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Two decades of Ipsos polling – politicalbetting.com
Two decades of Ipsos polling – politicalbetting.com
I like this chart because its starting date almost coincides with when PB was launched. Ipsos is just about the only pollster able to produce such an analysis because it has been operating in the UK since the 1970s.
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Um, they did hold the seat.
Lying about putting a known sexual predator in a position of authority was utterly corrosive and would have become worse if Johnson hadn't quit.
I spent today trying to buy some venison.
I was offered four halves of carcasses, but when I added it up it was just two deer.
Obviously if you can get away with it and can afford it, you give way to someone half your age.
But for the good of the country, retirement ages have to increase.
This isn’t necessarily a bad thing. When my grandfather was born, life expectancy for men was 52 years; when I was born it was 72. If life expectancies have increased by 20 years, I don’t think I can feel embittered if I have to work into my 70s. I’m still better off in terms of the number of non-working years I get at the end of my life (and indeed in having more life in general). And while the inverted pyramid of people means you can’t fund your retirement with the pension ponzi scheme previous generations relied on, the fact that we are working for longer makes it MUCH easier to save for a pension.
Basically, unless you would genuinely rather be dead, you are better off than previous generations.
Build more houses. Literally millions more houses.
Then the medical industry fucked that up, and suddenly you have hordes of people wanting to live the Middle Class Dream (19th Cent edition) for 30 years - a life of luxury and no work supported by investment in Consols.
Do Welsh voters support or oppose the new 20mph speed limit on roads where cars mix with pedestrians and cyclists? (16-17 September)
Support 46%
Oppose 34%
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1704480530308505610
And I think they'd cut the balls off the stag, so it was a still no fucking eye deer.
I expect most people support that poll question
If the size of the labour pool increases, there is downward pressure on wages. That's not all there is to it, but that's 90% of it.
Throughout British history, the times when those at the bottom of the pile have been worst off* have been when there has been a glut of labour; the times when they have been best off* has been when there has been a shortage.
So a situation in which the lqbour of the world can come here and sell their labour will be bad news for those of us who currently sell our labour.
*Relative to the rest of society.
Your counter argument should be that there is not a finite pool of jobs, and that new workers will lead to new jobs.
I don't think this is true - or at least, to the extent that it is true it doesn't outweigh downward pressure in wages - and the empirical evidence from history would suggest it is not, unless we are in a position like the early USA with effectively limitless land and resources - but is at least plausible.
Unless you are resident in the area the debate is pointless
If Sunak loses and PM Starmer fails to get a grip on the economy the new Conservative Leader may find it rather more fruitful in opposition, at least in polling terms, than Hague did after the 1997 landslide defeat when New Labour managed the economy relatively well
Weds ITA v URU. This could be an entertaining game as teams are effectively playing off for 3rd place in group. Italy by 15.
Thurs FRA v NAM. If France decide to turn up this could be a record breaking score. But as against Uruguay I suspect that France wont try too hard and will win ‘only’ by 40.
"But you don't even live here" in 5... 4... 3... 2... 1...
When you get challenged on the specifics, you always hide. Which means people will naturally doubt the generalities.
You said there are many. It can't be that hard.
“Long-term decisions . For a brighter future .”
Someone pass me the sick bag .
I repeat my request for an illustration of these pedestrian no-go zones.
Imagine Starmer abolished 97% of England's 30 mph zones and see just how many would be deemed unnecessary
It is a daft question.
As Ford's angry statement today said, "Our business needs three things from the UK government: ambition, commitment and consistency. A relaxation of 2030 would undermine all three."
@wesstreeting
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1h
Rishi Sunak is making Liz Truss look competent and Boris Johnson look principled.
Extraordinary.
2 people could do 20 hours each and produce 1000 doohickeys between them and both get paid £x. I wonder what that does to the price of doohickeys?
A week ago they told BMW they were sticking to 2030.
Long term decisions?
If he had the power, the Speaker would recall the house immediately – and he is writing to the prime minister today to express that view in the strongest of terms.
This is a major policy shift, and it should have been announced when the house was sitting. Members with very different views on this issue have expressed their disquiet on the way this has been handled, especially as the Commons rose early last night, so there was plenty of time for this statement to be made.
Instead, the unelected House of Lords will have the opportunity to scrutinise this change in direction this afternoon, when it hears the government’s response to a private notice question on this issue.
This is not the way to do business. Ministers are answerable to MPs – we do not have a presidential system here.
The House of Commons is where laws are made, national debates are had – and where statements should be made.
The reality probably doesn't add up to that. There must be, what, about 4 miles of 30mph roads between the A55 and the beach at Llandudno? So at worst, what could take 8 minutes will take 12. An extra 4 minutes on an hour and a half's journey really us neither here nor there, even if it does feel longer when you're doing it.
Similar driving around it. It won't make that much of a differencein journey times. But it will feel interminable.
It won't save many lives, because the problems aren't the law abiding drivers who drive at 30, it's those who do 50 in a 30 zone. It's another example of "people aren't obeying the laws - let's make harsher ones" that some in tge political class are so fond of.
https://www.google.co.uk/maps/@53.3125996,-3.7652262,3a,75y,324.57h,80.07t/data=!3m7!1e1!3m5!1s6yFPl6km37gq0bhwIdYLJg!2e0!6shttps://streetviewpixels-pa.googleapis.com/v1/thumbnail?panoid=6yFPl6km37gq0bhwIdYLJg&cb_client=search.revgeo_and_fetch.gps&w=96&h=64&yaw=48.43832&pitch=0&thumbfov=100!7i16384!8i8192?entry=ttu
I see footpaths and houses. The sort of place you get pedestrians. If this isn't where you are referring to, please put me straight.
Indeed travel from Old Colwyn to Llandudno and that is the only short 30mph zone with much smaller 40mph, before it reduces to 20mph
What's striking about the Ipsos chart is indeed the relentless downward trend in the Conservative vote share. The Conservatives under Sunak are even polling lower now (at 24%) than they were at the nadir of Truss's brief reign (26%). The general findings of most other pollsters is that the Conservatives bounced back a fair bit initially under Sunak although the bounce has since dissipated, such that the Conservative share has broadly flatlined since November. So Ipsos are standing out from the crowd.