Categories
Voters rate Badenoch as worse than Truss – politicalbetting.com
Voters rate Badenoch as worse than Truss – politicalbetting.com
Fewer Britons have a favourable opinion of Kemi Badenoch than with previous new party leaders in the first YouGov poll of their leadershipKemi Badenoch: 21% favourableLiz Truss: 26%Boris Johnson: 33%Rishi Sunak: 34%Keir Starmer: 34%Theresa May: 48%https://t.co/C3skIxgWMQ pic.twitter.com/Ahd7VY1tKm
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Oh, and first.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvAHEY2lkqw
Ouch.
I can't remember a time when I've ever taken the Conservative leader less seriously than I do now.
At some point that will change.
It's early days, yet.
I think that KK needs to reduce her faceplant average rate to less than one per week.
https://x.com/lauraloomer/status/1856742062378684787
Even in the IDS era they still looked like they were taking opposition seriously, with a fairly traditional Conservative pitch. He might not have turned up the volume but the Tory message was out there - maybe having 165 rather than 120 MPs helped. I'm sure IDS wouldn't have coped with the age of social media and 24 hour news, and I suspect he'd have had a torrid GE2005 as leader. But at the time his reputation in the country was better than in Westminster. His support of Labour over Iraq was clearly crucial where opposition may well have brought the Blair Government down, and maybe that sticks in taking him seriously, as well as hindsight with his delivery of Universal Credit. Could you imagine Kemi seeing a change programme that large through?
I thought that she would be much better at PMQs than she is, as she is generally articulate.
I don't think she will be as bad as Truss in terms of favourability, as she lacks real power. She can only trash the Conservative Party, not a whole country.
Ed Davey was good today, just the right note of constructive opposition. He will make a good LOTO in 2029 if he plays his cards right.
As I said earlier Kemi is fine but also young and new into her role
Truss she is not
How will it go, should he actually put it in one ?
"Do you believe the US is currently in a recession?"
Yes: 54%
No: 30%
Leger / Nov 3, 2024 / n=1044 / Online
https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1856368890940432749
Pathetic.
She can tolerate 35-40% of voters disliking her but she needs to up the positives from the low 20s to the mid 40s - converting all those don't knows.
It's do'able; it means she needs to tell better stories about herself and connect with the public.
Supported by Twitter/X.
I tend to agree that she has time - IDS was given a couple of years and LOTO just isn't subject to the same pressure as PM. But I don't think there's a lot of mileage in saying "aah, bless her" and pointing to the L-plates.
That's great from Trump but it's going to be a problem for the GOP going forward - because Trump isn't going to solve their problems and someone else is going to be taking the blame...
If she's going to set it up as a duel between a slow witted, inflexible PM and an agile, fast thinking LOTO, she does need to have the chops (I'm reminded a bit of the 2017 election - "strong and stable" is a great slogan only as long as you are).
It's early days but does reinforce the concern amongst her MPs - that she's punchy but not all that smart.
There’s been a concerted campaign in the last few days from Trump supporters in favour of Scott, they are saying this result is Trump 0-1 Swamp.
The Compliance Doom Loop
https://www.siliconcontinent.com/p/the-compliance-doom-loop
Europe is creating a new ruling class — but they don't make laws or deliver services. Instead, they check boxes and issue stamps of approval. These are the compliance officers who ensure other people follow rules. From ESG reporting to sustainability audits, from data protection to supply chain verification, checkers and verifiers have become a fast growing segment of the economy. European business is increasingly governed by a group of rule-enforcers that, rather than create economic activity, shrink it...
… Consider this example. Spain does not have any frontier AI companies. But the country rushed to establish the first AI agency in Europe — the Spanish Agency for the Supervision of Artificial Intelligence (AESIA). The organisation will have a president, a director, two subdirectors, a secretary general and 10 departments. It includes offices with names such as the “Department of Instrumentation of Mechanisms for Trend Identification and Impact Assessment”, and the “Department of Awareness, Training, Dissemination, Promotion and Consciousness-raising”. Readers in the US are familiar with competitions between cities to host companies. In Spain, León and A Coruña fought over the decision of where to establish AESIA — the regulator for an industry that does not exist!..
There are tentative signs, both in the UK, and in Europe, that (at least some) politicians on both sides of the political spectrum are beginning to realise this is economically unsustainable.
Can they do anything significant to reverse it ?
It will be an interesting historical question as to when was the last moment that the GOP could detach themselves from Trump with some dignity and careers intact, but I suspect it was a while ago. Now, the old adage about the disadvantage of riding a tiger face-eating leopard applies to them. Oh well.
But, given the don't knows will be a disparate, mostly grumpy bunch, it would take a very skilled politician to move them all into the positive camp - by default as she becomes more known she will make as many enemies as friends. To escape this she will need political skills that she hasn't yet shown.
Because the only person I can think of is Foxy and his argument is that he can't recruit nurses..
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c624nzepd59o
Is it a “meltdown” ?
I think you’re resorting to hyperbole about a publication I suspect you don’t regularly read.
She needs a brand and makeover advisor for a start, and coaching. I hope the Conservative Party can afford it.
We don't need a constructive opposition. The opposition is there to oppose. ED is Starmer MKII. A back-up.
What kind of stupid person would deprive a country of perfect regulation?
See St Edward’s Hospital…
In our hearts.
She probably needs coaching but I don't know who is going to be able to pay for it...
As with 1979 the recession is what occurs when you try to fix the inflation...
NY Times blog
Not all going Trump's way then.
Being LOTO starts immediately you get into the job. Jenrick was ready, Kemi clearly wasn't.
She needs to get on the front foot fast.
I’d agree she’s an unknown. But she’s not yet shown much to give any confidence in her prospects.
They were a convenient ejection mechanism in July 2024. Nothing more.
If the country turns against this administration then they'll be seen as obstacle the other way and the tables will turn.
And I'm in the fortunate position of being better at earning money than spending it, so I'm personally quite relaxed about the package I get. (You would be much more likely to get me on the barracades by making my job less fun than by doing dodgy things with my salary and pension.) The trouble is, there aren't enough people like me.
The real issue isn't the current staff saying "woe is me", though that's the visible bit. It's the staff who are needed, look at the totality of pay and conditions and say "stuff that, I'd rather do something else".
They paid £340m in 2016, sacked the UK's senior management (and layers below). After losing £420m they then sold it to Hilco for £1 in 2018.. Hilco have now extracted every penny they can so they are binning it...
It's actually a little surprising. It betrays a certain insecurity on their part that Trump isn't going to simply cut off Ukraine to coerce them into a lopsided peace deal.
Bluntly, Kemi's enemies sit behind her.
Hence my question about how they might perceive a genuine recession.
Which is a distinct possibility, depending on Trump’s choices over the next few months.
I’m not assuming one, but if he does what he promised (not a given, obvs.) on tariffs and deportations, it’s pretty likely.
(“What the official stats say”, btw, is quite accurate.)
Badenoch is just a bit, well not very good at PMQs yet. Jenrick wasn't very good at humanity.
Did he manage to drive through new 20 mile an hour limits and trigger every camera?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ce8yq063m96o
That said, like Smith himself, I believe that the Government must intervene at times to prevent monopolies and curtail the power of corporations. I would add that when other countries are pursuing protectionist policies, we must do the same by necessity, or see our economy bled dry at the expense of theirs.
I will support anyone who moves in this direction.
The government must lead on this and ease pressure on companies for ESG and DEI reporting and the chancellor needs to stand behind companies that choose profit ahead of ESG/DEI when the activists start pressuring shareholders and board members.
If we don't then we will lose primary listings for BP and Shell for sure. GSK and AZ will look to follow as well. I'd also push through regulations for pension funds that basically makes it impossible for them to use ESG/DEI as investment criteria unless the pension holder has specifically given instructions to the find that they would like that criteria included.
It's time to get companies and shareholders to put profits first not stuff that hurts company performance and investment.
On a side note the above was one of my primary motivators for leaving the EU. Their solution to everything is more regulation and more oversight by officials who don't know anything. If the UK was in the EU right now our AI industry would be withering on the vine as they struggle to meet EU data and AI regulations. It's a huge growth industry for is, RunwayAI are opening up their first UK presence and are expected to have about 100 people by the end of next year at an average salary of over £100k per person. There's no industry where the EU doesn't think it knows better than the people who create the jobs and value.
I remember being about 12, when I asked my father about an opinion piece, there.
In it the writer lambasted the ghastly oiks with East End accents and too much money overrunning his beloved public school. Upstarts empowered by Thatcher etc.
I asked “Shouldn’t he be happy that poor people are getting rich?”
And to put the seal on it, people are alert to the genuineness of the issue of tax, spend and borrow and the quality of services they value. The Tories have said nothing useful about this, partly because it is very difficult to think what that could possibly be.
Imagine what JENRICK would have been like...
Welsh farmer Gareth Wyn Jones challenges Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy on #PoliticsLive over inheritance tax changes
https://x.com/BBCPolitics/status/1856758688725225676
Pay tax?
Press Gazette
@pressgazette
Exclusive: Paul Staines steps down as @GuidoFawkes editor,
@RossKempsell becomes publisher