The World Cup betting after an action-packed weekend – politicalbetting.com

I would like to bet on England but even after yesterday’s match, I remain unconvinced. Alas if they do beat France next weekend the odds will be a whole lot tighter than they are at the moment.
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Must admit, my personal view is that Brazil are about a 30% chance, France 20%, Spain 15%, and UK and Argentina 10%.
More seriously, are Japan value at 100/1 ?
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2022/dec/04/ai-bot-chatgpt-stuns-academics-with-essay-writing-skills-and-usability
Interesting point about copyright.
The flip side of which is that AIs can create vast amounts of text, over which copyright could possibly be claimed. Could potentially make it very hard for human writers to work at all.
Something similar is already happening with musical composition.
I think the Netherlands will get past Argentina.
Carol of the Bells & the fight for national dignity. Lessons from the history of the Ukrainian National Republic
https://euromaidanpress.com/2020/01/02/shchedryk-the-fight-for-national-dignity-lessons-from-the-history-of-the-ukrainian-national-republic/
… On January 22, 1918, the government approved the Law on National-Personal Autonomy, according to which:
– “Article 1. Each of the peoples living in Ukraine has the right within the Ukrainian National Republic to national and personal autonomy, that is, the right to self-organize their national life through the bodies of the National Union, whose power extends to all its members, regardless of their place of residence within the Ukrainian National Republic. It is an inalienable right of peoples, and none of them can be deprived of, or restricted in that right.”
– The Great Russian, Jewish and Polish peoples have been granted autonomy by virtue of this law, and other peoples could avail themselves of this right, subject to the submission of an application signed by “at least 10,000 UNR citizens, regardless of their sex or faith.”..
But political debate needs to wake up to its implications pretty quickly.
I’m not sure it’s going to be as popular or as lasting in creative pursuits as some suggest.
How Web Platforms Collapse: The Facebook Case Study
https://tedgioia.substack.com/p/how-web-platforms-collapse-the-facebook
… I can actually explain the problem in one sentence:
Instead of serving users, the dominant company decides it’s better to control them.
… Why do I need to log in to Reddit to read comments? Why can’t I fix a spelling error on Twitter? Why can’t I find the names of the band members on Spotify? Why is the whole first page of Google search results sometimes filled with paid advertising? Why does TikTok send all my private data to China?
It’s obvious that these companies didn’t do focus groups or market research before making these decisions. Or if they did, they must have ignored what they learned. I can’t imagine a single Spotify user ever saying: “Please make sure you never tell me the members of the band
… The 10 Times Facebook Jerked Me Around Like a Spinning Wheel…
"@BritainElects
Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 43% (-2)
CON: 29% (+1)
LDEM: 8% (-1)
GRN: 6% (+2)
via @OpiniumResearch, 30 Nov - 02 Dec"
https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1599437593900359680
Initially, it’s going to be an unprecedented productivity tool for those who work out how to use it.
Software is a great example, as it seems to be able (note I’m a technical ignoramus, so feel free to correct) to do some coding tasks many orders of magnitude faster than a human coder. That doesn’t take the human out if the loop, but it does away with a lot of work previously done by humans.
That’s not something that’s going to be stopped by political policy, public opinion, or market forces.
Agree about the Dutch getting past Argentina.
As for GB Utd, it might annoy some to say so but is there a single Welsh or Scotsman that would make it into the football side right now? Possibly a fit Kieran Tierney at left back. But not Bale or Ramsay anymore. The squad would have more depth I grant you.
Intriguing too that the Wales wonder decade has not just coincided with the Bale era but also Swansea and Cardiff being premier league regulars. Proud Scots take note and try again to get the Old Firm in the pyramid south of the border to make a true British Premier League.
Getting knocked out of the world cup by France is going to ruin Christmas for me.
The claim against Michael Lockwood, 63, director-general of the Independent Office for Police Conduct (IOPC), is understood to be sexual in nature, regarding alleged behaviour when he was in his 20s and living in Humberside.
A police source said that he had been under investigation for months but the IOPC, whose job it is to examine police misconduct, was informed only last week. It is understood a file has been sent to the Crown Prosecution Service, which will now make a decision on whether to charge him.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/police-watchdog-chief-had-relations-with-teenager-25lrg68w0
https://twitter.com/walter_report/status/1599654381145595904
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Engels-2_(air_base)
Corners are becoming farcical. When was shirt-pulling made legal? The shoulder charge was made illegal but the hand-off became normal. The shriek of pain is obligatory when the player feels any contact and when he's forced to leap high into the air.
The referee needs to remember that if they roll over seven times, it means they're not injured. Finally, don't add on twenty minutes when the team deliberately time-waste. Yellow-card for the first offence. A red for the second. Grow a pair.
Patent trolling, there, has made the issue immediate.
No one ever cares about the feelings of a can of baked beans.
There are actually bigger productivity gains with “dumber” tools that drop in chunks of boiler plate code, I think.
Where AI is already growing is things like content moderation. If the machine makes a mistake that is noticed - a human can then delete the post. See Twitter…
It creates templated code using variables you have already defined, but occasionally picks the wrong ones, so you get syntactically correct code that runs perfectly and does exactly the wrong thing.
I hadn’t realised you weee a meat-thing.
My sympathies
The history of programming is all about automating the mechanist tasks - getting closer and closer to the core that requires thought.
President likens truckers' strike to North Korean nuclear threat
https://m.koreatimes.co.kr/pages/article.asp?newsIdx=341159
In the meantime we need AI moderation to eliminate all the AI and Galle spam on the site.
Jon Bentley, in the “Bumper-Sticker Computer Science” chapter of his book More Programming Pearls, quotes Dick Sites from DEC as saying “I'd rather write programs to write programs than write programs”.
Pakistan probably still favourites.
If this becomes the norm it is only a short step away from banning heading in football and the end of the game as we know it today
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/nov/28/scottish-footballers-to-be-banned-from-heading-ball-before-and-after-matches?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
The app’s original purpose has been lost in the era of “performance” media.
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2022/11/instagram-tiktok-twitter-social-media-competition/672305/
For writing templates for unit tests, it saves hours.
But if you stupidly let it autocomplete your function, prepare to be frustrated.
@MishalHusain if being in the EU single market wd boost UK economic growth, @Keir_Starmer says: “No at this stage I don’t think it would.”
Some will think "at this stage" is a signal to it being possible in future.
Others will think it's a signal that ship has sailed
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1599679552061521922
Later clarified as “ship has sailed”
The astonishing commitment of Estonians to the struggle in Ukraine has quite simply been unwavering. Even as the Estonian government has signed contracts for new weapons systems- including HIMARS- with the the US, the people here are committing support to the nearly 70,000 refugees here as well as sending money and any support that can be spared to the Ukrainian army. The news of further atrocities being committed by Russian forces is greeted with a shrug, "of course, it is just the way they are, that is what happened in Estonia when the Russians invaded".
For Estonians, as for every country invaded by Russia, there is the certainty that in Ukraine were to lose, then we would be next. This is not a guess, it is the certainty when listening to any part of the Russian state propaganda. Putin will not rest until the jackboot rests on all the free peoples of Europe. Thus the weak-kneed response of Macron and Scholz is increasingly derided. "France has delivered 2% of the military assistance to Ukraine, so Macron does not get to decide that "Russia needs security guarantees". In fact the general view here is that the only viable policy is NATO membership for Ukraine and that will be true whether or not Putin survives the next year.
The Russian hybrid war is still full on, but the Estonian cyber systems have withstood the onslaught and as Russian failures mount and the number of Russian men in their twenties leaving the country increases further, a sense of doubt is clearly growing over the border. The vicious attacks on civilian targets have not weakened the will of Ukrainians. Torture, rape and pillage are not working. Blood curdling nuclear threats do not intimidate. Fresh NATO trained Ukrainian troops are starting to arrive to face a rabble of Russian Mobiniks, whose casualty rates are already utterly horrific.
Estonia is facing the Advent season with more hope than for some time, but the General election campaign will start in January and until March domestic politics will be forefront in peoples minds. Ahead of that and the greater exertions of next year, we will enjoy the fruits of the Christmas season.
I've probably spent about three hours coding it, and it's been fun. Except it probably only takes ten seconds to draw a triangle on a piece of paper and label a couple of sides and angles.
Not the most efficient use of my time.
ISTR Douglas Adams wrote something about spending days writing a program to accomplish a task that takes seconds manually. That's my life, that is...
Also, who is the alternative? The Liberal Democrats? Possibly the SNP in parts of Scotland but as has been made clear to all but the dimmest Scots they want to leave the British single market and have no very convincing plan for joining the European one.
It's the ones that have drifted away he needs to get a hearing from.
I would say it's shrewd politics regardless of the economics.
The Brazil is rightly favourite but The UK has three shutouts and offers value. Its forward line make it a good bet. France is slight favourite to beat it but it might not.
Five human rights organisations that wrote to a UN expert defending the gender recognition reform bill have received Scottish government funding, it has emerged.
The charities published a letter to Reem Alsalem, the UN special rapporteur for violence against women and girls, last Wednesday supporting the SNP reforms which, if passed, would allow transgender people to self-identify in order to obtain a gender recognition certificate.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/backers-of-gender-reform-bill-given-scottish-government-funding-xmwxpmdb8
https://thepihut.com/products/maker-advent-calendar-includes-raspberry-pi-pico-h
As you say the real games come from code generators that generate the boiler plate code for you and that's been around for at least 20 odd years. Heck if you call HMTL code (and some incorrect people do) I had a routine to convert Word / Quark Xpress documents into HTML for Wired 27 years ago.
https://twitter.com/PhilipHensher/status/1598579070815567873?
- he goes for the red wall
- Lib Dem’s much more pro-European and target the blue wall
- Coalition
- Labour “reluctantly” accepts Lib Dem position on Europe
It’s bloody annoying though. Either he is knowingly lying for sake of the mythical red wall voters, or he has convinced himself of something the stats simply don’t support.
I will actually wet myself laughing if they can hit the Kremlin. That would be genuinely funny.
Especially if they confine themselves to hitting that and leave the ordinary people of Moscow untouched...
🚨PERSONAL NEWS KLAXON 🚨
Delighted to share that this week I will be starting a new job as Press Secretary to former Prime Minister @trussliz. Really looking forward to being part of her team.
https://twitter.com/isaby/status/1599687950618398720
He is painting himself into an unnecessary position that must benefit the Lib Dem's at the next GE
He has my vote
THe Graun article is raising the rather different issues of student essay plagiarism and 'copyright laundering'.
Why are you laughing at him getting a job for Christmas?
That said, I doubt it was a missile from Ukraine. Surely the Russians can monitor long-range missiles heading in their direction? Oh…