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From Mike Smithson – a personal note – politicalbetting.com

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  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    kle4 said:

    I'm a monarchist, and not one moaning about the fact there is a coronoation at all, but I really think the idea of lots of street parties is going to be shown to be a bit of a fantasy.
    They just look really shit. I went to one once, the reason for which is lost in the mists of time. It was crap. Cold tea, warm
    lager and lots of packaging.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,294
    edited April 2023
    carnforth said:

    He shot her through the bathroom door.
    Yes, I appreciate that. I didn't get RCS's point re: if Pistorius' girlfriend had been black.

    But I presume he's scathingly pointing out that Pistorius would have had a chance of getting off (in Missouri at least) had Reeva Steenkamp been black.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,648
    kle4 said:

    I will never get over the randomness of the internet - one of the first comments I see udner that one is from the author Guy Gavriel Kay.

    On Dominion, sure, why not a settlement? I mean, their business has probably been hit hard by the lies and the whole point has been to extract something from Fox. They're not proving much more on the lie front, the arguments appear to be more technical about who is responsible.
    I’m not sure.
    A trial would garner enormous publicity, so they might benefit in those terms. Fox would definitely suffer.

    I think it likely comes down to how stingy the Murdochs are about paying for their stupidity. A reasonably generous offer would settle it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,533

    They just look really shit. I went to one once, the reason for which is lost in the mists of time. It was crap. Cold tea, warm
    lager and lots of packaging.
    Village fetes make more sense. Not that they are great, but feel a bit more natural an environment for a community gathering.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,628

    Not really. Everyone's talking about what wankshafts they are.

    And, now, I actually want to use more oil.
    Vaseline's run out?
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    Interesting - seems to be vegetarian.
    Duh! Which bit doesn't seem veggie?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,533
    Sometimes Tom Harwood has a point

    I wish Elon Musk would stick to rockets and cars instead of Twitter.

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1647950359803953160?cxt=HHwWkIC8ud-H2d4tAAAA
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,648
    edited April 2023
    Strong argument in favour of voting Labour.
    I wasn’t intending to, but now I’m wavering.

    Tory MP @NickGibbUK says that Labour would crash the economy if they got into power...
    https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1648047843624599552
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    kle4 said:

    Village fetes make more sense. Not that they are great, but feel a bit more natural an environment for a community gathering.
    Yep. Quite like a village fete. Proper beer tent ideally and some form of target game.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022

    This is the sort of thing that would cause Al Murray's Pub Landlord to explode in rage. Why choose that fancy French muck when there's so much honest, straight-down-the-middle, no messing about, stout British fare on offer.
    The Norman Yolk?

    I imagine Charles would have learned during his time at Aberystwyth that he wasn't really British at all but French. Apparently all the menus at Buckingham Palace are in French, as they should be.
  • FossFoss Posts: 1,394

    Yep. Quite like a village fete. Proper beer tent ideally and some form of target game.
    It's not a proper fete without a Bat the Rat.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,648
    felix said:

    Duh! Which bit doesn't seem veggie?
    Lard in the pastry ?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,232
    Nigelb said:

    Strong argument in favour of voting Labour.
    I wasn’t intending to, but now I’m wavering.

    Tory MP @NickGibbUK says that Labour would crash the economy if they got into power...
    https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1648047843624599552

    Nick was on fire on R4 PM this evening explaining how public services have significantly improved since 2010. He was quite convincing. Well he'd convinced himself anyway.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Any news on the Stone of Destiny? Would be a jolly jape indeed if the Rebellious Scots / Just Stop Oil refused to return it…
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,648

    Nick was on fire on R4 PM this evening…
    That got @ydoethur quite excited for a moment.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,078

    Don't we always get this a month or two out from jubilees and royal weddings?

    They always turn out to be rather well-attended.

    Sure, a few people go away for a long weekend. Far more come together with their local communities and celebrate.
    I agree. Any excuse for a party.

    We're having a big party in the street outside my flat. The local pub is providing drink and food but you can bring your own if you want. There'll be music and dancing by royalists and republicans. We know how to enjoy ourselves.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,194
    edited April 2023

    Singapore was to the Japs.
    Yorktown was to the Yanks and French.
    Kut was to the Turks
    Saratoga to the Yanks too
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Foss said:

    It's not a proper fete without a Bat the Rat.
    Was that the one with the stuffed sock and the vertical tube? Never mastered it.
  • TheValiantTheValiant Posts: 1,945
    Ghedebrav said:

    It'll depend how much profile RefUK get in the election. They need to clearly position themselves as continuity UKIP/Brexit. If they get the Farage endorsement, they'll poll up to 10%; if they're relying on Lozzo and Cosplay Calvin their ceiling is more 4-5%.
    I don't think RefUK are going to get 10%, or anywhere near it.
    With the right circumstances, a Farage endorsement and perhaps some sort of narrative that might stick (Brexit betrayal or some such rubbish) they might get 6%. It'll get them no seats, but likely deny the Conservatives a few seats that Labour or the LD will pick up instead.

    Or they have a rubbish night, and get 3% and achieve nothing.

    Who are Lozzo and Cosplay Calvin by the way? The only people I know in RefUK are Tice and Widdecombe.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,294

    Yep. Quite like a village fete. Proper beer tent ideally and some form of target game.
    Well, we're having a bring and share street party in our village - and I suspect it will be greatly enjoyed by those who attend (which I'd estimate will be about 1/3rd of the residents).
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,163

    Yep. Quite like a village fete. Proper beer tent ideally and some form of target game.
    Like venison?
  • FossFoss Posts: 1,394

    Was that the one with the stuffed sock and the vertical tube? Never mastered it.
    Pretty much.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,992

    Don't we always get this a month or two out from jubilees and royal weddings?

    They always turn out to be rather well-attended.

    Sure, a few people go away for a long weekend. Far more come together with their local communities and celebrate.
    We'e having teas and picnics on the green and in the village hall which should be well attended. Looks like quiche supplies need to be prepared
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,522

    I don't think RefUK are going to get 10%, or anywhere near it.
    With the right circumstances, a Farage endorsement and perhaps some sort of narrative that might stick (Brexit betrayal or some such rubbish) they might get 6%. It'll get them no seats, but likely deny the Conservatives a few seats that Labour or the LD will pick up instead.

    Or they have a rubbish night, and get 3% and achieve nothing.

    Who are Lozzo and Cosplay Calvin by the way? The only people I know in RefUK are Tice and Widdecombe.
    Refuk might get 3% - in those few seats where they stand.

    Not easy to see whose ego it is Refuk is stroking.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,232
    HYUFD said:

    We'e having teas and picnics on the green and in the village hall which should be well attended. Looks like quiche supplies need to be prepared
    Red, white and blue bunting too?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,294
    Rumour is that the UK agreed to choose quiche for the coronation, as part of Sunak's deal with Macron.

    Next year the English Channel is going to be officially re-designated back to its proper name: La Manche.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,628

    Red, white and blue bunting too?
    It's Essex, not East Belfast :lol:
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    The ban on Ukrainian grain doesn't bode well for Ukraine's chances of joining the EU. I've always thought agriculture would be a major stepping stone since it s such a core part of the EU budget.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Well, we're having a bring and share street party in our village - and I suspect it will be greatly enjoyed by those who attend (which I'd estimate will be about 1/3rd of the residents).
    I’m sure it’s possible for them to be decent if you can refrigerate the booze properly and avoid packaging waste. TBF homemade quiche would solve one of those critical flaws.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,628

    Any news on the Stone of Destiny? Would be a jolly jape indeed if the Rebellious Scots / Just Stop Oil refused to return it…

    Isn't that the new Indiana Jones movie?
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,302
    edited April 2023
    kle4 said:

    Village fetes make more sense. Not that they are great, but feel a bit more natural an environment for a community gathering.

    Street parties don’t feel much fun when we’ve all moved well away from the model of having to socialise with your neighbours and tell them all your business.*

    Much prefer a fete or something, you can turn up and leave on your own terms. Get chatting to people, sample some food, etc, but don’t feel obliged to spend all afternoon sat drinking warm lager and eating dodgy quiche from three doors down.

    *not that I’m an antisocial bastard, but I’m very much in the “keep an eye on things while you’re on holiday and take turns in taking the bins out” camp rather than the “they are proximate to me I must take it upon myself to become their best friend” camp.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Foss said:

    Pretty much.
    Everyone seems to vastly underestimate the velocity of the rat. Rare is the contestant that bats before the rodent emerges.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Loving all the snooker puns on this thread.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,917

    The ban on Ukrainian grain doesn't bode well for Ukraine's chances of joining the EU. I've always thought agriculture would be a major stepping stone since it s such a core part of the EU budget.

    Do you mean stumbling block?
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,011
    Best wishes OGH
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727
    rcs1000 said:

    It is - nevertheless - significantly more intimidating to up sticks and move to a country where the paperwork you need to sign on a lease is in a different language, and you can't call the electricity company and understand what they say.

    Not impossible, sure.

    But much harder than when I moved to the US.
    Thailand's the place, mate

    0% tax. Literally, 0%. They don't care what you earn abroad. Just have private health insurance (which you would have anyway). You can rent a glam apartment in lower Sukhumvit for $1500 a month, and it will have gym and pool and be uber luxe

    Come and go as you please, in essence - because they want the money you spend and the business you might generate

    Countries are REALLY competing for the nomads. This is going to be a massive thing in years to come

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,628

    This thread is FOUL!

  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Spinach quiche sounds nice. I must try it some time.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,755
    rcs1000 said:

    Errr:

    Given Apple has enormous cash balances and the credit card push was a great way to deal with that (i.e., lend out the cash balances and earn a better return than Treasuries), it's not clear why they would want to bring in more.
    Origination of deposits for Goldman? Use the Apple brand and then pass on to GS for a fixed spread of - say 50bps - with a commitment on the time they will hold at GS? Ie manage risk of liquidity in deposits by ability - if needed - to draw on Apple’s cash balance to finance a run
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,106

    Isn't that the new Indiana Jones movie?
    IIRC part of the agreement for returning it was that it would always be sent to the Abbey for coronations.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,755

    Yes, I appreciate that. I didn't get RCS's point re: if Pistorius' girlfriend had been black.

    But I presume he's scathingly pointing out that Pistorius would have had a chance of getting off (in Missouri at least) had Reeva Steenkamp been black.
    That would be my assumption too
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,505
    Nigelb said:

    Lard in the pastry ?
    And Rennet in the cheese possibly.
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Best wishes to you and the family Mike.
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    Leon said:

    Thailand's the place, mate

    0% tax. Literally, 0%. They don't care what you earn abroad. Just have private health insurance (which you would have anyway). You can rent a glam apartment in lower Sukhumvit for $1500 a month, and it will have gym and pool and be uber luxe

    Come and go as you please, in essence - because they want the money you spend and the business you might generate

    Countries are REALLY competing for the nomads. This is going to be a massive thing in years to come

    Not convinced it works for families with kids. Kids need good education and roots.
This discussion has been closed.