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Two years and counting – politicalbetting.com
Two years and counting – politicalbetting.com
The most notable thing about this chart is how straight the Labour and Conservative lines are since May 2021. There's a spasm when Partygate broke and another when Liz Truss imploded, but those were short term deviations from a much longer term trend. https://t.co/PBgBeS88Uh
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Oh yes, never in doubt. I agree that the weird thing with the polling of late is how stable it has been, barely ever out of MOE.
Johnson says he avoided cooperating with devolved administrations for political reasons
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/live/2023/dec/07/boris-johnson-uk-covid-inquiry-coronavirus-pandemic-live
https://twitter.com/Conservatives/status/1732781753448726918
Lets assume that Nippie had leaked something. Call her out. Number 10 is perfectly capable of its own leaking operation. Not engaging with them for political reasons in case they say something is pathetic.
https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-warns-us-that-ukraine-will-be-its-second-vietnam-war/
This is messaging designed to scare US voters, but is essentially rubbish. Annual US expenditures in Ukraine are somewhere around a quarter of one percent of GDP; at the height of the Vietnam conflict, the US was spending around ten times that percentage.
And the US military are not deployed in Ukraine.
Conversely, Russia grew its military during the Vietnam war years; in Ukraine it has lost a significant proportion of its military reserves.
Ukraine is closer to a more costly second Afghanistan for Russia.
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2023/dec/07/ofsted-inspection-contributed-to-headteacher-suicide-ruth-perry-coroner-rules
"And I thought the way to minimise divergence and tensions – and you can quarrel with this judgment – was to take the temperature down, and to have business like practical meetings between the [devolved administrations] and [the then chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, Michael Gove]… and I think, by and large, it was extremely effective."
So, he's not saying he wouldn't talk to them because they were from different political parties, but he wouldn't talk to them because he thought the politics would get in the way of good liaison.
The 3 judges, who included the Lord President, took nearly 2 minutes of discussion to throw out the appeal. It was a bizarre waste of public money and time. What is the SG trying to hide? Who knows, one day we might actually find out.
The FCA shows its teeth and defends cash, quite right too.
https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/saving/article-12836975/New-FCA-proposals-protect-access-cash-usage-coins-notes-rises-time-decade.html
I don't doubt that she tried to do her best for Scotland and Scottish people. I also don't doubt that she believes that independence is best and used covid to try to further that cause too.
That is a lot of data.
All you need to meet this criteria is to have a supermarket/corner shop/post office/cash machine nearby.
The gaps are already plugged.
Still time, though. Don't give up, Isam.
PFFF!
They kicked out the Cornish lad!!
Nooooo
Mind you, he is just 22. How can you be that good a chef, at 22?? Phenomenal. He will have a fine career
US imports from Mexico now surpass imports from China.
https://twitter.com/ssankar/status/1730735579120422995
It isn't "Send them to Rwanda". They can't. So what is the real plan?
Even if they get past all the cuts barriers (lack of internment places / lack of Home Office Staff / lack of Courts capacity etc etc) they are faced with the pain of the plan not being compatible with the ECHR and Rwanda not accepting any plan which bypasses the ECHR.
So the plan is no plan. And I think most people have woken up and understood this. So come on you handful of Tories, what is the real plan?
Unsurprisingly, not many people are listening. Mainly because Labour is not in power.
I tend to ignore anything Russia says, as they are frankly as untrustworthy as Jimmy Saville in charge of a children's ward...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FCARADb9asE
It’s full of children scoring points from each other in an attempt to try and attract a few people they falsely believe to be former Tory voters
I do think we are understimating the potential impact of Nigel Farage taking over Reform UK again (Tice seems OK with the idea). If he did that in a few months' time, the impact could be explosive.
They straddle every opinion from Let Them All In to “Down To Tens of Thousands”, and Starmer does not have the charisma to bind them all together, plus the issue is way more poisonous than it was under Blair/Brown
Trouble ahead
If Boris was still PM, the things you mention would have cone home to roost in the GE campaign. They still might to a lesser degree, but Sunak has no residual loyalty to call upon with the 2019 Tory voters, and lacks the charisma and gravitas to make any use of them
Schoolboy error.
(Mind you, my mother used to make an amazing fish pie which had halved boiled eggs in it.)
Rishi Sunak when asked to show fiscal discipline.
James Cleverly when asked what he called Stockton.
Suella Braverman when asked why she's failed in all her jobs...
Speaking of failure, that retard Spielman really copped it sweet today didn't she? As did Alan Derry and Chris Russell who were accused of lying (probably correctly since OFSTED hasn't done any training of any sort for many years, including safeguarding).
But then, Spielman always was a fool. It's one reason why OFSTED's new inspection framework which she thinks everyone buys into(!) has been such a fiasco.
NOT the legendary prime minister, but his less-legendary grandson.
BTW, speaking of BoJo, is some poor char-person currently missing their mop?
OR did Nick Fabricant donate one of his (hard-)used wigs to Boris Johnson's favorite thrift shop?
As you say it’s classic fish pie territory. OK he used sea bass but hmm
He probably was the weakest of the four tho, but no surprise seeing as he is 22. But ginger Tom is only 24, and I strongly suspect he might win the whole thing, he has barely made an error all series
I'm beginning to think that the Republicans are now simply looking for any excuse not to do so, in the hope that the Ukraine war goes badly for Ukraine, and so they can tie that failure to Biden.
No one, on this show, has ever cooked dog before. Do you reckon they should ?
Sound like a clever euphemism for some horrible act of degeneracy.
Sadly they won’t because the BBC would lose the licence fee the next day
Yes the disappearance of French African geeky dude was a surprise. The even bigger surprise for me was when they kicked out the Arabian fusion Bath restaurant woman. One minute she was a genius, next: gone
- Every decision-maker must conclusively treat the Republic of Rwanda as a
- Sections 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, & 9 of the Human Rights Act 1998, are 'disapplied' where transportation to Rwanda is concerned.
- It is for a Minister of the Crown (and only a Minister of the Crown) to decide whether the United Kingdom will comply with the ECHR.
All seems a bit lily-livered. Why not go a bit further and include a clause to the effect that laws of the Kingdom may also be enacted by the government of the Kingdom? Saves all that hassle with getting votes through the HoC.safe country (regardless of any evidence to the contrary).
What a disgusting, inconsistent, bullshitting, running-the-clock down reprobate. If this were a court of law he would be slapped down on the first sentence of each answer.
I suspect Johnson saw this appearance as his resurrection launchpad. I hope this afternoon has scuppered all hope of a redux.
What an arrogant vile b**tard.
Sunak is facing his Waterloo.
Johnson likes the word "bollocks" doesn't he.
If not barbecued dog then deep fried Tarantula (apparently it tastes like bacon with a texture of prawn) or Scorpion. When I worked in the rail industry with a supplier in Hong Kong one of the guys I deakt with adored scorpion.
They are keen on a wide variety of cuisine so why not.
I hope Kasae wins.
"Mr. Johnson, given your high degree of classical learning, do you recall any of the commentaries of Cicero upon similar acts of mis- and malfeasance by the political and governmental leaders of his day?"
Surely a softball of a question for such an eminent classicist? Or perhaps not.
To a lump of cheddar cheese
It's clear that the Coroner concludes that the Lead Inspector was insensitive and intimidating, although it's also clear that the judgement of the original inspection was probably right under the current framework - as safeguarding is a limiting grade and the school hadn't carried out the necessary checks.
The case raises, though, a whole raft of issues about performance management in both the public and private sectors, especially if such management is insensitive. Any system that can lead to judging an individual as a failure could also lead to that individual not being able to cope with it, and taking their own life. I'd be astonished if the Ruth Perry case, tragic though it is, is unique.
Red Leicester is more of a Labour cheese.
Addendum - by "support" I mean NOT just with their mouths, but with their votes.
I'll give you one back!
So when they now introduce the judges and they say “renowned chef Monica Galletti” and they move on to Marcus I shout over the commentary “and Marcus Aurelius, EMPEROR OF ROME”
And it somehow fits
It’s these pathetic little amusements which get me through my declining years
And there is very considerable doubt as to whether there was fact anything wrong with the paperwork. OFSTED have form for deliberately failing schools on safeguarding to force academisation on them (incidentally there again Derry was at least wrong - it is the statutory duty of the SoS to issue an academy order for a school that has failed on safeguarding. Interesting to note that in this case it hasn't happened, which tells me all I need to know about what was going on).
These peoples' mistakes have cost Ruth Perry her life and done enormous damage to the education of millions of children. They may not have meant it but they took on these jobs and have failed in them. They deserve every ounce of opprobrium we can give them.
The irony being, of course, that OFSTED itself has no actual safeguarding procedures, does not have up to date DBS checks on its inspectors and does not do its statutory training. So on its own terms, it is Inadequate.
Incidentally this is why the Knight report was a bad idea. Self-evaluation is what OFSTED has and look at the disaster it has wrought. There should always be second checks on anything important.
DYOR, natch
Migration/asylum/refugees looks among the hardest of these as no range of solutions to satisfy most people most of the time is not available. If it were 13 yeras would be enough for the Tories to achieve it, and Labour would be even now giving clues as to what it is.
If they can avoid promising 'tens of thousands', explain what their policy is, avoid simultaneously contradictory policies and policies that break the law it would be a small improvement.
Seattle Times ($) - ‘Escape liberal hell’: Republicans really are fleeing WA
Danny Westneat - At first, the ads seemed like a pandemic-era curiosity, a niche political pitch playing on the red state, blue state divide.
“Escape liberal hell,” counseled one sales video from a Boise, Idaho, real estate agent. “Here are seven reasons conservatives flock to Idaho.” . . .
The idea that people would pick up and move solely for politics has seemed like a stretch. Moving for a job, schools, space, a rural lifestyle, yes. People relocate for all sorts of reasons — nearly 250,000 moved here from another U.S. state last year, with 258,000 going the other way, the Census Bureau says.
But now, there’s solid evidence that some people really are migrating over partisanship.
This past week, Idaho released a database of voters who have moved into that state, along with where they came from and what political party they signed up for when they got there. . . .
The political makeup of who has moved to Idaho is eye-opening. It is, as the Idaho Capital Sun news site called it, a “Republican fever dream.”
Of about 119,000 voters who relocated to Idaho in recent years, 65% signed up as Republican. That’s significantly higher than the partisan makeup of the state already, which is 58% GOP.
Only 12% of the newcomers registered as Democrats. About 21% picked “unaffiliated” and 2% chose a third party such as Libertarian.
The data explodes the myth that liberals, untethered due to remote work, might be moving to Idaho or other red states from San Francisco and Seattle and potentially turning the interior more purple. The exact opposite is happening — people are segregating into like-minded, polarized, geographical camps.
Sixty-two percent of Washingtonians who moved to Idaho registered as Republicans, the data shows. Only 12% were Democrats. Ours is a 60-40 blue state, roughly, so this means Republicans are preferentially sorting themselves out of Washington state at high rates. . . .
From Seattle, the data shows 34% who relocated to Idaho were GOPers. (Seattle tends to vote only about 10% Republican.) . . . .
It is a fever dream for Idaho Republicans to turn that state into a fortress against liberalism — an American redoubt, some of them call it.
But red migration like this to the interior is a nightmare for the Washington state GOP. Its own customers are fleeing.
You can now even choose your real estate agent by their politics. The company GOP Agent “is here to help you connect with a Real Estate Agent who shares your Republican ideals and values,” their website says.
“One of our realtors held an info session in Seattle (about moving to a red State), and had over 150 attendees,” according to the Conservative Move Facebook page. “The interest in moving to red states is not slowing down.”
I hope they warned them that Idaho has a state income tax. [Washington State does NOT.] Could be a sticker shock upon arrival.