Categories
Options
Aborting Trump – politicalbetting.com
Aborting Trump – politicalbetting.com
One factor that may complicate swing in key states this year is the number of abortion ballots that are going on. For good or ill, the Dobbs v Jackson ruling by the Supreme Court has made this into a very significant political battleground.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Quite good news for Americans too if the right to medical self-determination is determined by voters not lawyers.
Hope people find it of interest.
I think Harris would be smart to let American Dad do the talking on it.
Perhaps - Russia need to trade land for peace?
Except, unfortunately, for Mad Vlad and his cabal of creeps, who keep escalating it.
If you start from the premise that the bad guys are the UK, US, and Israel, then you get to their view in the end.
The fact that they are having to resort to sharp practices (as in Arkansas) to try and fulfil that clearly has surprised them.
And the fact it has done significant damage to their political prospects is amusing in its own way.
But maybe the Democratic Party has little no control over these voter initiatives anyway.
Here’s the case in favour of scrapping it.
https://www.deseret.com/opinion/2024/08/12/end-fed-ed-department-of-education/
TL:DR, the money spent on education has never been higher, but teachers are still poorly paid, standards are falling and have been for years. Meanwhile the DoE thinks their priorities are culture war issues around gender and racism, which they force on schools by holding their funding. Education would be better run entirely by the States, and the federal government saving the money they currently spend on all of this rubbish.
Adds to Trumps woes.
Stopped clocks…
A serious drugs or mental health problem?
“A man has been charged with attempted murder after an 11-year-old girl was stabbed in Leicester Square.
“The Metropolitan Police said its officers went to the scene of a stabbing in London on Monday where the girl was found with stab wounds.
“She was taken to hospital where her injuries, while serious, were assessed as non-life threatening, the force said.
“Ioan Pintaru, 32, of no fixed address, was charged with attempted murder and possession of a bladed article.
“It was initially believed that the girl’s mother, a 34-year-old woman, was also hurt however it was later confirmed that blood from her daughter’s injuries had been mistaken for injuries of her own.
“He was remanded in custody to appear at Westminster Magistrates’ Court on Tuesday morning.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/08/13/man-charged-attempted-murder-leicester-square-stabbing/
https://x.com/thestudyofwar/status/1823168917550047675
Even one Ukranian MP has turned up, having taken leave of absence from Parliament in Kiev.
https://x.com/osinttechnical/status/1823128362480517580
The Russians appear to be unable to defend the region at all, with reports of 1,000 sq km now captured, and 100,000 civilians evacuated. Presumably the latter have their phones confiscated and get sent on a long coach trip to Siberia, to stop them talking to anyone about what’s actually happening in Kursk Oblast.
Of course it's good for the women who need access to abortion in Michigan, and their doctors.
Account, from a partisan source, about Labour's win over Liz Truss in South West Norfolk, including the claim she delayed the declaration by more than an hour by turning up late. Maybe that explains the Returning Officer's supposed frostiness towards her.
https://labourlist.org/2024/08/liz-truss-terry-jermy-labour-general-election-2024/
"Of no fixed abode" tends to answer the "drugs or mental health problem" question with a yes.
https://19thnews.org/2024/05/missouri-abortion-ballot-measure-signatures/
I don't think the Democrats playing games to try and block abortion rights in competitive states would end well for them, leaving aside how difficult it would be to do so. But why bother, when Republicans are doing such a fine job?
And also, that assumes this is the only issue. After settling abortion, there is the need to sort out what Walz pithily described as 'common sense gun laws.'
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/aug/12/man-held-after-woman-and-girl-stabbed-in-london-leicester-square
Anything that looks, shall we say, European in nature, is likely to pass with ambivalence from most, whereas the more extreme options on both sides are likely to generate significant and motivated opposition.
The issue was significant for turnout in the mid-terms, but the Presidential election cycle has a higher turnout baseline.
What appears to have happened is that anti-abortion activists thought because they were noisy and well-organised and their opponents didn't seem that bothered, they were a majority of the country. Turns out this was a serious miscalculation. They are a minority, and while they are a significant minority everywhere they have asked the question they've been knocked back by the majority. Who also, as an aside, seem to then vote Blue as a further FU to the party supporting abortion restrictions.
Great quote, very appropriate at this current time.
And that picture is great. I didn't know you could get so many Karens in one place at one time.
https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1823073108439228805
How does that compare to British Muslims sympathy for the Hamas attacks?
A man has been charged with attempted murder after an 11-year-old girl was stabbed in Leicester Square.
The Metropolitan Police said its officers went to the scene of a stabbing in London on Monday where the girl was found with stab wounds.
She was taken to hospital where her injuries, while serious, were assessed as non-life threatening, the force said.
Ioan Pintaru, 32, of no fixed address, was charged with attempted murder and possession of a bladed article.
It was initially believed that the girl’s mother, a 34-year-old woman, was also hurt however it was later confirmed that blood from her daughter’s injuries had been mistaken for injuries of her own.
He was remanded in custody to appear at Westminster Magistrates’ Court on Tuesday morning.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/08/13/man-charged-attempted-murder-leicester-square-stabbing/ (£££)
As you can see, there is no reference back to the original story, which was covered by the Telegraph.
ETA on the Telegraph website's front page is the earlier story covering the incident including the role of Mr Abdullah in disarming the assailant.
Girl, 11, ‘put in a headlock and stabbed repeatedly’ in Leicester Square
Condition of victim and her mother, who was also wounded, is not yet known as police arrest man after ‘horrible’ attack
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/08/12/girl-stabbed-leicester-square/ (£££)
Now they've got to pivot, pivot hard and afterwards defend everywhere.
The 'troops' they do have in the area are laughable. Usual 'security' troops more interested in beating up their own women and children than actually doing any defending.
Then again, I've already done a three-mile run this morning.
I've done a five mile cycle ride. Not quite the exertion of a 3 mile run but taxing all the same to a nearly 60 year old !!!!
Ukraine is beginning to encounter serious resistance in some places, as is apparent from the reports posted here:
https://x.com/UAControlMap/status/1823238189475115411
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-VW6tHIcGfc
Don't watch it before bedtime, Donald.
There are lots of problems that could be made a lot better with the spending of a moderate sum of money, but the mental health/extreme homelessness/drugs triad is an obvious (and very visible) one.
The previous convoy sent to resist is said to have resulted in HIMARs claiming 1,000 dead Russians.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZSicqLrMgho
*) The 'secured' area that Ukraine now controls;
*) A 'grey' area where they are trying to gain control;
*) Groups going ahead and doing LRDG-style shenanigans, sometimes far in the Russian rear.
The latter in particular cause confusion, as they can appear in a settlement, then disappear. Which is probably part of the idea, as it will confuse the Russians as to where Ukraine are, and what the intentions are.
I've no doubt the Russians will get their act in order eventually, but the question is at what cost. And I think/hope that the longer Ukraine holds territory, the harder it will be for Russia to regain it.
https://www.texastribune.org/2024/08/12/texas-abortion-law-ectopic-pregnancies/
(*) His neighbour bought an expensive Triathlon/TT bike, used it a couple of times, then realised he did not like the sport. His neighbour offered it to him cheap, so he decided to try a triathlon on it... The sport seems filled with people who spend thousands on kit, then realise they don't actually like the sport.
RFK Jr. can stay on North Carolina ballot, judge says
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4824989-rfk-jr-north-carolina-ballot-judge-rules/
Trump on what he said to Vladimir Putin regarding Ukraine:
"I said to Vladimir Putin, 'Don’t do it. You can’t do it, Vladimir. If you do it, it’s going to be a bad day. You cannot do it.'
And I told him what I’d do.
And he said, 'No way,' and I said, 'Way.'"..
https://x.com/yashar/status/1823182083935940801
https://x.com/_dhotya
A 12 week limit sounds like a halving of abortion rights but 88% of abortions happen before that point.
https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2019/04/raw-data-abortions-by-week-of-pregnancy/
Perhaps the political sweet spot would be between 12 and 15 weeks which would still allow 95% of abortions.
The GOP really need to shift the focus from their abortion obsessives demanding a total ban on abortion and onto Dem abortion obsessives demanding totally unrestricted abortion.
Venezuela’s rate of violent deaths dropped to its lowest level in more than two decades following years of massive migration as both criminals and victims fled the nation’s economic crisis.
I used to have an old Apollo bike and have migrated to a Carrera Crossfire, which is perfect for me.
One of our managers at work does Triathlons. He is extremely fit suffice to say.
The vast majority see them as nutters and are voting accordingly.
Roe was settled until Trump came along. Even Biden had a fighting chance in November because of Dobbs. What we've seen in Kansas et al shows this. I'd be seriously looking at odds of Harris taking Florida.
Let's hope to god that Harris prevails.
Ukraine lost an Abrams, a howitzer, and half a dozen IFVs, along with a load of utility vehicles, according to the guys who keep tally, Though the Russian did also hit their own column.
I suspect they're getting close to the point where they have to decide whether to dig in (and if so where), or manoeuvre back towards the Russian from line. But I'm guessing like everyone else; their operational security is pretty good.
Misleading to suggest that only 5% of abortions happen after 15 weeks without considering why those people choose to have an abortion at that time.
A lot of medical tests and screening can only occur after 15 weeks and that then is in that data.
https://archive.ph/Xq8HF
https://x.com/atrupar/status/1823187232100090241
Not sure Venezuela is a great choice though.
And given a choice between laws they think are too liberal or laws that are too restrictive, American voters are invariably choosing the former.
This isn't a situation where the small number of 'abortion at all times and in all circumstances' advocates are actually significant. And if they were, they wouldn't be in states where the Republicans could exploit it. Which brings us back to the header.
It is after all what this country did in transporting its problem people to the early American and Australian colonies.
Either the write-up of the question is nonsense, or the poll is nonsense. Either way, its nonsense.
Migration increases as people become wealthier and more self-sufficient and able to pay to move.
Hence the paradox that increased economic development increases emigration.
Likewise in Cuba where back in 1980 there was this:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mariel_boatlift
which included:
The U.S. government claimed to be ready to accept Marielito refugees with open-arms on May 5, 1980; however, this was short-lived after President Carter accused Castro of sending mostly criminals to the United States June 7 of the same year. Castro denied President Carter’s accusation only one week later, yet he agreed to accept 3,000 Marielitos back into Cuba. Remarkably, this was the only time Castro agreed to allow criminals back to the island for the next 30+ years.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marielitos_(gangs)