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Will Sunak’s driving measures be been as a positive? – politicalbetting.com
Will Sunak’s driving measures be been as a positive? – politicalbetting.com
I’m looking forward to seeing the polling on Sunak’s driving changes and I won’t come to a firm view until I do. Maybe this will resonate and the PM will get a boost. Maybe it won’t
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The Conservatives are no longer about winning the next election, they're about saving as many of their MPs' jobs as they can. This kind of policy is all about firming up the base... it's not going to win more than a handful of votes back from Labour.
Why anyone would want to stick around in the Conservative party for the brutal recriminations that will inevitably consume it after the next election, I couldn't tell you.
THE SUN SAYS Well done to the Prime Minister for declaring an end to the war on drivers
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/24211878/well-done-rishi-sunak-end-war-drivers-sun-says/
A Blair 05 result would look rather different on today’s boundaries.
If anyone’s got the figures I’d be interested.
The Tories aren’t really speaking to everyone who drives a car. They’re speaking to people who buy driving gloves.
EXC: Grassroots conservative supporters saying they want to oust Rishi Sunak and "go to war" with the liberal wing of the party
In leaked WhatsApps obtained by Sky News
https://x.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1708164012586737754?s=20
https://www.forbes.com/sites/carltonreid/2023/09/30/by-railing-against-15-minute-cities-rishi-sunak-aligns-uk-government-with-conspiracy-theory-believers/
@__BP__
Somehow it's now official Government policy to stop my Council making sure I have a GP, dentist and shop too close to my home.
What part of surgeries should come from healthcare budget/taxes and not from building houses was complicated to understand?
People need somewhere to live. People also need surgeries. A shortage of one should not cause a shortage of another and vice-versa.
The solution is to build both, and not let either stand in the way of the other. If people need a surgery, build a bloody surgery, its not rocket science. But people need houses whether the surgery is there or not, its people that matter and people need all their demands met. Forcing them to live in overcrowded homes doesn't reduce demand on surgeries or anything else.
Another term for a “15-minute city” is a village: a small collection of housing with essential/desirable amenities (pub, shop, GP) nearby.
Government policy seems to be that villages are woke now.
If that means that houses can be built where they couldn't before, that's a good thing, not a bad thing.
If population grows then build GP/dentist/whatever afterwards if need be. But standing in the way of development so people have to live in overcrowded slums because nothing else is available isn't "progressive".
Sunak isn't doing diddly squat for drivers.
What new roads is he building? What taxes is he addressing?
Simply not being actively hostile doesn't make you positive.
It's now down to about 1,500 per annum.
These facts are not necessarily connected.
Pretty much confirms the Tories are going to be an absolute shambles after the election and that Starmer gets a second term by default.
30% of the vote and 180 seats is better than <20% of the vote and no seats.
To get from the <20% to the 30% he's going to say, loudly, some stuff that really boils your piss.
BREAKING: Jeremy Hunt has been caught in a secret recording during a private meeting with Tory activists suggesting that Sunak will call a general election once inflation has fallen below three per cent - giving the strongest hint yet that a poll will be held next autumn.
A point about GP surgeries; GP’s don’t like working alone, generally speaking. They prefer group practices which, when substantial new developments are built, means existing practices and practice premises need extending.
That also includes extending existing car parking facilities.
Various parking and calming measures are directly painful for these guys, as they are either a time suck which directly reduces the amount of time on paid work (20mph, toodling round an LCN , a ballache (getting clients to give you parking permits) or a direct cost. Council's haven't been great at making exceptions for them, even though they provide essential services(you're not going to put off having your roof fixed to reduce traffic).
He's planning to abandon elections altogether?
Tories cut lead by 5 points ! The country has lost its mind.
Just one question: what the fuck are you talking about?
They are repairing the concrete deck on the inside lanes - might be a risk of something bad happening if someone crashed at the wrong point.
I don't know quite what has gone wrong but you have to suspect that a new bridge will be required at some point soon.
🚨Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll:
Labour lead down by 5 points to 10%.
• Labour: 39% (-2)
• Conservative: 29% (+3)
• Liberal Democrat: 12% (+1)
• SNP: 3% (nc)
• Plaid Cymru: 1% (nc)
• Green: 7% (nc)
• Reform UK: 7% (-1)
• Other: 2% (nc)
https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1708195018249261545
Latest Opinium
@ObserverUK
poll:
Labour lead down by 5 points to 10%.
• Labour: 39% (-2)
• Conservative: 29% (+3)
• Liberal Democrat: 12% (+1)
• SNP: 3% (nc)
• Plaid Cymru: 1% 1545?
• Green: 7% (nc)
• Reform UK: 7% (-1)
• Other: 2% (nc)
https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1708195018249261545?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet
Your post is why the Tories or the right win, because you don’t get that there are large parts of the electorate who want things that you don’t so you attack them as losing their minds instead of questioning whether their opinions should actually be factored in. Same mistake with Brexit. But a winning strategy to demonise the opposition voters.
Nothing will actually be done to improve our roads.
Purely based on this sentiment, I have backed them to lose by less than 58.5.
(I am sufficiently confident of a Scotland victory that I feel I can do this without feeling any sort of ancestral disloyalty.)
Lots of LAB getting nervous now 😈
Pressure off Sunak?
Next time no 10 will send her out to say the boats will be torpedoed and they’ll live stream refugees drowning whilst the stain on humanity does cartwheels overcome with the excitement!
That might even get them even closer to Labour !
We wrote off Labour in ‘92. We wrote off the Tories in ‘01 (lots of take-offs of the “strange death of Liberal England”). We wrote off the Tories ever actually winning another majority in ‘10. We wrote off Labour in ‘15 and again in ‘19.
It never happens. The death of the Liberals was a unique moment in time, in and around the growth of Labour.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/sep/30/rwanda-ambassador-suella-braverman-absolutely-wrong-on-immigration
All the decent sorts, we know who we are, get a pistol with a single round. If we use it reasonably, then we get issues with another round.
Remember Peter Griffiths won the Smethwick by election in 1964 on the most outrageous slogan. Braverman's prospectus was barely a notch down from Griffith's campaign. It will work, but the question is, "to what extent?".
lead.
Magic consequence of FPTP- in a mysterious way, it does factor in the "United right/Divided left" effect.
We already know that added journey time is not very much.
One of the issues with current attempts at LTNs is that Councils make them massively over complicated. and end up with questions around criminal damage and being tricked into an infinite boondoggle. Keeping it simple and overwhelmingly physical restrictions rather than hi-tech is far superior imo.
We have been retrofitting LTNs (ie modal filtering) for well over half a century, and they work fine. We have the robust data that road collisisons plummet as dangerous rat-runners are sent back out of residential areas. We also know that they generally receive local support once installed.
If minor tweaks are needed, then we can do minor tweaks, which is how the ETRO process is designed.
In Chiswick it is becoming funny - the various anti-improvement campaigners are still digging their holes for Australia, despite all their claims turning out to be BS.
Sob.
And I don’t like Liverpool and their fans.
https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2023/09/30/congress/stopgap-passes-00119280
I note another poll has indicated a possible conservative revival but frankly I am not convinced but time will tell
However, I would like to pose a question to those who own, lease or are thinking of buying an EV if they aware sales are falling and in view of the shocking increase in insurance premiums, as per this Guardian piece, it must worry many that an EV is becoming a rich man's vehicle or a fleet vehicle, as few could afford these costs, especially with the cost of living crisis
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/sep/30/the-quotes-were-5000-or-more-electric-vehicle-owners-face-soaring-insurance-costs
An Observer investigation finds DfE tried to cancel conference with ‘unsuitable’ speakers – and experts who criticised state education policy had online posts monitored
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2023/sep/30/revealed-uk-government-keeping-files-on-education-critics-social-media-activity
Plus this...
Oh dear. PGMOL statement: "PGMOL acknowledge a significant human error occurred during the first half of Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool. The goal by Luiz Diaz was disallowed for offside by the on-field team of match officials. This was a clear and obvious factual error...1/2
https://x.com/philmcnulty/status/1708199597888139556?t=RCGNTdlsXo7rMJd1-wHpnA&s=08
Everyone could see it was inside except VAR. They didn't even bother drawing lines. How is it possible to make that kind of mistake?
We are still a long way from their pricing being affordable.
Liverpool will be title contenders this season if they can sort out the discipline. Even Salah at the end getting a pointless booking for arguing just shows that Klopp is losing control of them, or worse, sending them out to be thugs on the pitch.
It's surely the worst-executed sport in the world.
The equivalent of the Corbynites in labour