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Nicola Sturgeon to quit – politicalbetting.com

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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,936
    WillG said:

    HYUFD said:

    AlistairM said:

    This must surely be the impact of "free" healthcare models. Kids think they don't have to look after their parents when they get old, presumably because they expect the state to step in. Maybe the only thing that Russia has right!

    I don’t think this speaks well of Northern Europe.

    The role of family responsibility was notably absent from commentary when UK debated social care funding models in 2021.


    https://twitter.com/samuelcoates/status/1625847059134795776?s=20&t=23X99vLP2hOoeSjdQE_c2Q

    Some correlation between religion and willingess to care for parents there. Most of Eastern Europe and Italy are more religious than the UK and Nordic nations for example and more willing to care for sick parents.

    France an exception also not being very religious but still more family oriented than we are
    Czechia is the most atheistic country in Europe I believe, yet still more responsible than us.
    Still less responsible than more religious Poland though
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,143

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    Which of Sturgeon’s achievements of substance would you like to highlight?
    Well the gender reforms are great obviously.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,664
    So will Corbyn split the Labour Party?

    Regarding Corbyn, todays announcement by Starmer only confirms what for has a long while now been an outcome that had already been universally assumed.

    Corbyn's reaction will eventually be to announce that he will stand as an independent. The only question is whether he will announce that soon, or only after waiting until his attempts to contest Starmer's decision are dismissed.

    At which point, the interesting thing will be the official reaction of Momentum. They could hardly fail to give Corbyn their support. Most likely they won't do so by an explicit official announcement, but I can't imagine that they'll be able to help themselves in making it blindingly obvious that that is where they stand. And if/when they do so, effectively backing a candidate standing against an official Labour Party candidate, does that not leave the door open to Momentum being treated as a proscribed organisation by the Labour Party? Once that happens, there will be all sorts of consequences for the rump of their "supporters" within the party, those who have not by that stage already left.

    No doubt lots of individuals will help him but Momentum won't express an opinion on Islington North IMO.

    His brand in Islington North is hugely personal (I used to live there and I remember even Tories who were voting for him as he'd done something for the family), and wouldn't in the least benefit from Momentum or any prominent left-wing figure endorsing him - his left-wing credentials are not in doubt, after all. But he'll undoubtedly have all the money and canvassing assistance that he wants.

    The Greens have an awkward decision - they do well in local elections there (better than the Tories or LibDems IRRC) so normally they'd be keen to stand, but I suspect they'll see more electoral benefit in endorsing him.
    Isn’t there a risk that he pulls a Farage and leads a ‘grassroots Labour’ alternative? Either before or after the election.
  • 16 days ago many people said THIS video was the beginning of the end for Nicola Sturgeon…..

    They were right. [Embedded video] 5.4M views



    https://twitter.com/JohnJamesTV/status/1625850940720025601?s=20
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,143

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    Not sure that Sturgeon isn't May, Johnson or Truss is really quite the sick burn from *checks notes* the Scottish Tory activist who was supended from her own party after joking about Nicola Sturgeon's miscarriage on Twitter.
    Her bio pic looks spookily like ... hang on it is, she has JK Rowling!
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,497

    Purely off the top of my head thinking: Has Sunak made the job of SNP Leader a bit more difficult? It's quite hard to see him as the bogeyman that Johnson and Truss could be portrayed as which has always been Sturgeon's great asset.

    SKS has made it a little more difficult for the SNP; more so than Sunak.
  • Barnesian said:

    Next first minister - William Hill
    ..

    Mr Hill sure gets about. He's been regularly tipped here as next first minister, Prime Minister, LOTO and captain of the England team.
  • JPJ2JPJ2 Posts: 380
    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.
  • Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    Means not the end? Sabotaging the economy? Encouraging strikes?

    What's not for a lefty to love? That's tickling their g-spot right there, if they were interested in the end and growing the economy they wouldn't be lefties.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,962
    edited February 2023
    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    Not sure that Sturgeon isn't May, Johnson or Truss is really quite the sick burn from *checks notes* the Scottish Tory activist who was supended from her own party after joking about Nicola Sturgeon's miscarriage on Twitter.
    Her bio pic looks spookily like ... hang on it is, she has JK Rowling!
    It's most unfortunate how these fine, honourable, indy sceptic, gender critical types end up with so many really, really ghastly fellow travellers. One might almost think..but hush, let's not go there.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 8,727
    AlistairM said:

    This must surely be the impact of "free" healthcare models. Kids think they don't have to look after their parents when they get old, presumably because they expect the state to step in. Maybe the only thing that Russia has right!

    I don’t think this speaks well of Northern Europe.

    The role of family responsibility was notably absent from commentary when UK debated social care funding models in 2021.


    https://twitter.com/samuelcoates/status/1625847059134795776?s=20&t=23X99vLP2hOoeSjdQE_c2Q

    It's an interesting philosophical/moral question.

    - Older people have contributed to society through a lifetime of work (or raising the next generation) so why should society as a whole not take responsibility? Their children will, of course, have likely benefitted most.
    - If responsibility falls to children, what of the childless old?
    - In practice, responsibility is very unevenly distributed - the long illness parent versus te sudden heart attack; the child who lives nearby versus the child who lives far away

    You can of course compare to children, where we generally see childcare as primarily the responsibility of parents, but there are other arguments there:
    - Usually there is a choice to have children; you can't avoid having parents
    - Children have not (yet) made much contribution to society
    - Society does in any case take prime responsibility for children's education

    Which aligns with my view that society should take collective responsibility for looking after our elderly, but also that society should take collective ownership of most of the assets on death. I'd be pretty relaxed about higher inheritance tax for example, even though as it stands that could cost me several £100k (I rather hope that my parents spend most of their money before death, looking after themselves, but failing that I'm happy for the state to take it all if they will provide good care for them).
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,497
    WillG said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    algarkirk said:

    Selebian said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kate Forbes, a member of the evangelical, hardline anti homosexual marriage, anti gender fluidity marriage Free Church of Scotland is
    early favourite to succeed Sturgeon as leader of the SNP

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/02/15/who-replace-nicola-sturgeon-next-snp-leader-kate-forbes/

    "anti gender fluidity marriage"? What's that?

    Offtopic, can the church refuse to marry two people born the same sex, where one has a GRC, so they are officially opposite gender? In principle, they're not even allowed to ask about that, are they?

    Although I think I had to produce a baptism certificate before I got married, to prove my Christian faith, which could be a stumbling block (no requirement, as far as I know, to produce an updated baptism certificate after a GRC)
    As always it will depend which church, in which jurisdiction. Churches are not all the same. England and Scotland not all the same either.
    NB you do not have to be baptised to be married in CoE in England.

    Indeed, as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church.

    You only need to be baptised or confirmed in or have regularly attended a Church of England church for 6 months to be married there if it is not your local Parish church
    "as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church."

    What a whacking fib. Unapproved couples are not allowed, as you've been telling us for months, even when it is the law of England that they can be married.

    Or are gay people not "anyone"?
    Also many straight couples have to take classes for several months to get married at some of the cathedrals.
    Very few people can marry in a cathedral (unless it is also a parish church) as of right. More or less everyone (man/woman; neither divorced) can marry in a parish church as of right.

    (The man/woman and divorcee exceptions are enshrined in Acts of Parliament; they are not the church of England's rules.)

  • Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485
    Jesmondo Corbyn is 73 years of age. Is he really going to try to launch Marxist Labour Manhole Fancier Alternative to take on the Imperialist Red Tories?
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,723
    algarkirk said:

    WillG said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    algarkirk said:

    Selebian said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kate Forbes, a member of the evangelical, hardline anti homosexual marriage, anti gender fluidity marriage Free Church of Scotland is
    early favourite to succeed Sturgeon as leader of the SNP

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/02/15/who-replace-nicola-sturgeon-next-snp-leader-kate-forbes/

    "anti gender fluidity marriage"? What's that?

    Offtopic, can the church refuse to marry two people born the same sex, where one has a GRC, so they are officially opposite gender? In principle, they're not even allowed to ask about that, are they?

    Although I think I had to produce a baptism certificate before I got married, to prove my Christian faith, which could be a stumbling block (no requirement, as far as I know, to produce an updated baptism certificate after a GRC)
    As always it will depend which church, in which jurisdiction. Churches are not all the same. England and Scotland not all the same either.
    NB you do not have to be baptised to be married in CoE in England.

    Indeed, as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church.

    You only need to be baptised or confirmed in or have regularly attended a Church of England church for 6 months to be married there if it is not your local Parish church
    "as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church."

    What a whacking fib. Unapproved couples are not allowed, as you've been telling us for months, even when it is the law of England that they can be married.

    Or are gay people not "anyone"?
    Also many straight couples have to take classes for several months to get married at some of the cathedrals.
    Very few people can marry in a cathedral (unless it is also a parish church) as of right. More or less everyone (man/woman; neither divorced) can marry in a parish church as of right.

    (The man/woman and divorcee exceptions are enshrined in Acts of Parliament; they are not the church of England's rules.)

    Quite... I think the issue of divorce is down to the Priest in situ at the time. Some will some will not.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,664

    Jesmondo Corbyn is 73 years of age. Is he really going to try to launch Marxist Labour Manhole Fancier Alternative to take on the Imperialist Red Tories?

    Probably. His ego is flattered every second by sycophants. Only he can deliver peace and justice.
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,366
    Mr Eagles,

    Although it's none of my business. I've carefully considered the candidates to replace Nicola, and I can confidently say that Kate Forbes is the prettiest.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,143
    edited February 2023
    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    She's a brave and capable politician who shares (most of) my worldview and values. It'd be a bit odd if I didn't like her. But, ok, does the fact she's become a hate figure for the right down here add to the appeal? Being truthful, yes it does.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    Woman and her two children rescued from rubble in Turkey over 228 hours after earthquake
    https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1625847917537034240
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,994
    kinabalu said:

    Scott_xP said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anti-independentists previously: Sturgeon is an idiot, a complete imbecile, damaging her cause by her simple presence.

    Anti-independentists now: she was a titan, a powerful and effective politician, independence will be set back by her absence.

    She was very effective at turning Scotland into a one party state, but no nearer her "dream" than she was in 2014.

    The SNP are damaged by her going.

    Less sure about Indy, but it's still not going to happen
    Independence is no nearer than it was in 2014? It depends what we mean. It's undeniably further away than it was the day before the Referendum but it's probably closer than it was the day after. Sturgeon took over after the Referendum therefore I'd say she can truthfully claim the cause of independence has been advanced during her tenure.
    It's a tricky one to call. Realistically they get 2 shots I think, so the question is how well placed are they for the second shot.

    Let's use a golfing analogy. The Scottish election results, facilitated by Cameron granting a referendum, helped to chip the ball on to the green. A long putt, but doable at a push. Then in 2015 the ball veered fairly close to the hole but overshot by a few feet. There's one putt left to win the open. It's closer than the last one, but not a tap-in.

    Actually then the question of timing comes in, plus whether they're allowed to make the shot in the first place. So the analogy kind of falls apart.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    I respected Sturgeon’s considerable political and communication skills, but she always seemed angry and petty to me.

    I can’t Scotland looks to have prospered under Sturgeon’s rule. What, ultimately, is her legacy?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    TimS said:

    Let's use a golfing analogy. The Scottish election results, facilitated by Cameron granting a referendum, helped to chip the ball on to the green. A long putt, but doable at a push. Then in 2015 the ball veered fairly close to the hole but overshot by a few feet. There's one putt left to win the open. It's closer than the last one, but not a tap-in.

    Actually it was on the green, Salmond had his favourite club, the spectators were hushed, the wind was still, the surface perfect, and he shanked it into a bunker from where Nippy has failed to extricate it...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,936
    edited February 2023

    Jesmondo Corbyn is 73 years of age. Is he really going to try to launch Marxist Labour Manhole Fancier Alternative to take on the Imperialist Red Tories?

    Of course, 64% voted Labour in Islington North in 2019 with the Conservatives 3rd on just 10.2% behind the LDs on 15.6%.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islington_North_(UK_Parliament_constituency)

    In Islington the battle is between Starmerite Social Democrats and the Corbynite hard left, the Tories are nowhere
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990

    I respected Sturgeon’s considerable political and communication skills, but she always seemed angry and petty to me.

    I can’t Scotland looks to have prospered under Sturgeon’s rule. What, ultimately, is her legacy?

    Cardboard boxes...
  • 1/ The fall of Sturgeon is an object lesson, a parable even, in what happens when you subcontract equalities policy to extremists. Scottish voters (and women in particular) have, in effect, delivered a decisive blow to government by Stonewall and govt by insulting your own people

    https://twitter.com/Jebadoo2/status/1625833321325334530?s=20
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,802
    kinabalu said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    She's a brave and capable politician who shares (most of) my worldview and values. It'd be a bit odd if I didn't like her. But, ok, does the fact she's become a hate figure for the right down here add to the appeal? Being truthful, yes it does.
    She's not really making a practical case for those values though, is she? Her defining mission was to chisel away the disadvantage of being poor - yet the poor are no better educated, are dying younger, are seeing no new opportunities. I could see the merits for all that extra taxation (/subsidy from England) if it led to Scotland being like Copenhagen. But that hasn't really happened. What has all the money been spent on?
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    Is Kate really going to put herself forward for the leadership?

    One imagines a disappointing 2024 is baked in. Better to leave it to blowhard Angus Robertson.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    Cookie said:

    What has all the money been spent on?

    Flags
  • Is Kate really going to put herself forward for the leadership?

    One imagines a disappointing 2024 is baked in. Better to leave it to blowhard Angus Robertson.

    She has time on her side and can afford to play the long game. Let Robertson set her low base.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,936
    edited February 2023
    Selebian said:

    AlistairM said:

    This must surely be the impact of "free" healthcare models. Kids think they don't have to look after their parents when they get old, presumably because they expect the state to step in. Maybe the only thing that Russia has right!

    I don’t think this speaks well of Northern Europe.

    The role of family responsibility was notably absent from commentary when UK debated social care funding models in 2021.


    https://twitter.com/samuelcoates/status/1625847059134795776?s=20&t=23X99vLP2hOoeSjdQE_c2Q

    It's an interesting philosophical/moral question.

    - Older people have contributed to society through a lifetime of work (or raising the next generation) so why should society as a whole not take responsibility? Their children will, of course, have likely benefitted most.
    - If responsibility falls to children, what of the childless old?
    - In practice, responsibility is very unevenly distributed - the long illness parent versus te sudden heart attack; the child who lives nearby versus the child who lives far away

    You can of course compare to children, where we generally see childcare as primarily the responsibility of parents, but there are other arguments there:
    - Usually there is a choice to have children; you can't avoid having parents
    - Children have not (yet) made much contribution to society
    - Society does in any case take prime responsibility for children's education

    Which aligns with my view that society should take collective responsibility for looking after our elderly, but also that society should take collective ownership of most of the assets on death. I'd be pretty relaxed about higher inheritance tax for example, even though as it stands that could cost me several £100k (I rather hope that my parents spend most of their money before death, looking after themselves, but failing that I'm happy for the state to take it all if they will provide good care for them).
    The problem in the UK is most voters are fiercely anti inheritance tax but also few can be bothered to properly care for elderly and ill parents and expect the state to do it all
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,994
    kinabalu said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    She's a brave and capable politician who shares (most of) my worldview and values. It'd be a bit odd if I didn't like her. But, ok, does the fact she's become a hate figure for the right down here add to the appeal? Being truthful, yes it does.
    I think the attitude of most not hyper partisan but generally union-minded people in RUK is probably one of grudging admiration, as there was for Salmond until the me-too stuff. Both very effective politicians. Caroline Lucas manages something similar, more popular than her party.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 8,727
    Scott_xP said:

    Cookie said:

    What has all the money been spent on?

    Flags
    That's a bit rich when you consider UKGov's track record in that department!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,936
    edited February 2023
    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    If Kate Forbes is elected FM the Scottish Labour posters write themselves with a few quotes from the anti homosexual marriage, anti abortion doctrine of her Free Church of Scotland church.

    Social conservatives in Scotland are mostly Scottish Conservative anyway and won't switch to the SNP under Forbes as they are Unionists
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    Selebian said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Cookie said:

    What has all the money been spent on?

    Flags
    That's a bit rich when you consider UKGov's track record in that department!
    Flags are always the legacy of petty nationalists, be they separatists in Edinburgh or Downing Street
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,802

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Because I like Scotland. It is, after England, my favourite country. I don't live there, but I'd like this to be a world in whuch one day I might, or one of my daughters might. And I don't want to see it turned into a basket case.
    There are worse leaders in the world making a bigger mess of their countries than Sturgeon. But by and large they are in faraway countries I have no emotional comnection to whatsoever.

    And it does have an impact on me, albeit a minor one, when, for example, in a fit f pique she declares that no one from Greater Manchester can visit Scotland. I know that was only a temporary thing. But given our rates were lower than most of Scotland's, it rather rankled.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,785

    biggles said:

    Does “less irrationality and hysteria in politics” mean “shut up and just accept the views of your betters”?

    Yes.

    Now shut up and stop asking questions.

    EDIT: Funniest conversation I had on this was with a friend who loves Rage Against The Machine. He seemed to have a hard time understanding that "Fuck you, I won't do what you tell me" might be associated with the belief that one should make up ones own mind.
    I've had a hard time listening to that since I heard it redone as "Fuck you, I won't tidy my bedroom".
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    First Sturgeon goes and now Australia are getting Astutes. What a day to be a piggy eyed tory! #makebritaingreatagain

    https://www.aumanufacturing.com.au/bae-systems-could-be-in-the-box-seat-to-build-australian-n-subs

    It seems the game has moved on since Congress told Australia they could fucking whistle for Virginias. Now the plan is evolved Astute with an American reactor and combat control system. It doesn't sound like a swift and cheap route to SSN ownership but it's probably the only feasible option at this point if they want to build most of it in Australia. I certainly won't live long enough to see how it all turns out.

  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    ohnotnow said:

    biggles said:

    Does “less irrationality and hysteria in politics” mean “shut up and just accept the views of your betters”?

    Yes.

    Now shut up and stop asking questions.

    EDIT: Funniest conversation I had on this was with a friend who loves Rage Against The Machine. He seemed to have a hard time understanding that "Fuck you, I won't do what you tell me" might be associated with the belief that one should make up ones own mind.
    I've had a hard time listening to that since I heard it redone as "Fuck you, I won't tidy my bedroom".
    I saw a video on t'internet of a family playing that song. The kids were playing the instruments, and Mum was singing the lead vocal...
  • TimS said:

    kinabalu said:

    Scott_xP said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anti-independentists previously: Sturgeon is an idiot, a complete imbecile, damaging her cause by her simple presence.

    Anti-independentists now: she was a titan, a powerful and effective politician, independence will be set back by her absence.

    She was very effective at turning Scotland into a one party state, but no nearer her "dream" than she was in 2014.

    The SNP are damaged by her going.

    Less sure about Indy, but it's still not going to happen
    Independence is no nearer than it was in 2014? It depends what we mean. It's undeniably further away than it was the day before the Referendum but it's probably closer than it was the day after. Sturgeon took over after the Referendum therefore I'd say she can truthfully claim the cause of independence has been advanced during her tenure.
    It's a tricky one to call. Realistically they get 2 shots I think, so the question is how well placed are they for the second shot.

    Let's use a golfing analogy. The Scottish election results, facilitated by Cameron granting a referendum, helped to chip the ball on to the green. A long putt, but doable at a push. Then in 2015 the ball veered fairly close to the hole but overshot by a few feet. There's one putt left to win the open. It's closer than the last one, but not a tap-in.

    Actually then the question of timing comes in, plus whether they're allowed to make the shot in the first place. So the analogy kind of falls apart.
    Stepping back from the political noise, the questions of the two Unions remain intertwined. The Scottish public see themselves as a small country in Europe. The English public are divided, but a large body of them (maybe still a majority) see themselves as a middle ranking global power that can sit aside from Europe. I don't think, long term, countries with such divergent views on their future can stay united. The fact that Brexit makes Scottish independence so much more costly as well as more necessary is Scotland's tragedy and might well delay the rupture, but it won't prevent it. I just can't see Scotland prospering as a marginalised part of a United Kingdom that is itself marginalised from Europe.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,936
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    algarkirk said:

    Selebian said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kate Forbes, a member of the evangelical, hardline anti homosexual marriage, anti gender fluidity marriage Free Church of Scotland is
    early favourite to succeed Sturgeon as leader of the SNP

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/02/15/who-replace-nicola-sturgeon-next-snp-leader-kate-forbes/

    "anti gender fluidity marriage"? What's that?

    Offtopic, can the church refuse to marry two people born the same sex, where one has a GRC, so they are officially opposite gender? In principle, they're not even allowed to ask about that, are they?

    Although I think I had to produce a baptism certificate before I got married, to prove my Christian faith, which could be a stumbling block (no requirement, as far as I know, to produce an updated baptism certificate after a GRC)
    As always it will depend which church, in which jurisdiction. Churches are not all the same. England and Scotland not all the same either.
    NB you do not have to be baptised to be married in CoE in England.

    Indeed, as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church.

    You only need to be baptised or confirmed in or have regularly attended a Church of England church for 6 months to be married there if it is not your local Parish church
    "as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church."

    What a whacking fib. Unapproved couples are not allowed, as you've been telling us for months, even when it is the law of England that they can be married.

    Or are gay people not "anyone"?
    Homosexual couples can now be blessed in Church of England services (in the Scottish Episcopal Church homosexual couples can even have full marriages).

    In the Free Church of Scotland of the likely next SNP FM homosexual couples can neither be married or blessed
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,306

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Ahahahahaha

    No, sorry, that’s cruel

    AHAHAHAHAHAH

    The Butthurt of the Nit is mighty, this afternoon
  • JPJ2JPJ2 Posts: 380
    HYUFD said:

    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    If Kate Forbes is elected FM the Scottish Labour posters write themselves with a few quotes from the anti homosexual marriage, anti abortion doctrine of her Free Church of Scotland church.

    Social conservatives in Scotland are mostly Scottish Conservative anyway and won't switch to the SNP under Forbes as they are Unionists
    Religion is not as significant an issue in Scotland as it once was. Such an approach from Labour would simply come across as that they are the bigoted ones. If you think Forbes could not be an effective First Minister and/or SNP leader you will be quite wrong.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,936
    JPJ2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    If Kate Forbes is elected FM the Scottish Labour posters write themselves with a few quotes from the anti homosexual marriage, anti abortion doctrine of her Free Church of Scotland church.

    Social conservatives in Scotland are mostly Scottish Conservative anyway and won't switch to the SNP under Forbes as they are Unionists
    Religion is not as significant an issue in Scotland as it once was. Such an approach from Labour would simply come across as that they are the bigoted ones. If you think Forbes could not be an effective First Minister and/or SNP leader you will be quite wrong.

    It will be if the FM is anti gay marriage, as Forbes clearly is given the Church she is a member of!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,839
    JPJ2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    If Kate Forbes is elected FM the Scottish Labour posters write themselves with a few quotes from the anti homosexual marriage, anti abortion doctrine of her Free Church of Scotland church.

    Social conservatives in Scotland are mostly Scottish Conservative anyway and won't switch to the SNP under Forbes as they are Unionists
    Religion is not as significant an issue in Scotland as it once was. Such an approach from Labour would simply come across as that they are the bigoted ones. If you think Forbes could not be an effective First Minister and/or SNP leader you will be quite wrong.

    No established church, to give one very good reason.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,306
    I just went to the exact place where, fifteen years ago this month, I ate a portion of boiled sheep’s colon, and a dried frog

    Who else, on this lively forum, can make this exemplary claim?
  • kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    Which of Sturgeon’s achievements of substance would you like to highlight?
    3 General Election wins, 2 Scottish Parliament elections, 2 rounds of Scottish local elections and a Euro-election.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485
    Are ‘LIZ’ TRUSS or ‘LEE’ ANDERSON in the running for the SNP job?
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,497

    algarkirk said:

    WillG said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    algarkirk said:

    Selebian said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kate Forbes, a member of the evangelical, hardline anti homosexual marriage, anti gender fluidity marriage Free Church of Scotland is
    early favourite to succeed Sturgeon as leader of the SNP

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/02/15/who-replace-nicola-sturgeon-next-snp-leader-kate-forbes/

    "anti gender fluidity marriage"? What's that?

    Offtopic, can the church refuse to marry two people born the same sex, where one has a GRC, so they are officially opposite gender? In principle, they're not even allowed to ask about that, are they?

    Although I think I had to produce a baptism certificate before I got married, to prove my Christian faith, which could be a stumbling block (no requirement, as far as I know, to produce an updated baptism certificate after a GRC)
    As always it will depend which church, in which jurisdiction. Churches are not all the same. England and Scotland not all the same either.
    NB you do not have to be baptised to be married in CoE in England.

    Indeed, as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church.

    You only need to be baptised or confirmed in or have regularly attended a Church of England church for 6 months to be married there if it is not your local Parish church
    "as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church."

    What a whacking fib. Unapproved couples are not allowed, as you've been telling us for months, even when it is the law of England that they can be married.

    Or are gay people not "anyone"?
    Also many straight couples have to take classes for several months to get married at some of the cathedrals.
    Very few people can marry in a cathedral (unless it is also a parish church) as of right. More or less everyone (man/woman; neither divorced) can marry in a parish church as of right.

    (The man/woman and divorcee exceptions are enshrined in Acts of Parliament; they are not the church of England's rules.)

    Quite... I think the issue of divorce is down to the Priest in situ at the time. Some will some will not.
    Yes. Matrimonial Causes Act 1965 sec 8.

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,839
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    algarkirk said:

    Selebian said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kate Forbes, a member of the evangelical, hardline anti homosexual marriage, anti gender fluidity marriage Free Church of Scotland is
    early favourite to succeed Sturgeon as leader of the SNP

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/02/15/who-replace-nicola-sturgeon-next-snp-leader-kate-forbes/

    "anti gender fluidity marriage"? What's that?

    Offtopic, can the church refuse to marry two people born the same sex, where one has a GRC, so they are officially opposite gender? In principle, they're not even allowed to ask about that, are they?

    Although I think I had to produce a baptism certificate before I got married, to prove my Christian faith, which could be a stumbling block (no requirement, as far as I know, to produce an updated baptism certificate after a GRC)
    As always it will depend which church, in which jurisdiction. Churches are not all the same. England and Scotland not all the same either.
    NB you do not have to be baptised to be married in CoE in England.

    Indeed, as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church.

    You only need to be baptised or confirmed in or have regularly attended a Church of England church for 6 months to be married there if it is not your local Parish church
    "as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church."

    What a whacking fib. Unapproved couples are not allowed, as you've been telling us for months, even when it is the law of England that they can be married.

    Or are gay people not "anyone"?
    Homosexual couples can now be blessed in Church of England services (in the Scottish Episcopal Church homosexual couples can even have full marriages).

    In the Free Church of Scotland of the likely next SNP FM homosexual couples can neither be married or blessed
    C of E = part of the State, and vice versa.

    C of S, E C of S, FC of S, FC of S (c), etc. etc. = not part of the state.
  • Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Because I like Scotland. It is, after England, my favourite country. I don't live there, but I'd like this to be a world in whuch one day I might, or one of my daughters might. And I don't want to see it turned into a basket case.
    There are worse leaders in the world making a bigger mess of their countries than Sturgeon. But by and large they are in faraway countries I have no emotional comnection to whatsoever.

    And it does have an impact on me, albeit a minor one, when, for example, in a fit f pique she declares that no one from Greater Manchester can visit Scotland. I know that was only a temporary thing. But given our rates were lower than most of Scotland's, it rather rankled.
    So the vast inconvenience of a travel ban that lasted hardly more than a week causes you to hate a politician? I'd check your own pique levels if I were you.

    As ever folk might be better employed worrying about the impending basket cases in their own back yards, cities, regions or countries, but it's easier to self distract about that 'other' place.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,802
    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Ahahahahaha

    No, sorry, that’s cruel

    AHAHAHAHAHAH

    The Butthurt of the Nit is mighty, this afternoon
    While I'm glad she's gone, I don't necessarily see it as bad news for nationalists. It all depends on who her replacement is. Despite her electoral success, Scotland under her leadership went backwards. Imagine what an SNP led by someone who was administratively, as well as polotically competent might do.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,839
    Scott_xP said:

    Selebian said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Cookie said:

    What has all the money been spent on?

    Flags
    That's a bit rich when you consider UKGov's track record in that department!
    Flags are always the legacy of petty nationalists, be they separatists in Edinburgh or Downing Street
    Have a look in Edinburgh. It's the UJ that is a crime against the city of the Enlightenment. Down next to Waverley.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,329
    sarissa said:

    Driver said:

    Cicero said:

    A few thoughts on the post Sturgeon world. Firstly this does not have the feeling of a long planned move, not least because the presser was "hurriedly arranged" and there really is no obvious successor. The announcement has come only a few weeks after the FM categorically denied having any intention to go.

    So what changed? I think the GRA has been bitter, but Surgeon seemed to be facing it down a bit. So is it the luke-warm support for making the next GE a "de facto referendum" on indy? Again, she is quite capable of toughing things out. Is it worries about the campaign finance allegations against her husband? Not stopped her up until now. Is she afraid that the slight fall off in Nat support in the polls becomes a sustained decline?

    The Nats have been on the back foot for a while, and the sense of invulnerability they used to have has clearly been punctured. May be quitting while ahead might give her greater influence with a weaker successor than if the setback came on her watch and she had to take the blame.

    In any event it opens up an opportunity for Labour (and actually the Lib Dems too). There are a couple of local by elections coming up, lets see if they give any sense of direction.

    My best guess at the moment is that there are quite a few little things starting to mount up, none of which is yet significant to force her to resign, but combined they may be having the effect of her concluding that if she doesn't resign now, she may not get the option to resign of her own volition later.
    I believe Police Scotland are about to begin interviewing SNP officials, MSPs and MPs re the ‘ring fenced’ £600,000.
    yes and who is top of SNP and government
  • Dura_Ace said:

    First Sturgeon goes and now Australia are getting Astutes. What a day to be a piggy eyed tory! #makebritaingreatagain

    https://www.aumanufacturing.com.au/bae-systems-could-be-in-the-box-seat-to-build-australian-n-subs

    It seems the game has moved on since Congress told Australia they could fucking whistle for Virginias. Now the plan is evolved Astute with an American reactor and combat control system. It doesn't sound like a swift and cheap route to SSN ownership but it's probably the only feasible option at this point if they want to build most of it in Australia. I certainly won't live long enough to see how it all turns out.

    If Rishi is leaking AUKUS stuff to The Sun then that suggests he's worried about something else and feels the need to throw some sweeties to the Empire II Tory Right as a distraction. The NI deal with the EU is my guess (that coupled with the whiff of Brexit treachery from Gove).
  • JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    You have a strange definition of charismatic.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,839

    I respected Sturgeon’s considerable political and communication skills, but she always seemed angry and petty to me.

    I can’t Scotland looks to have prospered under Sturgeon’s rule. What, ultimately, is her legacy?

    More coherent, unionists such as Carlotta aside. Better spend of UK handouts, notably on public housing for instance, and on more coherent railways and publuc transport.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,143
    edited February 2023
    TimS said:

    kinabalu said:

    Scott_xP said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anti-independentists previously: Sturgeon is an idiot, a complete imbecile, damaging her cause by her simple presence.

    Anti-independentists now: she was a titan, a powerful and effective politician, independence will be set back by her absence.

    She was very effective at turning Scotland into a one party state, but no nearer her "dream" than she was in 2014.

    The SNP are damaged by her going.

    Less sure about Indy, but it's still not going to happen
    Independence is no nearer than it was in 2014? It depends what we mean. It's undeniably further away than it was the day before the Referendum but it's probably closer than it was the day after. Sturgeon took over after the Referendum therefore I'd say she can truthfully claim the cause of independence has been advanced during her tenure.
    It's a tricky one to call. Realistically they get 2 shots I think, so the question is how well placed are they for the second shot.

    Let's use a golfing analogy. The Scottish election results, facilitated by Cameron granting a referendum, helped to chip the ball on to the green. A long putt, but doable at a push. Then in 2015 the ball veered fairly close to the hole but overshot by a few feet. There's one putt left to win the open. It's closer than the last one, but not a tap-in.

    Actually then the question of timing comes in, plus whether they're allowed to make the shot in the first place. So the analogy kind of falls apart.
    I was liking it - being a golfer - but best to abandon, I think.

    The Brexit effect on Sindy is something I find interesting because it works both ways. It makes the emotional case for Sindy stronger - Scotland being yanked out of the EU against its will like that - but otoh it makes the practical process of separation a deal harder.

    So, post Brexit, Sindy is an easier sell emotionally but a harder sell practically. And how this nets out depends on which 'mood' predominates amongst erstwhile floaters: "FFS, we have to escape England's clutches so this shit can't happen" vs "Oh god, the mess it'll cause if we do this, let's not".

    This is the keyest of key questions imo - which mood wins out - but I won't try and answer it from Hampstead. :smile:
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,663
    Leon said:

    I just went to the exact place where, fifteen years ago this month, I ate a portion of boiled sheep’s colon, and a dried frog

    Who else, on this lively forum, can make this exemplary claim?

    Anyone who eats haggis? Who knows what goes on in there, especially if you buy from your local butcher.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,154
    Read this fabulous argument between ChatGPT (on Bing) and a user:

    https://mobile.twitter.com/MovingToTheSun/status/1625156575202537474
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,663
    I think it is finally dawning on a lot of people that indy is quite a way away. Need an Arteta-style reset. Do they go for an Emery first?

    They will be back though.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,306
    kinabalu said:

    TimS said:

    kinabalu said:

    Scott_xP said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anti-independentists previously: Sturgeon is an idiot, a complete imbecile, damaging her cause by her simple presence.

    Anti-independentists now: she was a titan, a powerful and effective politician, independence will be set back by her absence.

    She was very effective at turning Scotland into a one party state, but no nearer her "dream" than she was in 2014.

    The SNP are damaged by her going.

    Less sure about Indy, but it's still not going to happen
    Independence is no nearer than it was in 2014? It depends what we mean. It's undeniably further away than it was the day before the Referendum but it's probably closer than it was the day after. Sturgeon took over after the Referendum therefore I'd say she can truthfully claim the cause of independence has been advanced during her tenure.
    It's a tricky one to call. Realistically they get 2 shots I think, so the question is how well placed are they for the second shot.

    Let's use a golfing analogy. The Scottish election results, facilitated by Cameron granting a referendum, helped to chip the ball on to the green. A long putt, but doable at a push. Then in 2015 the ball veered fairly close to the hole but overshot by a few feet. There's one putt left to win the open. It's closer than the last one, but not a tap-in.

    Actually then the question of timing comes in, plus whether they're allowed to make the shot in the first place. So the analogy kind of falls apart.
    I was liking it - being a golfer - but best to abandon, I think.

    The Brexit effect on Sindy is something I find interesting because it works both ways. It makes the emotional case for Sindy stronger - Scotland being yanked out of the EU against its will like that - but otoh it makes the practical process of separation a fair amount harder.

    So, post Brexit, Sindy is an easier sell emotionally but a harder sell practically. And how this nets out depends on which 'mood' predominates amongst erstwhile floaters: "FFS, we have to escape England's clutches so this shit can't happen" vs "Oh god, the mess it'll cause if we do this, let's not".

    This is the keyest of key questions imo - which mood wins out - but I won't try and answer it from Hampstead. :smile:
    I said exactly this after Brexit itself

    It simultaneously makes Scottish independence considerably more appealing, yet considerably harder to achieve

    At the moment, the “harder to achieve” side of the paradox is winning out. And by the next time the Sindy ducks are in a row, the world will probably be run by AI Muskbots weidling penile laser-cannons, so it won’t really matter
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,962
    edited February 2023

    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    You have a strange definition of charismatic.
    Where do you think they come on the Cameron-Osborne dream team Charisma-ometer?
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164
    Scott_xP said:

    Selebian said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Cookie said:

    What has all the money been spent on?

    Flags
    That's a bit rich when you consider UKGov's track record in that department!
    Flags are always the legacy of petty nationalists, be they separatists in Edinburgh or Downing Street
    Indeed and that's why we never see any EU flags...ever....anywhere...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,936
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    algarkirk said:

    Selebian said:

    HYUFD said:

    Kate Forbes, a member of the evangelical, hardline anti homosexual marriage, anti gender fluidity marriage Free Church of Scotland is
    early favourite to succeed Sturgeon as leader of the SNP

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/02/15/who-replace-nicola-sturgeon-next-snp-leader-kate-forbes/

    "anti gender fluidity marriage"? What's that?

    Offtopic, can the church refuse to marry two people born the same sex, where one has a GRC, so they are officially opposite gender? In principle, they're not even allowed to ask about that, are they?

    Although I think I had to produce a baptism certificate before I got married, to prove my Christian faith, which could be a stumbling block (no requirement, as far as I know, to produce an updated baptism certificate after a GRC)
    As always it will depend which church, in which jurisdiction. Churches are not all the same. England and Scotland not all the same either.
    NB you do not have to be baptised to be married in CoE in England.

    Indeed, as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church.

    You only need to be baptised or confirmed in or have regularly attended a Church of England church for 6 months to be married there if it is not your local Parish church
    "as the established church anyone can be married or buried in their local Parish Church of England church."

    What a whacking fib. Unapproved couples are not allowed, as you've been telling us for months, even when it is the law of England that they can be married.

    Or are gay people not "anyone"?
    Homosexual couples can now be blessed in Church of England services (in the Scottish Episcopal Church homosexual couples can even have full marriages).

    In the Free Church of Scotland of the likely next SNP FM homosexual couples can neither be married or blessed
    C of E = part of the State, and vice versa.

    C of S, E C of S, FC of S, FC of S (c), etc. etc. = not part of the state.
    And the C of E now blesses homosexual couples after the Synod vote last week.

    If the odds are to be believed though the next leader of the Scottish state government will be anti homosexual marriage and a member of the anti homosexual marriage, not even blessing homosexual couples, evangelical Free Church of Scotland
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,306

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Because I like Scotland. It is, after England, my favourite country. I don't live there, but I'd like this to be a world in whuch one day I might, or one of my daughters might. And I don't want to see it turned into a basket case.
    There are worse leaders in the world making a bigger mess of their countries than Sturgeon. But by and large they are in faraway countries I have no emotional comnection to whatsoever.

    And it does have an impact on me, albeit a minor one, when, for example, in a fit f pique she declares that no one from Greater Manchester can visit Scotland. I know that was only a temporary thing. But given our rates were lower than most of Scotland's, it rather rankled.
    So the vast inconvenience of a travel ban that lasted hardly more than a week causes you to hate a politician? I'd check your own pique levels if I were you.

    As ever folk might be better employed worrying about the impending basket cases in their own back yards, cities, regions or countries, but it's easier to self distract about that 'other' place.
    You’re still in the UK, and wrapped in the warm embrace of Westminster. As you will be for the rest of your dismal grey Scottish life. Soz!
  • JPJ2JPJ2 Posts: 380

    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    You have a strange definition of charismatic.
    Oh I don't think so. Who would you think of as charismatic among the SNP MSPs and MPs. I expect the answer is nobody (as you oppose the SNP and independence) and so have little to contribute to the debate.

  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,497
    edited February 2023
    HYUFD said:

    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    If Kate Forbes is elected FM the Scottish Labour posters write themselves with a few quotes from the anti homosexual marriage, anti abortion doctrine of her Free Church of Scotland church.

    Social conservatives in Scotland are mostly Scottish Conservative anyway and won't switch to the SNP under Forbes as they are Unionists
    More credence needs to be given to the distinctions between personal or religious opinion and how the state should legislate.

    It is perfectly possible for an MP, MSP, government minister or FM to:

    be personally and/or religiously opposed to X
    and
    to believe that in a liberal society it is a matter of personal viewpoint
    and
    therefore the state should not ban it.

    Lap dancing clubs, Payment for sex, Adultery, Chicken Nuggets, Morris dancing (borderline but just allowable) all come to mind.

  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    Which of Sturgeon’s achievements of substance would you like to highlight?
    3 General Election wins, 2 Scottish Parliament elections, 2 rounds of Scottish local elections and a Euro-election.
    Yup - that's the tragedy so many wins and sfa to show for it.
  • JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    You have a strange definition of charismatic.
    Where do you think they come on the Cameron-Osborne dream team Charisma-ometer?
    Not even in the same galaxy as my boys Dave and George.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,306
    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Ahahahahaha

    No, sorry, that’s cruel

    AHAHAHAHAHAH

    The Butthurt of the Nit is mighty, this afternoon
    While I'm glad she's gone, I don't necessarily see it as bad news for nationalists. It all depends on who her replacement is. Despite her electoral success, Scotland under her leadership went backwards. Imagine what an SNP led by someone who was administratively, as well as polotically competent might do.
    It’s definitely bad news for them in the short-to-medium term, as their angst on here today reveals

    To deliver Scary Indy Scotland needs a uniquely charismatic and/or deeply reassuring figure. Salmond was the first, Sturgeon the second

    Without them it becomes dimensionally harder
  • GIN1138 said:

    For the first time, I am predicting a Labour majority.

    It's been obvious since September that Labour would win the next election with a majority?
    I believed the polls would narrow closer to an election and Labour still had a mountain to climb despite the large leads.

    I've always thought it will be a small majority at most but likely a Hung Parliament. With Sturgeon gone Labour has a chance of a large breakthrough in Scotland.

    My predictions have been rather good recently - so I feel confident making this one. And I still think we will see a 30 point lead by July.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 5,190

    kamski said:

    MattW said:

    Ben Wallace describes German Nato story as "bollocks" on BBC.
    https://twitter.com/BBCBreakfast/status/1625764388685709314

    Inevitable - I heard it being pushed by the Times Radio to a German defence think-tanker the other day, who told them it was baseless.

    Oh for a media that attached priority to checking a story before they repeat it.

    (TBF around Ukraine I can't say much more for the German media, even the official DW. They have been pushing "NATO ammunition crisis", which is accurate for Germany and maybe parts of Western Europe - not Spain or a couple of Scandis, but was shown to be a political/confidence crisis not an ammunition crisis by Perun back in December.

    Germany is suffering from a need for other people to take responsibility for them.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=deK98IeTjfY
    )
    DW has this:
    https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-updates-nato-warns-of-donor-ammunition-shortages/a-64684823

    "The war in Ukraine is consuming an enormous amount of ammunition," Stoltenberg said. "The current rate of Ukraine's ammunition expenditure is many times higher than our current production rates. This puts our defense industries under strain. (...) So we need to ramp up new production and invest in our production capacities."

    also widely reported in UK media, I think. I might have missed something else.

    btw, why have only Poland, Germany, Norway and Portugal (and Canada?) promised Leopard 2 tanks so far?
    Lots of non-runners in the inventories?

    It is much cheaper to park tanks in a shed. Unless it is done carefully, with frequent checks, the result is, rapidly, a non-functional system. Mothballing equipment is a bit of an art.

    The American government is funding some pretty massive increases in ammunition production. Thales Belfast (where a number of UK weapons are manufactured) is working all the hours - limit there is sub-components, I believe.
    I'm sure that's true, but the reports yesterday that the Netherlands and Denmark have decided to not to send Leopard 2 tanks after all are a a bit strange. Even Pistorius said that he was "a bit disappointed" with how long other European countries are taking to commit to supplying Leopards. No doubt JosiasJessop will have something to say about this!
  • NEW: How often do you trust [...] to tell the truth (% all/most of the time).

    Local police force 44%
    Police force in general 41%
    Keir Starmer 37%
    Rishi Sunak 29%
    My MP 28%
    MPs in general 17%
    Gov't ministers 17%
    Boris Johnson 16%
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,143
    rcs1000 said:

    Read this fabulous argument between ChatGPT (on Bing) and a user:

    https://mobile.twitter.com/MovingToTheSun/status/1625156575202537474

    That slightly reminds me of my first ever argument on here with Hyufd before I read the room and adjusted.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,175

    NEW: How often do you trust [...] to tell the truth (% all/most of the time).

    Local police force 44%
    Police force in general 41%
    Keir Starmer 37%
    Rishi Sunak 29%
    My MP 28%
    MPs in general 17%
    Gov't ministers 17%
    Boris Johnson 16%

    Was that commissioned by the police?!
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    edited February 2023
    The takes that this is great news for the Union etc seem a bit premature.

    I suspect that Sturgeon had become a net weight on independence sentiment, and that she intuited this.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,811
    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Ahahahahaha

    No, sorry, that’s cruel

    AHAHAHAHAHAH

    The Butthurt of the Nit is mighty, this afternoon
    While I'm glad she's gone, I don't necessarily see it as bad news for nationalists. It all depends on who her replacement is. Despite her electoral success, Scotland under her leadership went backwards. Imagine what an SNP led by someone who was administratively, as well as polotically competent might do.
    It’s definitely bad news for them in the short-to-medium term, as their angst on here today reveals

    To deliver Scary Indy Scotland needs a uniquely charismatic and/or deeply reassuring figure. Salmond was the first, Sturgeon the second

    Without them it becomes dimensionally harder
    It also seems highly likely that Labour are going to win in 2024 and for a pretty long time which makes it an order of magnitude more difficult as they won't be campaigning against the Tories. 2023 was last chance saloon for Indy, once Labour are in I don't see how it happens.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,936
    edited February 2023

    The takes that this is great news for the Union etc seem a bit premature.

    I suspect that at some level Sturgeon had become a net weight on independence sentiment.

    If the next SNP leader and FM is anti homosexual marriage, as looks likely, that could be an even bigger boost for Unionists and SLab especially than Sturgeon's gender bill.

    The SNP will just have gone from one extreme to the other!!
  • algarkirk said:

    HYUFD said:

    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    If Kate Forbes is elected FM the Scottish Labour posters write themselves with a few quotes from the anti homosexual marriage, anti abortion doctrine of her Free Church of Scotland church.

    Social conservatives in Scotland are mostly Scottish Conservative anyway and won't switch to the SNP under Forbes as they are Unionists
    More credence needs to be given to the distinctions between personal or religious opinion and how the state should legislate.

    It is perfectly possible for an MP, MSP, government minister or FM to:

    be personally and/or religiously opposed to X
    and
    to believe that in a liberal society it is a matter of personal viewpoint
    and
    therefore the state should not ban it.

    Lap dancing clubs, Payment for sex, Adultery, Chicken Nuggets, Morris dancing (borderline but just allowable) all come to mind.

    Tim Farron came a cropper over that sort of thing, didn't he?

    How successfully Kate Forbes navigates that is partly about her personal political talents and partly whether the public is prepared to accept that argument (which is a perfectly good one).
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,154
    kinabalu said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Read this fabulous argument between ChatGPT (on Bing) and a user:

    https://mobile.twitter.com/MovingToTheSun/status/1625156575202537474

    That slightly reminds me of my first ever argument on here with Hyufd before I read the room and adjusted.
    Just a portion of the discussion:


  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,635
    edited February 2023
    JPJ2 said:

    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    You have a strange definition of charismatic.
    Oh I don't think so. Who would you think of as charismatic among the SNP MSPs and MPs. I expect the answer is nobody (as you oppose the SNP and independence) and so have little to contribute to the debate.

    Out of current MPs.

    I found Joanna Cherry charismatic, not just because she is a lawyer.

    I like John Nicholson fits the criteria for the right reasons, Angus MacNeill for all the wrong reasons.

    I’ve found the S McDonalds interesting.

    My analysis on Scotland has made me lots of money when Cybernats said I was doing my money on Scotland voting No or Tories to get more than 6 MPs in Scotland in 2017 at 20/1.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    HYUFD said:

    The takes that this is great news for the Union etc seem a bit premature.

    I suspect that at some level Sturgeon had become a net weight on independence sentiment.

    If the next SNP leader and FM is anti homosexual marriage, as looks likely, that could be an even bigger boost for Unionists than Sturgeon's gender bill.

    The SNP will just have gone from one extreme to the other!!
    I don’t think Kate Forbes will go for it.
    But *if* she does, and wins, she presents as the SNP’s best chance of a generational re-set.

    The Wee Free stuff is a side-show.
  • GIN1138 said:

    For the first time, I am predicting a Labour majority.

    It's been obvious since September that Labour would win the next election with a majority?
    I believed the polls would narrow closer to an election and Labour still had a mountain to climb despite the large leads.

    I've always thought it will be a small majority at most but likely a Hung Parliament. With Sturgeon gone Labour has a chance of a large breakthrough in Scotland.

    My predictions have been rather good recently - so I feel confident making this one. And I still think we will see a 30 point lead by July.
    People Polling or multiple pollsters?
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,802

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Because I like Scotland. It is, after England, my favourite country. I don't live there, but I'd like this to be a world in whuch one day I might, or one of my daughters might. And I don't want to see it turned into a basket case.
    There are worse leaders in the world making a bigger mess of their countries than Sturgeon. But by and large they are in faraway countries I have no emotional comnection to whatsoever.

    And it does have an impact on me, albeit a minor one, when, for example, in a fit f pique she declares that no one from Greater Manchester can visit Scotland. I know that was only a temporary thing. But given our rates were lower than most of Scotland's, it rather rankled.
    So the vast inconvenience of a travel ban that lasted hardly more than a week causes you to hate a politician? I'd check your own pique levels if I were you.

    As ever folk might be better employed worrying about the impending basket cases in their own back yards, cities, regions or countries, but it's easier to self distract about that 'other' place.
    I think 'hate' overstates it. I don't like her, certainly. And I found her tone during covid petty and spiteful. I am of course more concerned with politicians who have a more direct impact on me. But I think tge UK government are doing a considerably less terrible job of running the UK than the Scottish government has been of running Scotland.
    Though I will certainly grant you success in reopening rail lines, and someone downthread has also mentioned public housing as a success.
    If it helps, I would rather have Sturgeon steering the ship I was on than Drakeford or Sadiq Khan. (The northerm mayors - Rotherham, Burnham, that fella from Sheffield whose name temporarilt escapes
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    JPJ2 said:

    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    You have a strange definition of charismatic.
    Oh I don't think so. Who would you think of as charismatic among the SNP MSPs and MPs. I expect the answer is nobody (as you oppose the SNP and independence) and so have little to contribute to the debate.

    So, you’re saying that if Person A opposes a proposition put forward by Person B then Person A has little to contribute to a debate over the proposition?

    I’m not quite sure I follow that.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,802
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Because I like Scotland. It is, after England, my favourite country. I don't live there, but I'd like this to be a world in whuch one day I might, or one of my daughters might. And I don't want to see it turned into a basket case.
    There are worse leaders in the world making a bigger mess of their countries than Sturgeon. But by and large they are in faraway countries I have no emotional comnection to whatsoever.

    And it does have an impact on me, albeit a minor one, when, for example, in a fit f pique she declares that no one from Greater Manchester can visit Scotland. I know that was only a temporary thing. But given our rates were lower than most of Scotland's, it rather rankled.
    So the vast inconvenience of a travel ban that lasted hardly more than a week causes you to hate a politician? I'd check your own pique levels if I were you.

    As ever folk might be better employed worrying about the impending basket cases in their own back yards, cities, regions or countries, but it's easier to self distract about that 'other' place.
    I think 'hate' overstates it. I don't like her, certainly. And I found her tone during covid petty and spiteful. I am of course more concerned with politicians who have a more direct impact on me. But I think tge UK government are doing a considerably less terrible job of running the UK than the Scottish government has been of running Scotland.
    Though I will certainly grant you success in reopening rail lines, and someone downthread has also mentioned public housing as a success.
    If it helps, I would rather have Sturgeon steering the ship I was on than Drakeford or Sadiq Khan. (The northerm mayors - Rotherham, Burnham, that fella from Sheffield whose name temporarilt escapes
    ...me, have, I would tentatively suggest, done ok).
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,143
    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    TimS said:

    kinabalu said:

    Scott_xP said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anti-independentists previously: Sturgeon is an idiot, a complete imbecile, damaging her cause by her simple presence.

    Anti-independentists now: she was a titan, a powerful and effective politician, independence will be set back by her absence.

    She was very effective at turning Scotland into a one party state, but no nearer her "dream" than she was in 2014.

    The SNP are damaged by her going.

    Less sure about Indy, but it's still not going to happen
    Independence is no nearer than it was in 2014? It depends what we mean. It's undeniably further away than it was the day before the Referendum but it's probably closer than it was the day after. Sturgeon took over after the Referendum therefore I'd say she can truthfully claim the cause of independence has been advanced during her tenure.
    It's a tricky one to call. Realistically they get 2 shots I think, so the question is how well placed are they for the second shot.

    Let's use a golfing analogy. The Scottish election results, facilitated by Cameron granting a referendum, helped to chip the ball on to the green. A long putt, but doable at a push. Then in 2015 the ball veered fairly close to the hole but overshot by a few feet. There's one putt left to win the open. It's closer than the last one, but not a tap-in.

    Actually then the question of timing comes in, plus whether they're allowed to make the shot in the first place. So the analogy kind of falls apart.
    I was liking it - being a golfer - but best to abandon, I think.

    The Brexit effect on Sindy is something I find interesting because it works both ways. It makes the emotional case for Sindy stronger - Scotland being yanked out of the EU against its will like that - but otoh it makes the practical process of separation a fair amount harder.

    So, post Brexit, Sindy is an easier sell emotionally but a harder sell practically. And how this nets out depends on which 'mood' predominates amongst erstwhile floaters: "FFS, we have to escape England's clutches so this shit can't happen" vs "Oh god, the mess it'll cause if we do this, let's not".

    This is the keyest of key questions imo - which mood wins out - but I won't try and answer it from Hampstead. :smile:
    I said exactly this after Brexit itself

    It simultaneously makes Scottish independence considerably more appealing, yet considerably harder to achieve

    At the moment, the “harder to achieve” side of the paradox is winning out. And by the next time the Sindy ducks are in a row, the world will probably be run by AI Muskbots weidling penile laser-cannons, so it won’t really matter
    You said exactly that too? Oh. Let me have a little think.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    Liz Truss for Scotland’s FM. You heard it here first.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,306

    The takes that this is great news for the Union etc seem a bit premature.

    I suspect that Sturgeon had become a net weight on independence sentiment, and that she intuited this.

    No, she was/is still a big net benefit for the Nits. See their anguish on here today

    She realised that’s she’s not gonna get to Indy on her watch, and then it becomes an examination of her record as FM. Which really is not good

    Sensible move to quit now, like Merkel, before her errors begin to impact

    Indy will be back, for sure, but not for quite a few years
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,936

    HYUFD said:

    The takes that this is great news for the Union etc seem a bit premature.

    I suspect that at some level Sturgeon had become a net weight on independence sentiment.

    If the next SNP leader and FM is anti homosexual marriage, as looks likely, that could be an even bigger boost for Unionists than Sturgeon's gender bill.

    The SNP will just have gone from one extreme to the other!!
    I don’t think Kate Forbes will go for it.
    But *if* she does, and wins, she presents as the SNP’s best chance of a generational re-set.

    The Wee Free stuff is a side-show.
    Not for Scottish Labour it won't be, they will look to tie Forbes closely to the Wee Frees to win over social liberals from the SNP
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,329
    Cicero said:

    Jonathan said:

    So who is going to keep the seat warm for Alex Salmond to return?

    Salmond is not as loved in Scotland as he is south of the border. His third return would probably end the SNP as a viable force in politics. Not least because it would emphasize the weak field on offer.

    Keith Brown is not going to set the heather on fire for the progressives... Robertson and Swinney are even more tired looking.

    Kate Forbes looks fresher and is undoubtedly bright, but her Wee Free Church background and expressed views do not make her a comfortable figurehead for the Young Nats. At 32 she can afford to wait, of course, but its a risk that the Nat tide goes out for decades.

    Hamza Yousaf is a back room operator, in the tradition of Sturgeon, but has a few issues (driving offences) which call his judgement into question.
    Humza Useless has not a cat's chance in hell of being within a million miles, a complete dud in every job he has done and only there as a slavish Sturgeon acolyte.
  • DougSeal said:

    JPJ2 said:

    JPJ2 said:

    I rather fancy giving the celebrating unionists a blast with both barrels of the gun (non violently of course) by electing the 2 most charismatic elected SNP MPs and MSPs, Stephen Flynn as SNP leader, and Kate Forbes as First Minister.

    You have a strange definition of charismatic.
    Oh I don't think so. Who would you think of as charismatic among the SNP MSPs and MPs. I expect the answer is nobody (as you oppose the SNP and independence) and so have little to contribute to the debate.

    So, you’re saying that if Person A opposes a proposition put forward by Person B then Person A has little to contribute to a debate over the proposition?

    I’m not quite sure I follow that.
    He’s just a cheap version of Stuart Dickson.

    Only Nats know Scotland.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    edited February 2023
    kamski said:

    kamski said:

    MattW said:

    Ben Wallace describes German Nato story as "bollocks" on BBC.
    https://twitter.com/BBCBreakfast/status/1625764388685709314

    Inevitable - I heard it being pushed by the Times Radio to a German defence think-tanker the other day, who told them it was baseless.

    Oh for a media that attached priority to checking a story before they repeat it.

    (TBF around Ukraine I can't say much more for the German media, even the official DW. They have been pushing "NATO ammunition crisis", which is accurate for Germany and maybe parts of Western Europe - not Spain or a couple of Scandis, but was shown to be a political/confidence crisis not an ammunition crisis by Perun back in December.

    Germany is suffering from a need for other people to take responsibility for them.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=deK98IeTjfY
    )
    DW has this:
    https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-updates-nato-warns-of-donor-ammunition-shortages/a-64684823

    "The war in Ukraine is consuming an enormous amount of ammunition," Stoltenberg said. "The current rate of Ukraine's ammunition expenditure is many times higher than our current production rates. This puts our defense industries under strain. (...) So we need to ramp up new production and invest in our production capacities."

    also widely reported in UK media, I think. I might have missed something else.

    btw, why have only Poland, Germany, Norway and Portugal (and Canada?) promised Leopard 2 tanks so far?
    Lots of non-runners in the inventories?

    It is much cheaper to park tanks in a shed. Unless it is done carefully, with frequent checks, the result is, rapidly, a non-functional system. Mothballing equipment is a bit of an art.

    The American government is funding some pretty massive increases in ammunition production. Thales Belfast (where a number of UK weapons are manufactured) is working all the hours - limit there is sub-components, I believe.
    I'm sure that's true, but the reports yesterday that the Netherlands and Denmark have decided to not to send Leopard 2 tanks after all are a a bit strange. Even Pistorius said that he was "a bit disappointed" with how long other European countries are taking to commit to supplying Leopards. No doubt JosiasJessop will have something to say about this!
    Kremlin shill John Helmer has a very interesting interview with an Indian general on the status of the SMO on his website.

    http://johnhelmer.org/lieutenant-general-shankar-applies-indian-army-experience-to-the-war-on-the-ukrainian-battlefield-so-far/

    The Ukrainian Home Guard (WFH Battalion) have no need to get triggered over this as Gen. Shankar is quite critical of the Russian Army and makes some insightful points.
  • NEW: How often do you trust [...] to tell the truth (% all/most of the time).

    Local police force 44%
    Police force in general 41%
    Keir Starmer 37%
    Rishi Sunak 29%
    My MP 28%
    MPs in general 17%
    Gov't ministers 17%
    Boris Johnson 16%

    16% LOL. Where do they find these people?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,306
    My hotel does the most sublime beef in black pepper sauce. Because they are using Kampot peppercorns, the best pepper in the world (from the Cambodian coast)

    Price? £6

    Also 200 Valium 10mg will cost you £14, JFYI
  • Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Because I like Scotland. It is, after England, my favourite country. I don't live there, but I'd like this to be a world in whuch one day I might, or one of my daughters might. And I don't want to see it turned into a basket case.
    There are worse leaders in the world making a bigger mess of their countries than Sturgeon. But by and large they are in faraway countries I have no emotional comnection to whatsoever.

    And it does have an impact on me, albeit a minor one, when, for example, in a fit f pique she declares that no one from Greater Manchester can visit Scotland. I know that was only a temporary thing. But given our rates were lower than most of Scotland's, it rather rankled.
    As ever folk might be better employed worrying about the impending basket cases in their own back yards, cities, regions or countries, but it's easier to self distract about that 'other' place.
    Remind you of anyone?
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164
    MaxPB said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    kinabalu said:

    Theresa May's resigntion speech took less than 7 minutes.
    Boris Johnson's resignation announcement was less than 8 minutes.
    Liz Truss took less than 2 minutes.
    Sturgeon's lasted almost 40 minutes. That tells you all you need to know.


    https://twitter.com/Janela_X/status/1625847629266718720?s=20

    About their relative substance and stature? ... Yep.
    I don't get the love for Sturgeon from lefties from England. Scotland has got worse by almost every measure since she's been in power. Economy, health, education - all have gone backwards relative to England's. There have, I suppose, been some positives in public transport (rail reopenings etc) but as against that: ferries. And I think Scotland's rail network has been more stricken by strikes than England's? She's raised taxes, but that is surely only the meams, not the end in itself. And she was bloody awful with covid - antagonistic purely for the sake of driving wedges with England, delusional over zero covid, rubbish over vaccinations.
    I can only assume it's the enemy-of-my-enemy principle.
    I don't get the hate for Sturgeon from righties from England. I mean you don't live in Scotland for a start and her governance has fuck all effect on you, unlike the pricks you impose upon us. I can only assume it's a distraction from the burning dog shit bin that you've repeatedly voted into being.


    Ahahahahaha

    No, sorry, that’s cruel

    AHAHAHAHAHAH

    The Butthurt of the Nit is mighty, this afternoon
    While I'm glad she's gone, I don't necessarily see it as bad news for nationalists. It all depends on who her replacement is. Despite her electoral success, Scotland under her leadership went backwards. Imagine what an SNP led by someone who was administratively, as well as polotically competent might do.
    It’s definitely bad news for them in the short-to-medium term, as their angst on here today reveals

    To deliver Scary Indy Scotland needs a uniquely charismatic and/or deeply reassuring figure. Salmond was the first, Sturgeon the second

    Without them it becomes dimensionally harder
    It also seems highly likely that Labour are going to win in 2024 and for a pretty long time which makes it an order of magnitude more difficult as they won't be campaigning against the Tories. 2023 was last chance saloon for Indy, once Labour are in I don't see how it happens.
    It's remarkable to me how many assume that Labour will win - perfectly reasonable while at the same time not f****** up in all directions very quickly.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,164
    Leon said:

    The takes that this is great news for the Union etc seem a bit premature.

    I suspect that Sturgeon had become a net weight on independence sentiment, and that she intuited this.

    No, she was/is still a big net benefit for the Nits. See their anguish on here today

    She realised that’s she’s not gonna get to Indy on her watch, and then it becomes an examination of her record as FM. Which really is not good

    Sensible move to quit now, like Merkel, before her errors begin to impact

    Indy will be back, for sure, but not for quite a few years
    from the point of view of her party Merkel did not quit nealry soon enough....
This discussion has been closed.