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A real boost for Trump – politicalbetting.com
A real boost for Trump – politicalbetting.com
Kennedy is going to drop out and embrace Trump; polls show Kennedy takes more votes from Trump than from Harris. https://t.co/l9FQDbDAQm
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It was very good. I particularly liked the reference to Project 2025. "As a school coach, and trust me on this, when the other side go to the trouble to produce a playbook they are going to use it."
But most of it was relentlessly positive. "While other states were banning books we banned hunger from our schools."
I think Conventions speak almost exclusively to the converted. That is not a complete waste of time, it motivates and drives the base creating armies of volunteers and we have seen evidence of that this week. Walz says they have 76 days, "that's nothing, you can sleep when you are dead".
So I don't expect a massive movement in the polls but if Harris can keep this going with her speech she is going to have a very well funded, very organised and very determined party united behind her. I am not sure Trump has any of these advantages and an endorsement from RFK is not going to change this.
Fox, for example, broadcast Biden's speech in its entirety, albeit with an enormous amount if negative editorialising.
https://apnews.com/article/democrats-fox-harris-trump-33db0a7ffb9b1c14236fd799d4196331
And, of course, you've had a number of Republicans speaking at the DNC, as they endorse Harris.
"Transport Secretary Louise Haigh has said decisions on introducing road calming and safety schemes, such as 20mph zones, should remain with local communities rather than her department."
https://x.com/MikeSington/status/1826362402876915741
("Caped" is a term used in railway circles when a train gets cancelled mid journey.)
https://x.com/SarahLongwell25/status/1826461717301203030
This is in the north-east, so one of the areas worst affected and where the three local councils have been most resistant to making adjustments.
(Beaten to it!)
If you're a fan of local democracy this is welcome news. In the Streets Ahead podcast she suggested that councils will have her full support if they go for schemes like this, which I think relates to the fact many councillors get extreme levels of personal abuse whenever they try, despite overwhelming democratic mandates to do so.
What's interesting is that the new shadow Transport Secretary has come out strongly against it, very much in the big government/culture war mode.
Given the number of roads that are already excepted from 20mph, I suspected that councils would find it difficult to find any more without pissing off local residents (people like driving at 30mph past other people's houses). I'd guess that is what is happening here?
The reaction I'm seeing suggests this is pissing locals off more than tourists.
Fresh from throwing money at the public sector wage bill, Labour seem to be continuing their cliche pattern with a planned windfall tax: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cje2ynege5zo
How's that focus on growth working out, between the windfall tax and cutting investment to fling cash at the unions?
Compare and contrast to somewhere like Edinburgh, where almost everything inside the bypass is 20mph or moving towards it.
You really notice the difference as a pedestrian when you move to England. People drive significantly faster in towns there and it's less pleasant.
If people choose to live on a main road, what's wrong with driving past their home at 30mph or 40mph or 50mph if that's the speed limit?
Main arterial roads should be 40 or 50mph through towns and 60 or 70mph outside of towns.
20 is plenty for residential streets, but arteries are not residential streets.
I would rather have patients treated and waiting lists cut. Like under the last Labour government.
The other got mocked when he wore a head-nappy that covered the impact of a tiny bullet fragment on the top of his ear...
Edit - on a double check, not Llanfair either
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/BaswtaRvMTU
Consider the glorious example of Sunderland Conservatives.
That seems sensible to me.
But hey, the doctors got paid their inflated salaries.
Nobody at the Democrat Convention is even bothering to mock him.
Edit - I'm remembering that article you sent me by mistake for something else, about how important it was when changing speed limits to prepare the ground carefully and make sure everyone had bought into and understood the changes. The reaction I'm seeing here suggests that just hasn't happened. But equally, I seem to remember that wasn't a point of dispute.
Indeed, you've just demonstrated that a number of the limits were already in place, but are being falsely attributed to the new scheme. You can't cater for that kind of misinformation, and you either rely on your democratic mandate and tough it out, or capitulate.
There are some however classified as residential that really are not. The A44 at Llangurig where the 20mph zone goes past the church, the pub and a garage springs to mind. The village itself is on a back street...
You don't have to live here. Indeed, you don't.
*I certainly wouldn't put it past the Welsh government to put out incorrect information. They make the DfE look competent.
Building more roads can help facilitate that too. Win/win.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/19/labour-is-offering-a-credible-plan-to-address-britains-economic-problems
Reputations lay in tatters
He hung on way too long and it sounds as if all he's got from Trump is that someone in Mar a Lago returns RFK Jr's crank calls, and there's a vague suggestion Donald may give him a passing thought when drawing up a longlist for the next US Ambassador to Liechenstein.
https://tinyurl.com/bdzwt32j
That roundabout used to be the finish line of the “Escape from Aber” Rag trip time trial, a long time ago.
Oh Dear.
None of them are any good, are they?
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13766829/Boris-Johnson-Robert-Jenrick-shadow-cabinet-Tory-leadership-contes.html
Still if the Tories lose enough seats next time, the shadow cabinet could be Lib Dem (or even Labour)
At this point, the GOP has so devastated Walz, I wouldn't be surprised to see Josh Shapiro show up at the DNC as their vice presidential pick.
https://x.com/EWErickson/status/1822818721221533853
The shame on the family and its good name is immeasurable.
If you want to slow down roads there's a simple solution which is to build bypasses and then relieve the traffic onto the bypass.
The problem is some people aren't interested in actually addressing issues and instead just hate people driving at a reasonable speed.
Why?
I would suggest you have no idea about the actual position in Wales both in public opinion which indicates 70% opposition to the way the scheme has been implemented from those actually living and driving in Wales, and you seem to ignore that the Welsh government itself concedes it is to change
You can go from 20mph to 30 mph to 40 mph back to 20mph over the Little Orme in a distance less than three quarters of a mie when the previous speed limit was 30 mph and 40mph
Look at the maps from Edinburgh as much as you want but that is not what is the experience nor is it some conspiracy theory that it is based on misinformation
Frankly the issue has been widely discussed in Wales by those living in Wales and the government have listened so little point in arguing an issue that the Welsh have dealt with
So the only chance he has is interviews and adverts. The mainstream media are ignoring him, the alternate media has done a few interviews, and he’s not got a spare $100m in the bank to throw at adverts three months out.
He’s got a difficult choice to make, as he’s clearly not going to get a Ross Perot-sized share of the vote, is it worth the money and effort to continue with 5-7% looking as good as it gets for him?
BREAKING: Donald Trump Jr. just endorsed the idea of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. joining the Trump administration as potential CIA director.
https://x.com/LeadingReport/status/1826322351635792086
She is the definition of insanity.
And of course more Tory than the Tories
I wonder what interest Mr Kennedy might have in an access all areas job at the CIA…?
"Is Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. drawing more support from Biden or from Trump? | YouGov" https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/49697-is-robert-f-kennedy-jr-drawing-more-support-from-biden-or-trump-poll
If anything his withdrawal may impact the popular vote more as in safe states like New York, California or Texas voters are more likely to be making a third party protest vote than swing states where every vote counts
Sounds positively libellous for a betting site if put that way, so I hope not!
*or Stuart Dickson.
22-44% rise in Water Bills
Two Child Cap kept
10m pensioners Winter Fuel Allowance Axed
Big military spend increase
£3bn of NHS contracts offered to private sector
£5.5bn Austerity for Public Services
5,500 released early from prison
Congratulations great work
I’m happy to volunteer by the way, if someone would like to send me a bottle of each I will post the results here.
Still, a point in a close race could tip a state over the edge.
There's no way he gets close to 5- 7% nationally. I doubt he'll even make that in any state where he's on the ballot.
https://tinyurl.com/yyhzjdhc
"You don't want people to be paid a decent wage for doing the jobs you don't want (or can't) do?
Why?"
Doctors and train drivers are not poorly paid. Their pay increases are not due to the Government deciding, on merit/economic circumstance, rises are needed but in response to the threat of strike action. They also, of course, benefit from practically guaranteed employment (provided they don't commit some horrendous act) and pensions.
As for work I can't or don't want to do: that applies to a huge variety of jobs. And a job not being something I want to do doesn't make it saintly, and even saintly jobs require a level of pay that's affordable.
Money is absent when required for planned investment. But it's always there when the unions come knocking (at least, so far in this Labour Government's brief time in office).
How long before the right wing defect to become Faragists and the old school middle ground Tories join the Lib Dems
And who would donate to the Tory's now??
Starmer should watch it and learn a thing or two from it, especially if he wants his 'son of a toolmaker' stuff to resonate more favourably. He is just so stiff in comparison to Walz.