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The spreads are open – politicalbetting.com
The spreads are open – politicalbetting.com
It is with great delight I can annonce Sporting Index have opened the seat spreads for the general election.
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Wa-hey! That sounds INCREDIBLY rude!
Just follow my tips precisely.
First, you must...
Interesting insight and suggests perhaps 180 to 200 Con and 380 to 400 Lab given starting point
If she is charged, when do you predict that?
Anyone else feel the same?
https://x.com/Cat_Headley/status/1793681941423702309
(Sorry, does it have to be on topic? How onerous.)
Edit: quotum?
I'd say the 29th of Nevertember, but if plumping for an actual date I'll day 23rd July. People will want their holidays uninterrupted
@IanDunt
Sunak is making Rwanda central to the campaign apparently. Now if he can find whoever's responsible for tabling the election so early the flights won't take off, there'll be hell to pay"
https://x.com/IanDunt/status/1793635571778429137
So long as it isn't offensive or thinks it is sexual (Vanilla will automatically remove those.)
Oh and no photos of pizzas with pineapples on them, that's a six month ban to ConHome.
But it’s the election after this election that really worries me too. in the inevitable leadership election after this defeat, a new leader MUST work to return the Party to the USP that made them own the last 100 years of British Politics, not a leader that will take them further down the road of the MAGA junk priorities imported from America. Further down that road is further away from the UK electorate. After a defeat to below 200 seats, the Conservatives could elect their own version of Michael Foot or Jeremy Corbyn 😔
😂😂😂😂
If this is such a big issue, and I don’t think it is, friendly pro asylum seeker pieces like this could work against labour.
Usual inarticulate talking heads too.
The previous 3 days saw, inter alia,
Donald Trump get charged with a federal crime.
Boris Johnson resign as an MP.
Three Tory MPs resigned as MPs because they were blackballed for peerages.
Volunteering for a Spread of the Day, daily post?
If you've got 400+ MPs then you can't keep many quiet by giving them ministerial jobs and there's no incentive to avoid splits in order to win votes. That's a lot of back bench fodder getting bored.
Disappointed.
There’s not a lot for me to get into there so I may switch to some constituency markets but you need to know your onions.
There’s six weeks of an election campaign first and many of us feel like we’ve been waiting an eternity for this one.
Now it’s time for those who want to help stop small boats and deter illegal immigrants to make your voices heard and vote Tory so we can get those flights moving and people will have to listen.
If you want to stop the boats vote Tory, if you want a million illegal immigrants in your town vote Starmer.”
Now it likely won’t work, it’s cynical, it’s the hailiest of Hail Mary passes but it’s pretty much all they’ve got.
The spreads have Blair landslide as their midpoint. One way you profit (potentially bigtime) if it really is the Tory extinction event with them reduced to a rump. The other way you profit for all results from Blair size landslide downwards.
It's almost a binary big picture decision you need to make. Will it be that way or that way? Then buy or sell Labour seats accordingly. I'm leaning to the sell but I haven't hit the button on it. Something is stopping me.
Answer: ‘Who?’
She needed about three prompts, including an explanation that he was the PM, before laughing and explaining that he hadn’t been Prime Minister long enough to know anything about him.
This is what we are dealing with. This is also what the Conservatives are dealing with.
I don't think the term 'conservative' is particularly helpful in the present moment as a synonym for the right because the cultural consensus is so far to the left. Therefore the right is almost compelled to be radical rather than conservative.
I thought Peter Capaldi was a bit disappointing though
John Swinney: “Challenge accepted.”
https://x.com/euanmccolm/status/1793700787430031695
You have a class 2 rating on that acronym.
So why call the election now? You've got the law in place, you're telling us that you confident you can have a flight a few days after winning an election. Why not show your policy works, then ask the public to vote on it?
(Normal voice)
It's not 2019. He can't use the 2019 playbook with Brexit replaced by Rwanda. If Rishi thinks he can, he's a bigger chump than I think he is.
Anything more and it gets a little silly, but I fully appreciate you cannot vote for that outcome.
2) How do you know I'm a virgin?
I'm sure some of us would be happy to chip in if costs are needed to be met.
@TSE @rcs1000 ???
Tory whips have had to ask their MPs not to announce they've decided not to stand all at the same time, so it doesn't look like the entire party has given up.
This is not a joke. I know, everything they say sounds like it's intended to be satire. But this has really happened.
Won’t win him an election or get him anywhere near close, but he needs to squeeze Reform, and sow some doubt about Starmer making immigration ‘worse’.
I don’t feel people are overly engaged with politicians or politics. They certainly have to contend with that.
Public service link for the "Grizzlies are lovable balls of fur" theorists
I have my doubts it will succeed, but again, it’s the only real thing they can go with right now. Certainly until the manifestos, or some Labour foot-in-mouth moment which seems unlikely now, but we can’t rule out.
But now, it's successfully passed into law and the most recent set-back lies with the the High Court in Belfast finding that it conflicts with Rishi's own Windsor Framework. Any attempt to try blaming others will likely backfire.
Johnson had some justifying saying that he needed a new House of Commons to Get Brexit Done, hence an election.
Sunak's calling an election is the thing stopping him doing Rwanda- unless the whole thing is a blag, which I'm pretty sure it is. All it takes is one interviewer to ask the right question.
There are times when Sunak reminds me of a junior school chess player who seems surprised that their opponent a) gets to make moves and b) can choose to make moves that help them win.
Everyone: But Rwanda is law and you would have got flights away had you not called an election
Sunak: I blame Starmer. He doesn't know which teams have qualified for the Euros.
As usual with Rishi, when confronted with a series of options he chooses the least optimal.
But I wouldn't buy Tory seats, that's for sure.
Still, I can't imagine 550 would be that healthy, unlikely though it is.
They know nothing of any detail.
It is a squeeze Reform vote - at least for the first week of campaign.
Neither are priced up on Betfair yet.
Rishi 2024: Get Rwanda Done. I have an oven-ready deal.
It won't work.
Just ask Boris Johnson and one Owen Paterson.