Trump’s indictment not going down well with independents – politicalbetting.com
Trump’s indictment not going down well with independents – politicalbetting.com
It won’t be long before WH2024 starts in earnest and the big question is whether it will be between 78 year old Trump and 81 year old Biden. These are the ages the two men will be on election day
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It only applies to presidential candidates, weirdly - plenty of politicians at lower levels hae been prosecuted and convicted before.
He's the oldest US president ever and his approval ratings are mired in the low 40s. Doubt is creeping in whether Joe Biden will run for re-election.
Those closest to Mr Biden, 80, insist his 2024 campaign launch is imminent, but the president himself does not appear to have made a final call.
And while polls show a majority of Democrats want the party to nominate someone else, top prospects say they will not challenge Mr Biden if he runs.
But what if he decides he will not?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-63654388
For one thing, whilst they deserve plenty of scorn, Tory MPs eventually decided they'd had enough and took action. People who might have been killed by a mob Trump incited are too cowardly to do other than support him - and if they appear reluctant now, it won't stop them bending knee when the time comes.
Hence why it comes down to the Independents.
A 78 year old, narcissistic bully possibly awaiting criminal charges, facing an 80 year old in obvious cognitive decline
AGAIN
And all the time, American cities rot from the core, and American life expectancy plunges below that of Panama.
Fucksake America, SORT IT OUT
#stopthesteal
How we laughed when Labour chose Corbyn, but had the election campaign lasted another week, we’d have had PM Corbyn.
Biden is only one big scandal or cock up away from Trump getting back in.
Not just on classical history puns but puns in general.
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2023/apr/10/nasuwt-members-call-for-ofsted-abolition-to-end-reign-of-terror
It’s about the same order of probability if the Orange Loon runs.
Another round of candle light vigils and pathetic platitudes to come .
Bottom line is, at this moment OFSTED are in any case so utterly discredited it’s very difficult to see what the point of its continued existence is. Under Wilshaw or Bell it wasn’t popular but it was both respected and effective. Under Spielman, rather like our current ludicrously inept exam system, it’s become a box ticking exercise for all the wrong boxes using startlingly incompetent procedures.
It’s even worse than it was under Woodhead, which is saying quite something.
There has to be some kind of inspection regime, but if it is to have any relevance at all it needs to be started from scratch.
I get why school SLTs are terrified and will do all sorts of mad incantations to appease the gods.
Do we assume Plaid and the Greens would back Labour? The LDs wouldn’t and with SF absent you need 322 for a majority and Con plus DUP plus LD plus Sylvia Harmon would be 320 though the price of such a coalition especially with regard to the EU Referendum would have been heavy.
Conservatives might have had a choice - abandon Brexit and remain in office or stay true to the Referendum result and allow Corbyn to be Prime Minister?
Of course MANY differences between those two incumbent presidents AND those two years!
However, note these similarities:
> 1940 & 2024 (am guessing) both years in which USA was on sidelines to major international conflicts yet nevertheless deeply engaged AND domestically divided.
> In 1940, FDR was NEVER a declared candidate for re-election, yet he never said that he would NOT be a candidate; thus keeping other possible Democratic alternatives, esp. from within his own administration, on ice so to speak, and ultimately frozen out, until in the the long, hot summer of 1940 (just after the Fall of France) the Democratic National Convention nominated . . . wait for it . . . Franklin D. Roosevelt.
One major difference between then & next year, FDR and Uncle Joe, is that the former had already been re-elected once, by an historic landslide (and thus 1940 nomination was for unprecedented 3rd term). Another was that strong majority of Democratic voters favored yet another Roosevelt run, a feeling that was even stronger among politicos, including many who actually disliked the New Deal and/or FDR personally.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/apr/10/german-punk-band-humiliated-after-being-refused-uk-entry-due-to-post-brexit-rules
{Note there is zero space the way RDS spells his surname. Says guy who can't spell "Barack" right half the time!}
Word on the street is that both 2024 GOP hopefuls from the great Palmetto State of South Carolina, former Gov. Nikki Haley and current US Sen. Tim Scott, are REALLY running for Vice President. At least THIS cycle.
As for Florida's answer to Viktor Orban, Ron DeSantis most definitely has a chance of beating out Donald Trump for the Republican nomination. PROVIDED he can play his cards correctly in a VERY high-stakes poker game.
For one thing, no doubt that majority of GOP politicos would much rather have RDS as their standard-bearer. Especially in swing states and districts. And that growing numbers of Republican voters are clearly coming to same conclusion.
Five people have been killed and at least six wounded in a shooting at a bank in the US city of Louisville, Kentucky, police confirm
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-us-canada-65233548
I remember seeing a broadcast news report on one of the recent school shootings when the journalist mentioned in an aside that there'd been another mass shooting overnight in a different city, but that was all we ever heard about that one.
I dislike DeSantis intensely - he seems a revolting human being and totally unfit for office - but if he could thwart Trump he would be doing sterling public service.
As long as he then loses himself, which is the trickier part…
The higher price was up for a good hour or two, which shows how sluggish this market is to developments.
...Delegates to the NASUWT annual conference voted for a motion describing Ofsted as a “major contributor to the excessive workload and bureaucracy that blights the lives of teachers” and instructed the union to campaign for its abolition and replacement...
I completely agree.
The irony is strong with this one.
Such conclusions seem premature. It's no more failed that we are...
Oh, I see your point.
And according to their UK agent, the band was relying on “permitted paid engagement” (PPE) exemption . . . allows musicians to spend up to one month touring the UK if they are invited and paid by a UK-based organisation or client. Artists must be able to show a formal invitation to attend a pre-arranged event and prove they can support themselves during the trip and can pay for their return journey."
So clearly these Punks DID have "paperwork" - just reading what's ON the lines.
After giving you all notice, too.
The final two of Truss and Sunak were chosen on the 20th of July and his post is four days later.
As I read the article:
BorderGuard: Are you going to use the “certificate of sponsorship route”
Band: “No we are going to use the Permitted Paid Exemption route instead”
BG: “ok. Please show me your formal invitation, proof of funds and return ticket”
Band: errr…
The bit in italics is not in the article. It goes directly from the band intention to use the PPE route to them being denied entry and blaming Brexit.
Do you think it would be helpful for us to be told *why* they were denied entry under the PPE route?
I'm not sure about RDS beating Trump which is why I have been beating the drum about RDS doing a deal with Trump and standing as his VP pick (and, yes, I know about the one state rule and it has been gotten round before / is easy to get round). This from the NY Magazine (via MSN):
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/what-if-desantis-takes-a-pass-on-2024/ar-AA19Ekw6
As for Mike's argument, one counter-argument. If you look at the Republicans and Democrats, their score between March 30th and April 6th on whether he should be prosecuted have barely budged but the Independents showed a large swing towards yes. It could easily swing back. Even those who might be sympathetic to a Trump conviction say the case is not exactly strong.
It's coming some day, if we can sort the paperwork out."
They “Paid for expensive customs declarations”. Which are to do with goods, not people.
“Instead, they planned to enter the UK under the “permitted paid engagement” (PPE) exemption, which is free.
“This allows musicians to spend up to one month touring the UK if they are invited and paid by a UK-based organisation or client. Artists must be able to show a formal invitation to attend a pre-arranged event and prove they can support themselves during the trip and can pay for their return journey.”
What’s not explicitly said, is that the appropriate invitation letter and payment proof was available to the immigration officers at the border. Which means it wasn’t, which was the reason their entry to the UK was refused.
The Guardian have a LOT of form, for such misleading articles on the subject.
https://twitter.com/electionmapsuk/status/1645359233351790592?s=61&t=s0ae0IFncdLS1Dc7J0P_TQ
@RedfieldWilton
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15s
Labour leads by 14%, the narrowest lead for Labour since Rishi Sunak became PM.
Westminster VI (9 April):
Labour 44% (-1)
Conservative 30% (+2)
Liberal Democrat 10% (-2)
Reform UK 6% (+1)
Green 5% (+1)
SNP 3% (-1)
Other 2% (–)
Changes +/- 2 April
From their tour manager and travel agent, absolutely.
There's an argument to be made for loosening these requirements, of course.
Why should they need reams of paperwork in the first place? What good does it do?
And it's not about Brexit. It's about the government's choice to impose bureaucracy and red tape because the freedom of foreign punk bands to come and play in Britain threatens them, because they hate freedom.
More to come.
https://mobile.twitter.com/ZoeTillman/status/1645454564865310720
The left's view is yours - what a stupid thing to do in response to a shooting, it doesn't resolve anything.
The right's response is "A transgender person carried out the Nashville school shooting on 'Transgender Day of Vengeance' (with a nice Transgender flag with an AR-15 in it) and suddenly the Media can't move away from the story quick enough' (ditto the Waukesha Christmas massacre where it was a 'car' that did all the killings).
Both comments would be right but both sides don't want to understand the others' view.
What is your proof - if any - for the this assumption? OR is it just your opinion?
Customs guy : Excuse me?"
IF the band's agent did NOT tell them to present their invitation from UK venue in writing, then sounds like they'd have a civil case against him.
However, simply assuming that they didn't have required documentation, is a logical bridge toooooo far.
Sadly, the details of unused proposals from the negotiations are not public.
At least two are regular Labour voters and I don’t think the other two vote Conservative.
Or timelines for Rishi to turn it around…
Cameron struggled to get a majority and the CP is in a much worse state now than it was then. Sunak is popular but not more so than Cameron was. Plus Covid's removed some older voters.
Boundary changes may favour the CP a bit but Scotland is the dynamic which will get Labour over the line, probably into majority territory. The implosion of the SNP will prove decisive. Don't rely on 2019 GE as any sort of guide to 2024, that's my advice.
Sunak is very good, and more popular than Starmer, but it won't be nearly enough to counteract time for a change.