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Is Rishi Sunak set to be hoist with his own petard? – politicalbetting.com
Is Rishi Sunak set to be hoist with his own petard? – politicalbetting.com
% of Britons who think the government is doing well on Rishi Sunak's 5 pledgesReducing inflation: 14% (+7 from 20-21 June)Encouraging economic growth: 17% (+3)Reducing national debt: 10% (+2)Cutting waiting lists: 5% (=)Tackling small boats: 6% (=)https://t.co/TMGvop8VRG pic.twitter.com/mF25KjL9iQ
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https://news.sky.com/story/inflation-falls-to-7-9-in-bigger-than-expected-drop-12922655
The CBI also expects the UK economy to grow by 0.4% in 2023, firming to 1.8% in 2024.
https://www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre/articles/uk-economy-set-to-grow-and-business-investment-to-rise-following-brush-with-recession-cbi-economic-forecast/
Bush Snr also left Clinton with a falling deficit by raising taxes, even if it partly cost him the election as some of his base went to Buchanan in the GOP primaries and Perot in the main 1992 Presidential election
Like ULEZ - everyone thinks it's going to cost them financially until they find out their car is compliant and then it becomes a non-issue.
Even if inflation does fall (which it no doubt will), many voters will still see their costs rising especially as annual insurance renewals are put up 20% or more by gouging insurance companies and energy bills remain high while utility companies make enormous profits.
When Rishi Sunak says he aims to halve inflation, British voters think he aims to get... (7 June)
Prices to decrease 47%
Prices to increase more slowly 42%
Don't know 11%
https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2023/06/11/deflating-rishi-sunak/
Anyway all those pledges mean not a jot. Sunak is now the motorist's friend. His success can be measured on declining road safety and air pollution. Targets he should easily achieve if he crosses swords with the automotive green lobby.
I have been quite impressed with Sunak of late, but this car nonsense is just absurd, base politics. What a tit!
I do sometimes have my doubts about democracy when I remember this important fact. Half the country is thick
The only interesting thing so far is Hamilton pushing Sainz into Piastri and smashing them both up.
Worse, IQs are declining fast across the West (and perhaps elsewhere). I see evidence of this all the time, now
AI can’t happen fast enough
Wouldn't solve the problem of people not grasping inflation, of course.
Also: that assumes that numbers of voters with the different IQ scores are a pure normal curve in their distribution. Which doesn't make sense, if only because many people are effectively zero IQ (e.g. dementia).
Some small consolation there
It is actually quite worrying reflection on Brits.
Perhaps, like @SeanT, you are blessed with a very high IQ. One can only hope unlike him, you have above average levels of modesty and humility.
Five months to go, what's his likely score?
Technical passes (but nothing to write home about) on the fiscal ones?
NHS queues unshortened?
Boats unstopped?
https://thedebrief.org/new-study-reveals-sharp-decline-in-american-iq-scores-as-the-reverse-flynn-effect-takes-center-stage/
https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/iq-rates-are-dropping-many-developed-countries-doesn-t-bode-ncna1008576
https://www.cnn.com/2018/06/13/health/falling-iq-scores-study-intl/index.html
I mean, you coulda googled that in 1 minute for yourself, but I’ll just take your inability to do that as more evidence of declining IQ
We will halve inflation this year to ease the cost of living and give people financial security.
ARE WOKE PEOPLE JUST STUPID?
That would get the clicks. And it’s not unknown for these vultures to steal ideas from us
A friend once asked why I wasn’t a Pastafarian. I told him that within a century or 2, the Defenders Of Penne would be murdering the Advocates of Tagliatelle. And vs.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/june2023#:~:text=On a monthly basis, CPIH,of 0.8% in June 2022.
But there's universal suffrage nowadays. Gotta look good to the plebs. Gotta do that by appealing to emotions.
What's left is cut waiting lists, reduce inflation, and stop the boats.
Presumably they'll get experts to say in the media before the election that waiting lists have been cut, and they'll fiddle the figures over the preceding months so they can assert with straight faces that this is true. Of course it won't really be true. It will be a lie. Unfortunately I'm not sure that many in Britain have the confidence to say that Our Heroes who run the state health service (oh thank you, thank you) are a bunch of f***ing liars, though. On the other hand, whereas John Major might have got away with wrapping himself in the NHS flag, Sunak won't. So maybe a small pull away from the Tories here. But this is all less relevant than many think, because many in the population have given up hope. Nobody's ever won a British election on health.
Inflation? The published figures bear little reality to people's lives, and so do the changes in published figures, but I guess there's still some mileage in saying the CPI has gone down from 8.7% to 6.2% (or something to do with percent anyway, illustrated by an arrow) because most people don't think hey let's compare that with the fact that the packet of fruit slice biscuits I buy in Tesco's now has four packs of three in it when it used to have five packs of three, but the price is the same.
Stop the boats. <-- This is by far the most important. It tugs hard on emotional hooks for many people, people who haven't got much in their lives other than their white skins. This is how the Tories will win the election. They will stop the boats. And they will make sure they are perceived as having a big fight for a few months against a rainbow coalition of humanitarian types who are trying to stop them. Then they win that fight and romp across the finishing line.
A scientific study on honesty was found to use faked data:
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/07/francesca-gino-harvard-research-retraction/674630/
Part of a much larger problem, which is the reason why it's important for results to be replicated by other groups - something that can be fairly difficult in certain sciences.
LTCM, for example.
And the fact that every healthy baby can learn to read by the age of 15-18 months (and they love it) blows the f***ing concept of IQ completely out of the water. BANG! DEAD!
STEM graduates are generally not any more woke than the average member of the population and they tend to have the highest IQs.
[basks in smugness]
The supporter told him “Every thinking person in America will be voting for you!”
“I’m afraid that won’t do,” Stevenson retorted. “I need a majority.”
A bit stereotypical of you assuming white van man is a tattooed anti-woke hero.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/jul/30/step-to-riches-disused-stairwell-in-london-could-be-yours-for-just-20000
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/blog/2013/apr/09/margaret-thatcher-green-hero
“Since 1946, five major exams that quantify intelligence (including ACT, SAT, and GRE) have shown a steady pattern in which students who choose majors in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics are generally more intelligent.”
https://bigthink.com/technology-innovation/your-college-major-indicates-your-intelligence/
Guess what they master minded?
🧐
I suspect they are not “on holiday”. So: what are they here for?
A lot of very intelligent people in Sweden advocated eugenics in the 1930s on the basis it was 'progressive', as well.
Think. You must always think.