I think its what the Tories have done. In a Cameron v Brown type election I might be a LD voter. In a Cameron v Corbyn election I am more likely a Tory voter as stopping Corbyn more important. In a Truss v Starmer election I am more likely a Labour voter than a LD as stopping Truss more important.
Or we could simply watch the US Senate Foreign Affairs Committee openly demanding that the Nordstream pipeline be “ended permanently, not just suspended” - back in July 21
So you can either believe the evidence here in front of your eyes, or the mad theories of assorted hobos on politicalbetting.com
What's a hobo ? Is it an itinerant with a drinking problem ?
Here is the actual exchange (also it's from December 2021 NOT July):
Senator Johnson. One thing that I believe, certainly, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee is pretty unified on--it may not be unanimous--was our support for sanctions against the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. I think many of us were very disappointed that those sanctions were not fully implemented and the construction continued. I cannot think of a more powerful way to punish Russian aggression than by rolling back what progress has been made and, if at all possible, prevent the Nord Stream 2 from ever being completed. Is that something that is being discussed with allies? Is that something that is being contemplated?
Ms. Nuland. Absolutely. As you recall from the July U.S.- German statement, that was very much in that statement, that any moves of Russian aggression against Ukraine would have a direct impact on the pipeline, and that is our expectation and the conversation that we are having.
Senator Johnson. Again, direct impact is one thing, but I am literally talking about rolling back the pipeline. Loosely, define that, but I mean taking action that will prevent it from ever becoming operational.
Ms. Nuland. I think if President Putin moves on Ukraine, our expectation is that the pipeline will be suspended.
Senator Johnson. I certainly hope the Senate Foreign Relations Committee would take up legislation to go beyond just suspending it, but from ending it permanently. Anyway, thank you, Under Secretary Nuland.
By turning the annexed territories into "Russia", Putin has now turned his Special Needs Military Operation into an invasion of Russia - only by him
Which also means he has broken rule 1 of Eurasian war:
Never Invade Russia
The optics of taking land into Russia only to be losing that land is, to say the least, odd.
I guess he doesn't have many cards. Calling a ceasefire in those lands? Well, Ukraine isn't going to stop. Meeting a breach of the ceasefire with nukes? Maybe....
Democratic candidate John Fetterman’s lead over Republican Mehmet Oz is narrowing in Pennsylvania’s Senate race, according to a new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey released Friday.
The survey found that 45 percent of likely Pennsylvania general election voters backed Fetterman while 43 percent supported Oz, falling within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.
The Hill
Truss provoking a market wobble may just cost the Dems too.
Telegraph predicts mayhem in the London property market. Perhaps @kinabalu is right
I still believe places like Cornwall will suffer more, as they have gone utterly nuts. At least in London there are lots of rich people to support high prices, in Cornwall there are lots of relatively poor people
Graham is for once on the side of the angels here. Russia needs to know that using a nuclear weapon means all out MAD destruction of Russia. Total and utter annihilation.
And every soldier in the chain of command needs to know its suicide if they follow that order too.
There is a NATO presser at 7pm. I wonder if it will say the same?
Or maybe that the quality and quantity of weapons is about to be massively upgraded. Everything short of nukes.
Unlikely because it ties hands. Better to go with the ambiguity Biden has been using - there will be grave consequences, but I’m not going to tell you what those are.
I think its what the Tories have done. In a Cameron v Brown type election I might be a LD voter. In a Cameron v Corbyn election I am more likely a Tory voter as stopping Corbyn more important. In a Truss v Starmer election I am more likely a Labour voter than a LD as stopping Truss more important.
The Lib Dems are, nationally, close to invisible. Outside the political bubble - who can name their leader?
So, nothing on innovation and R&D, but they want productivity up. They haven't a fecking clue...
Ben Riley-Smith @benrileysmith · 5m Understand these are the eight supply side reform areas that we can expect announcements on between now and Nov23:
Biz regulation Agriculture Housing and planning Immigration Mobile and broadband Financial services Childcare Energy
Nice to say words, but we need action. What is the action going to be on things like housing and planning?
And how will it not be killed off my NIMBY scum like May killing off Boris's sensible proposed reforms.
At the moment NIMBY pensioners are the only age group still loyal to Truss.
Lose them too and the Truss core vote would be reduced to rich bankers and developers and that would be it
Not sure there's all that much support amongst rich bankers and develops, Hyufd. They are mostly smart people, and can see the long-term downside of what is going on. Many have a social conscience too.
I actually think the core Tory vote will soon be down to fuckwits and Daily Mail readers, (two groups which are of course not mutually exclusive.)
Except most Daily Mail readers are NIMBYs, lose them and there is no core left
No. Looks like a death by dangerous driving whilst unfit to me. Can’t see it’s murder unless they finished him off after they hit him.
The BBC article I read suggested they hid him under a tarp in the woods, and came back later to bury him. If they can show he wasn’t dead when they left him under the tarp…
So, nothing on innovation and R&D, but they want productivity up. They haven't a fecking clue...
Ben Riley-Smith @benrileysmith · 5m Understand these are the eight supply side reform areas that we can expect announcements on between now and Nov23:
Biz regulation Agriculture Housing and planning Immigration Mobile and broadband Financial services Childcare Energy
It’s fair to assume something big has always been planned for Conference next week. Maybe something counterintuitive? “Childcare” is an interesting outlier.
Children will no longer be cared for so we can cut the top rate to 35%
Send em down pit for thruppence an hour. Cheap energy and childcare sorted in one.
If children aren't cared for 1 parent won't be working...
The gangmasters can look after them. JRM wanted to go back to the 1950s. Truss is going further and taking us back to the 1850s.
In a further burning of red tape, the Truck Acts will be repealed. N.B. For PB pedants, I realise they are now called the Employment Rights Act.
I think its what the Tories have done. In a Cameron v Brown type election I might be a LD voter. In a Cameron v Corbyn election I am more likely a Tory voter as stopping Corbyn more important. In a Truss v Starmer election I am more likely a Labour voter than a LD as stopping Truss more important.
The Lib Dems are, nationally, close to invisible. Outside the political bubble - who can name their leader?
Indeed. I would guess less than 15% of the country can correctly name 3 current LD MPs without looking them up, perhaps as low as 5%.
Or we could simply watch the US Senate Foreign Affairs Committee openly demanding that the Nordstream pipeline be “ended permanently, not just suspended” - back in July 21
So you can either believe the evidence here in front of your eyes, or the mad theories of assorted hobos on politicalbetting.com
What's a hobo ? Is it an itinerant with a drinking problem ?
Here is the actual exchange (also it's from December 2021 NOT July):
Senator Johnson. One thing that I believe, certainly, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee is pretty unified on--it may not be unanimous--was our support for sanctions against the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. I think many of us were very disappointed that those sanctions were not fully implemented and the construction continued. I cannot think of a more powerful way to punish Russian aggression than by rolling back what progress has been made and, if at all possible, prevent the Nord Stream 2 from ever being completed. Is that something that is being discussed with allies? Is that something that is being contemplated?
Ms. Nuland. Absolutely. As you recall from the July U.S.- German statement, that was very much in that statement, that any moves of Russian aggression against Ukraine would have a direct impact on the pipeline, and that is our expectation and the conversation that we are having.
Senator Johnson. Again, direct impact is one thing, but I am literally talking about rolling back the pipeline. Loosely, define that, but I mean taking action that will prevent it from ever becoming operational.
Ms. Nuland. I think if President Putin moves on Ukraine, our expectation is that the pipeline will be suspended.
Senator Johnson. I certainly hope the Senate Foreign Relations Committee would take up legislation to go beyond just suspending it, but from ending it permanently. Anyway, thank you, Under Secretary Nuland.
As part of sanctions on Russia, the US implemented sanctions against financing or participating in Nord Stream 2.
This means that if the Germans tried to restart Nord Stream 2, any companies involved (or banks) would be instantly denied access to the international financial system, by the American sanctions. As a start.....
So, nothing on innovation and R&D, but they want productivity up. They haven't a fecking clue...
Ben Riley-Smith @benrileysmith · 5m Understand these are the eight supply side reform areas that we can expect announcements on between now and Nov23:
Biz regulation Agriculture Housing and planning Immigration Mobile and broadband Financial services Childcare Energy
Nice to say words, but we need action. What is the action going to be on things like housing and planning?
And how will it not be killed off my NIMBY scum like May killing off Boris's sensible proposed reforms.
At the moment NIMBY pensioners are the only age group still loyal to Truss.
Lose them too and the Truss core vote would be reduced to rich bankers and developers and that would be it
Not sure there's all that much support amongst rich bankers and develops, Hyufd. They are mostly smart people, and can see the long-term downside of what is going on. Many have a social conscience too.
I actually think the core Tory vote will soon be down to fuckwits and Daily Mail readers, (two groups which are of course not mutually exclusive.)
Except most Daily Mail readers are NIMBYs, lose them and there is no core left
Good. Rebuild without that cancer.
There would be nothing left to rebuild from apart from a few rich spivs loyal to Truss
CEBR claims treasury is hugely wrong and we’re heading for a small surplus by 2025/26. Someone is going to have egg on their faces either way.
CEBR are using different calculations and models to the OBR - and if you change the model you can generate any result you want....
What the CEBR may have clocked and what others are ignoring is that Kwartengs plans indicated both massive tax rises and massive cuts. Basically personal allowances and current government spending were frozen for the next 2 years. In a time of 10% inflation that is huge fiscal drag and serious cuts in departmental budgets. Even if the gas scheme knocked 5% off inflation that is still pretty harsh. But the government doesn’t want to admit that their tax cuts were in fact tax increases for most, offset to some extent for the most wealthy.
Worth posting this just to show the scale of the problem...
Dan Bloom @danbloom1 Don’t usually do this but… my partner and I were very lucky to get our first-time buy mortgage offer in Autumn 2021, on a good rate. The monthly payment is currently about £930. If we took out the same mortgage with the same lender today, the monthly payment would be £1,700.
I can’t make the maths work on that, looking at where the market is. I think it’s bollocks.
Worth posting this just to show the scale of the problem...
Dan Bloom @danbloom1 Don’t usually do this but… my partner and I were very lucky to get our first-time buy mortgage offer in Autumn 2021, on a good rate. The monthly payment is currently about £930. If we took out the same mortgage with the same lender today, the monthly payment would be £1,700.
I can’t make the maths work on that, looking at where the market is. I think it’s bollocks.
It may be slightly on the low side. Mortgage rates have risen from roughly 2.5 to 5 in that time, depending on fees and introductory offers.
Yeah, but (admittedly without sitting down for hours on this) his numbers imply he‘s paying mostly interest. A mad 35 year deal he ought not to have taken?
Graham is for once on the side of the angels here. Russia needs to know that using a nuclear weapon means all out MAD destruction of Russia. Total and utter annihilation.
And every soldier in the chain of command needs to know its suicide if they follow that order too.
It doesn't quite say that, and if Biden wanted to say it he wouldn't choose a GOP senator to peak for him. And annihilation of a country as you suggest (any country) in retaliation for battlefield weapons would be more criminal than the original invasion. It'd be perfectly credible, and probably enough, to say that NATO would get directly involved, including imposing a no-fly zone.
Or we could simply watch the US Senate Foreign Affairs Committee openly demanding that the Nordstream pipeline be “ended permanently, not just suspended” - back in July 21
So you can either believe the evidence here in front of your eyes, or the mad theories of assorted hobos on politicalbetting.com
What's a hobo ? Is it an itinerant with a drinking problem ?
Here is the actual exchange (also it's from December 2021 NOT July):
Senator Johnson. One thing that I believe, certainly, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee is pretty unified on--it may not be unanimous--was our support for sanctions against the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. I think many of us were very disappointed that those sanctions were not fully implemented and the construction continued. I cannot think of a more powerful way to punish Russian aggression than by rolling back what progress has been made and, if at all possible, prevent the Nord Stream 2 from ever being completed. Is that something that is being discussed with allies? Is that something that is being contemplated?
Ms. Nuland. Absolutely. As you recall from the July U.S.- German statement, that was very much in that statement, that any moves of Russian aggression against Ukraine would have a direct impact on the pipeline, and that is our expectation and the conversation that we are having.
Senator Johnson. Again, direct impact is one thing, but I am literally talking about rolling back the pipeline. Loosely, define that, but I mean taking action that will prevent it from ever becoming operational.
Ms. Nuland. I think if President Putin moves on Ukraine, our expectation is that the pipeline will be suspended.
Senator Johnson. I certainly hope the Senate Foreign Relations Committee would take up legislation to go beyond just suspending it, but from ending it permanently. Anyway, thank you, Under Secretary Nuland.
As part of sanctions on Russia, the US implemented sanctions against financing or participating in Nord Stream 2.
This means that if the Germans tried to restart Nord Stream 2, any companies involved (or banks) would be instantly denied access to the international financial system, by the American sanctions. As a start.....
This is what they were talking about above.
Well, yes. The exchange at the end:
Ms. Nuland. "I think if President Putin moves on Ukraine, our expectation is that the pipeline will be suspended."
Senator Johnson. "I certainly hope the Senate Foreign Relations Committee would take up legislation to go beyond just suspending it, but from ending it permanently. Anyway, thank you, Under Secretary Nuland."
can't possibly be twisted to support the idea the the Committee was calling for the pipeline to be blown up, as Leon seems to be claiming.
Or we could simply watch the US Senate Foreign Affairs Committee openly demanding that the Nordstream pipeline be “ended permanently, not just suspended” - back in July 21
So you can either believe the evidence here in front of your eyes, or the mad theories of assorted hobos on politicalbetting.com
What's a hobo ? Is it an itinerant with a drinking problem ?
Here is the actual exchange (also it's from December 2021 NOT July):
Senator Johnson. One thing that I believe, certainly, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee is pretty unified on--it may not be unanimous--was our support for sanctions against the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. I think many of us were very disappointed that those sanctions were not fully implemented and the construction continued. I cannot think of a more powerful way to punish Russian aggression than by rolling back what progress has been made and, if at all possible, prevent the Nord Stream 2 from ever being completed. Is that something that is being discussed with allies? Is that something that is being contemplated?
Ms. Nuland. Absolutely. As you recall from the July U.S.- German statement, that was very much in that statement, that any moves of Russian aggression against Ukraine would have a direct impact on the pipeline, and that is our expectation and the conversation that we are having.
Senator Johnson. Again, direct impact is one thing, but I am literally talking about rolling back the pipeline. Loosely, define that, but I mean taking action that will prevent it from ever becoming operational.
Ms. Nuland. I think if President Putin moves on Ukraine, our expectation is that the pipeline will be suspended.
Senator Johnson. I certainly hope the Senate Foreign Relations Committee would take up legislation to go beyond just suspending it, but from ending it permanently. Anyway, thank you, Under Secretary Nuland.
As part of sanctions on Russia, the US implemented sanctions against financing or participating in Nord Stream 2.
This means that if the Germans tried to restart Nord Stream 2, any companies involved (or banks) would be instantly denied access to the international financial system, by the American sanctions. As a start.....
This is what they were talking about above.
Indeed. Unfortunately Chicken Licken has stopped listening.
Why would an opposition senator be deciding NATO policy?
I doubt he is going particularly off-piste here? Surely he has squared this with the White House. It is far too important for fucking about. If he is speaking for himself, it is damned stupid
It's Lindsey Graham, he's the stupidest man in the Senate.
The Next Labour Government will be two or three terms at the least. The Tories aren't getting back in for a long time.
I said to my wife last night that I am not sure we will see another Tory government. We are in our early 60s. Truss and Kwarteng have really screwed the pooch.
Yes you will - assuming you are both in good health and living into your 80s etc. I'd be amazed if the Tories were out of power for 20 years. 10-15, maybe.
Mobile and broadband sounds good, planning reform changes so people can't reject masts?
The work to upgrade Openreach's network to 100% fibre is already in progress so I would love to know what they are planning to do.
As for mobile the best bet there is mast sharing - planning isn't an issue even in a national park (provided you aren't building a permanent road to the mast.
All the new Three masts in Wandsworth have been rejected on grounds of "visual intrusion". This sort of nonsense should end.
Interesting conversation just now with a U.S. contact of mine. They don’t view a nuclear event as probable but are working hard to communicate precisely what the consequences would be. Both directly and indirectly.
A couple of ideas floated (ha ha) one which I preferred to the other. Neither I have seen mentioned on here before so I don’t think I should be specific. But I definitely prefer one to the other and I would send a pretty clear message.
Comments
Here is the actual exchange (also it's from December 2021 NOT July):
Senator Johnson. One thing that I believe, certainly, the
Senate Foreign Relations Committee is pretty unified on--it may
not be unanimous--was our support for sanctions against the
Nord Stream 2 pipeline. I think many of us were very
disappointed that those sanctions were not fully implemented
and the construction continued.
I cannot think of a more powerful way to punish Russian
aggression than by rolling back what progress has been made
and, if at all possible, prevent the Nord Stream 2 from ever
being completed.
Is that something that is being discussed with allies? Is
that something that is being contemplated?
Ms. Nuland. Absolutely. As you recall from the July U.S.-
German statement, that was very much in that statement, that
any moves of Russian aggression against Ukraine would have a
direct impact on the pipeline, and that is our expectation and
the conversation that we are having.
Senator Johnson. Again, direct impact is one thing, but I
am literally talking about rolling back the pipeline. Loosely,
define that, but I mean taking action that will prevent it from
ever becoming operational.
Ms. Nuland. I think if President Putin moves on Ukraine,
our expectation is that the pipeline will be suspended.
Senator Johnson. I certainly hope the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee would take up legislation to go beyond just
suspending it, but from ending it permanently. Anyway, thank
you, Under Secretary Nuland.
I guess he doesn't have many cards. Calling a ceasefire in those lands? Well, Ukraine isn't going to stop. Meeting a breach of the ceasefire with nukes? Maybe....
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/property/house-prices/why-london-will-hardest-hit-mortgage-crisis/
Flats especially hit. Great
I still believe places like Cornwall will suffer more, as they have gone utterly nuts. At least in London there are lots of rich people to support high prices, in Cornwall there are lots of relatively poor people
(Yes I know they didn't go on a honeymoon, but you get the drift.)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-tayside-central-62913661.amp
This means that if the Germans tried to restart Nord Stream 2, any companies involved (or banks) would be instantly denied access to the international financial system, by the American sanctions. As a start.....
This is what they were talking about above.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-63050180
Even if the gas scheme knocked 5% off inflation that is still pretty harsh. But the government doesn’t want to admit that their tax cuts were in fact tax increases for most, offset to some extent for the most wealthy.
Ms. Nuland. "I think if President Putin moves on Ukraine,
our expectation is that the pipeline will be suspended."
Senator Johnson. "I certainly hope the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee would take up legislation to go beyond just
suspending it, but from ending it permanently. Anyway, thank
you, Under Secretary Nuland."
can't possibly be twisted to support the idea the the Committee was calling for the pipeline to be blown up, as Leon seems to be claiming.
The expenditure will still have to be made of course, but hey: it won’t be the government’s responsibility any more!
A couple of ideas floated (ha ha) one which I preferred to the other. Neither I have seen mentioned on here before so I don’t think I should be specific. But I definitely prefer one to the other and I would send a pretty clear message.