Options
A Biden ad featuring just a Trump speech – politicalbetting.com
A Biden ad featuring just a Trump speech – politicalbetting.com
I’m Joe Biden and I approve this message. pic.twitter.com/TuRZXPE5xK
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
"German Chancellor Dr Ludwig Erhard who watched the match from his holiday bungalow in Bavaria sent a telegram to the German team, describing the match as a "great game" and thanking the players for their great service to German sport."
https://www.theguardian.com/observer/englandfootball/story/0,9565,541570,00.html
Argentina's President to watch World Cup final from home
Read more At:
https://www.aninews.in/news/world/others/argentinas-president-to-watch-world-cup-final-from-home20221218064450/
Macron was in Qatar
William does not have a real job, and is FA president. It also makes a difference that it's Australia, and it's the women.
They are MUCH more into negative campaigning over there. They say it works, but it doesn't seem to translate across to the UK.
Thankfully.
Everything that's wrong with the NHS summed up in a single chart:
60+ year olds being prioritised for organ transplants over working age people. Mental.
LFP batteries are considerably cheaper than the higher performance chemistries (and also more stable, and durable).
A version with significantly better performance would bring the mass market EV much closer, even before the experimental solid state stuff comes to market.
https://insideevs.com/news/682161/one-tries-ii-lfp-battery-almost-hits-energy-density-parity-ncm/
The one day cup is reaching a climax, and in both Group A and Group B it's still all to play for. Gloucestershire take on Sussex at Hove knowing a win will pretty much see them through to the quarter final, with Worcestershire meeting Derbyshire at Derby facing the same equation. The one team that can easily stop one of them is Northants, who face two formidable opponents: (1) unbeaten Warwickshire, who have cruised through the group stage with the ease of a politician in a nightclub and (2) the weather, which if it stays like this is going to see the match washed out. Bad weather may also be a factor at Hove but the forecast for Derby is pretty good. Conditions should favour bowling, so expect a low scoring match, but that again favours Worcestershire who have an excellent seam attack.
In the other group, Middlesex and Leicestershire will probably also be a washout, which would see Leicestershire through to at least the quarters and with a very good chance of topping the table to crown their finest season in many years. This was inevitable the moment I tipped them to be bottom of every competition but it's still great to see.
The Prince and/or Prime Minister should go to the World Cup Final because England is playing in the Women's World Cup Final. You get used to the political tin ear of the Royal Family; I am more surprised Rishi is not going.
Agree. This just looks such an easy win for them, and him. And conversely, a real slight to the team.
So now I just don't know.
Pause.
[runs away embarrassed]
Why, last year they were the only side Yorkshire beat in the whole season.
The French are at the opposite end of the spectrum. I worked in a French office for a bit years ago, and it was a bi-polar set up. If you were working, you were working. Usually in silence and pretty intensively. Then come coffee break or lunch time you stopped working and stopped thinking about work. Then back to the desk and work again. Then home time and forget about work until tomorrow. The sharpest of dividing lines.
I suspect Baldy and "Hatchet Face" (lol) know they would get booed as Ingerland knocked Straya out a few days ago and so don't like the optics.
The algorithm appears to be effectively equalising the survival chances of a 20 year old with those of a 60 year old.
That doesn't seem quite right to me.
Though it is a hard problem, really only solvable by increasing the number of transplants.
1) stability
2) power density
3) power/weight
4) cycles before degrading
5) charging time
6) maximum charge rate
7) maximum discharge rate
..with each other. It is very hard to get all of them. Many such stories turn out to be about massive improvements in one characteristic at the expense of the others.
For the avoidance of doubt, Malcolm, I should state that some of the best fun I ever had at football matches was in the company of Scottish supporters, notably at the formerly annual and now much missed England/Scotland match. Their generosity was as legendary as their passion.
https://www.nhsbt.nhs.uk/organ-transplantation/liver/receiving-a-liver/living-donor-liver-transplant/
Those for child recipients are significantly safer (1 in 1000 risk of death), as they harvest the smaller lobe of the liver.
We do, however, need a good understanding of the rules.
I've always said that to be successful in political betting (and in other forms, for that matter): know the process, know the candidates, know the history, know opinion. With that information and decent judgement, you'll be ahead of 95% of punters.
There is a much higher chance than usual of the wheels coming off one or both campaigns during or after the primaries. Biden is into his 80s and while not exactly frail, nor the image of robust good health; Trump is obese, has a bad diet, in his late 70s. Both are in highly stressful positions and the health risk to each is high. Obviously, the risk of legal problems is also high for Trump.
Knowing what can and is likely to happen if a candidate withdraws, for whatever reason, at any given stage will be important. Despite all I've just written, it will also probably be over-estimated by Joe Public.
https://www.ncepod.org.uk/2011report2/downloads/POC_summary.pdf
It does that by looking at 21 recipient parameters, such as age, disease type and severity, and seven donor ones.
Then it gives a score. The higher the score, the more likely you are to get a liver soon."
Sounds as if age is an automatic uplift, when it ought to be an automatic downgrade.
I would add one to Biden's list, which I have mentioned before, namely the growing investigation in how much he and his family benefited from influence peddling. Given the momentum it has built up in the past six weeks, and that the WH defence line has changed (from "I knew nothing" to "I did not do business"), it has the potential to cause another curveball.
There's a lot of media huffing & puffing as to whether Prince William should go to @FIFAWWC in #Sydney. Consider - flight over 20 hours, security costs to the #Australians & the carbon footprint - he's damned if he does and damned if he doesn't. Stay home sir and like the rest of us, watch it on TV.
https://twitter.com/RoyalDickie/status/1692463868629393546?s=20
And I think we can be pretty confident that the people criticising the heir to the throne/PM for not going would be first out of the blocks criticising them if they did. We see you.
The point about it being a more stable chemistry seems to have enabled lighter weight packaging, which helps the numbers considerably.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-66542193
Lots of abstainers from alcohol in that demographic too I imagine.
"Banks face fines if they breach rules on access to cash - BBC News" https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-66537642
Sure you've thought that one through?
However he also recognises we are in the 21st century and no longer have an Empire. When the Queen came to the throne much of Africa, Malaysia, Yemen, Hong Kong etc were still in the British Empire and she was their head of state.
Indeed Charles would almost certainly have voted Remain in the 2016 EU referendum had he had a vote as would William whereas his mother would likely have voted Leave
I would imagine there is a lot more 60+ people waiting for transplants than 16 to 29 year olds therefore a few taking a long while to find a suitable donor is going to push the average up significantly compared to some of the 60+ year olds taking a while.
Si Fi ref : where are the cartridge style replacement livers and kidneys we were promised? Get up, the lights gone red, unbox the new one (Thanks Amazon!), change over and put the old one in the right recycling bin…
The priorities of this country are completely fucked.
It's a story - you may not like it but it is raising questions and we are only in August 2023. It might go nowhere but it might go somewhere. Who knows.
But what is clear is the polling - if the public thinks he took bribes, it doesn't want him as the candidate. So, if you are interested in the nomination betting, you should be taking note.
Private rents faced by Scots have hit new record levels in a homelessness crisis despite a bill freeze brought in by the Scottish Government to support people through the cost-of-living crisis.
The Herald can reveal that annual rent rises from private landlords have leapt by 5.7% in the year to July, according to official estimates. Two years ago the rise was just 1.3%.
https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/23730760.appalling-scotgov-rent-curbs-fail-prevent-new-record-bill-rises/
It may go nowhere but, if people are accusing Biden on oath of influence peddling and possibly taking bribes, you should be at least considering the possibility it is a risk factor.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winchester_College_football
so relatively unlikely to have developed a passion for it there.
Should be feasible for the whole of England, perhaps some tricky cases in the Scottish Highlands.
IIRC a major factor in decision about timing is severity of the disease, so the person most ill gets a lot of priority on that basis.
Again, IIRC, simply using x years of life would end some medical treatments for old people.
When England won the European Championship and England’s men won the T20 cricket World Cup last year, only selected players were given awards, but it is accepted that the achievement of winning the biggest prize in football means every member of the squad would be honoured.
Last summer the Euros-winning captain Leah Williamson, who has missed the World Cup with a knee injury, was awarded an OBE. Her team-mates Beth Mead, Lucy Bronze and Ellen White received MBEs. Those previously honoured who are also in this team would receive “upgrades”, so Bronze would get an OBE and Sarina Wiegman, the head coach, is in line to be made a dame if England win.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/england-players-to-receive-new-year-honours-if-they-win-world-cup-xv7tqpkvc
It's consequently much less visible compared to TV adverts, but I think it played an underappreciated role in the GE 2019 Tory victory.
I've put it down as a known unknown in terms of the effect it might have on the next election result. Could a tsunami of targeted negative online adverts turn public opinion against Keir Starmer during the election campaign?
One of the things that makes this hard to judge is that the adverts are targeted based on the information Facebook holds about you - age, sex and location for starters. This means I only saw the ads aimed at youngish middle-aged men living in a strongly Remain city, and not the ads targeting female pensioners, or men living in small towns, etc.
I find bizarre the Telegraph's idea that Mississippi is a good place to go and emigrate to.
TBF to baxter his transplants were 4 days apart so presumably rejection first time round, rather than he wrecked the first one.
That's just an assumption, though. I can't otherwise make any sense of it.
They will express an interest in soccer when it is good PR to connect with the masses but not really their natural game. Rishi is much more a cricket fan
1) I think the advert shows Biden's mischievous sense of humour, as much as anything else.
2) Trump is beginning to look like a busted flush anyway. Polling suggests 70% of Americans think these charges show he is unfit to be president. If he is the Republican candidate and those numbers played out, it would be the heaviest defeat in terms of the popular vote they have ever suffered (although I imagine enough states will still vote for him regardless of what he does to avoid the humiliation suffered by the hapless Alf Landon in 1936).
3) That being said, if he still gets the Republican nomination despite all this, where do the Republicans go from here? They will have picked a failure, who was chiefly famous for vote rigging, deeply unpopular with the public and totally isolated from the political mainstream. Will they be able to recover under Haley or Christie to be a serious political force again, or will they go the way of the Whigs?
"Punch out your wife or girlfriend, and you'll be sent here to *be* someone's wife or girlfriend."
In neighbouring Alabama, a former Attorney General, Charlie Graddick, won election on the slogan "I'll fry em till their eyeballs pop out." He eventually lost the race to be Chief Justice to Roy Moore, as he was too liberal for Alabama.
Don’t have much experience of transplants but do of alcoholics. I have a feeling for many of the latter it would be hellishly difficult not to see (if only subconsciously) a new liver as a reason to start all over again.
I was living 1.5 miles from the nearest shop let alone ATM. That was 4 plus. And I was in the relatively well populated Tyne Valley.
Certainly would appear worth looking into.