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What sort of immigration policy is producing this nonsense? – politicalbetting.com

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  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,135
    darkage said:

    Nigelb said:

    Not proven verdict to be scrapped in Scottish courts
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    I am unsure if this is a good thing or not.
    Good for publishers of legal textbooks and the cv of whoever's idea this is but from the linked article, probably bad for justice.

    A study published in 2019 found removing the not proven verdict might incline more jurors towards a guilty verdict in finely balanced trials.
    ...
    The general perception among the public is often that a "not proven" verdict suggests a sheriff or jury believes the accused is guilty, but does not have sufficient evidence to convict.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    Taking those two paragraphs together suggests more guilty verdicts even when there is insufficient evidence, and so more miscarriages of justice. I suppose proponents will say that is a price worth paying if fewer criminals evade justice because of police incompetence.
    Instinctively, I would say that the removal of 'not proven' would probably lead to more not guilty verdicts, because presumably a conviction has to be 'beyond reasonable doubt'.

    In a lot of ways the legal system, and the judiciary itself, is the final bastion against the 'woke'. It is the final wall that a project of social transformation based on highly emotive concepts slams in to... Rules, evidence, proof.
    I think one of the main motives is to help the rape conviction % clamber a little way off the floor?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,564
    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957
    I think it's fair to say that Rishi's dismounted police escort has gone viral with even the Times of India commenting on it.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    Delivered in Labour wards apparently...
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,662

    Six Months ago SKS Party had a 37 point lead according to YG

    https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/8w0a2xhvy8/TheTimes_VI_Results_221021_W.pdf

    Today they have it at 15

    SKS Fans please explain

    No problem. Truss to Sunak.
    Ten Weeks ago SKS Party had a 28 point lead according to YG

    Today they have it at 15

    SKS Fans please explain

    https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/r2r7ejhs5x/TheTimes_VI_230215_W_.pdf
    Where oh where are the SKS fans this Morning?
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,963
    edited April 2023
    darkage said:

    Nigelb said:

    Not proven verdict to be scrapped in Scottish courts
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    I am unsure if this is a good thing or not.
    Good for publishers of legal textbooks and the cv of whoever's idea this is but from the linked article, probably bad for justice.

    A study published in 2019 found removing the not proven verdict might incline more jurors towards a guilty verdict in finely balanced trials.
    ...
    The general perception among the public is often that a "not proven" verdict suggests a sheriff or jury believes the accused is guilty, but does not have sufficient evidence to convict.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    Taking those two paragraphs together suggests more guilty verdicts even when there is insufficient evidence, and so more miscarriages of justice. I suppose proponents will say that is a price worth paying if fewer criminals evade justice because of police incompetence.
    Instinctively, I would say that the removal of 'not proven' would probably lead to more not guilty verdicts, because presumably a conviction has to be 'beyond reasonable doubt'.

    In a lot of ways the legal system, and the judiciary itself, is the final bastion against the 'woke'. It is the final wall that a project of social transformation based on highly emotive concepts slams in to... Rules, evidence, proof.
    I've always assumed that juries use "not proven" when they think the case has been made on the balance of probabilities but not beyond reasonable doubt.

    If they start returning guilty verdicts in such circumstances, that's a problem.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,662
    kinabalu said:

    Six Months ago SKS Party had a 37 point lead according to YG

    https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/8w0a2xhvy8/TheTimes_VI_Results_221021_W.pdf

    Today they have it at 15

    SKS Fans please explain

    Newtons 2nd law.
    SKS has gained the lbs and the press are coming for the liar in Chief?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    If confirmed, this could be pretty serious.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,585
    kinabalu said:

    darkage said:

    Nigelb said:

    Not proven verdict to be scrapped in Scottish courts
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    I am unsure if this is a good thing or not.
    Good for publishers of legal textbooks and the cv of whoever's idea this is but from the linked article, probably bad for justice.

    A study published in 2019 found removing the not proven verdict might incline more jurors towards a guilty verdict in finely balanced trials.
    ...
    The general perception among the public is often that a "not proven" verdict suggests a sheriff or jury believes the accused is guilty, but does not have sufficient evidence to convict.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    Taking those two paragraphs together suggests more guilty verdicts even when there is insufficient evidence, and so more miscarriages of justice. I suppose proponents will say that is a price worth paying if fewer criminals evade justice because of police incompetence.
    Instinctively, I would say that the removal of 'not proven' would probably lead to more not guilty verdicts, because presumably a conviction has to be 'beyond reasonable doubt'.

    In a lot of ways the legal system, and the judiciary itself, is the final bastion against the 'woke'. It is the final wall that a project of social transformation based on highly emotive concepts slams in to... Rules, evidence, proof.
    I think one of the main motives is to help the rape conviction % clamber a little way off the floor?
    The only way that will happen, is if juries are abolished for rape trials.

    Juries are really unwilling to send a man down for years, and scar him for life, without being convinced beyond reasonable doubt by the evidence against him.

    When large numbers of cases involve consumption of alcohol, and some sort of voluntary sexual conduct before the alleged assault, and sometimes afterwards too, that conviction rate will stay where it is.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    @Haggis_UK
    Mark Rowley(Metropolitan Police Commissioner) takes no nonsense from 30p Lee Anderson

    "You're making selective comments based on a partial understanding of the law... if people want to be personally offensive, then write it in newspapers, I'm not going to answer those questions"

    https://twitter.com/Haggis_UK/status/1651154689587572736
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,011
    algarkirk said:

    Flanner said:

    MaxPB said:

    Watched the Diplomat yesterday on Netflix. The first few episodes don't grab me, my wife, who has served in the Swiss diplomatic service in the Swiss Embassy for the UK was extremely unimpressed.

    It's a drama, not a documentary.

    Is "Hamlet" crap because it doesn't accurately portray political governance in medieval Denmark?

    Are drama, novels or news coverage ever convincingly accurate when dealing with anything you really know quite a lot about?

    That odd feeling when national news covers stories in your local area...

    Some of the good folk over on Rail Forums start jumping up and down whenever Mark 1 coaching stock features in a drama set 10 years before they were built.

    "It's just an old train, ffs" doesn't seem to cut it.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    kinabalu said:

    darkage said:

    Nigelb said:

    Not proven verdict to be scrapped in Scottish courts
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    I am unsure if this is a good thing or not.
    Good for publishers of legal textbooks and the cv of whoever's idea this is but from the linked article, probably bad for justice.

    A study published in 2019 found removing the not proven verdict might incline more jurors towards a guilty verdict in finely balanced trials.
    ...
    The general perception among the public is often that a "not proven" verdict suggests a sheriff or jury believes the accused is guilty, but does not have sufficient evidence to convict.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    Taking those two paragraphs together suggests more guilty verdicts even when there is insufficient evidence, and so more miscarriages of justice. I suppose proponents will say that is a price worth paying if fewer criminals evade justice because of police incompetence.
    Instinctively, I would say that the removal of 'not proven' would probably lead to more not guilty verdicts, because presumably a conviction has to be 'beyond reasonable doubt'.

    In a lot of ways the legal system, and the judiciary itself, is the final bastion against the 'woke'. It is the final wall that a project of social transformation based on highly emotive concepts slams in to... Rules, evidence, proof.
    I think one of the main motives is to help the rape conviction % clamber a little way off the floor?
    It doesn't look to make any difference. When the bar for a guilty verdict is beyond reasonable doubt, not guilty and not proven are the same thing. The bigger issue I think is the requirement in Scotland for corroboration for witness evidence, but even here there doesn't seem to be a big difference between sentencing rates for the two countries as English jurors tend to be reluctant to convict only on uncorroborated witness evidence.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    We can only hope. What an absolutely shameless attempt to game the system this policy is. Perhaps the Tories have sniffed the oncoming optics when people are blocked from voting.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,667
    edited April 2023
    Foss said:

    Driver said:

    Nigelb said:

    Not proven verdict to be scrapped in Scottish courts
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    I am unsure if this is a good thing or not.
    It's interesting to see the SNP bringing Scotland more in line with England.
    Once we have as much raw sewage in our rivers as England, the Indy dream will be over.
    Not going to happen because population differences... Rather hard to find much sewage in the Highlands...

    On a serious point, how has the government allowed the narrative to form that water companies have only just started putting sewage into rivers? The situation today is vastly improved on 20, 30 years ago. There is much more to be done, but the current situation is being amplified because events are being recorded.
    Out of curiosity, if events have only started being recorded in recent years, how do you know that the sewage situation now is vastly improved on 20, 30 years ago?
    Great question. Generally the health of our rivers is vastly better than before, albeit that's mostly anecdotal.

    However I believe it is true, unless there is evidence that it's not.
    Thank you. So you have no idea whether the sewage situation has improved, stayed the same, or worsened over the last 20-30 years.
    Not what I said. There is a lot of evidence of water quality improvement over the years. There has been a specific requirement recently to monitor sewage release and this has been seized on as if the releases had just started, which is not the case.
    Do you think rivers were cleaner in 1990?
    For example, phosphate levels in the Thames have fallen to pre WWII levels from some staggering peaks in the 1960s.
    The Don has gone from being functionally dead to having salmon spawning grounds.
    There's a picture that appeared in the Sheffield Star of the river literally on fire in the 1970s, there being so much surface oil.

    The nearest weir to me used to have foam 10 feet high, sometimes blowing on to the road bridge downstream.

    We are definitely better than that now. That isn't to say there aren't problems, but they are nowhere near what they were.

    Sewage pollution is bad, but having Mercury discharged directly into the River Mersey (also functionally dead at the time) was worse.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,963

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    We can only hope. What an absolutely shameless attempt to game the system this policy is. Perhaps the Tories have sniffed the oncoming optics when people are blocked from voting.
    "blocked"...
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485
    Driver said:

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    We can only hope. What an absolutely shameless attempt to game the system this policy is. Perhaps the Tories have sniffed the oncoming optics when people are blocked from voting.
    "blocked"...



    Shameless.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    Six Months ago SKS Party had a 37 point lead according to YG

    https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/8w0a2xhvy8/TheTimes_VI_Results_221021_W.pdf

    Today they have it at 15

    SKS Fans please explain

    No problem. Truss to Sunak.
    Ten Weeks ago SKS Party had a 28 point lead according to YG

    Today they have it at 15

    SKS Fans please explain

    https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/r2r7ejhs5x/TheTimes_VI_230215_W_.pdf
    So SKS gets leads Corbyn could only dream of, but those leads slip back a bit, and you say he is useless? Take a long hard look at yourself. It's getting boring now. No other leader could have done what SKS has done. There, I've said it.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,963

    Driver said:

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    We can only hope. What an absolutely shameless attempt to game the system this policy is. Perhaps the Tories have sniffed the oncoming optics when people are blocked from voting.
    "blocked"...



    Shameless.
    We've done this before.



  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485
    Driver said:

    Driver said:

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    We can only hope. What an absolutely shameless attempt to game the system this policy is. Perhaps the Tories have sniffed the oncoming optics when people are blocked from voting.
    "blocked"...



    Shameless.
    We've done this before.



    Absolutely shameless. Amazing you are going out to bat for this. You are normally a sensible poster.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,662
    edited April 2023
    DougSeal said:

    Six Months ago SKS Party had a 37 point lead according to YG

    https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/8w0a2xhvy8/TheTimes_VI_Results_221021_W.pdf

    Today they have it at 15

    SKS Fans please explain

    No problem. Truss to Sunak.
    Ten Weeks ago SKS Party had a 28 point lead according to YG

    Today they have it at 15

    SKS Fans please explain

    https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/r2r7ejhs5x/TheTimes_VI_230215_W_.pdf
    No other leader could have done what SKS has done.
    Blown a 39 point lead to lose a GE

    Agreed

    https://peoplepolling.org/tables/202210_GBN_W42_full.pdf#subsection*.12
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,963
    edited April 2023

    Driver said:

    Driver said:

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    We can only hope. What an absolutely shameless attempt to game the system this policy is. Perhaps the Tories have sniffed the oncoming optics when people are blocked from voting.
    "blocked"...



    Shameless.
    We've done this before.



    Absolutely shameless. Amazing you are going out to bat for this. You are normally a sensible poster.
    I don't see why you can't tell the difference between something where the holder has already proved their identity and something where they haven't, even if they look pretty similar.

    Bringing GB in line with NI on this is well overdue, I've wanted it long before the Electoral Commission recommended it. I'll be appalled if this is dropped - it's an essential part of improving our voting system. Doing something about postal voting needs to be next but if the people who dislike this change for partisan reasons prevail, then that will never happen.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 11,786
    Driver said:

    Driver said:

    Driver said:

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    We can only hope. What an absolutely shameless attempt to game the system this policy is. Perhaps the Tories have sniffed the oncoming optics when people are blocked from voting.
    "blocked"...



    Shameless.
    We've done this before.



    Absolutely shameless. Amazing you are going out to bat for this. You are normally a sensible poster.
    I don't see why you can't tell the difference between something where the holder has already proved their identity and something where they haven't, even if they look pretty similar.

    Bringing GB in line with NI on this is well overdue, I've wanted it long before the Electoral Commission recommended it. I'll be appalled if this is dropped - it's an essential part of improving our voting system. Doing something about postal voting needs to be next but if the people who dislike this change for partisan reasons prevail, then that will never happen.
    Doing something about postal voting needed to be first, not next.

    It is ludicrous to clamp down on a crime that is not committed and to ignore one that is committed regularly.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,963
    kjh said:

    Driver said:

    Driver said:

    Driver said:

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    We can only hope. What an absolutely shameless attempt to game the system this policy is. Perhaps the Tories have sniffed the oncoming optics when people are blocked from voting.
    "blocked"...



    Shameless.
    We've done this before.



    Absolutely shameless. Amazing you are going out to bat for this. You are normally a sensible poster.
    I don't see why you can't tell the difference between something where the holder has already proved their identity and something where they haven't, even if they look pretty similar.

    Bringing GB in line with NI on this is well overdue, I've wanted it long before the Electoral Commission recommended it. I'll be appalled if this is dropped - it's an essential part of improving our voting system. Doing something about postal voting needs to be next but if the people who dislike this change for partisan reasons prevail, then that will never happen.
    Doing something about postal voting needed to be first, not next.

    It is ludicrous to clamp down on a crime that is not committed and to ignore one that is committed regularly.
    That would have been preferable - better would have been to do both at the same time.

    That's still not a reason not to do this.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,405

    Driver said:

    Conservative Central Office provided leaflets for Norfolk saying that ID not required on the 4th May locals.

    Pillocks - or the first to confirm that the idea will be suspended?

    We can only hope. What an absolutely shameless attempt to game the system this policy is. Perhaps the Tories have sniffed the oncoming optics when people are blocked from voting.
    "blocked"...



    Shameless.
    How many fecking times. The senior one needs proof of ID to obtain in the first place the younger one does not.

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,817
    Sandpit said:

    Offtopic, a totally fascinating piece about Fox News, with alums Glenn Beck, Bill O’Reilly and Megyn Kelly, discussing the departure of Tucker Carlson and the future of the channel

    https://youtube.com/watch?v=Jm4La0nqiG4

    First quote of note:
    O’Reilly: Trump would not have been president without the Fox News channel
    Beck: Agreed
    O’Reilly: And now that’s gone. He doesn’t have that advantage for the upcoming election. That’s the big story here.

    I think the big story is that news networks can no longer lie and lie with impunity. There is a price to pay and it’s expensive.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,817
    Scott_xP said:

    @YouGov
    3m
    Latest Westminster voting intention (18-19 Apr)

    Con: 28% (-1 from 12-13 Apr)
    Lab: 43% (-2)
    Lib Dem: 10% (=)
    Reform UK: 7% (+1)
    Green: 6% (+1)
    SNP: 2% (-1)

    I think that is the lowest I have seen the SNP in a national poll since 2014.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,817
    kinabalu said:

    darkage said:

    Nigelb said:

    Not proven verdict to be scrapped in Scottish courts
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    I am unsure if this is a good thing or not.
    Good for publishers of legal textbooks and the cv of whoever's idea this is but from the linked article, probably bad for justice.

    A study published in 2019 found removing the not proven verdict might incline more jurors towards a guilty verdict in finely balanced trials.
    ...
    The general perception among the public is often that a "not proven" verdict suggests a sheriff or jury believes the accused is guilty, but does not have sufficient evidence to convict.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65397235

    Taking those two paragraphs together suggests more guilty verdicts even when there is insufficient evidence, and so more miscarriages of justice. I suppose proponents will say that is a price worth paying if fewer criminals evade justice because of police incompetence.
    Instinctively, I would say that the removal of 'not proven' would probably lead to more not guilty verdicts, because presumably a conviction has to be 'beyond reasonable doubt'.

    In a lot of ways the legal system, and the judiciary itself, is the final bastion against the 'woke'. It is the final wall that a project of social transformation based on highly emotive concepts slams in to... Rules, evidence, proof.
    I think one of the main motives is to help the rape conviction % clamber a little way off the floor?
    Ahem. Currently 9/12. Probably not going to improve this week though.
This discussion has been closed.