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Criminal defendant Trump takes a tumble in the polls. – politicalbetting.com
Criminal defendant Trump takes a tumble in the polls. – politicalbetting.com
If this polling has it right then just a quarter of American adults now a favourable view of Donald Trump and this really puts into question whether he has any chance at all of making a comeback.
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EDIT: Darn it, pirate raid.
I think you mean 38.5%
Yes that's too tight for the Donald right now.
But hasn't his chances of getting the nomination improved?
If so, he looks likely to be one of two candidates. The other increasingly looking like being the sitting President. Who is therefore vulnerable to gas prices, the economy, terrorism and general events. Not to mention age and infirmity.
If you think DJT will be the nominee, then 38.5% isn't unreasonable in a two horse race at all.
Once the blustering, boorish magic is gone it aint coming back.
Who could blow up the Nord Streams?
“I don’t want to cause trouble to our country, so I won’t answer ... I can tell who didn’t do this: Russia,” ex-US President Trump replied.[VIDEO]
https://twitter.com/Spriter99880/status/1646064307929587713?s=20
It's a long way to the primaries, and if his ratings continue to slide, he's toast.
His GOP rivals are a pack of hyenas circling a mangy old lion. At some point greed will overcome fear.
Tim Scott launching 2024 exploratory committee
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3945133-tim-scott-launching-2024-exploratory-committee/
Honest.
People are normally put off a third-party run because of the massive expense leading to inevitable failure and ridicule, but for Trump it would probably be a net money maker, and he would get to blame the RINOs who had taken over the GOP, as well as the Democrats, for cheating him out of his certain election victory.
If they go hard in criticising Trump during the nomination contest then it only increases the chances of him going for a third party run. Needless to say, if Trump stands as a third-party candidate then the Democrats canter to re-election.
Have a charming spouse is my advice to anybody wanting to get anywhere in local politics. It makes a huge difference as they can reach a different part of the electorate.
Getting his collar felt absolutely helps with the former. He remains the principle figure in the GOP and the driver of all kinds of madness at federal and state level. We now have people working towards the
FuhrerTrump, implementing all kinds of crazy things which further tighten his grip on the movement.The problem for the GOP is that Trumpism is driving a big surge in centre / dem registration and participation as people rightly see this as the battle to save their democratic system and the country with it. So I can't see how any of this helps him secure the Presidency. Not that he was going to do so anyway against Biden.
Tucker Carlson told viewers that now was not the time to give up their AR15s. Because a full-scale armed insurrection is the only route to the Presidency for DJT.
The Liz Cheney GWB wing of the party could defeat Biden, but they stand zero chance of securing the nomination. So its Trump vs someone trying to out-Trump Trump. And He is so far ahead of all of them that it would need Him to be jailed to stop him taking the nomination. At which point they are doomed. At which point the detailed planning to secure the presidency from the traitors begins.
What's the impact on global markets of a Trump coup?
'The former PM, who beat Rishi Sunak in last year's Tory leadership contest, will conclude by saying she cares "too much about this agenda to walk away", hinting that her comeback is just getting started.'
The lady in the photo has been miscaptioned as "Christ"
If we no longer give a shit about the poor, the sick, the dispossessed etc then we don't need to provide support for them which means less spending and thus less taxes.
If we have a rigorously right wing approach to society we can reduce taxes for the rich by simply securing the poor in ghettos. This is a speech in the US, so it will fit right in. In the UK we have the problem of the poor ending up living on the streets which is distressing. But in America? Jail them for profit.
If Trump were to take power in 2025, thanks to a GOP House and Supreme Court, despite losing the election, then the rule of law in the US would be worthless, and the market value of US assets would respond consequently. In the short term, the prodigious capital outflows from the US, looking for a safe haven where the rule of law still applied, might see values in other markets rise, but the knock-on consequences for the global economy would be brutal.
My greatest triumph last year was hoisting a Pride flag then moving the cleats so far up the pole that it couldn't be lowered without a ladder. Which none of the doddery old farts dared ascend.
In fiction Gilead was an overly-religious theocracy. Under the surface the abuse of scripture was added as a means of control, with none of the Commanders who created it actually believing in it. Is that not evangelical "Christianity" in America, where their Bible is all the harsh bits of both testaments that condemn gays and women and none of that woke Jesus love thy neighbour stuff?
Trump cannot win the general election fairly. Trump cannot cheat and try to rig the election. So it will need to be a coup. Actually have some swing states on board with submitting the "correct" result (none of the Georgia fiasco this time) and back it up with a Second Amendment Patriots Militia. Physically stop the traitors voting knowing the state won't act until it is too late.
My fascination with the Gilead world isn't so much inside Gilead as outside. The rump US government operating from Alaska and Canada. Relations with the rest of the world who have utterly condemned it as an illegal state until they realise there is trade money to be won. Etc.
How do we stop this? A very significant proportion of Trump voters last time genuinely believe he won! They won't allow the election and the country to be stolen a second time, will they?
Maybe she'll be Trump's lapdog this time round, rather than Farage.
Clear lay. DYOR.
But largely gave up when we exposed the public money being spent by them to produce a town magazine which prints highly partisan political stuff. And both plod and the borough council (legally responsible after the abolition of the Standards Board) said "they can't do that. But we won't stop them". So "if you have a complaint go to the police" from the Mayor was basically bullet proof because the police weren't interested.
As much as I would love to see it for entertainment value there isn't a route through armed insurrection to make him POTUS as the Federal government has AH-1Zs and the MAGA Milisha have bad knees and unmanaged diabetes.
Not sure I'd put money on her coming back, though.
I think if you picked a GOP senator or governor at random they'd have at least a 40% chance of beating Biden. Tilting one way to win over your base of lunatics then leaning the other for the general election is normal politics. And assuming the Dem side is effectively uncontested, independent politics enthusiasts will be voting in the GOP primary where their state's rules allow.
There seems to be this quaint view that America is somehow immune to a lapse into autocracy that has happened in countless other democracies around the world. Even though all the warning lights political scientists who study these things have identified are flashing red.
This thread neatly summarises why I will never join a parish council.
I can't stand it anymore - have slapped some more down.
1 Bar traitors from voting. That is firstly by removing polling stations to make for long queues and a long journey to vote for democrats - already happened last time surely will just scale up this time. And have armed guards to drive away voters - again that happened last time in a few places. Federal won't be able to get involved quickly enough. State will be GOP run and legal immediate appeals to remove the militias will mysteriously not be heard until too late in the day to make a difference
2. Barricade the state house to ensure the representatives inside do the right thing. Again this has already happened - just do a lot of it next time. Regardless of what votes may have been cast / counted, ensure that shitkicker states send Trump delegates. With an armed escort to the electoral college
3. Suggest to RINO members of the US Congress that now is the time for every good man to come to the aid of the party. No wussing this time. Again with a large armed militia outside. The Federal Government can issue orders to the armed forces to crush the militia. But if Congress is saying A and the White House is saying B do you want to get involved in a political row? There's a coup on, which side is the coup?
Driver accused me of paranoia. The GOP *have already done all of these things*.
Lets assume that they had captured Pence. Pelosi. A few congressmen. With Georgia and a few other key states actually sending competing slates of electors. Trump *could* have remained President.
And they have learned the lessons of last time. Already replacing officials. Already using supermajorities to expel dissident members and pass enabling laws...
Point 2 isn't worthy of responding to due to choice of language.
And point 3, you might remember that last time the "insurrection" was nothing more than an impotent eruption of angst, and there is absolutely no reason to believe that it would be any more effective next time when Trump would have lost by more.
I would expect she will need to pay people to listen to her rather than the other way round !!!!
The plan is presumably to go with the "independent state legislature theory", bypassing all state courts, and kick the problem up to Thomas, Alito et al.
The state legislature is sufficiently gerrymandered to give the GOP a majority to pass any old bull.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/106th_Wisconsin_Legislature
https://labourlist.org/2023/04/local-election-2023-results-councils-good-labour-starmer/
Also she had 38 days instead of 70 years to prove herself.
Much of humour is dependent upon stereotyping and exaggerating those stereotypes which is what makes them funny. This is what this video did and going back in time what Constable Savage did or Spinal Tap did. One of the best example is the Big Bang Theory which has just about every stereotype in it (dumb blond, Jew, Indian, nerd, catholic, evangelical christian, etc, etc). All the humour is based around these and not offensive to normal people.
Casino was happy with all the stereotypes except the 'middle aged white man'. Why was only that one a problem?
Personally I enjoy a good irish joke, gay joke, jewish joke, mother-in-law joke, asian joke, black joke, etc, etc. We hear all of them everyday on the TV. However I don't assume the irish are stupid, all gays are camp, jews are mean, mother-in-laws are tyrants, etc, etc.
It is normally pretty obvious if someone is a homophobe or racist or whether they are just enjoying a harmless joke. It is pretty clear to most of us when someone is being offensive in the jokes they tell. In our household we make English/Scottish jokes against each other all the time (my wife is Scottish), but neither of us thinks we are being serious.
Honestly the extreme woke and the extreme anti woke are as nutty as each other and are oversensitive and lack a sense of humour and more importantly spot stuff that just doesn't exist.
A Trump kleptocracy will be a Klondike for carpet baggers and their henchmen wanting to rip off the poor and despoil the environment.
There is no shortage of evidence across the world of this.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/04/11/republicans-face-reckoning-young-voters-00091453
...The party’s divides on the issue of abortion have erupted into clearer view since last week’s Wisconsin Supreme Court race and Friday’s ruling by the Trump-appointed Texas federal judge on mifepristone. Within hours of the ruling, the only likely 2024 GOP candidate to issue a statement of support was former Vice President Mike Pence. No other GOP candidates have commented on the matter...
But then I thought - Russia...their Easter is THIS Sunday...
The highest earning MP last year was Theresa May, who got paid £1.5m at £80k an hour. Nope, me neither.
I think that the Heritage Foundation is one of those libertarian republican pressure groups set up by the ultra rich?
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt15520020/
It showed a ragtag mob lead by Steven Shaman in his horns and other deluded no-hope types, no doubt provoked and egged on by Donald Trump, ending up, somehow, in Washington inside the Capitol building which I'm pretty sure no one really thought they would or could ever reach.
Once in, they didn't really know what to do and hung around sitting on chairs and smoking weed.
They were not an organised force seeking to overthrow the state by force although they posed a very real and present danger to those inside the Capitol, both police and legislators and I can perfectly understand that these people were and have been since traumatised by the experience.
But it was not a coup. The massed forces of the state were pretty quickly brought into play against them and they were relatively quickly subdued. There was neither a shadow administration ready to take over, nor the force at its disposal for it to do so. They had the run of the Capitol but didn't appoint a president or ruling council or a Get Your Arse Over Here DJT And Run The Country Committee. I think they might like to have had DJT back running the place but they didn't actually take any steps to enable it.
Some years ago Otis Ferry and a few mates barged into the House of Commons, shouting the odds about foxhunting. They were given conditional discharges and fined, I believe, as a result. That wasn't a coup either.
Depicting the leaders as radicals unrepresentative of the real workers is fairly par for the course for government propaganda, but particularly untrue in this dispute.
https://nypost.com/2023/03/06/jan-6-footage-shows-cops-bringing-qanon-shaman-to-senate-floor/
A kleptocracy requires one to have the friendship of Trump. Anyone who has crossed Trump in the past, or fails to show sufficient deference in the future, will be frozen out.