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The charge of light in the head brigade – politicalbetting.com
The charge of light in the head brigade – politicalbetting.com
The Chief Data Officer of the Tory Party is under investigation over Bettingate.Also The Sunday Times reports resources are being diverted to Rishi Sunak's constituency because of the D-Day mistake https://t.co/GnsMnEC8Sp
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Who will be the last two Tories left standing ? Perhaps Penny and Tom Tugendhat.
Can't say I'm attracted by the 2/1 on Labour.
Morning all
I don't think that will happen but if I was @Sandpit I would be a bit nervous!
In 2019 the Lib Dems following the general election had the deputy leader and the president of the party being joint leader before the election of the leader in 2020.
Angela Carter-Begbie, who is standing in Queen's Park and Maida Vale, has said 'Putin wants peace – it's the West that don't', that 'Ukraine was horrible to the Russians first' and that 'Putin put his people first'.
John Clark, standing in Bangor Aberconwy, described Putin as 'sane and reasonable'. He has also said supporting Ukraine was 'not in Britain's interests' and replied to Lord Cameron's support for Ukraine by saying: 'You are asset-stripping our country to pay for your globalist friends to expand their empire.'
Hamish Haddow, in Chipping Barnet, falsely claimed Boris Johnson 'stopped the Ukraine peace talks on request by [Joe] Biden' and said 'every Ukrainian death [is] firmly on Boris'.
Teresa DeSantis, in Chichester, said Boris was 'acting like Zelensky's rent boy, touting for war' while Jack Aaron in Welwyn Hatfield called Putin's use of force in Ukraine 'legitimate' and likened him to Churchill. Malcolm Cupis, in Melksham and Devizes, compared calls for Ukraine refugees in the UK to be exempt from car registration fees to 'ethnic cleansing'.
Peter Morris in Melton and Syston, claimed the war was about 'the US defence budget' while Jack Brookes, in Birmingham Erdington, claimed Boris 'kept the war going'.
https://x.com/PickardJE/status/1804779375872663622/
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13558707/How-one-Nigel-Farages-prominent-supporters-repeatedly-called-closer-ties-Kremlin.html
All these Reform candidates should be interned and I am going to have nightmares about Boris Johnson being a rent boy.
That he didn't run in that by-election suggests that he was well aware of the level of public anticipation there would have been for such a deserved fate.
Then there's also the question of which Tory peers defect to Reforn, the LD's, and Binface's grouping.
Britain Trump is here and up and running.
‘Some 62% of people questioned also believe Brexit has contributed to higher prices in shops, against 8% who think that it has had the opposite effect.’ https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/22/starmer-growth-plan-doomed-access-eu-markets-economists
There’s also a quote in there (from a senior EU diplomat so you Leavers can airily dismiss it out of hand): ‘“We used to be a far more effective trading nation than we are now. The cause of that is Brexit. There is no getting away from that.”’
Brexit is irreparably damaged, holed below the waterline. Business hates it. A majority of the under 60s hate it. It is tarnished by the corruption divisiveness and malevolence of the outgoing government. The fevered promises of the Leave campaigns haven’t materialised.
While the Boomers are still about in sufficient numbers we will have to tip toe back to the EU. But as the inevitable happens reality, the demands of business and of those too young to vote in the referendum and those who voted to Remain will become too big to ignore. Boomer concerns will fade away, like keeping the pound in the age of Apple Pay. There aren’t enough sovereigntists wibbling about unelected EU bureaucrats to outweigh that - perhaps the full horror for them is if it becomes the settled view in the country that things were better, with better outcomes for more people, when we were in the EU. I don’t think we’re a million miles from that. The argument ‘yeah it’s shit, but it’s our shit’ isn’t particularly persuasive, is it?
Thankfully you are also wrong. A Starmer victory will make Rejoin less rather than more likely.
This morning I found that The Day of the Jackal is on ITV player and I forgot what an absolute masterpiece it is. Haven’t watched in over 20 odd years but it’s been a wonderful reunion. Not all the Foxes are arseheads. That is all.
I am really beginning to wonder if this does lead to sub 100 MPs for them, Not my central case, but whereas I was thinking 130 +/- 15, and about 23%, I am wondering if it is now 110 +/- 15 and only 21%,
If things go so badly that Sunak is out, not elected enough.
One thing we're not factoring in yet - because of all the uncertainty - is the dramatic change in political mood there will be with a new government, particularly if the Tories are reduced to a rump and tearing themselves apart over their future. Fifty discredited Tories trying to make a fuss about regulatory and trade alignment with the EU aren't going to get much of a hearing.
Even if he stays in the country, barring an amazing turnaround he's not going to be leader for very long after the election, and is very unlikely to have any front-bench role.
You'd better know when to hold 'em
Know when to fold 'em
Know when to walk away
And know when to run.
A hat tip to whoever made that choice
Do you really want to be known be known as the only PM who lost his seat?
We had years of talk about "traitors" from the Brexit frothers from 2016 and it contributed to some pretty serious disfunction in out political system as it filtered all the way to the top.
It's true that anyone voting for Reform is voting for a monumentally thick economic policy and it's also true that Nigel Faragov has some troubling emotional and network ties to the Russian state. I wouldn't trust him with anything secret. Actually, I wouldn't even trust him to stand still and hold my dog's lead while I nipped into the shop.
But voting for him doesn't make you traitor. It's easily explained just by being very, very stupid.
In a week and a half will we all be asking - 'Were you up for Aberdeenshire North and Moray East?'
(Probably not - but they could do a lot worse)
Assuming Starmer wins this time next year the board will be drifting rightwards as Starmer racks up failure after fialure.
They should be paying their taxes every year, not just on inheritance.
If the land is being used efficiently, it will be able to pay its taxes. If its not, the land will survive and can be sold to someone who will put it to more efficient use.
We tax people's wages too much. We should tax death and land more, wages less.
Rather like the Conservatives will be on July 5th, I am "assessing my losses".
All reclaimers please lend your support to the only party and the only man @Nigel_Farage which is offering hope in the coming election.
The @thereclaimparty stands with @reformparty_uk in July. 🇬🇧
https://x.com/LozzaFox/status/1804516598851457229
But most people on here will probably recognise that the three of them are fairly different. Even Cooper and Rayner, in the same party, are quite different people.
Churchill interned people like this during WWII.
However the Labour Party in the seat has been historically very fractious, and the previous Labour candidate, Khalil Ahmad, is standing for the Workers Party and there is a large ethnic minority base which he can appeal to. There are also nine candidates so the ballot is very crowded,
Meanwhile the Lib Dem vote is not very squeezable and would not be enough to get Labour over the line anyway.
I think this is going to be much closer than similar marginals, and I could even see Baker surviving by a miniscule margin. As ever DYOR, but 1/7 Labour odds seem over done and although Baker at 7/2 is not massive value, it may not be unrealistic.
I’m beginning to worry about his IQ.
Not sure if its the former or the latter guiding the recent posts.