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It’s getting harder to see how this ends – politicalbetting.com

The big story overnight from Israel has been the attack on the hospital and the reports of the huge toll of inmates being killed. Both sides seem to be working hard on the public relations front to get over that they were not to blame.
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https://x.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1714390254935851272?s=20
It answer one query people have in regards to do the Islamist terrorist have rockets big enough to do this damage, the answer is a definite yes. PIJ Saraya Al-Quds showed them off the other day and some were geolocated.
OTOH England have probably the best footballer in the world in Jude Bellingham, even better than Mbappe, so there's that
Increasingly feeling as though this is how the world ends. Or at least, how it spirals into WW3.
And just think, five more years and we might have hit the singularity, and digital immortality.
Maybe the location isnt significant other than the potential fact thats where the explosion occurred. Maybe it is and something or someone was positioned there but there is no clarity yet, though the awareness that the explosion didnt apparently occur right on top of the hospital has been about for hours, and surprisingly missed by nearly everyone.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/10/17/israel-hamas-war-gaza-palestine-hospital-air-strike-iran/
What happened?
Messi is in another higher class altogether, but it is like he has ascended to a weird heaven in Miami and is out of the ranking
Bellingham could almost single handedly win the euros or a World Cup for England, but luckily he doesn't have to - he has a load of talent around him, as well. Southgate really needs to win a trophy, with this incredible squad
https://www.wilsoncenter.org/article/irans-rockets-palestinian-groups
IDF says it will release footage and an intercepted conversation proving Palestinian Islamic Jihad behind attack on Gaza hospital @Reuters
IDF is now showing us drone footage it says is of Gaza hospital post explosion. Footage shows hospital was not directly hit. Hit was in the parking lot, according to IDF images.
https://x.com/emilyarielrose/status/1714400485405335610?s=20
David Aaronovitch
@DAaronovitch
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28m
Unless you actually know something, how about S’ingTFU?
Iranian-Backed Islamic Jihad Fires ‘Badr 3’ Rocket at Ashkelon - May 6, 2019
https://www.jewishpress.com/news/terrorism-news/rockets-from-gaza/iranian-backed-islamic-jihad-fires-bader-3-rocket-at-ashkelon/2019/05/06/
8 days ago — As she spoke, the group's military wing, the al-Qassem Brigades, fired a volley of Iranian-designed Badr 3 rockets....
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/from-the-gaza-border-families-hunt-news-of-loved-ones-taken-by-hamas-qgt968p28
We can can keep playing this silly game if you like.
Now, in your opinion, if Islamist terrorists have blown up a hospital, its still Israel's fault....According to Reuters , Israel are apparently showing journalist drone footage and audio recordings as we speak that show it was PIJ.
I am sure those will be made public shortly and we can judge for ourselves. Israel response is such that if they can't stand up the story they will be in big trouble with the US, as Biden will be standing there in a few hours.
The problem with the hospital explosion is it fits perfectly with the Israeli narrative - they've warned people to evacuate hospitals, they've told 1 million people to evacuate Gaza City, they've pledged to eliminate Hamas wherever they hide.
No matter what the truth. To the Muslim world, Israel, with the backing of the US, killed 500 people in a hospital.
This is why I was so concerned with the rhetoric. Israel has snatched defeat even after a massacre of over a thousand of their own citizens.
US president Joe Biden is on his way to Israel, having taken off in Air Force One from Joint Base Andrews. The White House has confirmed that the president will no longer travel to Jordan.
https://x.com/SkyNews/status/1714401956632965290?s=20
https://twitter.com/antonioguterres/status/1714416230877073664?t=8rRRuAdFxiH_qwXHZQFqAg&s=19
"I am horrified by the killing of hundreds of Palestinian civilians in a strike on a hospital in Gaza today, which I strongly condemn."
Its basically word for word what Macron said.
https://x.com/dd_geopolitics/status/1714422390414102939
I mean, it's not as if Hamas or any of the other crazies in Gaza carries their explosives around in ambulances, is it...?
Embassy for the Iranian Republic in Syria, “Time is Up.”
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1714443804592480279?s=20
... [big snip] ...
Mr McSheehan ... said he had discovered the security mistake earlier on Tuesday.
"My immediate thought was panic," he said.
"I saw that the official Telegram link they were sharing could be hijacked - and my biggest fear was that a country like Russia, China or North Korea could easily intercept Western intelligence."
...
The CIA did not reply to a BBC News request for comment - but within an hour of the request, the mistake had been corrected.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-67137773
It was a missile strike on a hospital. That part isn't disputed.
Israel's military has said it will release evidence - including drone footage and an intercepted conversation - that it claims will prove an Islamist militant group was responsible for a deadly blast at a hospital in Gaza and not an Israeli airstrike.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-67141869
I’ve watched enough bad movies to know that we should be feeling some foreboding after this:
"I COULDN'T LET HIM GO WITHOUT KISSING HIM"
Before President Biden left for Israel this evening, he dropped by an event hosted by the First Lady to tell her bye and to get a kiss for the road.
But government sources said the latest earnings figures did not accurately represent real terms wage growth in the economy because they included one-off payments to NHS staff and other public sector workers as part of pay deals agreed earlier this year. They argued that if bonus payments were stripped out of the figures, underlying pay rose by about 7.8 per cent rather than the headline rate of 8.5 per cent.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/e1eb691a-6d29-11ee-b0f3-053d83492f27?shareToken=a5d8177319940c561ed548c534058819
Finally government is restarting talks with the BMA too to try to end the strikes.
BBC News - NHS strikes: Consultants and government to hold talks to try to end dispute
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-67139110
This looks worth watching.
But that could of course be the Guardian reviewer seeing what he wanted to see.
The stickiness of inflation, along with the wage data, once again make you wonder if the Bank were right to pause interest rate increases. Their forward projections are definitely optimistic and Sunak's promise/pledge/whatever to cut inflation in half this year remains in the balance.
It wasn’t Israel this time, but putting that much ordnance into that small a populated area means there is likely to be some sort of large, lethal mistake eventually.
Make of them what you will, but it doesn't look to have been a particularly large explosion - no crater.
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1714525590873575600
https://twitter.com/OAlexanderDK/status/1714526575058645290
Getting inflation down has always required painful economic decisions. There is a reason a proportion of progressive rant about the IMF.
I was sceptical of the precise claim when casualty figures were announced so soon after the blast - and it's a conveniently round number.
But it has been widely reported that the immediate areas around all hospitals in Gaza have become extremely crowded in the last few days, as civilians have assumed they are places of relative safety.
From the pieces of video published last night, there was a lot of fire accompanying the explosion, so high casualties wouldn't be a surprise.
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1714535687070916987
Won’t this just wind them up even more if consultants get an increase and they don’t .
It may seem gross, but there is little evidence of the blood and carnage of many people dying in such a fashion.
Also, I have to say I was quite dismissive of the union docs’ claim, reacting to nonsense like the “minimum wage” claims, and then I looked in to what they are actually paid on graduating. Now, if they hang around and pass some exams they will be doing well after a few years, but currently they don’t compare well to similarly experienced and skilled grads.
I think that’s the argument the BMA should have made. Compared themselves to engineers, architects, and even civil servants.
As I said, I'm sceptical of the reported number from last night.
"Good night, sweet ladies."
We have video both of IJ firing rockets and one dipping off path and breaking apart. Broadcast live on Al Jazeera. We have Wild Claims of an Israeli massacre and collapsing buildings - but the buildings are intact. And the morning after images show a load of burnt out cars (and not an EV in sight...) and minimal damage.
So - IJ rocket misfires and breaks up in mid air. Flaming debris is seen falling. And we have an obvious large fire in a car park next to the hospital. So....
The tweets were not well received
If you read back on some of the claims made last night and then look at the actual scene there is definitely something amiss.
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A snub from the White House, a controversial stay at Blair House, an encounter with Dave Chappelle’s mother and a CIA-arranged tryst — what happened when Congo’s beleaguered leader visited D.C. in 1960.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/10/17/patrice-lumumba-congo-washington-00121755
The original pay board terms of reference did include comparison with salaries in similar industries and also look at retention issues.
The government is refusing to talk about pay, which is what the dispute is about, so unless they are willing to disguise pay in other ways (such as tuition fee remission while in NHS jobs perhaps) I don't expect the talks to last long.
As I said last night, it didn't make sense for Israel to do this and I'm glad to be proven right. Hamas or some other terrorist organisation within Gaza is responsible either due to an errant missile or a staged attack in order to rile the world against Israel.
It is blatantly obvious that some people want to believe that Israel is the same as Hamas and will wantonly target civilians, yet that isn't true.
Hamas has punched itself in the face and blamed Israel, the useful idiots in our media has immediately repeated that accusation far and wide without doing simple fact checking.
I am an Engineer. When I first got my qualifications my salary was relatively low too and I did not get the same level of pension or holidays they get.
A salary is only a part of the package an employee gets.
One can argue against the constraints placed on its conclusions, and that Government should be forced to actively reject a claim post-recommendation and then drop it down to hit fiscal targets, but no Government, and no Opposition that thinks it might become the Government, will go for that.
I lost all sympathy for the RMT when they went on strike at the last weekend before Xmas with the impact it had on hospitality and other businesses who had struggled through COVID. Fuck the RMT
ASLEF is purely about the money. Consultants too, although their main demand earlier this year was increasing the amount you can put into a pension pot in a year and increasing the lifetime allowance. Hunt caved on that.
But as I say, I think their union has made some big errors and they can’t have 30%.
Not that Hamas care.
And the world will not blame Israel if they have evidence it wasn’t them. But you will
(((Dan Hodges)))
@DPJHodges
·
3m
Today is going to represent a defining moment for a lot of people and a lot of organisations. Weight of evidence now clearly supports theory hospital bombing was result of Hamas rocket. Will we see admissions of error, and unequivocal condemnation of Hamas?
Passed through Darnall this morning this morning - looks like Palestine is set to win the by-election there.