Lock him up – politicalbetting.com
Lock him up – politicalbetting.com
Two-thirds of Americans say someone with a felony conviction should not be allowed to be presidenthttps://t.co/LSS1iIqxrf pic.twitter.com/qAqxozVO68
1
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
The Two Spies | Former MI5 & MI6 Heads On The Iraq War, Double Agents & Today's Best Secret Services
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UyLqCkfpHPo
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/apr/21/uk-voters-frustrated-with-politicians-desperate-culture-war-tactics-survey-finds
Even if he’s convicted, of course, it’s fairly unlikely he’ll actually be jailed on these grounds, although he’s doing his best to annoy the judge.
That’s probably the best bet actually - that he testifies, has a meltdown and is jailed for contempt.
I note it simply says “ convicted of a felony”, not imprisoned.
And our on camera Blue-tit seems to have started incubating eight eggs. Her mate was feeding her on the nest last night!
If it’s rejected, Trump will have to put up the cash more or less instantly or his properties start being repossessed, which as @rcs1000 noted could have unfortunate consequences for him.
I will be surprised if it *is* rejected even though it’s clearly as reliable as a Cummings eyesight test, because the courts have been bending over backwards to accommodate Trump. But it’s another headache he probably doesn’t need.
NO
Dem: 10%
Ind: 16%
Rep: 17%
Other "Felons for President" were
Trump voters (22%)
Income $100k+ (17%)
South (17%)
Notably the 65+ were least keen (11%).
https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/crosstabs_Felonies_and_Employment_20240418.pdf#page=3
I don't think waiter is in his nature.
So I can see the bond being ruled invalid and an awful lot of whining kicking off...
Clearly it's not constitutionally barred, so what does the question mean ?
It's not the same as asking "would you vote for" a convicted felon.
Why didn't they just ask "if Trump were convicted of a felony before the election, would you vote for him" ?
How does Trump keep finding these rich suckers?
Theater restaurant offers Shakespeare-inspired menu
https://m.koreatimes.co.kr/pages/article.asp?newsIdx=373152
...The meal begins with three amuse-bouches, each symbolizing one of Lear's daughters.
"The taco represents the eldest Goneril. I tried to capture her somber, yet secretive nature with a shrimp encased in a black taco shell, covered with aioli. The contrast between the crunchy shell and the tender shrimp mirrors the complex duality of the character," Park Sun-woo, head chef of Central Yunit, told The Korea Times, April 17.
The second daughter, Regan, is captured with a red-colored cannoli.
"Regan's cannoli is made from a blackish-red shell, tinted with beet to lend a touch of glamor, reflecting her winning of Edmund's love. Filled with cream cheese and a whole blueberry, the filling bursts from the shell, symbolizing the eruption of deep-seated human desires," Park explained...
An absolute bargain at $26
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/2645b4f3-bf74-4c88-bb03-09553c154bdc?shareToken=5b48c6c31f3174d0b24b3ea03145762e
The number of people attending hospital in England & Wales after violent incidents has halved in the last 14 years. That is really strong progress. There was a bit of a blip during and post covid but trend is back down again now.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-68850952
Are there any circumstances in which you would be willing to vote for someone convicted of a felony who is running for President
NET YES
Dem: -61%
Ind: -20%
Rep: +12%
I’ve commented before that she’s the one who really means it. Others grift and sound off, but you sense Suella has proper deep seated anger in there. And she really didn’t appreciate the impertinence of her interviewer daring to ask challenging questions.
Not only will many think Trump innocent and/or fitted up but a decent subset think Biden is guilty of something or other too. Or should not be allowed because he is old/gaga or whatever.
https://twitter.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1782137087149445568
In some ways, I find it more worrying that nearly one in ten say a convicted felon shouldn't be allowed to be a waiter. They're essentially saying that such people should never work again in any job, which is extremely harsh.
I may just be thinking of Blackadder here.
Please explain what the issue is @squareroot2 . The answer isn't because the Times is running the story but actually requires you to use your brain.
The snag is the Republicans have picked somebody almost as old and considerably more gaga.
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/alvin-braggs-liberal-critics-are-wrong/id1485109198?i=1000652720754
Given that the definition of felony is being convicted of a crime of over 12 months then I'd have said 'yes'.
Over here, if one of the wronged postmasters had been sentenced for over 12 months would you deem him or her unsupportable in an election?
Whether that's a good thing or a bad thing is another question.
Sure, the generalship of the Somme was inept, but that's partly because the generals were wrestling with a new type of warfare. And while their errors came at a terrible human cost, the lessons learned in that battle (particularly by the likes of Currie, watching closely from the reserve trenches) ultimately paved the way for the breaking of the German army in 1918.
https://www.flightradar24.com/data/gps-jamming
The big problem was command and control. Without mobile radio, you are in command of those in earshot. Unless you are in a bunker, with wired telephones or telegraph.
And then you need a big space for the maps, whole rooms for the telephone and telegraph operators (who have to be on site). So running the war from the front lines couldn’t work.
Towards the end of the war, aircraft began to carry radio, which allowed a massive cut in the time for events on the battleground (as observed by recon aircraft) to be added to the “picture” on the map tables.
Yes, MiC and 38 degrees are "wouldn't the world be nicer if we all just agreed to be friends" centrists.
But that, by itself, doesn't mean their numbers are wrong.
IIRC US credit cards have quite poor security. Have they actually taken up chip and pin yet? Last time I was there (not long ago) it was regarded as a kind of witchcraft.
What next. People love eating meat regularly, source : British Butchers federation. etc etc.
Undoubtedly some reasonable points here from Blair.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/blair-warns-politics-risks-becoming-populated-by-the-weird-and-wealthy-as-he-calls-for-reset-with-europe/ar-AA1nnMky?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=82fbd4ee6de944cae9da4ac3ddc14c8f&ei=14
If you wish to critique the poll, you could consider what the questions asked were.
Mud, Blood and Poppycock: Britain and the Great War (W&N Military) https://amzn.eu/d/fqcI9KX
Will the media ask him why the government refuses to accept an amendment in relation to Afghanis who helped the British army?
Why are counterfeit barcoded stamps more difficult to identify correctly than the previous unbarcoded ones, or was this always a problem?
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2024/apr/22/counterfeit-barcode-stamps-furore-carries-echoes-of-horizon-scandal
Labour must be delighted.
But it seems extremely unlikely people were interpreting the question in that way. I mean, it's so obvious that the question isn't about someone wrongfully convicted who had later been exhonorated that the point that they aren't covered is surely implied. I mean, if someone had been exonerated on appeal, you'd just not refer to them as a "convicted criminal" any more (indeed, it'd be libel).
Plenty of mindless slaughter of Russians, Germans and Austrians so far without many trenches.
I suspect even if you get your scalp and she is charged, it will just reinforce the voter notion that Conservative rule breakers are above the law that applies to everyone else.
We shall see. The police are investigation. Neighbours accuse her of lying. The tax man doesn't like being taken for a fool.
We shall see.
Anyway if I have broken the site rules, inadvertently, can't do anything about it now.
But then given the reputation and probably business practices of everything associated with the PO are in the khazi then it's no surprise they are pulling this trick.
And no - don't go there ydoethur.
Jeez and we’ve got months of this. Can’t the gimp just call an election and FO back to California.
My point was I doubt the stamp was counterfeit.
That is, the vicar will be blameless I'd expect... but it doesn't mean the stamp isn't counterfeit.
It's obviously annoying if you're charged to receive a letter with incorrect postage attached, although that's always been true.
Not wishing to traduce the good name of local shopkeepers, by the way. Most are fine people. But who do you think shoplifters sell their stolen Creme Eggs and bottles of Pernod to? It isn't normally down the Dog and Duck.
And the relevance for the US election is a lot of Trump voters would view a convicted Trump as I view a convicted postmaster.
Won’t be able to check it till the weekend.
What I want to know is what you think the issue is re registration for voting and you just keep ignoring the question.
So tell us 'What is the issue?' because it baffles me. I mean use your brain and don't just link to an article. Think for yourself. It isn't a lot to ask
PS I am referring to the electoral registration not CGT so the taxman issue is not relevant to my question.
Politics used to be a part time job, generally done by the upper middle classes. The problem with the change to professional, full time politics is that it isn’t a career - more moderately paid social work and greasy poll climbing. There’s no professional development and after 10 years in Parliament, you have no career to return to - unless you’ve created a lobbying network instead of trying to do the job.
Further, the gao between what an MP does and what we expect a Minister to do is staggering. To go from running a half dozen, very junior direct reports (with direct hire and fire), to running a department. 100ks of people, with all the internal systems and politics. And a weird, rather convoluted definition of responsibility - meaning you can’t fire civil servants if they literally lie to you.
It’s not surprising that many ministers just sign the huge piles of paper they are given. They have no idea how to do anything else.
Ted Kennedy ran for President in 1980 despite having received a suspended sentence in 1973 for fleeing the scene of an accident after killing his passenger. Although Carter beat him in the primaries he still won a lot of states.
So a conviction alone may not be fatal for Trump, although it would hit him with Independents. Jail time though likely would be beyond his core vote
I am torn in my view of the Battle of the Somme. On one hand it seems that the disaster of the first day and the ensuing campaign threw away lives needlessly for little gain. And it's hard to see beyond that.
The flip side of the coin is that the Somme - originally planned as a huge offensive jointly with the French, but the French contribution was dramatically curtailed due to the German attack at Verdun - was a vital attritional battle, helping the French at Verdun by tying up German manpower and logistics.
It was also vital for the British Army in 1916 - largely the first time the volunteers of 1914 went into action - to actually learn how to fight, though it was certainly a bloody lesson.
It also brought hard-won lessons - the amount and density of artillery needed to properly destroy barbed wire was much greater than that used at the Somme, for example. New tactics, such as bite and hold, developed.
As for staying away from the frontline, the generals were hamstrung by poor communications. They were commanding thousands of men over a wide area and they needed to be at the centre of a vast communications hub to be contactable, receive reports and issue commands accordingly, and this was something like a chateau ten miles behind the frontline. Though the communications network was rudimentary in the extreme and very ineffective.
Having said all that, I think there was still a willingness by the generals, or maybe too many of them, to stomach gargantuan casualties all through the war. But it was ultimately, brutally, a war of attrition.
I swing from one view to the other. I think the Somme, particularly the first day, was waste. But many argue it was the blood price that had to be paid, the school of hard knocks that had to be endured, that paved the way for eventual victory.
1. They ask the addressee, not the sender, to fix things
2. You get a card through the door inviting you to cough up
3. Only after you have paid and received the item can you tell if it was worth it
4. Huge numbers of false positives from their dodgy barcode detectors
5. Confusing postage charges that now depend on size as well as weight
6. Withdrawal of previously issued stamps
(4) is an obvious parallel with the Horizon scandal but there is also legitimate confusion from (5,6) leading to insufficient postage when granny sends Christmas cards.