Floridians from Tampa north and Pensacola west are battening down in the face of incoming/oncoming storm surge, wind and rain.
And they are NOT alone . . .
FOX WEATHER - Where does Helene go after hitting Florida? Southeast, mid-Atlantic could see 'catastrophic' flooding
ATLANTA – While Florida braces for Hurricane Helene, the size of the storm means widespread impacts will be felt across the eastern U.S. late this week, including damaging winds, flooding rain and possible tornadoes in states well into the Southeast, mid-Atlantic and Midwest after landfall.
On its current track, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Hurricane Helene is forecast to make landfall along the Florida Big Bend on Thursday evening as a Category 3 hurricane with winds of at least 115 mph. After landfall, Helene is forecast to slow down and turn northwest, moving over the Southeast through Friday and Saturday.
TRACKING HELENE: LIVE FORECAST CONE, SPAGHETTI MODELS, ALERTS, WIND PROJECTIONS AND MORE
The large storm will bring widespread heavy rain, damaging winds and possible tornadoes to cities in the Southeast, including Atlanta and Asheville, North Carolina. Ahead of those impacts, the governors of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina have declared states of emergency.
Atlanta is under a Tropical Storm Warning, meaning it could experience tropical storm conditions just hours after Helene's landfall. . . . Tropical-storm-force winds will be felt in South Carolina as soon as Thursday and across the Southeast through Saturday . . . Helene is expected to track northwest into Kentucky and Tennessee. . . . a tornado or two may occur Wednesday in parts of the western Florida Peninsula and southern Alabama. The risk of tornadoes will increase Thursday . . .
Significant to catastrophic flooding possible through this weekend The biggest implications for Helene post-landfall will be the rain totals forecast across multiple states from Georgia to Kentucky and Virginia as Helene taps into available moisture in the Southeast and pushes toward the Appalachian Mountains.
Forecasters expect catastrophic flooding and landslides from Hurricane Helene, especially near the mountains and foothills in the Carolinas. . . .
SSI - Note that threat to Ashville and western NC is magnified by being on the "dirty side" of this king-hell hurricane, which is revolving counter-clocking for hundreds of miles around the eye of the storm It's on leading edge of Helene's north-east quadrant, meaning that it's on top to get maximum rainfall as storm drags moisture from the Gulf and slams it toward Ian and his faithful canine companion.
PLUS this impact is intenfied by regional geography and especially topography, as Helene surges inland and meets the mountains of Appalachia, a receipe for MORE rain and FLASH flooding in narrow mountain valleys.
"It is with a heavy heart that I have today informed my whip and decided for now to no longer take the @Conservatives whip. This is a sad day for me. I am a Conservative and remain so but sadly the current Party are far removed from the Party I joined and served in Cabinet. My decision is a reflection of how far right my Party has moved and the hypocrisy and double standards in its treatment of different communities. A timely reminder of the issues that I raise in my book Muslims Don’t Matter"
Blah blah wail moan fucking blah oh btw here's a plug for my book
Go away, Sayeeda
It's quite an odd time to do it, other than it creates conference headlines given their haven't been any recent major flashpoints with Tory racism recently and they could in theory (though it's unlikely) soon have a new leader who's more sympathetic to her point of view.
... I added black mustard seeds, fennel seeds, and chili peppers, and Halen Mon salt and Kampot pepper, and used dry sherry not wine, and a large sachet of dashi powder in the shellfish stock. I halved the chopped tomato element but added tomato puree
Utterly phenomenal, and also really nutritious and healthy. MMMnnnnng
(Marks and Spencer now do great & real sourdough baguettes, for the bread)
"It is with a heavy heart that I have today informed my whip and decided for now to no longer take the @Conservatives whip. This is a sad day for me. I am a Conservative and remain so but sadly the current Party are far removed from the Party I joined and served in Cabinet. My decision is a reflection of how far right my Party has moved and the hypocrisy and double standards in its treatment of different communities. A timely reminder of the issues that I raise in my book Muslims Don’t Matter"
Blah blah wail moan fucking blah oh btw here's a plug for my book
Go away, Sayeeda
It's quite an odd time to do it, other than it creates conference headlines given their haven't been any recent major flashpoints with Tory racism recently and they could in theory (though it's unlikely) soon have a new leader who's more sympathetic to her point of view.
It sounds like she's maybe about to get busted for being a Grade A biatch (see links below)
I used to quite like her, but she's gone so extreme she now regards "anyone who is slightly unnerved by large crowds of Muslim men marching around with machetes chanting Allahu Akhbar" as being hatefully Islamophobic. She's a race-baiter, she's turned into a kind of homely womanly Muslim Tommeh R. Good riddance
I don't know who Ike Ijeh is, but I doubt he's a white far right racist
He comes across as a chump. He's a former Brexit Party candidate.
Ike Ijeh @ikeijeh 17h Would never have happened were an Elizabeth still on the throne. Historically, female monarchs are better than female chancellors at repelling Spanish invasions. https://x.com/ikeijeh/status/1839130033614422042
Historically ... female Chancellors.
All the commentary has been about how she's the first one.
Who cares about Ike
Did Lammy bore on about his ethnicity and slavery when he was supposed to be talking about Ukraine?
I rather liked seeing Lammy sticking it to Putin at the UN. Not sure what has upset people about that. Starmer also talked about Russian soldiers being treated as meat. About time we had some plain speaking.
When you said "meat", were you actually talking about sausages?
It is reported tonight that Reeves is to tone down the rhetoric on non dons
The i is reporting warning to Reeves that if she changes the rules on borrowing longer and higher interest rates will happen affecting mortgages
A couple in Scotland have launched a review on WFA which if successful will mean it has to be reinstated for this year
Schools warn thousands of pupils will have to go to state schools because of the vat on private schools
It seems the tax raising promises will fail to raise the money they have promised so where does she go now ?
And apparently Starmer has called the row over the penthouse farcical
I mean, entertaining though Alligate is, the hypocritical sanctimony isn't really the problem with Labour. It's the above that's the problem. It's a load of really shit policies which will make the UK poorer.
To be fair, I think WFA was a stupid policy from the start and I'm glad it's gone. It was just a Brown bribe. But it was hardly the biggest thing wrong with pensions.
"Wes Streeting used Lord Alli’s flat amid mounting questions for Labour Health Secretary is the third Cabinet minister to have used property owned by donor in Starmer gifts row"
"Wes Streeting used Lord Alli’s flat amid mounting questions for Labour Health Secretary is the third Cabinet minister to have used property owned by donor in Starmer gifts row"
"Wes Streeting used Lord Alli’s flat amid mounting questions for Labour Health Secretary is the third Cabinet minister to have used property owned by donor in Starmer gifts row"
Pro Tip: Whenever the question is do you support any restrictions on right to contraception, the ONLY answer is "Of course not. That's a decision for families ONLY."
He makes Chamberlain and Halifax appear resolute opponents of warmongering dictators.
Chamberlain declared war in September 1939.
Yeah, my reading of history - amateurish though it is - is that Chamberlain knew exactly what he was doing with the Munich agreement. He knew Hitler was a warmonger, and his (i.e. Britain's) assessment was that Britain was woefully unprepared to take Hitler on. Chamberlain never expected peace in the long term, but he hoped to have it for long enough for Britain to ramp up its preparation for war. When the invasion of Poland came around, Britain wasn't 'ready', but it was far, far readier than it had been in 1938. If this is true, it makes Chamberlain something of a hero in my book. He knew he would look foolish; he sacrificed his reputation for the good of civilisation.
As it happened, Britain (and France) massively overestimated German strength in 1938. By sheer numbers, Britain, France and Czechoslovakia could have defeated Germany. But none of the Allied powers knew this. And in any case, numbers weren't everything; despite being relatively numerous, when the war started in the west the French forces were curiously keen to surrender and the British forces surprisingly ineffective. So maybe Germany would have won despite inferior numbers.
"Wes Streeting used Lord Alli’s flat amid mounting questions for Labour Health Secretary is the third Cabinet minister to have used property owned by donor in Starmer gifts row"
Won't somebody think of poor Lord Alli, he works hard to become rich and be able to afford these luxury properties around the world, and every other week some bloody MP is on the phone wanting to use them. They are like the people who find out a mate has a pool and are knocking on the door at 9am in their swimmers every time the sun comes out.
He makes Chamberlain and Halifax appear resolute opponents of warmongering dictators.
Chamberlain declared war in September 1939.
Yeah, my reading of history - amateurish though it is - is that Chamberlain knew exactly what he was doing with the Munich agreement. He knew Hitler was a warmonger, and his (i.e. Britain's) assessment was that Britain was woefully unprepared to take Hitler on. Chamberlain never expected peace in the long term, but he hoped to have it for long enough for Britain to ramp up its preparation for war. When the invasion of Poland came around, Britain wasn't 'ready', but it was far, far readier than it had been in 1938. If this is true, it makes Chamberlain something of a hero in my book. He knew he would look foolish; he sacrificed his reputation for the good of civilisation.
As it happened, Britain (and France) massively overestimated German strength in 1938. By sheer numbers, Britain, France and Czechoslovakia could have defeated Germany. But none of the Allied powers knew this. And in any case, numbers weren't everything; despite being relatively numerous, when the war started in the west the French forces were curiously keen to surrender and the British forces surprisingly ineffective. So maybe Germany would have won despite inferior numbers.
That's rather unfair on the French. They were out generaled and out-manoevred, but fought bravely, including holding the ring at Dunkirk.
I think if Starmer does go before the next general election Angela Rayner or Wes Streeting are his likeliest successors. Ed Miliband's time has been and gone
"Wes Streeting used Lord Alli’s flat amid mounting questions for Labour Health Secretary is the third Cabinet minister to have used property owned by donor in Starmer gifts row"
Won't somebody think of poor Lord Alli, he works hard to become rich and be able to afford these luxury properties around the world, and every other week some bloody MP is on the phone wanting to use them. They are like the people who find out a mate has a pool and are knocking on the door at 9am in their swimmers every time the sun comes out.
How does it actually work? Does he have an intermediary who field requests? Who told so many people they could ask? Is there some sort of clearing house?
VP Harris points out that "there are some in my country who [want] to force Ukraine to give up large parts of its sovereign territory...these proposals are the same as those of Putin. Let us be be clear. They are not proposals for peace. Instead, they are proposals for surrender" https://x.com/atrupar/status/1839394402365510135
Note that Zelensky asked to meet with both Trump and Speaker Johnson. Both refused.
While all the focus here has been on Al Fayed, the Piddly Diddly stories are wild and a lot of very famous people who well be exposed. I hope the prison guards don't go for an unscheduled break when the cameras aren't working properly like with Epstein.
I think if Starmer does go before the next general election Angela Rayner or Wes Streeting are his likeliest successors. Ed Miliband's time has been and gone
I think it quite possible that Starmer stands down in 4 years, but that's a long way off. Labour may want a fresh face for the next GE. I reckon Phillipson., but it won't be a coronation.
North Carolina removes 747,000 from voter rolls, citing ineligibility
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4901476-north-carolina-purges-747k-voters/ North Carolina’s State Board of Elections has removed 747,000 people from its list of registered voters within the last 20 months, officials announced Thursday in a press release. The State Board of Elections in the release said the majority of those stripped from the rolls were deemed ineligible to be registered because they had moved within the state and did not register their new address, or because they did not participate in the past two federal elections, prompting an inactive status. Other reasons for removal included death, felony convictions, out-of-state moves and personal requests for removal, the board said. North Carolina is one of seven swing states likely to decide the presidential election between Vice President Harris and former President Trump. Only one Democrat this century, former President Obama in 2008, has won the state in a presidential contest, but Harris has been polling close to Trump. The state is also home to a tough gubernatorial contest between Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson and Democratic Attorney General Josh Stein...
Just ridiculous that they would only publicise this a month before the election.
... I added black mustard seeds, fennel seeds, and chili peppers, and Halen Mon salt and Kampot pepper, and used dry sherry not wine, and a large sachet of dashi powder in the shellfish stock. I halved the chopped tomato element but added tomato puree
Utterly phenomenal, and also really nutritious and healthy. MMMnnnnng
(Marks and Spencer now do great & real sourdough baguettes, for the bread)
If you've never encountered Fennel Pollen - it's worth a try. Quite a distinct flavour compared to the veg or seeds.
VP Harris points out that "there are some in my country who [want] to force Ukraine to give up large parts of its sovereign territory...these proposals are the same as those of Putin. Let us be be clear. They are not proposals for peace. Instead, they are proposals for surrender" https://x.com/atrupar/status/1839394402365510135
Note that Zelensky asked to meet with both Trump and Speaker Johnson. Both refused.
Former President Trump said Thursday he would be meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, a move that came after the former president had earlier reportedly rejected a meeting with the Ukrainian president...
He makes Chamberlain and Halifax appear resolute opponents of warmongering dictators.
Chamberlain declared war in September 1939.
Yeah, my reading of history - amateurish though it is - is that Chamberlain knew exactly what he was doing with the Munich agreement. He knew Hitler was a warmonger, and his (i.e. Britain's) assessment was that Britain was woefully unprepared to take Hitler on. Chamberlain never expected peace in the long term, but he hoped to have it for long enough for Britain to ramp up its preparation for war. When the invasion of Poland came around, Britain wasn't 'ready', but it was far, far readier than it had been in 1938. If this is true, it makes Chamberlain something of a hero in my book. He knew he would look foolish; he sacrificed his reputation for the good of civilisation.
As it happened, Britain (and France) massively overestimated German strength in 1938. By sheer numbers, Britain, France and Czechoslovakia could have defeated Germany. But none of the Allied powers knew this. And in any case, numbers weren't everything; despite being relatively numerous, when the war started in the west the French forces were curiously keen to surrender and the British forces surprisingly ineffective. So maybe Germany would have won despite inferior numbers.
That's rather unfair on the French. They were out generaled and out-manoevred, but fought bravely, including holding the ring at Dunkirk.
Fair enough. I yield to someone who probably knows more about it than me. My understanding was that there was general bafflement about how what was thought to be quite a decent army just evaporated. But perhaps not.
He makes Chamberlain and Halifax appear resolute opponents of warmongering dictators.
Chamberlain declared war in September 1939.
Yeah, my reading of history - amateurish though it is - is that Chamberlain knew exactly what he was doing with the Munich agreement. He knew Hitler was a warmonger, and his (i.e. Britain's) assessment was that Britain was woefully unprepared to take Hitler on. Chamberlain never expected peace in the long term, but he hoped to have it for long enough for Britain to ramp up its preparation for war. When the invasion of Poland came around, Britain wasn't 'ready', but it was far, far readier than it had been in 1938. If this is true, it makes Chamberlain something of a hero in my book. He knew he would look foolish; he sacrificed his reputation for the good of civilisation.
As it happened, Britain (and France) massively overestimated German strength in 1938. By sheer numbers, Britain, France and Czechoslovakia could have defeated Germany. But none of the Allied powers knew this. And in any case, numbers weren't everything; despite being relatively numerous, when the war started in the west the French forces were curiously keen to surrender and the British forces surprisingly ineffective. So maybe Germany would have won despite inferior numbers.
That's rather unfair on the French. They were out generaled and out-manoevred, but fought bravely, including holding the ring at Dunkirk.
Fair enough. I yield to someone who probably knows more about it than me. My understanding was that there was general bafflement about how what was thought to be quite a decent army just evaporated. But perhaps not.
"Fall Rot" was strongly fought by a badly outnumbered French army.and residual BEF after the Dunkirk evacuation, but by then outnumbered 2:1 with total German air superiority, but even so there weren't mass surrenders of troops.
It is reported tonight that Reeves is to tone down the rhetoric on non dons
The i is reporting warning to Reeves that if she changes the rules on borrowing longer and higher interest rates will happen affecting mortgages
A couple in Scotland have launched a review on WFA which if successful will mean it has to be reinstated for this year
Schools warn thousands of pupils will have to go to state schools because of the vat on private schools
It seems the tax raising promises will fail to raise the money they have promised so where does she go now ?
And apparently Starmer has called the row over the penthouse farcical
Which if it's successful everyone who works for a living should give up and move abroad.
There is a highly detailed debate about the precise eligibility for WFP (not WFA) to be had, and I'm ready for that with my models and my data. But the idea that any policy that reduces the incomes of older people, however rich, can be challenged on age discrimination grounds is farcical, and a damning demonstration of the gerontocracy in which we now live.
Its getting very dicey in the Middle East, even by Middle East standards.
“We are continuing to strike Hezbollah with full force, and we will not stop until we reach all our goals – chief among them the return of the residents of the north securely to their homes,” Netanyahu said.
It is reported tonight that Reeves is to tone down the rhetoric on non dons
The i is reporting warning to Reeves that if she changes the rules on borrowing longer and higher interest rates will happen affecting mortgages
A couple in Scotland have launched a review on WFA which if successful will mean it has to be reinstated for this year
Schools warn thousands of pupils will have to go to state schools because of the vat on private schools
It seems the tax raising promises will fail to raise the money they have promised so where does she go now ?
And apparently Starmer has called the row over the penthouse farcical
Which if it's successful everyone who works for a living should give up and move abroad.
There is a highly detailed debate about the precise eligibility for WFP (not WFA) to be had, and I'm ready for that with my models and my data. But the idea that any policy that reduces the incomes of older people, however rich, can be challenged on age discrimination grounds is farcical, and a damning demonstration of the gerontocracy in which we now live.
There are processes to follow and if Reeves has done that then the WFA will be means tested this year
You're problem is your lack of artistic temperament, You don't understand Elon's sensibility, which is more akin to that of a Renaissance master
Elon's no different from the millions of sad fuckers who've had their brains melted by social media.
Indeed he is the best possible example of how Social Media shreds sanity.
It's the inevitability of Social Media that the bad posts drive out the good. Some evenings it's obvious here too.
I have said this before, on top of the mind rot stuff, its a form of mid life crisis among people who have been / are famous.....must get engagement....must validate life with how many retweets...
Or they take a card and pre-approve a certain amount when ordering. Then they have got your details, a card number and some money in deposit. Its all a bit sad that it would have to come to this because of the action of a few.
Yeah, I always think what an amazing sign it is of living in a trusting society that you can eat and drink things worth quite a lot of money and you don't have to pay until the last minute.
It is reported tonight that Reeves is to tone down the rhetoric on non dons
The i is reporting warning to Reeves that if she changes the rules on borrowing longer and higher interest rates will happen affecting mortgages
A couple in Scotland have launched a review on WFA which if successful will mean it has to be reinstated for this year
Schools warn thousands of pupils will have to go to state schools because of the vat on private schools
It seems the tax raising promises will fail to raise the money they have promised so where does she go now ?
And apparently Starmer has called the row over the penthouse farcical
Which if it's successful everyone who works for a living should give up and move abroad.
There is a highly detailed debate about the precise eligibility for WFP (not WFA) to be had, and I'm ready for that with my models and my data. But the idea that any policy that reduces the incomes of older people, however rich, can be challenged on age discrimination grounds is farcical, and a damning demonstration of the gerontocracy in which we now live.
There are processes to follow and if Reeves has done that then the WFA will be means tested this year
I assume you support following the rules
Of course - why I drive around Edinburgh at 20mph.
But if the entire budget is scuppered by pensioners launching judicial reviews then Reeves should challenge them as Thatcher did the Unions. If that means changing the law, so be it.
Its getting very dicey in the Middle East, even by Middle East standards.
“We are continuing to strike Hezbollah with full force, and we will not stop until we reach all our goals – chief among them the return of the residents of the north securely to their homes,” Netanyahu said.
It is reported tonight that Reeves is to tone down the rhetoric on non dons
The i is reporting warning to Reeves that if she changes the rules on borrowing longer and higher interest rates will happen affecting mortgages
A couple in Scotland have launched a review on WFA which if successful will mean it has to be reinstated for this year
Schools warn thousands of pupils will have to go to state schools because of the vat on private schools
It seems the tax raising promises will fail to raise the money they have promised so where does she go now ?
And apparently Starmer has called the row over the penthouse farcical
Which if it's successful everyone who works for a living should give up and move abroad.
There is a highly detailed debate about the precise eligibility for WFP (not WFA) to be had, and I'm ready for that with my models and my data. But the idea that any policy that reduces the incomes of older people, however rich, can be challenged on age discrimination grounds is farcical, and a damning demonstration of the gerontocracy in which we now live.
There are processes to follow and if Reeves has done that then the WFA will be means tested this year
I assume you support following the rules
Of course - why I drive around Edinburgh at 20mph.
But if the entire budget is scuppered by pensioners launching judicial reviews then Reeves should challenge them as Thatcher did the Unions. If that means changing the law, so be it.
The point apparently is that it would take time to change which no doubt Reeves would do but not quickly enough for this payments
Effectively a one year delay if the processes haven't been followed but then they may have been
It's curious that some posters who are most critical of Harris's failure to take hardball interviews, somehow give Trump and Vance a pass for the same behaviour.
External factors could cause Harris problems in the run up to the election .
The situation in the Middle East and a possible strike by dockworkers effecting the east and Gulf coast . That will effect supply chains and could cause serious economic damage .
It’s expected to start next Tuesday unless there’s a last minute deal.
That just so happens to be the day of the VP debate . Ordinarily these debates don’t move the needle much but this one could effect the campaigns .
Vance’s views on abortion and women without children could further erode support in that group . Walz has been accused of bigging up his military record .
Jenrick is deluded and he clearly hasn’t a clue of the impacts of leaving the ECHR . Effectively trashing the GFA , tearing up the EU deal and destroying any goodwill from them after Sunak made efforts to repair that relationship.
Excellent, if very lengthy, post-mortem on the 2024 GE: "UK Election Analysis 2024: Media, Voters and the Campaign", see here: https://www.electionanalysis.uk/
It is reported tonight that Reeves is to tone down the rhetoric on non dons
The i is reporting warning to Reeves that if she changes the rules on borrowing longer and higher interest rates will happen affecting mortgages
A couple in Scotland have launched a review on WFA which if successful will mean it has to be reinstated for this year
Schools warn thousands of pupils will have to go to state schools because of the vat on private schools
It seems the tax raising promises will fail to raise the money they have promised so where does she go now ?
And apparently Starmer has called the row over the penthouse farcical
Which if it's successful everyone who works for a living should give up and move abroad.
There is a highly detailed debate about the precise eligibility for WFP (not WFA) to be had, and I'm ready for that with my models and my data. But the idea that any policy that reduces the incomes of older people, however rich, can be challenged on age discrimination grounds is farcical, and a damning demonstration of the gerontocracy in which we now live.
There are processes to follow and if Reeves has done that then the WFA will be means tested this year
I assume you support following the rules
Of course - why I drive around Edinburgh at 20mph.
But if the entire budget is scuppered by pensioners launching judicial reviews then Reeves should challenge them as Thatcher did the Unions. If that means changing the law, so be it.
Getting worser and worser. One highly-likely impact = massive number of electric outages.
ADDENDUM - Fox just reported 80-mile-per-hour wind gusts at Ashville.
It’s wet out there, but there’s not much wind yet, at least by British south coast standards. It’s still a fair way off.
Wondered after I posted re:wind; believe I misheard and that 80-mile gusts is FORECAST for Asheville.
BTW & FYI - from Asheville wikipage
On July 15–16, 1916, the Asheville area was subject to severe flooding from the remnants of a tropical storm which caused more than $3 million in damage. Areas flooded included part of the Biltmore Estate, and the company that ran it sold some of the property to lower their maintenance costs. This area was later developed as an independent jurisdiction known as Biltmore Forest, which is now one of the wealthiest in the country.
SSI - Analysis on Fox Weather (which is pretty good) mentioned the 1916 storm and said that 2024 could be a possible repeat due to very similar meterology. And of course geography.
IF you're staying at the Biltmore, ask for something ABOVE ground floor.
IF there is major flooding in Asheville NC, it will be along the French Broad River.
Which is one of the least-known rivers in America, even by Americans. For those not living along it's banks in danger of inundation, main point of interest, is that while the headwaters of the French Broad are on the east side of the Appalachian Mountains, it's a tributary of the Tennessee River west of the mountains which in turn flows into the Ohio River, the Mississippi River and the Gulf of Mexico.
Along the way, the only sizeable localities it passes are Asheville NC and Knoxville TN
Based on weather radar, the Eye of Hurricane Helene is currently crossing onto land and is directly over Perry, Florida. Hard to tell distance but eye is LARGE and pretty well-defined.
Gotta say that Ron DeSantis yet again shows his "gift" for appropriate timing . . . as Tallahassee is right now being pummeled by it's worth hurricane since before the Civil War. When there was significantly less of Florida (in terms of population AND development) to pummel.
Gotta say that Ron DeSantis yet again shows his "gift" for appropriate timing . . . as Tallahassee is right now being pummeled by it's worth hurricane since before the Civil War. When there was significantly less of Florida (in terms of population AND development) to pummel.
TBF, he signed that back in May. But undoubtedly a bozo.
What do you make of the polling ? Time to trade back into Harris (who's now back around evens), or just noise ?
"Wes Streeting used Lord Alli’s flat amid mounting questions for Labour Health Secretary is the third Cabinet minister to have used property owned by donor in Starmer gifts row"
Is it my imagination or does Wes Streeting reflexively claim to be proud of whatever he is being asked about? Will Lord Alli please buy the man a thesaurus?
NYT update - More than a million customers are without power in Florida, according to PowerOutage.us. Another 58,000 customers are without power in Georgia and North Carolina.
Gotta say that Ron DeSantis yet again shows his "gift" for appropriate timing . . . as Tallahassee is right now being pummeled by it's worth hurricane since before the Civil War. When there was significantly less of Florida (in terms of population AND development) to pummel.
TBF, he signed that back in May. But undoubtedly a bozo.
What do you make of the polling ? Time to trade back into Harris (who's now back around evens), or just noise ?
Who the heck knows? Not me!
Except to opine, that impending VP debate could possibly perhaps (empahsis on conditional) be very significant in current environment.
Gotta say that Ron DeSantis yet again shows his "gift" for appropriate timing . . . as Tallahassee is right now being pummeled by it's worth hurricane since before the Civil War. When there was significantly less of Florida (in terms of population AND development) to pummel.
TBF, he signed that back in May. But undoubtedly a bozo.
What do you make of the polling ? Time to trade back into Harris (who's now back around evens), or just noise ?
Who the heck knows? Not me!
Except to opine, that impending VP debate could possibly perhaps (empahsis on conditional) be very significant in current environment.
A good assessment - and you're a bit closer to the vibe than the rest of us.
It is reported tonight that Reeves is to tone down the rhetoric on non dons
The i is reporting warning to Reeves that if she changes the rules on borrowing longer and higher interest rates will happen affecting mortgages
A couple in Scotland have launched a review on WFA which if successful will mean it has to be reinstated for this year
Schools warn thousands of pupils will have to go to state schools because of the vat on private schools
It seems the tax raising promises will fail to raise the money they have promised so where does she go now ?
And apparently Starmer has called the row over the penthouse farcical
Which if it's successful everyone who works for a living should give up and move abroad.
There is a highly detailed debate about the precise eligibility for WFP (not WFA) to be had, and I'm ready for that with my models and my data. But the idea that any policy that reduces the incomes of older people, however rich, can be challenged on age discrimination grounds is farcical, and a damning demonstration of the gerontocracy in which we now live.
There are processes to follow and if Reeves has done that then the WFA will be means tested this year
I assume you support following the rules
Well, yes and no.
This is a democratically elected parliament. If they vote to change the law then that should be it.
It was one of the worst bits of performative government (I think it started with Blair but I am sure the coalition was guilty too) - create a law to say the government had to do this or that study before they could enact a policy.
While you might hope they would. Ultimately it’s up to the government what analysis they do. It’s created a morass of paperwork and endless excuses for delay and judicial review
A bad thing for SKS in all this mess is that he cannot keep his family out of it in future. His wife's 'gifts' of expensive clothes means that she is justifiably on the radar; and he himself dragged his son into it with his half-baked excuse over an £20,000 bung.
"The model Naomi Campbell has been banned from being a charity trustee after a watchdog found charity funds were spent on luxury hotels and spa treatments.
A Charity Commission inquiry found Fashion for Relief was not passing on as much of the money raised as it was supposed to.
Instead it was being spent on cigarettes and security for Campbell and other unauthorised payments to one of her fellow charity trustees."
Comments
May
William Hague
Boris
Howard
TRUSS
And they are NOT alone . . .
FOX WEATHER - Where does Helene go after hitting Florida? Southeast, mid-Atlantic could see 'catastrophic' flooding
ATLANTA – While Florida braces for Hurricane Helene, the size of the storm means widespread impacts will be felt across the eastern U.S. late this week, including damaging winds, flooding rain and possible tornadoes in states well into the Southeast, mid-Atlantic and Midwest after landfall.
On its current track, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Hurricane Helene is forecast to make landfall along the Florida Big Bend on Thursday evening as a Category 3 hurricane with winds of at least 115 mph. After landfall, Helene is forecast to slow down and turn northwest, moving over the Southeast through Friday and Saturday.
TRACKING HELENE: LIVE FORECAST CONE, SPAGHETTI MODELS, ALERTS, WIND PROJECTIONS AND MORE
The large storm will bring widespread heavy rain, damaging winds and possible tornadoes to cities in the Southeast, including Atlanta and Asheville, North Carolina. Ahead of those impacts, the governors of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina have declared states of emergency.
Atlanta is under a Tropical Storm Warning, meaning it could experience tropical storm conditions just hours after Helene's landfall. . . . Tropical-storm-force winds will be felt in South Carolina as soon as Thursday and across the Southeast through Saturday . . . Helene is expected to track northwest into Kentucky and Tennessee. . . . a tornado or two may occur Wednesday in parts of the western Florida Peninsula and southern Alabama. The risk of tornadoes will increase Thursday . . .
Significant to catastrophic flooding possible through this weekend
The biggest implications for Helene post-landfall will be the rain totals forecast across multiple states from Georgia to Kentucky and Virginia as Helene taps into available moisture in the Southeast and pushes toward the Appalachian Mountains.
Forecasters expect catastrophic flooding and landslides from Hurricane Helene, especially near the mountains and foothills in the Carolinas. . . .
https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/where-does-helene-go-after-hitting-florida-southeast-mid-atlantic
SSI - Note that threat to Ashville and western NC is magnified by being on the "dirty side" of this king-hell hurricane, which is revolving counter-clocking for hundreds of miles around the eye of the storm It's on leading edge of Helene's north-east quadrant, meaning that it's on top to get maximum rainfall as storm drags moisture from the Gulf and slams it toward Ian and his faithful canine companion.
PLUS this impact is intenfied by regional geography and especially topography, as Helene surges inland and meets the mountains of Appalachia, a receipe for MORE rain and FLASH flooding in narrow mountain valleys.
She rules us for life. That's how the Lords works.
https://www.theverge.com/2024/9/26/24255298/elon-musk-x-blocks-jd-vance-dossier
The i is reporting warning to Reeves that if she changes the rules on borrowing longer and higher interest rates will happen affecting mortgages
A couple in Scotland have launched a review on WFA which if successful will mean it has to be reinstated for this year
Schools warn thousands of pupils will have to go to state schools because of the vat on private schools
It seems the tax raising promises will fail to raise the money they have promised so where does she go now ?
And apparently Starmer has called the row over the penthouse farcical
Reporter: Can you detail how a Trump-Vance administration would end the war in Ukraine?
Vance: The details of how Trump will end the war in Ukraine is by not being weak and not being dumb
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1839081562585096363
But perhaps I'm just a stickler for detail ?
I used this Rick Stein recipe as a base, BUT
https://thehappyfoodie.co.uk/recipes/monkfish-mussel-and-prawn-stew-with-char-grilled-sourdough-cioppino/
... I added black mustard seeds, fennel seeds, and chili peppers, and Halen Mon salt and Kampot pepper, and used dry sherry not wine, and a large sachet of dashi powder in the shellfish stock. I halved the chopped tomato element but added tomato puree
Utterly phenomenal, and also really nutritious and healthy. MMMnnnnng
(Marks and Spencer now do great & real sourdough baguettes, for the bread)
I used to quite like her, but she's gone so extreme she now regards "anyone who is slightly unnerved by large crowds of Muslim men marching around with machetes chanting Allahu Akhbar" as being hatefully Islamophobic. She's a race-baiter, she's turned into a kind of homely womanly Muslim Tommeh R. Good riddance
Eric Adams 🤝 JD Vance. Loving the Ottomans
https://x.com/Jlrube/status/1839403180582703517
To be fair, I think WFA was a stupid policy from the start and I'm glad it's gone. It was just a Brown bribe. But it was hardly the biggest thing wrong with pensions.
https://www.foxweather.com/live
Getting worser and worser. One highly-likely impact = massive number of electric outages.
ADDENDUM - Fox just reported 80-mile-per-hour wind gusts at Ashville.
Health Secretary is the third Cabinet minister to have used property owned by donor in Starmer gifts row"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/09/26/wes-streeting-minister-lord-alli-flat/
Charlotte Owen, Ross Kempsell and Claire Fox are never-weres.
Pro Tip: Whenever the question is do you support any restrictions on right to contraception, the ONLY answer is "Of course not. That's a decision for families ONLY."
Trump's answer: "We're looking at that."
https://x.com/ReallyAmerican1/status/1839350346336043443
https://news.sky.com/story/sir-keir-starmer-to-meet-with-donald-trump-to-establish-a-relationship-13222644
Sir Keir Starmer to meet with Donald Trump “to establish a relationship”
The UK prime minister said he wanted to meet Kamala Harris as well, but has struggled due to diary issues.
If this is true, it makes Chamberlain something of a hero in my book. He knew he would look foolish; he sacrificed his reputation for the good of civilisation.
As it happened, Britain (and France) massively overestimated German strength in 1938. By sheer numbers, Britain, France and Czechoslovakia could have defeated Germany. But none of the Allied powers knew this. And in any case, numbers weren't everything; despite being relatively numerous, when the war started in the west the French forces were curiously keen to surrender and the British forces surprisingly ineffective. So maybe Germany would have won despite inferior numbers.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4902333-trump-zelensky-meeting-new-york/
https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/conservative#google_vignette
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4901476-north-carolina-purges-747k-voters/
North Carolina’s State Board of Elections has removed 747,000 people from its list of registered voters within the last 20 months, officials announced Thursday in a press release.
The State Board of Elections in the release said the majority of those stripped from the rolls were deemed ineligible to be registered because they had moved within the state and did not register their new address, or because they did not participate in the past two federal elections, prompting an inactive status.
Other reasons for removal included death, felony convictions, out-of-state moves and personal requests for removal, the board said.
North Carolina is one of seven swing states likely to decide the presidential election between Vice President Harris and former President Trump. Only one Democrat this century, former President Obama in 2008, has won the state in a presidential contest, but Harris has been polling close to Trump.
The state is also home to a tough gubernatorial contest between Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson and Democratic Attorney General Josh Stein...
Just ridiculous that they would only publicise this a month before the election.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0e1q5w0q9po
I actually presumed she had left already.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fall_Rot
There is a highly detailed debate about the precise eligibility for WFP (not WFA) to be had, and I'm ready for that with my models and my data. But the idea that any policy that reduces the incomes of older people, however rich, can be challenged on age discrimination grounds is farcical, and a damning demonstration of the gerontocracy in which we now live.
“We are continuing to strike Hezbollah with full force, and we will not stop until we reach all our goals – chief among them the return of the residents of the north securely to their homes,” Netanyahu said.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/26/netanyahu-israel-attacks-lebanon-hezbollah-ceasefire-calls
I assume you support following the rules
It's the inevitability of Social Media that the bad posts drive out the good. Some evenings it's obvious here too.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/pennsylvania/
“To make murder respectable”
I think I understand.
But if the entire budget is scuppered by pensioners launching judicial reviews then Reeves should challenge them as Thatcher did the Unions. If that means changing the law, so be it.
https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-ahead-trump-3-points-georgia
Fox Arizona Trump 51% Harris 48%
https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-voters-choice-flipped-arizona-since-last-month
https://www.foxnews.com/us/feds-seize-eric-adams-phone-after-nyc-mayors-indictment
Effectively a one year delay if the processes haven't been followed but then they may have been
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/articles/c4g07v7x70lo
This against is missing the wood from the trees....check out the shirt sponsors of EPL clubs.
https://www.forsoccer.com/news/premier-league-jersey-sponsors-2024-25/
Heard of any of most of those gambling brands, no, its because they aren't for you.
https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1839438185270763629
Tory leadership contender and ex-immigration minister wants Britain to play ‘hard ball’
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/09/26/jenrick-ban-visas-for-india-and-other-countries-migrants/
It's curious that some posters who are most critical of Harris's failure to take hardball interviews, somehow give Trump and Vance a pass for the same behaviour.
The situation in the Middle East and a possible strike by dockworkers effecting the east and Gulf coast . That will effect supply chains and could cause serious economic damage .
It’s expected to start next Tuesday unless there’s a last minute deal.
That just so happens to be the day of the VP debate . Ordinarily these debates don’t move the needle much but this one could effect the campaigns .
Vance’s views on abortion and women without children could further erode support in that group . Walz has been accused of bigging up his military record .
I expect a bad tempered affair .
Lord Falconer is considering his options.
Ind Taylor 201
Ind Jones 150
Con 108
RefUK 89
LD 27
Lab 19"
You lost today, kid, but that doesn't mean you've gotta like it.
Media, Voters and the Campaign", see here: https://www.electionanalysis.uk/
https://www.engadget.com/hands-on-citroen-ami-ev-133032057.html?utm_source=pocket-newtab-global-en-GB&guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly9nZXRwb2NrZXQuY29tL3JlY29tbWVuZGF0aW9ucw&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAKmzcUgWJOnweA89O1Run9eDB42CQZN5L-a_grsw_qNSAE0iXdb-uJbaHOVgmgQTY70uk1VXy7H1aZhkCmuQnmc2XAqiFRe6e1hn5OlqOEF3k345lRYgl95SGLl0dz-iW5Q-oOiYycTxT-3HiJGZgj9kGKgK5_u6B_ABAn7wSjdI
"Long reads
The intolerant age
How creeping censorship captured Britain’s institutions.
By Hannah Barnes"
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/society/2024/09/intolerant-age-free-speech-britain-institutions
BTW & FYI - from Asheville wikipage
On July 15–16, 1916, the Asheville area was subject to severe flooding from the remnants of a tropical storm which caused more than $3 million in damage. Areas flooded included part of the Biltmore Estate, and the company that ran it sold some of the property to lower their maintenance costs. This area was later developed as an independent jurisdiction known as Biltmore Forest, which is now one of the wealthiest in the country.
SSI - Analysis on Fox Weather (which is pretty good) mentioned the 1916 storm and said that 2024 could be a possible repeat due to very similar meterology. And of course geography.
IF you're staying at the Biltmore, ask for something ABOVE ground floor.
Which is one of the least-known rivers in America, even by Americans. For those not living along it's banks in danger of inundation, main point of interest, is that while the headwaters of the French Broad are on the east side of the Appalachian Mountains, it's a tributary of the Tennessee River west of the mountains which in turn flows into the Ohio River, the Mississippi River and the Gulf of Mexico.
Along the way, the only sizeable localities it passes are Asheville NC and Knoxville TN
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_Broad_River
https://www.oyerinsurance.com/another-home-insurance-company-leaving-florida/
Florida Gov. DeSantis signs bill that deletes climate change from state law
https://www.npr.org/2024/05/17/1252012825/florida-gov-desantis-signs-bill-that-deletes-climate-change-from-state-law
Harris (D): 51% (+2)
Trump (R): 45% (-2)
Morning Consult / Sept 25, 2024 / n=924
(% Change With Sept 18)
https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1839467648830013609
They tend Democratic, I think. But the movement is quite large.
Support: 72%
Oppose: 26%
Beacon/Shaw Research / Sept 24, 2024 / n=1021
https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1839438670136578052
https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/asheville/28801/weather-radar/329813
Agree: 57%
Disagree: 29%
Neutral: 14%
Big Village / Sept 25, 2024 / n=2021
https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1839429993975500870
"The Republican Party should have moved on from Trump and rallied around Haley for President in 2024"
Agree: 46%
Disagree: 33%
Neutral: 21%
Big Village / Sept 25, 2024 / n=2021
https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1839430950754918596
But undoubtedly a bozo.
What do you make of the polling ?
Time to trade back into Harris (who's now back around evens), or just noise ?
"Who do you trust more on creating an economy that works well for the largest amount of Americans?"
Harris: 50%
Trump: 50%
"Who do you trust more on advancing a spirit of cooperation among Americans, no matter which political party they identity with?"
Harris: 57%
Trump: 43%
"Who do you trust more on new job creation?"
Harris: 51%
Trump: 49%
Except to opine, that impending VP debate could possibly perhaps (empahsis on conditional) be very significant in current environment.
This is a democratically elected parliament. If they vote to change the law then that should be it.
It was one of the worst bits of performative government (I think it started with Blair but I am sure the coalition was guilty too) - create a law to say the government had to do this or that study before they could enact a policy.
While you might hope they would. Ultimately it’s up to the government what analysis they do. It’s created a morass of paperwork and endless excuses for delay and judicial review
"The model Naomi Campbell has been banned from being a charity trustee after a watchdog found charity funds were spent on luxury hotels and spa treatments.
A Charity Commission inquiry found Fashion for Relief was not passing on as much of the money raised as it was supposed to.
Instead it was being spent on cigarettes and security for Campbell and other unauthorised payments to one of her fellow charity trustees."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c70zn97q1n8o