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The city of Gaza was where I first met my wife – politicalbetting.com

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  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    edited October 2023

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Just been swimming in the sea at Southwold. Without a wetsuit. In eatly October. It was very pleasant.

    It is unseasonably warm.

    I spotted some people swimming at Weston-super-Mare last weekend.
    It is like mid August here in sunny north London. 25C. Very nice
    Not so good in Scotland though. Rare there is quite such a contrast.

    8C in Aberdeen and God knows how much rain in the west.
    8C??? At 3pm in early October?!

    Lumme
  • Leon said:

    Eabhal said:

    If the stories about mass kidnapping are true, this is could be a disaster. Let's hope Hamas don't go full ISIS.

    it doesn't look good, and it is ongoing

    "As of half an hour ago. “The IDF has not yet gained control in any of the locations that involve terrorist infiltration in southern Israel. Residents are still in shelters and report that no Israeli security forces nor available medical staff are on site.”"

    https://x.com/shashj/status/1710612659198947644?s=20

    "Horrific. ‘"We are being slaughtered. There is no army. It has been 6 hours. People are begging for their lives," one Israeli in a southern kibbutz said.’"
    The IDF will retake these places, that is certain. The question is what do they do next?

    Limited strikes on terrorists in Gaza do not work. They will need to do more. Which will be bad for civilians imprisoned in Gaza. But what is the alternative?
    Evacuate those civilians from Gaza and relocate them to an Arab or similar state where they can live in peace?

    Egypt or Jordan should take them in since they're the ones who denied Palestine's right to exist originally, or possibly Iran since they're the ones who have fuelled Hamas for decades and encouraged Arafat to turn his back on peace when it was so close.
    But Hamas et al hide in the civilian populations. So evacuate the civilians and you evacuate the terrorists as well.
    Isn't that the point? 🤔

    Get the terrorists out of Israel.
  • SniptSnipt Posts: 24
    edited October 2023
    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Theories on X that Hamas has embedded people in the militant platoons to take these videos and post them online, precisely so as to enrage Israelis and provoke the most brutal response

    It may be true. But if it is true, what's the middlegame for Hamas, after Israel goes predictably mad?

    Hamas has played a blinder. Netanyahu's reputation as pro-Trump, pro-Putin anti-democratic maniac has been glaringly exposed to the world in recent times. Israel won't get a shred of sympathy. In terms of propaganda, Hamas holds all the cards here.
    Militarily, they’ve scored a success in the short run. Beyond that, they’ll reap the whirlwind.

    In terms of propaganda, they’ll get lots of backing from countries that are useless to them, while Israel will get lots of backing from the countries that matter.
    More interesting is: what does Iran want? I am certain Iran is behind this. Hamas have been assisted, massively, by a major player, and that must be Iran
    What is the "this" and what led up to it? (See among other things the provocation last week at Al Aqsa.)

    The reports that Hamas attacked "by land, sea, and air" seem quite questionable given the blockade and the tight patrolling of the coastline in which even fishing vessels can be shot at if they go further than a certain distance out.

    Al Jazeera is quoting Israeli media and military sources a lot.
    Iranian news agency IRNA's website is down.
    The Hamas website is down.
    Wafa.ps and PNN.ps are up but bitty. Their angle is mostly "sticky" in Irish republican terminology.

    Edit: re. talk of ethnic cleansing: a massive bout of it just went on in Nagorno-Karabakh, carried out by the Azerbaijani dictatorship with its "one country, two states" ideology - and for those who don't know, by the second state Aliyev means Turkey, not NK. Ethnic cleansing is a crime against humanity, whoever carries it out and whoever the victims are, but for some reason this particular instance hasn't been covered much outside of Armenia.

    Certainly Azerbaijan was assisted by a major player. There's no doubt about that. In Russia there hasn't even been any strong TALK in response. The Russian government's attitude towards Armenia is Windsor Davies-ist. It's that if they want any support they can whistle for it because they're in the US camp now. Whoever assisted Azerbaijan it wasn't either Russia or Iran.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    maxh said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    There has been an obvious solution to the Palestinian problem for decades. And a fairly easy one, as the September 9th issue of the Economist reminded me. Turns out that a Muslim nation, Uzbekistan, once had a substantial Jewish population, about 200,000. They fled Muslim and Communist persection, and now about half of them are in the US, half of them in the UK.

    The same is true of many Arab nations; they once had substantial Jewish populations, but do no longer. Now it is true that none of these nations particularly want the Palestinians, but they should take them in, anyway.

    This solution follows the "aggressor pays" rule, which is a good one, in general.

    Sure, sounds like a good plan. Who knew that the solution was simply to wipe Palestine off the map? Seems so obvious now you mention it.
    What Palestine on the map?

    Egypt and Transjordan already wiped Palestine off the map in 1947.

    They tried twice to wipe Israel off the map and failed both times and the disputed territory isn't Palestinian land it's ex Egyptian and Jordanian land and they've renounced their claims to it.

    If they take responsibility for their actions and take the people who can't peacefully live in Israel's land, that's taking responsibility for their own history and may allow peace.
    What do you mean, "what Palestine"? The country of Palestine. The one next to Israel, that one.
    What country of Palestine? There is none. Egypt and Transjordan, as well as Arafat saw to that.

    There is a state that has not acquired country status as part of the land for peace accords agreed with Arafat but since Arafat then rejected peace and so have Hamas they've no right to country status and don't have it.

    If they lose the land they acquired from false commitments to peace and from losing a war then fair enough.
    Look, I don't know why you keep talking about Arafat. Well over half the population of Palestine was born since Arafat died. Whatever Arafat did or didn't do is not their fault. And these people, these Palestinians, these humans. Where do they live? Palestine is a place. It's recognised by the vast majority of the world. It exists.
    It's not their sovereign territory, it is disputed territory like Crimea which is occupied by Russia.

    On 31 July 1988, King Hussein announced the severance of all legal and administrative ties with the West Bank, except for the Jordanian sponsorship of the Muslim and Christian holy sites in Jerusalem, and recognised the PLO's claim to the State of Palestine. In his speech to the nation held on that day he announced his decision and explained that this decision was made with the aim of helping the Palestinian people establishing their own independent state.[59][60]

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jordanian_annexation_of_the_West_Bank#Jordanian_disengagement
    Since King Hussein's country had lost control of that land in a war it began against a nation that was defending it's very right to exist that doesn't mean the land is Palestinian, it means it's Israels.

    Now if Israel wishes to gift that land to the Palestinians that is quite generous and they've tried that for decades. If that doesn't work, then deporting those who refuse to recognise their right to exist might be a last resort.

    Germany lost land to France, to Poland and others at the end of WWII. Do you think that land should be returned to Germany now?

    The only difference is the Poles deported the Germans en mass. Which they kind of deserved after WWII. The Arabs deserved the same after 47 and 67 but Israel were the better humans.
    Nobody deserves to be deported for things that their government or the government of a neighbouring country has done. The ethnic Germans living in Poland and just getting on with their own lives weren't to blame for anything. Ordinary Arabs in Israel or Palestine aren't to blame. Don't punish the innocent.
    This exchange is a perfect example of why, very sadly, when this conflict is the subject of pb I find the comments simply unreadable. You two aren’t talking to each other. At all. You might as well boil your own heads in a vat of oil for all the good it will do.
    Firstly, fuck off.

    Secondly, if you haven't fucked off yet, I'm responding directly and, I have to say, rather obviously to anyone with a brain cell, to this:
    "The only difference is the Poles deported the Germans en mass. Which they kind of deserved after WWII."

    The clue is in my exactly duplicating of the language: "Nobody deserves to be deported for things that..."

    Thirdly, fuck off.
    But when two tribes go to war repeatedly and one refuses another's right to exist then eventually enough is enough. That point was reached in WWII. The Red Army deserves a lot of criticism for most of what it did, including the ethnic cleansing in Crimea for instance deporting the Tatars, but for deporting the Germans who had elected the Nazis and repeatedly sort to exterminate people?

    Hamas refuses to recognise Israel's very right to exist, and the Palestinians in Gaza are supporting Hamas. Eventually removing from Israel's land, which includes Gaza, those who refuse to recognise Israel's right to exist may be a last resort.

    Hopefully it can be avoided and another way to defeat Hamas and enforce a peace can be found. But history hasn't been kind with that yet.
    Ok, let me put it this way.
    One of the strongest pillars of feudalism was the dangerous-world-self-defence pillar. It was the way that feudal lords sought the buy-in from the peasantry. That's the way service, including military service, to feudal lord was justified. That, plus religious justifications.

    Feeding the view that Israel is a threat to civilians in the minds of ordinary innocent Palestinians would be a mistake, because it drives them closer to the likes of Hamas, who are the feudal lords in this analogy.
    Now, you've talked on this thread about Israeli restraint and you have a good point there. I won't dwell today on the flip side of that, the low-level violence that Israel has meted out. That's for another day. Suffice to say that Israel has conducted itself well in some ways and poorly in others. If Israel were to turn full ethnic-cleansy as a result of this, that will strengthen the ties between Hamas and the people. It will vindicate, in the eyes of some, Hamas's argument, which is not something you or I want to see.

    If you want to free people from the bonds of fealty to Hamas, you don't do it by deliberately targeting civilians. You only deliberately target civilians if you are trying to wipe out a country or a way of life. That is what Hamas are doing. Israel mustn't become more like Hamas, Hamas should become more like Israel.
    Israel has bent over backwards to be kind to Palestinians. They have shown a generosity neither Egypt not Transjordan showed.

    What thanks has it ever got them?

    If they expel the "Palestinians" from Israel so that they can no longer attack from Gaza then what happens next?

    Palestine doesn't exist. It has not for seventy years. If it can't co exist with Israel then saying goodbye and moving them on elsewhere may be the only solution that works.
    I think a lot of people would quarrel with your first sentence.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    An actual Corbynite on Novara Media. Wow


    "Today should be a day of celebration for supporters of democracy and human rights worldwide, as Gazans break out of their open-air prison and Hamas fighters cross into their colonisers' territory. The struggle for freedom is rarely bloodless and we shouldn't apologise for it."

    https://x.com/rivkahbrown/status/1710636448825688348?s=20
  • Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    There has been an obvious solution to the Palestinian problem for decades. And a fairly easy one, as the September 9th issue of the Economist reminded me. Turns out that a Muslim nation, Uzbekistan, once had a substantial Jewish population, about 200,000. They fled Muslim and Communist persection, and now about half of them are in the US, half of them in the UK.

    The same is true of many Arab nations; they once had substantial Jewish populations, but do no longer. Now it is true that none of these nations particularly want the Palestinians, but they should take them in, anyway.

    This solution follows the "aggressor pays" rule, which is a good one, in general.

    Sure, sounds like a good plan. Who knew that the solution was simply to wipe Palestine off the map? Seems so obvious now you mention it.
    What Palestine on the map?

    Egypt and Transjordan already wiped Palestine off the map in 1947.

    They tried twice to wipe Israel off the map and failed both times and the disputed territory isn't Palestinian land it's ex Egyptian and Jordanian land and they've renounced their claims to it.

    If they take responsibility for their actions and take the people who can't peacefully live in Israel's land, that's taking responsibility for their own history and may allow peace.
    What do you mean, "what Palestine"? The country of Palestine. The one next to Israel, that one.
    What country of Palestine?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_the_State_of_Palestine

    image
    So the countries that don't matter then?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Snipt said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Theories on X that Hamas has embedded people in the militant platoons to take these videos and post them online, precisely so as to enrage Israelis and provoke the most brutal response

    It may be true. But if it is true, what's the middlegame for Hamas, after Israel goes predictably mad?

    Hamas has played a blinder. Netanyahu's reputation as pro-Trump, pro-Putin anti-democratic maniac has been glaringly exposed to the world in recent times. Israel won't get a shred of sympathy. In terms of propaganda, Hamas holds all the cards here.
    Militarily, they’ve scored a success in the short run. Beyond that, they’ll reap the whirlwind.

    In terms of propaganda, they’ll get lots of backing from countries that are useless to them, while Israel will get lots of backing from the countries that matter.
    More interesting is: what does Iran want? I am certain Iran is behind this. Hamas have been assisted, massively, by a major player, and that must be Iran
    What is the "this" and what led up to it? (See among other things the provocation last week at Al Aqsa.)

    The reports that Hamas attacked "by land, sea, and air" seem quite questionable given the blockade and the tight patrolling of the coastline in which even fishing vessels can be shot at if they go further than a certain distance out.

    Al Jazeera is quoting Israeli media and military sources a lot.
    Iranian news agency IRNA's website is down.
    The Hamas website is down.
    Wafa.ps and PNN.ps are up but bitty. Their angle is mostly "sticky" in Irish republican terminology.

    Edit: re. talk of ethnic cleansing: a massive bout of it just went on in Nagorno-Karabakh, carried out by the Azerbaijani dictatorship with its "one country, two states" ideology - and for those who don't know, by the second state Aliyev means Turkey, not NK. Ethnic cleansing is a crime against humanity, whoever carries it out and whoever the victims are, but for some reason this particular instance hasn't been covered much outside of Armenia.

    Certainly Azerbaijan was assisted by a major player. There's no doubt about that. In Russia there hasn't even been any strong TALK in response. The Russian government's attitude towards Armenia is Windsor Davies-ist. It's that if they want any support they can whistle for it because they're in the US camp now. Whoever assisted Azerbaijan it wasn't either Russia or Iran.
    No, it was Turkey
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,553
    Colossal sums being bet on these world cup cricket matches. £47 million on the current one between Sri Lanka and South Africa.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/cricket/icc-cricket-world-cup/south-africa-v-sri-lanka-betting-32555358
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Snipt said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Theories on X that Hamas has embedded people in the militant platoons to take these videos and post them online, precisely so as to enrage Israelis and provoke the most brutal response

    It may be true. But if it is true, what's the middlegame for Hamas, after Israel goes predictably mad?

    Hamas has played a blinder. Netanyahu's reputation as pro-Trump, pro-Putin anti-democratic maniac has been glaringly exposed to the world in recent times. Israel won't get a shred of sympathy. In terms of propaganda, Hamas holds all the cards here.
    Militarily, they’ve scored a success in the short run. Beyond that, they’ll reap the whirlwind.

    In terms of propaganda, they’ll get lots of backing from countries that are useless to them, while Israel will get lots of backing from the countries that matter.
    More interesting is: what does Iran want? I am certain Iran is behind this. Hamas have been assisted, massively, by a major player, and that must be Iran
    What is the "this" and what led up to it? (See among other things the provocation last week at Al Aqsa.)

    The reports that Hamas attacked "by land, sea, and air" seem quite questionable given the blockade and the tight patrolling of the coastline in which even fishing vessels can be shot at if they go further than a certain distance out.

    Al Jazeera is quoting Israeli media and military sources a lot.
    Iranian news agency IRNA's website is down.
    The Hamas website is down.
    Wafa.ps and PNN.ps are up but bitty. Their angle is mostly "sticky" in Irish republican terminology.

    Edit: re. talk of ethnic cleansing: a massive bout of it just went on in Nagorno-Karabakh, carried out by the Azerbaijani dictatorship with its "one country, two states" ideology - and for those who don't know, by the second state Aliyev means Turkey, not NK. Ethnic cleansing is a crime against humanity, whoever carries it out and whoever the victims are, but for some reason this particular instance hasn't been covered much outside of Armenia.

    Certainly Azerbaijan was assisted by a major player. There's no doubt about that. In Russia there hasn't even been any strong TALK in response. The Russian government's attitude towards Armenia is Windsor Davies-ist. It's that if they want any support they can whistle for it because they're in the US camp now. Whoever assisted Azerbaijan it wasn't either Russia or Iran.
    And yes, Hamas attacked by sea as well. Here's the IDF taking out a couple of boats. There are other videos of them successfully landing

    https://x.com/pho_to_n/status/1710667774144442731?s=20
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,410
    Dura_Ace said:

    Leon said:

    There is a video of an Israeli girl, kidnapped by Hamas, being thrown around by Hamas militants, in and out of a car

    Don't worry, I will not link

    It has been pointed out on TwitterX that the bloodstains on her clothes show that she has, almost certainly, been brutally raped, many times. Once you see it, you cannot unsee it

    If I was an Israeli, seeing that, I would want Netanyahu to go in and kill every single person in Gaza, the steel would enter my soul

    Killing everyone is far too far.

    The humane thing to do is deport them.
    Ethnic cleansing of Gaza would be a bloodbath and probably drag the whole of the Middle East into a war.

    Anybody who thinks there is a solution is delusional. Al-Quds has changed hands 50-odd times over the centuries and will again in the future. The idea that there is a workable answer to all this is laughable.
    Doubt they'd give a fuck. The population would either get booted out or absorbed, or a bit of both, and the world would move on.

    No-one cares about Gaza.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20
  • SniptSnipt Posts: 24
    edited October 2023
    Leon said:

    Snipt said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Theories on X that Hamas has embedded people in the militant platoons to take these videos and post them online, precisely so as to enrage Israelis and provoke the most brutal response

    It may be true. But if it is true, what's the middlegame for Hamas, after Israel goes predictably mad?

    Hamas has played a blinder. Netanyahu's reputation as pro-Trump, pro-Putin anti-democratic maniac has been glaringly exposed to the world in recent times. Israel won't get a shred of sympathy. In terms of propaganda, Hamas holds all the cards here.
    Militarily, they’ve scored a success in the short run. Beyond that, they’ll reap the whirlwind.

    In terms of propaganda, they’ll get lots of backing from countries that are useless to them, while Israel will get lots of backing from the countries that matter.
    More interesting is: what does Iran want? I am certain Iran is behind this. Hamas have been assisted, massively, by a major player, and that must be Iran
    What is the "this" and what led up to it? (See among other things the provocation last week at Al Aqsa.)

    The reports that Hamas attacked "by land, sea, and air" seem quite questionable given the blockade and the tight patrolling of the coastline in which even fishing vessels can be shot at if they go further than a certain distance out.

    Al Jazeera is quoting Israeli media and military sources a lot.
    Iranian news agency IRNA's website is down.
    The Hamas website is down.
    Wafa.ps and PNN.ps are up but bitty. Their angle is mostly "sticky" in Irish republican terminology.

    Edit: re. talk of ethnic cleansing: a massive bout of it just went on in Nagorno-Karabakh, carried out by the Azerbaijani dictatorship with its "one country, two states" ideology - and for those who don't know, by the second state Aliyev means Turkey, not NK. Ethnic cleansing is a crime against humanity, whoever carries it out and whoever the victims are, but for some reason this particular instance hasn't been covered much outside of Armenia.

    Certainly Azerbaijan was assisted by a major player. There's no doubt about that. In Russia there hasn't even been any strong TALK in response. The Russian government's attitude towards Armenia is Windsor Davies-ist. It's that if they want any support they can whistle for it because they're in the US camp now. Whoever assisted Azerbaijan it wasn't either Russia or Iran.
    No, it was Turkey
    Yes. And very successfully done.

    Azerbaijan has also been armed by Israel.

    With the US doing a job on Armenia itself.

    All of this adds up to a change in the balance of power in the region away from Iran, which probably scares the bejeesus out of the Iranian government. This is the context of Gaza. Everyone knows Israel has a contingency plan for nuking Iran.

    To judge from his discussion with Elon Musk, Benyamin Netanyahu believes Mutually Assured Destruction "kept the peace" betwen the US and the USSR (what a load of crap), but for some reason he doesn't want it between Israel and Iran. Barty might say there are limits to a victor's generosity towards worse humans.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957
    .
    Leon said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Leon said:

    There is a video of an Israeli girl, kidnapped by Hamas, being thrown around by Hamas militants, in and out of a car

    Don't worry, I will not link

    It has been pointed out on TwitterX that the bloodstains on her clothes show that she has, almost certainly, been brutally raped, many times. Once you see it, you cannot unsee it

    If I was an Israeli, seeing that, I would want Netanyahu to go in and kill every single person in Gaza, the steel would enter my soul

    Killing everyone is far too far.

    The humane thing to do is deport them.
    Ethnic cleansing of Gaza would be a bloodbath and probably drag the whole of the Middle East into a war.

    Anybody who thinks there is a solution is delusional. Al-Quds has changed hands 50-odd times over the centuries and will again in the future. The idea that there is a workable answer to all this is laughable.
    Nonsense

    Even the most endless of conflicts come to an end. I remember the despair which surrounded Northern Ireland in the early 80s. It was a centuries-old war that would go on forever, and there was nothing to be done about it. And yet, here we are, it is over

    Thankfully that was achieved by compromise and vision. But intractable wars can also end when one side gains a commanding advantage and annihilates the other

    It's not over. Not by a long way.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829
    geoffw said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Just been swimming in the sea at Southwold. Without a wetsuit. In eatly October. It was very pleasant.

    It is unseasonably warm.

    I spotted some people swimming at Weston-super-Mare last weekend.
    It is like mid August here in sunny north London. 25C. Very nice
    Not so good in Scotland though. Rare there is quite such a contrast.

    8C in Aberdeen and God knows how much rain in the west.
    Not just in the west, but prolly more there

    Definitely more there - but also in band running NE-ward across Scotland. Less rain in the SE and ever so much warmer, a a balmy 9C.
  • Snipt said:

    Leon said:

    Snipt said:

    Leon said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    Theories on X that Hamas has embedded people in the militant platoons to take these videos and post them online, precisely so as to enrage Israelis and provoke the most brutal response

    It may be true. But if it is true, what's the middlegame for Hamas, after Israel goes predictably mad?

    Hamas has played a blinder. Netanyahu's reputation as pro-Trump, pro-Putin anti-democratic maniac has been glaringly exposed to the world in recent times. Israel won't get a shred of sympathy. In terms of propaganda, Hamas holds all the cards here.
    Militarily, they’ve scored a success in the short run. Beyond that, they’ll reap the whirlwind.

    In terms of propaganda, they’ll get lots of backing from countries that are useless to them, while Israel will get lots of backing from the countries that matter.
    More interesting is: what does Iran want? I am certain Iran is behind this. Hamas have been assisted, massively, by a major player, and that must be Iran
    What is the "this" and what led up to it? (See among other things the provocation last week at Al Aqsa.)

    The reports that Hamas attacked "by land, sea, and air" seem quite questionable given the blockade and the tight patrolling of the coastline in which even fishing vessels can be shot at if they go further than a certain distance out.

    Al Jazeera is quoting Israeli media and military sources a lot.
    Iranian news agency IRNA's website is down.
    The Hamas website is down.
    Wafa.ps and PNN.ps are up but bitty. Their angle is mostly "sticky" in Irish republican terminology.

    Edit: re. talk of ethnic cleansing: a massive bout of it just went on in Nagorno-Karabakh, carried out by the Azerbaijani dictatorship with its "one country, two states" ideology - and for those who don't know, by the second state Aliyev means Turkey, not NK. Ethnic cleansing is a crime against humanity, whoever carries it out and whoever the victims are, but for some reason this particular instance hasn't been covered much outside of Armenia.

    Certainly Azerbaijan was assisted by a major player. There's no doubt about that. In Russia there hasn't even been any strong TALK in response. The Russian government's attitude towards Armenia is Windsor Davies-ist. It's that if they want any support they can whistle for it because they're in the US camp now. Whoever assisted Azerbaijan it wasn't either Russia or Iran.
    No, it was Turkey
    Yes. And very successfully done.

    Azerbaijan has also been armed by Israel.

    With the US doing a job on Armenia itself.

    All of this adds up to a change in the balance of power in the region away from Iran, which probably scares the bejeesus out of the Iranian government.
    And Iran's been stoking Hamas for years. Let Iran take the Gazans, see how much longer the conflict lasts.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,812
    Is today going to be the last day of the Ten Hag era? Starting to look that way.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    TOPPING said:

    .

    Leon said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Leon said:

    There is a video of an Israeli girl, kidnapped by Hamas, being thrown around by Hamas militants, in and out of a car

    Don't worry, I will not link

    It has been pointed out on TwitterX that the bloodstains on her clothes show that she has, almost certainly, been brutally raped, many times. Once you see it, you cannot unsee it

    If I was an Israeli, seeing that, I would want Netanyahu to go in and kill every single person in Gaza, the steel would enter my soul

    Killing everyone is far too far.

    The humane thing to do is deport them.
    Ethnic cleansing of Gaza would be a bloodbath and probably drag the whole of the Middle East into a war.

    Anybody who thinks there is a solution is delusional. Al-Quds has changed hands 50-odd times over the centuries and will again in the future. The idea that there is a workable answer to all this is laughable.
    Nonsense

    Even the most endless of conflicts come to an end. I remember the despair which surrounded Northern Ireland in the early 80s. It was a centuries-old war that would go on forever, and there was nothing to be done about it. And yet, here we are, it is over

    Thankfully that was achieved by compromise and vision. But intractable wars can also end when one side gains a commanding advantage and annihilates the other

    It's not over. Not by a long way.
    You think Ireland will return to widespread violence, akin to the Troubles? I don't

    As long as neither side makes any egregious errors, the conflict is done, apart from a few nutters
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Just been swimming in the sea at Southwold. Without a wetsuit. In eatly October. It was very pleasant.

    It is unseasonably warm.

    I spotted some people swimming at Weston-super-Mare last weekend.
    It is like mid August here in sunny north London. 25C. Very nice
    I've just walked home from the gym in shorts and a T-shirt.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,998
    Off topic: But of interest to many of you: "Although Democratic voters unquestionably dominate the state — Biden defeated Trump by 17 points in Illinois in 2020 — the effect is exaggerated by district lines that have helped to give Democrats a 14-3 advantage in the state’s congressional delegation. In a comparison with a baseline map with no partisan advantage, Princeton researchers found that Illinois Democrats had given themselves three additional seats — a total matched only by Republicans in Texas."
    source$: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/10/07/illinois-congressional-map-gerrymandering/

    In general, these efforts -- by both parties -- have eliminated competitive districts, and the moderates who often represented them. This particular effort forced moderate Republican Rodney Davis to run against Trumpista Mary Miller --no relation, I hasten to add. He lost.

    (The Democrats in Illinois have bankrupted the state, and tolerated levels of crime in Chicago that should appall any decent person. But they are still pretty good at unscrupulous political tactics.)

    Leftists abroad, from what I can tell, were not much interested in American gerrymandering -- when it was mostly done by Democrats. Now that the Republicans have caught up, they view it with horror -- or claim to, anyway.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,553
    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957
    edited October 2023

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    maxh said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    There has been an obvious solution to the Palestinian problem for decades. And a fairly easy one, as the September 9th issue of the Economist reminded me. Turns out that a Muslim nation, Uzbekistan, once had a substantial Jewish population, about 200,000. They fled Muslim and Communist persection, and now about half of them are in the US, half of them in the UK.

    The same is true of many Arab nations; they once had substantial Jewish populations, but do no longer. Now it is true that none of these nations particularly want the Palestinians, but they should take them in, anyway.

    This solution follows the "aggressor pays" rule, which is a good one, in general.

    Sure, sounds like a good plan. Who knew that the solution was simply to wipe Palestine off the map? Seems so obvious now you mention it.
    What Palestine on the map?

    Egypt and Transjordan already wiped Palestine off the map in 1947.

    They tried twice to wipe Israel off the map and failed both times and the disputed territory isn't Palestinian land it's ex Egyptian and Jordanian land and they've renounced their claims to it.

    If they take responsibility for their actions and take the people who can't peacefully live in Israel's land, that's taking responsibility for their own history and may allow peace.
    What do you mean, "what Palestine"? The country of Palestine. The one next to Israel, that one.
    What country of Palestine? There is none. Egypt and Transjordan, as well as Arafat saw to that.

    There is a state that has not acquired country status as part of the land for peace accords agreed with Arafat but since Arafat then rejected peace and so have Hamas they've no right to country status and don't have it.

    If they lose the land they acquired from false commitments to peace and from losing a war then fair enough.
    Look, I don't know why you keep talking about Arafat. Well over half the population of Palestine was born since Arafat died. Whatever Arafat did or didn't do is not their fault. And these people, these Palestinians, these humans. Where do they live? Palestine is a place. It's recognised by the vast majority of the world. It exists.
    It's not their sovereign territory, it is disputed territory like Crimea which is occupied by Russia.

    On 31 July 1988, King Hussein announced the severance of all legal and administrative ties with the West Bank, except for the Jordanian sponsorship of the Muslim and Christian holy sites in Jerusalem, and recognised the PLO's claim to the State of Palestine. In his speech to the nation held on that day he announced his decision and explained that this decision was made with the aim of helping the Palestinian people establishing their own independent state.[59][60]

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jordanian_annexation_of_the_West_Bank#Jordanian_disengagement
    Since King Hussein's country had lost control of that land in a war it began against a nation that was defending it's very right to exist that doesn't mean the land is Palestinian, it means it's Israels.

    Now if Israel wishes to gift that land to the Palestinians that is quite generous and they've tried that for decades. If that doesn't work, then deporting those who refuse to recognise their right to exist might be a last resort.

    Germany lost land to France, to Poland and others at the end of WWII. Do you think that land should be returned to Germany now?

    The only difference is the Poles deported the Germans en mass. Which they kind of deserved after WWII. The Arabs deserved the same after 47 and 67 but Israel were the better humans.
    Nobody deserves to be deported for things that their government or the government of a neighbouring country has done. The ethnic Germans living in Poland and just getting on with their own lives weren't to blame for anything. Ordinary Arabs in Israel or Palestine aren't to blame. Don't punish the innocent.
    This exchange is a perfect example of why, very sadly, when this conflict is the subject of pb I find the comments simply unreadable. You two aren’t talking to each other. At all. You might as well boil your own heads in a vat of oil for all the good it will do.
    Firstly, fuck off.

    Secondly, if you haven't fucked off yet, I'm responding directly and, I have to say, rather obviously to anyone with a brain cell, to this:
    "The only difference is the Poles deported the Germans en mass. Which they kind of deserved after WWII."

    The clue is in my exactly duplicating of the language: "Nobody deserves to be deported for things that..."

    Thirdly, fuck off.
    But when two tribes go to war repeatedly and one refuses another's right to exist then eventually enough is enough. That point was reached in WWII. The Red Army deserves a lot of criticism for most of what it did, including the ethnic cleansing in Crimea for instance deporting the Tatars, but for deporting the Germans who had elected the Nazis and repeatedly sort to exterminate people?

    Hamas refuses to recognise Israel's very right to exist, and the Palestinians in Gaza are supporting Hamas. Eventually removing from Israel's land, which includes Gaza, those who refuse to recognise Israel's right to exist may be a last resort.

    Hopefully it can be avoided and another way to defeat Hamas and enforce a peace can be found. But history hasn't been kind with that yet.
    Ok, let me put it this way.
    One of the strongest pillars of feudalism was the dangerous-world-self-defence pillar. It was the way that feudal lords sought the buy-in from the peasantry. That's the way service, including military service, to feudal lord was justified. That, plus religious justifications.

    Feeding the view that Israel is a threat to civilians in the minds of ordinary innocent Palestinians would be a mistake, because it drives them closer to the likes of Hamas, who are the feudal lords in this analogy.
    Now, you've talked on this thread about Israeli restraint and you have a good point there. I won't dwell today on the flip side of that, the low-level violence that Israel has meted out. That's for another day. Suffice to say that Israel has conducted itself well in some ways and poorly in others. If Israel were to turn full ethnic-cleansy as a result of this, that will strengthen the ties between Hamas and the people. It will vindicate, in the eyes of some, Hamas's argument, which is not something you or I want to see.

    If you want to free people from the bonds of fealty to Hamas, you don't do it by deliberately targeting civilians. You only deliberately target civilians if you are trying to wipe out a country or a way of life. That is what Hamas are doing. Israel mustn't become more like Hamas, Hamas should become more like Israel.
    Israel has bent over backwards to be kind to Palestinians. They have shown a generosity neither Egypt not Transjordan showed.

    What thanks has it ever got them?

    If they expel the "Palestinians" from Israel so that they can no longer attack from Gaza then what happens next?

    Palestine doesn't exist. It has not for seventy years. If it can't co exist with Israel then saying goodbye and moving them on elsewhere may be the only solution that works.
    "Israel has bent over backwards to be kind to Palestinians..." 😂
    Israel would have accepted the UN partition plan. Plenty of problems with it but it would have been a place to start a positive dialogue and relations.

    By rights Israel should have been wiped off the map on the day off the declaration but somehow it wasn't. And yes during the fighting when they realised they were winning and amidst the Arab nations wanting to annihilate them, they did force Arab villages to flee. Absolutely.

    But they would have accepted, indeed did accept the UN plan.

    The rest, as they say, is history.
  • DavidL said:

    Is today going to be the last day of the Ten Hag era? Starting to look that way.

    How many Managers is that now fired since Ferguson?

    Maybe its not Ten Hag that is to blame?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829
    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Just been swimming in the sea at Southwold. Without a wetsuit. In eatly October. It was very pleasant.

    It is unseasonably warm.

    I spotted some people swimming at Weston-super-Mare last weekend.
    It is like mid August here in sunny north London. 25C. Very nice
    I've just walked home from the gym in shorts and a T-shirt.
    You'd need a woolly jumper and full waterproofs here in SE Scotland - and a thermal wetsuit and flippers in Glasgow.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424

    Leon said:

    There is a video of an Israeli girl, kidnapped by Hamas, being thrown around by Hamas militants, in and out of a car

    Don't worry, I will not link

    It has been pointed out on TwitterX that the bloodstains on her clothes show that she has, almost certainly, been brutally raped, many times. Once you see it, you cannot unsee it

    If I was an Israeli, seeing that, I would want Netanyahu to go in and kill every single person in Gaza, the steel would enter my soul

    Killing everyone is far too far.

    The humane thing to do is deport them.
    To where?
    Egypt, Jordan or Iran would be my suggestions.
    Whatever their feelings about co-religionists Iranians are not usually very positive about living with Arabs.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829
    Farooq said:

    DavidL said:

    Is today going to be the last day of the Ten Hag era? Starting to look that way.

    I don't know, but I think all the people of Manchester should be resettled in Yorkshire to allow Liverpool and Everton to exist peacefully.
    Don't you mean Liverpool?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,812

    DavidL said:

    Is today going to be the last day of the Ten Hag era? Starting to look that way.

    How many Managers is that now fired since Ferguson?

    Maybe its not Ten Hag that is to blame?
    Maybe not but he has spent a fortune on players that are no better than the ones we had, he's not given the team any kind of structure and he is wasting what talent is available at his disposal by fighting with too many of the players.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424
    Carnyx said:

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Just been swimming in the sea at Southwold. Without a wetsuit. In eatly October. It was very pleasant.

    It is unseasonably warm.

    I spotted some people swimming at Weston-super-Mare last weekend.
    It is like mid August here in sunny north London. 25C. Very nice
    I've just walked home from the gym in shorts and a T-shirt.
    You'd need a woolly jumper and full waterproofs here in SE Scotland - and a thermal wetsuit and flippers in Glasgow.
    About 20C here; rather cloudy.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,986
    Carnyx said:

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Just been swimming in the sea at Southwold. Without a wetsuit. In eatly October. It was very pleasant.

    It is unseasonably warm.

    I spotted some people swimming at Weston-super-Mare last weekend.
    It is like mid August here in sunny north London. 25C. Very nice
    I've just walked home from the gym in shorts and a T-shirt.
    You'd need a woolly jumper and full waterproofs here in SE Scotland - and a thermal wetsuit and flippers in Glasgow.
    Meanwhile, currently 37C in Seville (yet another date record), 34C up in Bilbao, 31C in Carcassonne, and several more days of similar or higher temperatures to come.
  • Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
    No we're not.

    What happened in 1948 wasn't our choice.

    It wasn't the UN's choice either (where correct me if I'm wrong we were from memory outvoted but didn't use our veto).

    What happened in 1948 and since was the Arab state's fault. Theirs and theirs alone.
  • Leon said:

    There is a video of an Israeli girl, kidnapped by Hamas, being thrown around by Hamas militants, in and out of a car

    Don't worry, I will not link

    It has been pointed out on TwitterX that the bloodstains on her clothes show that she has, almost certainly, been brutally raped, many times. Once you see it, you cannot unsee it

    If I was an Israeli, seeing that, I would want Netanyahu to go in and kill every single person in Gaza, the steel would enter my soul

    Killing everyone is far too far.

    The humane thing to do is deport them.
    To where?
    Egypt, Jordan or Iran would be my suggestions.
    Whatever their feelings about co-religionists Iranians are not usually very positive about living with Arabs.
    Then maybe they should stop funding Hamas.

    That's the thing, Iran doesn't care about the so-called Palestinians, they're their version of "useful idiots".
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,410
    Ethnic cleansing - let's be clear - normally means the mass murder of civilians; that includes women, children and babies being massacred through being shot, burned, poisoned, suffocated, or buried alive.

    It might make long-term political solutions 'clean' - after all that's why people do it - but let's not pretend it's a just a little bit of bussing and tidying up.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Humza Yousaf’s statement on Hamas

    “My wife Nadia & I spent this morning on the phone to her family in Gaza. Many others in Scotland will be deeply worried about their families in Israel & Palestine. My thoughts and prayers are very much with those worried about loved ones caught up in this awful situation.”

    https://x.com/humzayousaf/status/1710653011125502380?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    That’s it. No condemnation. Nothing

    He really is Corbyn levels of Disastrous
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419
    Excellent story Mr Smithson - who says faint heart never won fair maid?

  • DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Is today going to be the last day of the Ten Hag era? Starting to look that way.

    How many Managers is that now fired since Ferguson?

    Maybe its not Ten Hag that is to blame?
    Maybe not but he has spent a fortune on players that are no better than the ones we had, he's not given the team any kind of structure and he is wasting what talent is available at his disposal by fighting with too many of the players.
    Isn't that true of pretty much all of his predecessors too?

    There's something deeply wrong at Old Trafford and its not just Ten Hag

    I believe haven't Man Utd spent much, much more than Man City over the past decade, net?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    edited October 2023

    Ethnic cleansing - let's be clear - normally means the mass murder of civilians; that includes women, children and babies being massacred through being shot, burned, poisoned, suffocated, or buried alive.

    It might make long-term political solutions 'clean' - after all that's why people do it - but let's not pretend it's a just a little bit of bussing and tidying up.

    No it doesn't. It definitely means forced population movements, and always has done. What you are describing is a genocide, which of course includes ethnic cleansing but is more serious still.

    Here is the EU's page on the subject:

    https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/networks/european-migration-network-emn/emn-asylum-and-migration-glossary/glossary/ethnic-cleansing_en#:~:text=Definition(s),is contrary to international law.
  • SniptSnipt Posts: 24

    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
    No we're not.

    What happened in 1948 wasn't our choice.

    It wasn't the UN's choice either (where correct me if I'm wrong we were from memory outvoted but didn't use our veto).

    What happened in 1948 and since was the Arab state's fault. Theirs and theirs alone.
    I'm not coming to you when I need advice on moral philosophy.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,075
    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
    No we're not!
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,714
    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    Bleak.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
    No we're not!
    You might as well blame the Romans for kicking it all off with Masada
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957
    edited October 2023
    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
    No we're not!
    1917 more like.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    That statement by the Scottish First Minister is incredible
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419
    ...
    Leon said:

    Humza Yousaf’s statement on Hamas

    “My wife Nadia & I spent this morning on the phone to her family in Gaza. Many others in Scotland will be deeply worried about their families in Israel & Palestine. My thoughts and prayers are very much with those worried about loved ones caught up in this awful situation.”

    https://x.com/humzayousaf/status/1710653011125502380?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    That’s it. No condemnation. Nothing

    He really is Corbyn levels of Disastrous

    Do the SNP have a VONCing mechanism? It strikes me as a great deal more difficult to depose SNP leaders than Tory leaders, though I have no solid knowledge on it.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,058
    Wow, just saw an Israeli air strike behind a reporter live on AlJazeera :worried:
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,075
    Leon said:

    Humza Yousaf’s statement on Hamas

    “My wife Nadia & I spent this morning on the phone to her family in Gaza. Many others in Scotland will be deeply worried about their families in Israel & Palestine. My thoughts and prayers are very much with those worried about loved ones caught up in this awful situation.”

    https://x.com/humzayousaf/status/1710653011125502380?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    That’s it. No condemnation. Nothing

    He really is Corbyn levels of Disastrous

    His brother-in-law and his family live in Gaza.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    ydoethur said:

    Ethnic cleansing - let's be clear - normally means the mass murder of civilians; that includes women, children and babies being massacred through being shot, burned, poisoned, suffocated, or buried alive.

    It might make long-term political solutions 'clean' - after all that's why people do it - but let's not pretend it's a just a little bit of bussing and tidying up.

    No it doesn't. It definitely means forced population movements, and always has done. What you are describing is a genocide, which of course includes ethnic cleansing but is more serious still.

    Here is the EU's page on the subject:

    https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/networks/european-migration-network-emn/emn-asylum-and-migration-glossary/glossary/ethnic-cleansing_en#:~:text=Definition(s),is contrary to international law.
    Ethnic Cleansing has a terrible brand though. They'll have to call it Extreme Relocation or something.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424
    edited October 2023
    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
    No we're not!
    AIUI much, if not all, of the blame can be traced back to the Balfour Declaration of 1917. When no-one, apart from T E Lawrence, thought of consulting the Arabs.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    viewcode said:

    Leon said:

    Humza Yousaf’s statement on Hamas

    “My wife Nadia & I spent this morning on the phone to her family in Gaza. Many others in Scotland will be deeply worried about their families in Israel & Palestine. My thoughts and prayers are very much with those worried about loved ones caught up in this awful situation.”

    https://x.com/humzayousaf/status/1710653011125502380?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    That’s it. No condemnation. Nothing

    He really is Corbyn levels of Disastrous

    His brother-in-law and his family live in Gaza.
    His actual job as politician and First Minister is to rise above that and speak for his nation, for Scotland

    We’re watching Jewish women get kidnapped, stripped, raped, tortured and killed on live TV, by terrorists shouting Allahu Akhbar over their naked bodies, and he can’t bring himself to condemn it

    This is pure Corbyn
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,310

    Leon said:

    An Israeli military opinion

    "Israel will likely aim to destroy Hamas completely following today's massacres & mass kidnappings of Israelis. Palestinian affairs expert
    @issacharoff
    makes the point: Assault on Israel succeeded far beyond what Hamas hoped, and this will now backfire."

    https://x.com/IsraelRadar_com/status/1710600248706396396?s=20


    Probably some embarrassed bluster in there. The Israeli intel and military have been surprised and humiliated, this is a pretty calamitous failure

    However the diagnosis might be right - Israel will now seek to eliminate Hamas once and forever, whatever it takes

    If it were so easy I’m surprised they haven’t eliminated Hamas before now.
    What they’ll do is increase air and drone strikes with (even) less concern for collateral civilian damage.

    A not entirely rhetorical question, has a terrorist/freedom fighting (delete to taste) group ever been entirely eliminated solely by force of arms?
    Isn't that what happened to ISIS?
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,908
    What an uplifting story!

    .......and probably the last to come out of that misbegotten country these last 55 years.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Leon said:

    That statement by the Scottish First Minister is incredible

    I think you're being a tad unfair - he's quoting another tweet from the SNP Foreign affairs spokesman, who does condemn Hamas, before getting a bit "both sides"-y:


  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,908
    edited October 2023
    Leon said:

    That statement by the Scottish First Minister is incredible

    No it's not. Why not visit Gaza instead of the Maldives and then you might have something worth listening to.
  • Snipt said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
    No we're not.

    What happened in 1948 wasn't our choice.

    It wasn't the UN's choice either (where correct me if I'm wrong we were from memory outvoted but didn't use our veto).

    What happened in 1948 and since was the Arab state's fault. Theirs and theirs alone.
    I'm not coming to you when I need advice on moral philosophy.
    And I won't come to you for your views on vaccines.

    What do you think should happen to Russian sympathisers after Crimea is liberated?
  • Dura_Ace said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ethnic cleansing - let's be clear - normally means the mass murder of civilians; that includes women, children and babies being massacred through being shot, burned, poisoned, suffocated, or buried alive.

    It might make long-term political solutions 'clean' - after all that's why people do it - but let's not pretend it's a just a little bit of bussing and tidying up.

    No it doesn't. It definitely means forced population movements, and always has done. What you are describing is a genocide, which of course includes ethnic cleansing but is more serious still.

    Here is the EU's page on the subject:

    https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/networks/european-migration-network-emn/emn-asylum-and-migration-glossary/glossary/ethnic-cleansing_en#:~:text=Definition(s),is contrary to international law.
    Ethnic Cleansing has a terrible brand though. They'll have to call it Extreme Relocation or something.
    Extreme Relocation, Relocation, Relocation, presented by Phil ‘Bloodsports’ Spencer and Tory soft furnishings maven Kirstie Allsopp.

    ‘This week we have an oppressed minority that’s too brown for anyone to give a shit about and we’ll be finding them a crappy little corner of the world that no one else wants to live in..’
  • Roger said:

    Leon said:

    That statement by the Scottish First Minister is incredible

    No it's not. Why not visit Gaza instead of the Maldives and then you might have something worth listening to.
    Possibly because Hamas, their allies like Iran, and their apologists and useful idiots have made it a place not worth visiting?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
    No we're not!
    AIUI much, if not all, of the blame can be traced back to the Balfour Declaration of 1917. When no-one, apart from T E Lawrence, thought of consulting the Arabs.
    Not true read the document.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424
    edited October 2023
    Cyclefree said:

    Leon said:

    An Israeli military opinion

    "Israel will likely aim to destroy Hamas completely following today's massacres & mass kidnappings of Israelis. Palestinian affairs expert
    @issacharoff
    makes the point: Assault on Israel succeeded far beyond what Hamas hoped, and this will now backfire."

    https://x.com/IsraelRadar_com/status/1710600248706396396?s=20


    Probably some embarrassed bluster in there. The Israeli intel and military have been surprised and humiliated, this is a pretty calamitous failure

    However the diagnosis might be right - Israel will now seek to eliminate Hamas once and forever, whatever it takes

    If it were so easy I’m surprised they haven’t eliminated Hamas before now.
    What they’ll do is increase air and drone strikes with (even) less concern for collateral civilian damage.

    A not entirely rhetorical question, has a terrorist/freedom fighting (delete to taste) group ever been entirely eliminated solely by force of arms?
    Isn't that what happened to ISIS?
    My understanding is that it’s still about, although very much reduced. The remnants of the Malayan Communists eventually laid down their arms, The Mau Mau did very much the same.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Roger said:

    Leon said:

    That statement by the Scottish First Minister is incredible

    No it's not. Why not visit Gaza instead of the Maldives and then you might have something worth listening to.
    I have actually been to the West Bank. I’ve seen how Israel treats Palestinians. I believe Israel is now perilously close to being an apartheid state, brutalised by its own cruelties

    Nonetheless I can see cold blooded terrorism - rape and murder - when it happens in front of me. And today as a politician that is what you must condemn, no?

    Even Sadiq Khan managed it (Corbyn didn’t)

    “The news coming out of Israel is deeply distressing.

    I condemn the terrorist acts of Hamas and my thoughts are with those affected and those who
    have lost loved ones.”

    https://x.com/mayoroflondon/status/1710614114060431362?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    Leon said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
    No we're not!
    You might as well blame the Romans for kicking it all off with Masada
    Stupid bastard, that Flavius. Should have just left them there.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    kinabalu said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    maxh said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    There has been an obvious solution to the Palestinian problem for decades. And a fairly easy one, as the September 9th issue of the Economist reminded me. Turns out that a Muslim nation, Uzbekistan, once had a substantial Jewish population, about 200,000. They fled Muslim and Communist persection, and now about half of them are in the US, half of them in the UK.

    The same is true of many Arab nations; they once had substantial Jewish populations, but do no longer. Now it is true that none of these nations particularly want the Palestinians, but they should take them in, anyway.

    This solution follows the "aggressor pays" rule, which is a good one, in general.

    Sure, sounds like a good plan. Who knew that the solution was simply to wipe Palestine off the map? Seems so obvious now you mention it.
    What Palestine on the map?

    Egypt and Transjordan already wiped Palestine off the map in 1947.

    They tried twice to wipe Israel off the map and failed both times and the disputed territory isn't Palestinian land it's ex Egyptian and Jordanian land and they've renounced their claims to it.

    If they take responsibility for their actions and take the people who can't peacefully live in Israel's land, that's taking responsibility for their own history and may allow peace.
    What do you mean, "what Palestine"? The country of Palestine. The one next to Israel, that one.
    What country of Palestine? There is none. Egypt and Transjordan, as well as Arafat saw to that.

    There is a state that has not acquired country status as part of the land for peace accords agreed with Arafat but since Arafat then rejected peace and so have Hamas they've no right to country status and don't have it.

    If they lose the land they acquired from false commitments to peace and from losing a war then fair enough.
    Look, I don't know why you keep talking about Arafat. Well over half the population of Palestine was born since Arafat died. Whatever Arafat did or didn't do is not their fault. And these people, these Palestinians, these humans. Where do they live? Palestine is a place. It's recognised by the vast majority of the world. It exists.
    It's not their sovereign territory, it is disputed territory like Crimea which is occupied by Russia.

    On 31 July 1988, King Hussein announced the severance of all legal and administrative ties with the West Bank, except for the Jordanian sponsorship of the Muslim and Christian holy sites in Jerusalem, and recognised the PLO's claim to the State of Palestine. In his speech to the nation held on that day he announced his decision and explained that this decision was made with the aim of helping the Palestinian people establishing their own independent state.[59][60]

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jordanian_annexation_of_the_West_Bank#Jordanian_disengagement
    Since King Hussein's country had lost control of that land in a war it began against a nation that was defending it's very right to exist that doesn't mean the land is Palestinian, it means it's Israels.

    Now if Israel wishes to gift that land to the Palestinians that is quite generous and they've tried that for decades. If that doesn't work, then deporting those who refuse to recognise their right to exist might be a last resort.

    Germany lost land to France, to Poland and others at the end of WWII. Do you think that land should be returned to Germany now?

    The only difference is the Poles deported the Germans en mass. Which they kind of deserved after WWII. The Arabs deserved the same after 47 and 67 but Israel were the better humans.
    Nobody deserves to be deported for things that their government or the government of a neighbouring country has done. The ethnic Germans living in Poland and just getting on with their own lives weren't to blame for anything. Ordinary Arabs in Israel or Palestine aren't to blame. Don't punish the innocent.
    This exchange is a perfect example of why, very sadly, when this conflict is the subject of pb I find the comments simply unreadable. You two aren’t talking to each other. At all. You might as well boil your own heads in a vat of oil for all the good it will do.
    Firstly, fuck off.

    Secondly, if you haven't fucked off yet, I'm responding directly and, I have to say, rather obviously to anyone with a brain cell, to this:
    "The only difference is the Poles deported the Germans en mass. Which they kind of deserved after WWII."

    The clue is in my exactly duplicating of the language: "Nobody deserves to be deported for things that..."

    Thirdly, fuck off.
    But when two tribes go to war repeatedly and one refuses another's right to exist then eventually enough is enough. That point was reached in WWII. The Red Army deserves a lot of criticism for most of what it did, including the ethnic cleansing in Crimea for instance deporting the Tatars, but for deporting the Germans who had elected the Nazis and repeatedly sort to exterminate people?

    Hamas refuses to recognise Israel's very right to exist, and the Palestinians in Gaza are supporting Hamas. Eventually removing from Israel's land, which includes Gaza, those who refuse to recognise Israel's right to exist may be a last resort.

    Hopefully it can be avoided and another way to defeat Hamas and enforce a peace can be found. But history hasn't been kind with that yet.
    Ok, let me put it this way.
    One of the strongest pillars of feudalism was the dangerous-world-self-defence pillar. It was the way that feudal lords sought the buy-in from the peasantry. That's the way service, including military service, to feudal lord was justified. That, plus religious justifications.

    Feeding the view that Israel is a threat to civilians in the minds of ordinary innocent Palestinians would be a mistake, because it drives them closer to the likes of Hamas, who are the feudal lords in this analogy.
    Now, you've talked on this thread about Israeli restraint and you have a good point there. I won't dwell today on the flip side of that, the low-level violence that Israel has meted out. That's for another day. Suffice to say that Israel has conducted itself well in some ways and poorly in others. If Israel were to turn full ethnic-cleansy as a result of this, that will strengthen the ties between Hamas and the people. It will vindicate, in the eyes of some, Hamas's argument, which is not something you or I want to see.

    If you want to free people from the bonds of fealty to Hamas, you don't do it by deliberately targeting civilians. You only deliberately target civilians if you are trying to wipe out a country or a way of life. That is what Hamas are doing. Israel mustn't become more like Hamas, Hamas should become more like Israel.
    Israel has bent over backwards to be kind to Palestinians. They have shown a generosity neither Egypt not Transjordan showed.

    What thanks has it ever got them?

    If they expel the "Palestinians" from Israel so that they can no longer attack from Gaza then what happens next?

    Palestine doesn't exist. It has not for seventy years. If it can't co exist with Israel then saying goodbye and moving them on elsewhere may be the only solution that works.
    "Israel has bent over backwards to be kind to Palestinians..." 😂
    I'd hate to see what oppressing them looks like.
    I have a feeling you may be about to find out.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,348
    Dura_Ace said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ethnic cleansing - let's be clear - normally means the mass murder of civilians; that includes women, children and babies being massacred through being shot, burned, poisoned, suffocated, or buried alive.

    It might make long-term political solutions 'clean' - after all that's why people do it - but let's not pretend it's a just a little bit of bussing and tidying up.

    No it doesn't. It definitely means forced population movements, and always has done. What you are describing is a genocide, which of course includes ethnic cleansing but is more serious still.

    Here is the EU's page on the subject:

    https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/networks/european-migration-network-emn/emn-asylum-and-migration-glossary/glossary/ethnic-cleansing_en#:~:text=Definition(s),is contrary to international law.
    Ethnic Cleansing has a terrible brand though. They'll have to call it Extreme Relocation or something.
    Population transfer is the polite term.

    I’m on holiday in Crete. My guidebook is a delight. After a prolonged rant about Turkish atrocities, it notes that the Turkish (actually mostly Greek Muslim) population “left” between 1898-1923.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    I always hoped Humza Yousaf would be a catastrophic leader. I’m grateful to him for fulfilling my aspirations so quickly
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,812
    Leon said:

    I always hoped Humza Yousaf would be a catastrophic leader. I’m grateful to him for fulfilling my aspirations so quickly

    I never doubted he was up to being useless. His performance as Health Minister showed he could aspire to such a level.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    It would have been easy for Yousaf to get it right without betraying himself

    Something like this

    “I have close family in Gaza so I know all too well the price paid by innocent people in this terrible conflict. This horror will only end when the violence ends, and that’s why I utterly condemn this brutal terrorism against Israelis today”

    He could have said something like that. Showing us his sympathies but getting the necessary condemnation in. But he didn’t

    He really is Yousless
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,348
    ydoethur said:

    Ethnic cleansing - let's be clear - normally means the mass murder of civilians; that includes women, children and babies being massacred through being shot, burned, poisoned, suffocated, or buried alive.

    It might make long-term political solutions 'clean' - after all that's why people do it - but let's not pretend it's a just a little bit of bussing and tidying up.

    No it doesn't. It definitely means forced population movements, and always has done. What you are describing is a genocide, which of course includes ethnic cleansing but is more serious still.

    Here is the EU's page on the subject:

    https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/networks/european-migration-network-emn/emn-asylum-and-migration-glossary/glossary/ethnic-cleansing_en#:~:text=Definition(s),is contrary to international law.
    I think it would be fair to say that mass executions, rape, and destruction of property, even if only inflicted on a minority, are typically used to induce the rest to leave.

    Also, neglecting to feed and shelter the departing people is common, too.
  • Leon said:

    I always hoped Humza Yousaf would be a catastrophic leader. I’m grateful to him for fulfilling my aspirations so quickly

    Your judgment on how pols will turn out is of course legendary.
    The day some random on an obscure website didn’t like Humza’s statement on events in Gaza will be seen as a crucial point in his downfall.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,028
    The 2020s feel extremely .. hostile and variable. I suppose with the world orders shifting, this is what happens. But a really worrying time
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    U.S. President Biden has Approved an Emergency Military Aid Package to Israel worth $8 Billion.

    https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1710680925317603432?s=20
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277

    Leon said:

    I always hoped Humza Yousaf would be a catastrophic leader. I’m grateful to him for fulfilling my aspirations so quickly

    Your judgment on how pols will turn out is of course legendary.
    The day some random on an obscure website didn’t like Humza’s statement on events in Gaza will be seen as a crucial point in his downfall.
    How do you think the Reign of Humza is going, you know, so far? All good?
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,908

    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Here we go


    "The Israeli Security Council has reportedly approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.

    Prime Minister Netanyahu in a call with US President Biden said that the country faces a long campaign, but that they will emerge victorious."

    https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1710664826794528809?s=20

    We're responsible for messing up the region in 1948.
    No we're not.

    What happened in 1948 wasn't our choice.

    It wasn't the UN's choice either (where correct me if I'm wrong we were from memory outvoted but didn't use our veto).

    What happened in 1948 and since was the Arab state's fault. Theirs and theirs alone.
    Pontificating again on something about which you have zero knowledge.

    Just another day on PB
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,410
    Sean_F said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ethnic cleansing - let's be clear - normally means the mass murder of civilians; that includes women, children and babies being massacred through being shot, burned, poisoned, suffocated, or buried alive.

    It might make long-term political solutions 'clean' - after all that's why people do it - but let's not pretend it's a just a little bit of bussing and tidying up.

    No it doesn't. It definitely means forced population movements, and always has done. What you are describing is a genocide, which of course includes ethnic cleansing but is more serious still.

    Here is the EU's page on the subject:

    https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/networks/european-migration-network-emn/emn-asylum-and-migration-glossary/glossary/ethnic-cleansing_en#:~:text=Definition(s),is contrary to international law.
    I think it would be fair to say that mass executions, rape, and destruction of property, even if only inflicted on a minority, are typically used to induce the rest to leave.

    Also, neglecting to feed and shelter the departing people is common, too.
    Yes, it's not exactly a coach holiday.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    I really do wish the England fans would learn the second verse of Swing Low. Or even some new songs
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677

    Leon said:

    I always hoped Humza Yousaf would be a catastrophic leader. I’m grateful to him for fulfilling my aspirations so quickly

    Your judgment on how pols will turn out is of course legendary.
    The day some random on an obscure website didn’t like Humza’s statement on events in Gaza will be seen as a crucial point in his downfall.
    It does seem a bit strange to get the arsehole because some Scottish politician isn't emoting hard enough on his socials over events Israel.
  • kinabalu said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    maxh said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    There has been an obvious solution to the Palestinian problem for decades. And a fairly easy one, as the September 9th issue of the Economist reminded me. Turns out that a Muslim nation, Uzbekistan, once had a substantial Jewish population, about 200,000. They fled Muslim and Communist persection, and now about half of them are in the US, half of them in the UK.

    The same is true of many Arab nations; they once had substantial Jewish populations, but do no longer. Now it is true that none of these nations particularly want the Palestinians, but they should take them in, anyway.

    This solution follows the "aggressor pays" rule, which is a good one, in general.

    Sure, sounds like a good plan. Who knew that the solution was simply to wipe Palestine off the map? Seems so obvious now you mention it.
    What Palestine on the map?

    Egypt and Transjordan already wiped Palestine off the map in 1947.

    They tried twice to wipe Israel off the map and failed both times and the disputed territory isn't Palestinian land it's ex Egyptian and Jordanian land and they've renounced their claims to it.

    If they take responsibility for their actions and take the people who can't peacefully live in Israel's land, that's taking responsibility for their own history and may allow peace.
    What do you mean, "what Palestine"? The country of Palestine. The one next to Israel, that one.
    What country of Palestine? There is none. Egypt and Transjordan, as well as Arafat saw to that.

    There is a state that has not acquired country status as part of the land for peace accords agreed with Arafat but since Arafat then rejected peace and so have Hamas they've no right to country status and don't have it.

    If they lose the land they acquired from false commitments to peace and from losing a war then fair enough.
    Look, I don't know why you keep talking about Arafat. Well over half the population of Palestine was born since Arafat died. Whatever Arafat did or didn't do is not their fault. And these people, these Palestinians, these humans. Where do they live? Palestine is a place. It's recognised by the vast majority of the world. It exists.
    It's not their sovereign territory, it is disputed territory like Crimea which is occupied by Russia.

    On 31 July 1988, King Hussein announced the severance of all legal and administrative ties with the West Bank, except for the Jordanian sponsorship of the Muslim and Christian holy sites in Jerusalem, and recognised the PLO's claim to the State of Palestine. In his speech to the nation held on that day he announced his decision and explained that this decision was made with the aim of helping the Palestinian people establishing their own independent state.[59][60]

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jordanian_annexation_of_the_West_Bank#Jordanian_disengagement
    Since King Hussein's country had lost control of that land in a war it began against a nation that was defending it's very right to exist that doesn't mean the land is Palestinian, it means it's Israels.

    Now if Israel wishes to gift that land to the Palestinians that is quite generous and they've tried that for decades. If that doesn't work, then deporting those who refuse to recognise their right to exist might be a last resort.

    Germany lost land to France, to Poland and others at the end of WWII. Do you think that land should be returned to Germany now?

    The only difference is the Poles deported the Germans en mass. Which they kind of deserved after WWII. The Arabs deserved the same after 47 and 67 but Israel were the better humans.
    Nobody deserves to be deported for things that their government or the government of a neighbouring country has done. The ethnic Germans living in Poland and just getting on with their own lives weren't to blame for anything. Ordinary Arabs in Israel or Palestine aren't to blame. Don't punish the innocent.
    This exchange is a perfect example of why, very sadly, when this conflict is the subject of pb I find the comments simply unreadable. You two aren’t talking to each other. At all. You might as well boil your own heads in a vat of oil for all the good it will do.
    Firstly, fuck off.

    Secondly, if you haven't fucked off yet, I'm responding directly and, I have to say, rather obviously to anyone with a brain cell, to this:
    "The only difference is the Poles deported the Germans en mass. Which they kind of deserved after WWII."

    The clue is in my exactly duplicating of the language: "Nobody deserves to be deported for things that..."

    Thirdly, fuck off.
    But when two tribes go to war repeatedly and one refuses another's right to exist then eventually enough is enough. That point was reached in WWII. The Red Army deserves a lot of criticism for most of what it did, including the ethnic cleansing in Crimea for instance deporting the Tatars, but for deporting the Germans who had elected the Nazis and repeatedly sort to exterminate people?

    Hamas refuses to recognise Israel's very right to exist, and the Palestinians in Gaza are supporting Hamas. Eventually removing from Israel's land, which includes Gaza, those who refuse to recognise Israel's right to exist may be a last resort.

    Hopefully it can be avoided and another way to defeat Hamas and enforce a peace can be found. But history hasn't been kind with that yet.
    Ok, let me put it this way.
    One of the strongest pillars of feudalism was the dangerous-world-self-defence pillar. It was the way that feudal lords sought the buy-in from the peasantry. That's the way service, including military service, to feudal lord was justified. That, plus religious justifications.

    Feeding the view that Israel is a threat to civilians in the minds of ordinary innocent Palestinians would be a mistake, because it drives them closer to the likes of Hamas, who are the feudal lords in this analogy.
    Now, you've talked on this thread about Israeli restraint and you have a good point there. I won't dwell today on the flip side of that, the low-level violence that Israel has meted out. That's for another day. Suffice to say that Israel has conducted itself well in some ways and poorly in others. If Israel were to turn full ethnic-cleansy as a result of this, that will strengthen the ties between Hamas and the people. It will vindicate, in the eyes of some, Hamas's argument, which is not something you or I want to see.

    If you want to free people from the bonds of fealty to Hamas, you don't do it by deliberately targeting civilians. You only deliberately target civilians if you are trying to wipe out a country or a way of life. That is what Hamas are doing. Israel mustn't become more like Hamas, Hamas should become more like Israel.
    Israel has bent over backwards to be kind to Palestinians. They have shown a generosity neither Egypt not Transjordan showed.

    What thanks has it ever got them?

    If they expel the "Palestinians" from Israel so that they can no longer attack from Gaza then what happens next?

    Palestine doesn't exist. It has not for seventy years. If it can't co exist with Israel then saying goodbye and moving them on elsewhere may be the only solution that works.
    "Israel has bent over backwards to be kind to Palestinians..." 😂
    I'd hate to see what oppressing them looks like.
    If Hamas get their way, you might eventually find out.

    Then you'll realise just what kid gloves Israel have been using for decades.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Dura_Ace said:

    Leon said:

    I always hoped Humza Yousaf would be a catastrophic leader. I’m grateful to him for fulfilling my aspirations so quickly

    Your judgment on how pols will turn out is of course legendary.
    The day some random on an obscure website didn’t like Humza’s statement on events in Gaza will be seen as a crucial point in his downfall.
    It does seem a bit strange to get the arsehole because some Scottish politician isn't emoting hard enough on his socials over events Israel.
    You do realise this is www.politicalbetting.com?

    "Getting the arsehole because some Scottish politician isn't emoting hard enough on his socials" is a brilliantly precise example of what we do here, pointlessly and endlessly, for hour after hour - to people we have never even met

    Or maybe you know of some other politicalbetting.com where there is some wider purpose to the shit people say?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419
    DavidL said:

    Leon said:

    I always hoped Humza Yousaf would be a catastrophic leader. I’m grateful to him for fulfilling my aspirations so quickly

    I never doubted he was up to being useless. His performance as Health Minister showed he could aspire to such a level.
    Watching him on (and off) a scooter was proof enough.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,348

    Sean_F said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ethnic cleansing - let's be clear - normally means the mass murder of civilians; that includes women, children and babies being massacred through being shot, burned, poisoned, suffocated, or buried alive.

    It might make long-term political solutions 'clean' - after all that's why people do it - but let's not pretend it's a just a little bit of bussing and tidying up.

    No it doesn't. It definitely means forced population movements, and always has done. What you are describing is a genocide, which of course includes ethnic cleansing but is more serious still.

    Here is the EU's page on the subject:

    https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/networks/european-migration-network-emn/emn-asylum-and-migration-glossary/glossary/ethnic-cleansing_en#:~:text=Definition(s),is contrary to international law.
    I think it would be fair to say that mass executions, rape, and destruction of property, even if only inflicted on a minority, are typically used to induce the rest to leave.

    Also, neglecting to feed and shelter the departing people is common, too.
    Yes, it's not exactly a coach holiday.
    I don’t blame the Russians, Poles, and Czechs, for what they did between 1945-50, given the sufferings they endured from 1939-45. But, the expulsion of ethnic Germans was an ugly business.
  • Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ethnic cleansing - let's be clear - normally means the mass murder of civilians; that includes women, children and babies being massacred through being shot, burned, poisoned, suffocated, or buried alive.

    It might make long-term political solutions 'clean' - after all that's why people do it - but let's not pretend it's a just a little bit of bussing and tidying up.

    No it doesn't. It definitely means forced population movements, and always has done. What you are describing is a genocide, which of course includes ethnic cleansing but is more serious still.

    Here is the EU's page on the subject:

    https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/networks/european-migration-network-emn/emn-asylum-and-migration-glossary/glossary/ethnic-cleansing_en#:~:text=Definition(s),is contrary to international law.
    I think it would be fair to say that mass executions, rape, and destruction of property, even if only inflicted on a minority, are typically used to induce the rest to leave.

    Also, neglecting to feed and shelter the departing people is common, too.
    Yes, it's not exactly a coach holiday.
    I don’t blame the Russians, Poles, and Czechs, for what they did between 1945-50, given the sufferings they endured from 1939-45. But, the expulsion of ethnic Germans was an ugly business.
    Indeed. It was ugly, but then it was over.

    The past seventy years in the Middle East have been fairly ugly too and there's no end in sight.

    I wonder overall which was more humane and led to fewer fatalities? Not done the numbers myself.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Owen Jones hasn't tweeted yet....but some of the tweets he's reposting.......

    https://twitter.com/OwenJones84
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    I am hardly Hamza Yousaf’s number one fan, but there’s nothing wrong with his tweet.

    Indeed, why do we even need to hear from the Scottish First Minister, or the Mayor of London for that matter, on these tragic events?
  • Penddu2Penddu2 Posts: 689
    Leon said:

    I really do wish the England fans would learn the second verse of Swing Low. Or even some new songs

    Or the hand actions...
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298

    Owen Jones hasn't tweeted yet....but some of the tweets he's reposting.......

    https://twitter.com/OwenJones84

    …some of the tweets legitimately remind us of the plight of Gazans these last fifteen years. It is not necessary to ignore that context to today’s malevolent events.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,249
    The only solution to the Israel/Palestine issue is to… make more Israel.

    The strategic argument is that with Palestine as a state, Israel is too narrow.

    This means that the security pragmatists in Israel align with the religious idiots.

    Instead, fill in large chunks of the Mediterranean. Make more land. This will cost a few hundred billion, but will detach the pragmatists and then you have a peace - the Palestinians have their land and the Israelis have their land.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    edited October 2023
    Dura_Ace said:

    Leon said:

    I always hoped Humza Yousaf would be a catastrophic leader. I’m grateful to him for fulfilling my aspirations so quickly

    Your judgment on how pols will turn out is of course legendary.
    The day some random on an obscure website didn’t like Humza’s statement on events in Gaza will be seen as a crucial point in his downfall.
    It does seem a bit strange to get the arsehole because some Scottish politician isn't emoting hard enough on his socials over events Israel.
    My parish councillor, Nancy Bugglesworth, is eerily quiet on Twitter.

    Perhaps I should shout loudly through her letterbox, demanding to hear her condemnation of Hamas.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829
    edited October 2023

    I am hardly Hamza Yousaf’s number one fan, but there’s nothing wrong with his tweet.

    Indeed, why do we even need to hear from the Scottish First Minister, or the Mayor of London for that matter, on these tragic events?

    It is possibly forgotten that Mr Yousaf is a head of a devolved government, for which foreign policy is not a devolved matter. Same with Mr Khan.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277

    Dura_Ace said:

    Leon said:

    I always hoped Humza Yousaf would be a catastrophic leader. I’m grateful to him for fulfilling my aspirations so quickly

    Your judgment on how pols will turn out is of course legendary.
    The day some random on an obscure website didn’t like Humza’s statement on events in Gaza will be seen as a crucial point in his downfall.
    It does seem a bit strange to get the arsehole because some Scottish politician isn't emoting hard enough on his socials over events Israel.
    My parish councillor, Nancy Bugglesworth, is eerily quiet on Twitter.

    Perhaps I should shout loudly through her letterbox, demanding to hear her condemnation of Hamas.
    Yousless could always have said nothing. Instead he decided to tweet on Israel/Palestine, but failed to condemn wholesale rape and murder, enacted this morning

    So he brought the attention on himself
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Carnyx said:

    I am hardly Hamza Yousaf’s number one fan, but there’s nothing wrong with his tweet.

    Indeed, why do we even need to hear from the Scottish First Minister, or the Mayor of London for that matter, on these tragic events?

    It is possibly forgotten that Mr Yousaf is a head of a devolved government, for which foreign policy is not a devolved matter.
    Tell him that......

    https://www.gov.scot/policies/international-relations/
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419

    The only solution to the Israel/Palestine issue is to… make more Israel.

    The strategic argument is that with Palestine as a state, Israel is too narrow.

    This means that the security pragmatists in Israel align with the religious idiots.

    Instead, fill in large chunks of the Mediterranean. Make more land. This will cost a few hundred billion, but will detach the pragmatists and then you have a peace - the Palestinians have their land and the Israelis have their land.

    Nice idea.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,454

    The only solution to the Israel/Palestine issue is to… make more Israel.

    The strategic argument is that with Palestine as a state, Israel is too narrow.

    This means that the security pragmatists in Israel align with the religious idiots.

    Instead, fill in large chunks of the Mediterranean. Make more land. This will cost a few hundred billion, but will detach the pragmatists and then you have a peace - the Palestinians have their land and the Israelis have their land.

    Nice idea.
    There will still be fighting as to who controls Jerusalem.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    Leon said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Leon said:

    I always hoped Humza Yousaf would be a catastrophic leader. I’m grateful to him for fulfilling my aspirations so quickly

    Your judgment on how pols will turn out is of course legendary.
    The day some random on an obscure website didn’t like Humza’s statement on events in Gaza will be seen as a crucial point in his downfall.
    It does seem a bit strange to get the arsehole because some Scottish politician isn't emoting hard enough on his socials over events Israel.
    My parish councillor, Nancy Bugglesworth, is eerily quiet on Twitter.

    Perhaps I should shout loudly through her letterbox, demanding to hear her condemnation of Hamas.
    Yousless could always have said nothing. Instead he decided to tweet on Israel/Palestine, but failed to condemn wholesale rape and murder, enacted this morning

    So he brought the attention on himself
    His tweet was fine.

    In fact, it seemed more genuine that the usual cliche flung at us (see Sadiq Khan’s effort).

    For proper old school whataboutery, check Jeremy Corbyn.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,829

    Carnyx said:

    I am hardly Hamza Yousaf’s number one fan, but there’s nothing wrong with his tweet.

    Indeed, why do we even need to hear from the Scottish First Minister, or the Mayor of London for that matter, on these tragic events?

    It is possibly forgotten that Mr Yousaf is a head of a devolved government, for which foreign policy is not a devolved matter.
    Tell him that......

    https://www.gov.scot/policies/international-relations/
    You've been making similar snark for over a decade. Now you complain?!
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,419

    The only solution to the Israel/Palestine issue is to… make more Israel.

    The strategic argument is that with Palestine as a state, Israel is too narrow.

    This means that the security pragmatists in Israel align with the religious idiots.

    Instead, fill in large chunks of the Mediterranean. Make more land. This will cost a few hundred billion, but will detach the pragmatists and then you have a peace - the Palestinians have their land and the Israelis have their land.

    Nice idea.
    There will still be fighting as to who controls Jerusalem.
    True, but as Malmesbury said, that is primarily a religious dispute.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    That's quite some gall from Varadkar to talk about Britain "disengaging from the world" while presiding over a neutrality policy that freerides on NATO while the UK spends billions of pounds sending weapons to Ukraine.

    https://x.com/dsmooney/status/1710305200412492256?s=20
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957
    edited October 2023
    The counter factual is that when Sharon handed over Gaza the Palestinians had ceased military action against Israel and dedicated themselves to become, say oh I don't know, Singapore on Jordan.

    Think of the UN/US/World Bank billions that would have been poured in.

    But no - they wanted to push Israel into the sea. Perhaps giving them Gaza was seen as a victory for violence. As Abba Eban noted and how true it seems to be, the Palestinians never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,986

    The only solution to the Israel/Palestine issue is to… make more Israel.

    The strategic argument is that with Palestine as a state, Israel is too narrow.

    This means that the security pragmatists in Israel align with the religious idiots.

    Instead, fill in large chunks of the Mediterranean. Make more land. This will cost a few hundred billion, but will detach the pragmatists and then you have a peace - the Palestinians have their land and the Israelis have their land.

    Not really feasible. The continental shelf is very narrow off Israel. It plunges very deep only a few miles off the coast, and there is no really shallow water at all.


  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,908
    Leon said:

    Roger said:

    Leon said:

    That statement by the Scottish First Minister is incredible

    No it's not. Why not visit Gaza instead of the Maldives and then you might have something worth listening to.
    I have actually been to the West Bank. I’ve seen how Israel treats Palestinians. I believe Israel is now perilously close to being an apartheid state, brutalised by its own cruelties

    Nonetheless I can see cold blooded terrorism - rape and murder - when it happens in front of me. And today as a politician that is what you must condemn, no?

    Even Sadiq Khan managed it (Corbyn didn’t)

    “The news coming out of Israel is deeply distressing.

    I condemn the terrorist acts of Hamas and my thoughts are with those affected and those who
    have lost loved ones.”

    https://x.com/mayoroflondon/status/1710614114060431362?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
    If that isn't an apartheid state then neither was South Africa
  • MJWMJW Posts: 1,728
    rcs1000 said:

    Israel has been invaded, has seen its citizens kidnapped, and has no choice but to invade the Gaza strip.

    This is unbelievably shit, principally for innocent Israelis.

    It's also hard to work out what Hamas thinks they could possible gain from this. They are not going to - and can never have thought it possible - defeat Israel militarily.

    The only possible long-term consequence of this is that life in the Gaza Strip, which was already unbelievably shit, becomes shitter yet.

    You know what, I get it. If I was in the Gaza Strip, I'd probably hate the Israelis with a passion. I'd live in fear that the power or the water would be cut off again. I'd be livid that my city was choked off from the world by Israel.

    But while that hatred may be understandable, it doesn't justify an attack that will only make things worse for ordinary Palestinians in Gaza.

    It's time to face reality: the Gaza Strip is not sustainable. It represents a security threat to Israel, such that they need to seal it from the world. But Israel's actions create a seething mass of resentment that is channeled by Hamas into eruptions of violence.

    And, by the way, the more you squeeze Gaza, the more people feel they have nothing to lose. If life is already shit, how much worse can the Israelis make it?

    I don't know what the solution is. Involuntary resettlement of people away from the coast is one option. But there are two million people in Gaza. That's a lot of people, and is the Israeli military strong enough to do that? And where would they go?

    Normally, I'm filled with ideas and solutions. But here, not so much. Israel has a right to exist. Israel has a right to defend itself. And it has been attacked and its citizens kidnapped. That's fucking shit. But the things that bring Israel long-term security come with a massive price that would be paid not by Hamas (which would probably end up strengthened), but by ordinary Palestinians.

    Yup, Hamas don't give a toss about ordinary Palestinians - they do a strong job of oppressing them themselves. And that's the problem - they're fundamentalists whose ultimate and overriding goal is to wipe Israel out, and eventually have fundamentalist theocratic regimes friendly to Iran across the Middle East. Fatah are no angels but a reason Israel could do deals with their leadership in the past was because it was a nationalist project rather than a fundamentalist one. A project based around nationhood is justifiable, and because it's rational and based around self-determination and wanting the best for a people, you can get peace. It's incredibly difficult but possible. You can do land swaps, offer security guarantees, offer conditional aid, and so on. But the problem is that Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Iranians who arm them aren't at heart that - they're theocratic extremists who won't be happy until the middle east is entirely under the thumb of their oppressive version of Islam. And thus why they'll launch destructive attacks on Israel, because they don't give a damn about the fact people in Gaza are going to come out terribly here, or that they can't 'win' by defeating the Israeli army in the field, but rather they just want to continue turning the region into a bloodbath in the hope they can rule the ashes.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957
    edited October 2023
    So now short of wholesale removal of a people which is morally and practically problematic one potential solution is for Gaza to come under perhaps a UN-type administration. Bringing it under control of a government that would not be dedicated to the destruction of its neighbour.

    Or on it will go.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Carnyx said:

    Carnyx said:

    I am hardly Hamza Yousaf’s number one fan, but there’s nothing wrong with his tweet.

    Indeed, why do we even need to hear from the Scottish First Minister, or the Mayor of London for that matter, on these tragic events?

    It is possibly forgotten that Mr Yousaf is a head of a devolved government, for which foreign policy is not a devolved matter.
    Tell him that......

    https://www.gov.scot/policies/international-relations/
    You've been making similar snark for over a decade. Now you complain?!
    If you see upthread I commented that I thought the criticism of the FM's tweet was unfair.
This discussion has been closed.