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Sunak’s small boats policy doesn’t look like an election winner – politicalbetting.com
Sunak’s small boats policy doesn’t look like an election winner – politicalbetting.com
It has been widely reported that the prime minister sees solving the small boats issue as being an essential plank in his efforts to hold onto power at the next general election.
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Yet OGH says the policy is not an election winner?
a) As much as those with a current VI of Labour, more aimed at "bringing back" the 2019 Tories who are current Don't Knows, of which there are a lot at the moment.
b) Not really about small boats, it's waiting for "lefty lawyers" (nudge nudge, wink, wink) whose bizarre interest in not breaking international law is proof that they won't Stand Up For Britain And The British when push comes to shove. Therefore Starmer can't be trusted, he's just another Corbyn who you can't trust.
This policy is the tories greatest hits brexit tour. Shoring up the core vote.
They’re out of ideas and terrified of their right flank splintering.
I think it’s futile and destructive. Is anyone really convinced this good immigrant / bad immigrant binary will outlast Sunak?
It’s only a matter of time before the nativist right coalesce behind someone calling for an all out ban on immigration, imo.
The Sunak/Braverman/Badeonch’s are playing with fire and are very likely to get burnt. They get churned up and spat out and either give up, like Javid, or turn on the party, like Warsi.
Going big on the small boats is just encouraging the bastards.
Over the past year, Britain has introduced windfall taxes on oil and gas as well as on renewables, which companies say stifles investment and in turn will likely increase Britain's dependence on imported fuels and derail its climate targets.
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-oil-gas-firms-leave-years-worth-output-ground-with-tax-hikes-report-2023-03-27
https://twitter.com/afpfr/status/1640259645271941120
The privatised utilities had a collective bed wetting exercise before the windfall tax in 1997 as well.
The power house that was the North Sea Oil&Gas industry which once generated so much revenue for previous Governments since the late 1970s needs to be nurtured along with the global technology innovation companies that then grew up around it in Aberdeen. And its been quite clear for a while that Labour are quite happy to throw this all under the bus for a quick but dishonest headline about the morale need to tax the industries leading companies out of the UK in the short term despite the Russian invasion of Ukraine proving the importance of having this sustainable home grown energy supply.
The murderer (pronouns: was/were) was transgender and had written a manifesto detailing their intentions, which come days after Tennessee passed child protection laws intended to curb children from being subjected to trans surgeries and other irreversible procedures.
Their heinous actions follow months of media-driven rhetoric about a “trans genocide,” and calls for a so-called “Day of Trans Retribution” in the United States.
It’s conceivable that much of the conservative public, derided as “cis” is now open season for gender extremists who’ve been terrorizing women who dare to speak out against the woke ideology.
When they tell you what they intend to do, believe them.
https://twitter.com/stillgray/status/1640492141381324801
https://twitter.com/alexmassie/status/1640422660487168000?s=20
Probably wise to wait until the facts come out from a reputable source.
Many voters don’t understand why irregular arrivals from France, are not simply taken to Dover and put on the next ferry back.
And it doesn’t currently have much salience. Way down the list of priorities in polling.
Potentially a vote preserver from leakage to REF, but those votes are going back Tory anyway. I doubt REF will get more than 2% at the GE small boats or otherwise.
None of this will work to win over the centre ground of Britain, where all elections are won or lost. This one is already lost.
The Day of Reckoning is coming and it will be very unpleasant for the tories.
A total obsessive on this topic. Endlessly posting about it. Endlessly trawling the internet for the faintest inkling of a link to your sheer obsession.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cJpyks_lPhQ
There will be multiple reasons why this heinous crime was committed and as I'm not privy to the inside workings of this evil person's mind, and nor are you, I won't resort to nonsense on twitter to prove or disprove any tendentious theory.
I'm afraid you have become one of these nutty internet obsessives. And, like the old days when the JW's would knock on one's door, it's impossible to get you to see a bigger picture or even an alternative viewpoint.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-27/crypto-exchange-binance-sued-by-us-cftc-for-alleged-derivatives-rule-lapses
Binance, and CEO Changpeng Zhao, charged with selling financial products subject to regulation, without involving the regulator, and the products themselves not being compliant with the regulations.
As Mike points out, the problem is that this will not go down well with the other previously Conservative-voting middle Englanders. I have a close Conservative friend in Surrey who is horrified by this and cannot stand Suella Braverman. Another floating voter friend in west London is disgusted by it.
When in opposition William Hague went out to the right and it didn't do him any good either.
The Conservatives will not return to power until they rediscover the centre ground.
Whether it will work is another matter; beyond a certain point, hysterical attacks on your opponent simply make you look ridiculous (cf. Demon Eyes).
Rishi’s problem is that he is trapped between his ultras and those voters to whom such a policy might appeal, and the need to swing the party back to a more moderate position that probably reflects his own instincts, away from economic matters.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11908993/Policeman-pushed-pregnant-partner-stairs-convicted-controlling-coercive-behaviour.html
“A policeman who pushed his pregnant partner down a flight of stairs because he did not want the baby has been convicted of controlling and coercive behaviour.
“Thomas Gair pushed his pregnant girlfriend Chloe Bradley, also a police officer, down the stairs at their home in Norton, Teesside in May 2020, after three years of ongoing abuse.”
Food prices inflation up to new high
Food prices inflation has risen by 15 per cent in a year, causing prices in Britain’s shops to climb faster than ever before.
Average shop prices are now 8.9 per cent higher than they were at this time a year ago, the highest rate of annual inflation that the British Retail Consortium, which collects the data, has recorded. It marks an acceleration from the 8.4 per cent noted in February.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/food-prices-inflation-up-to-new-high-gwnjhsdbx
Where was were? Was was 'ere
1983 right wing beat hard left, 1992 centre right beat soft left, 1997 centre-left beat centre-right, 2001 centre left beat right, 2005 likewise, 2010 centre right beat soft left, likewise 2015, 2017 trad right beat hard left, 2019 hard right beat hard left.
2024 soft left will beat hardish right.
But there's a history of rightwing US commentry jumping on any shootings before the facts are known to try and blame those they dislike, and especially to try and avoid any suggestions that handing guns out to everyone might not be a great idea.
And of course this shooting is being used by transphobes, and the far-right, so my appeal to be careful still stands.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=95iVlvw5fzM&feature=youtu.be
What we know about the shooter
Police have identified the shooter who killed three children and three adults this morning at Covenant School. The suspect was killed by police.
The shooter was named as 28-year-old Audrey Hale, who police said identified as transgender
Police believe the suspect was a former student of the private school
The suspect had two assault-style weapons and a handgun, and at least two were purchased legally
The suspect also had a manifesto and had drawn a detailed map of the school, with entry points
The suspect got in by firing through one of the school doors
Police said the suspect had no previous criminal record
But you keep on portraying 'Posie Parker' and Ian Miles Cheong as the voice of reason.
You do have to wonder why so many other organisations that have doubts about Trans rights have cut off ties with her but you appear to want us all to think the Tommy Robinson support is a paragon of virtue.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/video/news/poll-found-yousaf-most-incompetent-candidate/vi-AA198fuV?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=5ac922fb17284fccab0680151cccf8d6&ei=34
If he's quick, he can get the book written before an AI manages to,
I prompted GPT-4 to provide a theory on how a LLM could generate artificial consciousness based on the works of popular neuroscientists and psychologists. Here is the output in MindBranches. (Seems reasonable enough for a Sci-fi story at least😳)
https://mobile.twitter.com/MindBranches/status/1640576272429461505
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/female-senior-manager-denied-pay-rise-because-husband-earned-more-than-enough/ar-AA18WFrb?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=5ac922fb17284fccab0680151cccf8d6&ei=43
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dupatta
https://www.npr.org/2023/03/27/1166119614/pras-michel-fugees
...At the center of the case is a billionaire named Jho Low, who allegedly bilked Malaysia's sovereign wealth fund of billions of dollars to fill his own pockets and curry favor with celebrities and American presidents. Low is a fugitive from justice believed to be in China, so Michel is standing trial on his own.
"The defendant, Prakazrel Michel, received over $100 million from Jho Low, a foreign fugitive responsible for one of the largest embezzlement schemes in history, to use backchannel influence to convince the then-President of the United States to drop a federal investigation into Low and to agree to the extrajudicial removal of a Chinese exile living in the United States," wrote prosecutors John Keller, Sean Mulryne and Nicole Lockhart.
Prosecutors put Michel in the middle of two different sets of alleged crimes: first, an illegal plan to enlist people to attend a fundraising dinner for Barack Obama during the 2012 presidential campaign; reimburse them $40,000 apiece using foreign sources of money for the cost of the tickets; and then threatening some of them if they came clean to authorities...
Landlords promised power to evict rowdy tenants in two weeks
Airbnb database to help councils tackle noise under antisocial behaviour plan
Landlords will be able to evict tenants who are disruptive to neighbours, cause damage or fall behind on their rent within two weeks under government plans to tackle antisocial behaviour.
Homeowners who rent out their properties on Airbnb will also be forced to register on a new database that will make it easier for local councils to deal with complaints about rowdy guests.
The proposals were among dozens promised by Rishi Sunak in a plan to address increased public concerns about antisocial behaviour.
All new private tenancy agreements will have to include clauses that specifically ban antisocial behaviour. The notice period for eviction on these grounds will be cut from four to two weeks. Grounds for eviction will include “persistently problematic tenants” who cause disturbance through noise, drunken behaviour, drug use and damage to property, as well as falling behind on rent.
https://twitter.com/MattChorley/status/1640600162367164416
Hardly renowned for standing up for Women's Rights!
So we have a policy that a lot of Con voters support, despite the same voters thinking it won't work. It is hard to see this as other than performative cruelty. Meanwhile we have the first case of an Afghan veteran who flew combat missions alongside coalition forces facing deportation to Rwanda.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/afghan-pilot-small-boat-deportation-rwanda-b2307456.html
I know plenty of radical feminists who despise the hijab or burka as tools of female oppression.
Similarly, Richard Dawkins pulls no punches when it comes to Islam - he sees it as just as stupid as any other religion.
You can conclude it's polarising - we are two nations, it seems - but that would be the case whichever path you chose and ignoring it /playing it down will get Rishi far less votes.
Gary Lineker's BBC contract WON'T be renewed,
https://youtu.be/RqzUtZglVMU
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-12196322
Presumably that's why the comfortably off are quite chipper.
"So if women are thus permitted to have their heads uncovered and to show their hair, they will eventually be allowed to expose their entire breasts, and they will come to make their exhibitions as if it were a tavern show; they will become so brazen that modesty and shame will be no more; in short they will forget the duty of nature…Further, we know that the world takes everything to its own advantage. So, if one has liberty in lesser things, why not do the same with this the same way as with that? And in making such comparisons they will make such a mess that there will be utter chaos. So, when it is permissible for the women to uncover their heads, one will say, ‘Well, what harm in uncovering the stomach also?’ And then after that one will plead for something else; ‘Now if the women go bareheaded, why not also bare this and bare that?’ Then the men, for their part, will break loose too. In short, there will be no decency left, unless people contain themselves and respect what is proper and fitting, so as not to go headlong overboard."
It just strikes me as a mistake to stake so much on Suella Braverman. She’s an incredibly divisive figure, is entirely focused on her own advancement and gives no strong indication of being either smart or competent.
Richard Dawkins is no Islamophobe.
How do I know that
1) He’s equally rude about other religions
2) He never praised Tommy Robinson
3) Not regularly appeared on shows hosted by people who talk about white genocide.
(My hunch is that a "first safe country" rule would dump all the problems on safe countries bordering hellholes, in a way that wouldn't be good. And "disperse fairly globally" would need the sort of international arrangement that would go down like a bucket of cold sick with "control our borders" types, even if it's probably the best thing to do.)
But who in the media or politics is exploring this question, let alone answering it?
There are things the people do not know. They do not know because they're not told... (Claud Cockburn, I think)
I expect that next year they will reveal a Big New Policy which lifts chunks of last year's failed law and pretends it is Brand New - as this one does. That one will fail as well.
Unless we actually engage with the international community there is no solution.
In Asda at the moment a 910g bottle of Heinz tomato sauce is £4, whereas a 970g of Asda tomato sauce is £1.10.
Therefore for what is basically the same product, Heinz s more than 4 times the cost. How do Asda manage to make tomato sauce so much cheaper than Heinz, or is there just some extreme profiteering going on with Heinz?
I have long concluded that they are happy with their children being murdered as they keep voting for it. Its appalling, but its their choice,
There is a problem with "just evict them" as the problem is just moved onto another place. My dad used to manage housing estates for Manchester council - they would get the small number of scumbag tenants evicted to the relief of the rest of the estate, only for evicted scum from a different estate to move in...
Yaxley-Lennon becomes Posie Parker and Keene-Minshull styles herself as Tommy Robinson (have I got that right?) A change of name doesn't deflect from the bile they spew.
F1: markets up on Ladbrokes. Perez is 4 for pole... which may be about right. Car's very good but he's not a qualifying specialist. Last year he was just a tenth off Verstappen, though... hmm.
America, and it’s meh. Kids dying for Second Amendment rights is the price we pay for freedom.
It isn't just the guns thing though that is horrendous. The inequality that permiates their country brings it down, which is why life expectancy is now as low as it is and why it ranks so low on so many measures vs other countries. Then they lie to people proclaiming it to be the greatest country in the world. Yeah, right. Its a zoo.
Here’s one close to our hearts: football.
https://www.skysports.com/amp/football/news/11095/12839201/ramadan-match-officials-asked-to-provide-opportunity-for-muslim-players-across-premier-league-and-efl-to-break-fast
Ramadan: Match officials asked to provide opportunity for Muslim players across Premier League and EFL to break fast
Match officials issued with guidance ahead of holy period of Ramadan and encouraged to find natural pause in play during evening matches to allow any Muslim player or match official to break their fast before resuming the action; Ramadan begins this week and lasts around a month.
A friend who I go to football is a devout Catholic. Playing on Good Friday and Easter Sunday used to be a big no no. But not any more. He won’t be at Anfield with me next Sunday because Church comes first.
We stopped caring about Christianity ages ago. Why are we accommodating other religions?
Anyway criticising Cristianity as "homophopbic" and "anti-Women" is naive because very many Christians are pro-LGBT and pro-equal rights.
The consensus was that it should be made relatively easy to apply legally for asylum from abroad, and relatively tough to get asylum illegally - not that far from Sunak's approach except that the "relatively easy" bit is not being seruiously offered. There was also strong support for allowing people awaiting decisions to work - not least to give the Government a reason to stop the lengthening queue of applications, but also to help with staffing issues - and for Norwegian/French-style requirements to learn English and accept a few basic rules (such as equal rights for women) as a condition for approval of the application.
Two British-born black participants said that prejudice and hostilility had declined steadily in the period 1980-2008 (some horror stories of what it used to be like, especially with open discrimination by the police), but it had since become detectably worse, perhaps initially sparked by the financial crisis. Some said they were subject to casual jibes by strangers on a routine basis ("Another one for Rwanda!" was shouted by kids) and were stopped by police on one pretext or another on a routine basis (e.g. to prove they were entitled to drive their expensive car) - usually the police were polite, but occasionally not.
Overall a nuanced discussion, but the general view was that the Government and especially the tabloid media are on balance making things worse.
When he played for Leicester Wesley Fofana would fast even on match days, and go to the sidelines for a drink and glucose gel at the first break in play after the fast ending. It doesn't disrupt play.
Just to start with it is top and tailed with financial scams.
The interviewer was utterly nasty.
Why do you take pleasure in people losing there jobs?
What was being said might be true, but not sure Lineker will be worried as his contract runs to 2025 so he can carry on giving his views and clearly money isn't an issue.
Finally why on earth are you watching this bile?