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Could Jeremy Corbyn hand the Tories the London mayoralty next year? – politicalbetting.com
Could Jeremy Corbyn hand the Tories the London mayoralty next year? – politicalbetting.com
Jeremy Corbyn: I won’t rule out running for London mayor https://t.co/KiV6TQO46gThis is annoyingly a smart move if he does it. It's an elected role which is a straight run-off.. who gets more votes, which turns it into a bit of personal popularity contest. Ken won as indy..
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What does 9 stone 9 to 10 stone 3 mean?
Is it 0.4 of a stone? Is it 4 lbs?
You have to convert away how many lbs are in a stone to make the change meaningful, which renders the entire point of using stones redundant.
I can understand why some people still want to use cups instead of ml for measurements, or lbs instead of kg, but stone and lbs instead of kg? It serves no useful purpose that I can see.
Yes, that seems to be the one thing everyone can agree on.
How European baristas and au pairs could return to Britain under government scheme
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/how-european-baristas-and-au-pairs-could-return-to-britain-under-government-scheme-8hxr92jl7 (£££)
Debt-fuelled private equity structure cuts bill from £200m to nothing
Private equity backed supermarkets Asda and Morrisons did not pay a penny of corporation tax last year, as new disclosures shed a light on how buyout firms minimise tax by loading their companies up with debt.
In the decade before they were bought out by their current private equity owners, they paid an average of more than £200 million of corporation tax a year between them.
But since their buyouts, their profits have been reduced to losses, mostly due to hefty interest payments on the new debts loaded onto their balance sheets. As corporation tax is only levied on profits, they pay nothing.
Last year, Tesco and Sainsbury, who are more conventionally financed, paid corporation tax of £247 million and £120 million respectively.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/asda-and-morrisons-pay-zero-business-tax-wdgp9g88c (£££)
DJL's first rule of decoding newspaper headlines: if there's no name, it's a no-name. In this case the "rising star" "Tory toff" is (or was until last night) a local party official who lost when he stood for the council. In a rare display of Conservative efficiency, said local party has removed his biography from its web page (so you have to read the cached version).
The silly boy should have waited till he was in the Cabinet and standing for party leader and Prime Minister before handing round the fun flour. Or icing sugar in the case of Boris.
Tory rising star serves 'cocaine' to party guest on signed photograph of David Cameron
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-rising-star-serves-cocaine-30530393
F1: just looking through things now. Slightly surprised the official site doesn't have a grid, only qualifying results (the former includes any penalties).
Betting PostF1: Hamilton's 4.4 to win. Backed that on Betfair, hedged at 1.5.
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2023/07/hungary-pre-race-2023.html
This reaction makes me want to see the film. Perhaps Barbie and Oppenheimer as a double bill?
Sometimes I think you have to make your own judgements, rather than relying on opposing everything your ideological enemies decide.
Looks even rainier on the other side of the world than it is here in near-antipode Manchester.
The rest of my family probably enjoyed it more than I did, but it was worthwhile.
We're seeing Oppenheimer today, a double bill (Barbenheimer) in one day would be too much.
In 2021, Shaun Bailey got 35% in the first round. That was at peak Vaccine Hero Boris, and Bailey was a better candidate than Hall. (Who has already managed to pose for a stupid photo on the front page of the Standard and caused the Conservatives to complain to London's newspaper, which is never a wise thing to do.)
We're not far off a scenario where the vote to the left of the Conservatives could be split into three equal portions and still come out ahead of Hall.
Okay it is Klaus Barbie.
I give you a thread on AV….
Alternatively, if consistency of voting system is so important to the Conservatives, scrap the proportional top-up seats in the London Assembly.
That said, the Tories should have found a better candidate - where’s their Londoner Andy Street?
policy: for the UK to check out of international affairs and let the big boys - USA, Europe and China - take the lead.
On green crap that means sitting back and letting Biden and the EU take all the net zero investment while we sweat our old assets.
https://idle.slashdot.org/story/23/07/22/2147205/hundreds-of-drones-crash-into-river-during-display
https://youtube.com/watch?t=49&v=kxFwMQs6-Pg
How many times have you been hospitalized with breathing problems?
One thing the poor here in Britain are of course being punished by is our over dependence on fossil fuels and poorly
insulated housing stock. The transformation of our energy market can only help there.
Personally, I wouldn't watch it even with a welder's mask (to cope with the pink-out). But it does seem to be visually meticulously executed.
Edit: didn't Ken and Barbie dolls have a suspicious lack of nether detail anyway?
Not your average "nutters" ((c) antiwokists), those folk warning Messrs Sunak and Starmer.
It is also literally and avowedly about the patriarchy. The plot revolves around Ken trying to create a patriarchy (with horses) in Barbie land.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_Korski
Uxbridge (a 6.7% swing to Labour by the way) has gone to everyone’s heads.
Three basic errors:
1) Weaponising Stupidity and Ignorance will only get you so far. No matter how hard you spin it, no matter how often your media goons shill for you, reality always catches up.
2) Climate Change is undeniable, unavoidable, very literally a hot topic. Hard to shill even to people who started ignorant and have been made stupid that "green crap" can be ignored when they get roasted alive on holiday and then flooded when they return home.
3) "Green Crap" should be hugely profitable. Biden has turbocharged the US economy with it. The UK is uniquely positioned geographically to be both world-leading and globally exporting of "green crap" technologies.
This is why the Tories really do need to be crushed next year. They are a pastiche of the knuckle-dragging morons in Don't Look Up who insisted not only was the asteroid not a concern, but actually didn't exist actually.
“Sir Keir Starmer has said that Labour must “face up” to the electoral damage caused by the Ultra-Low Emission Zone (Ulez) in London.
“Speaking at Labour’s National Policy Forum in Nottingham on Saturday, he went further than ever in his criticism of Sadiq Khan’s expansion of Ulez to outer London, saying the party was “doing something very wrong” if its policies “end up on each and every Tory leaflet”.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/07/22/keir-starme-labour-face-electoral-damage-ulez/
All the things about this version of the Conservative party- older, home owing, graduate light, pro car, pro Brexit- go against the trends in London.
The Uxbridge success was real, but it was also a vote against the reality of what most Londoners want. It has traction in a few bits on the fringe, but that's not enough.
Rory Stewart might have pulled it off, but he and the party have just moved too far apart.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/trump-s-antics-are-costing-republicans-money-and-donors/ss-AA1e0Hpx?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=c08b228a32d04425beb62e0d59a11ec2&ei=56#image=18
Yet @TSE thinks we have time for an AV thread?
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/jul/23/ed-davey-tactical-voting-can-lock-tories-out-of-power-for-a-generation
Davey couldn't be clearer - the opposition is the Conservative Party. I do not expect any formal deals nor will one be needed. Labour will be able to rely on LibDem, Green, Alliance, even SNP votes once in government.
They won't follow a whip or vote for everything. But the agenda is very clear - keep the Tories out of power for a generation. So when some idiots suggest that a seat going Tory > LD doesn't help Labour, they are deluded. Same with Con > SNP.
His mistakes are around implementation, leaving it fiscally regressive, and a lack of listening, persuasion and compromise, three characteristics that are sorely missing from contemporary UK politics across the board.
Most people assume [Starmer] will win the general election, but we have just seen that the path to power is strewn with trip hazards and Labour stumbled over one of them in Uxbridge.
..both these byelections demonstrated, as did the local elections in May, that explicit collaboration between the opposition parties isn’t required to get anti-Tory voters to mobilise behind the anti-Tory candidate who is best-placed to win.
Sir Keir had to scrap his plans to do a victory lap in west London while the prime minister hurried to the seat to proclaim that this proved that a Tory defeat at the general election was “not a done deal”. It has given the Conservatives a scrap of hope and left Labour with some crucial lessons to learn.
Tory campaign literature suggested that everyone in Uxbridge, not the minority with the dirtiest vehicles, would be paying £12.50 a day to drive. “We had people with a Tesla in the driveway saying it was outrageous that they would have to pay,” reports one Labour campaigner. Labour flailed around when it should have crafted a robust response. Rather than take on the Tory attack, the Labour candidate suggested that the Ulez expansion should be halted, a timorous response which essentially endorsed his opponent’s position.
“Their byelection machine was not so smart,” says a Lib Dem campaigner. “When the Tories come at you, you have to punch back and punch hard. They could have fought the Ulez thing.”
There’s another cause for some Labour disquiet. We know that public alienation from the Conservatives runs deep, but there is still not that much enthusiasm for Sir Keir’s party. Between here and election day, Labour has to convince people that it will be both a responsible government and one that delivers change. It is a tricky balancing act, but if you can’t ride two horses at once, you shouldn’t be in the circus.
As you say, the problem is that he is championing the thing, because not to do so makes him look like he isn't wholly in charge. This is crazy - he is a city mayor, of course he isn't wholly in charge.
Getting LibLab voters (including exasperated Tory wets) to arrange themselves efficiently is almost certainly more fruitful as a strategy to get seats.
The sport is obviously as dirty as it's ever been and that should be celebrated as part of its unique sporting culture.
https://www.theguardian.com/weather/2023/jul/22/more-than-1000-people-forced-to-flee-wildfires-on-greek-island-of-rhodes
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jul/22/we-are-at-50-of-the-quota-we-had-boss-of-uks-last-long-range-trawler-rues-squandered-brexit-hopes
Come on the weather, give us a couple of hours of play again.
Edit. I don't know why I said 'unexpected'. Should know better by now.
Sorted.
The problem in London - both inner and outer - is largely with delivery vehicles. (And then to a lesser extent, other commercial vehicles.)
They drive many more miles than private passenger vehicles, and a £12 charge is little incentive to switch a vehicle that you are driving into the ground anyway.
I would require them all to be electric, or to pay £100. I would also severely curtail the restocking of shops during business hours.
Its a lie. Go ask the fishermen. https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/politics/scottish-politics/5342023/mike-park-brexit/
[Edited to make clear that Keith is the ideas vacuum, not @Sandpit ]
2) Optics matter. White (old diesel) van man in Hillingdon can see all the flights in and out of Heathrow on low tax fuel
3) The big changes are about universal regulation of production standards for cars and things - getting better all the time. The big global polluters are dirty electricity generation, shipping, forest destruction
4) Heat pumps won't universally fly. Hydrogen might.
5) Net Zero won't happen. Plan for mitigating climate change
6) Carbon removal and capture is essential or we are doomed. Tell us about it and invest.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/index.html
'Holidaymaker Emma Marsh said: 'We are currently in Rhodes - we landed today only to be told that our hotel has burnt down. No one from the airline informed us before we flew.";
That 90% are not impacted is pretty irrelevant to the electoral damage. These are low turnout elections decided by not that much. The first round gap between Khan and Bailey was 120,000 votes. If 700,000 vehicles are starting to get hit by charges, that will be a big problem. Now of course the Tories are so bad nationally it may not matter but it is dismissed far too casually.
I can confirm it is dry a couple of miles south of that.