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A 14% return in just over a month? – politicalbetting.com

Ladbrokes have this market on whether a vote of no confidence will be triggered in Rishi Sunak this year. For one to be triggered 15% of Tory MPs need to send a letter to the chairman of the 1922 committee requesting such a vote.
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I remain of the opinion Sunak will lead into GE24 whenever it is
Rishi will lead the party into the GE which will be in May after a budget in March where Hunt produces a large increase in the personal allowance.
Which is actually the 5th Amendment because some person manipulated the schedule by adding in another one when I was looking elsewhere.
I'll take Due Process over Search and Seizure any day,
Except for SUVs, which should be searched, then seized regardless.
This is Ukraine's fight. They have been invaded. And it is our moral duty to support them as long as they wish to continue.
Anything else is bullshit.
I will be putting no effort into unseating Rishi this year.
Nothing is happening to Sunak this year
It is also arguably in the interests of Braverman and the ERG for Sunak and Hunt to lead the party to likely general election defeat anyway, they can then blame them and the centrist wing of the party for the defeat so the right of the party can try and take it over again in opposition
Remember 'Nothing changes on New Year's Day'.
LAB will still be 20% + clear.
Well played, Sir Ridley.
A companion piece to the alternative 'fighting is awful, therefore peace immediately no matter the cost must be the moral position' you get on the Corbynite side, as if noone has ever heard of some causes being worth fighting for before.
(That said I do have some sympathy for them that, though I think it a losing argument, a full throated Bravermanesque approach might actually lose less hard right now at least)
https://www.rollingstone.com/culture/culture-commentary/are-aliens-real-evidence-contact-ufos-1234885613
I have presents I have bought for myself ! Including some eccentric military combat rations for when I am back doing some decent distance cycling. The French ones are surprisingly good.
I know he can email, and what his straight bat emails are like.
I truly despise the whole wanky Christmas period, it just sweats poor people to buy stuff they don't need that they can't afford.
Thank feck I'm Bah Humbug!
It did though yes largely ignore his domestic successes and emphasised the costs of his campaigns
Nah!
However it has beaten the woke new Marvel film 'The Marvels' at the box office this week and is second on the latest US box office numbers behind the new Hunger Games movie and is doing better than projected in the UK, Europe (including surprisingly in France despite unfavourable reviews there), Australia and Latin America too
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/
https://deadline.com/2023/11/napoleon-wish-opening-weekend-global-international-box-office-1235637258/
(Edit: I mean, in the sense that slavery wasn't a success!)
Given Putin's new war of expansion, modern standards are not completely different everywhere to his time either
Like I have said repeatedly if you're looking for heroes in the Middle East, you need your eyes testing.
Truly the age of satire is over.
On the Telegraph Ukraine podcast they were quite clear yesterday about how morale in Ukraine has dropped but that's not because they are resigned to losing or a stalemate but because they are resigned to a long war. That is a significant difference.
But more generally I’d say every time they increase the salience of immigration in the news they peel off a few more voters to Refuk.
I imagine it is mostly BS. This is the problem with negotiating with terrorists.
Highlights the danger of allowing stupid people to vote .
Unfortunately our friends in the White House are too quick to trade. They don’t understand the nature of the people they are dealing with.
Hamas gets another round of “the Jews are evil/untrustworthy/perfidious” because “they broke the ceasefire”. It doesn’t matter whether it is true or not - there are too many in the west who are willing to believe the worst of Israel
Strange no "this can't be verified" in their reporting, unlike the tunnels under the hospital.
Clearly the idea is to drag it out as long as possible, and never give back the full 200+. Just get rid of the ones that are a pain because they need regular medicines or moaning kids.
from Milton: Samson Agonistes in the Prison at Gaza
I suppose centuries of propaganda takes a lot of time to be corrected.
"A source with direct knowledge tells me Hamas & Israel agreed that the criteria for release of Palestinian prisoners will be the amount of time they were in prison. Whoever served more time will be released first. On Friday this wasn't the case and Hamas claims it's a violation"
https://twitter.com/BarakRavid/status/1728449247731999160
"Barak Ravid (Hebrew: ברק רביד, born 22 May 1980) is an Israeli journalist and commentator, who worked for Israel's Channel 13 News.[1] He is also active in the English-language media, writing for Axios about Israeli politics.
At age 18 he was drafted to the Israeli military, serving in the intelligence division of Unit 8200. "
Just who the hell can you trust these days?
But it sounds like there is someone specific that they want released
I’d also highlight these incidents (from Google and based on statements from the IDF so if you like you can claim they are unverified while believing everything that Hamas says)
https://www.newsweek.com/israel-hamas-ceasefire-violated-15-minutes-rocket-gaza-strip-1846564
So finally UN Women has come out with its first statement about what was done to women and girls in Southern Israel on 7 October, some 50 days ago.
It says -
It was not "gender-based violence". It was sex-based. By men - those of the male sex - against women and girls - those of the female sex.
And waiting so long to say even this is a disgrace.
Another pointless day; another pointless organisation; another pointless statement.
Still, I look forward to hearing what the UN thinks "rigorous investigation" of those responsible in Hamas and Gaza looks like.
Ch4 otoh, they have a bit of an anti-Israel bias.
Look, we both have no idea what's going on and both sides are hamming it up to the world so do we need the self-referential bollocks below?
"Hamas gets another round of “the Jews are evil/untrustworthy/perfidious” because “they broke the ceasefire”. It doesn’t matter whether it is true or not - there are too many in the west who are willing to believe the worst of Israel "