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As predicted Jenrick is now the favourite to succeed Sunak – politicalbetting.com
As predicted Jenrick is now the favourite to succeed Sunak – politicalbetting.com
As I predicted earlier on this week Robert Jenrick has overtaken Kemi Badenoch as the favourite in the next Tory market.
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Jenrick would be worse than Iain Duncan Smith.
Picking up the pieces of the Braverman campaign?
SKS could do a variation of painting over a children's mural every week for years.
I think it insults Burgon, he’s thick but he wasn’t nasty.
A Tory... Vance ?
It's not as though Russia haas a shortage of assassins, and it costs us to house the specimens.
Indications of an imminent exchange of Russian spies & assassins for Western hostages held in Russia.
Parties: US, Germany, Russia, Belarus.
Candidates: Evan Gershkovich (US), Paul Whelan (US), Rico Krieger (Germany)
Vladimir Kara-Murza (UK), others.
https://x.com/igorsushko/status/1818727950826836178
He's ... [a] bastard ...
Hence why we have a chronic shortage.
Just let people build what they want, where they want. No need to second-guess it.
P. B. Pedant
Currently, development gets the local authorities very little.
If they could buy land, lay it out with services and roads and then sell the plots - big profits are possible.
Suddenly councils discover the joys of an expanding local population....
Saying 'He's a Sikh'* or 'He's a Jew' would say somebody is not a Muslim and is made up of words of one syllable.
*An uber-uber-pedant might note it is possible to be both a Muslim and a Sikh, although unusual.
Does anyone have an approximate figure by which the -0.25% change in interest rates will change Govt expenditure over 12 months?
Only if you think Jews Don't Count as David Baddiel says.
Russia is releasing Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich and former US Marine Paul Whelan in a major multi-country prisoner swap
https://x.com/davidwtaintor/status/1818976065185804521
Jenrick was utterly ineffectual as housing minister, doing absolutely sod all for leaseholders affected by the cladding scandal (pretty much anyone living in a building more than 5 storeys high). Described as "no help at all" by 90% of leaseholders in a survey by the leasehold knowledge partnership.
He was involved in a highly controversial planning decision involving Richard Desmond, who made a subsatantial donation to the Conservatives two weeks after planning was approved.
He charged the taxpayer £100,000 in rent and council tax for his THIRD home. That's right. Third home. To quote the Times, "Travel expenses suggest that Jenrick rarely spends an entire weekend at the property..." ..."A government minister said last night: “It’s a bit odd to make the taxpayer fund your constituency home when you’ve got all that money. It doesn’t look good.”
He broke lockdown rules twice, travelling 150 miles to his his second home. Considering it was rule breaking that did for Boris, is Jenrick really a suitable candidate for leader?
Oh, and the thing he's most famous for? Having a mural of Mickey Mouse and Baloo from Jungle Book in a children's asylum centre painted over. Regardless for the reason (e.g. copyright), the man is mostly known by the general public for comic-book, cartoon-villain levels of cruelty. That is when they remember him at all.
So I put it to you. If Robert Jenrick is the answer, then what on earth is the question?
1) because they want to commit political suicide (@ydoethur)
2) they wish to be known as the nasty party (me)
People retort "what if a factory is built near you" - yeah, what of it? Good, we should be investing in factories and that's economic growth.
What's the problem?
Funny how a local company ended up owning those fields that found themselves on the local development plan, isn't it? How did that happen?
Brown envelopes all round.
https://maps.app.goo.gl/xmZMMahb7BPMiHYx5
I was actually kinda interested, but they're a bit too near the pig farm for my liking (and nose). They've built some nice houses, though.
And I just came across this from the council, which I did not know about:
https://www.eastcambs.gov.uk/local-development-framework/register-interest-self-build-and-custom-housebuilding
You imply a build-what-you-want free for all across the whole Peak District and Snowdonia, for a start.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Area_of_Outstanding_Natural_Beauty
My in-laws live the Rocky Mountains over 200 miles from the nearest city and over a 2 hour drive from the nearest other inhabitated settlement. That's the middle of nowhere and it doesn't stop them getting stuff done, even when its minus 40 Celsius in the daytime.
If people want to build in Snowdonia or the Peak District I have no objection to that.
Or anywhere else. Good luck to them.
People here claim "we all want growth" but propose getting rid of barriers to growth or actually getting stuff done "oh we can't do that, what if we get growth/a factory/places for people to live?"
https://x.com/treesey/status/1818959738106695864
If I can build a Gin Palace in my field outside Edale at will, why not on Box Hill?
A friend's father made the mistake of selling the field behind his Cotswold house to a farmer, who then moved to pig farming ...
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cv2gxev3515o
Eight months. I thought six was the top sentence from magistrates.
If people want to pay that charge, let them. If they don't, they won't. Their choice, free will.
Currently planning permission inflates the price of land by 0's. Drop those 0's off the price of land and people can afford to pay whatever fees they need to pay.
It will devalue the assets of those who own loads of land. Oh well. How Sad. Nevermind.
https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2024/07/04/history-suggests-lawyer-starmer-was-always-going-to-win-this-election/
Stealing - bad.
Stealing Creme Eggs - mad.
Elsewhere, developers buy up land and only release it slowly to maintain the supply and demand balance in their favour. The reason we don't go down the @BartholomewRoberts route (rightly or wrongly) is too many groups have a vested interest in maintaining the current situation. A limited supply of new homes works for the developers, the builders, the local authorities, existing homeowners, the banks and building societies, land owners, specialist trades, the constuction industry and the Government all of whom benefit from high house prices driven by limited supply and seemingly unlimited demand.
Some may want to take on all these vested interests but no one ever has not even Margaret Thatcher at her zenith. As to how we have got to this position, that's another story.
Land Value Taxation, an idea whose time has finally come, could be a way forward twinned with easing of planning restrictions. If land which could be developed and isn't is punitively taxed there'll be an incentive for it to be developed - there's an analogy here with empty homes. An empty home is wasteful - so is empty land if it could be developed but isn't being developed.
No politician (Labour, Conservative, LD, Reform or even Green) will crash the housing market to build more houses - external events may reduce house price values but that's different. For too many people, the house they own is their only signifcant asset and effectively their pension pot releasing equlity when it is sold. Whether you like that or not it's a reality - again, how we got to this point is another story.
If they think Jenrick is the answer then god help the party.
I'll retire to Bedlam.
Consider just 12 building plots on an acre, costing 400-500k each.
I've always quite fancied building an earth-sheltered house... aka a hobbit hole. Perhaps going back to my civil engineering [passion.
@eek keeps being coy about the costs of making connections, but those costs are for someone to actually do something productive and create something where it was not before. If its a cost worth paying, then its worth paying and should be paid - and if its not, its not and should not be. Free choice.
But artificially inflating land value 10-100x because of artificially refusing consent unless it is granted? That's not doing anything other than pad some people's asset values and prevent growth.
Portsmouth Magistrates' Court heard on Friday that Layton Richards, 29, from Brownlow Close in Portsmouth, had been charged with 24 shoplifting offences.
Hampshire and Isle of Wight Constabulary said he had stolen the chocolate between 6 January and 18 April.
Richards targeted 19 shops across Hampshire, Dorset and West Sussex, and took £3,463.96 worth of produce and products.
However, Harris might save me overall as both results are due in early November.
It may lead to Scotland.
"Under Section 2A of the Self-Build and Custom Housebuilding Act 2015 (as amended by the Housing and Planning Act 2016), and associated secondary legislation, local planning authorities are under a duty to grant a sufficient number of suitable permissions to meet the demand for self- and custom-built housing within their area. This demand is to be measured by the number of new applicants entered on the local Self-Build Register in each base period; and that number must be matched by new suitable permissions granted within 3 years of the end of each relevant base period."
Though in the case of that particular development, the plots were fully serviced.
https://archive.welhat.gov.uk/media/21486/9-26-Land-at-St-Peter-s-Street-Caxton-3282234/pdf/9.26_Land_at_St_Peters_Street__Caxton_3282234.pdf?m=638096387316070000
He wont be leader by the next GE and she is not ready for prime time me thinks.
Let him take the flak for a couple of years or so.
I personally would be exceptionally unlikely to support or vote for them, but let’s not pretend that the Tories are going to snap back into competent centrism any time soon. There’s no candidate who can convincingly offer that.
1. Patel (Bring back hanging-Leaver)
2. Jenrick (Rwanda paint over kiddies cartoons )
3. Badenoch (Leaver Rwanda bring back the birch (probably) Hanging (unconfirmed)
4. Cleverly (Rwanda Leaver)
5 Tugendhat (Leave the ECHR Rwanda)
6. Stride (A big softie in the wrong Party)