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Trump 12% behind in New Hampshire – politicalbetting.com

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Comments

  • Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    IanB2 said:

    Mauritius is crying crocodile tears over BIOT. Boris is right: look at a map. They are over 1,200 miles away. The Maldives or Seychelles would have a better claim, and that wouldn't be a good one either.

    They want the fishing grounds and hate the MPA around it, which the Royal Navy occasionally police. So if the UK have decided to dance on leaseback then I suspect this is actually about alliance building in the Indian Ocean area. The UN vote is meaningless - people forget the sort of states actually in the UN and how they are bought and corralled by China. Fascinating that it was the African Union that initiated it.

    The base is a strategic one and absolutely needed given China's ambitions to colonise every reef and atoll in the area.

    So it will be kept come what may.

    The Chagos Islands were part of the Crown Colony of Mauritius - so regardless of their distance from anywhere the British themselves considered the territories to be linked until they were forced to give up their control of Mauritius in 1968. At that time the British clung onto the Seychelles and the Chagos Islands. The Seychelles were later granted independence and the Chagossians were ethnically cleansed from their homeland in a Stalin-style forced population transfer so we could suck up to the Americans, the new big boys in the neighbourhood. Most of the exiled Chagossians have ended up in either Mauritius of the Seychelles - so again you can see why Mauritius might consider it their business.
    An utterly shameful affair. Very hard to imagine the white Falkland Islanders ever getting the same kind of treatment.
    For way less than the cost of the Falklands War we could have bought all the islanders farms in the highlands of Wales and Scotland and given them each a load of sheep and they could have continued their lifestyle with better weather if fewer penguins. But, of course, despite what we were told it was never about the people living on the islands, but about the likelihood of oil beneath the seas all around.
    No, it's about them allowing to live on the only islands they've ever called home and choose their own way of life.
    So, quite a lot like the Chagos then?
    I've never said the Chagos weren't badly treated. Nor that they shouldn't return.

    It's the naïve self-flaggelating Britain haters (like you) who I'm calling out.
    It seems to me it is the right who hate Britain, its peoples and institutions.

    Being a patriot doesn't stop me being critical of the crimes of empire. This one within my lifetime.

    The fact that the Chagossians were deported to Mauritius says to me that we understood the islands to be part of Mauritius.
    I've never heard you saying a patriotic thing in your life.

    I'm all ears.
    You have clearly not been paying attention!

    I have often extolled a different sort of patriotism to yours, the English radical tradition that goes back to Pelagius, continues through the Lollards, the folk tales of Robin Hood, the Puritan reformers of the 16th and 17th Centuries, the Levellers, the Diggers, the abolitionists, Peterloo, the Chartists, Corbett, Captain Swing, the Trade Unions, the factory reformers, the city leaders that built the civic institutions of our industrial cities, the Labour Party, Clement Attlee, etc etc.

    "A different sort of patriotism" - in other words, celebrating all the Lefties in history. And only them.

    Patriotism isn't partisan, like you seem to think it is; it's agnostic and about backing your country and people.

    That's why I'd back Atlee in a corner as well as Churchill.
    It's interesting that you see the Puritans, the Abolitionists, the factory reformers and civic fathers (I had in mind Joe Chamberlain and the like) as left wingers.

    If you want a more recent example of a right wing Prime Minister that I am proud of, I would cite Harold MacMillain, who saw the winds of change and liberated the Empire, while consolidating the welfare state, and building more council houses per year than any other postwar PM.
    The Puritans don't fit easily into left or right. They're more like the rulers of Iran.
    The Puritans are responsible for the fact that a lot of British people today walk around with miserable looks on their faces, whereas the same kinds of people in places like Spain, Italy, Portugal are happier, or at least appear happier.
    One thing I've, reluctantly, noticed recently is just how tubby British men are - even the young ones, who sort of hide it with larger polos/sweatshirts, beards and a casual demeanour.

    It seems that young women are slightly better at keeping it under control, certainly to how I remember 10-15 years ago, so not quite sure what's happened here.

    I noticed the exact same phenomenon in France, last week. Paunchy young men. Stats confirm that the French are indeed chubbing out

    They can’t be very appealing to young women. They have smaller penises, lower testosterone, bigger guts, lower IQs, and less earning power - than their fathers and grandfathers
    Of course, compared to all the sad lonely semi-retired or unemployed/unemployable lefty men on here - who have nothing better to do than inhabit this blog for Guardian mutual wanks 18-hourd a day, day-in, day-out
    See what I mean about rightwingers hating Britons?

    I hate Britons who hate themselves and us, and are rather pathetic and desperate about how they go about it.

    This really isn't hard, Foxy.

    Learn it.
    I hate no one, least of all my own people and country.

    It is you with the anger and hate issues. You need to chill a bit and take a bit more pleasure in the beautiful variety of modern Britain.
    I take pleasure in all of it.

    It's just your posts and bullshit that pisses me off.

    If you want that to stop then start talking more about what you love about this country and in a non-partisan way.
  • Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    I am routinely resiled as a Britain hater on here, but I’m about the only poster - apart from SeanF - who thinks the British Empire was pretty cool, all things considered.

    I suspect the die was cast in the 1890s with the collapse of Home Rule for Ireland.

    I think you’re right. Cecil Rhodes was himself a Home Ruler.

    In the end, though, I think that democracy and nationalism are the destroyers of empires. Having these things at home, but not in the colonies, becomes unsustainable.
    Empires in the sense we commonly think about are of course unsustainable.

    But, the US is an “empire” as well.
    Russia too.

    The UK, US, and Russia all “colonised” large landmasses in the 19th century. The US and Russia kept their conquests, though.
    China also. The unpleasant truth is that ethnic cleansing and/or forcible assimilation are the two sure methods of ensuring that conquests are permanent.
    Jacksonian ethnic cleansing is a nasty stain on American history, up there with slavery. And it’s not so obvious to me that it was even “necessary”.

    America did very well to seize California when it did, just a few years before gold nuggets were discovered in San Francisco. For many years it was thought and feared that Britain might annex it.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,647
    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    IanB2 said:

    Mauritius is crying crocodile tears over BIOT. Boris is right: look at a map. They are over 1,200 miles away. The Maldives or Seychelles would have a better claim, and that wouldn't be a good one either.

    They want the fishing grounds and hate the MPA around it, which the Royal Navy occasionally police. So if the UK have decided to dance on leaseback then I suspect this is actually about alliance building in the Indian Ocean area. The UN vote is meaningless - people forget the sort of states actually in the UN and how they are bought and corralled by China. Fascinating that it was the African Union that initiated it.

    The base is a strategic one and absolutely needed given China's ambitions to colonise every reef and atoll in the area.

    So it will be kept come what may.

    The Chagos Islands were part of the Crown Colony of Mauritius - so regardless of their distance from anywhere the British themselves considered the territories to be linked until they were forced to give up their control of Mauritius in 1968. At that time the British clung onto the Seychelles and the Chagos Islands. The Seychelles were later granted independence and the Chagossians were ethnically cleansed from their homeland in a Stalin-style forced population transfer so we could suck up to the Americans, the new big boys in the neighbourhood. Most of the exiled Chagossians have ended up in either Mauritius of the Seychelles - so again you can see why Mauritius might consider it their business.
    An utterly shameful affair. Very hard to imagine the white Falkland Islanders ever getting the same kind of treatment.
    For way less than the cost of the Falklands War we could have bought all the islanders farms in the highlands of Wales and Scotland and given them each a load of sheep and they could have continued their lifestyle with better weather if fewer penguins. But, of course, despite what we were told it was never about the people living on the islands, but about the likelihood of oil beneath the seas all around.
    No, it's about them allowing to live on the only islands they've ever called home and choose their own way of life.
    So, quite a lot like the Chagos then?
    I've never said the Chagos weren't badly treated. Nor that they shouldn't return.

    It's the naïve self-flaggelating Britain haters (like you) who I'm calling out.
    It seems to me it is the right who hate Britain, its peoples and institutions.

    Being a patriot doesn't stop me being critical of the crimes of empire. This one within my lifetime.

    The fact that the Chagossians were deported to Mauritius says to me that we understood the islands to be part of Mauritius.
    I've never heard you saying a patriotic thing in your life.

    I'm all ears.
    You have clearly not been paying attention!

    I have often extolled a different sort of patriotism to yours, the English radical tradition that goes back to Pelagius, continues through the Lollards, the folk tales of Robin Hood, the Puritan reformers of the 16th and 17th Centuries, the Levellers, the Diggers, the abolitionists, Peterloo, the Chartists, Corbett, Captain Swing, the Trade Unions, the factory reformers, the city leaders that built the civic institutions of our industrial cities, the Labour Party, Clement Attlee, etc etc.

    "A different sort of patriotism" - in other words, celebrating all the Lefties in history. And only them.

    Patriotism isn't partisan, like you seem to think it is; it's agnostic and about backing your country and people.

    That's why I'd back Atlee in a corner as well as Churchill.
    It's interesting that you see the Puritans, the Abolitionists, the factory reformers and civic fathers (I had in mind Joe Chamberlain and the like) as left wingers.

    If you want a more recent example of a right wing Prime Minister that I am proud of, I would cite Harold MacMillain, who saw the winds of change and liberated the Empire, while consolidating the welfare state, and building more council houses per year than any other postwar PM.
    The Puritans don't fit easily into left or right. They're more like the rulers of Iran.
    The Puritans are responsible for the fact that a lot of British people today walk around with miserable looks on their faces, whereas the same kinds of people in places like Spain, Italy, Portugal are happier, or at least appear happier.
    One thing I've, reluctantly, noticed recently is just how tubby British men are - even the young ones, who sort of hide it with larger polos/sweatshirts, beards and a casual demeanour.

    It seems that young women are slightly better at keeping it under control, certainly to how I remember 10-15 years ago, so not quite sure what's happened here.

    I noticed the exact same phenomenon in France, last week. Paunchy young men. Stats confirm that the French are indeed chubbing out

    They can’t be very appealing to young women. They have smaller penises, lower testosterone, bigger guts, lower IQs, and less earning power - than their fathers and grandfathers
    And yet they have one of the highest fertility rates in western Europe.

    Scotland, however...
  • AlsoLeiAlsoLei Posts: 1,457
    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    https://unherd.com/2023/09/net-zero-and-the-politics-of-narcissism/

    John Gray on Net zero.

    "Some people might say: “But we’ve got to, we’ve got to show that we’re on the right side, we’ve got to accomplish it, even if other people don’t do it.” I think that’s the politics of narcissism: “I want to feel good.” But in the meantime, you’re wasting resources and you’re wasting time. There is a serious possibility that we’re now in the early stages of runaway climate change. We should be focusing everything we’ve got — not on having an infinitesimal impact on global carbon levels, which would be the case even if the whole net-zero programme was implemented, but on policies of adaptation. And adaptation is not going to be easy. Remember, most climate scientists agree that once human-induced climate change is in the works, it goes on for decades or even centuries. You can’t just stop it. There’s a general idea among environmentalists that we started this so we can stop it. They are wrong. We started it, probably, but we can’t stop it."

    "I’ve said previously we’re living in an age of tragedy. I’m not too sure about that anymore. I think we’ve advanced further than tragedy. We’re entering an age of absurdity. Consider German climate policy. Germany, as we keep hearing, is incomparably more adult, more advanced, more modern, and in every way superior to bungling Britain. But in Germany, the result of their closing down of nuclear and going for renewables has been an increased reliance on the dirtiest kind of coal. Well, this is tragic, but it’s even more than tragic. It is completely absurd.

    And it’s difficult to put these arguments forward because people start shouting at you or they start crying or they say they can’t get up in the morning. I rather brutally suggest: “Well don’t. Stay in bed until you get a better reason for getting up. And if you don’t, well, there we are. Progress always has casualties.”

    This is very negative.
    It's seeming to say that because doing what is necessary to ameliorate climate change is difficult we should stop trying. Maybe just abandon some coastal communities?
    Scientists say that we can achieve net zero with the tools we have already and doing so will stop things getting too much worse - probably catastrophically worse if we get into a positive feedback loop.
    John Gray is launching attacks on people who "start shouting at you or they start crying". Who cares?
    We should tackle the known problems with the known solutions and get the added benefit of energy security with cleaner air at a long term lower cost.
    I think the problem is that he is deriding 'net zero' as having no merit at all. There is obviously some point in having policies that seek to radically reduce carbon emissions. However the structural gains come with the construction of new infrastructure, and probably also now adaptation which is happening at nowhere near the pace it should. The problem he is describing well is that the response to climate change is being turned in to a moral drama that is experienced at the level of the individual, with punitive policies that hit the poorest in society hardest fuelling popular revolts. This is not going to solve the broader problems.

    But isn't the point (made quite strongly in the latest IPCC reports) that the cost of adaptation is likely to be by far the highest of all the potential mitigations - and that there is therefore a simple economic case for reducing the amount of adaptation that will eventually be needed.

    "When you're in a hole, stop digging" and all that.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277

    Farooq said:

    I've never once stopped to wonder how big or small my grandfathers' penises were.

    I sort of think that I'm on the "normal" side of this particular divide, but I really can't be sure.

    I bet you have the tiniest penis on here.

    It comes across with every post that you write.
    No, I am Tiniestpenus!
    I understand from decades of dedicated research that “girth” is more important than “length”
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,249
    edited September 2023

    I am routinely resiled as a Britain hater on here, but I’m about the only poster - apart from SeanF - who thinks the British Empire was pretty cool, all things considered.

    I suspect the die was cast in the 1890s with the collapse of Home Rule for Ireland.

    What’s that quote about Gladstone?

    That he’d spent 20 years studying the Irish Question. But that every time he found an answer, the Irish changed the question?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Eabhal said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    IanB2 said:

    Mauritius is crying crocodile tears over BIOT. Boris is right: look at a map. They are over 1,200 miles away. The Maldives or Seychelles would have a better claim, and that wouldn't be a good one either.

    They want the fishing grounds and hate the MPA around it, which the Royal Navy occasionally police. So if the UK have decided to dance on leaseback then I suspect this is actually about alliance building in the Indian Ocean area. The UN vote is meaningless - people forget the sort of states actually in the UN and how they are bought and corralled by China. Fascinating that it was the African Union that initiated it.

    The base is a strategic one and absolutely needed given China's ambitions to colonise every reef and atoll in the area.

    So it will be kept come what may.

    The Chagos Islands were part of the Crown Colony of Mauritius - so regardless of their distance from anywhere the British themselves considered the territories to be linked until they were forced to give up their control of Mauritius in 1968. At that time the British clung onto the Seychelles and the Chagos Islands. The Seychelles were later granted independence and the Chagossians were ethnically cleansed from their homeland in a Stalin-style forced population transfer so we could suck up to the Americans, the new big boys in the neighbourhood. Most of the exiled Chagossians have ended up in either Mauritius of the Seychelles - so again you can see why Mauritius might consider it their business.
    An utterly shameful affair. Very hard to imagine the white Falkland Islanders ever getting the same kind of treatment.
    For way less than the cost of the Falklands War we could have bought all the islanders farms in the highlands of Wales and Scotland and given them each a load of sheep and they could have continued their lifestyle with better weather if fewer penguins. But, of course, despite what we were told it was never about the people living on the islands, but about the likelihood of oil beneath the seas all around.
    No, it's about them allowing to live on the only islands they've ever called home and choose their own way of life.
    So, quite a lot like the Chagos then?
    I've never said the Chagos weren't badly treated. Nor that they shouldn't return.

    It's the naïve self-flaggelating Britain haters (like you) who I'm calling out.
    It seems to me it is the right who hate Britain, its peoples and institutions.

    Being a patriot doesn't stop me being critical of the crimes of empire. This one within my lifetime.

    The fact that the Chagossians were deported to Mauritius says to me that we understood the islands to be part of Mauritius.
    I've never heard you saying a patriotic thing in your life.

    I'm all ears.
    You have clearly not been paying attention!

    I have often extolled a different sort of patriotism to yours, the English radical tradition that goes back to Pelagius, continues through the Lollards, the folk tales of Robin Hood, the Puritan reformers of the 16th and 17th Centuries, the Levellers, the Diggers, the abolitionists, Peterloo, the Chartists, Corbett, Captain Swing, the Trade Unions, the factory reformers, the city leaders that built the civic institutions of our industrial cities, the Labour Party, Clement Attlee, etc etc.

    "A different sort of patriotism" - in other words, celebrating all the Lefties in history. And only them.

    Patriotism isn't partisan, like you seem to think it is; it's agnostic and about backing your country and people.

    That's why I'd back Atlee in a corner as well as Churchill.
    It's interesting that you see the Puritans, the Abolitionists, the factory reformers and civic fathers (I had in mind Joe Chamberlain and the like) as left wingers.

    If you want a more recent example of a right wing Prime Minister that I am proud of, I would cite Harold MacMillain, who saw the winds of change and liberated the Empire, while consolidating the welfare state, and building more council houses per year than any other postwar PM.
    The Puritans don't fit easily into left or right. They're more like the rulers of Iran.
    The Puritans are responsible for the fact that a lot of British people today walk around with miserable looks on their faces, whereas the same kinds of people in places like Spain, Italy, Portugal are happier, or at least appear happier.
    One thing I've, reluctantly, noticed recently is just how tubby British men are - even the young ones, who sort of hide it with larger polos/sweatshirts, beards and a casual demeanour.

    It seems that young women are slightly better at keeping it under control, certainly to how I remember 10-15 years ago, so not quite sure what's happened here.

    I noticed the exact same phenomenon in France, last week. Paunchy young men. Stats confirm that the French are indeed chubbing out

    They can’t be very appealing to young women. They have smaller penises, lower testosterone, bigger guts, lower IQs, and less earning power - than their fathers and grandfathers
    And yet they have one of the highest fertility rates in western Europe.

    Scotland, however...
    French TFR is boosted almost entirely by recent migrants (as is the UK’s)

    Births amongst native white French mothers are as low as anywhere (again, Britain is the same)
  • Leon said:

    Farooq said:

    I've never once stopped to wonder how big or small my grandfathers' penises were.

    I sort of think that I'm on the "normal" side of this particular divide, but I really can't be sure.

    I bet you have the tiniest penis on here.

    It comes across with every post that you write.
    No, I am Tiniestpenus!
    I understand from decades of dedicated research that “girth” is more important than “length”
    Couldn’t possibly comment.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    One of the biggest contradictions with Britain is that it is consumed by introspection and self loathing. But in my experience, outsiders generally express enormous admiration for Britain. I always struggle to reconcile the two perspectives.
  • darkage said:

    One of the biggest contradictions with Britain is that it is consumed by introspection and self loathing. But in my experience, outsiders generally express enormous admiration for Britain. I always struggle to reconcile the two perspectives.

    Britain, like France, lives in the shadow of a greater history. Modern reality thereby inspires out-of-proportion anger and contempt.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,249
    darkage said:

    One of the biggest contradictions with Britain is that it is consumed by introspection and self loathing. But in my experience, outsiders generally express enormous admiration for Britain. I always struggle to reconcile the two perspectives.

    It’s not especially uncommon.

    To hear some French people the place is a shambles. Likewise many Germans joke at Germany - and especially ridicule “German efficiency”
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277

    darkage said:

    One of the biggest contradictions with Britain is that it is consumed by introspection and self loathing. But in my experience, outsiders generally express enormous admiration for Britain. I always struggle to reconcile the two perspectives.

    Britain, like France, lives in the shadow of a greater history. Modern reality thereby inspires out-of-proportion anger and contempt.
    Very true
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,410
    edited September 2023

    I



    "A different sort of patriotism" - in other words, celebrating all the Lefties in history. And only them.

    Patriotism isn't partisan, like you seem to think it is; it's agnostic and about backing your country and people.

    That's why I'd back Atlee in a corner as well as Churchill.

    I agree it should be non-partisan, and it's natural to support your side in sport etc.. But affection for familiar surroundings shouldn't extend to bias. I wouldn't back my country unless I felt it was right, would you? Say our cricket team was accused of nefarious manipulation of the ball - would you support it anyway, or dismiss the allegation out of hand?
    If the country was in a corner, I'd back it right or wrong as my fellow citizens lives and livelihoods would be on the line.

    In normal times, particularly in national debates, I'd be robust where I disagreed.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,647
    Leon said:

    Eabhal said:

    Leon said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    .

    Foxy said:

    IanB2 said:

    Mauritius is crying crocodile tears over BIOT. Boris is right: look at a map. They are over 1,200 miles away. The Maldives or Seychelles would have a better claim, and that wouldn't be a good one either.

    They want the fishing grounds and hate the MPA around it, which the Royal Navy occasionally police. So if the UK have decided to dance on leaseback then I suspect this is actually about alliance building in the Indian Ocean area. The UN vote is meaningless - people forget the sort of states actually in the UN and how they are bought and corralled by China. Fascinating that it was the African Union that initiated it.

    The base is a strategic one and absolutely needed given China's ambitions to colonise every reef and atoll in the area.

    So it will be kept come what may.

    The Chagos Islands were part of the Crown Colony of Mauritius - so regardless of their distance from anywhere the British themselves considered the territories to be linked until they were forced to give up their control of Mauritius in 1968. At that time the British clung onto the Seychelles and the Chagos Islands. The Seychelles were later granted independence and the Chagossians were ethnically cleansed from their homeland in a Stalin-style forced population transfer so we could suck up to the Americans, the new big boys in the neighbourhood. Most of the exiled Chagossians have ended up in either Mauritius of the Seychelles - so again you can see why Mauritius might consider it their business.
    An utterly shameful affair. Very hard to imagine the white Falkland Islanders ever getting the same kind of treatment.
    For way less than the cost of the Falklands War we could have bought all the islanders farms in the highlands of Wales and Scotland and given them each a load of sheep and they could have continued their lifestyle with better weather if fewer penguins. But, of course, despite what we were told it was never about the people living on the islands, but about the likelihood of oil beneath the seas all around.
    No, it's about them allowing to live on the only islands they've ever called home and choose their own way of life.
    So, quite a lot like the Chagos then?
    I've never said the Chagos weren't badly treated. Nor that they shouldn't return.

    It's the naïve self-flaggelating Britain haters (like you) who I'm calling out.
    It seems to me it is the right who hate Britain, its peoples and institutions.

    Being a patriot doesn't stop me being critical of the crimes of empire. This one within my lifetime.

    The fact that the Chagossians were deported to Mauritius says to me that we understood the islands to be part of Mauritius.
    I've never heard you saying a patriotic thing in your life.

    I'm all ears.
    You have clearly not been paying attention!

    I have often extolled a different sort of patriotism to yours, the English radical tradition that goes back to Pelagius, continues through the Lollards, the folk tales of Robin Hood, the Puritan reformers of the 16th and 17th Centuries, the Levellers, the Diggers, the abolitionists, Peterloo, the Chartists, Corbett, Captain Swing, the Trade Unions, the factory reformers, the city leaders that built the civic institutions of our industrial cities, the Labour Party, Clement Attlee, etc etc.

    "A different sort of patriotism" - in other words, celebrating all the Lefties in history. And only them.

    Patriotism isn't partisan, like you seem to think it is; it's agnostic and about backing your country and people.

    That's why I'd back Atlee in a corner as well as Churchill.
    It's interesting that you see the Puritans, the Abolitionists, the factory reformers and civic fathers (I had in mind Joe Chamberlain and the like) as left wingers.

    If you want a more recent example of a right wing Prime Minister that I am proud of, I would cite Harold MacMillain, who saw the winds of change and liberated the Empire, while consolidating the welfare state, and building more council houses per year than any other postwar PM.
    The Puritans don't fit easily into left or right. They're more like the rulers of Iran.
    The Puritans are responsible for the fact that a lot of British people today walk around with miserable looks on their faces, whereas the same kinds of people in places like Spain, Italy, Portugal are happier, or at least appear happier.
    One thing I've, reluctantly, noticed recently is just how tubby British men are - even the young ones, who sort of hide it with larger polos/sweatshirts, beards and a casual demeanour.

    It seems that young women are slightly better at keeping it under control, certainly to how I remember 10-15 years ago, so not quite sure what's happened here.

    I noticed the exact same phenomenon in France, last week. Paunchy young men. Stats confirm that the French are indeed chubbing out

    They can’t be very appealing to young women. They have smaller penises, lower testosterone, bigger guts, lower IQs, and less earning power - than their fathers and grandfathers
    And yet they have one of the highest fertility rates in western Europe.

    Scotland, however...
    French TFR is boosted almost entirely by recent migrants (as is the UK’s)

    Births amongst native white French mothers are as low as anywhere (again, Britain is the same)
    Are you suggesting that white people have smaller penises, lower testosterone, bigger guts, lower IQs, and less earning power?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,249
    AlsoLei said:

    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    https://unherd.com/2023/09/net-zero-and-the-politics-of-narcissism/

    John Gray on Net zero.

    "Some people might say: “But we’ve got to, we’ve got to show that we’re on the right side, we’ve got to accomplish it, even if other people don’t do it.” I think that’s the politics of narcissism: “I want to feel good.” But in the meantime, you’re wasting resources and you’re wasting time. There is a serious possibility that we’re now in the early stages of runaway climate change. We should be focusing everything we’ve got — not on having an infinitesimal impact on global carbon levels, which would be the case even if the whole net-zero programme was implemented, but on policies of adaptation. And adaptation is not going to be easy. Remember, most climate scientists agree that once human-induced climate change is in the works, it goes on for decades or even centuries. You can’t just stop it. There’s a general idea among environmentalists that we started this so we can stop it. They are wrong. We started it, probably, but we can’t stop it."

    "I’ve said previously we’re living in an age of tragedy. I’m not too sure about that anymore. I think we’ve advanced further than tragedy. We’re entering an age of absurdity. Consider German climate policy. Germany, as we keep hearing, is incomparably more adult, more advanced, more modern, and in every way superior to bungling Britain. But in Germany, the result of their closing down of nuclear and going for renewables has been an increased reliance on the dirtiest kind of coal. Well, this is tragic, but it’s even more than tragic. It is completely absurd.

    And it’s difficult to put these arguments forward because people start shouting at you or they start crying or they say they can’t get up in the morning. I rather brutally suggest: “Well don’t. Stay in bed until you get a better reason for getting up. And if you don’t, well, there we are. Progress always has casualties.”

    This is very negative.
    It's seeming to say that because doing what is necessary to ameliorate climate change is difficult we should stop trying. Maybe just abandon some coastal communities?
    Scientists say that we can achieve net zero with the tools we have already and doing so will stop things getting too much worse - probably catastrophically worse if we get into a positive feedback loop.
    John Gray is launching attacks on people who "start shouting at you or they start crying". Who cares?
    We should tackle the known problems with the known solutions and get the added benefit of energy security with cleaner air at a long term lower cost.
    I think the problem is that he is deriding 'net zero' as having no merit at all. There is obviously some point in having policies that seek to radically reduce carbon emissions. However the structural gains come with the construction of new infrastructure, and probably also now adaptation which is happening at nowhere near the pace it should. The problem he is describing well is that the response to climate change is being turned in to a moral drama that is experienced at the level of the individual, with punitive policies that hit the poorest in society hardest fuelling popular revolts. This is not going to solve the broader problems.

    But isn't the point (made quite strongly in the latest IPCC reports) that the cost of adaptation is likely to be by far the highest of all the potential mitigations - and that there is therefore a simple economic case for reducing the amount of adaptation that will eventually be needed.

    "When you're in a hole, stop digging" and all that.
    The trajectory of systems strongly suggests that once you achieve net zero, even if you tried to stop the process, it would go carbon negative.

    Given that we are in the early stages for using atmospheric CO2 for various things, I think it is inevitable.

    Yes, it will take a long while to reduce to former levels of CO2, but it will happen, almost certainly.
  • .

    Farooq said:

    I've never once stopped to wonder how big or small my grandfathers' penises were.

    I sort of think that I'm on the "normal" side of this particular divide, but I really can't be sure.

    I bet you have the tiniest penis on here.

    It comes across with every post that you write.
    No, I am Tiniestpenus!
    Fascinating that you admit it.

    Again, explains a lot.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,998
    kjh asked: "While not disagreeing with that why pick out Obama as a narcissist? Just interested in what I am missing as nothing springs to mind."

    This famous quote may help answer your question: '“I think that I’m a better speechwriter than my speechwriters,” Mr. Obama told Patrick Gaspard, his political director, at the start of the 2008 campaign, according to The New Yorker. “I know more about policies on any particular issue than my policy directors. And I’ll tell you right now that I’m going to think I’m a better political director than my political director.”'
    source: https://www.aei.org/foreign-and-defense-policy/obama-im-a-better-intelligence-briefer-than-my-intelligence-briefers/

    There's another example at the source.
  • Mauritius is crying crocodile tears over BIOT. Boris is right: look at a map. They are over 1,200 miles away. The Maldives or Seychelles would have a better claim, and that wouldn't be a good one either.

    They want the fishing grounds and hate the MPA around it, which the Royal Navy occasionally police. So if the UK have decided to dance on leaseback then I suspect this is actually about alliance building in the Indian Ocean area. The UN vote is meaningless - people forget the sort of states actually in the UN and how they are bought and corralled by China. Fascinating that it was the African Union that initiated it.

    The base is a strategic one and absolutely needed given China's ambitions to colonise every reef and atoll in the area.

    So it will be kept come what may.

    The Chagos Islands were part of the Crown Colony of Mauritius - so regardless of their distance from anywhere the British themselves considered the territories to be linked until they were forced to give up their control of Mauritius in 1968. At that time the British clung onto the Seychelles and the Chagos Islands. The Seychelles were later granted independence and the Chagossians were ethnically cleansed from their homeland in a Stalin-style forced population transfer so we could suck up to the Americans, the new big boys in the neighbourhood. Most of the exiled Chagossians have ended up in either Mauritius of the Seychelles - so again you can see why Mauritius might consider it their business.
    An utterly shameful affair. Very hard to imagine the white Falkland Islanders ever getting the same kind of treatment.
    "They" - you are British.

    Watch your mouth.
    And I thought it was the left who were policing people's pronouns!

    "Watch your mouth"? Bit early in the day for this kind of fighty talk, no?
    No patriot refers to their country in the third party as if it has nothing to do with them.

    It's a subtle tell. You should use "we".
    All it tells you is that I've lived abroad for much of my working life and even in London most of my colleagues aren't British, so when I talk about Britain there is no assumption of "we" with respect to my audience. If I'm making a purely factual statement about the British state's actions or behaviour I'll refer to Britain. If I'm making a more subjective point about shared responsibility I'll say "we" like I did in the very comment you are referring to. You don't own patriotism - you don't even seem to like much of this country particularly - and you certainly have earned no right to lecture me on patriotism or tell me what I can or cannot say.
    With respect, fuck off, old boy.

    I love everything about this country and my contempt is solely reserved for those who denigrate or undermine it.

    I have a foreign wife and went to an international school. I will take absolutely no lectures whatsoever from you about objectivity or my awareness of other audiences.
    Everything?

    Everything?

    The woke bits? The slobby bits? The bits that want to take your earnings off you?

    Unless you want to argue that they aren't really Britain, I doubt that you, or anyone else loves everything about this country.

    And that's fine, really it is. We all have an emotional connection to this place. Most of us love it. But love isn't in unquestioning agreement with everything that happens. Sometimes that's despite things that happen. And sometimes that love includes wishing that some things were different.

    But a patriotism that doesn't include casting a quizzical eye over the nation can get into the sea. For starters, it's not particularly British.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Hmm. Massive protests are taking place nationwide, in SUPPORT of the XL Bully




  • kjh asked: "While not disagreeing with that why pick out Obama as a narcissist? Just interested in what I am missing as nothing springs to mind."

    This famous quote may help answer your question: '“I think that I’m a better speechwriter than my speechwriters,” Mr. Obama told Patrick Gaspard, his political director, at the start of the 2008 campaign, according to The New Yorker. “I know more about policies on any particular issue than my policy directors. And I’ll tell you right now that I’m going to think I’m a better political director than my political director.”'
    source: https://www.aei.org/foreign-and-defense-policy/obama-im-a-better-intelligence-briefer-than-my-intelligence-briefers/

    There's another example at the source.

    Maybe was was a better speech writer, policy director and political director?

    I think the historical consensus forming on Obama is that he was over-cautious and much of his administration a wasted opportunity.

    But there’s no denying his oratorical skills and his outstanding political (if not personal, by accounts) charisma.
  • .

    Farooq said:

    I've never once stopped to wonder how big or small my grandfathers' penises were.

    I sort of think that I'm on the "normal" side of this particular divide, but I really can't be sure.

    I bet you have the tiniest penis on here.

    It comes across with every post that you write.
    No, I am Tiniestpenus!
    Fascinating that you admit it.

    Again, explains a lot.
    Fascinating (not very) that you can't recognise a joke which explains most of your choleric output.

    Obviously I have no idea of the endowment of PBers, but since the penises (penii?) of your fellow posters and grandfathers are never far from your thoughts, perhaps you have well researched charts that you could share with us?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582
    darkage said:

    One of the biggest contradictions with Britain is that it is consumed by introspection and self loathing. But in my experience, outsiders generally express enormous admiration for Britain. I always struggle to reconcile the two perspectives.

    The USA is the same, with the juxtrposition of the place being horrifically racist, against a massive illegal immigration problem and huge demand from Latinos and Africans to move there.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,998
    The discussion that Dr. Foxy started reminds me of poll findings that I saw years ago. At that time, about half of Democrats thought that the US was a bad nation, with some redeeming features. At the time, few Republicans shared that opinion, instead thinking the US is a good nation, with some faults.

    And the same was true at the time of members of the Labour Party and the Conservative Party; about half of Labour Party members thought the UK was a bad country, while few Conservative Party members shared that opinion.

    It would be hard to consider anyone a patriot, if they think their own nation is mostly bad. So, where do you come down on that question, Dr. Foxy?

    I haven't seen similar polls recently, but haven't looked for them, either.

    (For the record: I think both nations mostly good, and am worried that so many citizens in both don't seem to even see their accomplishments.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,647
    Sandpit said:

    darkage said:

    One of the biggest contradictions with Britain is that it is consumed by introspection and self loathing. But in my experience, outsiders generally express enormous admiration for Britain. I always struggle to reconcile the two perspectives.

    The USA is the same, with the juxtrposition of the place being horrifically racist, against a massive illegal immigration problem and huge demand from Latinos and Africans to move there.
    Isn't this explained by successful countries never becoming complacent, never being satisfied with the progress they have made?

    If we all sat around feeling good about ourselves we'd be quickly overtaken. With the HS2 "mutilation" and sabotage of our fastest growing sector (net zero), you start to wonder whether we have already fallen into that trap.
  • AlsoLeiAlsoLei Posts: 1,457

    AlsoLei said:

    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    https://unherd.com/2023/09/net-zero-and-the-politics-of-narcissism/

    John Gray on Net zero.

    "Some people might say: “But we’ve got to, we’ve got to show that we’re on the right side, we’ve got to accomplish it, even if other people don’t do it.” I think that’s the politics of narcissism: “I want to feel good.” But in the meantime, you’re wasting resources and you’re wasting time. There is a serious possibility that we’re now in the early stages of runaway climate change. We should be focusing everything we’ve got — not on having an infinitesimal impact on global carbon levels, which would be the case even if the whole net-zero programme was implemented, but on policies of adaptation. And adaptation is not going to be easy. Remember, most climate scientists agree that once human-induced climate change is in the works, it goes on for decades or even centuries. You can’t just stop it. There’s a general idea among environmentalists that we started this so we can stop it. They are wrong. We started it, probably, but we can’t stop it."

    "I’ve said previously we’re living in an age of tragedy. I’m not too sure about that anymore. I think we’ve advanced further than tragedy. We’re entering an age of absurdity. Consider German climate policy. Germany, as we keep hearing, is incomparably more adult, more advanced, more modern, and in every way superior to bungling Britain. But in Germany, the result of their closing down of nuclear and going for renewables has been an increased reliance on the dirtiest kind of coal. Well, this is tragic, but it’s even more than tragic. It is completely absurd.

    And it’s difficult to put these arguments forward because people start shouting at you or they start crying or they say they can’t get up in the morning. I rather brutally suggest: “Well don’t. Stay in bed until you get a better reason for getting up. And if you don’t, well, there we are. Progress always has casualties.”

    This is very negative.
    It's seeming to say that because doing what is necessary to ameliorate climate change is difficult we should stop trying. Maybe just abandon some coastal communities?
    Scientists say that we can achieve net zero with the tools we have already and doing so will stop things getting too much worse - probably catastrophically worse if we get into a positive feedback loop.
    John Gray is launching attacks on people who "start shouting at you or they start crying". Who cares?
    We should tackle the known problems with the known solutions and get the added benefit of energy security with cleaner air at a long term lower cost.
    I think the problem is that he is deriding 'net zero' as having no merit at all. There is obviously some point in having policies that seek to radically reduce carbon emissions. However the structural gains come with the construction of new infrastructure, and probably also now adaptation which is happening at nowhere near the pace it should. The problem he is describing well is that the response to climate change is being turned in to a moral drama that is experienced at the level of the individual, with punitive policies that hit the poorest in society hardest fuelling popular revolts. This is not going to solve the broader problems.

    But isn't the point (made quite strongly in the latest IPCC reports) that the cost of adaptation is likely to be by far the highest of all the potential mitigations - and that there is therefore a simple economic case for reducing the amount of adaptation that will eventually be needed.

    "When you're in a hole, stop digging" and all that.
    The trajectory of systems strongly suggests that once you achieve net zero, even if you tried to stop the process, it would go carbon negative.

    Given that we are in the early stages for using atmospheric CO2 for various things, I think it is inevitable.

    Yes, it will take a long while to reduce to former levels of CO2, but it will happen, almost certainly.
    I believe that most of the projected pathways to a 1.5°C rise in 2100 include some degree of net negative CO2 after 2050 (presumably through CCS but I guess stuff like alternative concrete chemistries and large-scale enhanced weathering projects might play a role too).

    Part of the issue with modelling this is that the lifetime of CO2 in the atmosphere is pretty uncertain, and is likely to vary according to concentration (with higher concentration meaning longer lifetime, unfortunately). It's common to read estimates of 400 years, but it could be anything from 200 to 2000 in reality.
  • TresTres Posts: 2,695
    edited September 2023
    x

    Mauritius is crying crocodile tears over BIOT. Boris is right: look at a map. They are over 1,200 miles away. The Maldives or Seychelles would have a better claim, and that wouldn't be a good one either.

    They want the fishing grounds and hate the MPA around it, which the Royal Navy occasionally police. So if the UK have decided to dance on leaseback then I suspect this is actually about alliance building in the Indian Ocean area. The UN vote is meaningless - people forget the sort of states actually in the UN and how they are bought and corralled by China. Fascinating that it was the African Union that initiated it.

    The base is a strategic one and absolutely needed given China's ambitions to colonise every reef and atoll in the area.

    So it will be kept come what may.

    The Chagos Islands were part of the Crown Colony of Mauritius - so regardless of their distance from anywhere the British themselves considered the territories to be linked until they were forced to give up their control of Mauritius in 1968. At that time the British clung onto the Seychelles and the Chagos Islands. The Seychelles were later granted independence and the Chagossians were ethnically cleansed from their homeland in a Stalin-style forced population transfer so we could suck up to the Americans, the new big boys in the neighbourhood. Most of the exiled Chagossians have ended up in either Mauritius of the Seychelles - so again you can see why Mauritius might consider it their business.
    An utterly shameful affair. Very hard to imagine the white Falkland Islanders ever getting the same kind of treatment.
    "They" - you are British.

    Watch your mouth.
    And I thought it was the left who were policing people's pronouns!

    "Watch your mouth"? Bit early in the day for this kind of fighty talk, no?
    No patriot refers to their country in the third party as if it has nothing to do with them.

    It's a subtle tell. You should use "we".
    All it tells you is that I've lived abroad for much of my working life and even in London most of my colleagues aren't British, so when I talk about Britain there is no assumption of "we" with respect to my audience. If I'm making a purely factual statement about the British state's actions or behaviour I'll refer to Britain. If I'm making a more subjective point about shared responsibility I'll say "we" like I did in the very comment you are referring to. You don't own patriotism - you don't even seem to like much of this country particularly - and you certainly have earned no right to lecture me on patriotism or tell me what I can or cannot say.
    With respect, fuck off, old boy.

    I love everything about this country and my contempt is solely reserved for those who denigrate or undermine it.

    I have a foreign wife and went to an international school. I will take absolutely no lectures whatsoever from you about objectivity or my awareness of other audiences.
    You've got to admit, this post positively reeks of big dick energy.
  • Thou hast committed—
    Fornication: but that was in another country,
    And besides, the wench is dead.


  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    IanB2 said:

    kjh said:

    IanB2 said:

    Happy lunchtime, PB'ers... :)


    We need the dog to tell how big the mountains are.
    .
    .
    Your dog is an absolute star. What a beautiful breed . He should have his own Facebook page !

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,582
    Ukraine is now suggesting that ‘dozens’ were killed and wounded in yesterday’s Storm Shadow attack on the Black Sea Fleet HQ at Sevastopol, where a meeting of senior officers was taking place.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/23/storm-shadow-black-sea-fleet-crimea-russia-romanchuk-tseko/
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275

    Rishi Sunak scraps home energy efficiency taskforce
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-66900999

    Oh dear I think Sunaks lost the plot . What sort of message does this send ?
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,647
    Sandpit said:

    Ukraine is now suggesting that ‘dozens’ were killed and wounded in yesterday’s Storm Shadow attack on the Black Sea Fleet HQ at Sevastopol, where a meeting of senior officers was taking place.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/09/23/storm-shadow-black-sea-fleet-crimea-russia-romanchuk-tseko/

    The videos from that strike are pretty astonishing. In terms of terrain that isn't under threat of Ukrainian attack, have the Russians actually made a net loss since February '22?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859
    nico679 said:

    IanB2 said:

    kjh said:

    IanB2 said:

    Happy lunchtime, PB'ers... :)


    We need the dog to tell how big the mountains are.
    .
    .
    Your dog is an absolute star. What a beautiful breed . He should have his own Facebook page !

    He has his own Instagram account, which keeps him busy enough. Especially as I have to do the typing as his paws are too big for the letters on the keyboard.
This discussion has been closed.