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Wagner turns his troops around “to avoid bloodshed” – politicalbetting.com
Wagner turns his troops around “to avoid bloodshed” – politicalbetting.com
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Wagner turns his troops around “to avoid bloodshed” – politicalbetting.com
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That was pretty dramatic.
And anti-climactic.
No idea what's gone on.
But Russia is a shambles.
Ideally of course it would be both.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jun/24/new-windfarm-could-be-used-to-power-north-sea-oilfield
Some Western analysts expressed a cautious wait-and-see attitude toward the sudden reversal by the head of the Wagner private military group. “I don’t believe it until I see it,” said Dara Massicot, a senior policy researcher at the RAND Corporation.
Zelensky.
Putin is weaker. The war is on shakier ground. Wagner is potentially split. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian counteroffensive continues.
Interesting,,
Putin has the apparatus of the Russian state to destroy Prigozhin, but without Prigozhin Putin is in deep doodoo.
Instead of encountering mined bridges over the Oka, it will be the Tweed and the Esk.
"Overall in the latest Opinium poll, Labour has made significant gains. Its lead rose from 12 points to 18 over the Tories in the last two weeks. Keir Starmer leads Sunak on who voters see as the best prime minister by 30% to 22%."
Russia needed Wagner because losing. So unless Wagner go back to status quo ante, Russia has lost. And even in status quo ante Russia was losing.
So this is good news for Ukraine. Unless Putin pushes the button as his last remaining play.
When they met, it was moider?
Or are you a hypocrite?
7:05 PM · Jun 24, 2023
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117.7K
Views
https://twitter.com/Kanthan2030/status/1672667303413182464?s=20
Nice to see you start off with a parody post.
Every single person?
1. Famous last words but it seems like we are in the end game of the war in Ukraine. Reading between the lines, it feels like the Ukrainian offensive is picking u some momentum. More to the point though, the Russian forces are irrevocably divided amongst themselves - Wagnerites vs regular army /Kadryovivites. Such a split will mean increasingly distrust / lack of co-operation and therefore less effectiveness. Moreover - and this may be the crucial part - the destruction of a number of helicopters by the Wagnerites is unlikely to be taken well by Russian air support units who might start "accidentally" firing on the Wagnerites.
2. Putin is undoubtedly weakened and is probably on his end game too but bear in mind that, in the days of Communism, when a Supreme Leader left, often it was a Cabal that took over with a single leader taking time to establish themselves (it happened post-Lenin, post-Stalin and post-Khrushchev). If Putin goes, that is the most likely direction. The axis that seems most likely as of now would be Shiogu - Gerasimov - Lavrov, which I think the West would live with. BTW, Shiogu is considered to be non-Russian so it is very unlikely he would be the next Putin.
3. Lukashenko is the one to watch here. As mentioned before, he has no power base in Russia but he has, in the past, seen himself as a potential President of Russia (in combo with Belarus). One scenario, and following 2, is that he is installed as Putin's successor because he has no power base and with the power wielded behind the scenes. If that was combined with a Belarus - Russia merger, that would be....interesting.
But don't worry, I've corrected it for you.
The current regime has no succession plan so regime change would just be heading in to the dark with unknown consequences.
For the avoidance of doubt, for as long as we need hydrocarbons then we should be aiming produce them here, and minimising emissions in their production is a good thing. We also need to minimise emissions in their consumption. For example with CCS.
Courtesy of Sunil
You tend to get better (not perfect, but better) decisions that way. Maybe you and your chums should try it.
Little girls don't run like cowards.
I thought better of you than that RP.
Labour makes gains and leads by 18 points
Labour 44% (+3)
Conservatives 26% (-3)
Lib Dems 8% (-3)
SNP 2% (-1)
Green 7% (n/c)
Reform UK 10% (+3)
https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1672681034817626112
If he's such a strong leader, he should be making a statement by now.
Either Prigozhin got everything he wanted, and is now the power behind the throne, or he'll accidentally fall out a window soon.
My guess is the former.
@BritainElects
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5m
Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 44% (+3)
CON: 26% (-3)
REF: 10% (+3)
LDEM: 8% (-3)
GRN: 7% (-)
via
@OpiniumResearch
, 21 - 23 Jun
Tory A Team fans please explain
The number of people you have turned? Zero.
In any event, having a non-Russian was fine under Communism given the USSR's structure and declared 'Brotherhood of Man' / unified peoples' schlick (in fact, for the Communists, it was a plus because it showed the minority nations they could have real power and were treated as equals). That is not the case in Russia which is very nationalistic.