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Is Dorries having second thoughts? – politicalbetting.com

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  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 12,789
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    It's probably worthless drivel but I spent a fucking age typing it so here you go

    FPT

    Farooq said:

    The pro-choice lobby are now effectively lobbying for abortion up to the point of birth in the UK:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/13/calls-for-abortion-to-be-decriminalised-amid-row-over-jailing-of-uk-woman

    While they say that abortions post-24 weeks would not be legalised, any woman who did so should not be subject to prosecution. Which effectively means you can terminate the pregnancy up to the point of birth and not suffer any (legal) consequences.

    Quite right too.
    Why would it be right? I'm interested in the logic. I am assuming it is a libertarian argument.

    My argument would be that, given we know foetuses can feel pain etc in the womb past a certain point, allowing such procedures effectively represents the legalisation of torture.
    Her body, her choice. Animals can feel pain, I still eat meat and wouldn't outlaw fishing.

    Life begins at birth for me - and no woman should ever be compelled to carry a pregnancy she doesn't want to carry.

    If there is to be a weeks limit then I would set the limit as where the NHS would/could induce the baby, ie at full-term. If its too premature to induce the birth, then termination should be an option - however unpleasant that is.
    The concept of pain is a tricky one, and I think the religiously motivated tend to make unjustified assumptions about how early a foetus is capable of pain. The external evidence about nerve growth and stimulus response tells one story, but similar stimulus-response experiments can lead people to surprising (and wrong) conclusions about insects and plants feeling "pain". The difficulty we have to overcome is the tendency to anthropomorphise physical responses and assume our internal experience is a good model. It usually isn't. Human conscious experience is not the same as that which would be "experienced" by a fly, a fig, or a foetus. We know that foetuses are endogenously sedated, and anybody here who has experienced "pain" under sedation will know it's a curious experience and certainly not, in my experience at least, deserving of the label "suffering".

    Part of the problem for the religiously minded is this idea of the soul as a model for humanity is because of the sense that a soul is seen as rather like an on-off, a binary. It's either there or it isn't. But such a mental model is very poor map for conscious experience. Foetuses aren't conscious, not in the way people are. And if you have a -- something -- that isn't and has never been conscious, trying to lump it into the same category as a walking talking person is really quite problematic. Ultimately the being-with-a-soul argument pervades this debate even to the extent that people who do not believe in souls end up thinking in unscientific ways about it. A person doesn't suddenly go from not existing to existing in a moment. It happens gradually and one of the biggest inflection points in that curve-of-becoming is at birth.
    And as almost all scientists agree human life, consciousness as well as ability to feel pain starts from 24 weeks.

    Be assured we will fight you secular liberals with such gross disrespect for human life you would abort up to birth every step of the way.
    This is not true.

    I think most scientists would say that gametes are living cells, so there is a continuum of life from adult to gamete to zygote to foetus to baby. "Life" doesn't start at 24 weeks. But lots of things are living: bacteria, amoeba, mosquitoes, cabbages. What is living isn't particularly important to the ethical debate.

    I think most scientists would shy away from claims as to when consciousness begins. That's a hugely complicated question. There are brain structures associated with consciousness that develop around 24-28 weeks, so that's a possible lower limit for consciousness, but most scientists would couch that with a lot of caveats. But animals have some degree of consciousness and we don't give them many rights, so the ethical debate is more complicated than finding a simple cut-off for consciousness anyway. Because there isn't a simple cut-off for consciousness: it's something that develops over time, through to maybe 18 months post-birth.

    The ability to feel pain is... guess what? Complicated. Yes, there are brain structures around 24-28 weeks that may be necessary, although other parts of the system are developed much earlier. We're not quite certain. So, with caveats, maybe we could say the cut-off is around 24 weeks. But, again, animals can feel pain and we don't give them many rights, so the ethical debate is more complicated than finding a simple cut-off for pain.

    Science is complicated. Legislation often has to be somewhat simpler and I'm not saying 24 weeks isn't a good cut-off for legislative purposes. I note 90% of abortions are done before 12 weeks. I also note that the demand for post-24 week abortions is very small and tends to involve very difficult and complicated cases.
    We use stun guns before we kill animals.

    And even them the fact we kill animals for food is no argument for legalising murder

    We use stun guns before we kill some animals.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    edited June 2023
    Trump, speaking after his arrest yesterday:
    "They're not coming after me, they're coming after you and I just happen to be standing in their way and I will never be moving"
    https://twitter.com/TPostMillennial/status/1668791799878393858

    Meanwhile, he’s at 61% in a poll of likely GOP primary voters, with DeSantis second on 23%.
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/gop-voters-see-trump-as-best-shot-against-biden/
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,384
    Ratters said:

    Almost certainly more important to the fate of the govt than Mad Nad

    A brief thread on gilts. Apologies, it's an arcane subject. But the market in government debt, much more than the Bank of England, determines the interest rate homeowners and businesses pay. Today, the yield on 2 year money rose by 26 basis points. 1/6

    https://twitter.com/nickmacpherson2/status/1668711895551946753?s=20

    Yes the Bank of England has admitted to have completely misjudged second round inflationary pressures.

    Markets now expect base rates to increase from 4.5% to 5.75% by year-end (i.e. a rate increase at each remaining meeting, albeit it could be front loaded).

    We're starting to get to levels where we'll see more people unable to meet their mortgage when they come off their fixed term.

    The timing of interest rates peaking and the subsequent pain is terrible for Sunak.
    Yes and no. The primary cause of inflation is not the money supply but import prices, thanks to Covid and Ukraine. At issue is raising interest rates to prop up the exchange rate because a falling pound makes imports more expensive, and not to reduce the money supply. The government's dilemma is that reducing the money supply makes recession more likely and also makes government debt repayment more expensive, as well as mortgages as you say.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,803
    Nothing to worry bout cos they definitely won't work.


  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,008

    Nothing to worry bout cos they definitely won't work.


    It’s Russia basing nuclear weapons there - they are not handing over control. Not sure why it’s especially interesting - you know that Russia has nukes in Kaliningrad?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,014
    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,014
    Sandpit said:

    Trump, speaking after his arrest yesterday:
    "They're not coming after me, they're coming after you and I just happen to be standing in their way and I will never be moving"
    https://twitter.com/TPostMillennial/status/1668791799878393858

    Meanwhile, he’s at 61% in a poll of likely GOP primary voters, with DeSantis second on 23%.
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/gop-voters-see-trump-as-best-shot-against-biden/

    Trump, like Boris Johnson, is learning that the dildo of consequences rarely arrives lubed.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,014
    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,014
    A former Gowling WLG lawyer who shared intimate pictures with an 18-year-old apprentice has been struck off the solicitors’ roll.

    Oliver Bretherton, 41, made national headlines after he admitted to exchanging WhatsApp messages and videos of a sexual nature with his junior colleague. This included a clip of himself masturbating and a request for her to send videos and pictures of her doing the same, the Solicitors Disciplinary Tribunal (SDT) heard.

    The married lawyer, who qualified in 2007, also admitted to kissing the apprentice on one occasion but denied acting without integrity. He described it as a “consensual relationship” between “two willing adults who were engaged in a sexual relationship acting in a particular way”.

    But the SDT heard that Bretherton took advantage of the young woman, known only as Person A, for almost two years.

    Two other former colleagues also gave evidence against the former law firm director, with the tribunal hearing how he had apparently described one 23-year-old trainee as “hot” and “competing to be my favourite blonde,” The Law Society Gazette reports. Another apprentice, 21, said the lawyer had put ice cubes down the back of her dress and commented on her cleavage at a work party.

    In May, the tribunal found 70 of the 76 allegations proved against him following a two-month hearing that will go down as one of the longest and most expensive in disciplinary history.

    Speaking at the time, Gowling WLG said it was “appalled” by one of its former lawyer’s conduct and vowed to support the individuals who came forward with complaints against him.


    https://www.legalcheek.com/2023/06/married-city-lawyer-who-shared-intimate-pictures-with-18-year-old-female-apprentice-struck-off/
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,014
    A barrister has been jailed after trying to buy drugs from his clients.

    Henry Hendron, who has represented a string of high-profile clients including the former MP Nadine Dorries, admitted two counts of intentionally encouraging or assisting the supply of class A drugs and a similar charge involving class C drugs.

    He also admitted a charge of possessing a class A drug.

    Messages on the 42-year-old’s phone revealed that he had asked to buy crystal meth and GBL from two former clients.

    A hearing at Woolwich crown court in London was told that the lawyer was arrested last year outside Belmarsh prison after he had visited one client, Arno Smit.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/barrister-henry-hendron-jailed-for-trying-to-buy-drugs-from-clients-vdxm93ctc
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646

    A barrister has been jailed after trying to buy drugs from his clients.

    Henry Hendron, who has represented a string of high-profile clients including the former MP Nadine Dorries, admitted two counts of intentionally encouraging or assisting the supply of class A drugs and a similar charge involving class C drugs.

    He also admitted a charge of possessing a class A drug.

    Messages on the 42-year-old’s phone revealed that he had asked to buy crystal meth and GBL from two former clients.

    A hearing at Woolwich crown court in London was told that the lawyer was arrested last year outside Belmarsh prison after he had visited one client, Arno Smit.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/barrister-henry-hendron-jailed-for-trying-to-buy-drugs-from-clients-vdxm93ctc

    I’m not surprised he felt in need of drugs if he was representing Nadine Dorries.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,506
    Sandpit said:

    Which reminds me, it’s Fathers’ Day this Sunday.

    Well reminded, thank you.

  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,384
    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,014

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    Nah, she's a horrible human being.

    She's just a Scouse Tom Watson.

    https://www.politicshome.com/news/article/minister-nadine-dorries-criticised-for-tweeting-doctored-video-from-farright-account-attacking-keir-starmer
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,326
    Perhaps Dorries hasn't resigned because she isn't going to resign.

    She only announced she was stepping down immediately because she had to do so to secure her gong. Except that there was no gong, so no need to actually step down from the Commons.

    Under what circumstances would the Speaker allow her to make a personal statement? Lets hope he does because it could be fun - in the House she can say anything about anyone. And as we saw in her Heil piece, she has a lot to say.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,613

    A barrister has been jailed after trying to buy drugs from his clients.

    Henry Hendron, who has represented a string of high-profile clients including the former MP Nadine Dorries, admitted two counts of intentionally encouraging or assisting the supply of class A drugs and a similar charge involving class C drugs.

    He also admitted a charge of possessing a class A drug.

    Messages on the 42-year-old’s phone revealed that he had asked to buy crystal meth and GBL from two former clients.

    A hearing at Woolwich crown court in London was told that the lawyer was arrested last year outside Belmarsh prison after he had visited one client, Arno Smit.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/barrister-henry-hendron-jailed-for-trying-to-buy-drugs-from-clients-vdxm93ctc

    He’s got quite a lot of form in the area - https://www.barstandardsboard.org.uk/barristers-register/28719507B95237D35C7E529721FB5145.html
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,229

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,326
    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    The entire Johnson honours list should have been delayed further. He is about to be eviscerated by the standards committee. Tory apart by Brexiteer Tories for lying to the house over and over and over again. So his list should have remained parked.

    Then after the committee report goes to the Commons, then look at the list. He wants to give gongs to who??? No bloody way.

    Considering the people who made it through the scissors stage there remains a clear and rational argument that party DJ and not-his-daughter et al should also be removed as Nads apparently has been. The list brings Johnson, the corruption party, and the House of Sycophants even lower - if that is even possible,
  • HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    It's probably worthless drivel but I spent a fucking age typing it so here you go

    FPT

    Farooq said:

    The pro-choice lobby are now effectively lobbying for abortion up to the point of birth in the UK:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/13/calls-for-abortion-to-be-decriminalised-amid-row-over-jailing-of-uk-woman

    While they say that abortions post-24 weeks would not be legalised, any woman who did so should not be subject to prosecution. Which effectively means you can terminate the pregnancy up to the point of birth and not suffer any (legal) consequences.

    Quite right too.
    Why would it be right? I'm interested in the logic. I am assuming it is a libertarian argument.

    My argument would be that, given we know foetuses can feel pain etc in the womb past a certain point, allowing such procedures effectively represents the legalisation of torture.
    Her body, her choice. Animals can feel pain, I still eat meat and wouldn't outlaw fishing.

    Life begins at birth for me - and no woman should ever be compelled to carry a pregnancy she doesn't want to carry.

    If there is to be a weeks limit then I would set the limit as where the NHS would/could induce the baby, ie at full-term. If its too premature to induce the birth, then termination should be an option - however unpleasant that is.
    The concept of pain is a tricky one, and I think the religiously motivated tend to make unjustified assumptions about how early a foetus is capable of pain. The external evidence about nerve growth and stimulus response tells one story, but similar stimulus-response experiments can lead people to surprising (and wrong) conclusions about insects and plants feeling "pain". The difficulty we have to overcome is the tendency to anthropomorphise physical responses and assume our internal experience is a good model. It usually isn't. Human conscious experience is not the same as that which would be "experienced" by a fly, a fig, or a foetus. We know that foetuses are endogenously sedated, and anybody here who has experienced "pain" under sedation will know it's a curious experience and certainly not, in my experience at least, deserving of the label "suffering".

    Part of the problem for the religiously minded is this idea of the soul as a model for humanity is because of the sense that a soul is seen as rather like an on-off, a binary. It's either there or it isn't. But such a mental model is very poor map for conscious experience. Foetuses aren't conscious, not in the way people are. And if you have a -- something -- that isn't and has never been conscious, trying to lump it into the same category as a walking talking person is really quite problematic. Ultimately the being-with-a-soul argument pervades this debate even to the extent that people who do not believe in souls end up thinking in unscientific ways about it. A person doesn't suddenly go from not existing to existing in a moment. It happens gradually and one of the biggest inflection points in that curve-of-becoming is at birth.
    Well said.

    To me the whole "24 weeks" cut-off is arbitrary and absurd. A bit like Sunday trading laws. A silly, messy compromise that doesn't really satisfy anyone but most people are content to live with because they'd rather not rock the boat and compromise just sounds reasonable.

    To me logically birth is the inflection point as you say, so while I would find the idea of a 32 week abortion to be utterly horrible, I wouldn't make it illegal. Horrible things should not be unlawful. At approximately 37 weeks I believe the NHS could perhaps offer induction as an alternative, so that seems a reasonable cut-off, terminate the pregnancy but with a live-birth at that stage, but 24 is just a messy compromise. They're never going to voluntarily induce then.

    I actually have more intellectual respect for people who want the practice outlawed altogether, than for the 24 week cut-off. At least they're intellectually consistent. I don't agree with them, but I can see where they're coming from much better.
    The logic behind 24 weeks is that is the approximate age of viability.

    At that point the child can live independently of the mother.

    It seems a reasonable cut off point to say “at this point the child has rights as an independent human being”

    There is nothing magical about passage through the birth canal that imbues any mystic rights
    Neither magic nor mysticism exist, so nor should there be.

    There certainly is something about a babies first breath that is a reasonable point to mark that as when it is born and life begins from there.
    There is nothing magical about a babies first breath that justifies murdering a 38 week old baby
    A 38 week old baby is a baby that was born 38 weeks ago.
  • Almost certainly more important to the fate of the govt than Mad Nad

    A brief thread on gilts. Apologies, it's an arcane subject. But the market in government debt, much more than the Bank of England, determines the interest rate homeowners and businesses pay. Today, the yield on 2 year money rose by 26 basis points. 1/6

    https://twitter.com/nickmacpherson2/status/1668711895551946753?s=20

    Gilt rates are higher now under Rishi and Hunt than they were when people turned hysterical about them against Truss and Kwasi.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,937
    Listening to Trump’s bonkers speech from last night and reading Boris rants about his poor misfortune at being stabbed in the back I’m trying to work out if the pair of them really believe what they spew out or if they are just so completely cynical that they will say whatever they need to boost their own positions.

    Maybe they started out cynical and became deranged.

    Either way neither of them care about the consequences of their words undermining the countries they profess to love and they are both dangerous by virtue of cynicism or stupidity/derangement.

    Strange that they both reached power around the same time and maybe they represent how the world of social media has changed politics so that all that is important is to get that lie running around the world as quickly as possible by as many believers as possible since considered thought has gone out the window.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,008
    A
    Cyclefree said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    Nah, she's a horrible human being.

    She's just a Scouse Tom Watson.

    https://www.politicshome.com/news/article/minister-nadine-dorries-criticised-for-tweeting-doctored-video-from-farright-account-attacking-keir-starmer
    Tom Watson is worse.

    His actions facilitated a gross injustice to be perpetrated on innocent victims, some of whom died before their innocence was finally confirmed and one of whom lost his home and job. He allowed a child abuser to go unpunished for longer than he should have and to make utterly groundless and horrible accusations. He sought to manipulate the criminal justice system and the police for political ends. His apology was wholly unequal to what he did. For an ex-DPP, of all people, to nominate him to the Lords was a disgrace. A black mark against Starmer.

    Dorries is an entitled ninny. Though she does deserve some credit for going back to work as a nurse during Covid. She is a fool for putting any sort of trust in Boris, though. If only she (and many other Tories) had read this from September 2018 -



    Anyway I am off shortly to see my GP to find out what is wrong with me. I know - an actual GP! It's quite exciting to see a real live one in the flesh at last. With luck the news won't be too ghastly. The day here is too nice to be spoiled.
    On the scales of entitled in British Politics, I think she is on about 6.5 out of 10

    Then again, there are some quite extraordinary egoists in politics.

    I don’t see that she has been hard done by in any way. Promoted way above her talents and has had a quite long run in front line politics. She could easily, if she had any gumption, turn that into a very comfortable retirement involving little work and good pay. As many MPs do.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,008
    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,937

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,998
    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646
    edited June 2023

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.

    And the whole lot definitely seems to be sketches by Bozza.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,069
    "The FT is reporting that Dorries might delay her resignation with the suggestion that she’ll try to cause the maximum problems as she can for Sunak."

    In other words, there are Conservative MPs who are aiming to inflict maximal damage to the Consevative Party.
    Hardly fitting behaviour for a national parliament.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,998
    ydoethur said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.
    Oi! Pinching two books at once is not fair, you should pick which papers you prefer and stick to it
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,998
    ydoethur said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.

    And the whole lot definitely seems to be sketches by Bozza.
    Ok I'll give you that one! Very good.
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155
    Don't know if people have noticed this local by election, but it's a great result for my local branch:

    https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1668762813127434241?s=20

    I do wonder how much of the breaking of local Conservative councils will give up an opening to the Greens - not just in nabbing conservationist Conservative types, but also because for a lot of voters in certain seats it is more important to not elect a Conservative at all. This seat used to be a three way tie between LDs, Cons and Greens, has been held by LDs, Greens and Cons within the last 10 years (although it did recently have some boundary changes) and sits within a parliamentary seat that only flipped LD in 2019. In the all up local elections in '22 the Cons went from 30 something councillors to 4 or 5. And within one election cycle the Greens have gone from 1 councillor to 3, with one of those being in the same ward as the LD leader of the council (although he wasn't the LD candidate up for re-election).

    I think we could see a big surge of Green Party councillors in the coming years - especially as Starmer seems to be moving more to the right and the Conservatives do not seem to be course correcting to the centre a la Cameron.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 125,731
    Independent deputy leader of Anglesey council steps down after saying "all Tories should be shot" at a meeting.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65895061
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,416

    A

    Cyclefree said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    Nah, she's a horrible human being.

    She's just a Scouse Tom Watson.

    https://www.politicshome.com/news/article/minister-nadine-dorries-criticised-for-tweeting-doctored-video-from-farright-account-attacking-keir-starmer
    Tom Watson is worse.

    His actions facilitated a gross injustice to be perpetrated on innocent victims, some of whom died before their innocence was finally confirmed and one of whom lost his home and job. He allowed a child abuser to go unpunished for longer than he should have and to make utterly groundless and horrible accusations. He sought to manipulate the criminal justice system and the police for political ends. His apology was wholly unequal to what he did. For an ex-DPP, of all people, to nominate him to the Lords was a disgrace. A black mark against Starmer.

    Dorries is an entitled ninny. Though she does deserve some credit for going back to work as a nurse during Covid. She is a fool for putting any sort of trust in Boris, though. If only she (and many other Tories) had read this from September 2018 -



    Anyway I am off shortly to see my GP to find out what is wrong with me. I know - an actual GP! It's quite exciting to see a real live one in the flesh at last. With luck the news won't be too ghastly. The day here is too nice to be spoiled.
    On the scales of entitled in British Politics, I think she is on about 6.5 out of 10

    Then again, there are some quite extraordinary egoists in politics.

    I don’t see that she has been hard done by in any way. Promoted way above her talents and has had a quite long run in front line politics. She could easily, if she had any gumption, turn that into a very comfortable retirement involving little work and good pay. As many MPs do.
    TBF some ofi her pension will stem from her nursing career. (I wonder, incidentally, if MPs can transfer existing pensions into their Parliamentary one, and whether the Parliamentary pensions are RPI or CPI linked ...). But that will only serve to trigger some of the Tories and NHS- and public employee-haters on here.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,346

    Almost certainly more important to the fate of the govt than Mad Nad

    A brief thread on gilts. Apologies, it's an arcane subject. But the market in government debt, much more than the Bank of England, determines the interest rate homeowners and businesses pay. Today, the yield on 2 year money rose by 26 basis points. 1/6

    https://twitter.com/nickmacpherson2/status/1668711895551946753?s=20

    Gilt rates are higher now under Rishi and Hunt than they were when people turned hysterical about them against Truss and Kwasi.
    In fact, since inflation is lower now than in September or October last year, real rates, which are what matters, are considerably higher. But funnily enough that's never mentioned...
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646

    ydoethur said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.
    Oi! Pinching two books at once is not fair, you should pick which papers you prefer and stick to it
    Stick? Nah. Oi'll 'ave a twist.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,416

    HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    It's probably worthless drivel but I spent a fucking age typing it so here you go

    FPT

    Farooq said:

    The pro-choice lobby are now effectively lobbying for abortion up to the point of birth in the UK:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/13/calls-for-abortion-to-be-decriminalised-amid-row-over-jailing-of-uk-woman

    While they say that abortions post-24 weeks would not be legalised, any woman who did so should not be subject to prosecution. Which effectively means you can terminate the pregnancy up to the point of birth and not suffer any (legal) consequences.

    Quite right too.
    Why would it be right? I'm interested in the logic. I am assuming it is a libertarian argument.

    My argument would be that, given we know foetuses can feel pain etc in the womb past a certain point, allowing such procedures effectively represents the legalisation of torture.
    Her body, her choice. Animals can feel pain, I still eat meat and wouldn't outlaw fishing.

    Life begins at birth for me - and no woman should ever be compelled to carry a pregnancy she doesn't want to carry.

    If there is to be a weeks limit then I would set the limit as where the NHS would/could induce the baby, ie at full-term. If its too premature to induce the birth, then termination should be an option - however unpleasant that is.
    The concept of pain is a tricky one, and I think the religiously motivated tend to make unjustified assumptions about how early a foetus is capable of pain. The external evidence about nerve growth and stimulus response tells one story, but similar stimulus-response experiments can lead people to surprising (and wrong) conclusions about insects and plants feeling "pain". The difficulty we have to overcome is the tendency to anthropomorphise physical responses and assume our internal experience is a good model. It usually isn't. Human conscious experience is not the same as that which would be "experienced" by a fly, a fig, or a foetus. We know that foetuses are endogenously sedated, and anybody here who has experienced "pain" under sedation will know it's a curious experience and certainly not, in my experience at least, deserving of the label "suffering".

    Part of the problem for the religiously minded is this idea of the soul as a model for humanity is because of the sense that a soul is seen as rather like an on-off, a binary. It's either there or it isn't. But such a mental model is very poor map for conscious experience. Foetuses aren't conscious, not in the way people are. And if you have a -- something -- that isn't and has never been conscious, trying to lump it into the same category as a walking talking person is really quite problematic. Ultimately the being-with-a-soul argument pervades this debate even to the extent that people who do not believe in souls end up thinking in unscientific ways about it. A person doesn't suddenly go from not existing to existing in a moment. It happens gradually and one of the biggest inflection points in that curve-of-becoming is at birth.
    Well said.

    To me the whole "24 weeks" cut-off is arbitrary and absurd. A bit like Sunday trading laws. A silly, messy compromise that doesn't really satisfy anyone but most people are content to live with because they'd rather not rock the boat and compromise just sounds reasonable.

    To me logically birth is the inflection point as you say, so while I would find the idea of a 32 week abortion to be utterly horrible, I wouldn't make it illegal. Horrible things should not be unlawful. At approximately 37 weeks I believe the NHS could perhaps offer induction as an alternative, so that seems a reasonable cut-off, terminate the pregnancy but with a live-birth at that stage, but 24 is just a messy compromise. They're never going to voluntarily induce then.

    I actually have more intellectual respect for people who want the practice outlawed altogether, than for the 24 week cut-off. At least they're intellectually consistent. I don't agree with them, but I can see where they're coming from much better.
    The logic behind 24 weeks is that is the approximate age of viability.

    At that point the child can live independently of the mother.

    It seems a reasonable cut off point to say “at this point the child has rights as an independent human being”

    There is nothing magical about passage through the birth canal that imbues any mystic rights
    Neither magic nor mysticism exist, so nor should there be.

    There certainly is something about a babies first breath that is a reasonable point to mark that as when it is born and life begins from there.
    There is nothing magical about a babies first breath that justifies murdering a 38 week old baby
    A 38 week old baby is a baby that was born 38 weeks ago.
    Nah, that's just HYUFD fiddling with definitions again - like suddenly a few Scottish skippers of large seagoing trawlers become the entire Scottish fishing trade, incoluding onshore processing, for the purposes of Brexit and Tory politics.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,223
    HYUFD said:

    Independent deputy leader of Anglesey council steps down after saying "all Tories should be shot" at a meeting.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65895061

    I think context is important here. I have certainly said 'Should be put against a wall and shot' and 'All xxx should be shot' when commenting about some individual or group of people who have done something stupid. It is a saying we use and not meant literally.

    We should all be able to distinguish between this sort of stuff and real hate speech which is harmful.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 74,225
    edited June 2023
    Sandpit said:

    It’s not going to go anywhere, but Rep. Andy Ogles of Tennessee introduced articles of impeachment against President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris on Monday, for the Burisma scandal and the border crisis.

    https://www.westernjournal.com/articles-impeachment-filed-joe-biden-kamala-harris/

    It’s quite possible the Republicans are going to push this in the coming days, if only to distract from the Trump story. As with Trump’s impeachments though, any votes will be on party lines, so the sitting President doesn’t have much to worry about.

    You do know that there a Trump appointed special prosecutor still investigating the Bidens ? Thus far, there's no there, there.

    Which rather puts into context his fact free whines about "Biden prosecuting me".
    When it's actually a grand jury of his fellow Floridians.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,375
    Liz was only ever an idea, badly executed (or rather with one glaring omission), and Rishi was only ever the safe pair of hands after the "disaster" that was Liz & Kwasi.

    At some point the Cons are going to have to reclaim the economy safe in our hands mantle.

    Not sure how this happens tbh.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,416

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,375
    edited June 2023
    Things that are not worth discussing on PB:

    God*
    Aliens
    Edit: Abortion

    Things that are worth discussing on PB:

    Just about everything else.

    (*Although I bloody love it when @HYUFD goes off on a religious one and starts talking dirty.)
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 36,725
    eristdoof said:

    "The FT is reporting that Dorries might delay her resignation with the suggestion that she’ll try to cause the maximum problems as she can for Sunak."

    In other words, there are Conservative MPs who are aiming to inflict maximal damage to the Consevative Party.
    Hardly fitting behaviour for a national parliament.

    Rishi should withdraw the whip
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646
    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Do people turn up to Union matches expecting the younger and more useless cousin League?

    *grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 74,225

    ydoethur said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.

    And the whole lot definitely seems to be sketches by Bozza.
    Not Little Dorries?
    Bleak prospects of the Upper House.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646

    ydoethur said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.

    And the whole lot definitely seems to be sketches by Bozza.
    Not Little Dorries?
    'Little' in my experience Chimes better with Johnson.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,547

    Almost certainly more important to the fate of the govt than Mad Nad

    A brief thread on gilts. Apologies, it's an arcane subject. But the market in government debt, much more than the Bank of England, determines the interest rate homeowners and businesses pay. Today, the yield on 2 year money rose by 26 basis points. 1/6

    https://twitter.com/nickmacpherson2/status/1668711895551946753?s=20

    Gilt rates are higher now under Rishi and Hunt than they were when people turned hysterical about them against Truss and Kwasi.
    Gilt rates are very largely influenced by base rates. When we have a decade of interest rates under 1% it is believable that this might carry on so bond rates are low. Now we have broken free of the very low interest rates future rates are much less certain so a 10 year gilt has to reflect that uncertainty. In other words we are somewhat back to normal although interest rates remain below inflation.

    There were many negative consequences of super low interest rates. One was that most pension funds became technically insolvent because you need absurd amounts of capital to meet the pension obligations. The bounce back in interest rates has massively reduced the liabilities of pension funds which in turn reduces the need for large contributions from employers which should allow more investment instead.

    It is wrong to look at gilts solely from the perspective of what the government has to pay on its debts.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,130
    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Independent deputy leader of Anglesey council steps down after saying "all Tories should be shot" at a meeting.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65895061

    I think context is important here. I have certainly said 'Should be put against a wall and shot' and 'All xxx should be shot' when commenting about some individual or group of people who have done something stupid. It is a saying we use and not meant literally.

    We should all be able to distinguish between this sort of stuff and real hate speech which is harmful.
    On the other hand not saying stuff in public that can be taken out of context and used against you is I would have thought one of the key skills required for a politician. If you can't stop yourself saying things like X should be shot, even in jest, you're probably not cut out for that line of work. This is one reason why I would never go into politics, BTW, since I quite enjoy saying outrageous things for humorous effect once in a while but I appreciate this is incompatible with a role in public life, especially these days.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,122

    ydoethur said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.

    And the whole lot definitely seems to be sketches by Bozza.
    Not Little Dorries?
    Is Nad the Woman in White?

    I did ask yesterday, when all the LD’s on here were ringing round the AirB&B’s in Mid Beds, whether she’d actually resigned yet.

    Bright, sunny but breezy here this morning!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,014
    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Why not, the reverse literally happened when rugby was created?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,008

    ydoethur said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.

    And the whole lot definitely seems to be sketches by Bozza.
    Not Little Dorries?
    Given the way this is dragging on, it is not shot using that some are taking a Jarndyce’d view of the matter. Jarndyce’d squared, to be honest.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,375
    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Israel the Eurovision Song Contest.

    IRMC.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,014
    edited June 2023
    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Do people turn up to Union matches expecting the younger and more useless cousin League?

    *grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
    League has that big girl's blouse fifth tackle rule.

    Whereas today is the 20th anniversary of this memorable quote, which sums up the brilliance of union.

    https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2003/jun/15/rugbyunion.newzealandrugbyunionteam


  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646

    ydoethur said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.

    And the whole lot definitely seems to be sketches by Bozza.
    Not Little Dorries?
    Is Nad the Woman in White?

    I did ask yesterday, when all the LD’s on here were ringing round the AirB&B’s in Mid Beds, whether she’d actually resigned yet.

    Bright, sunny but breezy here this morning!
    Sunak is certainly no longer Johnson and Dorries' Mutual Friend.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,042

    HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    It's probably worthless drivel but I spent a fucking age typing it so here you go

    FPT

    Farooq said:

    The pro-choice lobby are now effectively lobbying for abortion up to the point of birth in the UK:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/13/calls-for-abortion-to-be-decriminalised-amid-row-over-jailing-of-uk-woman

    While they say that abortions post-24 weeks would not be legalised, any woman who did so should not be subject to prosecution. Which effectively means you can terminate the pregnancy up to the point of birth and not suffer any (legal) consequences.

    Quite right too.
    Why would it be right? I'm interested in the logic. I am assuming it is a libertarian argument.

    My argument would be that, given we know foetuses can feel pain etc in the womb past a certain point, allowing such procedures effectively represents the legalisation of torture.
    Her body, her choice. Animals can feel pain, I still eat meat and wouldn't outlaw fishing.

    Life begins at birth for me - and no woman should ever be compelled to carry a pregnancy she doesn't want to carry.

    If there is to be a weeks limit then I would set the limit as where the NHS would/could induce the baby, ie at full-term. If its too premature to induce the birth, then termination should be an option - however unpleasant that is.
    The concept of pain is a tricky one, and I think the religiously motivated tend to make unjustified assumptions about how early a foetus is capable of pain. The external evidence about nerve growth and stimulus response tells one story, but similar stimulus-response experiments can lead people to surprising (and wrong) conclusions about insects and plants feeling "pain". The difficulty we have to overcome is the tendency to anthropomorphise physical responses and assume our internal experience is a good model. It usually isn't. Human conscious experience is not the same as that which would be "experienced" by a fly, a fig, or a foetus. We know that foetuses are endogenously sedated, and anybody here who has experienced "pain" under sedation will know it's a curious experience and certainly not, in my experience at least, deserving of the label "suffering".

    Part of the problem for the religiously minded is this idea of the soul as a model for humanity is because of the sense that a soul is seen as rather like an on-off, a binary. It's either there or it isn't. But such a mental model is very poor map for conscious experience. Foetuses aren't conscious, not in the way people are. And if you have a -- something -- that isn't and has never been conscious, trying to lump it into the same category as a walking talking person is really quite problematic. Ultimately the being-with-a-soul argument pervades this debate even to the extent that people who do not believe in souls end up thinking in unscientific ways about it. A person doesn't suddenly go from not existing to existing in a moment. It happens gradually and one of the biggest inflection points in that curve-of-becoming is at birth.
    Well said.

    To me the whole "24 weeks" cut-off is arbitrary and absurd. A bit like Sunday trading laws. A silly, messy compromise that doesn't really satisfy anyone but most people are content to live with because they'd rather not rock the boat and compromise just sounds reasonable.

    To me logically birth is the inflection point as you say, so while I would find the idea of a 32 week abortion to be utterly horrible, I wouldn't make it illegal. Horrible things should not be unlawful. At approximately 37 weeks I believe the NHS could perhaps offer induction as an alternative, so that seems a reasonable cut-off, terminate the pregnancy but with a live-birth at that stage, but 24 is just a messy compromise. They're never going to voluntarily induce then.

    I actually have more intellectual respect for people who want the practice outlawed altogether, than for the 24 week cut-off. At least they're intellectually consistent. I don't agree with them, but I can see where they're coming from much better.
    The logic behind 24 weeks is that is the approximate age of viability.

    At that point the child can live independently of the mother.

    It seems a reasonable cut off point to say “at this point the child has rights as an independent human being”

    There is nothing magical about passage through the birth canal that imbues any mystic rights
    Neither magic nor mysticism exist, so nor should there be.

    There certainly is something about a babies first breath that is a reasonable point to mark that as when it is born and life begins from there.
    There is nothing magical about a babies first breath that justifies murdering a 38 week old baby
    So why does the God you worship cause so many miscarriages?
    It’s rather unpleasant that you are trying to make a cheap debating point from something as tragic as a miscarriage

    But they occur naturally when pregnancies are non viable
    If your God exists, why doesn't He act to prevent them?
    Because He sets the framework and doesn’t intervene at the point of demand.

    It’s the same question - how can God allow earthquakes? They are a natural event based on movement of tectonic plates. I’m sure there is a good scientific reason why tectonic plates work in the way they do, but that’s beyond my Ken (I just have faith in science)
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Do people turn up to Union matches expecting the younger and more useless cousin League?

    *grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
    League has that big girl's blouse fifth tackle rule.

    Whereas today is the 20th anniversary of this memorable quote, which sums up the brilliance of union.


    I'm surprised to find you quoting Johnson.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,109
    TOPPING said:

    Things that are not worth discussing on PB:

    God*
    Aliens
    Edit: Abortion

    Things that are worth discussing on PB:

    Just about everything else.

    (*Although I bloody love it when @HYUFD goes off on a religious one and starts talking dirty.)

    'God' superfluous there? Coming under 'aliens' due to being not of this world, unless He really does live in his own county, of course :smile:
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,014

    HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    It's probably worthless drivel but I spent a fucking age typing it so here you go

    FPT

    Farooq said:

    The pro-choice lobby are now effectively lobbying for abortion up to the point of birth in the UK:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/13/calls-for-abortion-to-be-decriminalised-amid-row-over-jailing-of-uk-woman

    While they say that abortions post-24 weeks would not be legalised, any woman who did so should not be subject to prosecution. Which effectively means you can terminate the pregnancy up to the point of birth and not suffer any (legal) consequences.

    Quite right too.
    Why would it be right? I'm interested in the logic. I am assuming it is a libertarian argument.

    My argument would be that, given we know foetuses can feel pain etc in the womb past a certain point, allowing such procedures effectively represents the legalisation of torture.
    Her body, her choice. Animals can feel pain, I still eat meat and wouldn't outlaw fishing.

    Life begins at birth for me - and no woman should ever be compelled to carry a pregnancy she doesn't want to carry.

    If there is to be a weeks limit then I would set the limit as where the NHS would/could induce the baby, ie at full-term. If its too premature to induce the birth, then termination should be an option - however unpleasant that is.
    The concept of pain is a tricky one, and I think the religiously motivated tend to make unjustified assumptions about how early a foetus is capable of pain. The external evidence about nerve growth and stimulus response tells one story, but similar stimulus-response experiments can lead people to surprising (and wrong) conclusions about insects and plants feeling "pain". The difficulty we have to overcome is the tendency to anthropomorphise physical responses and assume our internal experience is a good model. It usually isn't. Human conscious experience is not the same as that which would be "experienced" by a fly, a fig, or a foetus. We know that foetuses are endogenously sedated, and anybody here who has experienced "pain" under sedation will know it's a curious experience and certainly not, in my experience at least, deserving of the label "suffering".

    Part of the problem for the religiously minded is this idea of the soul as a model for humanity is because of the sense that a soul is seen as rather like an on-off, a binary. It's either there or it isn't. But such a mental model is very poor map for conscious experience. Foetuses aren't conscious, not in the way people are. And if you have a -- something -- that isn't and has never been conscious, trying to lump it into the same category as a walking talking person is really quite problematic. Ultimately the being-with-a-soul argument pervades this debate even to the extent that people who do not believe in souls end up thinking in unscientific ways about it. A person doesn't suddenly go from not existing to existing in a moment. It happens gradually and one of the biggest inflection points in that curve-of-becoming is at birth.
    Well said.

    To me the whole "24 weeks" cut-off is arbitrary and absurd. A bit like Sunday trading laws. A silly, messy compromise that doesn't really satisfy anyone but most people are content to live with because they'd rather not rock the boat and compromise just sounds reasonable.

    To me logically birth is the inflection point as you say, so while I would find the idea of a 32 week abortion to be utterly horrible, I wouldn't make it illegal. Horrible things should not be unlawful. At approximately 37 weeks I believe the NHS could perhaps offer induction as an alternative, so that seems a reasonable cut-off, terminate the pregnancy but with a live-birth at that stage, but 24 is just a messy compromise. They're never going to voluntarily induce then.

    I actually have more intellectual respect for people who want the practice outlawed altogether, than for the 24 week cut-off. At least they're intellectually consistent. I don't agree with them, but I can see where they're coming from much better.
    The logic behind 24 weeks is that is the approximate age of viability.

    At that point the child can live independently of the mother.

    It seems a reasonable cut off point to say “at this point the child has rights as an independent human being”

    There is nothing magical about passage through the birth canal that imbues any mystic rights
    Neither magic nor mysticism exist, so nor should there be.

    There certainly is something about a babies first breath that is a reasonable point to mark that as when it is born and life begins from there.
    There is nothing magical about a babies first breath that justifies murdering a 38 week old baby
    So why does the God you worship cause so many miscarriages?
    It’s rather unpleasant that you are trying to make a cheap debating point from something as tragic as a miscarriage

    But they occur naturally when pregnancies are non viable
    If your God exists, why doesn't He act to prevent them?
    Because He sets the framework and doesn’t intervene at the point of demand.

    It’s the same question - how can God allow earthquakes? They are a natural event based on movement of tectonic plates. I’m sure there is a good scientific reason why tectonic plates work in the way they do, but that’s beyond my Ken (I just have faith in science)
    So why did God intervene and free the Israelites from the bondage of slavery in Egypt but didn't intervene in the holocaust?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,122
    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Do people turn up to Union matches expecting the younger and more useless cousin League?

    *grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
    All right, I tackle this.
    Anyone who does so is missing a fast, often open, game and instead watching a slower, maul and scrum-infested game.
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,836
    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Independent deputy leader of Anglesey council steps down after saying "all Tories should be shot" at a meeting.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65895061

    I think context is important here. I have certainly said 'Should be put against a wall and shot' and 'All xxx should be shot' when commenting about some individual or group of people who have done something stupid. It is a saying we use and not meant literally.

    We should all be able to distinguish between this sort of stuff and real hate speech which is harmful.
    its a pretty juvenile thing to say though for a deputy council leader so just on that he seems not up to the job
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,042
    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    It's probably worthless drivel but I spent a fucking age typing it so here you go

    FPT

    Farooq said:

    The pro-choice lobby are now effectively lobbying for abortion up to the point of birth in the UK:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/13/calls-for-abortion-to-be-decriminalised-amid-row-over-jailing-of-uk-woman

    While they say that abortions post-24 weeks would not be legalised, any woman who did so should not be subject to prosecution. Which effectively means you can terminate the pregnancy up to the point of birth and not suffer any (legal) consequences.

    Quite right too.
    Why would it be right? I'm interested in the logic. I am assuming it is a libertarian argument.

    My argument would be that, given we know foetuses can feel pain etc in the womb past a certain point, allowing such procedures effectively represents the legalisation of torture.
    Her body, her choice. Animals can feel pain, I still eat meat and wouldn't outlaw fishing.

    Life begins at birth for me - and no woman should ever be compelled to carry a pregnancy she doesn't want to carry.

    If there is to be a weeks limit then I would set the limit as where the NHS would/could induce the baby, ie at full-term. If its too premature to induce the birth, then termination should be an option - however unpleasant that is.
    The concept of pain is a tricky one, and I think the religiously motivated tend to make unjustified assumptions about how early a foetus is capable of pain. The external evidence about nerve growth and stimulus response tells one story, but similar stimulus-response experiments can lead people to surprising (and wrong) conclusions about insects and plants feeling "pain". The difficulty we have to overcome is the tendency to anthropomorphise physical responses and assume our internal experience is a good model. It usually isn't. Human conscious experience is not the same as that which would be "experienced" by a fly, a fig, or a foetus. We know that foetuses are endogenously sedated, and anybody here who has experienced "pain" under sedation will know it's a curious experience and certainly not, in my experience at least, deserving of the label "suffering".

    Part of the problem for the religiously minded is this idea of the soul as a model for humanity is because of the sense that a soul is seen as rather like an on-off, a binary. It's either there or it isn't. But such a mental model is very poor map for conscious experience. Foetuses aren't conscious, not in the way people are. And if you have a -- something -- that isn't and has never been conscious, trying to lump it into the same category as a walking talking person is really quite problematic. Ultimately the being-with-a-soul argument pervades this debate even to the extent that people who do not believe in souls end up thinking in unscientific ways about it. A person doesn't suddenly go from not existing to existing in a moment. It happens gradually and one of the biggest inflection points in that curve-of-becoming is at birth.
    Well said.

    To me the whole "24 weeks" cut-off is arbitrary and absurd. A bit like Sunday trading laws. A silly, messy compromise that doesn't really satisfy anyone but most people are content to live with because they'd rather not rock the boat and compromise just sounds reasonable.

    To me logically birth is the inflection point as you say, so while I would find the idea of a 32 week abortion to be utterly horrible, I wouldn't make it illegal. Horrible things should not be unlawful. At approximately 37 weeks I believe the NHS could perhaps offer induction as an alternative, so that seems a reasonable cut-off, terminate the pregnancy but with a live-birth at that stage, but 24 is just a messy compromise. They're never going to voluntarily induce then.

    I actually have more intellectual respect for people who want the practice outlawed altogether, than for the 24 week cut-off. At least they're intellectually consistent. I don't agree with them, but I can see where they're coming from much better.
    The logic behind 24 weeks is that is the approximate age of viability.

    At that point the child can live independently of the mother.

    It seems a reasonable cut off point to say “at this point the child has rights as an independent human being”

    There is nothing magical about passage through the birth canal that imbues any mystic rights
    How do you mean "independently"? Newborn babies aren't independent. Probably even a fit and healthy 30 year old person isn't independent, not truly.

    You could envisage a situation where a zygote can be extracted from the Fallopian tube of a woman shortly after conception and then grown in a machine, or implanted into another woman. So does that mean it's a child that has rights as an independent human? It doesn't seem so different that a newborn, still entirely dependent on others for its survival, being given up by its biological parents and nurtured by someone or something else.

    All cut off points are somewhat arbitrary. The "24 weeks" is one that has common currency, and not for insignificant reasons, but it's really an even less magical and mystical moment than passage through the birth canal (or surgical opening!)

    "Viability" is not really as obvious as it first seems.
    Has a reasonable chance of surviving to adulthood. Below about 21/22 weeks it is very low.

    Surrogacy doesn’t offer additional rights vs traditional pregnancy

    And a zygote can’t be grown in a machine at present
    "at present" is the issue here. I'd add to that "at present and here". You see, technology changes and is unevenly distributed. The purpose of my "you could envisage" was to get you to think about whether the law should track technological availability. Also think about whether that technology was available but only at huge cost. Who should pay for someone to fulfil their legal obligations? The woman? The state? What if the state cut back on the service but didn't change the law? What if some device were invented that could beam a foetus harmlessly out, Star-Trek style, into an incubator?

    The problem with the viability argument is it's contingent on all these things. It's not a fatal flaw, but it's considerably murkier than it first appears.
    The law should evolve with science and capabilities. Ignoring the ethical concerns with your straw man, as viability moves earlier than should the latest date for abortion. The principle is at what point does the child have an effectively independent existence from mother.

    24 weeks is not an absolute position for ever and always
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Do people turn up to Union matches expecting the younger and more useless cousin League?

    *grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
    All right, I tackle this.
    Anyone who does so is missing a fast, often open, game and instead watching a slower, maul and scrum-infested game.
    Does that work better when you take a line out?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,386

    HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    It's probably worthless drivel but I spent a fucking age typing it so here you go

    FPT

    Farooq said:

    The pro-choice lobby are now effectively lobbying for abortion up to the point of birth in the UK:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/13/calls-for-abortion-to-be-decriminalised-amid-row-over-jailing-of-uk-woman

    While they say that abortions post-24 weeks would not be legalised, any woman who did so should not be subject to prosecution. Which effectively means you can terminate the pregnancy up to the point of birth and not suffer any (legal) consequences.

    Quite right too.
    Why would it be right? I'm interested in the logic. I am assuming it is a libertarian argument.

    My argument would be that, given we know foetuses can feel pain etc in the womb past a certain point, allowing such procedures effectively represents the legalisation of torture.
    Her body, her choice. Animals can feel pain, I still eat meat and wouldn't outlaw fishing.

    Life begins at birth for me - and no woman should ever be compelled to carry a pregnancy she doesn't want to carry.

    If there is to be a weeks limit then I would set the limit as where the NHS would/could induce the baby, ie at full-term. If its too premature to induce the birth, then termination should be an option - however unpleasant that is.
    The concept of pain is a tricky one, and I think the religiously motivated tend to make unjustified assumptions about how early a foetus is capable of pain. The external evidence about nerve growth and stimulus response tells one story, but similar stimulus-response experiments can lead people to surprising (and wrong) conclusions about insects and plants feeling "pain". The difficulty we have to overcome is the tendency to anthropomorphise physical responses and assume our internal experience is a good model. It usually isn't. Human conscious experience is not the same as that which would be "experienced" by a fly, a fig, or a foetus. We know that foetuses are endogenously sedated, and anybody here who has experienced "pain" under sedation will know it's a curious experience and certainly not, in my experience at least, deserving of the label "suffering".

    Part of the problem for the religiously minded is this idea of the soul as a model for humanity is because of the sense that a soul is seen as rather like an on-off, a binary. It's either there or it isn't. But such a mental model is very poor map for conscious experience. Foetuses aren't conscious, not in the way people are. And if you have a -- something -- that isn't and has never been conscious, trying to lump it into the same category as a walking talking person is really quite problematic. Ultimately the being-with-a-soul argument pervades this debate even to the extent that people who do not believe in souls end up thinking in unscientific ways about it. A person doesn't suddenly go from not existing to existing in a moment. It happens gradually and one of the biggest inflection points in that curve-of-becoming is at birth.
    Well said.

    To me the whole "24 weeks" cut-off is arbitrary and absurd. A bit like Sunday trading laws. A silly, messy compromise that doesn't really satisfy anyone but most people are content to live with because they'd rather not rock the boat and compromise just sounds reasonable.

    To me logically birth is the inflection point as you say, so while I would find the idea of a 32 week abortion to be utterly horrible, I wouldn't make it illegal. Horrible things should not be unlawful. At approximately 37 weeks I believe the NHS could perhaps offer induction as an alternative, so that seems a reasonable cut-off, terminate the pregnancy but with a live-birth at that stage, but 24 is just a messy compromise. They're never going to voluntarily induce then.

    I actually have more intellectual respect for people who want the practice outlawed altogether, than for the 24 week cut-off. At least they're intellectually consistent. I don't agree with them, but I can see where they're coming from much better.
    The logic behind 24 weeks is that is the approximate age of viability.

    At that point the child can live independently of the mother.

    It seems a reasonable cut off point to say “at this point the child has rights as an independent human being”

    There is nothing magical about passage through the birth canal that imbues any mystic rights
    Neither magic nor mysticism exist, so nor should there be.

    There certainly is something about a babies first breath that is a reasonable point to mark that as when it is born and life begins from there.
    There is nothing magical about a babies first breath that justifies murdering a 38 week old baby
    A 38 week old baby is a baby that was born 38 weeks ago.
    I hesitate to get into this argument, because it's so emotive and febrile, but...

    A family member used to work for BPAS, assessing women, carrying out abortions and dispensing the drugs. The vast majority of abortions are carried out before the foetus is viable outside the womb. She only had one case which was anywhere near the (I think 25 week?) limit.

    Her view is that 25 weeks is too high - what exists at 25 weeks isn't a ball of cells or a foetus that can't survive outside the womb. You essentially have a baby that could more than likely survive outside the womb. If carrying out a surgical abortion at that stage or later, not one purely relying on chemicals, you are essentially - and I'm sorry for this so early in the day - dismembering a baby in order to remove it. Her personal view is that the limit should be dropped to something like 22 weeks.

    I don't know the details of this tragic case but I do think aborting at that late stage is wrong. But that's my opinion. To say life begins at birth, given the capabilities of modern medicine, feels to me simplistic and naive.

    I fully support a woman's right to abortion. I have no ethical qualms about it until it gets too late - and I acknowledge the current limit is a grey area and a bit of a compromise. But we have to draw the line somewhere, imperfect as that may be.
    One argument against eating meat is that people wouldn't be able to bring themselves to kill the animals that they eat or even be there when the animals are slaughtered.

    Doctors have the right to say no to doing an abortion. I'm not sure you'd find any prepared to do a 30 something week abortion if it were legal. I'd like to know if @BartholomewRoberts would be happy to be present at one.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,548
    Ratters said:

    Almost certainly more important to the fate of the govt than Mad Nad

    A brief thread on gilts. Apologies, it's an arcane subject. But the market in government debt, much more than the Bank of England, determines the interest rate homeowners and businesses pay. Today, the yield on 2 year money rose by 26 basis points. 1/6

    https://twitter.com/nickmacpherson2/status/1668711895551946753?s=20

    Yes the Bank of England has admitted to have completely misjudged second round inflationary pressures.

    Markets now expect base rates to increase from 4.5% to 5.75% by year-end (i.e. a rate increase at each remaining meeting, albeit it could be front loaded).

    We're starting to get to levels where we'll see more people unable to meet their mortgage when they come off their fixed term.

    The timing of interest rates peaking and the subsequent pain is terrible for Sunak.
    The government should have cleaned house and sacked Bailey two years ago when the extent of his oversight failure at the FCA became clear. We need a proper inflation hawk at the BoE, Raghuram Rajan could probably be tempted into taking over. The failure to push interest rates up earlier and more significantly is really hurting now because we've got ourselves into an inflationary spiral with pay.

    This all lands at the feet of Bailey and the MPC.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,375
    Selebian said:

    TOPPING said:

    Things that are not worth discussing on PB:

    God*
    Aliens
    Edit: Abortion

    Things that are worth discussing on PB:

    Just about everything else.

    (*Although I bloody love it when @HYUFD goes off on a religious one and starts talking dirty.)

    'God' superfluous there? Coming under 'aliens' due to being not of this world, unless He really does live in his own county, of course :smile:
    I hear you. I suppose we accord them separate threads so they get separate billings. But yes two sides of the same coin.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,122
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Do people turn up to Union matches expecting the younger and more useless cousin League?

    *grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
    All right, I tackle this.
    Anyone who does so is missing a fast, often open, game and instead watching a slower, maul and scrum-infested game.
    Does that work better when you take a line out?
    No; no capital letter at the beginning of a sentence. And you a teacher!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Do people turn up to Union matches expecting the younger and more useless cousin League?

    *grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
    All right, I tackle this.
    Anyone who does so is missing a fast, often open, game and instead watching a slower, maul and scrum-infested game.
    Does that work better when you take a line out?
    No; no capital letter at the beginning of a sentence. And you a teacher!
    The full stop was meant to be deleted as well. I blame autocorrect.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 74,225
    With every passing month, the 'Tory mortgage penalty' becomes a hard reality for more homeowners.

    To reduce the damage, will
    @RishiSunak
    surprise everyone with a snap election *this* October?

    That's the chatter among some Tories and Labour too:

    https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1668876340454359041
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,547

    HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    It's probably worthless drivel but I spent a fucking age typing it so here you go

    FPT

    Farooq said:

    The pro-choice lobby are now effectively lobbying for abortion up to the point of birth in the UK:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/13/calls-for-abortion-to-be-decriminalised-amid-row-over-jailing-of-uk-woman

    While they say that abortions post-24 weeks would not be legalised, any woman who did so should not be subject to prosecution. Which effectively means you can terminate the pregnancy up to the point of birth and not suffer any (legal) consequences.

    Quite right too.
    Why would it be right? I'm interested in the logic. I am assuming it is a libertarian argument.

    My argument would be that, given we know foetuses can feel pain etc in the womb past a certain point, allowing such procedures effectively represents the legalisation of torture.
    Her body, her choice. Animals can feel pain, I still eat meat and wouldn't outlaw fishing.

    Life begins at birth for me - and no woman should ever be compelled to carry a pregnancy she doesn't want to carry.

    If there is to be a weeks limit then I would set the limit as where the NHS would/could induce the baby, ie at full-term. If its too premature to induce the birth, then termination should be an option - however unpleasant that is.
    The concept of pain is a tricky one, and I think the religiously motivated tend to make unjustified assumptions about how early a foetus is capable of pain. The external evidence about nerve growth and stimulus response tells one story, but similar stimulus-response experiments can lead people to surprising (and wrong) conclusions about insects and plants feeling "pain". The difficulty we have to overcome is the tendency to anthropomorphise physical responses and assume our internal experience is a good model. It usually isn't. Human conscious experience is not the same as that which would be "experienced" by a fly, a fig, or a foetus. We know that foetuses are endogenously sedated, and anybody here who has experienced "pain" under sedation will know it's a curious experience and certainly not, in my experience at least, deserving of the label "suffering".

    Part of the problem for the religiously minded is this idea of the soul as a model for humanity is because of the sense that a soul is seen as rather like an on-off, a binary. It's either there or it isn't. But such a mental model is very poor map for conscious experience. Foetuses aren't conscious, not in the way people are. And if you have a -- something -- that isn't and has never been conscious, trying to lump it into the same category as a walking talking person is really quite problematic. Ultimately the being-with-a-soul argument pervades this debate even to the extent that people who do not believe in souls end up thinking in unscientific ways about it. A person doesn't suddenly go from not existing to existing in a moment. It happens gradually and one of the biggest inflection points in that curve-of-becoming is at birth.
    Well said.

    To me the whole "24 weeks" cut-off is arbitrary and absurd. A bit like Sunday trading laws. A silly, messy compromise that doesn't really satisfy anyone but most people are content to live with because they'd rather not rock the boat and compromise just sounds reasonable.

    To me logically birth is the inflection point as you say, so while I would find the idea of a 32 week abortion to be utterly horrible, I wouldn't make it illegal. Horrible things should not be unlawful. At approximately 37 weeks I believe the NHS could perhaps offer induction as an alternative, so that seems a reasonable cut-off, terminate the pregnancy but with a live-birth at that stage, but 24 is just a messy compromise. They're never going to voluntarily induce then.

    I actually have more intellectual respect for people who want the practice outlawed altogether, than for the 24 week cut-off. At least they're intellectually consistent. I don't agree with them, but I can see where they're coming from much better.
    The logic behind 24 weeks is that is the approximate age of viability.

    At that point the child can live independently of the mother.

    It seems a reasonable cut off point to say “at this point the child has rights as an independent human being”

    There is nothing magical about passage through the birth canal that imbues any mystic rights
    Neither magic nor mysticism exist, so nor should there be.

    There certainly is something about a babies first breath that is a reasonable point to mark that as when it is born and life begins from there.
    There is nothing magical about a babies first breath that justifies murdering a 38 week old baby
    So why does the God you worship cause so many miscarriages?
    It’s rather unpleasant that you are trying to make a cheap debating point from something as tragic as a miscarriage

    But they occur naturally when pregnancies are non viable
    If your God exists, why doesn't He act to prevent them?
    Because He sets the framework and doesn’t intervene at the point of demand.

    It’s the same question - how can God allow earthquakes? They are a natural event based on movement of tectonic plates. I’m sure there is a good scientific reason why tectonic plates work in the way they do, but that’s beyond my Ken (I just have faith in science)
    So why did God intervene and free the Israelites from the bondage of slavery in Egypt but didn't intervene in the holocaust?
    Not to mention poor old Sennacherib. God intervened regularly in the Old testament, according to the script. The God as test tube holder, keeping score remotely, is a slightly weird creation of the New Testament which is, on one view, incompatible with the loving and caring god we are then supposed to have.

    But hey, whatever floats peoples' boats.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,014
    If Sunak does this then he's nearly as shit as Boris and Liz.

    Rishi Sunak wants to amend a vote on Boris Johnson's privileges committee report to prevent his party from completely collapsing

    He wants MPs to just "note" the findings he misled parliament and not "accept" them...
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 74,225

    If Sunak does this then he's nearly as shit as Boris and Liz.

    Rishi Sunak wants to amend a vote on Boris Johnson's privileges committee report to prevent his party from completely collapsing

    He wants MPs to just "note" the findings he misled parliament and not "accept" them...

    That would be .... a disgrace.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,223

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Independent deputy leader of Anglesey council steps down after saying "all Tories should be shot" at a meeting.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65895061

    I think context is important here. I have certainly said 'Should be put against a wall and shot' and 'All xxx should be shot' when commenting about some individual or group of people who have done something stupid. It is a saying we use and not meant literally.

    We should all be able to distinguish between this sort of stuff and real hate speech which is harmful.
    On the other hand not saying stuff in public that can be taken out of context and used against you is I would have thought one of the key skills required for a politician. If you can't stop yourself saying things like X should be shot, even in jest, you're probably not cut out for that line of work. This is one reason why I would never go into politics, BTW, since I quite enjoy saying outrageous things for humorous effect once in a while but I appreciate this is incompatible with a role in public life, especially these days.
    Agree. Same with me. One of the reasons I used to spend a lot of time and effort getting people elected, but would never stand myself, ever.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 125,731
    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Independent deputy leader of Anglesey council steps down after saying "all Tories should be shot" at a meeting.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65895061

    I think context is important here. I have certainly said 'Should be put against a wall and shot' and 'All xxx should be shot' when commenting about some individual or group of people who have done something stupid. It is a saying we use and not meant literally.

    We should all be able to distinguish between this sort of stuff and real hate speech which is harmful.
    Real hate speech 'All LDs should be put up against a wall and shot' just jest 'All Tories should be shot'?
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,962
    MaxPB said:

    Ratters said:

    Almost certainly more important to the fate of the govt than Mad Nad

    A brief thread on gilts. Apologies, it's an arcane subject. But the market in government debt, much more than the Bank of England, determines the interest rate homeowners and businesses pay. Today, the yield on 2 year money rose by 26 basis points. 1/6

    https://twitter.com/nickmacpherson2/status/1668711895551946753?s=20

    Yes the Bank of England has admitted to have completely misjudged second round inflationary pressures.

    Markets now expect base rates to increase from 4.5% to 5.75% by year-end (i.e. a rate increase at each remaining meeting, albeit it could be front loaded).

    We're starting to get to levels where we'll see more people unable to meet their mortgage when they come off their fixed term.

    The timing of interest rates peaking and the subsequent pain is terrible for Sunak.
    The government should have cleaned house and sacked Bailey two years ago when the extent of his oversight failure at the FCA became clear. We need a proper inflation hawk at the BoE, Raghuram Rajan could probably be tempted into taking over. The failure to push interest rates up earlier and more significantly is really hurting now because we've got ourselves into an inflationary spiral with pay.

    This all lands at the feet of Bailey and the MPC.
    Wasn't Bailey's main qualification that he said the right things about Brexit?

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7813097/Andrew-Bailey-replaces-Mark-Carney-Bank-England-governor.html
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,936

    HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    It's probably worthless drivel but I spent a fucking age typing it so here you go

    FPT

    Farooq said:

    The pro-choice lobby are now effectively lobbying for abortion up to the point of birth in the UK:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/13/calls-for-abortion-to-be-decriminalised-amid-row-over-jailing-of-uk-woman

    While they say that abortions post-24 weeks would not be legalised, any woman who did so should not be subject to prosecution. Which effectively means you can terminate the pregnancy up to the point of birth and not suffer any (legal) consequences.

    Quite right too.
    Why would it be right? I'm interested in the logic. I am assuming it is a libertarian argument.

    My argument would be that, given we know foetuses can feel pain etc in the womb past a certain point, allowing such procedures effectively represents the legalisation of torture.
    Her body, her choice. Animals can feel pain, I still eat meat and wouldn't outlaw fishing.

    Life begins at birth for me - and no woman should ever be compelled to carry a pregnancy she doesn't want to carry.

    If there is to be a weeks limit then I would set the limit as where the NHS would/could induce the baby, ie at full-term. If its too premature to induce the birth, then termination should be an option - however unpleasant that is.
    The concept of pain is a tricky one, and I think the religiously motivated tend to make unjustified assumptions about how early a foetus is capable of pain. The external evidence about nerve growth and stimulus response tells one story, but similar stimulus-response experiments can lead people to surprising (and wrong) conclusions about insects and plants feeling "pain". The difficulty we have to overcome is the tendency to anthropomorphise physical responses and assume our internal experience is a good model. It usually isn't. Human conscious experience is not the same as that which would be "experienced" by a fly, a fig, or a foetus. We know that foetuses are endogenously sedated, and anybody here who has experienced "pain" under sedation will know it's a curious experience and certainly not, in my experience at least, deserving of the label "suffering".

    Part of the problem for the religiously minded is this idea of the soul as a model for humanity is because of the sense that a soul is seen as rather like an on-off, a binary. It's either there or it isn't. But such a mental model is very poor map for conscious experience. Foetuses aren't conscious, not in the way people are. And if you have a -- something -- that isn't and has never been conscious, trying to lump it into the same category as a walking talking person is really quite problematic. Ultimately the being-with-a-soul argument pervades this debate even to the extent that people who do not believe in souls end up thinking in unscientific ways about it. A person doesn't suddenly go from not existing to existing in a moment. It happens gradually and one of the biggest inflection points in that curve-of-becoming is at birth.
    Well said.

    To me the whole "24 weeks" cut-off is arbitrary and absurd. A bit like Sunday trading laws. A silly, messy compromise that doesn't really satisfy anyone but most people are content to live with because they'd rather not rock the boat and compromise just sounds reasonable.

    To me logically birth is the inflection point as you say, so while I would find the idea of a 32 week abortion to be utterly horrible, I wouldn't make it illegal. Horrible things should not be unlawful. At approximately 37 weeks I believe the NHS could perhaps offer induction as an alternative, so that seems a reasonable cut-off, terminate the pregnancy but with a live-birth at that stage, but 24 is just a messy compromise. They're never going to voluntarily induce then.

    I actually have more intellectual respect for people who want the practice outlawed altogether, than for the 24 week cut-off. At least they're intellectually consistent. I don't agree with them, but I can see where they're coming from much better.
    The logic behind 24 weeks is that is the approximate age of viability.

    At that point the child can live independently of the mother.

    It seems a reasonable cut off point to say “at this point the child has rights as an independent human being”

    There is nothing magical about passage through the birth canal that imbues any mystic rights
    Neither magic nor mysticism exist, so nor should there be.

    There certainly is something about a babies first breath that is a reasonable point to mark that as when it is born and life begins from there.
    There is nothing magical about a babies first breath that justifies murdering a 38 week old baby
    So why does the God you worship cause so many miscarriages?
    It’s rather unpleasant that you are trying to make a cheap debating point from something as tragic as a miscarriage

    But they occur naturally when pregnancies are non viable
    If your God exists, why doesn't He act to prevent them?
    Because He sets the framework and doesn’t intervene at the point of demand.

    It’s the same question - how can God allow earthquakes? They are a natural event based on movement of tectonic plates. I’m sure there is a good scientific reason why tectonic plates work in the way they do, but that’s beyond my Ken (I just have faith in science)
    So why did God intervene and free the Israelites from the bondage of slavery in Egypt but didn't intervene in the holocaust?
    Not to mention NOT helping the Palestinians or Kashmiris!
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 74,225
    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Independent deputy leader of Anglesey council steps down after saying "all Tories should be shot" at a meeting.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65895061

    I think context is important here. I have certainly said 'Should be put against a wall and shot' and 'All xxx should be shot' when commenting about some individual or group of people who have done something stupid. It is a saying we use and not meant literally.

    We should all be able to distinguish between this sort of stuff and real hate speech which is harmful.
    Real hate speech 'All LDs should be put up against a wall and shot' just jest 'All Tories should be shot'?
    Or threatening to send in the tanks ?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,998
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.

    And the whole lot definitely seems to be sketches by Bozza.
    Not Little Dorries?
    Is Nad the Woman in White?

    I did ask yesterday, when all the LD’s on here were ringing round the AirB&B’s in Mid Beds, whether she’d actually resigned yet.

    Bright, sunny but breezy here this morning!
    Sunak is certainly no longer Johnson and Dorries' Mutual Friend.
    Probably time to draw the black veil over these Dickens puns now.
  • MaxPB said:

    Ratters said:

    Almost certainly more important to the fate of the govt than Mad Nad

    A brief thread on gilts. Apologies, it's an arcane subject. But the market in government debt, much more than the Bank of England, determines the interest rate homeowners and businesses pay. Today, the yield on 2 year money rose by 26 basis points. 1/6

    https://twitter.com/nickmacpherson2/status/1668711895551946753?s=20

    Yes the Bank of England has admitted to have completely misjudged second round inflationary pressures.

    Markets now expect base rates to increase from 4.5% to 5.75% by year-end (i.e. a rate increase at each remaining meeting, albeit it could be front loaded).

    We're starting to get to levels where we'll see more people unable to meet their mortgage when they come off their fixed term.

    The timing of interest rates peaking and the subsequent pain is terrible for Sunak.
    The government should have cleaned house and sacked Bailey two years ago when the extent of his oversight failure at the FCA became clear. We need a proper inflation hawk at the BoE, Raghuram Rajan could probably be tempted into taking over. The failure to push interest rates up earlier and more significantly is really hurting now because we've got ourselves into an inflationary spiral with pay.

    This all lands at the feet of Bailey and the MPC.
    The BoE gets quite a kicking in the Lex column in the FT today - says it is much too in thrall to the Government's political initiatives, rather than displaying it's much-vaunted independence.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,384
    edited June 2023
    Nigelb said:

    With every passing month, the 'Tory mortgage penalty' becomes a hard reality for more homeowners.

    To reduce the damage, will
    @RishiSunak
    surprise everyone with a snap election *this* October?

    That's the chatter among some Tories and Labour too:

    https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1668876340454359041

    Why should Rishi want to "reduce the damage"? If the Conservatives win the next election, he remains Prime Minister. If they lose, then Starmer becomes Prime Minister and Rishi is out.

    And that is true whether Labour wins by a landslide or can barely scrape together a minority government. Rishi is out.

    So it is of no benefit to "reduce the damage". It's a complete turnaround or hang on till the bitter end.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 74,225

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    If she doesn't resign then this is most embarrassing thing Nadine Dorries has done since she ate a kangaroo's bunghole live on TV.

    A less influential version of Clare Short.
    Tbh I do have some sympathy for Nadine Dorries who, after making her way in life without the old school tie advantages of, say, Jacob Rees-Mogg, has run smack into the reality that her political career is now over, that her peerage is just a pawn in the power game between Boris and Rishi, and that neither man cares about her.
    I don't like her politics, and want the HoL abolished, but have a certain sympathy for her. There is something tragic about political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career. He corrodes everything and everyone he comes into contact with.
    No - in politics you are either a leader, or pick a leader.

    She chose… poorly.

    And will end up with an excellent pension for life, and should be able make a fair bit of money in various “consultancy” roles, like other ex MPs. Hardly starving to death in a garret in Paris, Dickens style.
    I think she’s quite wealthy from her book sales isn’t she? So hers will not be a bleak house.
    Indeed, I doubt she'll fall on hard times.
    Although if she keeps wittering on about London and Liverpool her Great Expectations will became A Tale of Two Cities.

    And the whole lot definitely seems to be sketches by Bozza.
    Not Little Dorries?
    Is Nad the Woman in White?

    I did ask yesterday, when all the LD’s on here were ringing round the AirB&B’s in Mid Beds, whether she’d actually resigned yet.

    Bright, sunny but breezy here this morning!
    Sunak is certainly no longer Johnson and Dorries' Mutual Friend.
    Probably time to draw the black veil over these Dickens puns now.
    Ben Muzzlewit.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,547
    MaxPB said:

    Ratters said:

    Almost certainly more important to the fate of the govt than Mad Nad

    A brief thread on gilts. Apologies, it's an arcane subject. But the market in government debt, much more than the Bank of England, determines the interest rate homeowners and businesses pay. Today, the yield on 2 year money rose by 26 basis points. 1/6

    https://twitter.com/nickmacpherson2/status/1668711895551946753?s=20

    Yes the Bank of England has admitted to have completely misjudged second round inflationary pressures.

    Markets now expect base rates to increase from 4.5% to 5.75% by year-end (i.e. a rate increase at each remaining meeting, albeit it could be front loaded).

    We're starting to get to levels where we'll see more people unable to meet their mortgage when they come off their fixed term.

    The timing of interest rates peaking and the subsequent pain is terrible for Sunak.
    The government should have cleaned house and sacked Bailey two years ago when the extent of his oversight failure at the FCA became clear. We need a proper inflation hawk at the BoE, Raghuram Rajan could probably be tempted into taking over. The failure to push interest rates up earlier and more significantly is really hurting now because we've got ourselves into an inflationary spiral with pay.

    This all lands at the feet of Bailey and the MPC.
    I certainly agree that Bailey has been incompetent and is not up to the job but it is a mistake to exaggerate the degree of autonomy that the Bank has on these matters. Super low interest rates were not a UK phenomenon but a western one from the period of the GFC until relatively recently.

    The Bank were asleep at the wheel and did not respond to world trends fast enough but inflation was an inevitable consequence of such low rates eventually, once the offsetting deflationary pressures had eased. This has affected our inflation but only marginally, most of it was built in by international factors beyond our control.

    Our biggest problem is that we are still hooked on debt and beholden to the market to fund the standard of living we think we deserve. That is not really down to Bailey. As for this latest meme of a "Tory mortgage penalty", Lord save us. The degree of economic ignorance and misunderstanding it demonstrates does not bode well for the incoming government, it really doesn't.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,936
    edited June 2023
    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Independent deputy leader of Anglesey council steps down after saying "all Tories should be shot" at a meeting.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65895061

    I think context is important here. I have certainly said 'Should be put against a wall and shot' and 'All xxx should be shot' when commenting about some individual or group of people who have done something stupid. It is a saying we use and not meant literally.

    We should all be able to distinguish between this sort of stuff and real hate speech which is harmful.
    Real hate speech 'All LDs should be put up against a wall and shot' just jest 'All Tories should be shot'?
    Just jest:

    "Those LibDems you sold me, they won't mate! They just walk around all day Tweeting, and not mating. You sold me... queer LibDems - I want my money back!"
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,223
    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Independent deputy leader of Anglesey council steps down after saying "all Tories should be shot" at a meeting.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65895061

    I think context is important here. I have certainly said 'Should be put against a wall and shot' and 'All xxx should be shot' when commenting about some individual or group of people who have done something stupid. It is a saying we use and not meant literally.

    We should all be able to distinguish between this sort of stuff and real hate speech which is harmful.
    Real hate speech 'All LDs should be put up against a wall and shot' just jest 'All Tories should be shot'?
    I certainly wouldn't consider it hate speech if you said that, particularly if the LDs did something you thought particularly stupid, because it is clear you don't mean it and are just venting on their stupidity.

    I do accept however, as others have said, if you are in public life it might be imprudent.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,488

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Do people turn up to Union matches expecting the younger and more useless cousin League?

    *grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
    All right, I tackle this.
    Anyone who does so is missing a fast, often open, game and instead watching a slower, maul and scrum-infested game.
    Roll, pass, run, thud.
    Roll, pass, run, thud.
    Roll, pass, run, thud.
    Roll, pass, run, thud.
    Roll, pass, run, thud.
    Kick.
    Roll, pass, run, thud...

    Actually, I quite like rugby league as a spectator sport. It's better than football. But it's a bit limited. It's basically a training exercise for rugby union.
    I like scrums and mauls. I lament that in rugby union scrums have been made less competitive (like in rugby league) and the length of time you can spend mauling has been reduced.
  • "Political suttee on the binfire of Johnson's career". Foxy is to be congratulated on the political image of the week.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,109

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Do people turn up to Union matches expecting the younger and more useless cousin League?

    *grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
    All right, I tackle this.
    Anyone who does so is missing a fast, often open, game and instead watching a slower, maul and scrum-infested game.
    Does that work better when you take a line out?
    No; no capital letter at the beginning of a sentence. And you a teacher!
    A capital offence, that :wink:
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 125,731

    HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    It's probably worthless drivel but I spent a fucking age typing it so here you go

    FPT

    Farooq said:

    The pro-choice lobby are now effectively lobbying for abortion up to the point of birth in the UK:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/13/calls-for-abortion-to-be-decriminalised-amid-row-over-jailing-of-uk-woman

    While they say that abortions post-24 weeks would not be legalised, any woman who did so should not be subject to prosecution. Which effectively means you can terminate the pregnancy up to the point of birth and not suffer any (legal) consequences.

    Quite right too.
    Why would it be right? I'm interested in the logic. I am assuming it is a libertarian argument.

    My argument would be that, given we know foetuses can feel pain etc in the womb past a certain point, allowing such procedures effectively represents the legalisation of torture.
    Her body, her choice. Animals can feel pain, I still eat meat and wouldn't outlaw fishing.

    Life begins at birth for me - and no woman should ever be compelled to carry a pregnancy she doesn't want to carry.

    If there is to be a weeks limit then I would set the limit as where the NHS would/could induce the baby, ie at full-term. If its too premature to induce the birth, then termination should be an option - however unpleasant that is.
    The concept of pain is a tricky one, and I think the religiously motivated tend to make unjustified assumptions about how early a foetus is capable of pain. The external evidence about nerve growth and stimulus response tells one story, but similar stimulus-response experiments can lead people to surprising (and wrong) conclusions about insects and plants feeling "pain". The difficulty we have to overcome is the tendency to anthropomorphise physical responses and assume our internal experience is a good model. It usually isn't. Human conscious experience is not the same as that which would be "experienced" by a fly, a fig, or a foetus. We know that foetuses are endogenously sedated, and anybody here who has experienced "pain" under sedation will know it's a curious experience and certainly not, in my experience at least, deserving of the label "suffering".

    Part of the problem for the religiously minded is this idea of the soul as a model for humanity is because of the sense that a soul is seen as rather like an on-off, a binary. It's either there or it isn't. But such a mental model is very poor map for conscious experience. Foetuses aren't conscious, not in the way people are. And if you have a -- something -- that isn't and has never been conscious, trying to lump it into the same category as a walking talking person is really quite problematic. Ultimately the being-with-a-soul argument pervades this debate even to the extent that people who do not believe in souls end up thinking in unscientific ways about it. A person doesn't suddenly go from not existing to existing in a moment. It happens gradually and one of the biggest inflection points in that curve-of-becoming is at birth.
    Well said.

    To me the whole "24 weeks" cut-off is arbitrary and absurd. A bit like Sunday trading laws. A silly, messy compromise that doesn't really satisfy anyone but most people are content to live with because they'd rather not rock the boat and compromise just sounds reasonable.

    To me logically birth is the inflection point as you say, so while I would find the idea of a 32 week abortion to be utterly horrible, I wouldn't make it illegal. Horrible things should not be unlawful. At approximately 37 weeks I believe the NHS could perhaps offer induction as an alternative, so that seems a reasonable cut-off, terminate the pregnancy but with a live-birth at that stage, but 24 is just a messy compromise. They're never going to voluntarily induce then.

    I actually have more intellectual respect for people who want the practice outlawed altogether, than for the 24 week cut-off. At least they're intellectually consistent. I don't agree with them, but I can see where they're coming from much better.
    The logic behind 24 weeks is that is the approximate age of viability.

    At that point the child can live independently of the mother.

    It seems a reasonable cut off point to say “at this point the child has rights as an independent human being”

    There is nothing magical about passage through the birth canal that imbues any mystic rights
    Neither magic nor mysticism exist, so nor should there be.

    There certainly is something about a babies first breath that is a reasonable point to mark that as when it is born and life begins from there.
    There is nothing magical about a babies first breath that justifies murdering a 38 week old baby
    So why does the God you worship cause so many miscarriages?
    It’s rather unpleasant that you are trying to make a cheap debating point from something as tragic as a miscarriage

    But they occur naturally when pregnancies are non viable
    If your God exists, why doesn't He act to prevent them?
    Because He sets the framework and doesn’t intervene at the point of demand.

    It’s the same question - how can God allow earthquakes? They are a natural event based on movement of tectonic plates. I’m sure there is a good scientific reason why tectonic plates work in the way they do, but that’s beyond my Ken (I just have faith in science)
    So why did God intervene and free the Israelites from the bondage of slavery in Egypt but didn't intervene in the holocaust?
    As the God of the Old Testament was the Jewish God then (although as the God of Abraham ultimately the Christian and Muslim God too but they came along later). He also ensured the Allies won the war and so ultimately the Jews were able to defeat the Nazis as they had defeated the Egyptians
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,207
    Mr. HYUFD, some say the God of the Old Testament is just Zeus with a rebrand.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,109
    edited June 2023
    TOPPING said:

    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Israel the Eurovision Song Contest.

    IRMC.
    Israeli Public Broadcasting Corporation are members of the European Broadcasting Union, they have their rightful place you anti-semite! (:wink:)

    What you can't do is expect to turn up to Eurovision with a good song and win.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,646

    Mr. HYUFD, some say the God of the Old Testament is just Zeus with a rebrand.

    That theory may be popular with some but scholars find no Zeus in it.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,106
    Cookie said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    Why are the Welsh so insular and bigoted towards the English?

    A rapper had his performance at an arts festival in Wales cancelled – because his lyrics were too English.

    The Welsh musician Sage Todz, 29, boasts a large following of fans for his songs, which he performs in both Welsh and English.

    He was set to showcase his music at the Eisteddfod festival which celebrates the Welsh language and culture through singing, art, composition, dance and instrumental events.

    But his appearance was later cancelled after he refused to change his set – after being told his songs contained “too much English”.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/13/sage-todz-banned-national-eisteddfod-english-welsh-festival/

    Because it is a Welsh language festival and competition. Would be the same with an Esperanto competition. You can't expect to turn up to a rugger meeting and expect to play soccer.
    Do people turn up to Union matches expecting the younger and more useless cousin League?

    *grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*
    All right, I tackle this.
    Anyone who does so is missing a fast, often open, game and instead watching a slower, maul and scrum-infested game.
    Roll, pass, run, thud.
    Roll, pass, run, thud.
    Roll, pass, run, thud.
    Roll, pass, run, thud.
    Roll, pass, run, thud.
    Kick.
    Roll, pass, run, thud...

    Actually, I quite like rugby league as a spectator sport. It's better than football. But it's a bit limited. It's basically a training exercise for rugby union.
    I like scrums and mauls. I lament that in rugby union scrums have been made less competitive (like in rugby league) and the length of time you can spend mauling has been reduced.
    An old friend believed that Union should roll the laws back to 1991, when rugby was about right.

    Now I don't really advocate that, but it was the era that I played, you could maul and if going forward, retain the put in. You could ruck, and if going forward, retained the put in. There was no debate about crossing - passes were always in front of players.

    It may be bollocks, but it felt that the Southern hemisphere drove the law changes to remove the forward play elements of the game, in favour of the basketball style they prefered. And I think the game is poorer for it.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 125,731
    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Independent deputy leader of Anglesey council steps down after saying "all Tories should be shot" at a meeting.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65895061

    I think context is important here. I have certainly said 'Should be put against a wall and shot' and 'All xxx should be shot' when commenting about some individual or group of people who have done something stupid. It is a saying we use and not meant literally.

    We should all be able to distinguish between this sort of stuff and real hate speech which is harmful.
    Real hate speech 'All LDs should be put up against a wall and shot' just jest 'All Tories should be shot'?
    I certainly wouldn't consider it hate speech if you said that, particularly if the LDs did something you thought particularly stupid, because it is clear you don't mean it and are just venting on their stupidity.

    I do accept however, as others have said, if you are in public life it might be imprudent.
    I agree with you on that distinction at least, in public life, whether elected as a councillor, MP, MSP, AM or MLA or a member of the Government or House of Lords you have to watch what you say, certainly in public or on social media. You are held to a higher public standard.

    Albeit even an ordinary member of the public could face criminal charges now if they say something in public or on social media believed to constitute a death threat or harassment
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,130
    MaxPB said:

    Ratters said:

    Almost certainly more important to the fate of the govt than Mad Nad

    A brief thread on gilts. Apologies, it's an arcane subject. But the market in government debt, much more than the Bank of England, determines the interest rate homeowners and businesses pay. Today, the yield on 2 year money rose by 26 basis points. 1/6

    https://twitter.com/nickmacpherson2/status/1668711895551946753?s=20

    Yes the Bank of England has admitted to have completely misjudged second round inflationary pressures.

    Markets now expect base rates to increase from 4.5% to 5.75% by year-end (i.e. a rate increase at each remaining meeting, albeit it could be front loaded).

    We're starting to get to levels where we'll see more people unable to meet their mortgage when they come off their fixed term.

    The timing of interest rates peaking and the subsequent pain is terrible for Sunak.
    The government should have cleaned house and sacked Bailey two years ago when the extent of his oversight failure at the FCA became clear. We need a proper inflation hawk at the BoE, Raghuram Rajan could probably be tempted into taking over. The failure to push interest rates up earlier and more significantly is really hurting now because we've got ourselves into an inflationary spiral with pay.

    This all lands at the feet of Bailey and the MPC.
    I doubt that Rajan would take the job, but I agree he would be an excellent hire.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,547
    Cicero said:

    Today is a day of mourning in Estonia.

    On June 14th 1941 the occupying Soviet authorities ordered the deportation of over 10,000 people, including over 7,500 women and children to the camps of Siberia. Less than half returned and those that did were broken in spirit and in health. It was far from the only round of deportation, but it was one of the worst. Over the course of 1940-49 over a quarter of the population of Estonia was murdered, deported or fled to the West. Though the terror weakened after the death of Stalin in 1953, the oppression of the country continued, and resistance - even wearing the national colours of blue, black and white- could get you 25 years in the GULAG camps.

    "Post" Soviet Russia has never acknowledged the scale of the tortures and murders that were committed, nor the vile Nazi-Soviet pact that they signed with Hitler to occupy the Baltic. Russia continues to hold onto, for example, the chain of office of the Pre-war President of Estonia as part of the "spoils of war".

    The Estonians speak of this little- it is simply too painful to consider how cruel the deaths of so many totally innocent people really was.

    To live well is the best revenge, and modern Estonia is prosperous and free. Russians, by contrast continue to bend the knee to a tin-pot tyrant and the deaths of hundreds of the thousands of Russian soldiers is part of the result. However, Estonians do remember and until Russia repents and seeks the forgiveness of the world, then Estonia will remain an implacable foe of Putin and the murderous and criminal state that he leads. The continuing and outrageous crimes of the Russian war against Ukraine shows how far away Russia is from being a civilized state.

    "Let judgment run down as waters, and righteousness as a mighty stream" and may the souls of the dead rest in peace.

    Magnificent.
This discussion has been closed.