or wherever, especially as it's not his area.

    PS. Maybe JackW knows the 2010 UKIP candidate, Pat Nurse?
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louth_and_Horncastle_(UK_Parliament_constituency)
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821

    I can't see Boris standing in Louth and Horncastle.

    If he is going to stand in 2015, it will have to be a London seat.

    He can be concurrently London Mayor and an MP for London but he can't be concurrently London Mayor and an MP outside of London.

    Yes, quite right. I suppose at a pinch he could stand in a seat in the commuter belt, but not in Lincolnshire.
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited March 2014
    @BobaFett

    You do realise that Ozzy will have almost doubled the national debt by 2015, and that he will miss his own deficit targets by ~£200bn, due to presiding over a flatlining economy for three years (which was growing when he took over).

    You do realise that your statement is completely untrue. As I don't believe you are deliberately lying, the only explanation for your error is either complete ignorance of the true figures or an inability to understand or accept them.

    It is this kind of ignorance/denial which makes voting Labour so dangerous. After all neither Ed Miliband nor Ed Balls have make any public statement which indicates they think anything else but the same as you, Bobafett.

    Here are the correct figures on Public Sector Net Debt as published this morning in the ONS's (much improved) Public Sector Finances Bulletin:
             Public   Net Debt 
    Sector as
    Net Debt %
    £ billion GDP
    ---------------------------
    2005 475.0 36.2
    2006 509.2 36.7
    2007 645.8 44.1
    2008 2,137.3 149.8
    2009 2,245.5 154.6


    2010 2 249.8 148.7

    2011 2 224.4 143.1
    2012 2 187.8 137.6
    2013 2 204.1 133.0
    ---------------------------
    Source: ONS PSF Bulletin
    21 March 2014
    You will see from the table that Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling increased debt from £475 billion to £2,250 billion in five years. In other words Labour increased net debt four and three quarters times over their last term of government. As a proportion of GDP net debt rose from 36.2% to 154.6%.

    And these figures do not include the £200 billion of Quantitative Easing undertaken by the BoE and guaranteed by the taxpayer under Labour.

    George by contrast has reduced debt over his first three years, albeit by a small amount, £45.7 billion. The ratio of PSND to GDP has also fallen from a peak of 154.6% under Brown/Darling to 133% under Osborne.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,410

    Pulpstar said:

    Ladbrokes Politics ‏@LadPolitics 3m

    Tapsell standing down as MP. 6/1 Boris stands in Louth & Horncastle at election.
    http://bit.ly/1nJpOyO

    Farage must be eyeing up the seat too (~6-1 for him to stand there too iirc) - Nigel vs Boris ?
    I'm not sure what that seat would have to recommend it to Farage over South Thanet or wherever, especially as it's not his area.

    PS. Maybe JackW knows the 2010 UKIP candidate, Pat Nurse?
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louth_and_Horncastle_(UK_Parliament_constituency)
    Nothing, except if Boris stands there.

    I'd gladly place a bet at ~ 30-1 for both Boris and Farage to stand there.

    Their egos would probably make the events related contingencies.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Back on the subject of KB I am reminded of a Record Mirror review of one of her records in about 1980: "One in Kate Bush is worth two in the hand".

    Childish but funny.

    I would love to read the book that inspired her song Cloudbusting, "A Book Of Dreams" by Wilhelm Reich

    Tried to get it on amazon a few years back and it was about £200 so I flinched

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloudbusting
    Mrs J's read it. She got it out as a child from the British Council library in Ankara. She still remembers it fondly. I've never been able to get my hands on a copy, although the text is out there on t'Internet.
    £566 brand new or 120 used!

    I would love to read it, maybe Ill try reading online

    http://www.amazon.co.uk/Reich-Peter-Book-Dreams-Pbk/dp/0525484159
    Welcome back !

    Hope your Cheltenham was more profitable than mine - Raceclear had a shocker, but ofc winners as soon as its over ;)
    Hello! Thank you

    Well I didn't have a bet so at least I didn't lose anything! I worked on course Tue-Thu and ran the book in a pub on Gold Cup day so was very busy, but it was great fun
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @michaelsavage: Oxford's Stephen Fisher on #bbcdp. He has fascinating model predicting election outcomes. Says 61% chance Tories will win most seats...
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Nice to see you back @isam
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,046
    isam said:

    isam said:

    Two weeks ago there was a huge row on QT about the effects of mass immigration in Barking, East London... it went completely unmentioned on here. It is a snapshot of how those affected by the policy feel..

    ...

    (snip)

    Welcome back!
    By the way, what Farage has suggested regarding Gay Marriage is almost exactly what I think, and said on here last year.. separate the legality from the church, let everyone marry under the eyes of the law, and let churches marry who they like without having to answer to anyone
    1. Welcome back
    2. You are arguing for disestablishment. Which is fine but be clear that is what you are arguing for.
    3. Your return is all the more welcome to disabuse more recent posters for the notion that all Kippers are frothing at the mouth Tory refugee retired Colonel golf club types.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Nice to see you back @isam

    Thank you

    Was a bad week...Got banned on here Thursday, sent off at football on the Saturday and put my back out playing the following week!

    Will have to take it easier I think!
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    isam said:

    I worked on course Tue-Thu

    Did PtP find you? He thought you were there somewhere
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    TOPPING said:


    2. You are arguing for disestablishment. Which is fine but be clear that is what you are arguing for.

    I don't think he is - you could still have the Church of England but have it not do marriages, couldn't you? Traditional marriage is between a man and a woman, not a church and a state.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    edited March 2014
    Oxford's Stephen Fisher

    Huh, another deluded PB tory/PB Hodges

    Always wrong, never learn....etc.etc.etc.....Wait til the result....oh what a wailing and a gnashing of teeth....
  • I don't think political parties are really entitled to an opinion on anyone's marital arrangements.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    TOPPING said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Two weeks ago there was a huge row on QT about the effects of mass immigration in Barking, East London... it went completely unmentioned on here. It is a snapshot of how those affected by the policy feel..

    ...

    (snip)

    Welcome back!
    By the way, what Farage has suggested regarding Gay Marriage is almost exactly what I think, and said on here last year.. separate the legality from the church, let everyone marry under the eyes of the law, and let churches marry who they like without having to answer to anyone
    1. Welcome back
    2. You are arguing for disestablishment. Which is fine but be clear that is what you are arguing for.
    3. Your return is all the more welcome to disabuse more recent posters for the notion that all Kippers are frothing at the mouth Tory refugee retired Colonel golf club types.
    Thank you

    Well I'm not exactly sure what disestablishment is, but if that's what I am saying, then I guess that's what I mean!

    On point three, surely no one believes that old stereotype nowadays?!
  • pinkrosepinkrose Posts: 189
    Voters made their minds up when Osborne cut the 50p tax for the richest 1%. That was the moment that the Tories lost any chance of winning in 2015.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Scott_P said:

    isam said:

    I worked on course Tue-Thu

    Did PtP find you? He thought you were there somewhere
    Hi. No I didn't see him, as I was working in a box rather than a pitch. Have spoken since though. Next year I can prob get him plus guests in the box for a while if you go again, esp as he bets with the firm I worked for..
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,341
    TOPPING said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Two weeks ago there was a huge row on QT about the effects of mass immigration in Barking, East London... it went completely unmentioned on here. It is a snapshot of how those affected by the policy feel..

    ...

    (snip)

    Welcome back!
    By the way, what Farage has suggested regarding Gay Marriage is almost exactly what I think, and said on here last year.. separate the legality from the church, let everyone marry under the eyes of the law, and let churches marry who they like without having to answer to anyone
    1. Welcome back
    2. You are arguing for disestablishment. Which is fine but be clear that is what you are arguing for.
    3. Your return is all the more welcome to disabuse more recent posters for the notion that all Kippers are frothing at the mouth Tory refugee retired Colonel golf club types.
    Are you sure about 2? Methodists and RCs, for instance, have never been Established but can marry validly, can't they? And the Church of Scotland (the mainstream Presbyterian one) was disestablished IIRC in 1929 but can still marry.

    I seem to recall that the Kirk was recently discussing completely opting out of marrying people in the legal/state registration sense, as a way of resolving the internal tensions over single-sex marriages and the perceptions (wrongly or otherwise) that it would have to accept state-imposed conditions such as no anti-gay stuff in order to keep marrying folk. Much as suggested above. I don't think the proposal got very far but I found it interesting that it was aired. It was inevitably whipped up in the media by the usual suspects as an anti-Scottish Gmt thing but in reality the Scottish Pmt is pretty much cross-party when it comes to such things, and Mr Cameron's own leadership has also tended to reinforce this.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,410
    @Ladbrokes website is down today to save you all phoning them !
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    I see the BBC are continuing to hose licence fee payer money up the wall, like champagne after the 1997 GE.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2585792/New-carpets-BBCs-1bn-HQ-just-18-months-opened-Corporation-bosses-demand-revamp-current-decor-not-inspiring-enough.html

    Replacing the TV License with Subscription cannot come soon enough.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    edited March 2014
    The British public see this year's budget as the fairest since 2010 – and nine of its policies are supported by a majority

    The penultimate budget of this parliament has won broad approval from the press, and Labour’s biggest criticism focused more on what wasn’t in it than what was – indeed, Ed Balls agreed with much of it.......

    The standout policies have cross party appeal. 90% of Labour voters support raising the point at which the 40% tax rate comes into effect; 52% favour increasing the personal tax allowance to £1,500; 66% agree with increasing the amount of money people can save tax-free in an ISA; and 54% support making it easier for pensioners to take part of their pension as a lump sum.

    The only policy opposed by the majority of Labour voters (51%) is the cap on the welfare bill, which Labour have actually agreed to support..


    http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/03/21/budget-2014-fairest-since-2010/
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,046

    TOPPING said:


    2. You are arguing for disestablishment. Which is fine but be clear that is what you are arguing for.

    I don't think he is - you could still have the Church of England but have it not do marriages, couldn't you? Traditional marriage is between a man and a woman, not a church and a state.
    the difficulty stems from the distinction between Canon Law and statute law. Currently Canon Law does not allow same sex marriages. If Canon Law is amended (by the CoE) to allow same sex marriages then statute law will recognise this. It currently recognises Canon Law in not allowing same sex marriages.

    The alternative is for statute law to remove the obligation of the Church to marry anyone who asks and thereby take a step towards disestablishment.

    I'm sure that LIAMT can put it more elegantly than I can..!
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    BobaFett said:

    MaxPB said:

    BobaFett said:

    BobaFett said:

    BobaFett said:

    LOL. Today's latest rehash from Dan Hodges is worth a look if only for the comments at the bottom. It seems Telegraph readers are querying why, despite predicting a Labour collapse since the Year Dot, Labour's polling score remains resilient. My personal favourite was from one chap who wondered why, as he had been a Tory voter for 50 years and was not going to vote for Cameron, Hodges thought current Labour pledges would do so.

    Labour's argument is essentially that had they been left in charge the Ponzi scheme could have continued.

    It is depressing that 35% or so of the electorate are so dumb and / or morally incompetent as to believe this and want to vote for it.

    It's a well worn PB tradition that when the Conservatives are in panic mode (one of only two modes, the other being complacency), they blame the electorate for being too stupid to vote for them. It's a strategy of sorts, I suppose.
    Boba - I have said for a number of years that the fury the voters will recieve on here on election night will be a sight to behold....it will be damn ugly.
    There is every chance that in 2015 the election will be won by the party that wrecked not just our economy, but everyone else's as well. There is a block vote out there that does not want this fixed.

    It's an Easter Island strategy and it's pretty revolting morally, since any thoughtful person can see that the consequences of trashing the economy with debt now are visited on people who don't get to vote on it because they aren't born yet.
    You do realise that Ozzy will have almost doubled the national debt by 2015, and that he will miss his own deficit targets by ~£200bn, due to presiding over a flatlining economy for three years (which was growing when he took over).
    So Labour want faster deficit reduction with more cuts and more tax rises?
    No - more growth! Why do Conservatives ALWAYS forget that?!
    Perhaps because Labour have no policies or convincing narrative on how they'd create more growth?

    Stopping investment in energy generation, because of a price freeze isn't a great start.....

  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    Considering the seat is in Lincolnshire, is Boris the Henry IV to Dave's Richard II?

    Richard II was a king ahead of his time, with a visionary and anticipatory conception of monarchy. His reputation suffers from the fact that nearly all that has been written about him has been written with the benefit of Lancastrian-slanted hindsight. Thomas Walsingham, William Shakespeare, William Stubbs, R.H. Jones and A. Goodman all stand convicted on this count. David Cameron is no Richard II.

    A couple of years ago the BBC did a rather good radio play on Richard II, which showed him in a much more sympathetic light than he normally receives. However, even the BBC still left him as a figure out of place with the England of his time and enthralled by the absolute model of monarchy of the French. Was he ahead of his time? Maybe, whether that was a good thing for England is somewhat more in doubt. In many ways he strikes me as being an early prototype of Charles I and Charles II, absolutist, with poor political skills and in love with the Frogs. Not a good king of England.

    Bolinbroke on the other hand was a five-star bastard but was good at the politics and in touch with his time. Though he too wasn't really a good king.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498
    Charles said:

    malcolmg said:

    Whilst I believe YES will win , only death and taxes are really certainties.

    ...and nurses ;-)
    sounds like a good story in there
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,790
    Responding to Robert FPT.

    I'm an accountant who works in manufacturing not in private practice, you're by no means the first person who I've had to explain that to.

    If I worked in private practice I would doubtless see changes and increases in government regulations as a fee earning opportunity whereas in my role they're just a cost and distraction from the main purpose of the business.

    As to QA it isn't a choice, our customers insist on it and likewise we have to ensure that our suppliers meet various standards.

    H&S is just a continual aggravation of form filling, training courses and inspections. Its certainly increased over the last decade and we now need to employ a specialist H&S manager.

    The most annoying aspect of it is the claims made against us by people who worked for a few months over a decade ago, its a rare time when we don't have an active claim. Fortunately we have always taken H&S pretty seriously and have kept good records for our own payroll purposes - I doubt if we had used an outside payroll agency we would have the old info available needed to fight the claims. A problem is that H&S issues are always changing in 'fashion' - what was important 10 years ago is not what is being claimed for now. Industrial deafness seems to be the present 'fashion' so we receive claims for that dating back years, need to have noise audits taken by specialist contractors, instigate official noise policies, change safety equipment etc. In a few years doubtless some other disability will be all the rage and people will be making claims against their employers of long ago for that.

    Now you probably think this is a tedious self-pitying rant, and to some extent it is as businesses should provide a safe working environment for their employees.

    But you can be sure that all that 'Made In China' stuff which UK manufacturers are competing against does not operate under the same costs and regulations.

    And now back to work ...

  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,046
    Carnyx said:

    TOPPING said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Two weeks ago there was a huge row on QT about the effects of mass immigration in Barking, East London... it went completely unmentioned on here. It is a snapshot of how those affected by the policy feel..

    ...

    (snip)

    Welcome back!
    By the way, what Farage has suggested regarding Gay Marriage is almost exactly what I think, and said on here last year.. separate the legality from the church, let everyone marry under the eyes of the law, and let churches marry who they like without having to answer to anyone
    1. Welcome back
    2. You are arguing for disestablishment. Which is fine but be clear that is what you are arguing for.
    3. Your return is all the more welcome to disabuse more recent posters for the notion that all Kippers are frothing at the mouth Tory refugee retired Colonel golf club types.
    Are you sure about 2? Methodists and RCs, for instance, have never been Established but can marry validly, can't they? And the Church of Scotland (the mainstream Presbyterian one) was disestablished IIRC in 1929 but can still marry.

    I seem to recall that the Kirk was recently discussing completely opting out of marrying people in the legal/state registration sense, as a way of resolving the internal tensions over single-sex marriages and the perceptions (wrongly or otherwise) that it would have to accept state-imposed conditions such as no anti-gay stuff in order to keep marrying folk. Much as suggested above. I don't think the proposal got very far but I found it interesting that it was aired. It was inevitably whipped up in the media by the usual suspects as an anti-Scottish Gmt thing but in reality the Scottish Pmt is pretty much cross-party when it comes to such things, and Mr Cameron's own leadership has also tended to reinforce this.
    See my answer to EiT.

    As the Church is established, statute law has to accord with/recognise Canon Law. It is up to Canon Law (ie the Church) to decide for itself what it wants to do.
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    edited March 2014
    Rods Lambert & Butler pony juice model, Stephen Fisher, yellow boxes, swingback, stellar budget, yougov polls telling us the budget is fantastic, brilliant cartoons, Ed's crap, blank peice of paper.........and still no polling crossover. I blame the voters myself.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    New thread!

    On AV!

    Just kidding, PB's second favourite topic.....
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498
    AveryLP said:

    @BobaFett

    You do realise that Ozzy will have almost doubled the national debt by 2015, and that he will miss his own deficit targets by ~£200bn, due to presiding over a flatlining economy for three years (which was growing when he took over).

    You do realise that your statement is completely untrue. As I don't believe you are deliberately lying, the only explanation for your error is either complete ignorance of the true figures or an inability to understand or accept them.

    It is this kind of ignorance/denial which makes voting Labour so dangerous. After all neither Ed Miliband nor Ed Balls have make any public statement which indicates they think anything else but the same as you, Bobafett.

    Here are the correct figures on Public Sector Net Debt as published this morning in the ONS's (much improved) Public Sector Finances Bulletin:

             Public   Net Debt 
    Sector as
    Net Debt %
    £ billion GDP
    ---------------------------
    2005 475.0 36.2
    2006 509.2 36.7
    2007 645.8 44.1
    2008 2,137.3 149.8
    2009 2,245.5 154.6


    2010 2 249.8 148.7

    2011 2 224.4 143.1
    2012 2 187.8 137.6
    2013 2 204.1 133.0
    ---------------------------
    Source: ONS PSF Bulletin
    21 March 2014
    You will see from the table that Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling increased debt from £475 billion to £2,250 billion in five years. In other words Labour increased net debt four and three quarters times over their last term of government. As a proportion of GDP net debt rose from 36.2% to 154.6%.

    And these figures do not include the £200 billion of Quantitative Easing undertaken by the BoE and guaranteed by the taxpayer under Labour.

    George by contrast has reduced debt over his first three years, albeit by a small amount, £45.7 billion. The ratio of PSND to GDP has also fallen from a peak of 154.6% under Brown/Darling to 133% under Osborne.
    Avery, explain how he reduced it whilst borrowing more than additional £100B per annum. Did we pay back more than that each year. Methinks you are using weasely Tory words and being very very economical with the truth.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    NEW THREAD

    Is Mike Smithson The New Kate Bush ?
This discussion has been closed.