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The Tory problem – this is how Rishi is perceived – politicalbetting.com
The Tory problem – this is how Rishi is perceived – politicalbetting.com
The word cloud above was featured widely on BBC news outlets last night and sets out the challenge for the Tories as they gather in Manchester for their party conference.
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What voters want to see is their own economic circumstances improve which he and Hunt are doing by cutting inflation and growing the economy and hopefully in due course cutting tax as well.
As for getting rid of Rishi, barely more than a year ago OGH was telling Tories to get rid of Boris in favour of Rishi!
If its zoned for housing, then you don't need to ask permission as its already been granted via the zoning. Just send in the builders when you choose using plans you choose so long as they are within building codes. And if you want to tear it down and redevelop it to be better somehow, its again already zoned for housing so again no need to ask permission as you already have it.
That doesn't mean concreting over the entire country, it just means that whatever is zoned accordingly can be developed or redeveloped at will with nobody standing in the way since the zoning has already happened.
Let local councils determine the zones then stay out of the way after that and just get on with what should be their primary concern of actually running local amenities instead of arguing over developments.
Polling the cross-currents will then become *remarkably* difficult.
Doesn't help getting a 7% pay rise (if you can get one) if inflation is 6% and tax thresholds are frozen so much or most of your pay rise gets taken away in taxes.
Fiscal drag in those circumstances means you're still worse off.
Lisa Nandy
@lisanandy
Welcome to the North of England Prime Minister.
We’re straight talking people up here ⬇️
https://twitter.com/lisanandy/status/1708559398715486303
You want credit for living standards falling less fast than they were, when if the Government made a different choice they wouldn't be falling at all? 🤔
Lets take the rest of the steps needed and go all the way to a proper zonal system and abolish asking for permission altogether if in the right zones.
Then we might actually be able to resolve the housing crisis.
Hence dishonest tax rises (fiscal drag) and spending cuts (local councils).
Besides, fiscal drag is proportionally less painful if you're at the top of the scale.
Real take-home wages are still falling currently, even with nominal wages growing faster than inflation.
They are limited to Council Tax increases of much less than inflation unless they hold a referendum first, which is ludicrous - so the options offered were between no budget increases and 2-3% real terms cuts.
I said that I would support a referendum and an increase of inflation + 5% to improve services / public realm.
However, it's introducing even more perverse incentives into the system. And I'd much prefer it if they simply increased tax rates for higher earners rather than doing it stealthily. Politically impossible though.
GB News
@GBNEWS
·
1h
'The most successful, most dynamic, no nonsense news station, and the defenders of free speech'.
Watch the moment @pritipatel passionately defended GB News to rapturous applause this evening at the Conservative Democratic Organisation gala dinner.
https://twitter.com/GBNEWS/status/1708586667429224543
Matthew Stadlen
@MatthewStadlen
·
21m
A former Home Secretary saying the words “the Tory-hating, Brexit-bashing, free speech deniers at the BBC” is sinister. The BBC strives to be impartial and is attacked from all sides. It shouldn’t be impugned like this by a senior politician.
Mr & Mrs Sunak could make like St Francis, give all (or perhaps 99%) of their wealth away, and take a vow of poverty.
It would shift the needle.
Fiscal drag hurts those working for lower incomes much, much, much more than it does those on higher incomes, as stuartinromford said.
Tax free allowance is proportionately a much higher percentage of a lower wage earners income than it is a high earners income.
7.8% wage growth versus 6.8% inflation with fiscal drag ...
... If you are on a median salary (£25,971) that's a real wage decline.
... If you are on minimum wage that's an even bigger real wage decline.
... If you are earning £150k that's a real wage increase.
⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️
He seems to have a very transactional marriage. I get arm candy - you get a secure future.
Melania just renegotiated her pre-nup for the third time to get a big trust fund for her son it is reported, at the point of maximum leverage when he has been found liable for sexual assault and is about to be landed with $X million in the next compensation round after he defamed his victim.
Good negotiators, these Trumps. Or at least some of them.
But yes- Rishi is what he is and there's no shame in that. And respect to him for taking time for public service.
But his enormous pile of money makes him less effective as a politician. Partly it undercuts his message, but also there are bits of British life he simply doesn't seem to comprehend.
Imagine if May had sent him to be a junior minister at Work and Pensions for a bit. Or some other spending department. Would that have filled in his worldview a bit?
If we take an estd 800 million combined, that makes them worth about a quarter of the Camerons at 1% left.
Make it 99.8%, perhaps. Still comfortable.
Javid is perhaps a fair point.
* there is a special corner of Hell reserved for the late hanger and flogger Waddington. Prior to his political career he was Stefan Kizko's defence Barrister. A defence so appallingly bad that an innocent autistic man was barely defended
https://x.com/alx/status/1707869806043582758
[1] Which in fairness to him is not the same as actually being empathetic. It's entirely possible that he just finds it difficult to show it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ouG9cVhjPds
Chancellor to argue that it is unfair for those on benefits not trying to get a job to get the same financial support as those who do
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/10/01/jeremy-hunt-crackdown-benefits-claimants-look-for-work/ (£££)
The nasty party? The policy looks aimed at the membership with an eye to the leadership election, rather than being pro-business or pro-unemployed.
And Mike isn't telling anyone to get rid of Sunak. He's just noting how poor a PM he has proved, and wondering if it might happen.
This is, after all, a betting site.
Fundamentally, people are much worse off and the government is simply going to run out of time.
Older people tend to be more concerned about immigration and so that's what their stories focus on. Because it sells more papers.
(Or, more accurately, after Blair lifted visa restrictions in 2001.)
Thanks to Osborne they get round it by splitting out social care. Then charge a big uplift overall.
You're aware that the council tax here is the highest for any county (ex Rutland I believe) and all surrounding counties and unitaries are
cheaper with like for like properties (Rotherham and Donny both cheaper than Bassetlaw e.g.)
I checked and it's the county element which is way out of line, not the districts.
The target is for it to be 2/3 of the median wage by next October. In a government that overall aspires to disappointing this is a real success story in terms of making work pay and reducing income inequality.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/01/newsom-senate-pick-butler-00119360
A new survey shows three-in-four voters want the justices bound to an ethics code.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/30/supreme-court-ethics-poll-00119236
Haley draws Trump’s fury after strong debate showing
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4230940-haley-draws-trumps-fury-after-strong-debate-showing/
And possibly the Republican's best chance of actually winning.
The challenge is pulling that off without alienating Blue Wall voters.
Wages aren’t growing!
Oops.
Real wages aren’t growing! 😁
Fuck!
Shit! Umm! Fiscal drag, thats’s it. Fiscal drag!
Real take-home wages aren’t growing! 😁
So what @NickPalmer says is no longer true (if it ever was) LD and Lab seats tend to go the same way at elections. Up together and down together.
LDs sitting on the opposition benches doesn't make them pro Tory.
And a period in government will seriously test Labour's reputation for economic competence.
While they ought to get a bit of leeway for the mess they've been handed, memories are short.
A lot of people don't feel better off, even if average wage growth exceeds CPI. Rishi's problem (going back to the header) is twofold;
1 As a high flying financial spreadsheet nerd, he's liable to look at the numbers and get overexcited. (For example, energy costs may be falling, but the universal bit of energy support is going too. Right thing to do, but it leaves people a bit worse off.)
2 Because he's famous for being a squillionaire, the public don't trust him on personal finances. Doesn't matter if that's fair or not, they don't.
Oops.
There is a perception that he is adding PM to his list of achievements for no particular driving reason. Both Boris and Dave were rich but at least people understood why they wanted to be PM (solipsism and noblesse oblige respectively).
But even now this is something the Government is running backwards on now though.
£10.42 to £11.00 - an uplift of 5.56% is less than inflation.
It's something he could addresed by painting his long term vision and plan for this country, where he wants to lead us.
But he doesn't. So that reinforces that.
Of course, being the fourth party in parliament hasn’t helped the LibDems, or their potential stars.
And yes, it is time to crack down on spongers who never even LOOK for a proper job
Good morning
Labour and the LibDems aren’t in competition in any of the Oxfordshire seats, but nonetheless in four of the five county seats, the LibDems need votes from Labour supporters to get them over the line. (In the fifth the reverse is true.) A LibDem party continually attacking Labour makes that less likely.
Hopefully not too odd.
Gave you several clues.
(Btw the sight of half empty beer glasses in the morning is quite unpleasant.
It's like being forced to breakfast at Wetherspoons.)
Sorry no I’ve been scooter diving with about 50 sharks
Seriously. Absolutely sensational experience. Like riding an underwater Harley Davidson into a herd of tigers
What may save Sunak is that Starmer seems incapable of doing it as well.
Rishi's problem is partly that isn't the mandate he inherited from the 2019 majority. The other is that it's not where the British people are and Sunak can't persuade for toffee.