Categories
Not much joy for the Tories in the 2023 polls – politicalbetting.com
Not much joy for the Tories in the 2023 polls – politicalbetting.com
If Sunak and his party had been hoping that the new year would bring at least an indication that things were getting better then so far they have been disappointed. All the polls this year have LAB leads of 20% or more and the changes have been mostly in line with the margin of error.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) said on a GOP conference call Thursday morning he has made progress on negotiations with Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas) and others who have not been supporting him for Speaker.
But the tentative deal is not finalized with all of the holdouts, and McCarthy stressed that the deal was still tentative.
The House is set to reconvene at noon for its fourth day without a Speaker and try for the 12th time to elect one.
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/3802149-house-speaker-election-coverage-mccarthy-allies-hope-to-hammer-out-deal-on-day-4-of-stalemate/
SSI - Believe it only AFTER you see some evidence of it in the next roll call.
Left a big scar on her psyche. She was always alarmed about LAbour's complacency. Even more so than Blair and Campbell.
Edit - even if she had served continuously, at the time of her death Alan Williams (who was elected in 1964) would still have had longer service.
What does tentative mean anyway? You’ve got a deal or you haven’t.
Me: Translate "I am a cat and I eat mice"
AI: Here is the requested translation:
Cornish:
M'yw kath hag yw dha lerghi
Georgian:
მე კოტაა და მე მზერებს ვერხვირებ.
Coptic:
ⲉⲧⲏⲥⲟⲩ ⲛⲉⲙⲛⲩⲏⲛⲉ ⲛⲏⲥ ⲡⲓⲣⲟⲩⲛⲏⲥ
Sanskrit:
अहम् मानवः अस्मि अहं मरुः भोजनं च खादयामि
Old Norse:
Ég er köttur og ég borða mý
Megrelian:
მე კოტა მეგობრებს
Armenian:
Ես կոտ եմ և կենդանիներ ուտում եմ
Saami:
Mun lean káhtta ja mun johtan mieđđi
Tibetan:
ངའི་དམར་ཆེན་པོ་བདུན་ཞིག་རྣམས་སྤྱོད་མེད
Thai:
ฉันคือแมวและฉันกินเมาส์
Rapa Nui:
Ko hau kaua, e ko hau kei kai kepu
Urdu:
میں ایک گربہ ہوں اور میں جوتے ہیں
Geez:
አንተ ከሴትና ከሴቶችን እሃይ
Myanma:
ကြ်န္ေတာ္တို႔က်န္သားကိုယ္တိုင္ရာအေရးေတြကိုေရာက္ရင္းပါတယ္
Sinhala:
මට පුංචි මහන්සියි
Hmong:
Kuv yog tsis txhob kawm tsis txhob
Mongolian:
Би цайвар энэ ба би маргаан ажиллуулах юм
Klingon:
qaStaHvIS cat yIghItlh
Note: The Klingon language does not have a specific word for "mice," so the word "ghItlh" (meaning "small creature") was used instead.
+++
Now, I am sure Google Translate can do much if not all of this, but seeing ChatGPT churn this out simultaneously and in a few seconds does feel magical
Kevin could win (bribe) MOST of the 21 hold-outs, and STILL not achieve a majority.
Putin's crony Prigozhin wants control over salt & gypsum mines around Bakhmut - Reuters
The obsession with which the mercenary group Wagner attacks Bakhmut is driven by Prigozhin's interest in capturing natural resources worth millions of US dollars.
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1611389840989487105
"I pale this and I will run the argument"
So, no, on that basis. Let me check another
(As explained by the ever excellent @johnauthers).
But surely the Republicans saw the Truss experiment and won't want a repeat?? https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1610745957024469004
https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/1611382124883628033
Fascinating. It does show how this machine will churn out plausible bullshit, when in the mood, and to make it worse the bullshit is mixed with impressive accuracy. Dangerous!
I wonder how it chooses the phrases to invent?! That's intriguing by itself
This is just a private operator, acting as an arm of the state, looking to exploit resources on the side.
Personally, such is the polarisation of Brexit that I think it spikes support of the euro in a forced choice from c. 10-15% of the electorate up to potentially 30-35% of the electorate, maybe even a bit higher, but doesn't get to 50%+1.
The Ge'ez looks suspect
Whereas the first group, who are given no information, give Re-Join a commanding lead of 12-points, in the second group this lead is slashed to a barely statistically significant 4-points. The key point is that once voters are made aware of the fact that Re-Joining the EU will inevitably entail a lot of things they do not like, from even more immigration to sending more payments to Brussels, their appetite for it significantly weakens and the race becomes as competitive as many of the polls ahead of the referendum in 2016 —and we all know how that race ended.
https://mattgoodwin.substack.com/p/why-im-sceptical-of-rejoinerism
One area of notable weakness, though, is Foreign Affairs, even if they have been sound enough on Ukraine. According to my inside source, there is basically NO foreign policy worth the name and they’ve had to get Jonathan Powell in to help the shadow cabinet get up to speed.
Keir and Blair don’t really get on, but Keir is happy to use a range of ex-Blairites to fill the gaps.
Please like this post if you concur.
Imagine getting on a train in Birmingham and waking up in Paris.
Me: Generate a crazily random comment for an internet forum devoted to betting on politics
"I just saw a UFO fly past my window and it was piloted by a giant hamster wearing a top hat. It whispered to me that the key to winning the election lies in the power of the accordion. I know it sounds crazy, but you can't deny the power of the accordion!"
We were talking about accordions earlier
otherwise it's the same as the Eurostar from Amsterdam to London which features a lovely walk at Brussels to go through British border control
Schengen’s a waste of time.
We should replace it with spot checks or something.
*Yes, the IJN had their own type of land mines.
Cake though? We'll have all we can get.
https://www.asahi.com/sp/ajw/articles/14808689
Imagine living in some out of the way tourist trap with a little known language. Smartphone using westerners turn up demanding the rancid pigeon meat while pointing at the ice cream. Pretty soon 'rancid pigeon meat' is the de facto term for ice cream.
If anyone has not seen it, Chrome menu (three dots) > settings > accessibility > turn on live caption
Chrome will then download some small files, and from then on will add a subtitles box to any videos you watch.
AI/tech is in a period of speedy and astonishing change. There is a good chance GPT4 (supposedly launching in 2023) will pass the Turing Test with ease. That will be an epochal moment for humanity, tho we might not realise for a while
Addendum - Current hack just praise Capitol Police - what a fucking hypocrite!
Where's the late, great Graham Chapman when you need him?
McCarthy, again trailed by a chaotic scrum of reporters, has entered the chamber. “Watch here and you’ll see some people who have been voting against me voting for me.”
The Hill - Damar Hamlin breathing on his own, FaceTimes into team meeting, Bills say
The breathing tube for Buffalo Bills player Damar Hamlin has been removed, and he is able to speak to his family and medical team, the Bills announced Friday.
The Bills tweeted that physicians at the University of Cincinnati Medical Center, where Hamlin has been since he collapsed during Monday night’s game against the Bengals, said his tube was removed overnight.
The team said he is continuing to “progress remarkably” and his neurologic function remains intact.
The Bills also tweeted that Hamlin FaceTimed in during a team meeting on Friday to talk with the players and coaches.
“Love you boys,” he reportedly said.
Hamlin fell to the ground during the first quarter of the Monday Night Football game after tackling a Bills player. He initially got up after the tackle but moments later collapsed.
He needed to be resuscitated on the field and was later taken in an ambulance to the hospital after experiencing cardiac arrest.
The NFL initially postponed the game following the incident and announced on Friday that it would be canceled. It has proposed plans to adjust for how the game’s cancellation could potentially affect playoff positioning.
Players on both teams were visibly shaken after Hamlin received CPR.
Hamlin’s fundraiser that he created to support a toy drive for his community has raised almost $8 million since the game Monday, far surpassing its $2,500 goal. The description on its GoFundMe page notes that the fundraiser received renewed support in light of Hamlin’s “current battle.”
https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/3802377-damar-hamlin-breathing-on-his-own-facetimes-into-team-meeting-bills-say/
Does he mean Kevin McCarthy - or Matt Gaetz???
Next another rebel Boebert nominates Hern, again
When same is clearly true of KMcC's peanut gallery!
And it would seem, DJT in 2019:
“We’re keeping [Syria’s] oil. We have the oil. The oil is secure. We left troops behind only for the oil.”
https://orinocotribune.com/us-steals-more-than-80-of-syrias-daily-oil-production/
One for Hern, and another switches to McCarthy
You don't get to be Speaker of the House if you give up at the twelfth hurdle.
Have you never heard of Donald J Trump?