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Toxic Tories – politicalbetting.com
Toxic Tories – politicalbetting.com
Rishi Sunak still trails Keir Starmer and Labour by a long way in favourability ratings, but he is far ahead of his own partyKeir Starmer +3 net favourability ratingLabour +2Rishi Sunak -9Conservatives -47https://t.co/6tZu8mReKp pic.twitter.com/4yKn6OF24P
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They may well win anyway given how effectively they're strangling England.
And continued to show contempt for the law as HS, which is why she was forced to quit.
Such people should not be cabinet ministers.
She's also a pretty nasty piece of work who is to the right of Farage on many issues, but that's the killer as far as I'm concerned.
https://twitter.com/gowdavy/status/1583496116389019651?s=46&t=SFgT5jwmpN9ktcLpAdYpPQ
An ethical and competent AG and Home Secretary shouldn't countenance that.
House progressives retract Russia-diplomacy letter amid Dem firestorm
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/10/25/house-progressives-russia-diplomacy-00063338
And she went on to blame staffers for what was quite evidently her blunder.
Completely unnecessary.
Witness this just released statement from one of the signatories, which even the most uncompromising supporter of Ukraine would agree with, in its entirety.
https://raskin.house.gov/press-releases?ID=C6AAEAAD-548C-444A-85AB-A77AB7FFAAE6
https://twitter.com/alexvtunzelmann/status/1585164974594625543
https://twitter.com/bethrigby/status/1585160877640417280
They now have their man in place in Number 10 but more through luck than judgement. It has also put the country through a large amount of unnecessary pain to get there.
I'd love to know the answer to this question from the Sunak supporting MPs. What would have been better? Sunak as PM now but having had to go through the pain of Truss (and this the toxicity as referenced in the article) OR Penny Mordaunt as PM from the first leadership election.
But even the claims of the appointment being "necessary for party unity", or that not doing so would have jeopardised Sunak's election/appointment, don't seem to stack up.
If forced to predict, I’d say that the Scottish Tories will just about manage to achieve 3rd place, on a shocking reduction in vote share, but it’ll be close. The Scottish Lib Dems are going to thoroughly hoover up the Unionist vote in the North East, Borders and perhaps even wealthier suburbs of Edinburgh and Glasgow. Unfortunately, from their point of view, the new boundaries are going to totally screw their chances of seat gains, but there’ll be a lot of shock SLD 2nd places.
2. Rwanda policy
3. Speaks in slogans - the tofu-eating wokeraty" response from the dispatch box a great example
4. Makes petty bigots who want the forrin to go home think they have a decent viewpoint instead of being condemned for the pointless bigots they are.
5. Doesn't understand that the petty bigots also want her to go home. Witness the callers to LBC and commentors on Guido
And not in a good way...
Then there is this bizarre intervention:
https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1584930049480085505?t=7f41mDzDdcE3DzCgxVD-Lw&s=19
Russias security Council speaking of the "desatanisation" of Ukraine is just bizarre.
Russian fascism is as repellent or more as any other fascism, and encouraged from the centre.
This isn't just a mouthy shock-jock on a talk show. They really believe this stuff.
Perhaps if he had said “I’m a tough, two-faced slippery bastard that brought down two PMs and am now going into bat for Britain” it might at least have come across as more sincere.
But as PM, he theoretically could stop all this. If the UK is serious about growing the economy, we need more workers. The Rwanda scheme is an overpriced scam that can't work in the agreed form (as well as being a disgrace).
The best you can say is that he's weaker than Truss, who did at least try and put Braverman back in her box over visa numbers. The worst possibility is that he actively wants this stuff.
But principles are important too, and this appointment shows his are either to be abandoned for not very good reasons, or are simply unpalatable.
Even though his 39% favourable rating UK wide is below the 43% the Tories got overall in 2019. In 1992 of course Major actually gained a seat in Scotland despite losing seats UK wide relative to Thatcher in 1987
6. Resigned having breached the Ministerial rules.
"The business of government relies upon people accepting responsibility for their mistakes. Pretending we haven't made mistakes, carrying on as if everyone can't see that we have made them, and hoping that things will magically come right is not serious polities."
Hard to articulate just how far Germany's star in EU has fallen. In Bxl & EU capitals, Berlin is seen to be on wrong side of every important debate - weapons to Ukraine, more fiscal solidarity in Europe, energy market interventions etc. It's even affected bilateral Fr-Ger ties 1/
https://twitter.com/Mij_Europe/status/1585170573289586689
2. This is a pretty popular policy isn’t it?
3. Don’t they all?
4. Enforcing borders is one of the primary responsibilities of a government and certainly the Home Office. Good thing if she’s focused on that.
5. She’s a non white woman in power which upsets racists? And that’s a bad thing?
Much more interested in any slips while AG than this nonsense.
The test of Sunak may well be not how he stands up to Putin, Xi, or Macron, but how he stands up to Modi.
I'm personally disappointed because I thought he was both decent and his own man. Now I know he's not at least one of those two things. Probably both
Shows that appointments are made on factional balance and favours rendered, not suitability.
Continuity Johnson/Truss.
And with Malan goes the match, I fear.
Braverman is a very controversial appointment which has angered opponents, but her appointment is a result of pure politics as her backing of Rishi after Johnson withdrew took the votes away from Mordaunt and to Rishi
However, this is the first morning I can honestly say I am relieved to see the end of the Johnson Truss toxic period and the wider picture is the cabinet is drawn from across the party and it is more united than it has been for a very long time
I would caution those predicting Rishi will have a very short honeymoon not to underestimate the change that has just happened and the effect Rishi is going to have on politics going forward and certainly labour now have a very different opponent
Calais and illegal immigrants are a completely separate issue - attached to the point that few countries anywhere want uneducated young men - they don't exactly add value to the workforce.
Corbyn promised us a kinder, gentler politics and promoted McDonnell, Pidcock and Jenny Formby.
Blair promised us a new dawn and an end to sleaze. He became the first Prime Minister to be interviewed as part of a police investigation.
Brown promised a new era without spin, only to do more spinning than Blair had ever dreamed of.
May promised us strong and stable, and well...
Thatcher said 'where there is discord, may we bring harmony.'
Which means Sunak really shouldn't have promised integrity. That was always absolutely asking for trouble.
Also, how is she enforcing borders? Saying "I am focused" does nothing. We need international co-operation, which she is against. We need Border Force staff, which she cut. We need Home Office staff, which she cut. We need a viable migrant management policy, which she opposes. We need clear laws, which she undermined and subverted as AG.
"Just send the forrin to Rwanda" fails on the most basic level in that we aren't sending anyone to Rwanda because Rwanda says they have no room for them. Yet this psychopath - yet another HS with a mad glint in their eyes as they promote BNP policies - insists it is the only way.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabinet_of_the_United_Kingdom
Her rhetoric is what polarizes. But the reason I am angry and disappointed is that she neither respects the law (c.f. her time as AG, her security issues), nor is she competent (c.f. failed immigration policy implementation)
And actually, even if Braverman wasn't stupid, it is very easy to select the wrong email when you have multiple accounts.
It's why, for example, I have separate sign-ins for work and home stuff and use different browsers within those accounts for anything that I want to keep apart.
However, since anyone with a brain wouldn't be using a personal phone for such sensitive stuff she doesn't get away with that.
Lutheranism: absolutely! Both for good and ill. They pretend they are irreligious, but you’ll never meet a bigger bunch of moralists in your life. My wife for example almost never crosses the threshold of a church, but the Lutheran work ethic is embedded in her soul like a stick of rock.
Melancholia: yepp. Especially in the rural bits. Of course, the upside is that they despise melodrama: it makes them feel uncomfortable.
Austere and harsh culture? No, not really. But then unless you’ve mastered the language (which is actually surprisingly easy) then I can understand why one might think that.
A pleasure to work with? Yepp. Bloody hard working and dependable. But after 4pm Monday-Thursday and 3pm on a Friday, or anytime between late June and late August: good luck getting anyone to answer a phone or email. Ditto the “red days” and the innumerable ”klämdagar”.
They are very smart? Yepp. And emotionally intelligent. They make your average Englishman look like an adolescent.
The media definitely seems to pitch at a much higher level of intelligence than ours does? Oh yes. And then some.
The reserve? Yes. This is hard for outsiders to get used to. It mostly explains why they have had such horrific problems integrating some immigrants.
They seem not to say a lot of stuff they may be thinking? Ho ho. Indeed! Good luck guessing what a Swede is *really* thinking. They are so quiet cos they hate being rude 😄
And the mosquitos. They are sheer hell? Only in the far north. Have you never met a Scottish cleg or midge?
But the light blue of the Swedish sky in summer and the dark blue of those Swedish lakes, that is magical? Exquisite. Stunning beyond comprehension.
I also think the Swedish flag is the most beautiful in the world? I love it. It is my flag, almost as much as the cherished Saltire.
But truthfully, except for Moeen Ali in the last two overs the batting has been so poor they don't deserve to win.
Braverman 19 October 2022:
"The business of government relies upon people accepting responsibility for their mistakes. Pretending we haven't made mistakes, carrying on as if everyone can't see that we have made them, and hoping that things will magically come right is not serious polities."
Sunak 25 October 2022:
"This government will have integrity, professionalism and accountability at every level."
"The Rt Hon Suella Braverman KC MP @SuellaBraverman has been appointed Secretary of State for the Home Department @UKHomeOffice."
She needed to promise the Home Office to Cruella. That is very different to actually giving her the job. A true politician would have then refused it having been fully briefed on her breach of the ministerial code which led to her sacking last week.
The clashing dynamics inside the Tory party remain. You can't suggest unity when multiple camps despise each other and all they stand for. As nobody can keep them united it seems foolhardy to claim he will do so.
I don't see it given the number of covers they have to remove.
I was listening to Cleverly on the radio this morning extolling the benefits of controlled immigration. But there was no information on how that control would be exercised - how sectors with labour shortages would be identified and prioritised, how flexible and nimble that could be, what criteria would be applied, how political meddling could be avoided etc. It always seems odd to me that people who otherwise want the government out of their lives think that this is the one area where government interference is far superior to the private sector in terms of allocating resources. I see no evidence of the government being effective in this area, but plenty of evidence of labour shortages that are thwarting economic growth and creating inflation.
Those were probably the political choices.
I think Sunak probably expects Braverman to self-immolate at some point whereupon she will be replaced.
Frankly, I'd like Gove in slot as I think he'd sort the boats, and the department, inside 6 months.
Duckworth b Lewis c Stern
Given they have to beat at least one of Australia and New Zealand to qualify, how do England rejig the batting lineup to actually score some fricking runs?
What about Ali up to four?
16%, 15%, 12%, 15%, 15%
(SCon result at UK GE 2019: 25.1%)
Just cos Sunak is not as wildly unpopular as The Oaf or Truss does not mean you’re going to be getting a 26% share of the vote.
The wider issue for me is the end of Johnson Truss period and the cabinet is from across the party including new faces which combined need to put a brake on Braverman's wilder views
I do not expect this issue to impact Rishi's popularity going forward and look forward to how he responds at PMQs today
On that issue Sky just reporting Gove has gone into no 10 in order to prep Rishi for PMQs
We'll discover the truth (or more probably, truths) about what happened this week in a decade or so, as memoirs start to emerge. But I'm unconvinced that Boris was particularly in a position to demand a reward for dropping out - as his position was fairly untenable anyway.
His supporters were a different matter. As we've seen, Sunak's upset JRM and Dorries, which is hardly a sign of being pro-Johnson's cronies.
https://twitter.com/gabyhinsliff/status/1585177354090950657
James Cleverly: "Nice line Nick, but the point is I've been consistent...."
Ferrari: "You've not been consistent. You've been pro-Boris, pro-Liz and now pro-Rishi."
https://twitter.com/theousherwood/status/1585170066399977473