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Oh for Fox’s sake – politicalbetting.com

24

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  • PedestrianRockPedestrianRock Posts: 580
    Biden odds for nomination and President are lengthening MASSIVELY on the exchange
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,642

    Eabhal said:

    Eabhal said:

    I can't bear watching this debate

    Come back Sunak and Starmer.....

    China must be watching this and pissing themselves. I am supposed to be worried about these two tw@ts.
    At least Biden evidently has some sensible people around him. You don't get that sense with Sunak.
    To be fair, before the campaign, I think Sunak government was functioning ok on a day to day basis. I didn't get the feel it was like Boris / Cummings. So I presume there were some reasonable people working there.

    What has happened with the campaign, well that's a different kettle of fish.
    Agree. Things like the HS2 decision, while controversial, were done with a degree of assertive competence.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    Biden has woken up a bit now, drugs kicking in.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,592

    Is this the only debate, because Trump is absolutely beating Biden up.

    Trump is talking a lot of nonsense, but he sounds like he is alive and functioning. Biden just keeps freezing.

    The people who kept on insisting that Trump was suffering just as much from age-related decline were deluding themselves.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,642
    edited June 28

    Biden odds for nomination and President are lengthening MASSIVELY on the exchange

    You're effectively betting on whether Biden can make it to the end of the debate. He's just sparked up tho...
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    HYUFD said:

    Is this the only debate, because Trump is absolutely beating Biden up.

    Trump is talking a lot of nonsense, but he sounds like he is alive and functioning. Biden just keeps freezing.

    Trump is rambling all over the place, Biden is slow and sometimes losing his point, so far both the worst debaters in Presidential history.

    If Biden comes out with a draw though that would be better than the last 2 Presidents, both Bush and Obama lost their first debates to Kerry and Romney respectively
    Its sad to see how far its fallen. Obama vs McCain was two decent people debating, who had a clue what they were saying.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,592
    Trump: "I don't know what he said at the end of that sentence. I don't think he knows either."
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874

    HYUFD said:

    Is this the only debate, because Trump is absolutely beating Biden up.

    Trump is talking a lot of nonsense, but he sounds like he is alive and functioning. Biden just keeps freezing.

    Trump is rambling all over the place, Biden is slow and sometimes losing his point, so far both the worst debaters in Presidential history.

    If Biden comes out with a draw though that would be better than the last 2 Presidents, both Bush and Obama lost their first debates to Kerry and Romney respectively
    Its sad to see how far its fallen. Obama vs McCain was two decent people debating, who had a clue what they were saying.
    As was Romney v Obama
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    The split screen is terrible for Biden. He keeps freezing, mouth open, and looks totally confused.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    My twitter timeline is absolutely in despair at Biden performance.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    Ohhhh angry snarling Biden.
  • PedestrianRockPedestrianRock Posts: 580
    Biden President odds when the debate started - 2.94
    Biden President odds now - 5.0

    Not even been half an hour...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    Biden has wound up Trump a bit on his alleged 'losers' comment about veterans
  • PedestrianRockPedestrianRock Posts: 580
    If you want to get a value bet on Biden and you're still bullish about him, now is the time at these inflated odds...
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,592
    The pressure on the Democrats to do a switcheroo at the convention will be immense after this.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    Its less of a debate on any policy issues, than two OAPs in a care home who hate one another talking at one another about how horrible the other one is.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Trump is winning. Whenever Biden's not speaking he looks like someone I'd bump into at my gran's carehome. Shut your damn mouth ffs.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968

    The pressure on the Democrats to do a switcheroo at the convention will be immense after this.

    Who do they switch him with?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    edited June 28

    Its less of a debate on any policy issues, than two OAPs in a care home who hate one another talking at one another about how horrible the other one is.

    I doubt it changes much either. Trump voters will vote for him even if he is jailed for life, Biden voters will vote for him even if he is in a permanent coma on a life support machine to stop Trump!
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264

    The split screen is terrible for Biden. He keeps freezing, mouth open, and looks totally confused.

    That's it over. He's more mentally sharp than he looks, but he looks care home adjacent.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    Is there another 60 mins of this? I would rather listen to Radiohead Live.....
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    edited June 28

    The pressure on the Democrats to do a switcheroo at the convention will be immense after this.

    No it won't, no coastal liberal will beat Trump, only Biden has. Only Democrat who might do better than Biden v Trump is Michelle Obama but she has so far declined to run
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    They have Biden’s goal for the night written in the lower corner.
    https://x.com/JoeListComedy/status/1806499479580737653
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    I genuinely no idea what they have been talking about for 30+ minutes. It is like using Google Translate 10 years ago on Japanese....the words get translated to English, but impossible to work out what it is actually about.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    LOL, tweet I saw, "Let's get ready to mumble"....
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Trump is just lying constantly, but Biden is generally making good moral points.

    Sadly presentation will be far more important than policy and morals at the election.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    Chameleon said:

    Trump is just lying constantly, but Biden is generally making good moral points.

    Sadly presentation will be far more important than policy and morals at the election.

    Trump can't help himself. If he just stuck to reasonable points he would be winning even more biggly e.g. his take on NATO was actually right. Instead it all goes BS within 3 sentences.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    Real-time debate reaction ~30 minutes in: {WSL ELECTION}
    https://x.com/M_McDonough/status/1806500190385234235
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    edited June 28

    Chameleon said:

    Trump is just lying constantly, but Biden is generally making good moral points.

    Sadly presentation will be far more important than policy and morals at the election.

    Trump can't help himself. If he just stuck to reasonable points he would be winning even more biggly e.g. his take on NATO was actually right. Instead it all goes BS within 3 sentences.
    If Nikki Haley was Biden's opponent tonight she would be lapping Biden multiple times in this debate by now and measuring the drapes for the Oval Office already. Biden's get out of jail free card still remains the fact Trump is his opponent
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    Biden is getting a bit better.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    I did predict it 30 mins ago, Trump has gone "lock him up".
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    edited June 28

    Biden is getting a bit better.

    Biden just forced Trump to deny he had sex with a porn star too despite a court ruling he has.

    Trump generally more energetic than Biden in this debate but rambling and Biden looks asleep and forgetful half the time but occasionally jumps up with a zinger
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Biden going fully in on Trump, Felon and molesting women have been brought up.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    HYUFD said:

    Biden is getting a bit better.

    Just forced Trump to deny he had sex with a porn star do despite a court ruling he has
    Trump jumped two foot into that trap that could have been seen from space. He could have said I am appealing the case, end of.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    Biden is lying about the "good people on both sides". Although I don't think he knows he is lying.
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 964

    Is this the only debate, because Trump is absolutely beating Biden up.

    Trump is talking a lot of nonsense, but he sounds like he is alive and functioning. Biden just keeps freezing.

    The people who kept on insisting that Trump was suffering just as much from age-related decline were deluding themselves.
    Dementia is a sad thing. And to make Biden go through this is cruel
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 964
    Dems will have to steal the election for real after this
  • PedestrianRockPedestrianRock Posts: 580
    Biden doing better now
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874

    HYUFD said:

    Biden is getting a bit better.

    Just forced Trump to deny he had sex with a porn star do despite a court ruling he has
    Trump jumped two foot into that trap that could have been seen from space. He could have said I am appealing the case, end of.
    Biden also just had a good point about the absence of endorsements for Trump from his former Cabinet or former VP
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    Winners so far, the moderators.....
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28

    Biden doing better now

    The worm has turned a bit in Biden's favour...
    https://x.com/M_McDonough/status/1806505939039617415
  • MPartridgeMPartridge Posts: 174
    It seems Biden does better when he is attacked.

    When he is made to talk about policy or things he has done he is a jibbering fool,

    Trumps best attack would be let him talk freely, give him enough rope to hang himself
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    Nunu5 said:

    Is this the only debate, because Trump is absolutely beating Biden up.

    Trump is talking a lot of nonsense, but he sounds like he is alive and functioning. Biden just keeps freezing.

    The people who kept on insisting that Trump was suffering just as much from age-related decline were deluding themselves.
    Dementia is a sad thing. And to make Biden go through this is cruel
    Biden is the only Democrat who has proved he can beat Trump in the Electoral College that is why
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 964

    Biden is lying about the "good people on both sides". Although I don't think he knows he is lying.

    He doesn't know where he is
  • MartinVegasMartinVegas Posts: 56
    Biden lost this debate in the first 5 minutes. It's all that will be clipped and all that will be remembered.

    He's getting some decent attacks in now, but it's too late.

    So sad.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    edited June 28

    Biden doing better now

    The worm has turned a bit in Biden's favour...
    https://x.com/M_McDonough/status/1806505939039617415
    Biden actually doing better than Obama did in his first 2012 debate on that. 66% said Romney won the first 2012 debate to just 20% for Obama

  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Biden is a horror show when he's having to recall policy. He's great when Trump attacks him and gets angry.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968

    Biden lost this debate in the first 5 minutes. It's all that will be clipped and all that will be remembered.

    He's getting some decent attacks in now, but it's too late.

    So sad.

    Be interesting to see how many of the American public tuned in for 30 mins and then tuned out.
  • MartinVegasMartinVegas Posts: 56

    Biden lost this debate in the first 5 minutes. It's all that will be clipped and all that will be remembered.

    He's getting some decent attacks in now, but it's too late.

    So sad.

    Be interesting to see how many of the American public tuned in for 30 mins and then tuned out.
    I think if even if they continued to watch, it's barely rose above terrible for Biden. Now, I'm not saying Trump is doing well - his default smirk whenever Biden skewers him looks terrible and any undecided voter would look at Trump and say that the man is full of it. But I don't see how this encourages Dems to turn out and pull the lever. And So Biden is toast.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    You know what, if the American public vote for Trump then the deplorables are going to get what they deserve when Trump strips back everything they subsist on.
  • MTimT2MTimT2 Posts: 62
    Some should tell Biden to stop saying "By the way ..." each time he adds a point he forgot to include
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    Chameleon said:

    Biden is a horror show when he's having to recall policy. He's great when Trump attacks him and gets angry.

    You can see why the investigator said what they said about Biden in the classified document case.
  • The idea that Biden is going to keep starting every second sentence with "The idea that ..." is starting to get to me.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    edited June 28

    Biden lost this debate in the first 5 minutes. It's all that will be clipped and all that will be remembered.

    He's getting some decent attacks in now, but it's too late.

    So sad.

    Be interesting to see how many of the American public tuned in for 30 mins and then tuned out.
    I think if even if they continued to watch, it's barely rose above terrible for Biden. Now, I'm not saying Trump is doing well - his default smirk whenever Biden skewers him looks terrible and any undecided voter would look at Trump and say that the man is full of it. But I don't see how this encourages Dems to turn out and pull the lever. And So Biden is toast.
    Dems will turn out to pull the lever to beat Trump, not out of huge enthusiasm for Biden. That was the case yesterday, today and will be the case in November.

    Should also be pointed out every incumbent President bar one since 1980 has lost the first presidential debate.

    President Carter lost the first debate to Reagan in 1980. President Reagan lost the first presidential debate to Mondale in 1984. President Bush 41 lost the first presidential debate to Perot in 1992. President Bush 43 lost the first presidential debate to Kerry in 2004. President Obama lost the first presidential debate to Romney in 2012 and President Trump lost the first presidential debate to Biden in 2020.

    Only President Clinton won his first presidential debate against Bob Dole in 1996.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    I'm still not over Trump's pivot on Jan 6 to saying it was notable for how strong the border was, absolutely nothing else important happened that day.

  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Trump fully. calling Biden a Chinese asset...
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    The idea that Biden is going to keep starting every second sentence with "The idea that ..." is starting to get to me.

    Here's the deal ...
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Fortunately only 10 minutes of this torture left. Alas, Biden has proven beyond all doubt he is too old for the job. Hopefully, people will vote for President Harris.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    They are now arguing about their golf handicaps
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    TimT said:

    Fortunately only 10 minutes of this torture left. Alas, Biden has proven beyond all doubt he is too old for the job. Hopefully, people will vote for President Harris.

    They wouldn't, Trump would trounce Harris
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    We're now at the "you're fat", 'nuh uh you're shit at golf' stage of the debate. Very dignified.
  • MartinVegasMartinVegas Posts: 56
    HYUFD said:

    Biden lost this debate in the first 5 minutes. It's all that will be clipped and all that will be remembered.

    He's getting some decent attacks in now, but it's too late.

    So sad.

    Be interesting to see how many of the American public tuned in for 30 mins and then tuned out.
    I think if even if they continued to watch, it's barely rose above terrible for Biden. Now, I'm not saying Trump is doing well - his default smirk whenever Biden skewers him looks terrible and any undecided voter would look at Trump and say that the man is full of it. But I don't see how this encourages Dems to turn out and pull the lever. And So Biden is toast.
    Dems will turn out to pull the lever to beat Trump, not out of huge enthusiasm for Biden. That was the case yesterday, today and will be the case in November.

    Should also be pointed out every incumbent President bar one since 1980 has lost the first presidential debate.

    President Carter lost the first debate to Reagan in 1980. President Reagan lost the first presidential debate to Mondale in 1984. President Bush 41 lost the first presidential debate to Perot in 1992. President Bush 43 lost the first presidential debate to Kerry in 2004. President Obama lost the first presidential debate to Romney in 2012 and President Trump lost the first presidential debate to Biden in 2020.

    Only President Clinton won his first presidential debate against Bob Dole in 1996.
    I think this is different and unlike the others, it's because it is important. This debate is basically about "Is Biden too old?". It's why Biden is having the debate now rather than in September, to answer that question.

    Most Americans thought he was too old yesterday. Tomorrow almost every American will think that Biden is too old.

    As someone who spends every day talking to Americans in a swing state, everything about Trump is already baked in. Everyone knows he's crazy. 50% don't care. But now the rest are going to be more worried than ever that Biden cannot be president.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    HYUFD said:

    They are now arguing about their golf handicaps

    Its really is like something heard at the Villages (that massive Florida mega retirement community).
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    Fortunately only 10 minutes of this torture left. Alas, Biden has proven beyond all doubt he is too old for the job. Hopefully, people will vote for President Harris.

    They wouldn't, Trump would trounce Harris
    Not what I am saying. I am saying that, hopefully those Democrats who see Biden as I saw him tonight will still vote for him in the expectation that the term will be finished by Harris.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874

    HYUFD said:

    They are now arguing about their golf handicaps

    Its really is like something heard at the Villages (that massive Florida mega retirement community).
    Where I suspect most independent voters would rather they would be
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 964
    HYUFD said:

    Nunu5 said:

    Is this the only debate, because Trump is absolutely beating Biden up.

    Trump is talking a lot of nonsense, but he sounds like he is alive and functioning. Biden just keeps freezing.

    The people who kept on insisting that Trump was suffering just as much from age-related decline were deluding themselves.
    Dementia is a sad thing. And to make Biden go through this is cruel
    Biden is the only Democrat who has proved he can beat Trump in the Electoral College that is why
    Out of a sample size of two. Biden might not make it to November..... the man sounds half dead.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,592
    One of Biden's early malfunctions:

    https://x.com/ayeejuju/status/1806497513169637875
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874

    HYUFD said:

    Biden lost this debate in the first 5 minutes. It's all that will be clipped and all that will be remembered.

    He's getting some decent attacks in now, but it's too late.

    So sad.

    Be interesting to see how many of the American public tuned in for 30 mins and then tuned out.
    I think if even if they continued to watch, it's barely rose above terrible for Biden. Now, I'm not saying Trump is doing well - his default smirk whenever Biden skewers him looks terrible and any undecided voter would look at Trump and say that the man is full of it. But I don't see how this encourages Dems to turn out and pull the lever. And So Biden is toast.
    Dems will turn out to pull the lever to beat Trump, not out of huge enthusiasm for Biden. That was the case yesterday, today and will be the case in November.

    Should also be pointed out every incumbent President bar one since 1980 has lost the first presidential debate.

    President Carter lost the first debate to Reagan in 1980. President Reagan lost the first presidential debate to Mondale in 1984. President Bush 41 lost the first presidential debate to Perot in 1992. President Bush 43 lost the first presidential debate to Kerry in 2004. President Obama lost the first presidential debate to Romney in 2012 and President Trump lost the first presidential debate to Biden in 2020.

    Only President Clinton won his first presidential debate against Bob Dole in 1996.
    I think this is different and unlike the others, it's because it is important. This debate is basically about "Is Biden too old?". It's why Biden is having the debate now rather than in September, to answer that question.

    Most Americans thought he was too old yesterday. Tomorrow almost every American will think that Biden is too old.

    As someone who spends every day talking to Americans in a swing state, everything about Trump is already baked in. Everyone knows he's crazy. 50% don't care. But now the rest are going to be more worried than ever that Biden cannot be president.
    How many of them voted for Biden in 2020? If most of them voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020 that doesn't really mean much
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Well, the whiner line at least was fun
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    Nunu5 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nunu5 said:

    Is this the only debate, because Trump is absolutely beating Biden up.

    Trump is talking a lot of nonsense, but he sounds like he is alive and functioning. Biden just keeps freezing.

    The people who kept on insisting that Trump was suffering just as much from age-related decline were deluding themselves.
    Dementia is a sad thing. And to make Biden go through this is cruel
    Biden is the only Democrat who has proved he can beat Trump in the Electoral College that is why
    Out of a sample size of two. Biden might not make it to November..... the man sounds half dead.
    Even a dead Biden would win 45-50% against Trump
  • MartinVegasMartinVegas Posts: 56
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Biden lost this debate in the first 5 minutes. It's all that will be clipped and all that will be remembered.

    He's getting some decent attacks in now, but it's too late.

    So sad.

    Be interesting to see how many of the American public tuned in for 30 mins and then tuned out.
    I think if even if they continued to watch, it's barely rose above terrible for Biden. Now, I'm not saying Trump is doing well - his default smirk whenever Biden skewers him looks terrible and any undecided voter would look at Trump and say that the man is full of it. But I don't see how this encourages Dems to turn out and pull the lever. And So Biden is toast.
    Dems will turn out to pull the lever to beat Trump, not out of huge enthusiasm for Biden. That was the case yesterday, today and will be the case in November.

    Should also be pointed out every incumbent President bar one since 1980 has lost the first presidential debate.

    President Carter lost the first debate to Reagan in 1980. President Reagan lost the first presidential debate to Mondale in 1984. President Bush 41 lost the first presidential debate to Perot in 1992. President Bush 43 lost the first presidential debate to Kerry in 2004. President Obama lost the first presidential debate to Romney in 2012 and President Trump lost the first presidential debate to Biden in 2020.

    Only President Clinton won his first presidential debate against Bob Dole in 1996.
    I think this is different and unlike the others, it's because it is important. This debate is basically about "Is Biden too old?". It's why Biden is having the debate now rather than in September, to answer that question.

    Most Americans thought he was too old yesterday. Tomorrow almost every American will think that Biden is too old.

    As someone who spends every day talking to Americans in a swing state, everything about Trump is already baked in. Everyone knows he's crazy. 50% don't care. But now the rest are going to be more worried than ever that Biden cannot be president.
    How many of them voted for Biden in 2020? If most of them voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020 that doesn't really mean much
    It's all about turnout. I keep repeating this because it's how it works in the US. 2020 had a record turnout. Unless Biden can get all that vote out again, he will lose because Trump is for sure getting all of his vote out.

    Having said all that, Biden has got some good lines in - the last line before the commercial break about why Trump refused to accept the election was excellent. Got Trump into maximum smirk mode.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,592
    https://x.com/kellyo/status/1806505436457189594

    NEW: Two sources familiar with the situation say “President Biden has a cold.”
  • MartinVegasMartinVegas Posts: 56

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Biden lost this debate in the first 5 minutes. It's all that will be clipped and all that will be remembered.

    He's getting some decent attacks in now, but it's too late.

    So sad.

    Be interesting to see how many of the American public tuned in for 30 mins and then tuned out.
    I think if even if they continued to watch, it's barely rose above terrible for Biden. Now, I'm not saying Trump is doing well - his default smirk whenever Biden skewers him looks terrible and any undecided voter would look at Trump and say that the man is full of it. But I don't see how this encourages Dems to turn out and pull the lever. And So Biden is toast.
    Dems will turn out to pull the lever to beat Trump, not out of huge enthusiasm for Biden. That was the case yesterday, today and will be the case in November.

    Should also be pointed out every incumbent President bar one since 1980 has lost the first presidential debate.

    President Carter lost the first debate to Reagan in 1980. President Reagan lost the first presidential debate to Mondale in 1984. President Bush 41 lost the first presidential debate to Perot in 1992. President Bush 43 lost the first presidential debate to Kerry in 2004. President Obama lost the first presidential debate to Romney in 2012 and President Trump lost the first presidential debate to Biden in 2020.

    Only President Clinton won his first presidential debate against Bob Dole in 1996.
    I think this is different and unlike the others, it's because it is important. This debate is basically about "Is Biden too old?". It's why Biden is having the debate now rather than in September, to answer that question.

    Most Americans thought he was too old yesterday. Tomorrow almost every American will think that Biden is too old.

    As someone who spends every day talking to Americans in a swing state, everything about Trump is already baked in. Everyone knows he's crazy. 50% don't care. But now the rest are going to be more worried than ever that Biden cannot be president.
    How many of them voted for Biden in 2020? If most of them voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020 that doesn't really mean much
    It's all about turnout. I keep repeating this because it's how it works in the US. 2020 had a record turnout. Unless Biden can get all that vote out again, he will lose because Trump is for sure getting all of his vote out.

    Having said all that, Biden has got some good lines in - the last line before the commercial break about why Trump refused to accept the election was excellent. Got Trump into maximum smirk mode.
    But then Biden falls apart again on the next question. Every time he answers first he is terrible. Every time he has something Trump says to grab onto he's much better.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    How the hell is Biden bungling his closing comments? FFS
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 964

    https://x.com/kellyo/status/1806505436457189594

    NEW: Two sources familiar with the situation say “President Biden has a cold.”

    Lol. Ok if they say so
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,859
    Well, that was certainly something.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Democrats are panicking
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,592
    HYUFD said:

    They are now arguing about their golf handicaps

    It's a wedge issue.
  • MartinVegasMartinVegas Posts: 56

    HYUFD said:

    They are now arguing about their golf handicaps

    It's a wedge issue.
    Since you putt it that way...
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    HYUFD said:

    They are now arguing about their golf handicaps

    It's a wedge issue.
    Since you putt it that way...
    But Biden's inability to remember his handicap has put him in a hole ...
  • PedestrianRockPedestrianRock Posts: 580
    Trading bets on Kamala during that debate went quite decently
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    edited June 28
    TimT said:

    Democrats are panicking

    I doubt tonight makes much difference, most Biden voters already knew he was old and forgetful, they are largely voting for him to stop Trump.

    There is also no polling evidence any other Democrat polls better v Trump than Biden, indeed most poll worse and we already know that the only non Biden Democrat to face Trump in a general election was beaten by Trump in the EC whereas Biden beat Trump in the EC in 2020
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874

    Trading bets on Kamala during that debate went quite decently

    If Harris ends up Democrat candidate they may as well hand the election to Trump on a plate, she makes even Hillary look electable in the rustbelt
  • PedestrianRockPedestrianRock Posts: 580
    "
    emily m
    @maitlis
    In the space of the last thirty mins Dem commentators seem to have switched to talking about “another candidate”. Are they getting ahead of the narrative ? Or creating it ?"

  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    Democrats are panicking

    I doubt tonight makes much difference, most Biden voters already knew he was old and forgetful, they are largely voting for him to stop Trump.

    There is also no polling evidence any other Democrat polls better v Trump than Biden, indeed most poll worse and we already know that the only non Biden Democrat to face Trump in a general election was beaten by Trump in the EC whereas Biden beat Trump in the EC in 2020
    No, this is different. People are genuinely panicking
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    The basic politico's judgment: Biden sank his campaign tonight.
  • PedestrianRockPedestrianRock Posts: 580
    HYUFD said:

    Trading bets on Kamala during that debate went quite decently

    If Harris ends up Democrat candidate they may as well hand the election to Trump on a plate, she makes even Hillary look electable in the rustbelt
    Well I'm wishing I kept a bit more rather than just trading out of them now...

    I agree a fitter Biden is the Dems' best hope vs Trump ordinarily, but it was hard to not watch that debate and think that someone else might do a lot better against him.

    Agree that Harris might not be that person, but it's bad optics to say "Re-elect us for our good record!" and also "We are replacing the President and we are also passing over his VP".


  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    TimT said:

    The basic politico's judgment: Biden sank his campaign tonight.

    I believe you also said the same in 2012 after Romney trounced Obama in the first debate
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    My twitter timeline is now filled with video of Biden having to be helped off the debate stage by his wife. Its Sunak level PR.

    They are going to have to hide him away in the basement for most of the campaign.
  • PedestrianRockPedestrianRock Posts: 580
    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    The basic politico's judgment: Biden sank his campaign tonight.

    I believe you also said the same in 2012 after Romney trounced Obama in the first debate
    Comparison between the situations is really not apt when we're talking about age here vs Romney just winning the first debate (which incumbents often lose)
  • PedestrianRockPedestrianRock Posts: 580
    But if you think Biden will be fine he is now 1.76 to win the nomination and almost 6.0 to win the Presidency!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,874
    edited June 28


    HYUFD said:

    Trading bets on Kamala during that debate went quite decently

    If Harris ends up Democrat candidate they may as well hand the election to Trump on a plate, she makes even Hillary look electable in the rustbelt
    Well I'm wishing I kept a bit more rather than just trading out of them now...

    I agree a fitter Biden is the Dems' best hope vs Trump ordinarily, but it was hard to not watch that debate and think that someone else might do a lot better against him.

    Agree that Harris might not be that person, but it's bad optics to say "Re-elect us for our good record!" and also "We are replacing the President and we are also passing over his VP".


    Unless clear polling evidence emerges that another named Democrat does better v Trump in the swing states than Biden does by the Democratic convention, Biden will still be nominee. It would also require the majority of Biden's delegates to switch to that candidate at the convention
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    There was a point during that when Trump said "I'm only running to stop you" and Biden said "I'm only running to stop you" and they started talking about their golf handicaps and you have to wonder whether there's a deal to be made.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    Choice for leader of the free world....who can play better golf in their younger days.
    https://x.com/barstoolsports/status/1806515570533175718

    That was worse than England batting in the T20 semi-final.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    Democrats were left discussing replacing Joe Biden after what was widely acknowledged to have been a disastrous debate performance against Donald Trump.

    Mr Biden, 81, mumbled and lost his train of thought throughout the 90-minute one-on-one, appearing confused at times and freezing under the spotlight. The White House said while the debate was still underway that he had developed a cold during practice sessions.

    But a group of Democrat congressmen were said to now be discussing the need for a new presidential nominee after watching the “disaster” unfold, The New York Times reports.

    David Axelrod, a former senior adviser to Barack Obama, said there will be “discussions” in the Democratic party about whether he should step aside.

    “I think there was a sense of shock at how he came out at the beginning of this debate, he seemed a little disoriented,” he said on CNN.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/06/27/us-presidential-debate-live-donald-trump-joe-biden/
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468

    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    The basic politico's judgment: Biden sank his campaign tonight.

    I believe you also said the same in 2012 after Romney trounced Obama in the first debate
    Comparison between the situations is really not apt when we're talking about age here vs Romney just winning the first debate (which incumbents often lose)
    LOL I certainly don't remember what I posted 12 years ago in that much detail. But this was nothing like the Romney/Obama debate, and I am not reporting my sentiment, but what senior Democrats are saying about Biden's performance tonight.

    When you get people like Van Jones and David Axelrod saying the party need to have a serious conversation, this is not just a normal bad debate performance ...
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,968
    edited June 28
    Raphael Warnock, the Democrat senator, is in the spin room trying to mitigate the damage from tonight’s debate. He accused the media of being too focused on Mr Biden’s style.

    ----------------

    “There is a deep, a wide, very aggressive panic in the Democratic party - it started minutes into the debate and it continues right now,” John King, CNN’s chief national correspondent, said. “It involves party strategist, it involves elected officials.”
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,592
    https://x.com/frankluntz/status/1806528125951738094

    My focus group of undecided voters wants Joe Biden to step aside.

    They like him and respect him – most voted for him in 2020. But they want him to go.

    Tonight was a political earthquake.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,859
    TimT said:

    HYUFD said:

    TimT said:

    The basic politico's judgment: Biden sank his campaign tonight.

    I believe you also said the same in 2012 after Romney trounced Obama in the first debate
    Comparison between the situations is really not apt when we're talking about age here vs Romney just winning the first debate (which incumbents often lose)
    LOL I certainly don't remember what I posted 12 years ago in that much detail. But this was nothing like the Romney/Obama debate, and I am not reporting my sentiment, but what senior Democrats are saying about Biden's performance tonight.

    When you get people like Van Jones and David Axelrod saying the party need to have a serious conversation, this is not just a normal bad debate performance ...
    Axelrod has wanted to dump Biden for some time. It's not a new position. Jusr look at this title from January:-

    Joe Biden Called David Axelrod a ‘Prick.’ It Won’t Shut Him Up.
    A Q&A with the former Obama strategist who’s not afraid to critique the Biden campaign.

    https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/01/12/david-axelrod-obama-biden-2024-00135194
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