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Tories edging up with YouGov – politicalbetting.com
Tories edging up with YouGov – politicalbetting.com
Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention (21-22 Sep, conducted after Rishi Sunak's net zero announcements)Con: 27% (+3 from 13-14 Sep)Lab: 43% (-2)Lib Dems: 10% (+1)Reform UK: 8% (=)Green: 7% (-2)SNP: 4% (+1)https://t.co/UWRacu9yKD pic.twitter.com/6BKcXxiFkq
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One caveat:
So far, we're seeing bounce back from a terrible set of polls last week. It all gets more interesting if it continues.
And even if you approve of one or more of Sunak's announcements, they are coming in a messy heap, which feels suboptimal.
Anger at ‘created in London’ tagline on poster of Dennis the Menace, who was made by a cartoonist in Dundee
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2023/sep/26/beano-fans-scorn-uk-government-advert-dennis-the-menace
It's been Labour in the 40's Tories in the 20's for over a year now.
Sunak also is generally closer to Starmer as preferred PM than the Tories are to Labour overall
https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/TheTimes_VI_230922_W.pdf
The only problem with that is that that might make the Tories' target Southern, vaguely Lib Dem-frienfly seats even harder for them, if they bed in with this kind of approach. It started in Uxbridge, and ended far from Eastbourne, for them..
From here the Tories have little or no downside and Labour ditto upside. Personally I expect the polls to tighten quite a bit, and it's close as to whether Labour are + or - 325 seats. I think it's odds on Labour are under 325 seats, and there perhaps lies any value in the betting.
Everton owner received £400m from Alisher Usmanov companies, documents suggest
Exclusive: Questions arise over ties between Farhad Moshiri and tycoon, before he was put under sanctions
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/sep/26/everton-fc-owner-alisher-usmanov-farhad-moshiri
I say that anyone who wants to live in this country will just have to suppress their gay lobbing instincts. If nothing else, it's a terrible H&S problem.
And if that's your culture, then fuck your culture. It's shit.
Remarkable to hear Braverman say multiculturalism has failed. She's a British Home Secretary descended from Goan Indians from Mauritius and Kenya, married to a Jewish husband, in a government headed by Britain's first Hindu PM. What would successful multiculturalism look like?
Very, very few policy announcements ever move the polls. A change of 3% is margin of error stuff. A change of 3% in one poll means nothing.
https://metro.co.uk/2023/09/26/bbc-panorama-special-mystery-russell-brand-dispatches-allegations-channel-4-19557320/
Looks like Auntie's found another wrong'un.
Does anyone see value in Portugal turning them over at the weekend?
Democracy, Rule of Law, Respect and Tolerance, Individual Liberty.
Actually, probably best not to.
I think what Sunak may be tapping into is the small, strongly anti-environmental vote ; it's not big, but it might help in some key swing seats. The only problem with this for the Tories, though, is that, as mentioned, i a lot of people in some of their other sort of key, Lib Dem-friendly often Southern seats, hate this sort of thing, and the LD's may probably make hay with their great record of local campaigning. "Want your rivers and lakes to be dirty, and a government is clear that it doesn't care about pollution, or a warming planet ? Vote Sludge." etc.
Data from the FTSE100 - a list of the 100 biggest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange - has been used to work out the most common background for a UK CEO.'
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-12561907/Meet-Andrew-average-British-CEO-Study-reveals-typical-boss-55-year-old-white-Cambridge-educated-man-earns-annual-salary-4-196-000.html
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-66926284
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-us-canada-66917039
Value loser.
Handicap is at the 23.5 point mark.
Be tempted by the latter.
(One of the ironies of this government is how many of its members are the sort of global elite citizens of nowhere that Goodwinism hates.)
(((Dan Hodges)))
@DPJHodges
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27m
Tell you what, whenever Suella Braverman catches up with whoever’s job it is to manage the UK’s borders, there’s going to be hell to pay…
Go back to the end of August: 30, 29, 28, 24, 26, so average 27.4%.
Nothing has changed.
This is no way a done deal.
The media narrative is certainly that it has, though.
British inequality marches on, while economic performance lags.
Oh, you said No Bels....
That does seem to have been the leading type of perception here, particularly since the Uxbridge vote.
It will be heard by 5 SC judges .
The average CEO is heading a business that looks nothing like a FTSE firm.
I can't find the UK figure, but there are over 200,000 CEOs in America.
Oh, God, this is worse. Second generation Greek immigrant, Charles something, not integrating at all: https://youtu.be/18d79QpyAOc
Chess grandmaster Hans Niemann denies using vibrating sex toy to cheat
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-66921563
I'll spare you the examples
https://www.merriam-webster.com/grammar/alumni-or-alumnus-usage-guide#:~:text=For an individual graduate, an,is the gender neutral plural.
Edit to add: from a compensation perspective, anyway.
Anyway, I thought this was old news. Didn't Magnus Carlsen claim as much about a year ago?
I’m not convinced Labour will get much of a majority themselves but we live in hope that at least the Tories won’t be able to form a government.
In terms of annoyance stakes it’s on a par with Rihannas Only Girl.
Rita Ora is also of Kosovar Albanian heritage. I knew a few when I worked in London. Nice enough chaps.
But no, that isn't an accurate summary of what I think. What you eat and wear, the music you listen to, your calendar of special days, your religion, your attitude to family, to old age, etc etc, these aren't superficial things imo. Where I expect (or maybe 'hope' is a better word) not just incomers but everyone in the UK (and indeed elsewhere) to play ball is on basics such as racial and gender and LGBT equality (if that's what you have in mind with 'deep cultural issues', which I sense it is).
EG if they put ChatGPT in an Alexa Show type device you'll be able to stand in front of it and ask it questions, then it will reply, then you can literally SHOW it the contents of your fridge, and it will advise you what to do with the contents, you could show it photos of potential lovers, getting an opinion, you can discuss your graphic design work (and it will reply with visual improvements you might do), you could show it a face and ask it to do a cartoon version, a Raphael version, or make it animated, and all of this as part of a normal ongoing potentially endless dialogue which can be done in a trillion languages and with access to all the world's information and literature...
It wll be like talking to a weirdly retarded Renaissance-style genius in your kitchen, no one need ever be lonely again
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12560879/British-crocodile-expert-Adam-Britton-51-pleads-guilty-raping-puppies-torturing-dogs-Australian-animal-shelter-luring-pet-owners-Gumtree.html
And there’s the chance that whoever loses could still appeal at the ECHR .
I fear the 2019 Brexit election is going to be replaced by the ECHR . The Tories can’t run on their record so will instead need a deflection from that .
Andy JS predicted Brexit to a tee and he is adding Reform to Con which gives Labour a lead of just 8. HY has come to a similar conclusion and he is adding in DKs. Many on here are also predicting a much improved economic picture. Do you remember the nightmare of 1992? A little flutter softens the blow for the inevitable 5 more years of Tory s***e. Should Sunak be replaced and it could be game over for Labour.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sorZS5RmDCM
People have had enough about banging on about Europe. Anyone who tries to run on that would be a complete turnoff.
People are worried about paying their bills more than the ECHR.