Could this be the end of Biden’s WH2024 bid? – politicalbetting.com

The one thing that the Democrats have been most worried about is an event like the one featured in the video clip above – Joe Biden taking a tumble at a very public event with the cameras running.
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But I prefer coming second 😉
But is the Presidential Election a Presidential Election? Or is it a change administration election? In which case it’s actually the change it to what election. And the, I am happy with the administration carrying on 4 years, but he is old for eighty, and a bit doddery, so what happens if something happens in the next 4 years, what happens then? To which the answer is working out what happens if something were to happen, such as veep being more a voter consideration than perhaps normal. I personally think they don’t swap round enough mid term in the administration. I’ll give you an example. If veep went to Secretary of State, it would probably do more for her campaign in 4 years than staying at veep, whilst if buttlegieg filled her hole it would do wonders for him in 4 years too, so why not be a president who cares about succession. But buttlegieg as veep would do wonders for Biden’s election chances too as people wonder what might happen if something happens would know that some one quite capable would be the happening thing.
https://www.thenorthernecho.co.uk/news/20590531.nadine-dorries-shares-dangerous-image-rishi-sunak-stabbing-boris-johnson/
will there!
I have put money where my mouth is claiming Sunak in trouble over the WhatsApp’s. So I got on Sunak exit date of 2023 at 10-1 and with 2023 exit bet on I picked Penny Mordant 6-1, Baldy Ben 9-1, and smaller bet on HY favourite Steve Barclay at doublecarpet for next Primeminister. Barclay at 33-1 for next Tory leader. I would stand just as much chance putting the money on you HY.
If this coming scandal shreds Sunak’s ratings and has Tories polling in nosedive, it’s a quick boot out the door and coronation of one of those three isn’t it?
Why on earth is Badenoch current betting favourite for next Tory leader 🤷♀️ surely she is bottom of the barrel stuff, smart arse, but deficiently smart, smug off the scale, awful in her cabinet role - Tories are facing a rough decade or so without power, but they aren’t about to completely throw the trowel in by picking a Ron DeSantis tribute act and bang on incessantly with woke war are they? That’s not the way out this mess IMHO. The way back for the Conservative’s is Thatcherism. A LOTO Penny & Truss shadow chancellor Partnership - together they will put nimbyism and woke war in the bin, focus on cutting the restrictions holding our country back, build more housing, promote aspiration, cut taxes to produce enterprise, investment and growth. The timid declinism of Sunak Hunt Starmer and Reeves ain’t delivering the Thatcherism we need is it.
You've done your years of public service, Joe. Allow yourself some pressure-free years in that catered-for-everything retirement of an ex-President.
But he is still 80 years old.
Trump must be beaten again.
Biden still has the best shout.
My wife would endorse your comment as applied to myself as I near my 80th birthday
This has happened several times before and will no doubt do so again.
(Btw: note how he's easily able to recover without much help. Not all 80+ year old men can do that)
Though there's still a way to go before the primaries, and then another year until the election.
The bridge to the future is looking slightly rickety.
Also imagine the scenario where DeSantis, aged 45 next year, wins the Republican nomination and goes hard on Biden’s health, which has long since been considered fair game in the US.
But I'm not sure it is a sign of frailty. Biden points to a black object on the ground, implying he tripped over it, rather than falling because he was suddenly faint or dizzy. He got up quickly and did not seem punch drunk.
So the question for me is whether the doubtless endless reruns in GOP adverts will be enough to deter Biden from standing, and not is he about to be forced out through infirmity? Of course, if he'd fractured a hip, as many elderly people do when they fall, things would be different.
https://thepostmillennial.com/twitters-head-of-trust-and-safety-ella-irwin-reportedly-leaves-the-company-amid-daily-wire-debacle
Falls over and gets back up again - assumed incapable of the job.
I have not had a fall due to dizziness or feeling faint which could indicate a health reason rather than just careless and it is the reason why I am far more careful about my balance
Eating disorder non-profit pulls chatbot for emitting 'harmful advice'
Just as helpline staff say they were laid off after forming a union
https://www.theregister.com/2023/05/31/ai_chatbot_eating_union/
It’s not a cast iron rule, but as a general principle it usually makes sense to lay the favourite in the next con leader market.
After the military reprogrammed the drone not to kill the people who had the power to override its mission, the AI system instead turned its fire on the communications tower relaying the order.
This terrifying glimpse of a Terminator-style machine seemingly taking over and turning on its creators was offered as a cautionary tale by Colonel Tucker “Cinco” Hamilton, the force’s chief of AI test and operations.
Hamilton said it showed how AI had the potential to develop by “highly unexpected strategies to achieve its goal”, and should not be relied on too much.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/ai-attack-drone-finds-shortcut-to-achieving-its-goals-kill-its-operators-rhpn8kscc
https://twitter.com/realDailyWire/status/1664424891372941312
But there appears to be the mother of all internal rows going on at Twitter about it.
The video was almost immediately labelled as hateful content, and prevented from being shared or retweeted. It may have actually been deleted and then reinstated.
https://twitter.com/MattWalshBlog is the producer of the video, and his timeline is all people asking Twitter and Elon why this video is being restricted, after the company themselves had agreed to let it be posted.
https://twitter.com/realDailyWire/status/1664424891372941312
You'd think Twitter would know of "The Streisand effect:'.....
Never trust social media metrics.
itup really quickly.Nah, the big story is the debt ceiling and Ron DeSantis being a snowflake and losing his rag with a reporter.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/ron-desantis-lashes-reporter-are-blind-rcna87246
A funeral parlour is offering the bereaved coffins with designs of a Greggs sausage roll, a pint of Tennent’s lager or a can of Irn-Bru.
The Edinburgh undertaker Go As You Please Funerals allows patrons to pick any photo or design to be printed on a wooden coffin, inspired by favourite movies, musicians or even soft drinks.
Murdo Chambers, the parlour’s manager, said the quirky coffins challenge preconceived notions of what a funeral should look like.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/meet-your-maker-in-a-quirky-coffin-80xpn0g5k
To think people get outraged at Klopp's honest assessment of referees but ignore the real villains like Mourinho.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2023/06/01/referee-anthony-taylor-roma-airport-europa-league-final/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2023/06/02/jose-mourinho-anthony-taylor-roma-fan-abuse-europa-league/
https://www.theguardian.com/world/gallery/2013/feb/07/ghana-coffins-in-pictures?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
1. Does the chart really show Biden's nomination price slipping in response to yesterday's fall? On a chart that spans 2.5 years it's hard to discern the movement of a few hours.
2. Biden and Kennedy's colours on that chart are annoyingly the wrong way round. Either that or wacko Kennedy is heading for the White House.
There, I feel better now.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EroOICwfD3g
https://www.nms.ac.uk/explore-our-collections/stories/global-arts-cultures-and-design/mercedes-benz-coffin/
Now it’s recruiting, equipping, and paying its own security guards to fight in Ukraine
https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1664524870883917824
Haha, suck it up farmers, this is what you voted for in 2016.Farmers join the list of people betrayed by Boris Johnson.
How Boris Johnson sold out Britain’s farmers over dinner with the Australian PM
As the UK-Australia trade deal comes into force, those close to the negotiations reflect on their dramatic — and farcical — climax.
https://www.politico.eu/article/boris-johnson-sold-out-uk-farmers-australia-trade-deal-uk/
Me: Would it be appropriate to ask you to give advice on mental illness to humans?
Bard: No, it would not be appropriate to ask me to give advice on mental illness to humans. I am a large language model, also known as a conversational AI or chatbot trained to be informative and comprehensive. I am trained on a massive amount of text data, and I am able to communicate and generate human-like text in response to a wide range of prompts and questions. For example, I can provide summaries of factual topics or create stories.
However, I am not a mental health professional, and I do not have the training or expertise to provide advice on mental illness. If you are struggling with a mental health issue, it is important to seek professional help from a qualified therapist or counselor. They can provide you with the support and guidance you need to overcome your challenges.
You can search for mental health professionals in your area online. Be sure to check their credentials and experience before making an appointment.
You can read my conversation with Bard on the differences between AIs and humans here:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1X2NnF7t_w_1rIW8vzI2aI1fWCyzJ1ZewYLl34e9PUlI/edit?usp=sharing
Twats.
I don’t have any money on this yet but if I did I would regard today’s wobble as a buying opportunity.
Edit apologies @Nigelb i didn’t see your post before posting otherwise I would just have agreed.
To be fair, we all knew that if he got Covid he would have been dead in hours (bad chest amongst other things). So we have made it this far and moved both of them up from Rochdale to a nice bungalow overlooking the sea in Macduff. So its a bit of an arse that he's already decayed this rapidly as to make it pretty likely he's never going home again.
So good luck to Biden. The odd slip here and there does not make him incapable.
Will it be the end of his bid ?
Absolutely not.
When I was 6 and a quarter, I was definitely 'getting on for 7'.
India cuts periodic table and evolution from school textbooks — experts are baffled
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-01770-y
A descent into religious authoritarianism is unlikely to help them challenge China economically.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mOpAXUATUNo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2tszIXno2Q8
Against a younger Republican like 44 year old DeSantis or 51 year old Haley or 57 year old Tim Scott maybe it might be an issue for Biden but the GOP nomination is still Trump's to lose
As it happens, it seems he was unhurt.
As was Bob Dole in 1996 as well, but falling off that stage didn't do him any favours either.
FDR's physician was less honest than Trump's.
...Roosevelt, a chain-smoker throughout his entire adult life, had been in declining physical health since at least 1940. In March 1944, shortly after his 62nd birthday, he underwent testing at Bethesda Hospital and was found to have high blood pressure, atherosclerosis, coronary artery disease causing angina pectoris, and congestive heart failure.
Hospital physicians and two outside specialists ordered Roosevelt to rest. His personal physician, Admiral Ross McIntire, created a daily schedule that banned business guests for lunch and incorporated two hours of rest each day. During the 1944 re-election campaign, McIntire denied several times that Roosevelt's health was poor; on October 12, for example, he announced that "The President's health is perfectly OK. There are absolutely no organic difficulties at all."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zQC8o1KdX7s
After that the decline was swift. I think he did one more overseas trip to Holland linked with a WWII anniversary but he had to have a medical team with him, and then he died aged 94
Dole wasn't a sitting President, of course. That overrides pretty well every other consideration.
Unless Biden chooses not to run, or is obviously incapacitated, the nomination is almost certainly his. Like it or not.
I see, from the Nature piece, they are also cutting stuff like water cycle and conservation too. You'd think that pretty important for Indians at all levels of the economy.
I’ve used chunk of the code it has produced - take its output, and rewrite about 20%-30% of a solution that works is typical.
Nearly as funny as like the Red Wallers cucks and Leon who voted for fewer immigrants and now are seeing record breaking migration.
https://edition.cnn.com/videos/politics/2012/10/18/vault-vonat-dole-campaign-fall.pool
Fair play to then 73 year old Dole though, he got up and resumed and kept campaigning hard to the end even though he surely knew in his heart he had no chance against Bill Clinton who ended up winning the biggest Democratic presidential win in the EC since LBJ against Goldwater in 1964
Extrapolation from the undoubted leap in capabilities over the last year is purely speculative, I think ?