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Kate Forbes must be glad to have lost the SNP leadership contest – politicalbetting.com
Kate Forbes must be glad to have lost the SNP leadership contest – politicalbetting.com
The situation has developed not necessarily to the SNP's advantage. https://t.co/PPqMYuuhtS
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11 Polls with fieldwork entirely in April
LAB Ave. 44.45 (45,44,45,41,46,44,44,48,45,42,44)
CON Ave 28.73 ( 28,27,30,30,26,30,30,25,30,28,32)
LAB Lead 15.72
Polls with fieldwork in previous 2 weeks (late March)
LAB Ave. 46.63 (48,45,45,44,46,46,50,49)
CON Ave. 26.25 (27,27,29,22,26,26,27,26)
LAB Lead 18.38
Reduction in LAB Lead 2.66
MEDIAN April LAB 44 CON 30 LAB Median Lead 14
MEDIAN Late March LAB 46 CON 26.5 LAB Median Lead 19.5
MEDIAN Reduction in Lab Lead 5.5
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/105dc988-dd3c-11ed-a0a8-657f9e54fc6a?shareToken=867b0057b5bd2f171e6e48f1e9dea885
What happened to Salmond's Alba party ?
Labour lead is fourteen in latest results from Deltapoll.
Con 29% (+2)
Lab 43% (-5)
Lib Dem 10% (+1)
Other 17% (-)
Fieldwork: 13th - 17th April 2023
Sample: 1,567 GB adults
(Changes from 31st March - 3rd April 2023)
Kate Forbes probably is glad to have lost the SNP leadership contest but when Humza Yousaf bites the dust even harder than Liz Truss did - which is surely what's going to happen - will she walk in the footsteps of BJohnson or will she be applauded into office à la RSunak?
The fact that her image is as a Ms Clean who probably doesn't even wash her clothes on a Sunday, let alone hang them on the line, and who seems to think an erection is something described on a planning application, added to the fact that she hasn't held the top job before, suggests she's in a strong position to take over as party leader and FM, perhaps soon.
This thread has been Trumped
https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/politics/scottish-politics/3111256/alex-salmond-popularity/
Independence still maybe - but with some serious intellectual heft first. Those able to make a case for how Scotland responds to issues like currency, pensions, head of state - they seem to be in awfully short supply.
This might be an interesting time for Sunak to set up a Royal Commission into Scottish independence, to examine in forensic detail exactly how Scotland might look post independence - and the difficult choices the Scots (and rUK) might have to make.
The SNP have got away with forcing the case in an in intellectual vacuum.
20-year-old Kaylin A. Gillis, from Saratoga County, was killed.
https://mobile.twitter.com/timesunion/status/1648061732139442176
Oops!
@JamesKelly
What is going on is heartbreaking. If Forbes had won, or even if the process had been fair, it would still be happening, but there would be more of a cordon sanitaire between it and the current leadership. As it is, Humza as the handpicked continuity leader has ownership of it."
https://twitter.com/JamesKelly/status/1648245830149611522
The lack of intellectual honesty seems to be about par for the SNP.
It's a portent.
I'm not saying Humza Yousef is screwed, but I hear Liz Truss is making jokes about him.
Seems to be happening. On steroids...
And yet the faithful will continue to believe the lies are truth and the truth are lies. The exact place the Tories want people here to get to. Lets not let them.
It's making me barf.
https://stephenfollows.com/how-i-caught-the-uk-government-not-doing-their-homework/
One thing it mentions is that he gave up maths at 16, but later "self-educated".
Let's hope this helps to bury the ludicrous political gimmick.
You are on Mars. Breathe deeply (the air is on special this week).
Parties that cross the two-member threshold as a result of a by-election or a defection from another party mid-way through a parliamentary session are not eligible for Short Money. This means that if MPs break away to form a new political party between elections, as happened during the 2017–19 parliament, that party is not eligible for public funding.
Ukrainian forces reportedly captured a Russian TOS-1A Solntsepyok multiple thermobaric rocket launcher in the area of Bakhmut
https://mobile.twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1648295812840017921
* A not insignificant qualification.
https://www.nuffieldfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/Is-the-UK-an-Outlier_Nuffield-Foundation_v_FINAL.pdf
Ash Regan tells World at One that she has sympathy with calls for a rerun of SNP leadership campaign
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/education/students-fail-maths-gcse-exam-resits-cycle-b1060200.html
So it's voluntary once I particular level is reached.
Yousaf: I don't believe SNP is criminal operation
https://twitter.com/HTScotPol/status/1648301588136488960
You can make lots of cases for why Scotland should be independent, but do so only with the sure and certain example of Brexit to guide likely outcomes.
I also think anyone who advocated Brexit ought to understand the motivation of those who seek Scottish Independence. Its why I found the SNP's complaints about Brexit so frustrating.
Now, who among friendly nations might be able to supply the rockets for it?
Oh, wait...
“I’m always surprised when one of my colleagues is arrested.”
https://twitter.com/STVKathryn/status/1648305777151467522
Humza really is the spokesman for the crisis in the SNP
Even so, it's slightly surprising that Ukrainian forces would be able to capture, rather than destroy one, around the heavily contested, and pretty static Bakhmut fighting.
Also high value - Russia only had about forty of them.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11982999/RICHARD-LITTLEJOHN-Shirking-home-turn-cities-basket-cases-like-San-Francisco.html
i wouldn’t be surprised if Yousaf resigned by accident.
LAB: 45% (+1)
CON: 27% (=)
LDM: 10% (+1)
REF: 6% (=)
GRN: 5% (-2)
via @YouGov, 12-13 Apr
(Changes with 6 Apr)
Replying to @alexmassie
Have the police given him the shovel they found at the Murrells'?
Net approval for the Leader of the Opposition has decreased by two points over the same period.
https://twitter.com/DeltapollUK/status/1648244325099216898?s=20
Our historical leadership approval tracker shows that the gap between net approval for @RishiSunak and @Keir_Starmer has narrowed from fifteen points, 2 weeks ago, to two points this week.
https://twitter.com/DeltapollUK/status/1648244327473192965?s=20
Humza Yousaf rules out suspending SNP treasurer arrested by police, and says he does not think party now acting criminally -
1. An SNP split - formal or informal - between constitutionalists and secessionists
2. A significant Labour revival in Scotland
3. Informal SNP support for a minority Labour government in Westminster
4. Weakened, but still strong, support for independence
Maybe the AI should be able to post 500 comments on every new thread, from scraping half a dozen newspaper websites and reading the previous 500 non-AI comments?
I’m British.
I see your point.
2m
Latest @YouGov @thetimes poll. In hindsight #Brexit right 34 (+2); wrong 54 (-1). Fwork 12-13.4 (ch since 5-6.4). bit.ly/40gxJaI
Four months later they started another operation which the called 'The Other Operation'. In this racket they selected another victim and threatened not to beat him up if he didn't pay them.
One month later they hit upon 'The Other Other Operation'. In this the victim was threatened that if he didn't pay them, they would beat him up. This for the Piranha brothers was the turning point."