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Sunak’s epitaph? A terrible Prime Minister but not as bad as Truss or Johnson – politicalbetting.com
Sunak’s epitaph? A terrible Prime Minister but not as bad as Truss or Johnson – politicalbetting.com
After 1 year as PM, how has Rishi Sunak's reputation changed? % of Britons who say he is…Competent: 34% (-16 from Oct 2022)Decisive: 30% (-23)Honest: 27% (-8)Authentic: 23% (-8)Strong: 20% (-19)Trustworthy: 20% (-10)In touch: 9% (-4) pic.twitter.com/t6TqSxHU4O
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Thatcher 34, Johnson 29, Brown 24, Major 24, Cameron 18, Blair 18, May 15
https://yougov.co.uk/ratings/politics/popularity/UK-prime-ministers/all
Argentina General Election - for President (top two qualify for runoff)
source Wiki, with 100% reported:
Sergio Massa Union for the Homeland (UP) 9,645,983 36.7%
Javier Milei Liberty Advances (LLA) 7,884,336 30.0%
Patricia Bullrich Together for Change (JxC) 6,267,152 23.84
Juan Schiaretti We Do for Our Country (HNP) 1,784,315 6.8%
Myriam Bregman Workers' Left Front (FIT) 709,932 2.7%
Total 26,291,718 100% of valid votes
Valid votes 26,291,718 97.0%
Invalid votes 254,796 0.9%
Blank votes 554,161 2.1%
Total votes 27,100,675 100% of total votes
Registered voters/turnout 35,410,080 76.5%
NOTE that Trump wanna-be Milei seriously underperformed, leastways based on pre-election polling; on the other hand, Massa of the governing (in a manner of speaking) Peronist party got a bit over 1/3 of valid votes cast which is pretty crummy for functional incumbent.
Perhaps the most interesting results are shown on the maps at this link
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:2023_Argentina_General_Election_map.svg
As you can see for yourselves
> Sergio Massa (aka Cristina Kirchner with a pretty face) was strongest in northern Argentina, in particular in provinces of Santiago del Estero, Formosa, Catamarca, Corrientes.
> Javier Milei (Fucker Carlson's favorite) was strongest in western Argentina, especially in provinces of Mendoza and San Luis, also in Santa Fe and Missiones in northeast, and Salta in northwest.
> Patricia Bullich (the best choice IMHO) came in first in just metro Buenos Aires, but she also did well in Buenos Aires province where she was second (I think) behind Milei.
Sadly, the Islas Malvinas were denied opportunity to vote this election, but "residents" of Antártida Argentina cast their votes for Milei; methinks they'd been better advised to cast their spare penguin shit at him!
I'm kind of looking forward to a dull PM in Starmer. that being said I suspect that his cabinet will be anything but dull...
AP (via Seattle Times) - Jenna Ellis becomes latest Trump lawyer to plead guilty over efforts to overturn Georgia’s election
ATLANTA (AP) — Attorney and prominent conservative media figure Jenna Ellis pleaded guilty on Tuesday to a felony charge over efforts to overturn Donald Trump’s 2020 election loss in Georgia, tearfully telling the judge she looks back on that time with “deep remorse.”
Ellis, the fourth defendant in the case to enter into a plea deal, was a vocal part of Trump’s reelection campaign in the last presidential cycle and was charged alongside the Republican former president and 17 others with violating the state’s anti-racketeering law.
Ellis pleaded guilty to one felony count of aiding and abetting false statements and writings. She had been facing charges of violating Georgia’s Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act and soliciting the violation of oath by a public officer, both felonies.
She rose to speak after pleading guilty, fighting back tears as she said she would have not have represented Trump after the 2020 election if she knew then what she knows now, claiming that she she relied on lawyers with much more experience than her and failed to verify the things they told her.
“What I did not do but should have done, Your Honor, was to make sure that the facts the other lawyers alleged to be true were in fact true,” the 38-year-old Ellis said.
No he didn't - he was just the least worst option after Corbyn's honeymoon had well and truly finished...
Heck Corbyn only did well in 2017 because May ran one of the worst election campaigns of all time - committing electoral suicide by introducing a death tax to pay for social care.
translation = lying, cheating, stealing for personal/political fun and profit - same as his role model Trump.
Leaving the final case to be all the original defendants offering evidence against Trump and Rudy...
https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/biden-israel-palestine-policy-election/
Biden risks labeling himself as a president who is in favor of colonization, and one who will turn a blind eye to ethnic cleansing and war crimes—and those are tough labels to shake once they take hold in communities of color.
It's also a significant longer-term risk for Israel. If there are no longer votes in defending Israel, then it suddenly looks a lot more vulnerable than it did.
on the the flip side the reverse was true for BJ. people truly believed that JC could win and it put people off Labour as much as his rhetoric about 'get brexit done' attracted them to the Tories.
His merits as a politico and PM being overshadowed by his demerits, the more so as time moves on.
Ellis is the third of his team to plead guilty after Powell and Chesebro. Her guilty plea directly implicates a fourth, Ray Smith, as well as Giuliani as being individuals she conspired with. Smith will surely follow, leaving only Jeffrey Clark and John Eastman. Ellis is already backing DeSantis and has distanced herself from Trump, so may well have more to say on Trump.
Ominously, the three lawyers to plead guilty so far relate to three separate limbs of the case - Chesebro was part of the fake electors plot, Ellis was part of making false statements to public officials, and Powell (and Scott Hall, the fourth to turn) were involved in the Coffee County security breach. So there are now guilty pleas on three separate but related conspiracies as part of an organised overall scheme to defraud the public. This really makes it hard for the key players to go down the route of blaming over-enthusiastic subordinates doing things off their own bat, and the net is really closing in on those at the top, coordinating the effort across several fronts.
For example (just one) . . .
NY Magazine - The Nation’s Stephen F. Cohen Denies Existence of Ukraine
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2014/08/stephen-f-cohen-denies-existence-of-ukraine.html
Though if it's a really slow train, it might feel like it.
It's may be rather early to assess Blair. But, arguably, he's in a very different position to Lloyd-George in the sense that potentially we'll be talking about the strange lack of a legacy.
Both the Manchester bombing, and the manifesto/social care u-turn, happened around the same time, so picking one of those as the key is difficult. The downturn in support started at the manifesto, so it's possible the social care problems were the starter.
The fall in Tory support however was small in comparison to the rise in Labour. Labour's rise also started as soon as the campaign started, and was steady throughout - suggesting that Corbyn wasn't simply benefiting from May's problems.
I'm not much of a fan of Corbyn, but for one month he was on his best behaviour, and came across very well during the campaign, while May in contrast turned out to be a bit odd. Corbyn had been portrayed as a bit of a crazed lefty up till that point, but during a campaign where he avoided slip-ups and kept his temper in check for once, he got a second chance to make a first impression.
HOWEVER, my point was NOT about his historical reputation, among folks who actually more about his history than just a punch line.
It's the later I'm talking about: the British FOLK memory of Lloyd George, which as far as I can tell, consists of his life-long zipper problem plus his "honours" scandal.
As in, "Lloyd George knew my father, Father knew Lloyd George".
It is just over a week since my GP sent me directly to A & E where I spent an uncomfortable overnighter before seeing the A & E doctor who immediately admitted me with a suspected substantial DVT which was confirmed by an ultrasound scan
The hospital team have been wonderful and caring, and I have my own dedicated nurse if required. I understand I am on a six month treatment plan and may need blood thinners indefinitely.
Coupled with some other health issues, and my dear wife catching a really bad dose of covid, notwithstanding our 7th vaccination on the 2nd October these events have had a sobering effect on myself and my family
I simply have lost interest in the day to day arguments in politics and to be honest see no way back for the conservatives who have self destructed and in my opinion handed Sunak the short straw which he has obviously struggled with
I wish Starmer and labour well but they have a extraordinary task, indeed even an impossible task, facing them but the demand for change is overwhelming
I have popped in and out of the forum and enjoyed the vast topics discussed, including how to cook rice, and the more somber Israel war and will continue to do so but maybe not contribute as much as I used to
PB must be cherished by everyone using it as it is an exceptional discussion forum, even though some get over overexcited, and it is a great credit to those responsible for it
I did want to provide an update as I am still here, and fighting against the grim reaper
And as an aside my son and his colleagues feature in a rescue by Llandudno RNLI on Thursday on BBC2 saving lives at sea documentary
My best wishes to all
The only shifts I expect are for swing voters based on the economy and household finances, which could go either way. The rest is noise.
Mr and Mrs Sparkes live there
Managed for las ovejas . . . after the woolies have been re-educated to say "bee" instead of "baa" . . .
The Life and Times of David Lloyd George
In reality, all that is really left is historical reputation when the generation with direct experience dies and those who knew those with direct experience also die. It's a slightly caricatured version, but these people are all just destined to become half remembered GCSE history lessons, a documentary once vaguely watched, and a Wikipedia entry skim read.
NYT - Emmer Leads as Divided House G.O.P. Meets Again to Choose a Speaker
House Republicans were meeting behind closed doors to grind through multiple votes to find a nominee for speaker, with several members vying for the post.
Representative Tom Emmer of Minnesota, the No. 3 House Republican, emerged on Tuesday as his party’s latest leading contender for speaker as the G.O.P. ground through rounds of closed-door votes to break a deadlock that has left Congress paralyzed for three weeks.
Mr. Emmer won the first rounds of secret balloting, according to lawmakers who participated, and the field was winnowing as the lowest vote getters were forced out.
That left four Republicans, none of them with a national profile, vying for the post. Still in the race were Representatives Mike Johnson of Louisiana, a conservative lawyer who sits on the Judiciary Committee; Byron Donalds of Florida, a charismatic younger member of the ultraconservative House Freedom Caucus; and Kevin Hern of Oklahoma, the chairman of the conservative Republican Study Committee.
The free-for-all reflected the deep divisions within the House G.O.P. The party began meeting Tuesday morning and was to remain cloistered behind closed doors for much of the day, grinding through multiple rounds of voting by secret ballot to try to coalesce around a candidate. Whoever ultimately wins a majority of Republicans will become the party’s next nominee for speaker and advance to the House floor.
Representatives Pete Sessions of Texas, the former chairman of the Rules Committee; Jack Bergman of Michigan, a retired Marine Corps lieutenant general; and Austin Scott of Georgia, who mounted a surprise challenge for speaker last week, were among those to be dropped on Tuesday after receiving the fewest votes.
Where are you headed ?
The history teacher in question was somewhere to the left of Corbyn, so she may have had some influence on what was and was not covered!
Please keep on lurking, and occasionally spouting, her on PB. Remember, we luvv your guff!
Will they retain their 21st-century equivalent of the 18th-century (and previous) infamous "liberum veto"?
The liberum veto (Latin for "free veto"[a]) was a parliamentary device in the Polish–Lithuanian Commonwealth. It was a form of unanimity voting rule that allowed any member of the Sejm (legislature) to force an immediate end to the current session and to nullify any legislation that had already been passed at the session by shouting either Sisto activitatem! (Latin: "I stop the activity!") or Nie pozwalam! (Polish: "I do not allow!"). . . .
Many historians hold that the liberum veto was a major cause of the deterioration of the Commonwealth political system, particularly in the 18th century, when foreign powers bribed Sejm members to paralyze its proceedings, causing foreign occupation, dominance and manipulation of the Polish–Lithuanian Commonwealth and its eventual destruction in the partitions.
Piotr Stefan Wandycz wrote that the "liberum veto had become the sinister symbol of old Polish anarchy". In the period of 1573–1763, about 150 sejms were held, about a third failing to pass any legislation, mostly because of the liberum veto. The expression Polish parliament in many European languages originated from the apparent paralysis.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberum_veto
Not according to the pro-abortion Guttmacher Institute. (Their headlines say banned, but the article text modifies that with "Near-total" for every state where it is "banned".)
https://www.guttmacher.org/2023/01/six-months-post-roe-24-us-states-have-banned-abortion-or-are-likely-do-so-roundup
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Y_Wladfa
I watched the first episode last night, and - my God - what an amazing cast squandered.
The opening scene - which you discover later is a training exercise - makes absolutely no sense at all. (And the more you think about it, the more ridiculous it appears.)
People who aren't complete muppets have nice things to say about it. Which means I may stick with it. But boy, was it pants.
I got lucky coz Stromboli was erupting - way more than normal, causing a river of lava to tumble to the sea; we went out on a boat at night to see her and it was like a cataract of giant orange diamonds, exploding when they hit the waves
He'd have fit right in in Momentum or the MAGA Republicans.
Authentic or what
First, there are many historical precedents for Trump; we have had our share of corrupt politicians and demagogues.
Second, there are serious problems in the US that our leftist leaders have been unwillling to confront: To me the most important one is the weakening of the family, and the drop out of so many American men from work. (About 1 in 6 American men aged 25-54 are neither in school nor working, at a time when there are many unfilled jobs.)
Total fertility rates fell sharply during the Obama administration, and have not recovered. Life expectancy -- in spite of many advances in medicine -- began to fall during the last years of the Obama administration, and has not recovered.
Whoppie doo!
Mega bankers' bonuses are back!
I might go canvassing for the Tories now.
https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1716817644068958232
Yet some want Israel not to respond.
https://reproductiverights.org/maps/abortion-laws-by-state/?state=AL
https://reproductiverights.org/maps/abortion-laws-by-state/
Biden'sTrump's mental decline.Trump: I was very honored, there’s a man, Viktor Orbán. He’s the leader of Turkey
https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1716539683990114683
https://news.sky.com/story/mp-prevented-from-boarding-flight-because-his-name-was-mohammed-12991247