Categories
With the SNP declining could we see results like this again? – politicalbetting.com
With the SNP declining could we see results like this again? – politicalbetting.com
This from GE1992 is really quite extraordinary with the winner on just 26% of the vote and the Tories in fourth place only 3.4% behind.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
I spoke to him about this result last week.
He has never been a simpering monarchist but has been certainly no republican while the queen was alive.
If Charles is losing the support of even his own generation he is in trouble.
Not surprising
But the monarchy will not be abolished in the foreseeable time scale.
The interesting questions are elsewhere - like what shape, what form, what functions, what style, what funding.
In electoral FPTP politics it is unthinkable that a party who could win an election will put abolition or a referendum in a manifesto. The maths is simple. Few will transfer their votes that way because of the pledge - it just isn't that big an issue for republicans. But some will not do so because of it, and some will transfer the other way because of it. Monarchy's defenders feel more strongly than opponents.
In YM language such a move would be bold and courageous. So there is no mechanism to get it to happen.
"Vote Labour get President Blair/Branson/Beckham" is not a winner.
Would NOT be shocked IF it was similar to that you just described. For similar reasons.
As I mentioned before, there are more important to fix, but a simple answer to the monarchy question would be to have a "head of state" election every ten years. King Charles could put himself forward. If he is as popular as monarchists say he is, he will win by a landslide every time!
I dont' think we'll ever get back to that, but 2017 showed that a surprisingly large number could be lost fairly easily.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/newslondon/leading-german-magazine-declares-uk-a-nation-on-life-support/ar-AA1afMzd?ocid=entnewsntp&cvid=394d09cb7a774d56abc06326980c7a39&ei=19
But she doesn't seem to notice.
Instead she focuses on the fact that, very recently, the percentage of white men working has declined faster than the percentage of black men working.
(Could that change be caused by immigration? https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/01/27/key-findings-about-black-immigrants-in-the-u-s/#:~:text=One-in-ten Black people in the U.S. are immigrants.&text=This increase accounted for 19,Black population's growth through 2060.)
Like him or not, he has a massive audience of followers, from what was the single most successful show on cable news.
I imagine that there’s a lot of people looking to hire him in new media, and he ends up online with a similar show, rather than seeking out elected office. If you can get wildcard odds on him, might be worth a punt.
I can remember a caretaker quitting to go manage a lower league club.
Stewart Houston quitting for QPR.
Can’t blame him for leaving the Woolwich.
In reality, that result was freakish anyway. A perfect storm of different national and local tides that made it unclear who the main contenders were. I'm reminded of Norwich South in 2010 - another Lib Dem win on a sub 30% vote. Such results are interesting but don't bear close analysis or mean all that much.
So Sunak was the new bright light? This is every bit as bad as Boris.
The tories deserve to be booted out for a hundred years. Disgusting, revolting, sleaze-ridden, utterly corrupt.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/By-elections_to_the_House_of_Lords
That absurdity in itself justifies the continuing existence of the Lords in my opinion.
https://twitter.com/davidheniguk/status/1650398554509262848
https://twitter.com/jamesrbuk/status/1650499834376339458
I expect English border towns will see quite an exodus from Scotland
Monarchy = Socialism!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norodom_Sihanouk
He also apparently directed movies.
It is an excellent means of communication, especially locally for all kinds of emergencies, and by trialling it it assists it in sorting out technical issues
Your hatred is getting the better of you
It's 'straitened' btw.
Spain unemployment at 13%
Greece unemployment at 12%
Italy unemployment at 8%
Germany might want to look closer to home.
https://twitter.com/jamesrbuk/status/1650216387011309570
BUT - if we are to have an alert, it doesn't seem unreasonable to test it, and it doesn't seem a hanging offence if the test highlights some issues. That's why you do the tests.
No, you can’t ban maths, no matter how much your spooks don’t like encrypted messaging systems.
George VI and Elizabeth II were excellent. George V wasn't bad. Edward VII was OK once on the throne. Victoria essentially learnt on the job. Well respected by the end but endured several bouts of republican sentiment during her reign.
Edward VIII was a real shit and was basically ousted by elected politicians. George IV was such a tosspot that The Times wrote excoriating editorials about him, including the day after his farcical coronation.
George III was actually not bad I think. George I and George II were just strange absentee Germans - a bit of an establishment coup at the time - that provoked revolts. You then go back to the Stuarts and find real idiots. Again, two of them overthrown.
The real question is whether, in future, the institution can survive a stinker or whether they just get manoeuvred out for the next in line.
Britain being Britain our culture suggests much more the latter.
We are a land of history and heritage, our monarchy is unique and distinctive and republics are really fucking boring.
The actual sending is spread over a few minutes to prevent network overloading.
I don’t think they have a list or anything. And don’t get any more information than they had previously.
Strong 💪
I don't think he'll get the admiration that Edward VII eventually achieved, but he'll be OK.
There are very many nails in that particular coffin.
True "national" existential emergencies are thankfully rare.
Where the alert system will earn its corn is the regional or local aspect - as commented elsewhere, warning of flooding would be its primary use. I'm in downtown East London and if I knew the Thames or the Lea were going to flood I could take some action.
There's also the instances of helping people to help themselves - we saw last December for example hundreds of motorists, completely ill-prepared, getting stuck on snow-covered roads form hours. A warning of bad weather might keep people off the roads or get people moving and home in good time to prevent getting caught in someone else's blizzard.
Why didn't the government write to people to ask them before it did this?
I'll just look at the weather forecast, or the radar, thanks.
I suppose you'd have wanted the authorities to seek your permission before an air raid siren was sounded, too?
"A senior Chinese diplomat has provoked angry protests from the three Baltic countries as well as Ukraine after he questioned the sovereignty of former Soviet countries.
In an interview with LCI, a French television news channel, Lu Shaye, the Chinese ambassador to France, told the host that “even these countries of the former USSR do not have, how to say, effective status in international law. Because there is no international agreement specifying their status as a sovereign country.” The interview was broadcast on Friday."
Macron's China pivot going well I see. Lol.
However righteously angry you are or people should be about it - like plenty of people I've asked what the need for it was - writing a letter to everyone in the country about it is not a serious suggestion.
I have formed this Daffodil Hypothesis based on counting the boobs over successive years.
Take a look at latest graphical chart. I want you to see boobs, so I have helpfully pointed at them.
Now, here’s the clever bit.
to be specific, my distinctive psephology is predicting a pert titty to appear right in front of you on right end of this graph. This would indicate Sunak enjoyed a perky polling period in April. There is no disputing the chart shows Tories enjoy Spring bounce in this parliament - just look at both of them, like a pornhub stepmom lying back whilst her neighbours son is earning his red badge of courage for bobajob week.
But if proven we have reached latest teat of cessation, supports the underlying Daffodil Hypothesis, it wasn’t down to Rishi or his policy wins at all - it was simply April. Despite everything, the Tories doing well every April. Just shame about the other eleven months.
Tell me I am reading the graph wrong, but, this third boob to form perfectly, like the most eye catching stalagmite, the Daffodil Hypothesis would show clear trend for Tories from their spring protrusions:
2021 fig a) miles in front,
2022 fig b) Boris just 4 points behind,
2023 fig c) Tories teated out absolutely nowhere.
• Sleeping
• Having sex
• Talking to an infirm relative
• Getting married
• At a funeral
When did the government write to people to ask them if they wanted to be included in their 'test'?
-Defeat of Corbyn and his acolytes who might have thought about trying to get rid of the monarchy if they had felt secure enough in power
-Labour getting badly burned by Brexit means there's no chance of a centrist Labour party risking getting on the wrong side of a constitutional issue.